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Methods Study population This study was conducted as part of an ongoing longitudinal study, The Young Hearts Project, which initially examined the prevalence of coronary risk factors in a random sample of young people (n=1015; aged 12 years and 15 years) in Northern Ireland. Sampling procedures, study design and response rates of the first two screening phases (YH1 and YH2) are described in detail elsewhere (21, 22). All subjects in the original cohort were invited to participate in the third screening phase (YH3; October 1997-October 1999), when aged between 20 and 25 years. Ethical approval was gained from the Medical Research Ethical Committee of The Queen’s University of Belfast, and written informed consent was obtained from all participating subjects. Measurements of height and weight and blood pressure were carried out on each subject. Standing height was measured to the nearest millimetre using a Harpenden portable stadiometer and body weight was measured to the nearest 0.1kg using a SECA electronic balance. For both measurements, subjects wore light indoor clothing and no shoes. Resting blood pressure was measured twice using a Hawskley random zero sphygmomanometer with the mean of the measurements used in subsequent analyses. Information on socio-economic position, family and past medical history and lifestyle (including smoking habit, alcohol intake etc.) were obtained by questionnaire. Habitual dietary habits were assessed using a diet history method (23). Data on frequency, duration and type of physical activity usually undertaken were obtained using a modification of the Baecke questionnaire of habitual physical activity (24) which was designed to quantify work activity, sports activity and non- sports leisure activity. Indices of work activity, sports activity and non-sports leisure activity, based on a five-point Likert scale, were calculated with a total physical activity score obtained from the sum of the three indices, with higher scores representing subjects reporting greater physical activity. Fitness testing All subjects underwent fitness testing, using the Physical Work Capacity at a heart rate of 170 beats per minute (PWC170) cycle ergometer test (25). The test is a progressive, sub maximal, predictive measure of endurance using cycle ergometer (Seca Cardiotest 100 electronically braked cycle ergometer; SECA, Germany). PWC170 was calculated as the workload corresponding to a heart rate of 170 beats per minute (26) and expressed per kg body weight. Maximum oxygen consumption (VO2 max) was calculated by extrapolation of VO2 at predicted maximum heart rate against PWCmax. (Quinton QMC metabolic cart; Quinton, USA) Arterial compliance The velocity characteristics of the arterial pulse wave (associated with left ventricular ejection) were used to determine arterial compliance using a non-invasive optical method (27). The technique used was a modification of that developed by Greenwald and colleagues (28). This method determines the transit time of the wave of dilatation propagating in the arterial wall resulting from the pressure wave generated by contraction of the left ventricle. Pulse wave velocity (PWV) is calculated as the time taken to travel a known distance, timed from the ECG R-wave, to the arrival of the pressure wave at a distal site, using a photoplethysmographic probe. All distances were measured from the sternal notch, to the site of application of the probe, which remained consistent throughout the period of recording. This technique samples data every millisecond enabling the detection of differences in transit times of 1-2 milliseconds. Pulse wave velocity is inversely related to the square root of the compliance of the vessel wall; therefore high pulse wave velocity indicates a stiffer arterial wall. This method yields consistent results (29, 30) similar, to those obtained by Doppler ultrasonograph y (28) that have previously been shown to give reproducible estimates of arterial compliance in population studies (31). Pulse wave velocities (m/s) were measured in three arterial segments: the aorto-iliac segment, from proximal common carotid artery into the femoral artery at the inguinal ligament (pwva); aorto-radial segment from the carotid into the radial artery (pwvb); and the aorto-dorsalis-pedis segment (pwvf), from the carotid into the posterior tibial artery immediately posterior to the dorsalis-pedis artery. All subjects were assessed by one skilled observer, blind to genotype, with measurements taken on the left side of the body. In some subjects it was not possible to obtain pulse wave measurements of adequate quality. This was usually due to attenuation of the optical signal by subcutaneous fat or because of the difficulty in accessing the position of the artery. Estimations of pulse wave velocity based on fewer than 10 cycles or those in which the coefficient of variance of arterial transit times was greater than 20% were rejected. COL1A1 Intron 1Sp1 site polymorphism genotyping DNA was extracted from whole blood as previously described (32). COL1A1 2046G>T genotypes were determined using a polymerase chain reaction (PCR) in which a mismatched primer introduces a restriction site for the enzyme Bal1 in the rare T-allele (thymidine at position +2046) (20). PCR products were digested overnight with Bal1. Genotypes were resolved by agarose gel electrophoresis yielding a 246bp cleaved (T allele) fragment, and a 264bp wild type, G allele band. Statistical analysis All data were analysed using STATA Release 6 for Windows. Raw data were analysed for those that were normally distributed. Otherwise, data were subjected to log-transformation prior to analysis (pwva), with the geometric means and standard errors being quoted in the results. Variation in arterial compliance between genotypes was assessed by ANOVA and by students’ t-tests for unpaired data. One-way analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) was performed to test whether the COL1A1 polymorphism was associated with differences in compliance using age, sex, BMI (kg/m2), smoking, mean arterial pressure (MAP), fitness and activity scores, VO2 max (ml/min) and family history of hypertension as covariates. Allele frequencies were estimated by gene counting. A 2 test was used to compare the observed numbers of each genotype with those expected for a population in Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium.