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Immune Activation: Impact on Outcomes Peter W. Hunt, MD Associate Professor of Medicine University of California San Francisco 10y Decreased Life Expectancy in Older HIV+ Adults in Modern ART Era ~9y shorter life expectancy even among those with no comorbidity HIV- Controls 1996-2014 HIV+ 2006-2014 2000-2005 1996-2000 Legarth/Obel, JAIDS, 2016 (see also Samji, PLoS One, 2013) Many age-associated morbidities also increased in treated HIV • Cardiovascular disease [1-3] • Cancer (non-AIDS) [4] • Bone fractures / osteoporosis [5,6] • COPD [12] • Liver disease [7] • Kidney disease [8] • Cognitive decline [9] • Non-AIDS infections [10] • Frailty [11] 1. Freiberg, M., et al. JAMA Int Med. 2013;173(8):614-22. 2; Tseng, Z, et al. JACC. 2012;59(21):1891-6. 3. Grinspoon SK, et al. Circulation. 2008;118:198-210. 4. Silverberg, M., et al. AIDS, 2009;23(17):2337-45. 5. Triant V, et al. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2008;93:3499-3504. 6. Arnsten JH, et al. AIDS. 2007 ;21:617-623. 7. Odden MC, et al. Arch Intern Med. 2007;167:2213-2219. 8. Choi A, et al. AIDS, 2009;23(16):2143-49. 9. McCutchan JA, et a. AIDS. 2007 ;21:1109-1117. 10. Sogaard, CID, 2008; 47(10): 134553. 11. Desquilbet L, et al. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. 2007;62:1279-1286; 12 Attia, Chest,2014 Increased Multi-morbidity in Older HIV+ Individuals (AGEhIV) Morbidities: • CAD / MI • HTN • PAD • CVD / Stroke • COPD • T2DM • Renal Dz • Non-AIDS CA • Osteoporosis Schouten, CID, 2014 Potential Role of Inflammation in Driving Morbidity in Older HIV+ Individuals ART Toxicity Ageassociated Morbidity Persistent Lifestyle Inflammation Deeks and Phillips, BMJ, 2009 An Important Clue from Nature Sooty Mangabey Rhesus Macaque •Infect with SIV •Infect with SIV •High Levels of Viral Replication •High Levels of Viral Replication •No AIDS, normal lifespan •AIDS and death •Minimal Immune Activation •Massive Immune Activation Silvestri, Immunity, 2003 T Cell Activation Remains Abnormally High During ART-mediated Viral Suppression Hunt et al, JID, 2003; PLoS One, 2011 Inflammatory markers are higher in treated HIV disease compared with HIV seronegatives, adjusted for demographics and CV risk factors Participants 45-76 years of age Neuhaus J, et al. JID, 2010. (also see: French, JID, 2009) Chronic Immune Activation May Also Cause Lymphoid Tissue Fibrosis • Associated with low %naïve T cells and poor CD4+ T cell recovery • May impair functional immune responses Estes, JID, 2008; Schacker, JCI, 2002; Zeng, JCI, 2011 What are the clinical consequences of persistent immune activation and inflammation during ART? A single measurement of IL-6 or D-dimer predicts morbidity/mortality over next 10y Grund, CROI, 2013, #60; see also: Ledwama, PLoS One, 2012 Inflammation Predicts Disease in Treated HIV Infection • • • • • • • • • • • Mortality (Kuller, PLoS Med, ‘08; Tien, JAIDS, ‘10; Justice, CID ‘12; Hunt, JID ‘14) Cardiovascular Disease (Duprez, Atherosclerosis, 2009) Cancer (Breen, Cancer Epi Bio Prev, 2010; Borges, AIDS, 2013) Venous Thromboembolism (Musselwhite, AIDS, 2011) Type II Diabetes (Brown, Diabetes Care, 2010) COPD (Attia, Chest, 2014) Renal Disease (Gupta, HIV Med, 2015) Bacterial Pneumonia (Bjerk, PLoS One, 2014) Cognitive Dysfunction (Burdo, AIDS, 2013; Letendre CROI 2012) Depression (Martinez, JAIDS, 2014) Frailty (Erlandson, JID, 2013) Gut Barrier Dysfunction & Innate Immune Activation Predict Mortality during Suppressive ART SOCA cohort Gut Epithelial Barrier Dysfunction IDO-1 Induction Monocyte Activation Inflammation / Coagulation Hunt, JID, 2014 (see also : Sandler, JID, 2011; Tenorio, JID 2014) Adaptive Immune Defects More Important in Resource-limited Settings? Ranking of mortality predictors (1=strongest, 5=weakest) US-based cohorts 1.IL-6 2.D-dimer 3.sCD14 4.IDO-1 / KT ratio 5.T cell activation Uganda (UARTO) 1.IDO-1 / KT ratio 2.T cell activation 3.IL-6 4.sCD14 5.D-dimer Hunt, JID, 2014 Tenorio, JID, 2014 Lee, CROI 2015, #317 Balagopol, JAIDS, 2015 Non-infectious causes Infectious causes Does systemic inflammation necessarily reflect the degree of inflammation in all tissues (and risk for all morbidities)? I don’t think so… Impact of eary ART provides clues Lower But Persistently Abnormal Immune Activation with Very Early ART (RV254) Estimated Duration of HIV Infection : 12 days : 16 days : 18 days Chronic HIV on ART HIV-uninfected • Thai study of HIV+ individuals dx very early during acute HIV infection • Compared to high-risk HIV- controls and ART-suppressed HIV+ who initiated during chronic HIV infection Utay, CROI 2015, #47 Immune activation setpoint may be lower if ART is started very early. Does morbidity and mortality also decline? Reduced but Persistently High Risk of TB with Early ART: Temprano Trial CD4>500 Danel