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Master Thesis Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Degree Type Master of Arts in Banking & Finance (MBF) University of St. Gallen (HSG) Supervisor Prof. Dr. Martin Brown Swiss Institute of Banking & Finance Author Roman Graf Buchenweg 9 CH-8442 Hettlingen Matriculation No.: 05-532-197 E-Mail: [email protected] Date August 20, 2012 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Abstract Financial literacy has become a well-recognized item on the agenda of not just international organizations such as the OECD but also national policy makers. Attention about the topic soared especially in the aftermath of the financial crisis with multiple studies focusing on financial literacy in emerging and developed countries being published in recent years. In Switzerland, however, no representative data about the financial knowledge of the population has so far been available. This master thesis fills this gap while constituting the first representative study on financial literacy levels of the adult population of the German speaking part of Switzerland. The release of this master thesis occurs at a time when risks and responsibilities are increasingly shifted to individuals, the range of financial products offered to retail investors is immense and demand for consumer protection is at the upraise. In such an environment adequate financial knowledge of individuals becomes particularly important. Financial literacy in this study was defined on the basis of three simple questions about interest rates, inflation and risk. About 20% of the respondents were not able to correctly answer a simple question about interest rates or inflation and around 27% did not know if an investment in a single stock is more risky than an investment in a fund with multiple stocks. Women, poorly educated respondents, foreigners and low income earners performed worst. Overall, financial literacy levels in Switzerland are akin to or slightly higher than those in other developed countries such as Germany or the Netherlands. There is strong evidence that people with a better understanding of financial matters are more likely to have an investment portfolio and a retirement account (Säule 3a). Impulsive behaving individuals are more likely to have consumption credits while financial knowledge seems not to have a critical relationship to consumption credit indebtedness. Numerous private organizations have recently launched initiatives aimed at improving financial knowledge in Switzerland. However, while considering the often significant efforts undertaken in the field of financial literacy abroad, Switzerland is not able to distinguish itself positively on an international scale. The low levels of financial literacy in deprived sections of the population and the positive effects of financial literacy on financial behavior justify further related research and the allocation of more attention to financial literacy by Swiss policy makers. Roman Graf I Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland I Table of Contents I Table of Contents....................................................................................................... II II List of Exhibits ........................................................................................................... VI III List of Tables ........................................................................................................... VII IV List of Abbreviations ................................................................................................ VIII 1. Introduction ................................................................................................................ 1 1.1. Problem Identification and Objective ..................................................................... 2 1.2. Restrictions ........................................................................................................... 3 1.3. Structure of the Master Thesis ............................................................................... 3 2. Definition and Relevance of Financial Literacy ........................................................... 4 2.1. Definition of Financial Literacy ............................................................................... 4 2.1.1. Broad Definition of Literacy .............................................................................. 4 2.1.2. Narrow Definition of Literacy ............................................................................ 4 2.1.3. Financial Literacy ............................................................................................. 4 2.1.4. Separation of Financial Literacy from Financial Education ............................... 5 2.1.5. Financial Literacy in This Master Thesis ........................................................... 5 2.2. Relevance of Financial Literacy in Switzerland ...................................................... 6 2.2.1. Shift of Risk and Responsibility to Individuals ................................................... 6 2.2.2. Increased Supply of and Access to Wide Range of Financial Products ...........10 2.2.3. Raising Demand for Consumer Protection and More Extensive Regulation ....12 3. Relevant Literature....................................................................................................16 3.1. Demographic, Economic and Financial Characteristics ........................................16 3.1.1. Gender ............................................................................................................16 3.1.2. Age .................................................................................................................17 3.1.3. Education ........................................................................................................18 3.1.4. Labor Market Status ........................................................................................20 3.1.5. Financial Income .............................................................................................21 3.1.6. Financial Wealth..............................................................................................21 3.2. Retirement Planning and Saving ..........................................................................22 3.2.1. Roman Graf United States ..................................................................................................23 II Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland 3.2.2. Europe ............................................................................................................23 3.2.3. Other Countries ...............................................................................................24 3.3. Investment Behavior .............................................................................................24 3.3.1. Investment Likelihood......................................................................................24 3.3.2. Investment Sophistication ...............................................................................25 3.4. Personal Indebtedness .........................................................................................25 3.4.1. Quality of Debt Contracts ................................................................................25 3.4.2. Mortgage Debt ................................................................................................26 3.4.3. Self-control ......................................................................................................26 3.5. Economic and Financial Stability ..........................................................................26 3.5.1. Self-Assessed vs. Actual Financial Literacy ....................................................27 3.6. Financial Literacy in Switzerland ..........................................................................27 3.7. Final Remarks ......................................................................................................28 4. Empirical Analysis of Financial Literacy ....................................................................29 4.1. Description of Dataset ..........................................................................................29 4.1.1. 4.2. Financial Literacy Questions ...........................................................................29 Description of Survey Results ...............................................................................30 4.2.1. Interest Rates Knowledge ...............................................................................31 4.2.2. Inflation Knowledge .........................................................................................31 4.2.3. Risk Diversification Knowledge .......................................................................31 4.2.4. Results Across All Questions ..........................................................................32 4.3. International Comparison of Survey Results .........................................................33 4.4. Determinants of Financial Literacy........................................................................34 4.4.1. Gender ............................................................................................................34 4.4.2. Age .................................................................................................................36 4.4.3. Nationality .......................................................................................................38 4.4.4. Marital Status ..................................................................................................39 4.4.5. Education ........................................................................................................39 4.4.6. Labor Market Status ........................................................................................41 4.4.7. Number of People Living in a Household.........................................................42 Roman Graf III Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland 4.4.8. Household Income ..........................................................................................42 4.4.9. Financial Wealth..............................................................................................42 4.4.10. 4.5. Multivariate Regression Analysis of Financial Literacy..........................................43 4.5.1. Multivariate Regression Results ......................................................................44 4.5.2. Is There a Problem of Multicollinearity? ...........................................................44 5. Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior .................................................................48 5.1. Self-Assessed Personal Behavior Characteristics ................................................48 5.1.1. Financial Engagement.....................................................................................48 5.1.2. Financial Interest .............................................................................................49 5.1.3. Risk Characteristics ........................................................................................50 5.1.4. Financial Planning ...........................................................................................50 5.2. Investment Portfolio ..............................................................................................51 5.2.1. Univariate Statistics .........................................................................................51 5.2.2. Multivariate Regression Results ......................................................................51 5.2.3. Direction of Causality and Omitted Variables ..................................................52 5.2.4. Discussions .....................................................................................................55 5.2.5. Conclusions ....................................................................................................57 5.3. Consumption Credit and Mortgage Debt...............................................................57 5.3.1. Univariate Statistics .........................................................................................57 5.3.2. Multivariate Regression Results ......................................................................58 5.3.3. Discussions .....................................................................................................60 5.3.4. Conclusions ....................................................................................................62 5.4. 