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Ecoplay at Kindergarden Verify sustainable carbon sinks globally K-12+4 remote sensing and ground truthing using 1m3 grid scale for volume. Geocoded Spatial Transparent Metric GSTM 1m3:10km3x2 Ecoplays K-12+4. Actions and monitoring including solar energy and Geocoded Agroecological Connection Plots GAECP@10km3 indicator or signals. Resilience Ecoplay at Kindergarten..k+12+4..Transpiration.. Geocode Rare Endemic Plant Species REPS@1m3 Globally and introduce studies in their photosynthesis and transpiration including their pollinating systems and productions of secondary compounds as signals. Unique Recognizable Complex Predictable Pattern (ing) URCPP indicator ...map GIS layers for enhancing signal. Risk Anomaly@1m3 GIS Geographic Information System Carbon dioxide and other GHG Greenhouse Gases. 1m3 helps to notice: Human Influenced Anthropogenic changes : ---air, soil water, chaotic extinction of species and Land cover or vegetation changes and including EIDs/Emerging Infectious Diseases and alien species These human influenced changes cause change in solar radiation and reflectivity changes at soil level called ‘albedo’ Measure albedo@1m3 Geocode Rare Endemic Plant Species REPS@1m3 Change. 1m3 Soil Cover by Plants -- runoff water ++ Is vegetation type cover a proxy for predicting climate locally? Meter cubed carbon gardening@1m3:10km3x2 Albedo@1m3 1m3 Starving for Water. Missing Beauty. Play Home 1m3 Geocoded Agroecological Connection Plot GAECP Natural Disasters....water shortages??? 1m3 Transparency 10km3 Climate change is a local phenomena with global implications. Geocoded Verification Tool 1m3:10km3 x 2 = geocoded spatial transparent metric = GSTM Where is the Metric? Spatial Think Beauty urcpp=unique, recognizable, complex, predictable pattern, we call her Nature. Play in nature, ecoplay, agroecological restoration in the watershed or catchment in GAECP=10km3. Ecoplay Kindergarten tool=1m3 Play cohort of children=10=n 1m3:10km3x2 Action: Geocode Meter Cubed Carbon Gardening Human influences. Dramatic changes in runoff volume from ice-free land are projected in many parts of the world by the middle of the 21st century relative to historical conditions from the 1900 to 1970 period. Color denotes percentage change median value from 12 climate models. Where a country or smaller political unit is colored, 8 or more of 12 models agreed on the direction increase versus decrease---- of runoff change under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's "SRES A1B" emissions scenario. http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/319/5863/573? 1m3 1m3 Change. -- runoff water ++ Is vegetation type cover a proxy for predicting climate locally? Meter cubed carbon gardening@1m3:10km3x2 Albedo@1m3 • • • • Nature needs more water. We need more quality water and predictable patterns of quantity. Changes in runoff patterns will change sea level and salt water intrusion in fresh water . Connect endemic vegetation and agroecological space or volume 1m3 GSTM = 1m3 within 10km3 both above and below ground or grade grade. 1m3:10km3x2 Rare Endemic Plant Species=REPS Covering and repairing our soils. Connecting our vegetation. Monitoring our pollinators on REPS Monitoring transpiration on REPS 1m3 geocoded REPS Spatial Learning k-12+4 Water quality access and predictable availability seasonally depends on local management of the catchment and watershed. Geocode Map at One Meter Cubed Spatial Scale Land plants control local climate-water. Human rights in the global commons must include endemic vegetation connectivity and attached pollinating species. 1m3 urcpp GPS top carnivore lion frog as health indicator Tools for remote sensing = 1m3:10km3x2 endemic vegetation GAECP 10km3x2 geocoded agroecological connection plots 1m3 human footprint To re se en ve an ba po ca an us Albedo, land cover surface reflectivity from sun’s radiation. REPS@1m3= Rare Endemic Plant Species indicators of sustainable biodiversity. 1m3 footp rint Trading carbon, polluting emissions for $money$? $ for biodiversity extinction??? Verify carbon trading@1m3. albedo@1m3 Buffering climate change can only be done locally. Water, access, quality, quantity, predictability. Ecological Justice. 1m3 70% global water is used for agriculture: can we balance this with managing ecosystem vegetation connectivity and soil health? BIODIVERSITY AND HUMAN RIGHTS Napa County, Old Farm, California Vegetation makes climate. REPS@1m3 Land use changes cause climate change by altering local plant extinction patterns. Vegetation degradation causes increased local disasters such as fires, severe weather, as well as floods and drought. Famine, disease and EIDs. map@1m3 grid scale. La ch ex Ve in fir to w C to Tr Sa up C R de ea ha ex of The beginning on buffering climate change is local. Manage local soil cover with plant species. Learn something new. Geocode 1m3 in 10km3 space grid. 1m3 UNFCCC-1992/climate change Kyoto-1975/Bali-12-2007 $160 million for healing global forests.... not much money. Trade seeds bioregionally. Women and Girls participate in 1m3 sampling, verification of sustainable forest using CBD virtual k-12 watch dogs.,,and REPS@1m3:10km3 REPS@ 1m3 REPS= Rare Endemic Plant Species Local. Gardening Nature Walled or enclosed garden soil, paradisos, the circle of heaven and the square of earth. Like a sacred mountain, species isolated or out of reach may now need conservation protection Map them. Axis Mundi One quarter of human population calls mountain ecosystems home. Still more people live along the continental shelf and on islands Ocean people depend on protein from ocean biodiversity. Map Mangroves species. 