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European Heart Journal Supplements (2003) 5 (Supplement G), G3—G9 Increased heart rate as a risk factor for cardiovascular disease B.N. Singh Department of Cardiology, VA Medical Center, West Los Angeles, and Department of Medicine, UCLA Medical Center, and UCLA School of Medicine, Los Angeles, California, U.S.A. KEYWORDS Agents that exclusively reduce heart rate; Beta-blockade; Cardiovascular mortality; Hypertension; Increased heart rate; Myocardial infarction; Sudden death Heart rate is a major determinant of oxygen consumption in patients with ischaemic heart disease. Its pharmacological modulation is increasingly the focus of therapeutic approaches to alleviate symptoms and prolong survival. It is the simplest cardiovascular variable to measure accurately and reproducibly. Many long-term follow-up studies suggest that elevated heart rate increases all-cause mortality, cardiovascular disease and sudden death in patients with known or suspected coronary heart disease, survivors of myocardial infarction and patients with hypertension. These links hold for men and women, and are unrelated to ethnic origin. The effect on sudden death or total mortality increases as a function of heart rate such that an increase in heart rate by more than 40 beats/min doubles total mortality. Conversely, low heart rate reduces risk for coronary artery disease and sudden death. Primary and secondary prevention studies in myocardial infarction indicated that elevated heart rate in susceptible patients predicts risk for developing myocardial infarction and death. Prophylactic beta-blockers attenuate risks for reinfarction, sudden death and total mortality; these effects correlate with reduced heart rate, thus providing a compelling basis for developing agents that reduce heart rate exclusively as antianginal agents for the therapy of myocardial ischaemia with broader therapeutic implications. © 2003 The European Society of Cardiology. Published by Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved Introduction Because heart rate is a critical determinant of myocardial oxygen consumption in patients with coronary artery disease, the relationship between heart rate and prognosis or severity of myocardial ischaemia has assumed major therapeutic importance. Other factors that are also determinants of myocardial oxygen consumption are contractility and end-systolic stress, but heart rate is the simplest to quantify accurately and Correspondence: Bramah N. Singh, Department of Cardiology, VA Medical Center of West Los Angeles, 1301 Wilshire Boulevard, Los Angeles, CA 90073, U.S.A. reproducibly. In recent years its importance has been highlighted by the success of heart rate lowering drugs such as beta-blockers. They are now recognized as major antianginal and antiarrhythmic agents, with the property of reducing mortality and morbidity in a wide range of cardiac disorders.1,2 A reduction in heart rate appears to have the closest and most consistent favourable relation to total and cardiovascular mortality.3,4 It is therefore not surprising that an increasing number of prospective and retrospective primary and secondary observational studies have been undertaken to determine the nature of the association between heart rate and coronary 01520-765X/03/0G0003 + 07 $35.00/0 © 2003 The European Society of Cardiology, Published by Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved. G4 artery disease, myocardial infarction and hypertension.5—16 They have indicated that in these settings, as well as in others, sustained elevated heart rate is strongly predictive of a significantly higher incidence of death,3,15,16 as compared with those settings in which the heart rate is persistently within the normal or a lower range. The observation that the favourable effects of beta-blockade on mortality have been found to correlate significantly with their heart rate lowering actions3,4 provides a compelling basis for exploring the role of other bradycardic agents in cardiovascular therapeutics. In this regard, because of their pharmacological action, blockers of the sinus pacemaker current (If, or ‘funny’ current), agents that exclusively reduce heart rate,17 may be of particular importance as antiischaemic agents, and they have potential utility in reducing morbidity and mortality in cardiovascular disorders that are characterized by sustained increases in heart rate. In the present paper the clinical settings in which increased heart rate may be an independent risk factor for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality are critically discussed. Potential pathophysiological mechanisms Although there appears little doubt that a persistently high heart rate is associated with an increase in coronary and cardiovascular death rates, the precise reason for this association remains unclear. It has been attributed to overall lack of physical fitness or poor health.7 However, the consistently favourable effects of betablockade in patients with ischaemic heart disease3,4 emphasizes the significance of sympathetic blockade with associated augmentation in vagal activity,5 both of which have been shown to increase the threshold of ventricular fibrillation in experimental animal models.18,19 Similarly, it might be expected that beta-blockers could reduce infarct size, which has been shown to increase with high heart rates.20 There is experimental and clinical evidence that suggests that sustained elevations in heart rate may play a direct role in the pathogenesis of coronary atherosclerosis.21—24 For example, in cynomolgus monkeys in which heart rates were reduced by surgical ablation of the sinoatrial node, the extent of coronary atherosclerosis induced by a high-cholesterol diet over 6 months was significantly lower than that in a group that underwent a sham operation and with heart rates B.N. Singh that were significantly higher as determined by telemetry.21 These experimental findings are consistent with clinical studies in which the minimum heart rate obtained from 24-h ambulatory Holter recordings was an independent factor that correlated with severity of coronary atherosclerosis in young patients after myocardial infarction23 and with rate of progression of atherosclerotic disease.24 Thus, there is now evidence in animals as well as in humans that heart rate may be a significant determinant of atherosclerotic disease progression and of its clinical manifestation. These observations clearly form a basis for the continued exploration of the role of heart rate reduction in the subsets of patients in whom increased heart rate may be an independent risk factor for cardiovascular disease.25 Heart rate as a predictor of risk for cardiovascular disorders: epidemiological observations The integral relationship between resting heart rate, coronary artery disease and mortality has been documented in a number of epidemiological studies. These studies include, but are not confined to, the Framingham Heart Study,7,9 the first National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES 1),10 the NHANES 1 Epidemiological Follow-up Study (NNHEFS),11 the Chicago Employee Studies6 and the Göteborg Primary Prevention Trial.14 The Chicago Employee study is mentioned in passing because it is one of the oldest in the series, and its directional data are, in general, consistent with the results of the subsequent studies. In the discussion that follows, only aspects of the findings in those studies that address the impact of increased heart rate relative to mortality and morbidity are mentioned. Heart rate and cardiovascular mortality The longest follow-up was reported from the Framingham Heart Study — a prospective study that was started in 1948.9 The report on the relationship between heart rate and cardiovascular mortality focused on 5070 individuals who were free of cardiac disease at entry into the study. They were subjected to biennial examinations of a wide range of variables, including the following: cardiovascular examination and history; an ECG; measurement of vital capacity, body weight and skin-fold thickness; various blood Heart rate and cardiovascular disease G5 Table 1 Sudden death by heart rate according to age in men: 30-year follow-up in the Framingham study Age-adjusted annual incidence/1000 Persons free of prior coronary artery disease 30—67 68—75 76—83 84—91 92—220 All persons alive 35—64 years** 65—94 years** 36—64 years*** 65—94 years* 1 1 1 2 3 2 3 4 7 6 1 1 2 3 5 4 4 7 12 6 Trends for significance: *P < 0.05, **P < 0.01, ***P < 0.001. chemistry and blood pressure determinations; and history of smoking. The resting ECG was used for the determination of heart rate. Over the followup period of 30 years there were 1876 total deaths, of which 894 were cardiovascular in origin. For both sexes, all-cause, cardiovascular and coronary disease mortality increased progressively relative to the antecedent resting heart rates