6. Who Knows the Most and Who Knows the Least? .......................................43 Retirement Account ..............................................................................................62 5.4.1. Univariate Statistics .........................................................................................62 5.4.2. Multivariate Regression Results ......................................................................63 5.4.3. Direction of Causality and Omitted Variables ..................................................65 5.4.4. Discussions .....................................................................................................67 5.4.5. Conclusions ....................................................................................................69 Policy Implications and Conclusions .........................................................................70 Roman Graf IV Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland 6.1. Rationale for Improving Financial Literacy in Switzerland .....................................70 6.2. Information Challenge ..........................................................................................71 6.2.1. High Fragmentation of Data Collection in Switzerland .....................................71 6.2.2. The Question About the Requirement of a National Body and Strategy ..........72 6.3. Policy Implications and Action Items .....................................................................72 6.3.1. What Has Been Done in Switzerland? .............................................................74 6.3.2. Which Focus Groups and Topic Areas Have Been Neglected? .......................75 6.3.3. What Has Been Done Abroad? .......................................................................75 6.3.4. Potential Action Items......................................................................................77 6.4. Conclusions ..........................................................................................................79 V Sources...................................................................................................................... A VI Acknowledgement ...................................................................................................... L VII Glossary.....................................................................................................................M VIII Appendix .................................................................................................................... N IX Declaration of Authorship ........................................................................................ RR Roman Graf V Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland II List of Exhibits Exhibit 1: Gross Replacement Rates of Retirement Income from Public Pension .................. 7 Exhibit 2: Development of Occupational Retirement System – DBP vs. DCP ........................ 8 Exhibit 3: Private Retirement Savings from Vested Pension Benefits .................................... 9 Exhibit 4: Private Retirement Savings from Pillar 3a .............................................................10 Exhibit 5: Private Indebtedness and Insolvencies in Switzerland ..........................................11 Exhibit 6: Development and Distribution of Structured Products ...........................................12 Exhibit 7: Financial Literacy by Age ......................................................................................37 Exhibit 8: Gender and Age by Occupation ............................................................................41 Exhibit 9: Private Indebtedness by Impulsive Behavior .........................................................60 Roman Graf VI Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland III List of Tables Table 1: Responses to Financial Literacy Questions ............................................................30 Table 2: Pearson-Correlation Coefficients of Responses Across Questions .........................32 Table 3: International Comparison of Financial Literacy .......................................................33 Table 4: Statistical Test of Gender Gap in Financial Literacy ................................................34 Table 5: Financial Literacy by Demographic, Economic and Financial Characteristics .........35 Table 6: Statistical Test of Nationality Gap in Financial Literacy ...........................................38 Table 7: Statistical Test of Financial Literacy and Level of Education ...................................39 Table 8: Gradients of Education and Financial Literacy ........................................................40 Table 9: Characteristics with Highest and Lowest Financial Literacy ....................................43 Table 10: Multivariate Linear Regression - Financial Literacy ...............................................45 Table 11: Financial Literacy by Self-Assessed Personal Behavior Characteristics ...............48 Table 12: Statistical Test of Financial Engagement and Financial Literacy ...........................49 Table 13: Statistical Test of Financial Interest and Financial Literacy ...................................50 Table 14: Statistical Test of Financial Planning and Financial Literacy .................................51 Table 15: Statistical Test of Investment Portfolio Ownership and Financial Literacy .............51 Table 16: Multivariate Linear Regression – Investment Portfolio ..........................................53 Table 17: Statistical Test of Consumption Credit/ Mortgage Debt and Financial Literacy......57 Table 18: Multivariate Linear Regression – Consumption Credit resp. Mortgage Debt .........59 Table 19: Statistical Test of Retirement Account Ownership and Financial Literacy .............62 Table 20: Multivariate Linear Regression – Retirement Account...........................................64 Table 21: Statistical Diagnostic of Instrumental Variables .....................................................66 Table 22: Standardized Labor Force Participation Rates in Switzerland ...............................69 Table 23: Selected Financial Literacy Initiatives Undertaken in Switzerland .........................73 Roman Graf VII Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland IV List of Abbreviations ABACO Adult Basic Accounting and Control of Over Indebtedness AHV Swiss Federal Old-Age and Survivors’ Insurance ANZ Australia and New Zealand Banking Group ASIC Australian Securities and Investments Commission BfS Swiss Federal Statistical Office BSV Swiss Federal Office for Social Insurance BV Swiss Federal Constitution BVG Swiss Federal Law on Occupational Pension Funds BVV Swiss Federal Decree on Tax Deduction of Qualified Retirement Savings DBG Swiss Federal Law on Direct Federal Taxes DBP Defined Benefit Plan DCP Defined Contribution Plan D-EDK Conference of Education Ministers of German-Speaking Switzerland DK Don’t Know/ Refuse to Answer EFD Swiss Federal Department of Finance ELSA English Longitudinal Study of Aging EU European Union EU-SILC European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions FDP Liberal Democratic Party FED Federal Reserve FinLiCo Financial Literacy Competencies for Adult Learners FINMA Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority FINRA Financial Industry Regulatory Authority FLEC Financial Literacy and Education Commission FLI Financial Literacy Index FSB Financial Stability Board GFLI Global Financial Literacy Initiative HABE Household Budget Survey HH Household HRS University of Michigan Health and Retirement Study HSG University of St. Gallen IAS International Accounting Standards IBF Institute Banking and Finance (ZHAW) IFRS International Financial Reporting Standards INFE International Network of Financial Education IV Instrumental Variable Roman Graf VIII Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland KAG Federal Act on Collective Investment Schemes MBA Master of Business Administration MiFID Markets in Financial Instruments Directive NAB National Australia Bank NBER National Bureau of Economic Research NLSY National Longitudinal Survey of Youth NPAC The National Pensions Awareness Campaign NZZ Neue Zurcher Zeitung OECD Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development OLS Ordinary Least Square PISA Programme for International Student Assessment PLZ Postal Code RMR Ray Morgan Research SAKE Swiss Labor Force Survey SAVE Survey About Saving in Germany SDFB Swiss Design Institute for Finance and Banking SEC Securities and Exchange Commission SEI Self Evaluation Index SER State Secretariat for Education and Research SIA Swiss Insurance Association SILC Statistics on Income and Living Conditions SHAPE System for Household and Personal Statistics SHARE Survey of Health, Aging and Retirement in Europe SIB&F Swiss Institute of Banking & Finance (HSG) SNB Swiss National Bank SSPA Swiss Structured Products Association SVEB The Swiss National Umbrella Organization for Adult Education UAE United Arab Emirates UK United Kingdom US United States VIF Variance Inflation Factor WB World Bank ZHAW Zurich University of Applied Science ZKB State Bank of Zurich Roman Graf IX Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland 1. Introduction The global financial crisis has not only deteriorated capital positions of major financial intermediaries but has also led to many retail investors suffering heavy losses within their personal investments.1 The insolvency of Lehman Brothers in September 2008 and the fall of the ponzi scheme of Bernard Madoff in December 2008 have battered many individual investors. In particular the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers resulted in many retail investors losing significant amounts of their investments and consequently led to an outcry in the Swiss media (cf. NZZamSonntag, 25.01.2009, p. 29). Retail investors were among those suffering heavily from the default of Lehman Brothers as many individuals were holding structured investment products which were distributed by banks as “capital protection” but indeed posed an exposure to the credit risk of Lehman Brothers as counterparty (cf. NZZ, 05.01.2009, p. 13). The insufficient communication or misunderstanding between the distributing bank and the retail investors eventually resulted in the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority (FINMA) publishing a discussion paper about investment product distribution of financial intermediaries (cf. FINMA Distribution Report 2010). The discussion paper thereby refers to a separate investigation which highlighted that retail investors were often not aware of the full risk exposure while investing in “capital protected” structured products and often neglected the counterparty risk of the issuing company. (FINMA, 2010, p. 30) The financial crisis highlighted that the risk and reward structures of the newly emerged and more complex financial products were not fully understood by many individual investors. Hence, it seems obvious that financial literacy of retail investors