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136 Heart Rate Variability 45 Heart r a t e variability in time domain after acute myocardial infarction Thomas Fetsch, Lutz Reinhardt, Markku Mikijtiwi, Dirk Bijckcr, Michael Block, Martin Borggrefe and Giinter Breithardt. Westftilische Wilhelms-Universitiit, Medizinische Klinik und Poliklinik, lnnere Medizin C,D-48129 Monster Introduction The identification of individuals at high risk for development of life threatening ventricular arrhythmias after myocardial infarction remains a difficult problem that requires further refinement. The screening of postinfarction patients necessitates non-invasive risk predictors that have a hi$ level of sensitivity and specificity. Conventional analysis of Holter recordings corrclates poorly with the devclopmcnt of serious vcntricular arrhythmias and sudden death since there is a low sensitivity. Many patients dying suddenly do not exhibit major spontancous ventricular arrhythmias. This does not deny the well-known increasc in risk that is associated with the presence of frequent and complex ventricular arrhythmias on Holter monitoring. Furthermore, the analysis of late potentials from the signal averaged electrocardiogram (ECG) is of additional prognostic significance which. like Holter monitoring, is limited in its usefulness by a high number of false positive results. In recent years, it has been shown that the autonomic nervous system plays an important role in triggering serious ventricular arrhythmias. Therefore, a markcr for the autonomic control on cardiac clcctrophysiologic properties such as heart rate variability might provide information useful for a more accurate risk stratification togcthcr with other non invasivc methods. Pathophysiological background Confrol of the heart by oiifononiic nervoits p f h w a y Affcrciit signals that originate from scvcrnl sciisors located in the carotid sinus, the aorta, the grcat veins and both atria and vcntriclcs, give input to a variety of cardio-vascular rcflcscs controlling heart and circulation. This includes baroreceptors measuring blood pressure as well as chemoreceptors responding to hypoxia and acidosis. The efferent autonomic nervous pathways of these reflexes are located at the sinus node, the atrioventricular (AV) node, the atrial and ventricular myocardium and the small coronary arteries and arterioles. The right sympathetic and vagal nerves affect the sinus node more than the AV node and vice versa for the nerval input from the left side. Sympathetic nerves distribute mostly in the superficial subepiwdiwn while v q a l fibers are located in the subendocardium penetrating intramurally towards the epieardium ([I], Fig. I). Thc activation of different cardiac reflexes leads to diverse reactions depending on the type, location and distribution of the efferent nerves involved. Stimulation of parasympathetic fibers prolongs the cycle length of the sinus node and the conduction time of the AV node, produces more depression of atrial than of ventricular contractility, shortens the atrial refractory period and lengthens the ventricular refractory period. In contrast, the stimulation of cffcrent sympathetic fibers leads to a shortening of the sinus cycle length and of the AV conduction time, to an increase in contractility of the ventricles more than of the atria and to a shortening of the refractory period of the atrial and ventricular myocardium (21. The total effect on myocardial conduction and contractility depends on the balance of sympathetic and parasympathctic activation. Modulation of cardiac aufonomic innervation by ischemia Thc autonomic responses to myocardial infarction are complex. They dcpend on the changes of the afferent and efferent limbs of the autonomic cardiac reflexes due to~bcalisationand size of myocardial damage. Trnnsmural infarction that involves the subepicardium leads to both, altered vagal and sympathetic innervation, while subendocardial infarction interrupts the parasympathetic fiben but spares the sympathetic nerves. Vagal dcnervation and intact sympathctic innervation may lead to anhythmogenic conditions [3.4]. If the area of damaged tissue is small, the effect on thc balance of the cardiac autonomic tonus is minor. Especially in the border zone of infarction, damaged, altered and normal myocardial cells arc closely