1m3:10km3x2 Map Mangroves Globally Monitor Mangroves@1m3 Coit Tower, San Francisco, California, USA Cattle . Electric utility. Fence. 1m3 Anomaly Risk Indicator “ECOLOGICAL DISTURBANCE” Albedo differences@1m3. Endemic Soil vegetation, erosion@1m3. Road. here called ‘chaparral’. Habitat is soil and vegetation with attached biodiversity. Wildfires stops endemic vegetation photosynthesis or carbon sequestration, growth/biomass... < photosynthate:root-shoot-flower-fruit-seed-leaf>.>> instead injects carbon into the atmosphere. Wildfires stops endemic vegetation photosynthesis. Ecological resilience in the form of 1m3 endemic vegetation???... Tecate Mountain after Autumn 2007 Wildfire, San Diego County, California EIDs Emerging Infectious Diseases Vandalism: cats and dog alien animal, plants, and EIDs. NutrientCalorie@ 1m3 Water@1m3 Soil@1m3 Convention on Biological Diversity Albedo@1m3 1m3 ‘Rare Endemic Plant Species’ + associated biodiversity @ 1m3 1m3:10km3x2 10km3 above and below grade altitudes:latitudes:depths:heights OCEAN LAND ATMOSPHERE Women and children are disproportionately impacted by climate change. David King on Natural Disaster “There is a lot more that the scientific community can do besides the ongoing need for research to increase our knowledge and understanding of potentially hazardous events. Better integration and collaboration between different scientific disciplines to improve understanding of impacts and the links between different types of hazards is an area which needs development, such as the effects of weather situations on the spread of infectious disease.” Malaria mosquito EIDS, Emerging infectious diseases are expands its global and some novel species or range as climate novel strains, include changes and drug resistant strains of known species like MRSA, or methicillin-resistant vegetation is Staphylococcus aureus, a bacteria. ecologically disturbed. global climate change disease vector@1m3 1m3:10km3x2 • • Transparency in access to global data sets including satellite real time data. Monitor • • • albedo@1m3 soil@1m3 REPS Rare Endemic Plant Species including cultural and economic plant species cultivars. 1m3 Sea level rise. Ecotonal Boundary geocode salt water intrusion with fresh water@1m3:10km3x2 continental shelf and small islands 1m3 Emerging Infectious Diseases 1m3 tool is gift of scale in kindergarden. spatial volume 1m3 K-12+4 Virtual +Real Time Local monitoring and remote sensing use GPS and GIS.. Think Spatially...using 1m3 within 10km3- geocoded above and below grade Climate change can only be buffered locally. Geocode water quality using 1m3. Water moves from the mountains to salt water. Daily the continental shelf and island boundaries experience tidal shifts in fresh water intrusion. 1m3 K-12+4 virtual watchdogs!!! Verification of Ramsar and UNCLOS or the Law of the Sea land-based soil movement@1m3:10km3x2 Inland, San Francisco Bay, California A new metric? Geocoded Spatial Transparent Metric. As well as ongoing development and improvements to operational early warning systems and services, more expert peer review of scientific knowledge and a understanding is required to provide “consensus” view on hazards and to determine when the state of the science is ready to develop a useful warning capability. David King on Natural Disaster Women and children are disproportionately impacted by climate change. Conserve water for biodiversity by connecting endemic vegetation and managing @1m3:10km3x2 agroecological habitat with particular attention: water, soil, air, albedo, and rare endemic plant species or REPS, k-12+4 photosynthesis CO2floral biology1m3 Geocoded 10km3 x 2 Private S a M c c r P W r l v E S 1 m i f REPS=Rare Endemic Plant Species1m3 Paeonia californica in flower, nectar awaiting pollinating species. 