plays an important role not just for investors themselves but also for financial intermediaries with whom they are in frequent contact. The significant attention paid to the regulation of the “production and distribution of financial products to private clients” by FINMA in Switzerland highlights the critical importance of the (lack of) financial knowledge of retail investors for the proper working of financial intermediation. (FINMA, 2012A, p. 2) On an international level, financial literacy has been identified by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) as gaining growing importance in a world with sophisticated financial markets as well as demographic, economic and policy changes. The OECD published a report named “Improving Financial Literacy, Analysis of Issues and Policies” already in 2005 in which it compared financial knowledge among the populations of selected member countries. On a European level, the European Union (EU) has released the 1 FINMA defines retail investors as private clients typically living in moderate income and wealth categories with usual but not specific finance relevant knowledge. Retail investors can be segregated from professional wealth managers, authorized dealers and institutional clients such as pension funds, insurance companies and investment funds. (FINMA, 2010, p. 2) Roman Graf 1/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland EU directive MiFID which targets to improve investor protection, provides greater financial market transparency and ensures the highest level of integrity of financial service providers. It seems obvious, however, that for any regulator to be able to come up with the right dose of consumer protection regulations a profound understanding of financial knowledge among retail investors is critical. A high level of financial knowledge among retail investors may well result in less stringent consumer protection regulation to still be effective – as highlighted by a quote of Ann Radcliffe. “A well-informed mind is the best security against the contagion of folly and of vice. The vacant mind is ever on the watch for relief, and ready to plunge into error, to escape from the languor of idleness.” Ann Radcliffe (1764 - 1823), The Mysteries of Udolpho, 1764 1.1. Problem Identification and Objective Empirical studies focused on financial literacy in many emerging and developed countries point towards low levels of financial competence across large parts of examined populations. Many respondents proved not to be able to come up with correct solutions to basic interest compounding, inflation and risk diversification questions.2 Those rather discomforting results have caused international organizations such as the Worldbank (WB), Financial Stability Board (FSB) and especially the OECD with the foundation of the International Network on Financial Education (INFE) in 2008 to allocate more resources to this critical subject. Beside efforts of international organizations to enhance awareness of financial literacy there have also been national governments rolling out initiatives and building national strategies in the field of financial literacy.3 In Switzerland, consciousness of financial literacy has also been amplified as increased media coverage and initiatives by organizations such as the Swiss National Bank (SNB) testimony.4 However, currently there is still no representative data available analyzing the financial knowledge of citizens in Switzerland. 2 Refer to studies such as Lusardi & Mitchell, 2011B, and Jappelli, 2010, or Table 3 for an international comparison of financial literacy scores. 3 Efforts of the Worldbank include the launch of the Global Program on Consumer Protection and Financial Literacy in November 2011 which objective is to “help countries achieve concrete measurable improvements in consumer protection in financial services”. (Worldbank, 2012) The G20 rereleased the framework “High-Level Principles on Financial Consumer Protection” in October 2011 to assist G20 countries and other interested economies to enhance financial consumer protection. In their framework they highlight that “levels of financial literacy remain low in a number of jurisdictions” and that “financial consumer protection should be reinforced and integrated with other financial inclusion and financial education policies.” (OECD, 2011A, p. 4) Countries like the United States (US) have created the President’s Advisory Council on Financial Capability to assist the American people in understanding financial matters and making informed financial decisions, and thereby contribute to financial stability. The advisory council suggests ways to coordinate and maximize the effectiveness of existing private and public sector efforts and identifies new approaches to increase financial capability through financial education and financial access. Even earlier, in 2006, the US published its first financial literacy strategy which the Financial Literacy and Education Commission (FLEC) has updated thereafter. Refer to FLEC, 2011, for more information about the “National Strategy for Financial Literacy 2011”. 4 Refer to section 3.6. and especially 6.3.1. for information about efforts around financial literacy in Switzerland. Roman Graf 2/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland This master thesis aims at filling this gap and constitutes the first representative study of financial knowledge of the population of German-speaking Switzerland. The questions used in the survey were built on best practice in the assessment of financial literacy scores among individuals and allow for international comparability of results. In more concrete terms, it is the objective to comprehensively describe the financial literacy level of the German-speaking population in Switzerland as it currently stands and to define “who knows what?”. Furthermore, socio-economic variables which are strongly linked to mediocre financial knowledge will be identified and selected relationships between financial literacy and financial behavior analyzed. Financial behavior is thereby measured on the basis of retirement saving, investment portfolio ownership and exposure to consumption and mortgage credits. The aim is to investigate if financial literacy is a significant explanatory variable for retirement planning, investment portfolio ownership and consumption and mortgage credit indebtedness. 1.2. Restrictions The master thesis focuses on financial literacy levels of individuals in Switzerland. Financial literacy as relevant for companies and the economy as a whole will be disregarded. Financial literacy is derived from three representative questions rather than extensive questionnaires including areas such as investment knowledge or knowledge about the Swiss retirement system. The master thesis focuses on the following items: Description of financial literacy levels of individuals in Switzerland Reconciliation of results to demographic, economic and financial characteristics Relationship between financial literacy and investment, debt and retirement behavior There will be some international comparisons of financial literacy scores. 1.3. Structure of the Master Thesis The next chapter of this master thesis includes a definition of financial literacy and describes why financial literacy is relevant for policy makers in Switzerland. An overview of the relevant literature in the field of financial literacy will constitute the third chapter. In chapter four, there will be a description of the cross-sectional survey data analyzed in this master thesis followed by an overview of the financial knowledge of the survey respondents. The inductive survey results will be reconciled to socio-demographic, economic and financial characteristics of survey respondents by univariate and multivariate analysis. Chapter five aims at providing analysis in order to be able to better understand the relationship between financial literacy and financial behavior in Switzerland. Lastly, there will be concluding remarks and policy advice given in chapter six. Roman Graf 3/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland 2. Definition and Relevance of Financial Literacy This chapter defines the term financial literacy and highlights the relevance of financial literacy for the various stakeholders in Switzerland. 2.1. Definition of Financial Literacy In order to set the foundation and draw the outline of this master thesis the term financial literacy has to be clearly defined. Financial literacy makes use of the broadly applied term literacy which will be analyzed first. Literacy is defined in many different ways to reflect different theoretical orientations. It can be distinguished between a broader and a narrower definition of literacy. 2.1.1. Broad Definition of Literacy The broad definition of literacy places emphasis on literacy as a process of deriving meaning from text. However, the broad definition also explicitly includes other language skills such as listening and speaking as well as skills in regards to the interpretation of visual material, the use and understanding of mathematical concepts and critical thinking. (De Lemos, 2002, p. 3) Gough, 1995, p. 79, refers to the broad meaning of literacy as “being educated” as compared to the narrow meaning of the “ability to read and write”. He also emphasises the closeliness of the broader definition of literacy to “competence” or “knowledge”. 2.1.2. Narrow Definition of Literacy The narrow definition of literacy is understood as the ability to read and write, i.e. to convert the written text to the spoken word and vice versa. (De Lemos, 2002, p. 3) 2.1.3. Financial Literacy The concept of financial literacy refers to the wider definition of literacy and makes use of the term literacy in the form of knowledge or competence.5 Financial literacy can thereby be defined as “the ability to make informed judgments and to take effective decisions regarding the use and management of money.” (Noctor, Stoney and Stradling 1992, p. 4) The aforementioned definition can be segregated into the two key elements “make informed judgments” and “take effective decisions”. In order to be in a position to make informed judgments a certain knowledge level and basic research skills are essential.6 (Cohen & Nelson, 2011, p. 2) 5 Financial literacy is also often called or used as synonym for “financial capability”. (OECD, 2012A, p. 7) 6 Atkinson & Messy, 2011, p. 659, refer to the OECD/INFE framework and emphasize that “financial literacy includes knowledge, but also goes further to include attitudes, behaviors, and skills.” They stress the importance of decision-making and that the final outcome of higher financial literacy should be enhanced financial well-being. Roman Graf 4/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland The ability to take effective decisions is dependent on the context and requires personal confidence to act on the knowledge. Effective decisions are taken with an awareness of the possible financial consequences they may bring. (Widdowson & Hailwood, 2007, p. 37) The financial literacy definition has since been further adopted and extended with the aim to incorporate a more detailed description of what it means to be financially literate. For example “enabling people to make informed and confident decisions regarding all aspects of their budgeting, spending and saving and their use of financial products and services, from everyday banking through to borrowing, investing and planning for the future”. (RMR, 2003, p. 1) It is widely acknowledged that the definitions and measures of financial literacy vary considerably across researchers and studies. There is especially considerable variation in what should be included in the definition and measure with certain studies having included specific knowledge, the ability or skills to apply that knowledge, perceived