determined biennially. There was no suggestion of critical values or thresholds that could be labelled as safe or hazardous. The trend significance was at P < 0.01, as it was for sudden death (Table 1). The effect of heart rate on mortality or sudden death was independent of associated cardiovascular risk factors, and death rate was higher in man than in women. The relationship between heart rate, coronary artery disease and death was also investigated systematically in NHEFS.11 The participants in that study were screened from those who were 25— 74 years old at the time of the initial survey, which was conducted during the period 1971— 1975. From the initial 7594 patients at baseline, 5136 white and 859 black people (age range 45— 74 years) remained for analysis after all defined exclusion criteria were met and follow-up variables established. The duration of follow-up for this analysis was 6—13 years, with an average of 9.9 years for white subjects and 10.3 years for the black survivors. It is noteworthy that, in contrast to the Framingham Study, heart rates were not quantified by ECG but were obtained by a physician who counted the radial pulse for 30 s. The relative risk for the incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD) was significantly elevated in white men with pulse rate greater than 84 beats/min as compared with those with rates under 74 beats/min, after correcting for multiple risk factors. The incidence of CHD was also increased in white women with elevated pulse rate. The risks for death from all causes, Study population 961 2277 2120 1202 576 319 16 Total mortality Coronary heart disease Other deaths Cancer Stroke 12 Incidence (%) Resting heart rate (beats/min) 8 4 0 ≤59 60—69 70—79 80—89 90—99 Heart rate (beats/min) ≥100 Fig. 1 The incidence of mortality from various causes over a mean period of 11.8 years of follow-up as a function of heart rate at entry to the Göteborg Primary Prevention Trial. The study population refers to the number of patients within a range of heart rates at entry. Adapted from Wilhelmsen et al.14 cardiovascular diseases and non-cardiovascular diseases were also elevated for white men with raised pulse rate, and these findings was independent of other factors. It should be emphasized that risks for death and cardiovascular diseases were also increased in the case of black men and women with elevated pulse rate, but the association with cardiovascular diseases and high pulse rate was particularly striking in the case of black women, even after adjustment for all of the baseline risk factors. Similar data on the incidence of all-cause mortality as well as CHD mortality were reported in the Göteborg Primary Prevention Trial, conducted in Sweden.14 In that study, 7455 G6 B.N. Singh Age-adjusted 2-year rate per 1,000 60 50 40 CHD CVD All cause 30 20 10 0 <65 65—74 75—84 85+ Heart rate (beats/min) Fig. 2 Relationship between heart rate and mortality among men with hypertension. The data that form the basis of this bar diagram were derived from a 36-year follow-up of the Framingham Heart Study. See text for details. Adapted from Gillman et al.12 CHD=coronary heart disease; CVD=cardiovascular heart disease. patients were enrolled and followed as a function of heart rate at entry for a mean of 11.8 years. Deaths were stratified into total mortality, and death due to coronary artery disease, cancer and stroke, and other deaths. The follow-up data are presented in Fig. 1. It is noteworthy that the rate of death from all causes and from cardiovascular disease increased as a function of increasing heart rate or when pulse rate increased beyond 84 beats/min, as was reported in NNHEFS.11 Finally, heart rate as a prognostic factor for CHD and mortality was also determined in three distinct epidemiological studies conducted 20 years ago.6 The associations between heart rate and death from cardiovascular diseases, coronary artery disease and sudden cardiac death from CHD, as well as mortality from all causes, were studied prospectively in middle-aged white male employees: 1233 men aged 40—59 years from the Chicago Peoples Gas Company followed for 15 years; 1899 men aged 40—55 years from the Chicago Western Electric Company followed for 17 years; and 5784 men aged 45—64 years of age from the Chicago Heart Association Detection Project in Industry followed for 5 years. Despite the relatively short period of follow-up, in a univariate analysis mortality from cardiovascular or noncardiovascular