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Disciplina: EAE0319 - Finanças das Empresas Prof. Dr. Joe Akira Yoshino Webpage: http://www.econ.fea.usp.br/joe e-mail: [email protected] Programa Resumido 1. Teoria de Finanças: Modelo de Asset Prices de Lucas. Derivação em Equilíbrio Geral Vs. Equilíbrio Parcial. Quais simplificações são feitas na prática para o propósito de Valuation? Quais outros modelos em finanças deriva da Árvore de Lucas (1978)? Que riscos são e não diversificados tanto no CAPM como Black Scholes? Ref. Huang & Litzenberger; Lucas, Cochrane. 2. Alternativas de estimação de Custo de capital: CAPM, Fama-French e demais multifatoriais. Laboratório de Implementação de modelos multifatoriais. 3. Métodos de Valuation. Prospectos de Valuation: Tortuga (CVM) e Alibaba (SEC). 4. IPO (Initial Public Offerings). Fatos estilizados: Underpricing. Excesso de retorno no curto prazo e prejuízo no longo prazo. Criação de Valor: EV/EBTIDA 5. Causas e Consequências de Mergers and Acquisitions: M&A 6. Black Scholes Asset Pricing. Aplicações de Opções Reais em Estudo de Viabilidade Econômico-Financeiro de Projetos de Investimentos: Casos Programa O curso tem como pilares algumas temas em corporate finance, tais como, Asset Pricing, custo de capital, métodos de valuation, Teoria de Portfolio –CAPM, Back-Test de Modelos Multifatoriais no Brasil, e Uso de Opções Reais (derivativos) para valuation de projetos de investimentos. Avaliação Cada capítulo terá uma prova. A nota final será a media simples destas provas, sendo descartada a menor nota dentre todas. Aviso: Haverá controle de freqüência na entrada e saída da sala de aula. Precisa ter 70% de freqüência. Caso isto não ocorra, haverá reprovação na disciplina. É proibido assinar pelo colega. Serão verificadas as assinaturas. Bibliografia Lucas, R.E. Jr. (1978), Asset Prices in an Exchange Economy, Econometrica 46, 1429-1445. Foundations for Financial Economics, HUANG, C. , LITZENBERG, R. North-Holland Publishing Co., New York-Amsterdam, 1988. Asset Pricing. Revised Edition John H. Cochrane, 2005 Mehra, R., and E.C. Prescott (1985), The Equity Premium: A Puzzle, Journal of Monetary Economics 15, 145-161. 1 Bianconi, Marcelo and Joe Akira Yoshino. Energy Sector Companies of the BRICS: Systematic and Specific Financial Risks and VaR (Value at Risk). Emerging Markets and the Global Economy. Elsevier Science, 2013. http://store.elsevier.com/Emerging-Markets-and-the-Global-Economy/isbn-9780124115491/ Bianconi, Marcelo and Joe Akira Yoshino. Worldwide Commodities Sector Marketto-Book and Return on Equity Valuation. October 23, 2012. http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2166006 Bianconi, Marcelo and Joe Akira Yoshino. Firm Value, the Sarbanes-Oxley Act and Cross-Listing in the US, Germany and Hong Kong Destinations. North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2012.07.002 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S106294081200071X Bianconi, Marcelo , Joe Akira Yoshino, Mariana Orsini. BRIC and the U.S. Financial Crisis: An Empirical Investigation of Stocks and Bonds Markets, Emerging Markets Review, 2013 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ememar.2012.11.002 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1566014112000696 Bianconi, Marcelo and Joe Akira Yoshino. Firm Market Performance and Volatility in a National Real Estate Sector. International Review of Economics and Finance, 22, 230-253, 2012 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2011.11.002 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1059056011001298 Yoshino, Joe Akira and Edson Bastos e Santos. Revisiting the Interest Rate Puzzle. Applied Economic Letters, Volume 16, Issue 