knowledge, good financial behavior, or even certain financial experiences. (Fonseca, Mullen, Zamarro, & Zissimopoulos, 2012, p. 92) For some the meaning of financial literacy can therefore be as broad as covering an understanding of economics and how household decisions are affected by economic conditions and circumstances. For others it may be a term defined much narrower on the basis of money management such as budgeting, saving, investing and insuring. (Worthington, 2006, p. 62) 2.1.4. Separation of Financial Literacy from Financial Education Financial literacy is not to be used synonym with financial education. Financial education can be defined as the process of building knowledge, skills and attitudes to become financially literate. (Cohen, 2011, p. 3) Financial education includes the development of skills and confidence to become more aware of financial risks and opportunities, to make informed choices and to know where to go for help. (OECD, 2005, p. 13) Financial education therefore helps people to adopt good money management practices with respect to earning, spending, saving, borrowing, and investing. Thus, financial education is a tool to achieve financial literacy. (Cohen & Nelson, 2011, p. 3) 2.1.5. Financial Literacy in This Master Thesis In this master thesis the term financial literacy refers to financial knowledge in form of a basic understanding of interest rate compounding, inflation effects and risk diversification. The focus lies on the financial literacy of members of the general public in Switzerland and its effects on decision making in regards to borrowing, investing and retirement saving. Roman Graf 5/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Particular focus is given to financial knowledge of non-expert members of the public and its effects on financial behavior. In more concrete terms, financial literacy in this master thesis is defined on the basis of knowledge about the effects of compounding interest rates on an initial investment, the impact of inflation and interest on purchasing power of an individual and the relative risk profiles of two investment opportunities. 2.2. Relevance of Financial Literacy in Switzerland Many countries have become increasingly concerned about the financial literacy of their citizens as a result of dwindling public and private support systems, an ever aging population and more and more sophisticated and complex financial marketplaces. Moreover, the financial crisis led to the recognition that lack of financial literacy was contributing to unwise financial decisions and that those decisions had tremendous negative spill-over effects. (OECD, 2009A, p. 9) Due to the reasons above, financial literacy is now considered among policy makers as an important pillar for the economic and financial stability of a country. Financial literacy thereby has its relevance at several levels. It has major implications for the welfare of individuals and families as it impacts the management of their financial affairs. It also effects the behavior of financial institutions and consequently impacts financial stability. Finally, it influences the allocation of resources in the real economy and therefore the longerterm potential growth rate of an economy. (Widdowson & Hailwood, 2007, p. 2) The following key trends in the economic and financial landscape have resulted in financial literacy becoming highly important for policy makers in Switzerland: (cf. OECD, 2012A, p. 7) Shift of risk and responsibility to individuals Increased supply and easier access to an ever increasing range of financial products Raising demand for consumer protection and more extensive regulation All three items are interlinked and any policy decision has to be judged with a comprehensive view on all of them. Furthermore, an astute policymaker does not just have to know the level of financial literacy among citizens but also its impact on financial behavior in order to be able to judge potential regulatory measures on their effectiveness. The three key trends causing financial literacy to become even more important for individuals and regulators in future are analyzed in more detail in the following three sub-sections. 2.2.1. Shift of Risk and Responsibility to Individuals In recent years a trend of shifting various risks away from the government and employers to individuals has unveiled. Especially in the field of retirement benefits are individuals Roman Graf 6/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland increasingly shouldering investment risks which were previously covered by the public or by employers. Public Pension (First Pillar) Ensures Relatively Small Fraction of Retirement Income The Swiss retirement system is heavily based on occupational and individual savings and benefits as compared to many other countries which systems are more geared towards state or public based retirement benefits. Exhibit 1 highlights the fact that the Swiss Federal Old-Age and Survivors’ Insurance (AHV) will only provide benefits to insured individuals which constitute a small fraction of their last salary. Switzerland ranks at the lower end compared to other OECD countries and the OECD average. Especially, people with high active labor income levels depend heavily on occupational and individual savings in order to be able to secure a constant standard of living also during retirement. Exhibit 1: Gross Replacement Rates of Retirement Income from Public Pension Gross Replacement Rates of Public Pension in 2008 (in %) 100.0 80.0 60.0 40.0 20.0 0.0 0.5 Median 1 Median 1.5 Median Source: OECD, 2011B The pay-as-you-go systems around the world but also in Switzerland are facing serious challenges such as demographic shifts, adverse developments in dependency ratios and lower population and economic growth. (OECD, 2005, p. 12) Together with the experienced difficulties in finding a common ground for structural reforms, it can be expected that the increasing importance of individual retirement savings may gain even more momentum in future.7 However, making citizens more reliant on the second and third retirement system pillars results not just in reduced government expenses but also in more risks being carried by individuals and more responsibilities being transferred to them. It seems paramount that individuals are in possession of adequate financial knowledge in order to be able to cope with those increased risks and responsibilities. 7 The insufficient benefits provided by the first pillar to many individuals in Switzerland is also highlighted by the development of supplementary payments (Ergänzungsleistungen). Supplementary payments kick in when regular public pension installments are not ensuring minimum coverage. The number of people in Switzerland collecting such benefits increased from 137’700 in 2000 to 168’200 in 2010. (BSV, 2011A) Roman Graf 7/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Beside the overall structural shift in the public retirement system there are also developments within the occupational saving system which lead to more risks being carried by citizens rather than institutions. From Defined Benefit Plans (DBP) to Defined Contribution Plans (DCP) One major shift of risk to individuals is tacitly happening with a trend of occupational retirement systems from defined benefit plans (DBP) to defined contribution plans (DCP). Exhibit 2 highlights that at year end 2010 there were only 211 pension funds left which promised insured individuals pre-defined benefits for their retirement. Pension funds using DCP shift the investment risk partially indirectly to insured employees and result in higher uncertainty in terms of the size of retirement benefits with employees.8 Exhibit 2: Development of Occupational Retirement System – DBP vs. DCP Number of Pension Funds Number of Insured Employees 4'000'000 3'000 2'500 3'500'000 278 247 2'000 234 211 494'259 488'331 472'451 2'910'841 3'157'725 3'155'009 3'223'594 2007 2008 2009 2010 634'730 2'500'000 1'500 1'000 3'000'000 2'000'000 2'265 2'188 2'117 2'054 1'500'000 1'000'000 500 500'000 0 2007 2008 Defined Contribution 2009 2010 0 Defined Benefit Defined Contribution Defined Benefit Source: BfS, 2012A The trend towards DCP is part of a general development of the second pillar towards more self-determination and a relative reduction in collectivism.9 The stronger focus on individualism in the second pillar has resulted in an increased complexity within the system and higher related costs. (Credit Suisse, 2012A, p. 12) The enlarged room for self-determination of financial decisions in the second pillar comes with increased risks carried by individuals and poses higher requirements on their financial knowledge. Increasing Number of Accounts for Vested Pension Benefits (Freizügigkeitskonten) The increasing number of vested pension benefits accounts and total balances as shown in Exhibit 3 also highlight the shift of risk and financial decision responsibility to individuals. 10 8 Adjustments in the accounting standard framework IFRS which is applied by the majority of listed companies in Switzerland is likely to increase the trend of shifting risks to individuals. Especially, the changes in the international accounting standard IAS 19 Employee Benefits which requires an immediate recognition of defined benefit costs and abolishes smoothing mechanism (“Korridormethode”) and which will come into effect at the beginning of 2013 will contribute to the trend towards DBP and risk transfer to individuals. 9 Developments such as the Federal Law on Vested Pension Benefits (Feizügigkeitsgesetz), the promotion for home ownership (Wohneigentumsförderungsverordnung) and the decree about the Partnership Act (Verordnung über die Umsetzung des Partnerschaftsgesetzes) are highlighting the development towards self-determination. 10 Vested pension benefits represent claims of individuals who are temporarily not employed, changed employers and were not able to take their full benefits with them to the new pension fund or individuals who became self-employed (list is not exhaustive). Roman Graf 8/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Individuals with claims in the form of vested pension benefits are facing financial decisions on where to place their funds (i.e. with a bank, insurance company or a designated fund (Auffangeinrichtung)) and how the funds should be invested. As the investment risk with vested pension benefits is fully carried by the individual an adequate understanding of financial methodologies is crucial. Exhibit 3: Private Retirement Savings from Vested Pension Benefits Vested Pension Benefits Savings (CHF m) 40'000 35'117 30'495 Vested Pension Benefits Accounts 37'649 2'000'000 31'462 1'514'402 30'000 1'500'000 20'000 1'000'000 10'000 500'000 0 1'578'280 1'667'636 1'728'904 0 2007 2008 Banks Auffangeinrichtung BVG 2009 2010 Insurance Companies Total 2007 2008 Banks Auffangeinrichtung BVG 2009 2010 Insurance Companies Total Source: BSV, 2011A Individual Savings (Third Pillar) Get More Important Saving through individual efforts in the third pillar is significantly less regulated as compared to saving through the occupational system. This discretion, however, comes with a responsibility as individuals have to decide on various parameters such as when they want to start saving, which provider they want to select (i.e. bank or insurance solution) and how the savings should be invested. These decisions require a basic understanding of financial matters such as the risk and reward relationship of investments and the effects of compounding interests and inflation. Exhibit 4 indicates that the tax incentivized saving in the third pillar enjoys increasing popularity with Swiss inhabitants who allocated around CHF 39bn of savings with banks at year end 2010 (excl. amounts invested in securities which the banks only manage on behalf of savers). Financial