causes increased with increasing heart rate. In a multivariate Cox regression analysis, controlling for hypertension, age, serum cholesterol, number of cigarettes smoked per day and relative weight, heart rate emerged as a significant risk factor for sudden death in two of the three studies. In sum, the authors concluded that the results of the three studies suggested that high heart rate may be an independent risk factor for sudden death from CHD. Risk for high heart rate in hypertension and in the elderly It has been shown that hypertensive patients generally have a higher heart rate than do comparable normotensive persons.10 Gillman et al.12 followed 4530 hypertensive persons (blood pressure ≥140 mmHg systolic and ≥90 mmHg diastolic; age range 35—74 years) from the Framingham Heart Study for 36 years; those investigators found that, for the individuals who had increases in heart rates exceeding 40 beats/min, the total mortality more than doubled over this period. The details are summarized in Fig. 2. The rapid heart rate that the individuals had was not related to pre-existing illness but appeared to be an independent risk factor for cardiovascular death in those with hypertension. Thus, the heart rate data relative to the impact on mortality are consistent with those reported for patients with known CHD9,11 and those for patients who had sustained but survived myocardial infarction, as discussed below.15 The data suggest that treatment regimens for hypertension may need to include heart rate lowering drugs. Of interest also is the outcome of the study reported by Aronow et al.,26 who evaluated the risk for high heart rate in elderly patients (60— 100 years, mean age 81 years) who had hypertensive or other forms of heart disease and were in sinus rhythm. That study was prospective and conducted in 1311 patients in whom mean heart rates were quantified from 24-h Holter recordings. The data indicated that male sex, increasing age and mean 24-h heart rates were independent risk factors for new coronary events. Heart rate and cardiovascular disease 50 G7 50 Maximum heart rate 40 % Mortality % Mortality 40 Final heart rate 30 20 10 30 20 10 0 0 <50 50 59 60 69 70 79 80 89 90 99 100 110 ≥120 109 119 <50 50 59 60 69 70 79 80 89 90 99 ≥100 Heart rate (beats/min) Heart rate (beats/min) Fig. 3 Mortality from discharge to 1 year at maximal heart rate values observed at discharge physical examination. Adapted from Hjalmarson.16 Table 2 Clinical consequences of high heart rate and implications of reducing heart rate Heart rate Impact Population >84 beats/min at rest Elevated risk for CHD Increase of 40 beats/min 50—69 beats/min on admission ≥90 beats/min on admission >110 beats/min on admission <90 beats/min ≥90 beats/min on admission 14 beats/min decrement within 12 h of symptom onset 5 beats/min increment in heart rate >Twofold higher all-cause mortality 15% total mortality at 1 year post-MI 41% total mortality at 1 year post-MI 48% total mortality at 1 year post-MI 5—7% severe heart failure 24% severe heart failure 25—30% decreased infarct size White men aged 65—74 years; white women aged 45—74 years Hypertensive persons AMI patients AMI patients AMI patients AMI patients AMI patients AMI patients 12 12 15 15 15 15 15 4 Men and women, mean age 81 years 26 1.14 higher probability of coronary events Reference AMI=acute myocardial infarction; CHD=coronary heart disease; MI=myocardial infarction. Adapted from Habib.25 The probability of developing new coronary events was 1.14 times higher for an increment of 5 beats/min in heart rate after the effects of other confounding risk factors were controlled. Myocardial infarction, high heart rate and mortality A number of studies have documented two features that are of clinical importance: the overall heart rate in patients sustaining myocardial infarction is higher (mean 78.5 beats/min) than that (69.5 beats/min) in matched control individuals;27 and elevated heart rate is predictive of risk for development of acute myocardial infarction and sustaining complications while having a greater risk for death.15 Furthermore, a sustained elevated heart rate in patients after acute myocardial infarction is well correlated with higher mortality.8 Of particular interest are the results of a large study involving 1807 post-myocardial infarction patients reported by Hjalmarson.16 In a multicentre study heart rate was examined on admission to the coronary care unit and after discharge, and total mortality