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Soil Organic Matter Pools and Fluxes SOIL CARBON DYNAMICS: IMPROVING MODELin Response to Changes in Temperature OBSERVATION INTEGRATION Serita D. Frey Serita D. Frey University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire • Background • Observations from climate change experiments • Highlight some of the challenges to understanding and modeling soil carbon cycleclimate interactions (temperature, microbial physiology, and N feedbacks) • Research Needs (observations and modeling) U.S. DOE (2008) • Uncertainty in observational data • Variation in modeled NPP • Differences in how Ts represented • Models don’t incorporate processes important for soil C stabilization/destabilization Todd-Brown et al. (2013) Modeling Soil Carbon Pools and Fluxes DAYCENT soil organic matter model Parton et al. (1987, 1994) Historical and Emerging Views of Soil C Cycling Schmidt et al., 2011 Soil Temperature Jacobs et al. (2011) Soil T increase of 0.037-0.049°C yr-1 Baker and Baker (2002) Temperature Response of Soil C Flux Chen and Zhuang (2013) Temperature Response of Soil C Flux Chen and Zhuang (2013) Giasson et al., in review 1800 Soil respiration (g C m-2 yr-1) 1600 Soil Respiration in Response to 5°C Warming Control Heated 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 Year 2010 2011 Soil Warming Stimulates the Nitrogen Cycle Harvard Forest (Barre Woods) Estimated increase in N availability: 27 kg N ha-1 yr-1 Butler et al. (2012) Net Carbon Balance in Response to Soil Warming Harvard Forest (Barre Woods) Melillo et al. (2011) Ecosystem Responses to Experimental Warming Global meta-analysis of 85 studies Soil respiration increased 12% on average Wu et al., 2011 Short-term studies do not anticipate longer term responses Changes in Carbon Release in Response to Warming Heated vs. Disturbance Control, 1991-2003 % Change in Carbon Released ((H - DC)/DC) *100 Harvard Forest Soil Warming Study 30 20 10 0 -10 91-93 92-94 93-95 94-96 95-97 96-98 97-99 98-00 99-01 00-02 01-03 3 Year Running Means Heated plots: 5ºC above ambient % Change in Nirogen Mineralization ((H - DC)/DC) *100 Increases in Nitrogen Mineralization in Response to Warming Heated vs. Disturbance Control, 1991-2003 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 91-93 92-94 93-95 94-96 95-97 96-98 97-99 98-00 99-01 00-02 01-03 3 Year Running Means Melillo et al. (2002) 400 g C m-2 yr-1 Soil respiration (mg C m-2 hr-1) 450 Control Heated 350 1600 1200 800 400 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Hypotheses? 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Research Needs Observations • Is there differential temperature sensitivity of various SOM compounds? • What are the mechanisms underlying the reduced respiratory response following long-term warming? Modeling • Better capture temperature responses, including “acclimation” of the soil C flux in response to long-term warming Modeling Microbes DAYCENT soil organic matter model Parton et al. (1987, 1994) Manzoni et al. (2012) Manzoni et al. (2012) Temperature Response of Microbial Efficiency Frey et al. (2013) Nature Climate Change Frey et al. (2013) Nature Climate Change Soil C Response to varying Microbial Efficiency (DAYCENT) Frey et al. (2013) Nature Climate Change Manzoni et al. (2012) Soil C Response to varying Microbial Efficiency (Allison et al., 2010) Soil C Response to varying Microbial Efficiency (Weider et al., 2013) Observations: 1250 Pg C CLM4cn: 691 Pg C (r = 0.55) DAYCENT: 939 Pg C (r = 0.53) CLM microbial model: 1310 Pg C (r = 0.71) Divergent model responses of global soil C pools Steady state soil C pools DAYCENT CLM4cn CLM microbial model Warming scenario (+4.8°C by 2100) Wieder et al. (2013) Research Needs Observations • Is there differential temperature sensitivity of various SOM compounds? • What are the mechanisms underlying the reduced respiratory response following