literacy as “key life skill” is of high importance while considering the increased risk and financial decision power with individuals. As the developments within the retirement system in Switzerland highlight, citizens have to understand what retirement benefits they can expect from the public system, the occupational pension fund and what amount of savings they have to accumulate on their own. Especially the third pillar requires a basic financial understanding which should enable people to make sound financial decisions. Data from BfS, 2012B, states that the life expectancy with the age 65 in Switzerland has increased for women from 19.8 years in 1991 Roman Graf 9/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland to 22.2 years in 2010 and for men from 15.6 to 19.8 accordingly. Individuals have to ensure that they have adequate savings for the longer period they can expect to spend in retirement. Exhibit 4: Private Retirement Savings from Pillar 3a Retirement Savings Accounts Pillar 3a Retirement Savings Pillar 3a - Banks only (CHF bn) 2'000'000 1'479'917 1'588'006 1'317'512 1'411'483 1'372'685 1'416'032 1'500'000 1'270'488 1'326'645 50 1'000'000 30 38.70 40 29.07 31.22 34.14 2007 2008 2009 20 500'000 10 0 0 2007 2008 No. of Bank Accounts 2009 2010 No. of Insurance Policies 2010 Retirement Savings Pillar 3a Source: BSV, 2011B 2.2.2. Increased Supply of and Access to Wide Range of Financial Products The recent years have resulted in financial intermediaries but also consumer goods producers and retailers in Switzerland to become more innovative in developing and offering consumption financing solutions. Many retailers have introduced “buy now pay later” offers for items such as living accessories which entail financial risks and financial burdens that are hard to assess for retail customers. Such payment offers require higher financial literacy levels from consumers. In 2008, according to BfS, 2012C, more than 10% of the population was already living in households with at least one vehicle leasing contract and 2.5% of the population were buying living accessories such as furniture or household devices on credit.11 Private Indebtedness and Insolvencies Private indebtedness in form of personal credits (excl. mortgages) is less distinct in Switzerland while compared to average indebtedness in Europe. BfS, 2012C, refers to data from the EU-SILC survey which shows that in 2008 only 18% of people in Switzerland were living in households which had outstanding non-mortgage debt as compared to the European average of 28%. However, in 2008, according to BfS, 2012C, around 14% of the population in Switzerland was living in a household with at least one consumption credit and half of those households accumulated total liabilities above CHF 10’000. BfS, 2012C, also shows that in 2008 8% of the population in Switzerland was leaving in a household with at least one bank or post 11 BfS raised household data in compliance with the European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC) 2008 module which allows a consistent comparison of data on topics such as indebtedness among countries. Roman Graf 10/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland account overdraft. Overdrafts and unpaid credit card bills were thereby especially common in the younger population.12 Bank and post account overdrafts and credit card debt can be considered as more expensive debt compared to consumption credits. It may well be that many debtors lack financial knowledge to realize that fact and therefore make excessive use of credits which are conveniently accessible.13 Exhibit 5 shows the share of the population in Switzerland living with financial stress and the numbers of private insolvencies. It can be assumed that a private person who declared insolvency was likely not in possession of adequate financial knowledge to make humble financial decisions. Exhibit 5: Private Indebtedness and Insolvencies in Switzerland Proportion of People Leaving in Households with Financial Stress in 2008 by Age 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 10% 9% 7% Number of Private Insolvencies 7'000 8% 7% 2% 1% 2% 1% 6'007 5'691 5'719 5'748 5'000 5% 2% 6'140 6'000 2% 0% 2% 4'000 3'271 3'000 2'000 1'000 At Least One Account Overdraft At Least One Open Credit Card Bill in Last Three Months 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 6.2012 Source: BfS, 2012C / Creditreform, 2012 Structured Products Held by Private Investors Structured products are financial assets characterized through various elemental components which are combined to generate a specific risk-return profile. (Blümke, 2009, p. 7) Those risk-return profiles may be considerably more difficult to understand for retail investors compared to plain financial products such as stocks or bonds and therefore also require higher financial literacy. Maybe due to those advanced requirements in terms of financial knowledge, the Swiss Structured Products Association (SSPA), 2012, p. 8, estimated that more than half of the structured products held by private clients (refer to Exhibit 6) were bought by professional wealth managers on their behalf. However, the access to structured products has been 12 Streuli, 2007, used data from an internet survey of 500 young adults aged 18-24 years conducted by the LINK institute in German-speaking Switzerland and found that 38% of respondents had formal (e.g. credit institutions, overdue bills and leasing obligations) and/or informal (e.g. families) monetary liabilities. Around one tenth of the respondents reported debt of above CHF 2’000 and with every one in seven respondents debt outweighted monthly income. The financial problems of the younger population is also highlighted by the over-representation in debt enforcement statistics. In the city of Zurich, for instance, approx. 30% of enforcements concern citizens aged 31 years and younger. (Konferenz der Stadtammänner von Zurich, 2012, p. 7) 13 Numbers published by the SNB in 2012 show that the number of credit card transactions in Switzerland increased from 78.2m in 2007 to 104.3m in 2011. (SNB, 2012) This hike indicates that retail customers have found it easier to access financial products such as credit cards and have used them more heavily in their daily life. Roman Graf 11/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland facilitated through technological developments as well as increased advertising and any retail investor who intends to can easily purchase structured products.14 Product complexity has also increased with the type of mortgages banks sell to its customers. Credit Suisse, 2012B, p. 7, estimates that around 40% of Swiss households currently own their homes what compares to 35% in 2000. In recent years, banks have been increasingly innovative with new mortgage solutions such as LIBOR linked mortgages.15 The advancements around the developments of new and more complex financial products highlight the importance of financial knowledge among individuals who are exposed to those new constructions. Exhibit 6: Development and Distribution of Structured Products Structured Products in Client Portfolios of Swiss Banks (Yearly Average CHF bn) Structured Products and Retail Investors 400 7% 5% 300 34% 173 175 200 31 21 100 133 102 133 120 117 15 14 78 78 12 71 54% 0 2007 2008 2009 Privat clients Commercial clients 2010 2011 Institutional clients Current Str. Prod. Holder Never Held Str. Prod. Former Str. Prod. Holder Does Not Know Str. Prod. Source: SNB, 2012 / Wilding et al., 2010 2.2.3. Raising Demand for Consumer Protection and More Extensive Regulation The OECD recognized in its “Strategic Response to the Financial and Economic Crisis” in 2009 the need to enhance the consumer protection regulatory framework and financial education tools that are aimed at protecting and better informing financial customers in their interactions with financial services providers. The OECD thereby emphasized the need for better regulatory standards and international code of conducts on marketing financial services. Financial literacy is considered as a necessary complement to (rather than a substitute for) a sound framework for financial market regulation and prudential supervision. (OECD, 2009B, p. 3) Being aware of the importance of adequate regulatory frameworks in order to prevent future financial crisis from happening, policy responses have been underway in many countries. However, those policy actions and reforms do too seldom include measures focused on 14 A representative survey of 1’994 individuals aged 18-74 years conducted by the University of Zurich in 2010 showed that 7% of the respondents held at least one structured product in their portfolio (cf. Exhibit 6). Furthermore, 66% of the respondents reported to know structured products or a category thereof. (Wilding, Volkart, Affolter, & Lautenschlager, 2010, p. 5) 15 The State Bank of Zurich (ZKB), for instance, mentioned in its annual report 2011 (p. 93) a strong customer demand of LIBOR mortgages and reported that LIBOR mortgages accounted for 15% of its mortgage portfolio by year end 2011. This number is also in line with data published by Comparis in 2012 which suggests a share of LIBOR mortgages which went up to 16% in 2011. Roman Graf 12/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland financial education. It seems as if the positive externalities from better financially educated citizens in form of contributions to more efficient, transparent and competitive practices by financial institutes are not fully believed in. Nevertheless, the OECD highlighted in 2009 that better educated citizens can also implicitly help in monitoring markets through their own decisions, and therefore complement prudential supervision. (OECD, 2009B, p. 8) Consumer Protection Measures in Switzerland FINMA, the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority, has announced on February 24, 2012 a package of measures to strengthen client protection. On the first page of the press release, FINMA refers to the “asymmetrical power relationship between financial services providers and clients” and proposes clear rules of business conduct for financial services providers and better product documentation.16 At the core of the proposed new rules of business conduct for financial services providers is an obligation for banks, insurers and portfolio managers to “inform all clients about the content of a service and the characteristics of financial products, and to warn them about the risks involved”. FINMA elaborates further that “clients should in future be clearly informed about all the costs associated with a service or the purchase of a product”. (FINMA, 2012B, p. 1) In more concrete terms, FINMA obliges providers of standardized financial products such as shares, bonds and structured products to draw up prospectus which “must contain all the key details of the product and the provider and ensure transparency concerning the risks associated with buying the product”. In anticipation of the low financial knowledge of retail clients, FINMA calls for brief, roughly two to three-page product descriptions along the lines of the simplified prospectuses produced for securities funds. (FINMA, 2012B, p. 2) The implementation of those proposed measures requires a financial services act which in reality may take years until it is through the Swiss parliament. FINMA also supports a further strengthening of the customer rights in the civil law, which would allow retail customers to more effectively enforce their claims, and which may be introduced more quickly. Increasing transparency is only of value for retail customers who are in a position to understand the additional information provisions. It is critical for financial regulation and customer protection laws based on transparency that adequate financial knowledge is available with retail customers. 