was determined from day 2 to one year in patients with and without heart failure. The mortality data relative to heart rate are shown in Table 2;25 the mortality figures from hospital discharge to 1 year at increasing maximal heart rate values and values observed at discharge physical examination are presented in Fig. 3. Cumulative mortality was high (61—68%) in patients with severe grades of heart failure, regardless of the level of heart rate at admission. Conclusion The experimental21,22 and clinical observations6—16 reviewed here provide a convincing basis for the link between elevated heart rate and development of coronary atherosclerosis, with an associated increase in all-cause, non-cardiovascular and cardiovascular mortality. Aspects of G8 the data are summarized in Table 2. The link between sudden cardiac death and elevated heart rate is perhaps the most compelling. Although most studies support the notion that the effect of augmented heart rate is an independent risk factor for cardiovascular mortality and morbidity, this has not been uniform.6,9 For example, heart rate was significantly associated with the incidence of any form of CHD after adjustment was made for age in men but not in women; in neither was it significant when adjustment was made for multiple risk factors.11 On the other hand, the association between CHD and death and sudden death in men remained significant after adjustment of multiple risk factors.9,11,27 This was also the case in the Chicago cohorts study6 with regard to sudden CHD death in men aged 45— 64 years. The issue with regard to sudden death remained uncertain because of the lack of accurate classification of deaths into sudden versus non-sudden in NHEFS.11 There have been some indications regarding sex differences relative to the elevated heart rate as a risk for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. For example, age-adjusted all-cause mortality and that from cardiovascular diseases were positively correlated with heart rate in the Framingham Heart Study and in the Chicago cohort studies.6,9 This association was also significant in the case of women in the Framingham Heart Study.9 It is of interest that, in both the Framingham and Chicago studies, there was a positive association between non-cardiovascular mortality and elevated heart rate. The findings from NHEFS11 are consistent with data from the studies in which there were associations between CHD and death from all causes and from cardiovascular and noncardiovascular diseases, independently of other risk factors. Clearly, further studies are necessary to define more definitively the nature of the relationship between elevated heart rate and risk for CHD and mortality in women and in African Americans. As suggested by Gillum et al.,11 we require a clearer delineation of the mechanisms of known associations relative to physical activity, cholesterol status, insulin resistance and left ventricular hypertrophy, as well as continuous measurements of heart rate and blood pressure. In sum, there is now a substantive body of evidence that sustained elevated heart rate is associated with an increased incidence of mortality in persons with suspected or known coronary artery disease, in those with documented myocardial infarction, in those with hypertension and in those who are elderly. Sudden cardiac death has been the consistent finding in patients with B.N. Singh elevated heart rate.6—16,28,29 Prophylactic betablockers at doses that significantly reduce heart rate attenuated the risk attendant with elevated heart rate, as well as reducing the severity of myocardial ischaemia, in subsets of patients in whom they have been tested.1,2 Specific heart rate lowering agents have been developed as antianginal compounds on the basis of their major effects in reducing myocardial oxygen consumption, but they may have broader clinical therapeutic applications, which merits serious scrutiny in relevant clinical trials. Their selective property of slowing the heart rate will permit testing of the critical hypothesis that heart rate reduction per se may prolong survival in certain subsets of patients. References 1. Bristow MR. β-Adrenergic receptor blockade in chronic heart failure. Circulation 2000;101:558—69. 2. Reiter MJ. Antiarrhythmic impact of anti-ischemic, antifailure and other cardiovascular strategies. Card Electrophysiol Rev 2000;4:194—205. 3. Kjekshus J. Comments — beta-blockers: heart rate reduction a mechanism of benefit. Eur Heart J 1985;6:29—30. 