ncighboured. This zone of heterogeneous autonomic innervation may also be prone to developing arryhthmias [I]. An additional phenomenon observed in case of complete dcncrvation is the ensuing Fig. I : Schematic of sagittal view of left ventricular wall showing pathways of vagal and sympathetic afferent and efferent nerves. Postganglionic sympathetic ~ X O N are located superf~callyin periadventia of coronary artcrics; postganglionic vagal axons cross the AV groove in subepicardium but are located in subendocardium. Cx circumflex coronary artery; LAD - left ventricular descending coronary artery (from Zipcs DP. Circulation 1990;82: 1096.Reprinted with permission) - supcrscnsitivity to catecholamines. It manifests an overshooting response to norepinephrine in myocardium adjacent to the denervated tissue [5]. This again can result in arrhythmogenic conditions. i'hc aiifonomic nervous sysfem and fhe mechanisms of arrhythmia Thcrc is increasing evidence that the sympathetic nervous system and circulating catecholamines interact with the three major mechanisms involved in the generation of arrhythmias: [I] Enhanced automaticity; cntccholnmincs iiicrcase the slow inward calcium currents in phase 4 of the action potcntial of paccmaker cells. Infarcted myocardium with abnormal elcctrophysiological properties may respond to sympathetic stimulation by cnhniiccd autoinnticity generating arrhythmias, even sustained ventricular tachycardia 16. 7. 8. 9, 101. (2) Triggered automaticity; low amplitude oscillations, triggcred by the preceding action potential, often occur at the completion of the action potential as a result of calcium inward currents. These soulled delayed afterpotentials mostly are subthreshold. In altered myocardial cells, the calcium influx can be increased by catecholamines lading to augmented afterpotentials reaching the threshold potential and triggering a spontaneous action potential [lo, 111. (3) R a w , a narCry circuit consists of two pathways ~ 0 ~ e c t - dproximally and distally exhibiting different conduction velocities and refractory periods. In case of unidircctional block, the entering impulse is conducted antegradely through one pathway, but blocked in thc second pathway. From the distal connection the impulse is conducted retrogradely throu&, the second limb. If the impulse reaches the proximal connection with the first pathway at an appropriate time after depolarisation, it may reenter the circuit. If this process repeats itsclf, a reentrant tachycardia is generated. Stimulation of the sympathetic nervous system may increase impulse conduction velocity. Since the distribution of thc sympathetic innervation in the myocardium is nonhomogencous, sympathetic stimulation leads to nonuniform effects on the elcctrophysiological characteristics. Especially in the borderline of infarcted myocardium, abnormal inhomogeneity of impulse conduction may thcrcby be augmented, thus, generating conditions for reentrant tachycardias. Hearf rafe voriahility as a marker of aufonomic innervation Periodic changcs in heart rate have been welt known for a long time [12. 13, 141. The major component of this modulation of sinus rhythm is the respiratory sinusarrhythmia (10-30 peaks per minute), closely correlated to the actual vagal tone [ 15, 161. These changes are obvious and visible in the ECG without mathematical calculations. The second element of heart rate variability (HRV) reflects fluctuations of the blood pressure (3-6 peaks per minutc), mostly cffected by sympathetic innervation [IS, 161. The third fraction. slow changcs with 1-2 peaks per minute, is influenced by the level of circulating catecholamines as wcll as vasomotorical regulations [16]. Hcart rate variability can be analyzed in the time and frequency domain using 24 hour ECG recordings of Holter tapes [IS, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 221. The tcchnical.details have becn presented elsewhere at this workshop. lo table I. the most widcly used parameters of time domain measurements of heart rate variability arc presented. r'or better comparability of clinical results, the different paramctcrs used for calculation of HRV and their mutual dependency should be considered. Heart Rate Variability Tab. 1 : Time domain paranictcrs of heart ratc variability measurements. Long-rerm MEAN mean of all normal RR