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PS 436 Tuesday, August 18, 2020 9:29 AM WEEK 1: Why Cooperate? *The Conditions for Cooperation in World Politics* I. Introduction a. The question is: if international relations can approximate both a Hobbesian state o Lockean civil society, why does cooperation emerge in some cases and not in other i. First, what circumstances favor the emergence of cooperation under anarchy of a central authority to guarantee adherence to agreements, what features encourage or permit states to bind themselves to mutually beneficial courses features of situations preclude cooperation? Second, what strategies can stat foster the emergence of cooperation by altering the circumstances they conf Governments need not necessarily accept circumstances as given. To what ex situational impediments to cooperation subject to willful modification? Throu order strategies can states create the preconditions for cooperation? II. Payoff Structure: Mutual and Conflicting Preferences a. Mutual cooperation (CC), mutual defection (DD), unilateral defection (DC), unrequi (CD); the argument proceeds in three stages: (1) how does payoff structure affect t of cooperation, (2) how does payoff structure affect the likelihood and robustness & (3) through what strategies can states increase the long-term prospects for coop altering payoff structures. i. For a mutual benefit to exist, actors must prefer mutual cooperation (CC) to m (DD). For coordination to be necessary to the realization of the mutual benef prefer unilateral defection (DC) to unrequited cooperation (CD). These prefer are consistent with the familiar games of Prisoner's Dilemma, Stag Hunt, and these cases, the capacity of states to cooperate under anarchy, to bind them mutually beneficial courses of action without resort to any ultimate central a to the realization of a common good; Cooperation will be less likely in Prisone than in Stag Hunt or Chicken; 1) Prisoner's Dilemma: If neither prisoner squeals, both will draw a light s minor charge (CC). If one prisoner squeals and the other stonewalls, th (DC) and the sucker will draw a very heavy sentence (CD). If both squea a moderate sentence (DD) [DC > CC > DD > CD]. The temptation of rat p towards mutual defection and, with both acting on this, will lead to bot moderate sentence on the major charge and, with cooperation, leading sentence on the minor charge. In single play prisoner's dilemma, individ actions produce a collectively suboptimal outcome. of nature and a rs? y? Given the lack of situations s of action? What tes adopt to front? xtent are ugh what higher ited cooperation the significance of cooperation, peration by mutual defection fit, actors must rence ordering d Chicken. In mselves to authority, is vital er's Dilemma sentence on the he rat will go free al, both will draw payoff will drive th getting a g to a light dually rational a moderate sentence (DD) [DC > CC > DD > CD]. The temptation of rat p towards mutual defection and, with both acting on this, will lead to bot moderate sentence on the major charge and, with cooperation, leading sentence on the minor charge. In single play prisoner's dilemma, individ actions produce a collectively suboptimal outcome. 2) Stag Hunt: A group of hunters surround a stag. If all cooperate to trap t eat (CC). If one person defects to chase a passing rabbit, the stag will es defector will eat lightly (DC) and none of the others will eat at all (CD). rabbits, all will have some chance of catching a rabbit and eating lightly DD > CD]. The mutual interest in plentiful venison (CC) relative to all ot militates strongly against defection. However, because a rabbit in the h better than a stag on a bush (CD), cooperation will be assured only if ea believes that all hunters will cooperate. In single play Stag Hunt, the tem defect to protect against the defection of others is balanced by the stro preference for stag over rabbit. Lecture - 8/18/20 I. International Cooperation in International Relations a. Cooperation in International Relations i. What is cooperation? 1) Occurs when two or more actors adopt policies that make at least one relative to the status quo, without making others worse off ii. Cooperation among states is difficult - Why? 1) States are sovereign 2) States exist in perpetual anarchy a) The absence of a centralized supranational authority may impede attain common goals b. Understanding Cooperation - The "isms" Approach i. Large debate in international relations from 1970s - early 1990s involved the ii. Each approach sought to explain the international system iii. Each approach is defined by assumptions regarding the interests and interact and the importance of international institutions c. International Cooperation: Realism i. Two key assumptions: 1) States are dominant actors 2) International system is characterized by anarchy (absence of a central a the ability to make and enforce laws that bind all actors) ii. Given all these assumptions: 1) States are first and foremost concerned about their own survival and se 2) States are interested in acquiring power, primarily military capabilities 3) States are concerned with the relative power gains of other states a) Power exists in a zero-sum game payoff will drive th getting a g to a light dually rational the stag, all will scape and the If all chase y (DD) [CC > DC > ther outcomes hand (DC) is ach hunter mptation to ong universal actor better off e the ability to "isms" tion of actors, authority with ecurity d. e. f. g. the ability to make and enforce laws that bind all actors) ii. Given all these assumptions: 1) States are first and foremost concerned about their own survival and se 2) States are interested in acquiring power, primarily military capabilities 3) States are concerned with the relative power gains of other states a) Power exists in a zero-sum game 4) Cooperation is rare 5) International institutions are weak International Cooperation: Liberalism i. Key assumptions: 1) There are many different types of actors in the world (individuals, firms states) 2) Actors have numerous preferences, interests, and goals ii. Given these assumptions: 1) Cooperation is likely 2) States care about absolute gains 3) International institutions facilitate cooperation International Cooperation: Constructivism i. Key Assumptions 1) Interests are not innate but are constructed through social interaction 2) The way states define interests is shaped by their social environment ii. Given these assumptions: 1) Social actors pursue what they believe is right and proper 2) Neither interactions nor institutions are fixed 3) Example: "anarchy is what states make of it" Problems