16 There have also been actions undertaken in regards to the Federal Act on Collective Investment Schemes (Kollektivanlagengesetz (KAG)). On March 2, 2012 the Federal Council (Bundesrat) adopted the dispatch on the partial revision of the KAG which is supposed to enter into force in 2013 following its parliamentary consultation. Adjustments to the act are necessary in order to safeguard the compliance of Swiss law with international regulatory standards. Of importance from a financial literacy point of view are the new distribution concept and the definition of qualified investors. (EFD, 2011, p. 6) Currently wealthy individuals (i.e. individuals with financial assets of at least CHF 2 Mio.) are considered qualified investors. The same holds true for all individuals who entered into written asset management agreements with specific asset managers. Under the revised KAG, wealthy individuals shall only be deemed qualified investors upon their specific declaration (“opting-in”). Furthermore, the fact of a written asset management agreement shall no longer turn a private, non-qualified investor into a qualified investor. (Bundesblatt, 2012, 12.037) The adjustments therefore represent a step towards stronger retail investor protection. Roman Graf 13/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Consumer Protection Measures in the European Union The main regulatory piece in relation to consumer protection for wholesale investors in the EU is the MiFID framework. The EU introduced MiFID with the key objective to foster harmonization as well as to boost innovation and competition across financial markets of member states. It aims at building an integrated structure for a pan-European market for investment services.17 (Skinner, 2007, p. 123) Article 19 of MiFID includes rules about business conduct of investment firms with clients and is of importance with regards to financial literacy. Investment firms are asked to provide clients or potential clients with various kind of information including appropriate guidance on and warning of the risks associated with investments in a comprehensible form. (MiFID Art. 19.3) Furthermore, investment firms are obliged to classify their clients and to carry out a suitability test for each client before entering into business. (MiFID Art.19.4) MiFID thereby requires firms to categorize clients as “eligible counterparties”, professional clients or retail clients who are given increasing levels of protection. Clear procedures must be in place to categorize clients and assess their suitability for each type of investment product. However, the suitability of any investment advice or recommended financial transaction must still be verified before being given. Such far-reaching requirements concerning bank’s duties are not within the scope of existing Swiss regulations. However, many measures proposed by FINMA, as previously highlighted in the policy measures in Switzerland, have been formulated with view on the existing MiFID rules. In its distribution report, for instance, FINMA refers to topics such as customer segmentation and categorization as well as pre-contract information obligations. (cf. KPMG, 2011) Consumer Protection Measures in the United States In the US, policymakers reacted to the financial crisis with the implementation of the DoddFrank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act.18 The stated objective of the act was thereby defined as: “To promote the financial stability of the United States by improving accountability and transparency in the financial system, to end "too big to fail", to protect the American taxpayer by ending bailouts, to protect consumers from abusive financial services practices, and for other purposes.” (OpenCongress, 2012) 17 MiFID, the European Commission’s Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (EU Directive 2004/39/EC), was implemented on November 1, 2007, replacing the Investment Services Directive. The directive applies to all 27 EU member states as well as Iceland, Norway and Liechtenstein. MiFID must either be incorporated into local law or into the rules of the local regulatory handbook, depending on how financial regulation is applied in a respective state. 18 The Dodd-Frank Act was signed into law in July 2010 and spans over 2’300 pages and affects almost every aspect of the US financial services industry. For a thorough analysis of the Act please refer to Skadden, 2010. Roman Graf 14/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Title IX of the act reads “Investor Protections and Improvements to the Regulation of Securities” and includes subtitle A “Increasing Investor Protection” which contains provisions that authorize the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to issue "point-of-sale disclosure" rules when retail investors purchase investment products or services. These disclosures include concise information on costs, risks, and conflicts of interest. (Skadden, 2010, p. 82) Furthermore, in determining the disclosure rules, the act authorizes the SEC to do "investor testing" and rely on experts to study financial literacy among retail investors. (Skadden, 2010, p. 82) Title X named “Bureau of Consumer Financial Protection” establishes the Bureau of Consumer Financial Protection which also incorporates the Office of Financial Education which will develop programs to improve consumers’ financial literacy and familiarity with consumer financial products. (Skadden, 2010, p. 176) Roman Graf 15/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland 3. Relevant Literature In recent years a significant number of empirical studies related to financial literacy have been published. The following literature review aims to capture the relevant publications in a structured way.19 Firstly, there will be a section referring to financial literacy in regards to demographic, economic and financial characteristics. Secondly, there will be sections targeting the relationship between financial literacy and financial behavior in regards to private indebtedness, retirement planning and financial investment. The bulk of the existing literature refers to studies outside Switzerland. A separate analysis on research performed in Switzerland is included at the end of the literature review only followed by some final remarks. 3.1. Demographic, Economic and Financial Characteristics The report “Improving Financial Literacy: Analysis of Issues and Policies” released by the OECD in 2005 can be considered as the first major report about financial literacy and financial education on an interntaional level. The report identified and analyzed exisiting studies in the field of financial literacy in twelf member countries and concluded a low level of financial understanding among consumers, especially with minorities, those less-educated and those with low income. 3.1.1. Gender There is mounting empirical evidence of a gender gap in financial literacy with significantly lower financial literacy levels of women. Furthermore, women are more probable to state that they do not know the answer compared to men. (Lusardi & Mitchell, 2011B) Multiple studies report a gender gap with young20 and old21 people which exists across interest, inflation and risk diversification knowledge. 19 Table A20 includes an overview of major surveys which were conducted in designated developed countries and through which financial literacy data has been collected in the past. The majority of those surveys are performed repetitively and some of them are of longitudinal nature. 20 There are a number of studies reporting on the gender gap among the youth and students. An early study from Chen & Volpe, 1998, comprised of 924 students from 13 different US campuses and results showed men, students with higher class rank, and business majors having higher financial literacy scores. Later, Chen & Volpe, 2002, surveyed 1’800 students in 11 universities in the US and concluded that women have lower financial literacy levels than men even after controlling for items such as class rank, work experience and age. They argue that women are more interested in subjects such as English and Humanity and disfavor subjects closely related to numeracy. Other arguments from Ford & Kent, 2010, show that women possess three sensibilities regarding financial markets and suggest that those sensibilities lessen women’s interest in financial literacy. They name the sensibilites a strong feeling of intimidation, a lack of interest, and low situational awareness. Finally, Lusardi, Mitchell, & Curto, 2010, analyzed data from a nationally representative sample of 7’417 respondents aged 23–28 years in the US between 2007 and 2008 and found a statistically significant gender gap. Contradictory results come from India where Koshal, Gupta, Goyal, & Choudhary, 2008, surveyed 494 MBA students and concluded that gender differences do not have an influence on economic literacy defined through an index consisting of basic knowledge about economics, savings and investments. Furthermore, Lalonde & Schmidt, 2011, surveyed 278 college students of a liberal arts college in the Northeastern United States and found that class rank, as indicated by its impact on the number of credit cards, and motivation as measured by interest in personal finance, are the most significant predictors of financial literacy rather than gender. 21 There is a considerable amount of research available on the gender gap with the older population. Lusardi, Mitchell, & Curto, 2009, analyzed data from 1’332 US HRS respondents over the age of 55 years and reported lower financial knowledge of women. Their findings are consistent with Lusardi & Tufano, 2009, who found that gender differences are large among the young and continue to be strong among the old. Clark, Allen, & Morrill, 2010, surveyed 1’501 workers nearing retirement in the US and found men performing better on questions about general financial knowledge. Lusardi, Mitchell, & Curto, 2012, used a special-purpose module implemented in the HRS and confirmed lower financial knowledge of female with a sample of US respondents aged 55 years or older. Roman Graf 16/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Lower financial literacy levels for women in the adult population have been reported by reseachers in many geographies.22 Univariate statistics in empirical studies in Germany (Müller & Weber, 2010 and Bucher & Lusardi, 2011), Italy (Monticone, 2010 and Fornero & Monticone, 2011), the Netherlands (Alessie, Van Rooij, & Lusardi, 2011 and Van Rooij, Lusardi, & Alessie, 2011), Sweden (Almenberg & Säve-Söderbergh, 2011) and the US (e.g. Lusardi, 2008 (A+B), Bumcrot, Lin, & Lusardi, 2011, Lusardi & Mitchell, 2011A and Lusardi, 2012) all confirmed the existance of a gender gap.23 A closer examination of the gender gap in financial knowledge has been performed by Fonseca et al., 2012. They confirmed statistically significant lower finanical literacy levels (even after controlling for socio-demographic characteristics) of women while studying Rand American Life Panel data of 2’500 respondents aged 18 years and older. They argue that a possible mechanism through which gender differences are produced is household specification where men is specializing in making household financial decisions thereby acquiring financial knowledge while women specialize in other household functions. Furthermore, they reported that men benefit more from education than women. Another explanation for the gender gap is provided by Lusardi & Mitchell, 2011B, who contemplated from the fact that there is no gender gap in Russia and East Germany compared to West Germany that women have more difficulties in catching up with economic and financial market developments than men do. 3.1.2. Age Results from empirical research on financial literacy and age indicate an overall humpshaped pattern with low financial literacy levels among the young and the old. The “don’t know/ refusal” answers usually follow a U-shaped pattern with young and old respondents mostly evading to answer or confirming not to know.24 A distinct overall hump-shaped pattern between age and financial literacy and a general Ushaped pattern for “don’t know/ refusal” responses have been reported in univariate statistics by researchers such as Almenberg & Säve-Söderbergh, 2011, for Sweden, Crossan, Feslier, & Hurnard, 2011, for New Zealand, Bucher & Lusardi, 2011, for Germany, Fornero & Monticone, 2011, for Italy and Lusardi & Mitchell, 2011A, for the US. Agarwal, Driscoll, Gabaix, & Laibson, 2009, study lifecycle patterns in financial mistakes using a proprietary database that measures ten different types of credit behavior. They found 22 For empirical studies confirming the gender gap outside Europe and the US, refer to the following publications: Australia (Worthington, 2006 and Gallery, Gallery, Brown, Furneaux, & Palm, 2011), Japan (Sekita, 2011), UAE (Al-Tamimi & Bin Kalli, 2009), Russia (Klapper & Panos, 2011 and Klapper, Lusardi, & Panos, 2012), Chile (Hastings & Mitchell, 2011), and New Zealand (Crossan et al., 2011). 