long-term warming? • What are the key regulators of microbial C use efficiency? Modeling • Better capture temperature responses, including “acclimation” of the soil C flux in response to long-term warming • Incorporate microbial physiology and other soil biogeochemical mechanisms into ESMs Coupled Biogeochemical Cycles: Nitrogen Deposition and Soil Carbon Storage Changes in the woody biomass carbon pool of northern temperate and boreal forests Terrestrial biomass C sink: 0.68 ± 0.34 Pg Myneni et al. (2001) Galloway et al. (2004) Janssens et al. (2010) Carbon stocks (kg m-2) Carbon Stocks in Control and Nitrogen Fertilized Plots 40 20-30 kg C kg-1 N added Soil sink: 59-87% of total Hardwood 30 Wood Litter Fine roots Forest floor Mineral soil 20 10 0 Carbon stocks (kg m-2) 1 40 2 3 Pine 30 20 10 0 0 50 150 N Addition (kg N ha-1 yr-1) Frey et al. (Nature Geoscience, in prep) Soil C stock (kg m-2) Soil Carbon Stocks 24 Hardwood 20 16 25 kg C / kg N** Oe Oa 0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 10 kg C / kg N* 12 8 4 0 Soil C stock (kg m-2) 0 24 50 150 Pine 20 16 kg C / kg N* 5 kg C / kg N* 50 150 16 12 8 4 0 0 Nitrogen addition (kg ha-1 yr-1) *Forest floor only **Forest floor plus mineral soil Carbon Sequestration in Temperate Forests per unit Nitrogen Added Study location N. America & Europe (9 sites) Europe (121 plots) Finland, Sweden (15 sites) Michigan, USA (4 sites) Meta-analysis (20 experiments) Deciduous stand (MA, USA) Deciduous stand (MA, USA) Pine stand (MA, USA) Pine stand (MA, USA) 1 Study duration (yr) 1-3 40 14-30 10 -20 20 20 20 Nitrogen inputs (kg ha-1 yr-1) 4-58 2.8 30-200 30 28-300 50 150 50 150 Carbon response (kg C kg-1 N) Trees Soil Total ǂ 25 21 46 δ 11 15 26 25 11 26 0 14 14 £ -19 -10 10 20 5 25 30 -10 16 6 -7 5 -2 Reference Nadelhoffer et al. (1999) de Vries et al. (2006) Hyvönen et al. (2008) Zak et al. (2008) Janssens et al. (2010) This study This study This study This study Growing consensus that the soil C pool is as or more responsive to N additions than is NPP Frey et al. (Nature Geoscience, in prep) Litterfall mass (g C m-2) Carbon Inputs to Soil Hardwood Stand 6000 4000 Control 50 kg N/ha/yr Hardwood 150 kg N/ha/yr 2000 0 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2000 Litterfall mass (g C m-2) With N fertilization: Pine Stand 6000 Litterfall Root biomass Root productivity Root respiration Pine ? C inputs not dominant mechanism (~10-30%) 4000 2000 0 0 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2000 Year OEA M 0-10 M 10-20 Root kg C.ha-1 1000 2000 3000 4000 HC HLN HHN PC PLN PHN Soil respiration (µmol m-2 s-1) Carbon Outputs With N fertilization: Soil respiration 12 10 Control N50 N150 8 y = 1.1285e0.0904x y = 1.2592e0.0768x 6 4 • Soil respiration consistently lower • Litter and wood decay suppressed y = 1.2478e0.0641x 2 0 Contosta (2011) 100 5 10 15 Temperature (°C) 20 25 90 80 70 Mass remaining (%) g60 n i in50 a m e 40 R %30 C W WN 20 N-2 y 10 N-20 y 0 0 12 Months Magill and Aber (1998) Time (mo) Photo by K. Dudzik 16 24 Organic Matter Chemistry Pyrolysis-GCMS of forest floor material (hardwood stand) 0 50 150 Frey et al. (Nature Geoscience, in prep) Research Needs Observations • Is there differential temperature sensitivity of various SOM compounds? • What are the mechanisms underlying the reduced respiratory response following long-term warming? • What are the key regulators of microbial C use efficiency? • Need better estimates of global soil C stocks • Priming Modeling • Better capture temperature responses, including “acclimation” of the soil C flux in response to long-term warming • Incorporate microbial physiology and other biogeochemical mechanisms into ESMs • Incorporation of N feedbacks on soil C storage (N deposition rates predicted to double by 2050) • Priming Soil Respiration Components Rautotrophic RG Rrhizosphere RG Rheterotrophic RR RM RMF RP RL RS Modified from Hopkins et al. (2013)