intervals (24-hour) SDNN standard deviation of all normal RR intcrvals TI width of the triangle interpolation of the RR histogram [23.24] SDANN standard deviation of the 5 minute mean RR intcrvals SD mmn of the 5 min RR standard deviations cv mean of the 5 min variation coefficients pNNSO percentage of subsequent RR differences greater than 50 ms [20] RMSSD root mean square of subsequent RR diffcrcnccs Shorr-term (5-min) Bear-lo- hear HRV and mortality In 1965, Schncidcr et al. [25] observed that patients after acutc niyocardial infarction with a decrease in the degree of sinus arrhythmia compared to controls wcrc more likcly to die during follow-up. In 1978, Wolf ct al. [26] wcrc the first to show in 230 prospcctivcly studied patients after myocardial infarction that there was a significantly increased inhospital mortality in thosc patients who had dccrcased heart rate variability compared to thosc presenting a normal HRV. In this study, the variance of 30 consccutivc RR intcrvals from ECG rhythm strips was calculated to cxprcss HRV. In 1987, thc first large clinical prospective trial on the association of dccrwcd heart ratc variability and mortality after acute myocardial infarction was published [27]. In 808 survivors of acute myocardial infarction, Holter recordings were performed before discharge. During the mean follow-up time of 31 months, 127 deaths of all causes occurred. The Holter parameters calculated to express the distribution and variability of heart rate were the averagc RR interval of normal cycles (MEAN) and the standard deviation of the RR intervals around the average (SDNN). A mean SDNN of 82 f 34 ms was found, with 16% of patients showing a SDNN < 50 ms and 26% a SDNN t 100 ms. The survival curve for all patients presenting a SDNN < 50 ms was significantly decreased compared to all others @<0.0001, Fig. 2). The independent relative risk for all-cause mortality in these patients was 2.7 compared to controls. These results were confirmed by Casolo et al. [28] in 54 consecutive patients with acutc myocardial infarction. During a mean follow-up of 12 months, an allcause mortality of 11% was obscrved. All patients who died showed a 0.5 0 1.0 2.0 30 40 TIME AFTER M I IYsorrI Fig 2: Survival curves of 808 pts. after myocardial infarction up to 4 years of follow-up. The SDNN of a 24 h Holter recording was divided into 3 groups. The pts. with an SDNN < 50 ms prcscnted a significantly dccrcased survival probability (from Klcigcr ct al., Am. 1. Cardiol. 1987, rcprintcd with permission) SDNN < 50 ms. Uwreased HRV in post myocardial patients was also associated with low day-night variations. Farrell et al. [24] introduced another HRV parameter, based on the baseline width of a triangular interpolation to the main peak of the probability density h c t i o n of all RR intervals (TI). Holter recordings, late potential analysis and conventional risk parameters were obtained. In this study of 416 consecutive postmyocardial infarction patients, 47 all-causc 137 cardiac deaths and 24 arrhythmic events occurred during a mean-follow-up period of 612 days (I to 1,112 days). Reduced HRV. expressed as TI, was the most sensitive parameter for arrhythmic evcnts (92%) but had a low specificity (77%). The relative risk for cardiac mortality was 6.7 using HRV measurement and 2.2 using late potential calculation. The combination of both non-invasive parameters lead to a relative risk of 18.5. A stcpwise Cox regression analysis for the prediction of arrhythmic events selected reduced HRV at step one followed by the presence of late potentials and repetitive ventricular arryhthmias in the Holtcr recordings. All other variables including left ventricular e j d o n fraction and exercise testing wcre excluded from the model. Bigger et al. [29] found SDANN the strongest predictor for arrhythmic deaths in 673 post myocardial infarction patients, even when the calculation for relative risk was adjusted for five other risk predictors age, New York Hcart Association functional class, pulmonary rales in the coronary care unit, left ventricular ejection fraction and frequency of ventricular arrhythmias in Holter recordings (Tab. 2). In 250 patients that wcre prospectively studied afte! acute myocardial infarction, we [30] found arrhythmic events in 6% during 6 months of follow-up. Univariate analysis of