1m3 Adaptation: local soil-climate, geology and climate generated by endemic vegetation photosynthesis and transpiration....control the water cycle. soil 1m3 Adaptation: local soil-climate, geology and climate generated by endemic vegetation photosynthesis and transpiration....control the water cycle. Agroecological plant species associations of plants and soil make weather locally. Sun and local photosynthesis or biomass/carbon sequestration in plants and soil...Peony habitat southern 1m3 California. soil Endemic plant species form the resilience of endemic vegetation / agroecological photosynthetic complementarity. <BIODEPTH> Paeonia californica, early spring leaf emergence in California chaparral. California has two of forty species of Peony, the remaining are in Asia. FLOWERING PLANTS ON LAND:PERHAPS AS MANY AS 500,000 SUPPORT ALL BIODIVERSITY on land and on THE CONTINENTAL SHELF, BY PHOTOSYNTHATE NOURISHMENT LARGELY CARRIED BY WATER DOWN FROM THE UPLANDS. California has perhaps 6000 endemic or unique plants species, China perhaps more than 30,000 plant species, North America above Mexico perhaps 30,000: estimates of land plant species range from 300,000- 500,000 species. p Paeonia californica A species of oak, Quercus agrifolia, a tree, habit, that is dominant in a varied set of vegetation types globally. Here on the edge of its range surrounded by vegetation called chaparral in Campo, San Diego County, USA. Sun Redwood trees, endemic to California are almost gone. How many ‘board feet’??? Endemic plant species. Measure at one meter cubed 1m3:10km3x2. Think spatial. Act locally in managing and mapping vegetation connectivity in the watershed or catchment. Geocode REPS@1m3:10km3x2 1m3 Women and girls can monitor endemic vegetation and air pollution@1m3:10km3 K-12+4 ITC and GPS Ground Truthing GIS Layers ”Catastrophic changes in the overall state of a system can ultimately derive from how it is organized---from feedback mechanism within it, and from linkages that are latent and often unrecognized. The change may be initiated by some obvious external event, such a a war, but is more usually triggered by a seemingly minor happenstance or even an unsubstantial rumor. Once set in motion, however, such changes can become explosive afterwards will typically exhibit some form of hysteresis, such that recovery is much slower than the collapse. In extreme cases, the changes may be irreversible.” and Sir Robert M. May Oxford University Ecology for Bankers/ Nature 451:893-892. 21 February 2008 May et al. How expensive is systemic risk? We need a geocoded spatial transparent metric. Children, their health, our human future. An international workshop was convened in May 2007 to discuss the current body of evidence for effects of atmospheric pollution on human reproduction, to identify the strengths and weaknesses of published epidemiologic studies, to suggest future directions for research, to foster collaboration and to promote dialogue between epidemiologists, toxicologists, clinicians and biostatisticians. Several outcomes related to human reproduction were the focus of the discussions, including pregnancy outcomes (intrauterine growth restriction, IUGR, gestational age) and male reproductive health (semen quality). 1m3? http://www.ehponline.org/members/2008/11074/11074.pdf Supplemental material. Slama et al., Env Health Perspect, 2008 (MS 11074) Figure 1: Time windows corresponding to the highest estimated effect of air pollutants on fetal growth reported in published studies. 1m3:10km3x2 ‘We strongly recommend further exploration of fetal ultrasonic measures in air pollution-birth outcome research to corroborate our findings and examine some of the confounders - e.g. SES, parity, and possible effect modifiers - e.g. air conditioning, that we were unable to examine here. The results shown here seem to suggest that the pollutant monitor needs to be within 2 km of the subject, and optimally each woman’s address would be geocoded.” from [email protected] al 3-2008 doi:10.1289/ehp.10720 via http://dx.doi.org/ Geocoded Spatial Transparent Metric = 1m3:10km3x2 [email protected] REPS@1m3:10km3x2 1m3 Nitrogen Gas in Atmosphere soil:air:water:plant within 10km3 above below grade Geocoded Spatial Transparent Metric The study, conducted by David Tilman, Regents Professor of Ecology, and former university graduate student Christopher Clark, will be published in the Feb. 7 issue of Nature. Research was carried out at Cedar Creek Ecosystem Science Reserve, a field station operated by the university's College of Biological Sciences. "Even at low levels, comparable to nitrogen deposition over many industrialized nations, Nitrogen we lost about one plant species in six at our test site [17 percent over@1m3??? 23 years]," Clark said. Rare species were more vulnerable to loss than common species. • • • • • • • • Resilience But Tilman and Clark also discovered some good news -- that the loss of species can be reversed. Thirteen years after addition of nitrogen was stopped, species numbers had recovered. "Many ecosystems worldwide may be losing plant species because of nitrogen deposition from fossil fuel combustion and agricultural fertilizers," Tilman. s Ecoplay@1m3:10km3x2 URCPP PHOTOSYNTHESIS AND VEGETATION CONNECTIVITY. Autumn, leaves chemically remove remnant nutrients as the season changes in the coastal sage vegetation of Northern California, USA. Think spatial, think soil cover, conserve water, manage locally endemic plant species and economic plant cultivars...think beauty..,.ecoplay! Introduce unique recognizable complex predictable pattern. [email protected] • • • • Land cover change including alien species ‘takeovers’ and local weather patterns are further increasing system anomaly. Nanoparticles and GMOs/Genetically Modified Organisms may perturb ecosystems further: Invoke the Precautionary Principle. Buffering climate change must include connecting Geocoded Agroecological Connection Plots GAECP. 