23 A systematic and persistent difference in financial literacy between men and women is also highlighted in a paper by Bucher, Lusardi, Alessie, & Von Rooij, 2012 which is fully dedicated to the low financial literacy levels of women across several countries. 24 Many studies are cross-sectional and are therefore not able to distinguish between age and cohort effects. The majority of those studies assume that both effects exist (cf. Bucher & Lusardi, 2011 or Sekita, 2011). Roman Graf 17/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland that financial mistakes follow a U-shaped pattern with age and the cost-minimizing performance occurring around the age of 53 years.25 Financial Literacy Among The Young Lusardi, Mitchell, & Curto, 2010, published a paper about financial literacy among the young in the US in which they used data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY) which covered 7’417 respondents aged 23–28 years and reported that financial knowledge among young adults is poor with fewer than one-third possessing basic knowledge of interest rates, inflation and risk diversification. The results are also supported by findings of Mandell, 2008, who reported the results of the sixth biennial US National Jump$tart Coalition Survey of High School Seniors and College Students in 2008. He emphasizes that financial literacy levels of US high school students have fallen to its lowest levels ever since the survey was performed first ten years ago. Financial Literacy Among The Old Lusardi, Mitchell, & Curto, 2009, analyzed data from the 2008 US HRS of people aged 55 years and older and found that people lack even a rudimentary understanding of stock and bond prices, risk diversification, portfolio choice, and investment fees. A later study carried out again by Lusardi, Mitchell, & Curto, 2012, confirms the results that many elderly people lack a basic grasp of asset pricing, risk diversification, portfolio choice, and investment fees. However, some studies (cf. Sekita, 2011, Almenberg & Säve-Söderbergh, 2011, Crossan et al., 2011, and Bucher & Lusardi, 2011) found that inflation knowledge is better among respondents above the age of 65 years as compared to respondents below 35 years. They argue that elderly people can still remember the high inflation years in the 1970s and 1980s. 3.1.3. Education There is an overwhelmingly positive and often monotonic relationship between level of general education and financial literacy levels across a broad range of empirical studies. Higher education thereby comes with better financial knowledge irrespective if defined in relation to interest, inflation or risk diversification. Furthermore, the share of answer of “don’t know/ refusal” is decreasing in education. However, research on specific financial education, as compared to general education, and its impact on financial literacy and saving rates shows controversial findings.26 Almenberg & Säve-Söderbergh, 2011, used a sample of 1‘300 adults aged 18-79 years in Sweden and confirmed a strong positive relationship between financial literacy and education. (cf. Sekita, 2011, Crossan et al., 2011, Bucher & Lusardi, 2011, Fornero & 25 Tannahill, 2012, emphasizes in an article in the Journal of Financial Service Professionals the changing financial literacy and decision making abilities through the lifetime of financial services clients. He emphasizes in alignment with the findings of Agarwal et al., 2009, that financial services providers should adjust their communication and practices to reflect on those changes. 26 Manz, 2011, discusses in an article the relationship between education and financial behavior and questions its causality. Roman Graf 18/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Monticone, 2011, Lusardi & Mitchell, 2011A, Alessie et al., 2011, and Klapper & Panos, 2011) They also investigated the college major of the respondents and concluded that respondents with quantiative majors peformed best.27 School-Based Financial Education Mainly in the US there has been some research performed which aimed at measuring the impact of personal finance courses in school on financial literacy after passing of some time. Bernheim, Garrett, & Maki, 2001, analyzed the effects of mandated consumer education and household finance policies in US high schools from the 1960s to the 1980s on financial decision making. They conducted 2’000 surveys of a nationally representative sample of respondents between the age of 30 and 49 years in 1995 who graduated between 1964 and 1983 and found that mandated finance instructions ultimately elevate the rates at which individuals save and accumulate wealth during their adult lives.28 However, survey results indicated that many respondents could not remember whether or not they had taken a course in money management or personal finance in high school. On the contrary, Cole & Shastry, 2008, use US census, a survey conducted by the US government, with 14 million observations and concluded that financial literacy education programs (in contrast to education in general), mandated by state governments, did not have an effect on individual savings decisions. They ask for rigorous evaluations of those financial literacy education programs to measure their effectiveness. Furthermore, Mandell, 2008, who reported the results of the sixth biennial US National Jump$tart Coalition Survey of US High School Seniors and College Students in 2008 found that high school financial education had little if any impact on savings. Mandell, 2008, argued that some of what is learned in high school financial education classes may lie dormant in the minds of the students until much later in life when they have sufficient resources to utilize 27 There have been multiple studies focused on financial literacy with university students. Murphy, 2005, analyzed 277 survey responses of US undergraduate students attending a predominantly black institution and concluded that finance-related classes raised students’ financial literacy. He also found gender and age differences which, however, were not statistically significant. Mandell, 2008, used the Jump$tart Survey of 2008 of 1’030 college students aged 18-23 years and analyzed financial literacy by majors. He found that Science, Social Science and Engineering students performed especially well and better than Business students. Furthermore, the study showed that parents’ educational background is not likely to be associated with a child’s financial literacy. Peng, Bartholomae, Fox, & Cravener, 2007, conducted research on 12’000 graduates of a large Midwestern university in the US in 2005 and results pointed out that experience from the participation in financial education classes in university improves the score of investment knowledge tests. Koshal et al., 2008, found that differences between Indian MBA students’ grades does not have a statistically significant impact on economic literacy scores. Lalonde & Schmidt, 2011, questioned college students in a liberal arts college in the Northeastern United States and found that class rank, as indicated by its impact on the number of credit cards, and motivation, as measured by interest in personal finance, are the most significant predictors of financial literacy. Chinen & Endo, 2012, surveyed 361 undergraduate students at a public university in Sacramento, California, and investigated items measuring attitudes toward financial education while in high school. They found a positive relationship between basic structure of finance and economy as part of financial education requirements for high school students and scores on financial literacy and an inverse relationship for students preferring applied level finance (e.g. asset management). Borodich, Deplazes, Kardash, & Kovzik, 2010, examined levels of financial literacy across 4’157 high school and university students in the US, Belarus and Japan and found that Japanese students, overall, outperformed all others in the sample regardless of coursework in personal finance or grade level. Sabri, 2011, provides an overview of financial literacy studies on college students in the US between 19872010. 28 This results are in line with those of the National Endowment for Financial Education, 2009, who surveyed nearly 16’000 college students on their financial knowledge and financial behavior. They reconciled survey participants to the state in which they attended high school and segregated the states into six categories based on the strictness of their financial education requirements. They reported that respondents who went to high school in a state with mandated financial education generally had better financial literacy scores, as well as “more favorable” financial behavior in regards to budgeting and use of credit. Roman Graf 19/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland what they have learned. Following this logic, a course in personal finance may not have an instant impact on financial literacy until the knowledge is actually applied.29 In a later study, Mandell & Klein, 2009, analyzed a sample of 400 students in the US of which half did take a personal financial management course one to four years earlier while the other half did not. The results strikingly revealed that those who took the course were no more financially literate than those who had not. Furthermore, those who took the course did not evaluate themselves to be more savings-oriented and did not appear to have better financial behavior. Employer-Based Financial Education Bernheim & Garrett, 2003, used data from the 1994 US national survey of 2’055 households with respondents aged 30-48 years to explore the effects of retirement seminars on household retirement and savings behavior. They found that employees of firms that offer financial education have significantly higher levels of 401(k) participation rates, contributions, and balances as well as higher overall (including savings outside of retirement accounts) saving rates. However, Gale & Levine, 2010, examined existing literature about financial education, financial literacy and savings in regards to employer-based, school-based, credit counseling, or community-based education efforts in the US. They argue that it is difficult to control for all of the factors determining saving and it may be that firms with better benefits attract workers with longer planning horizons who are living in more stable financial circumstances. In such a case the impact of employer-based financial education may be overstated. 