differences in all time domain paramcters (Tab. I ) showcd significant results only in beat-to-beat parameters @NN50. RMSSD) and slight differences in some short-term parameters (SD, CV, Tab. 3). The long-term variables wcre not significantly different. Variables significant in univariatc analysis werc entered as covariates into the Cox proportional hazards model in order to identify independent prognostic factors for cstimation of arrhythmic events. The most powcrful prognostic factor was the presence of latc potentials followed by RMSSD. All othcr HRV paramctcrs wcrc rcmovcd stcpwise. With the use of rccciver operator characteristiccurves, we found the optimal cutpoint for RMSSD at 36 ms. - Tub. 2: Association of time domain measures of HRV with mortality in 715 pts. post myocardial infarction with a follow-up of 2-4 years. The relative risk is calculated as the probability of dying if below/above the cutoff (in brackets). Relative risk for arrhythmic deaths adjusted to age, NYHA functional class, rales in thc coronary care unit, left ventricular ejection fradion and frequency of ventricular arrhythmias (modification from Bigger et al, Am J Cardiol 1992). Survival curves on the basis of these findings are presented in Fig. 3. Patients with RMSSD>36ms presented a significantly higher survival probability compared to the rest of the population (p<0.007). For risk modelling, thc estimated cumulative survival functions were plotted for different cutpoints of RMSSD with all covariates set to mean or standard deviation (Fig. 4). In principle, this risk model yields survival probabilities for each individual patient based on his test result. Only few data arc availablc on the response of HRV in the early phase of myocardial infarction in mcn. Pipilis et al. [3 I] recorded Holter ECGs in 70 patients suffcring acute myocardial infarction .at a mean of 13 hours after onset of symptoms. They calculated MEAN, SDNN and SDDRR from two 4 hour periods during the night (1:OO am to 5:OO am) and the day (8:OO am to 12:OO am). At night, MEAN was significantly longer and SDNN smaller, but the beat-to-beat variability, expressed as SDDRR, showed no differences betweenday and night. This reflects a small range of heart rates during the night with similar beat-to-beat variations. In this study, the subsequent development of heart failure was the major endpoint of investigation. A strong inverse conelation of HRV,expressed as SDNN, and the incidence of heart failure was found, while the differences were more prominent at night-time. The sensitivity and specificity were 83% and 63% using SDNN < 50 ms as cutpoint. Heart Rate Variability 138 Tub. 3: Time domain parameters of heart rate variability in 250 pts. after myocardial infardion. In a follow-up of 6 months 15 arrhythmic events occured (9 pts. dtvelopped sustained VT, 6 sudden cardiac deaths). The beat-to-beat parameters reached the highest level of significant differenccs between both groups of pts., foillowed by some of the short-term parameters. The long-term parameters were not different. W=Wilcoxon test, T=Student’s u n p a i d t-test, other abbreviations see text. Parameters arrh. event (n=15) no arrh. event (n=235) 79Oi138 9w45 46kt.244 83Oi121 102i34 475*170 p-value long-term (24 h) Mean RR [ms] SDNN [ms] TI fms] n s . (W) n.s. (T) llrm illerlnhrcllon In dy. Fig. 4: Calculation of the event free probability in a Cox proportional hazards model based on 250 pts. post myocardial infarction with a followup of 180 days using several cut-offs for RMSSD. The individual risk profile of post infarction patients can be estimated based on these findings. short-term (5 min.) SDANN [ms] SD [nis] cv I n.s. (W) p=0.02 0 108*63 38.4i15.3 0.046i0.014 heof-to- bear 2.89i2.48 26.2*7.9 pNN50 [%] RMSSD [ms] 0 20 10 60 7.2*6.2 36.W 13.5 w 1w Tlms In day. 1m p=0.005 (W) 14 T I (I Fig. 3: Survival analysis of RMSSD in 250 patients after myocardial infarction. In a follow-up of 6 months 15 arrhythmic events occurred (9 pts. developped sustained VT, 6 sudden cardiac deaths). Patients with RMSSD > 36 ms presented a significantly higher survival probability compared to the rest of the population @<0.007). In addition to the well selected patients after myocardial infarction of the prcviously demonstrated trials, Alga et al. [32] studied retrospectively 6,693 consecutive patients