1m3:10km3x2 Soil cover@1m3 REPS@1m3 Heirloom plant species cultivars@1m3 Bioregional seed exchanges between k-12+4 schools. Share Knowledge Reduce, recycle, reuse, and CDM Clean Development Mechanisms, and Human Capacity Transfer and Best Practices and Human Rights.... and increase Efficiency and cap carbon and monitor air under Transboundary Air Pollution Treaty and Persistent Organic Pollutants Treaty, but begin to enforce and collect for schools monies for reckless endangerment to health of human and ecosystem services.... land based pollution =1m3 soil movement... under UNCLOS and Ramsar Wetlands scenarios. Spend money on enforcement and monitoring but put in the children's school...pay $$$$$ k-12+4 students to monitor indicators. About photosynthesis and things we cannot understand, ecosystems and their free services????, their form and their Nature. The beauty of Nature. http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/319/5863/573? Human influences: Dramatic changes in runoff volume from ice-free land are projected in many parts of the world by the middle of the 21st century relative to historical conditions from the 1900 to 1970 period. Color denotes percentage change median value from 12 climate models. Where a country or smaller political unit is colored, 8 or more of 12 models agreed on the direction increase versus decrease---- of runoff change under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's "SRES A1B" emissions scenario. The study, conducted by David Tilman, Regents Professor of Ecology, and former university graduate student Christopher Clark, will be published in the Feb. 7 issue of Nature. Research was carried out at Cedar Creek Ecosystem Science Reserve, a field station operated by the university's College of Biological Sciences. "Even at low levels, comparable to nitrogen deposition over many industrialized nations, we lost about one plant species in six at our test site [17 percent over 23 years]," Clark said. Rare species were more vulnerable to loss than common species. Cattle . Electric utility. Fence. 1m3 Anomaly Risk Indicator “ECOLOGICAL DISTURBANCE” Albedo differences@1m3. Endemic Soil vegetation, erosion@1m3. Road. here called ‘chaparral’. Habitat is soil and vegetation with attached biodiversity. The San Francisco Bay bioregion is the key to landbased pollution on the continental shelf. Under the Law of the Sea this matters. ‘We strongly recommend further exploration of fetal ultrasonic measures in air pollution-birth outcome research to corroborate our findings and examine some of the confounders - e.g. SES, parity, and possible effect modifiers - e.g. air conditioning, that we were unable to examine here. The results shown here seem to suggest that the pollutant monitor needs to be within 2 km of the subject, and optimally each woman’s address would be geocoded.” from [email protected] al 3-2008 doi:10.1289/ehp.10720 via http://dx.doi.org/ Geocoded Spatial Transparent Metric = 1m3:10km3x2 [email protected] 1m3 10km3x2 Geocoded Agroecological Connection Plot GAECP Natural Disasters....water shortages??? Transparency Climate change is a local phenomena with global implications. Geocoded Verification Tool 1m3:10km3 x 2 = geocoded spatial transparent metric = GSTM http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&client=safari&rls=enus&q=Spatial+Thinking+K-12+NAS+2006&btnG=Search Where is the Metric? Ecoplay at Kindergarden Verify sustainable carbon sinks globally K-12+4 remote sensing and ground truthing using 1m3 grid scale for volume. Geocoded Spatial Transparent Metric GSTM 1m3:10km3x2 Ecoplays K-12+4. Actions and monitoring including solar energy and Geocoded Agroecological Connection Plots GAECP@10km3 indicator or signals. Resilience Ecoplay at Kindergarten..k+12+4..Transpiration.. Geocode Rare Endemic Plant Species REPS@1m3 Globally and introduce studies in their photosynthesis and transpiration including their pollinating systems and productions of secondary compounds as signals. Unique Recognizable Complex Predictable Pattern (ing) URCPP indicator ...map GIS layers for enhancing signal. Risk Anomaly@1m3 GIS Geographic Information System Carbon dioxide and other GHG Greenhouse Gases. 1m3 helps to notice: Human Influenced Anthropogenic changes : ---air, soil water, chaotic extinction of species and Land cover or vegetation changes and including EIDs/Emerging Infectious Diseases and alien species These human influenced changes cause change in solar radiation and reflectivity changes at soil level called ‘albedo’ Measure albedo@1m3 Geocode Rare Endemic Plant Species REPS@1m3