13, 2009. Routledge, Taylor & Francis Group. DOI: 10.1080/17446540802403643 http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/17446540802403643#.UdSy_T771Hg Yoshino, Joe Akira and Edson Bastos e Santos. Is CAPM Dead or Alive in the Brazilian Equity Market? Review of Applied Economics, 2009. Serials Publications. Yoshino, Joe Akira. Volatility in Brazilian Stock Market. Journal of Applied Economics, volume VI, nº 2, 2003. Elsevier Science. Bianconi, Marcelo and Joe Akira Yoshino. Firm Value, Investment and Monetary Policy. International Economics and Finance Society, American Economic Association Meeting. American Economic Review Proceedings. Atlanta. January, 2010. http://www.aeaweb.org/aea/conference/program/preliminary.php http://econweb.tamu.edu/aglass/IEFS/IEFS%20Sessions%20at%202010%20ASSA% 20Meetings.pdf http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1583041 2 Empirical Estimation of the Cost of Equity: An Application to Selected Brazilian Utilities Companies (22)2012. Joe Akira Yoshino; Marcelo Bianconi Review of Economics and Finance, v. 5, p. 1, 2015. Bianconi, Marcelo and Joe Akira Yoshino. Mergers & Acquisitions and the Valuation of Firms. May 2014 Risk Factors and Value at Risk in Publicly Traded Companies of the Nonrenewable Energy Sector (52)2013 Joe Akira Yoshino; Marcelo Bianconi http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2200526 Energy Economics, v. 45, p. 19-32, 2014. EMPIRICAL ESTIMATION OF THE COST OF EQUITY: AN APPLICATION TO SELECTED BRAZILIAN UTILITIES COMPANIES* PRESENTATION AT TUFTS UNIVERSITY, Brazilian Federal Government and ARTESP. By - Joe A. Yoshino FEA-USP - Marcelo Bianconi Tufts University March 2013 “Financial Markets and the Real Economy” in Rajnish Mehra, Ed. Handbook of the Equity Premium Elsevier 2007, 237-325. The Variability of IPO Initial Returns, MICHELLE LOWRY, MICAH S. OFFICER, and G. WILLIAM SCHWERT. THE JOURNAL OF FINANCE • VOL. LXV, NO. 2 • APRIL 2010 Aswath Damodaran. Damodaran on Valuation: Security Analysis for Investment and Corporate Finance. Guide to Alibaba IPO: Financial and Valuation Model Implications of Data Screens on Merger and Acquisition Analysis: A Large Sample Study of Mergers and Acquisitions from 1992 to 2009 Jeffry Netter University of Georgia Mike Stegemoller Baylor University M. Babajide Wintoki Fama, E.F. e K.R. French (1993): Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stocks and Bonds, Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 33, 3-56. Fama, E. F.; French, K. R. (1992). "The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns". The Journal of Finance. 47 (2): 427.doi:10.1111/j.15406261.1992.tb04398.x. JSTOR 2329112. SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 Form F1 REGISTRATION STATEMENT UNDER THE SECURITIES ACT OF 1933 Alibaba Group Holding Limited. Class Note on Valuation. B40.3331 Fall 2016 Aswath Damodaran. NYU Options, Futures and Other Derivatives John Hull. Pearson/Prentice Hall, 2009 - 822 páginas LECTURES ON REAL OPTIONS: Robert S. Pindyck Benning, S. and Efrat Tolkowsky. Real Options. The Engineering Economist, 2002, vol. 47, number 2 Aswath Damodaran. Applications of option pricing theory to equity valuation Mathews, S.; Datar, V. (2007). "A Practical Method for Valuing Real Options: The Boeing Approach". Journal of Applied Corporate Finance 19 (2): 95–104. 3 de Neufville, R., Scholtes, S., and Wang, T. (2005) “Valuing Real Options by Spreadsheet: Parking Garage Case Example,” ASCE Journal of Infrastructure Systems, in press. O site do curso no Moodle/ Stoa tem todo material didático do curso. Pré-requisitos EAE0501 - Matemática Financeira Recomendados: Econometria de Séries Temporais e Econometria de Painel. 4