of four Rotterdam hospitals with a variety of underlying cardiac diseases in whom Holter monitoring had been performed for various clinical indications. There were 245 sudden deaths (3.7%) during two years of follow-up. A comparison of HRV variables and other clinical panmcters in these sudden death patients as well as in 230 patients randomly selected out of the rest of the large population showed SD and SDANN as best risk predictors, exhibiting a risk for sudden death about four timcs higher than in controls. After adjustment for age. evidence of cardiac dysfunction and history of previous infarction, the relative risk cstiniatcs for SD and SDANN reached 2.2 and 2.6, respectively. The rclative risk for cardiac and arrhythmic deaths based on all variables in the study by Algra et al. [32], by Bigger et al. (291, by Kleiger et al. [27] and in ours [30] was significantly lowcr than in the study by Farrell et al. [24]. Wcthcr the latter results represent a selection bias or are due to some mcthcdological factors remain unresolved. Opposite to the findings in patients affcr acute myocardial infarction, patients presenting unstable angina showed no significant differences in HRV compared to n o d subjects [281. HRV and other clinical parameters The results of scvcral studics showed HRV to be an independent predictor for mortality after myocardial infarction [29, 24, 27, 301. However, a strong rclationship to convcntional parameters used for risk stratification was cspcctcd. Klcigcr ct al. [27] found that decreased HRV increased the risk of death after myocardial infarction irrespective of MEAN, left ventricular ejection fraction, ventricular ectopic activity, New York Heart Association functional class or drug treatment with &blockers and digitalis. Casolo et al. [28] found HRV to be independent but closely associated to other clinical parameters. It was significantly decreased in Qwave compared to non-Q-wave infarction togcther with an inverse relation to peak CK-MB level, left ventricular ejection fraction, enddiastolic left ventricular diameter and Killip class. Several studies found no influence of infarct localisation [28,24] or the number of diseased coronary arteries [24] on HRV measurements. In contrast, some studies that used ECG recordings during the early phase of myocardial infarction (6-24 hours after onset of pain) found substantial differences in HRV with regard to infara localisation [31,33]. In 34 patients with anterior wall infarction, the degree of HRV reduction and heart rate increase was significantly stronger compared to 36 patients presenting inferior wall infarction [31]. Few hours after onset of infarction, both groups were similar in clinical evidence of hcart failure, enzyme release and drug trcatment. These divergent results can be cxplaincd by the diffcrcnt rccording times and their relation to the course of recovery after myocardial infarction. Early differences in HRV bctwecn anterior and inferior wall infarct might be due to reflex increase in sympathetic tonc bascd on the stimulation of sympathetic afferent nerves particularly by anterior ischemia and of vagal affcrcnt fibers especially in inferior infarction. Odemuyiwa et aI. [34] examined the prognostic value of reduced HRV. espressed as TI (Table I), in post infarction patients in comparison to left ventricular ejection fraction, ventricular premature beats > IOihour and presence of ventricular latc potcntials. They found that at a high level of sensitivity, the ejection fraction was the risk predictor with the lowest specificity, whereas HRV showcd tlic highest specificity. The combination of scvcral risk parameters incrcascd specificity if HRV was included. The highest specificity of 95% at a sensitivity level of 75% was reached if HRV and left vcntricular cjcction fraction wcrc combined. The addition of the prcsence of late potentials yicldcd no further iniprovcment. HRV and thrombolytie treatment after myocardial infarction Early thrombolysis after myocardial infarction is known to reducc the degree of myocardial damage and the total prognostic outcomc. Differing grades of sympatho-vagal impairment will occur due to the size and localisation of the infarctcd area. Casolo et al. 12x1 found that carly thrombolytic therapy affected the degrcc of HRV reduction recorded on day 2 to 3 after myocardial