with using "isms" to Analyze International Cooperation i. Each emphasizes particular actors and interests at the expense of others ii. More fruitful to combine approaches iii. "isms" are often viewed more as approaches or schools of thought in interna debates over superiority of a single "ism" are largely over Mitigating Anarchy: The Conditions for Cooperation in International Relations i. What circumstances favor the emergence of cooperation under anarchy? ii. What strategies can states adopt to foster the emergence of cooperation? Lecture - 8/25/20 I. Design of International Organizations a. Difficult Cooperation… i. Broad IR paradigms explore whether states will cooperate with one another; that cooperation is unlikely b/c states are too concerned about relative gains gains of cooperation will be distributed amongst states; liberalism argues tha common b/c states seek to have maximum gains and states can benefit from ecurity s, NGOs, and ational politics, realism argues s and how the at cooperation is m cooperation; I. Design of International Organizations a. Difficult Cooperation… i. Broad IR paradigms explore whether states will cooperate with one another; that cooperation is unlikely b/c states are too concerned about relative gains gains of cooperation will be distributed amongst states; liberalism argues tha common b/c states seek to have maximum gains and states can benefit from constructivists say cooperation is likely because once states begin to crave co interaction with one another their environment changes and so do their idea cooperation ii. But, if cooperation is possible, why is it not always obtained?; there are facto cooperation difficult (distribution: distribution of benefits will not be evenly d enforcement; large numbers of states can have issues with cooperation beca collective gains; uncertainty: not being able to observe the actions of other st significant obstacle to cooperation) iii. Institutions often solve problems of cooperation 1) States design institutions to promote cooperation and make it more re b. Rational Design i. States and other institutional actors design international institutions purpose their joint interests ii. States and other actors debate institutional design b/c they recognize that it outcomes c. Institutional Differences: Membership i. Who belongs to the organization? 1) Inclusive (UN) or restrictive (NATO) 2) Regional (EU, ASEAN) or universal (UN) 3) States, NGOS, institutes, companies, etc. d. Institutional Differences: Scope i. What issues are covered? 1) Wide or narrow set of issues? 2) Issue linkage? ii. Sometimes scope is not open to design choice e. Institutional Differences: Centralization i. Are some important institutional tasks performed by a single focal entity or n ii. Organizations may choose to centralize (or not), in order to: 1) Disseminate information 2) Enhance enforcement f. Institutional Differences: Control i. How will collective decisions be made? ii. Voting arrangements: equal votes for all members, minority veto power iii. Organizational financing: how is the organization funded? Does this influence iv. Difference from centralization - changes in voting rules do not effect level of g. Institutional Differences: Flexibility i. How will institutional rules and procedures accommodate new circumstances ii. Institutions confront unanticipated shocks or face new demands from domes does the organization allow for flexibility to meet these demands? realism argues s and how the at cooperation is m cooperation; ooperative as about ors that make distributed; ause of the tates can be a esilient efully to advance influences not? e voting power? centralization s? stic coalitions - g. h. i. j. k. l. iii. Organizational financing: how is the organization funded? Does this influence iv. Difference from centralization - changes in voting rules do not effect level of Institutional Differences: Flexibility i. How will institutional rules and procedures accommodate new circumstances ii. Institutions confront unanticipated shocks or face new demands from domes does the organization allow for flexibility to meet these demands? 1) Adaptive flexibility - allows members to respond to unanticipated shoc domestic circumstances while preserving institutional arrangement (es 2) Transformative flexibility - built-in institutional arrangements permittin or sunset provisions Explaining Design: Distribution Problems i. When more than one cooperative agreement is possible, actors may face a d problem ii. Magnitude of distribution problem depends on the intensity of preferred alte iii. Example: tragedy of the commons Explaining Design: Enforcement Problems i. Strength of individual actors' incentives to cheat on a given agreement or set Prisoners' Dilemma Problem ii. Problem arises when actors find unilateral noncooperation so tempting that long-term cooperation for short-term defection iii. Variation across issues 1) Enforcement problems exist when incentives to defect are high, often w interactions less frequent (human rights, environment) Explaining Design: Number of Actors i. Refers to the actors that are potentially relevant to the issue at hand b/c thei others to others' actions affect them ii. Different from membership: the actors involved in an issue are not always th who become members of the final institution Explaining Design: Uncertainty i. The extent to which actors are not fully informed about others' behavior, the world, and/or others' preferences ii. Uncertainty about behavior 1) States are unsure about the actions taken by other states iii. Uncertainty about the state of the world 1) States are unsure about the consequences of their own actions, the act states, or the actions of Ios iv. Uncertainty about preferences 1) States are unsure what other states want/prefer Koremenos, Lipson, Snidal (2001) i. Ask: How can we explain the IO design choices made by states? 1) Different problems (distribution, enforcement, number of actors, unce different outcomes (membership, scope, centralization, control, flexibi 2) How do political scientists answer these types of questions? e voting power? centralization s? stic coalitions - cks or special scape clauses) ng renegotiation distribution ernatives t of rules they sacrifice when ir actions affect he same as those e state of the tions of other ertainty) lead to ility) l. Koremenos, Lipson, Snidal (2001) i. Ask: How can we explain the IO design choices made by states? 1) Different problems (distribution, enforcement, number of actors, unce different outcomes (membership, scope, centralization, control, flexibi 2) How do political scientists answer these types of questions? ertainty) lead to ility)