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20.5 Evolution Specification reference: 6.1.2 Demonstrate and apply knowledge and understanding of: ➔ factors that can affect the evolution of a species ➔ the use of the Hardy– Weinberg principle to calculate allele frequencies in populations. Evolution, the change in inherited characteristics of a group of organisms over time, occurs due to changes in the frequency of different alleles within a population. Population genetics Population genetics investigates how allele frequencies within populations change over time. The sum total of all the genes in a population at any given time is known as the gene pool. The gene pool of a population includes millions of genes, but you will look at the variation in the different alleles of a single gene within the gene pool. The relative frequency of a particular allele in a population is the allele frequency. The frequency with which an allele occurs in a population is not linked to whether it codes for a dominant or a recessive characteristic, and it is not fixed. It can change over time in response to changing conditions. Evolution involves a long-term change in the allele frequencies of a population, for example, alleles for antibiotic resistance have increased in many bacteria populations over time. Biologists have developed ways of determining allele frequencies and use them in models to determine whether evolution is taking place. Calculating allele frequency Imagine a population of 100 diploid organisms that can all breed successfully. You are going to look at a gene that has two possible alleles, A and a. The frequency of allele A in the population is represented by the letter p. The frequency of allele a in the population is represented by q. If every individual in your population of 100 is a heterozygote (Aa), then the frequency of each allele is 100/200 or 0.5 (50%) so p + q = 1 In a diploid breeding population with two potential alleles, the frequency of the dominant allele plus the frequency of the recessive allele will always equal 1. This simple formula is very important when using the Hardy–Weinberg principle. The Hardy–Weinberg principle The Hardy–Weinberg principle models the mathematical relationship between the frequencies of alleles and genotypes in a theoretical population that is stable and not evolving. The Hardy–Weinberg principle states: in a stable population with no disturbing factors, the allele frequencies will remain constant from one generation to the next and there will be no evolution. A completely stable population is not common in the real world, but this is still a useful tool. The Hardy–Weinberg principle provides a simple model of a theoretical stable population that allows us to measure and study evolutionary changes when they occur. 538 835192_OCR_A Level Biology_SB_Ch20.indd 538 06/07/2016 10:52 Pat t e r n s o f i n h e r i ta n c e a n d va r i at i o n 20 The Hardy–Weinberg principle is expressed as: p2 + 2pq + q2 = 1 where p2 = frequency of homozygous dominant genotype in the population 2pq = frequency of heterozygous genotype in the population q2 = frequency of homozygous recessive genotype in the population How do you use this information? Recessive phenotypes are often easy to observe. As a result you can find the frequency of the recessive genotype and use it to measure the equivalent allele frequency. Frequency of the recessive genotype = q2 So, the frequency of the recessive allele is √q2 = q You can then use this to find p because you know p + q = 1 Finally, you can substitute these values back into the equation of the Hardy–Weinberg principle to find the frequencies of the three different genotypes. Hardy–Weinberg worked example The peppered moth, Biston betularia, comes in two forms, light coloured and dark coloured. The light colour is inherited through a recessive allele. Students investigated a population in an area of woodland and found that 48 of the 50 peppered moths they captured were light in colour. This gives the frequency of the homozygous recessive genotype (q2) that results in a light colouration as 48/50, or 0.96 (96%). Now you can calculate the value of q, the frequency of the allele in the population. q2 = 0.96 so q = √0.96 = 0.98 (98%) (2 s.f.) You know that p + q = 1, so p + 0.98 = 1, so p = 1 – 0.98 = 0.02 (2%) Now substitute these values into the equation for the Hardy–Weinberg principle to work out the frequency of the homozygous dominant genotype and the heterozygous genotype in this population of Biston betularia. Frequency of homozygous dominant genotype (p2) = 0.022 = 0.0004 (0.04%) Frequency of the heterozygous genotype (2pq) = 2 × 0.02 × 0.98 = 0.039 (3.9%) (2 s.f.) This gives you the frequencies for the three main genotypes of the Biston betularia population in the woodland studied. Around 96% of the moths are homozygous recessive and therefore light coloured, 3.9% are heterozygous and so dark coloured, and 0.04% are homozygous dominant and dark in colour. Remember allele frequencies must add up to 1 and population percentages to 100% (allowing for rounding numbers up or down). 539 835192_OCR_A Level Biology_SB_Ch20.indd 539 06/07/2016 10:52 20 20.5 evolution Disturbing the equilibrium The Hardy–Weinberg principle assumes a theoretical breeding population of diploid organisms that is large and isolated, with random mating, no mutations, and no selection pressure of any type. In a natural environment these conditions virtually never occur. Species are continuously changing. In the peppered moths of the worked example, the light alleles were dominant historically but the allele frequencies changed dramatically after the Industrial Revolution, when the dark alleles gave individuals an advantage. Now the allele frequencies have changed again as cities and woodlands have become cleaner again. These changes in allele frequencies can be illustrated using the Hardy–Weinberg principle and upsetting the equilibrium may eventually result in evolution. factors affecting evolution There are a number of factors that lead to changes in the frequency of alleles within a population and so they affect the rate of evolution: • Mutation is necessary for the existence of different alleles in the first