infarction. In I8 patients receiving systemic recombinant tissue-type plasminogen activator (rt-PA) within 2 hours after admission, SDNN was significantly higher compared to those not rcceiving thrombolysis. However, the relation to CK elevation 3s a marker of thrombolytic success was only slight. In contrast, Farrell ct al. [24] found no effect of early thrombolysis on HRV, expressed as TI, left ventricular ejection fraction or the presence of ventricular late potcntials in 200 patients suffering acute myocardial infarction. Although thc incidence of death during follow-up (612 days, range 1 to I , I 12 days) was significantly lowcr in patients receiving thrombolytic therapy, the incidcncc of subscquent arrhythmic events tcnded to be lower but did not rcach statistical significance. The major differences bctwecn both studies were the timc of Holter recording (Casolo et al. on day 2 to 3, Farrell et al. on day 6 to 7 after myocardial infarction) and the HRV indcx uscd (Casolo ct al. SDNN, Farrell et at. -TI). Heart Rate Variability Time course of HRV after myocardial infarction The variability indices of heart rate represent the degree of sympathctic and parasympathetic control of the hcart and the level of balance between both limbs. Time dcpcndcnt changes in HRV might be expected in rclation to variations in autonomic control of the heart during thc recovery aftcr myocardial infarction. Lombardi ct al. [IS] recorded Holter ECGs in 70 patients 2 wwks, 6 months and 12 months aftcr myocardial infarction. In a subgroup of these patients. the effects of sympathetic stimulation were studicd at 2 wccks and 1 ycar after myocardial infarction using a tilt tablc protocol. Thcy found that the sympathetic predominance is detectable by HRV analysis 2 wccks after acutc myocardial infarction and that a recovery of vagal tone and a nomialisation of sympathovagal interaction occurs over 6 to 12 months post myocardial infarction, not only during resting conditions, but also in response to a sympathetic stimulus. Casolo et al. [28] performed 3 Holter recordings on post myocardial infarction patients on day 2 to 3, after 30 days and 60 days. He found that HRV, expressed as SDNN, increased in all surviving patients to near normal counts in 60 days after infarction with linear intermediate values obtained at 30 days. These results indicate a progressive increase in HRV over time in patients with previously decreased HRV, suggesting a normalisation of impaired parasympathetic control of the heart directly after acute myocardial infarction. Short-time variations in autonomic reflexes of the heart over the day were expected to influence the outcome and stability of HRV measurements. Malik et al. (35) examined circadian variations of HRV in 40 patients after myocardial infarction, 20 of whom developed arrhythmic events over 6 months, 20 other patients without events during follow-up were selected to match those with events with regard to several clinical parameters. From each Holter recording, a total number of 5.1 13 portions of different duration (20 minutes to 24 hours) and time of onsct (varied. by 20 minutes) were analyzed. Thcy found that the most significant differences in HRV, expressed as TI, could be found in recordings starting at 6 0 0 am, lasting for approximatcly 8 'hours and starting at 8:00 pm, lasting for approximately 6 hours. Diffcrcnces in HRV between day and night-time wcrc also obscrved by Biggcr ct al. [36]. They found that patients presenting low HRV, expressed as SDNN, showed significantly higher heart rates with substantially low differences between day and night-time compared to controls with normal HRV. Heart rate spikes, defined as increases in heart ratc of at least 10 beatshinute that lasted from 3 to 15 minutes, occurred much less frequently in patients with a low overall variability of hurt rate. It is known that the level of autononiic control of the heart and the baianccd innervation of sympathetic and pnrasympathctic effects change with age. Ewing ct al. 1371 described an invcrsc corrclation of age and the total number of RR intervals counts in 24 hours in subjccts without cardiac disorder. Identical findings in HRV were prcscntcd by Casolo ct al. in post niyocardial patients 1281. The reproducibility of HRV after myocardial infarction Before HRV can be used in clinical practice as a routine risk predictor, the stability and reproducibility of results need to be known. Hohnloser et al. [38] compared grouped and individual changes in reproducibility of HRV in normal subjects, patients with documented coronar). artery disease and those with m o t e myocardial infarction using linear correlation coefficients of SD, pNN50 and RMSSD measurements as well as frcqucncy domain parameters. Holter recordings were performed on day 1. 