4. Kjekshus J. Importance of heart rate in determining betablocker efficacy in acute and long-term acute myocardial infarction intervention trials. Am J Cardiol 1986;57:43F—9F. 5. Singh BN. The relevance of sympathetic activity in the pharmacological treatment of chronic stable angina. Can J Cardiol 1999;15(suppl A):15A—21A. 6. Dyer A, Persky V, Stamler J et al. Heart rate as a prognostic factor for coronary heart disease and mortality: Findings in three Chicago epidemiologic studies. Am J Epidemiol 1980;112:736—49. 7. Kannel W, Wilson P, Blaire S. Epidemiologic assessment of the role of physical activity and fitness in development of cardiovascular disease. Am Heart J 1985;109:876—85. 8. Gundersen T, Grøttum P, Pedersen T, Kjekshus J, for the Norwegian Timolol Multicenter Study Group. Effect of timolol on mortality and reinfarction after acute myocardial infarction: prognostic importance of heart rate at rest. Am J Cardiol 1986;58:20—4. 9. Kannel W, Kannel C, Paffenbarger R, Cupples A. Heart rate and cardiovascular mortality: The Framingham study. Am Heart J 1987;113:1489—94. 10. Gillum R. The epidemiology of resting heart rate in a national sample of men and women: association with hypertension, coronary heart disease, blood pressure, and other cardiovascular risk factors. Am Heart J 1988;116: 163—74. 11. Gillum R, Makuc D, Feldman J. Pulse rate, coronary heart disease, and death: The NHANES I epidemiologic follow-up study. Am Heart J 1991;121:172—7. 12. Gillman M, Kannel W, Belanger A, D’Agostino R. Influence of heart rate on mortality among persons with hypertension: The Framingham study. Am Heart J 1993;125:1148— 54. 13. Goldberg R, Larson M, Levy D. Factors associated with survival to 75 years of age in middle-aged men and women: The Framingham study. Arch Intern Med 1996;156:505—9. Heart rate and cardiovascular disease 14. Wilhelmsen L, Berglund G, Elmfeldt D et al. The multifactor primary prevention trial in Göteborg, Sweden. Eur Heart J 1986;7:279—88. 15. Hjalmarson A, Gilpin E, Kjekshus J et al. Influence of heart rate on mortality after acute myocardial infarction. Am J Cardiol 1990;65:547—53. 16. Hjalmarson A. Heart rate and beta-adrenergic mechanisms in acute myocardial infarction. Basic Res Cardiol 1990;85: 325—33. 17. DiFrancesco D. Pacemaker mechanisms in cardiac tissue. Ann Rev Physiol 1993;55:451—67. 18. James R, Arnold J, Allen J et al. The effects of heart rate, myocardial ischemia and vagal stimulation on the threshold for ventricular fibrillation. Circulation 1977;55:311—7. 19. Myers R, Pearlman A, Hyman R et al. Beneficial effects of vagal stimulation and bradycardia during experimental acute myocardial ischemia. Circulation 1974;49:943—7. 20. Shell W, Sobel B. Deleterious effects of increased heart rate on infarct size in the conscious dog. Am J Cardiol 1973;31:474—9. 21. Beere P, Glagov S, Zarins C. Retarding effect of lowered heart rate on coronary atherosclerosis. Science 1984;226: 180—2. 22. Kaplan J, Manuck S, Adams M. Propranolol inhibits coronary atherosclerosis in behaviorally predisposed monkeys fed with atherogenic diet. Circulation 1987;76:1364—72. G9 23. Perski A, Hamsten A, Lindvall K, Theorell T. Heart rate correlates with severity of coronary atherosclerosis in young postinfarction patients. Am Heart J 1988;116:1369—73. 24. Perski A, Ollson G, Landou C et al. Minimum heart rate and coronary atherosclerosis: Independent relations to global severity and rate of progression of angiographic lesions in men with myocardial infarction at a young age. Am Heart J 1992;123:609—16. 25. Habib G. Reappraisal of the importance of heart rate as a risk factor for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Clin Ther 1997;19(suppl A):39—52. 26. Aronow W, Ahn C, Mercando A, Epstein S. Association of average heart rate on 24-hour ambulatory electrocardiograms with incidence of new coronary events at 48-month follow-up in 1,311 patients (mean age 81 years) with heart disease and sinus rhythm. Am J Cardiol 1996;78:1175—6. 27. Stokes J III, Kannel WB, Wolf PA, Cupples A, D’Agostino RB. The relative importance of selected factors for various manifestations of cardiovascular disease among men and women from 35—64 years old: 30 years of follow-up in the Framingham Study. Circulation 1987;75(suppl V):V65—73. 28. Hinkle L Jr. The immediate antecedents of sudden death. Acta Med Scand 1981;651:207—17. 29. Thaulow E, Erikssen J. How important is heart rate? J Hypertens 1991;9:527—30.