place, and the formation of new alleles leads to genetic variation. • Sexual selection leads to an increase in frequency of alleles which code for characteristics that improve mating success. • Gene flow is the movement of alleles between populations. Immigration and emigration result in changes of allele frequency within a population. • Genetic drift occurs in small populations. This is a change in allele frequency due to the random nature of mutation. The appearance of a new allele will have a greater impact (is more likely to increase in number) in a smaller population than in a much larger population where there is a greater number of alleles present in the gene pool. • Natural selection leads to an increase in the number of individuals that have characteristics that improve their chances of survival. Reproduction rates of these individuals will increase as will the frequency of the alleles coding for the characteristics. This is how changes in the environment can lead to evolution. the impact of small populations The gene pool of a large population ensures lots of genetic diversity owing to the presence of many different genes and alleles. Genetic diversity leads to variation within a population which is essential in the process of natural selection. Selection pressures such as changes in the environment, the presence of new diseases, prey, competitors, or even human influences lead to evolution. The population can adapt to change over time. 540 835192_OCR_A Level Biology_SB_Ch20.indd 540 01/07/2016 11:47 Pat t e r n s o f i n h e r i ta n c e a n d va r i at i o n 20 Small populations with limited genetic diversity cannot adapt to change as easily and are more likely to become extinct. A new strain of pathogen could wipe out a whole population. The size of a population can be affected by many factors. Factors which limit or decrease the size of a population are called limiting factors. There are two types of limiting factors: 1 Density-dependent factors are dependent on population size and include competition, predation, parasitism, and communicable disease. 2 Density-independent factors affect populations of all sizes in the same way including – climate change, natural disasters, seasonal change, and human activities (for example, deforestation). Large reductions in population size which last for at least one generation are called population bottlenecks (Figure 1). The gene pool, along with genetic diversity, is greatly reduced and the effects will be seen in future generations. It takes thousands of years for genetic diversity to develop in a population through the slow accumulation of mutations. time catastrophic event ▲ Figure 1 A natural disaster or epidemic can drastically reduce a population. The gene pool will be greatly reduced and the remaining individuals may not be representative of the original population as some rarer alleles may not have been present in any of the survivors. The ‘founder effect’ and genetic drift will influence genetic variation as the population grows again Northern elephant seals were almost hunted to extinction in the 19th century. There were probably only about 20 seals left by the time hunting stopped. They now have a population of about 30 000 but show much less genetic diversity than southern elephant seals that did not experience a genetic bottleneck. Cheetahs are thought to have experienced an initial population bottleneck about 10 000 years ago with other bottlenecks happening more recently. The species now shows low genetic diversity. Cheetahs face the same threats as many other African animals such as habitat loss and poaching, but while the population sizes of other animals are increasing thanks to the efforts of conservationists, cheetahs are not recovering as quickly. They are, in fact, close to extinction. The reduced genetic diversity of cheetahs means that they share around 99% of their alleles with other members of the species, more than we share with members of our own family. Mammals usually share about 80% of their alleles with other members of a species. As a result they are showing problems of inbreeding including reduced fertility. ▲ Figure 2 Cheetah mother and cubs, Acinonyx jubatus, Masai Mara Reserve, Kenya Humans and chimpanzees split from a common ancestor about six million years ago. A small group of chimpanzees are likely to show more genetic diversity than all the humans alive today. It is believed that humans have experienced at least one genetic bottleneck, reducing our genetic diversity, as we have evolved into our present form. A positive aspect of a genetic bottleneck is that a beneficial mutation will have a much greater impact and lead to the quicker development of a new species. This is thought to have a played a role in the evolution of early humans. 541 835192_OCR_A Level Biology_SB_Ch20.indd 541 01/07/2016 11:47 20 20.5 evolution sample of original population founding population A descendants founding population B Founder effect Small populations can arise due to the establishment of new colonies by a few isolated individuals, leading to the founder effect. The founder effect is an extreme example of genetic drift. These small populations have much smaller gene pools than the original population and display less genetic variation. If carried to the new population, the frequency of any alleles that were rare in the original ▲ Figure 3 Diagram illustrating how small samples from a population can lead to populations with very different, and reduced, gene pools population will be much higher in the new, smaller population and so they will have a much bigger impact during natural selection. The Afrikaner population in South Africa is descended mainly from a few Dutch settlers. The population today has an unusually high frequency of the allele that causes Huntington’s disease. It is thought that just one of the original settlers carried the disease-causing allele. The Amish people of America have descended from 200 Germans who settled in Pennsylvania in the 18th century. They rarely marry and have children outside their own religion and are therefore a closed community. The Amish have unusually high frequencies of alleles that cause the normally rare genetic disorder Ellis–van Creveld