7 and 28 in all subjects. Short-term reproducibility (day 1 to 7) was superior to long-tcnn reproducibility (day 1 to 28 or day 7 to 28). The best correlation coefficients were found in the beat-to-beat parameters pNN50 ( ~ 0 . 9 3and ) RMSSD ( ~ 0 . 8 9 ) .However, the individual stability of HRV measurements over time was largely varying in some patients with day-today differences up to 23.5 i 14.6 %. Normal subjects and patients with cardiac disease presented comparable levels of individual variations. Similar results have been observed by others [39.40,41]. In 33 normal subjects and 22 patients with congestive.heart %lure and coronary artery disease Hoogenhuyre et al. [39] found strong correlationsof SD, SDANN and CV in two consecutive Holter recordings. Individual day-today variations occurred up to 50%. Low HRV results have been more consistent compared to high values. Since CV as the mean of the 5 min Mn'ation cocfficients minimises the effect of heart rate on the calculation of HRV, this parameter was most stabile over time. Summary These results suggest that analysis of heart rate variability recorded even very early after acute myocardial infarction ( I to 2 d a y after onset of pain) 139 is feasible in clinical routine and strongly related to subsequent arrhythmic events and cardiac mortality. Decrcascd HRV is considered not only a marker of impaired vagal activity of the heart but complete autonomic impairment, strongly associated with the degree of myocardial damage. HRV represents the integrated response of the cardiovascular system to a variety of different influences: the plasma lcvcl of catecholamines, thc baroreflex activation and the direct sympathetic and vagal activity. The HRV profile is dynamic HRV reduction caused by myocardial damage changes over time presenting a progressive increase up to normality over a 2-month follow-up. The. observed early differences between anterior and inferior myocardial infarction disappear later in the healing phase. However, group analysis results of different HRV indices are stabile over time and highly reproducible, but presenting large individual variations. HRV parameters which are adjusted to heart rate (e. g. CV) seemed to be more stabile. Thc role of HRV analysis in risk stratification of patients after myocardial infarction is strongly related to the actual model of the genesis of ventricular arrhythmias. Multiple experimental and clinical studies described the development of life threatening ventricular arrhythmias as a multifactorial cvcnt which can not be described adequately using just one risk parameter for stratification.The arrhythmogenie substrate representing the underlying inhomogeneity of electrical behaviour of adjacent myocardial areas might be detectable by the analysis of ventricular late potentials or frequency disturbances from the signal averaged ECG. The autonomic modulation of this substrate is represented by an altered heart rate variability. Possible trigger factors to initiate arrhythmias in a modulated arrhythmogenic substrate like ventricular premature. beats or transient myocardial ischemia can be detected by conventional arrhythmia and ST segment analysis from Holter tapes. The optimized combination of these non-invasive risk prcdicton together with well known evident clinical risk parameters, like left ventricular ejection fraction, may lead to a valid set of screening paramcters for individual risk estimation after myocardial infxction - This papcr was partly supported by the Deutsche Forschungsgemcinschaft (DFG Project Nr. Br 59/2-l), Bonn-Bad Godesberg, Gcrmany References 1. Zipes DP. Influence of myocardial ischemia and infarction on autonomic innervation of heart. Circulation 1990; 8 2 1095-1105. 2. Levy MN. Sympathetic-parasppathetie interactions in the heart. Circ Res 1971; 29: 437-445. 3. 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