et al, Temprano trial, NEJM , 2015 Reduced but Persistently High Risk of Infections and Cancer with Early ART: START Trial Non-AIDS Events AIDS Events ~1% of Immediate ART arm had an AIDS Event by Year 5 Outcome TB Bacterial Infection KS Lymphoma Non-AIDS Cancer HR 0.29 0.38 0.09 0.30 0.50 START trial, NEJM, 2015 Risk of infections decreases with very early ART, but remains abnormally high. What about non-infectious morbidities? No Difference in Cognitive Improvement with Early vs. Delayed ART Wright, EACS 2015, #PS10/6 START: No Difference in Cardiovascular Outcomes with Early vs. Delayed ART Small Artery Elasticity (higher better) Cardiovascular Events (Early vs. Delayed): HR 0.84 (0.4-1.8) P=0.65 Also no difference in pulmonary fn. decline (Base FEV1 96% pred) (Kunisaki, EACS, 2015) START, NEJM, 2015 and Baker, CROI 2016, #41 In Contrast, Interrupting ART Strongly Increased CAD, Renal, Liver Disease SMART Trial HR for Drug Conservation vs. VL Suppression: 1.7 (1.1 – 2.5), P=0.009 El-Sadr, SMART Trial, NEJM, 2007 Why Didn’t Non-infectious Morbidities Decrease in START Trial? • START trial participants may have been too young – But only 7y younger than SMART, and no interaction by age • The disease process was already established – Hard to reconcile with SMART trial result, CD4 nadir data • May take time for morbidities to manifest – Plausible, but this was not the case in SMART • The disease process hasn’t started yet – i.e., these are “low CD4 nadir” diseases – Might suggest causes / immunologic pathways that are distinct from those causing infectious complications What are the potential drivers of persistent immune activation during suppressive ART? And which ones are established early vs. late? HIV Reservoirs Established in First Week of Infection and Continue to Release Virus on ART Mostly reflects release of virus from infected cells without ongoing replication Reservoirs in T cells established in first week Reservoirs in myeloid cells (in fat, liver, brain, etc) established late, ↓CD4 count Maldarelli F. et al., PLOS Path, 2007; Palmer S. et al, PNAS, 2008. Blocking Asymptomatic CMV Replication with Valganciclovir ↓ Immune Activation in HIV+ Patients with CD4<350 despite ART -4.4% HIVMedian Valacyclovir, which has strong anti-HSV1/2 but minimal anti-CMV activity, failed to decrease immune activation (Yi et al, CID, 2013). Hunt et al, JID, 2011 CMV Sero-status Predicts Non-AIDS Events (and less so AIDS…): ICONA Cohort CMV replicates in vascular endothelium and contributes to transplant vasculopathy Strongest effect for CAD (HR 2.3) Likely plays a greater role in individuals with lower CD4 nadir Lichtner et al, JID, 2015 (see also Hsue, AIDS, 2006) Microbial Translocation Persists on ART Particularly in Those with Low CD4 Nadirs and Poor CD4 Recovery HIV- HIV+ ART+ CD4>500 HIV+ ART+ CD4<350 Persistent neutrophil infiltration in rectal mucosa during treated HIV infection in response to mucosal barrier breach Somsouk, AIDS, 2014 (also Marchetti, AIDS, 2008; Jiang et al, JID, 2009 ) Theoretical Model for Drivers of Immune Activation during Suppressive ART CD4 Nadir 500 350 200 100 HIV Reservoir in Lymphoid Tissues Adaptive Immune Defects Microbial Transl. HIV in Myeloid Cells CMV Multiple Morbidities CNS, Liver, Metabolic Dz Vascular Dz What can we do to reverse immune activation during suppressive ART? Statins Decrease Immune Activation and Aortic Plaque in Treated HIV Infection sCD14 Declines with Rosuvastatin Plaque Regression with Atorvastatin Funderburg/McComsey, JAIDS, 2015 Lo/Grinspoon, Lancet HIV, 2015 REPRIEVE Trial of Pitavastatin (n=6500) Now Enrolling! Aspirin Fails to Reduce Immune Activation or Improve Vascular Function (A5331) Serum thromboxane (cyclooxygenase inhibition) Placebo 100mg ASA 300mg ASA sCD14 O’Brien, CROI 2016, Abstract 44LB Lifestyle Factors Contribute to Immune Activation in Treated HIV • Smoking increases monocyte activation (Valiathan, PLoS One, 2014) • Hazardous EtOH associated with ↑ sCD14 / microbial translocation (Carrico, Alc Clin Exp Res, 2015) • Methamphetamine use increases immune activation and suppresses T cell function (Massanella, Sci Reports, 2015) • Obesity associated with increased inflammation (Koethe, ARHR, 2013) • Moderate exercise decreases inflammation in pilot trials (Longo, CROI 2014, #763) Summary • Despite optimal ART, HIV shortens life expectancy and ↑ age-associated morbidities. – But some may be “Low CD4 Nadir” diseases • Immune activation / inflammation persist despite ART and may predict these morbidities. • Very early ART may prevent many morbidities though adaptive immune defects may persist • Statins – but not aspirin – show promise in decreasing immune activation – Await clinical endpoint trials (REPRIEVE) • Lifestyle factors major contributors to immune activation (smoking, EtOH, meth, obesity)