syndrome. People with the syndrome are short, they often have polydactyly (extra fingers or toes), abnormalities of nails and teeth, and a hole between the two upper chambers of the heart. Ellis–van Creveld syndrome is an example of founder effect caused by one couple, Samuel King and his wife, who settled in the area in 1744. Evolutionary forces ▲ Figure 4 Close-up of a baby’s hand showing an extra finger. This condition is called polydactylism The traits or characteristics of all living organisms show variation within populations. The distribution of the different variants will take the form of a bell-shaped curve if plotted on a graph. This is known in statistics as a normal distribution. Stabilising selection Taking the birth weight of babies as an example, babies with an average birth weight will be the most common and therefore form the peak of the graph. Babies with very low birth weight are more prone to infections and very large babies result in difficult births. Both of these extremes in weight reduce the survival chances of babies so the numbers of survivals of very small or very large babies remains low forming the tails on Figure 5. 99.7% 95% 68% 3.5 4.5 5.4 6.3 7.3 8.2 birth weights (pounds) 9.1 ▲ Figure 5 Birth weights of baby girls in Europe 10.0 11.0 This is natural selection, or survival of the fittest, at work. Babies with average birth weights are more likely to survive and reproduce than 542 835192_OCR_A Level Biology_SB_Ch20.indd 542 01/07/2016 11:47 Pat t e r n s o f i n h e r i ta n c e a n d va r i at i o n 20 underweight or overweight babies. It is an example of stabilising selection because the norm or average is selected for (positive selection) and the extremes are selected against (negative selection). Stabilising selection therefore results in a reduction in the frequency of alleles at the extremes, and an increase in the frequency of ‘average’ alleles. Directional selection Directional selection occurs when there is change in the environment and the normal (most common) phenotype is no longer the most advantageous. Organisms which are less common and have more extreme phenotypes are positively selected. The allele frequency then shifts towards the extreme phenotypes and evolution occurs. ▲ Figure 6 Light and dark-coloured peppered moths The changes seen in peppered moths during the industrial revolution are a good example of directional selection. During this period of time a lot of smoke was released from factories, which killed lichens growing on barks of trees, and the soot made the bark black. Peppered moths were originally light coloured meaning they were camouflaged by the lichen from predation by birds. There were always a few darker moths present, due to variation, but these were quickly eaten and the allele frequency maintained. When the lichens died and the trees became black the situation was reversed. The light-coloured moths were very visible and were eaten and the darker moths were camouflaged. Over time the allele frequency shifted due to natural selection and the majority of the peppered moths had the darker colour. The allele frequency had been shifted towards an extreme (less common) phenotype. As pollution has decreased again the allele frequency of the lighter coloured moths has increased. Disruptive selection number of individuals In disruptive selection the extremes are selected for and the norm selected against. The finches observed by Darwin in the Galapagos Islands had been subjected to disruptive selection. This is opposite to stabilising selection when the norm is positively selected. evolved original population population stabilising selection original population phenotypes (shell color) directional selection ▲ Figure 8 Top: lazuli bird with bright, blue plumage, middle: lazuli bird with intermediate plumage, and bottom: lazuli bird with dull, brown plumage diversifying selection ▲ Figure 7 Graphs showing the different forms of selection. The arrows indicate a selection pressure 543 835192_OCR_A Level Biology_SB_Ch20.indd 543 01/07/2016 11:47 20 20.5 evolution Although examples of disruptive selection are relatively rare, a welldocumented example involves feather colour in male lazuli buntings (Passerina amoena), birds which are native to North America. The feather colour of young males can range from bright blue to dull brown. There are limited nesting sites in their habitat and so there is a lot of competition between male birds to establish territories and attract female birds. Dull, brown males are seen as non-threatening and bright, blue males too threatening by adult males. Both the brown and blue birds are therefore left alone but birds of intermediate colour are attacked by adult birds and so fail to mate or establish territories. frequency mean dull bright ▲ Figure 9 The distribution of phenotypes as a result of disruptive selection pressures on lazuli buntings Synoptic link You learnt about natural selection in Topic 10.4, Evidence for evolution. The extremes are selected for and the distribution of phenotypes shows two peaks as in Figure 9. summary questions 1 Explain why evolution does not occur within single organisms but groups of organisms. (3 marks) 2 Around the world, humans choose their partners for a wide variety of reasons. Explain why this might affect any conclusions about human evolution drawn using the Hardy–Weinberg principle. (3 marks) 3 In cats, the short-haired allele L is dominant to the long-haired allele l. In a population of feral cats, 10 out of 90 animals had long hair. Give the expected frequency for the homozygous recessive, homozygous dominant, and heterozygote genotypes in this population of cats. (6 marks) 4 Explain why the allele frequency is changing so quickly in Figure 10. (4 marks) generation 1 2 3 frequency of green trait 17% 25% Figure 10 An example of genetic drift happening rapidly over three 44% generations 5 Eukaryotic organisms have large quantities of non-coding DNA whereas most prokaryotic organisms have very little. Suggest, with reference to the different forms of reproduction in eukaryotes and prokaryotes, why eukaryotes may have evolved to have more non-coding DNA. (4 marks) 544 835192_OCR_A Level Biology_SB_Ch20.indd 544 01/07/2016 11:47