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AP Macroeconomics Section 5 Lecture December 2016 Mr. Gammie MONEY Module 22: Saving, Investment, and the Financial System Simple Economy Total Income = Total Spending Total Spending = You have $500 of disposable income for the month of December. What can you do with it? MPC + MPS = 1 Spend or Save Some Math… Total Income = Total Spending Total Income = C + S Total Spending = C + I C+S=C+I Therefore….. S = I Savings = Investment + Government Budget Balance = tax revenue – gov’t spending – transfer payments Budget surplus (+) Budget deficit (-) National Saving = S + BB + Other Countries Capital Inflow = the total inflow of foreign funds minus the total outflow of domestic funds to other countries I=S S = National Saving + Capital Inflow Three Tasks of a Financial System 1. Reduce Transaction Costs vs. Three Tasks of a Financial System 2. Reducing Risk Diversification: investing in several assets with unrelated, or independent risks. It allows a business owner to lower his/her total risk of loss. Key Takeaway: The desire of individuals to reduce their total risk by engaging in diversification is why we have stocks and the stock market. Three Tasks of a Financial System 3. Providing Liquidity Financial Assets Financial Asset: A paper claim that entitles the buyer to future income from the seller. Four Types: 1. Loans 2. Bonds 3. Loan Backed Securities 4. Stocks Financial Intermediaries Financial Intermediary: an institution that transforms funds gathered from many individuals in financial assets. Three Key Types: 1. Mutual Funds 2. Pension Funds and Life Insurance Companies 3. Banks Review Question Economists view investment spending as which of the following: a. Stocks b. Bonds c. Spending on physical capital d. Mutual investment spending e. Spending on human capital Review Question Given: Closed Economy S=I In a closed economy suppose that GDP is $12 trillion. Consumption is $8 trillion, government spending is $2 trillion, and taxes are $0.5 billion. How much is national saving? a. $2 trillion b. $3 trillion c. $3.5 trillion d. $4 trillion e. None of the above Review Questions Financial markets: a. Increase transaction costs b. Reduce diversification c. Provide liquidity d. Determine tax rates e. Are the same as resource markets Module 22 Summary • The saving investment identity tells us that, in a simple economy without gov’t or foreign trade, that private dollars saved must equal private dollars invested. • When the gov’t is included we discover that they can also contribute to the national savings if there is a budget surplus, and can detract from national savings if there is a budget deficit. • Money can also flow into Canada from foreign citizens and money can flow out of Canada into foreign economies. This inflow or outflow affects domestic saving and investment. • If more money flows into Canada than leaves Canada to other nations, there is a capital inflow. This increases domestic investment. (Vice versa applies). • The financial system facilitates transactions between savers and investors and provides three key roles in this process: reducing transaction costs, reducing risk, and increasing liquidity. Module 23: The Definition and Measurement of Money Define: money Defined: money is any asset that can easily be used to purchase goods and services. Roles of Money 1. Medium of Exchange Roles of Money 2. Store of Value Roles of Money 3. Unit of Account Types of Money 1. Commodity Money ex. 2. Commodity-backed Money ex. 3. Fiat Money ex. Measuring the Money Supply • M1: currency and coin in circulation + checking deposits + travelers checks • M2: M1 + savings accounts + short term CDs + money market accounts *Review this section in your textbook. Review Question Suppose you transfer $500 from your checking account to your savings account. With this transaction M1 _____ and M2 _____. a. Increased; stayed the same b. Stayed the same; increased c. Decreased; stayed the same d. Decreased; increased e. Increased; decreased Review Question The narrowest definition of money excludes: a. Currency in the vault at a bank b. Traveler’s checks c. Currency in circulation d. Checkable bank deposits e. Coins in circulation Review Question The medium of exchange function means that money is used: a. As the common denominator of prices b. As the common denominator of future payments. c. To save and earn interest income. d. To accumulate purchasing power. e. To pay for goods and services. Module 23 Summary • Money is not the same as wealth. Money is essentially anything that is easily exchangeable for goods and services. • Many things have been used as money by different human civilizations. All successful forms of money must serve as a medium of exchange, a store of value, and unit of account. • Two aggregate measures of the money supply are M1 and M2. • M1 is the narrowest definition. You will most often work with this definition. • M2 adds several other assets, known as near-moneys, that can easily be converted into cash. Module 24: The Time Value of Money What if you could invest $10,000 now and receive a guaranteed $20,000 later. Is this a good deal? $1 today > $1 tomorrow Lending • Why should you receive interest if you lend money? • What would be repayment of $100 after 1 year? • What about after 2 years? In Context • Your friend, a borrower, must pay you $21 to compensate you for the fact he has your $100 for 2 years. • You, as a saver, could put $100 in the bank today, and two years from now, you would have $121 to spend on goods and services. • Therefore, we can say you would be completely indifferent to having $100 today, or $121 2 years from now. Key Takeaway These are equivalent measures of purchasing power, just measured at two different points in time. Defining Present Value To see the difference between dollars today (present value or PV) and dollars 1 year from now (future value or FV) we apply an equation. FV = PV*(1+r) r = interest rate FV = 100*1.10 = 110 Defining Present Value Rearranging the formula we can solve for present value when we know the FV. PV = FV/(1+r) PV = 110/(1+0.1) = 100 1 Year 2 Years 3 Years 20 Years PV and FV Formulas PV = FV/(1+r)t FV = PV t (1+r) Applications of PV What if you could invest $10,000 now and receive a guaranteed $20,000 later. Is this a good deal? Applications of PV • $10,000 today or $20,000 10 years from now • Interest rate of 8% could be earned if you invest the money. • Should you take the 10,000 today, or the $20,000 in 10 years? Applications of PV Applications of PV Applications of PV M24 Summary • Money today is more valuable than the same amount of money in the future. • The present value of $1 one year from now is $1/(1+r) • The future value of $1 invested today is $1*(1+r) • Interest paid on savings and interest charged on borrowing are designed to equate the values of dollars today with the value of future dollars. Module 25: Banking and Money Creation The Monetary Role of Banks M1 = currency + coin + traveler’s checks + checking deposits What Banks Do • Banks are financial intermediaries in business to earn a profit. • In the process, banks actually do make more money. • Banks are a safe place for deposits. • Banks offer lending services. • Interest is paid or earned. Banks take liquid assets (cash) and turn them into illiquid assets (homes and capital equipment). T Accounts Assets Liabilities Jim’s Jerseys Assets Equipment Cloth $50,000 $10,000 Liabilities Loan $25,000 Main Street Bank Assets Loans $2,000,000 Cash Reserves $200,000 Liabilities Deposits $2,000,000 Bank Regulation 1. 2. 3. 4. Deposit Insurance Capital Requirements Reserve Requirements Discount Window Determining the Money Supply How Banks Make Money • Eli has $5000 in cash and decides that he needs to open a checking account at Main Street Bank. The t-account shows assets and liabilities of the bank. How Banks Make Money • Main Street keeps 10% of Eli’s deposit in reserve, and makes a $4500 loan to Max so he can buy some furniture at Melanie’s Mega Mart. • The loan has the following effect: How Banks Make Money • Melanie Banks at the First Bank of Sherman, so when Melanie receives $4500 from Max for the furniture, she deposits the money at the FBS. The effect on the t-account for FBS is: How Banks Make Money • The FBS must also keep 10% of Melanie’s deposit in reserve, and then can make a $4050 loan to Fekru. • How much did the initial deposit of $5000 result in? Summary 1. Eli deposits $5000. 2. Max borrows $4500 to buy furniture. 3. Melanie receives the payment for her furniture, and then deposits $4500. 4. Fekru borrows $4050. Money Multiplier Excess reserves = total reserves – required reserves Money Multiplier (MM) = 1/rr rr = reserve ratio What was the money multiplier from our last example? Money Market in Reality In theory 10 In reality 1.9 M25 Summary • Banks create money by taking a deposit from one customer (a saver) and lending a fraction of that deposit to another customer (a borrower). • Through the process of lending, when money is deposited into a bank, that initial deposit multiplies into an amount much greater than the initial deposit. • This is known as the money multiplier.