3.1.4. Labor Market Status Empirical research indicates that low levels of financial literacy are associated with people who are non-employed or unemployed, if shown separately. (cf. Almenberg & SäveSöderbergh, 2011, Sekita, 2011, Bucher & Lusardi, 2011, Fornero & Monticone, 2011, and Lusardi & Mitchell, 2011A) These results may in univariate statistics, however, be driven by the fact that lower educated individuals and women are over-represented with non-employed people.30 However, Lusardi & Mitchell, 2011B, argue that the difference may also stem from financial education programs regularly being offered in the workplace in the US or from learning from colleagues. 29 Lusardi & Mitchell, 2007, stress in their concluding remarks in an article about financial literacy and retirement preparedness that education alone may not be sufficient to enhance retirement savings as findings showed that people had difficulty following through on planned actions. They argue that it is essential to provide individuals with tools to change their behaviors, rather than simply delivering financial education. Mandell & Klein, 2007, argue in an article about motivation and financial literacy on the basis of data from the Jump$tart Coalition Survey of US High School Seniors that motivation to learn or retain financial skills can explain differences in financial literacy. They argue that the equal or low financial literacy scores of those who have and have not taken relevant coursework can be explained by the fact that many students just don’t care about their personal finances. 30 Alessie et al., 2011, highlight the fact that the non-employed cohort includes those who are unemployed but looking for a job, those who are not able to work and receive a disability benefit, and housekeepers. Roman Graf 20/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Multiple studies report highest financial literacy levels with self-employed people. (cf. Almenberg & Säve-Söderbergh, 2011, Bucher & Lusardi, 2011, Fornero & Monticone, 2011, and Lusardi & Mitchell, 2011A) As mentioned by Fornero & Monticone, 2011, self-employed individuals include small business owners and “liberal professions” such as lawyers who are assumed to be wealthier and therefore also more accustomed to managing their personal and business finances.31 Studies such as Lusardi & Mitchell, 2011A, who used data from 1’500 Americans, reported that inflation knowledge is highest with retired respondents. (cf. Sekita, 2011, for Japan) Congruent with the conclusion about elderly people they argue that retired people know more about inflation as they were exposed to high inflation periods in the 1970s and 1980s whereas the younger generation have not had such experience. 3.1.5. Financial Income Multiple studies confirm a positive relationship between financial income and financial literacy scores. (cf. Tennant, Wright, & Jackson, 2009, Almenberg & Säve-Söderbergh, 2011, Lusardi & Mitchell, 2008, Delavande, Rohwedder, & Willis, 2008) However, the relationship between financial income and financial literacy in an univariate analysis may be driven by the underlying education of people with better educated people also earning more. Bucher & Lusardi, 2011, used a sample of 1’117 individuals from the SAVE survey for Germany and concluded that financial literacy is particularly low among East Germans with low income. Furthermore, they found that in particular, individuals at the top of the income distribution are more probable to have calculated saving and investment needs than individuals at the bottom. 3.1.6. Financial Wealth As with income, empirical studies such as Fonseca et al., 2012, reported that wealthier individuals have higher levels of financial literacy. Van Rooij, Lusardi, & Alessie, 2012, used a sample of 1’091 households in the Netherlands and found a strong positive association between financial literacy and net worth, even after controlling for many determinants of wealth. They provide evidence that the positive relationship between financial literacy and wealth accumulation might be supported by the fact that financially knowledgeable individuals are more likely to invest in stocks and have a higher propensity to plan for retirement. A positive relationship was also found by McArdle, Smith, & Willis, 2009, who analyzed a subset of surveys from the US HRS and concluded that numeracy, as a broader definition of 31 For example in Switzerland, self-employed individuals are not covered by the occupational pension system. (Art. 3 BVG) As they have to accommodate for retirement planning by themselves, they can be assumed to have more exposure to personal and business finance decisions than other individuals. Roman Graf 21/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland financial literacy, is by far the strongest predictor of wealth among all cognitive variables in the US HRS sample. (cf. Smith, McArdle, & Willis, 2010) Direction of Causality It may well be that financial literacy is an explanatory variable for financial wealth, however, one may also argue that financial behavior itself influences financial knowledge (reverse causality). Financial wealth may thereby be a source of leaning.32 Behrman, Mitchell, Soo, & Bravo, 2010, were aware of unobserved factors such as ability, intelligence, and motivation that could enhance financial literacy and surveyed 13’054 Chilean respondents aged 24-65 years. They applied an instrumental variable approach and reported large causal effects of financial literacy on wealth. Also following an instrumental variable approach, Monticone, 2010, analyzed 3’992 households in Italy and suggested that households with larger financial assets are more likely to invest in financial knowledge. She concluded that household wealth affects financial knowledge even after removing wealth endogeneity in the model. Furthermore, Smith et al., 2010, used data from the US HRS and found a positive relationship between numerical skills and household wealth. They assume that causality is running the same way as the effects were also holding for lower wealth quartiles. On the contrary, Gustman, Steinmeier, & Tabatabai, 2012, used a sample of older US members of couple households and did not find any relationship between basic cognitive skills and knowledge of retirement plan characteristics. They identified a positive relationship between pension wealth and knowledge but argued that causality is likely to run from pension wealth to pension knowledge.33 3.2. Retirement Planning and Saving There is significant empirical evidence that adults with a better financial understanding are more likely than others to plan for retirement. Financial literacy and its impact on retirement planning can be seen as a central area of research in the field of financial knowledge. Studies are often assembled in the form of multivariate regression analysis in order to control for socio-demographic variables and include instrumental variables to account for reverse causality omitted varialbe effects. Empirical evidence shows that improved levels of financial literacy can lead to positive behavior change in form of retirement planning, enabling people to be more financially secure in their retirement. Retirement planning is seen as critically important as it is a good 32 Hilgert, Hogarth, & Beverly, 2003, reported that respondents in the 2001 University of Michigan Survey of Consumers mentioned personal financial experience as the single most important source of financial knowledge. 33 Multiple studies report that financial literacy is closely tied to retirement planning and retirement wealth accumulation (cf. Behrman et al., 2010, Lusardi, 2008B, Klapper & Panos, 2011 and Fornero & Monticone, 2011). Roman Graf 22/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland proxy for retirement wealth – people who have calculated how much they need to save for their own retirement reach retirement age with as much as three times the wealth of those wo did no calculations. (Lusardi & Mitchell, 2011B) Lusardi & Mitchell, 2011B, concluded while considering financial literacy studies from eight countries that the financially knowledgeable are more likely to plan for retirement. They reported that especially the understanding of interest rates and risk diversification matters for retirement planning. 3.2.1. United States Lusardi & Mitchell, 2011A, used data from the National Financial Capability Survey of 1’200 representatives of the general adult US population and concluded that people who score higher on the financial literacy questions are much more likely to plan for retirement, which is likely to leave them better positioned for old age. In the same direction point the findings of Clark, Allen, & Morrill, 2010, who surveyed 1’500 US workers nearing retirement and concluded that many lack basic financial knowledge such as knowledge about company and national retirement plans and that incorrect understanding negatively affects retirement plans. Agnew, Szykman, Utkus, & Young, 2007, surveyed 817 respondents in the US and reported that financial literacy plays a critical role in improving 401(k) savings behavior through a reduction in both the proportion of non-joiners in voluntary 401(k) plans and the proportion of quitters in automatic enrollment plans. 3.2.2. Europe Positive effects of financial literacy on retirement planning were found by Bucher & Lusardi, 2011, who used a sample of 1’117 individuals from the SAVE survey for Germany and Almenberg & Säve-Söderbergh, 2011, who surveyed 1’300 Swedish adults aged 18–79 years and concluded that people who report having tried to plan for retirement had higher levels of financial literacy. Alessie et al., 2011, present evidence on financial literacy and retirement preparation in the Netherlands based on two surveys conducted before and after the onset of the financial crisis. They document that while financial knowledge did not increase from 2005 to 2010, in 2010 significantly more individuals reported to have thought about their retirement. Using information on financial conditions and financial knowledge of relatives, they found a positive causal effect of financial literacy on retirement preparation. Findings in Italy by Fornero & Monticone, 2011, show that financial literacy enhances the probability of participation in a pension fund, even after controlling for other potential determinants of pension plan participation, such as risk preferences and the expected social Roman Graf 23/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland security replacement rate and retirement age. They also confirm causality while addressing potential financial literacy endogeneity. 3.2.3. Other Countries Sekita, 2011, used data of 5’368 respondents aged 20-69 years in Japan and reported that financial literacy increased the probability of having a retirement savings plan. On the contrary, Crossan et al., 2011, questionned 850 individuals of the general adult population of New Zealand in 2009 and reported that financial literacy is not significantly associated with planning for retirement. They argue that the result reflect the dominant role of New Zealand’s universal public pension system in providing retirement income security. Hastings & Mitchell, 2011, analyzed a nationally representative survey of 14’243 Chileans with an average age of 50 years and found that both financial literacy and short-run impatience play important roles in determining retirement saving, even after controlling for education and income. 3.3. Investment Behavior Research indicates that individuals with higher financial literacy levels are better able to manage their money, participate in the stock market more often and perform better on portfolio choices. Furthermore, people with advanced financial knowledge are more likely to accumulate wealth. 3.3.1. Investment Likelihood Yoong, 2010, used a sample of older American respondents in the Rand American Life Panel and found that a lack of familiarity with finance can be a meaningful impediment to financial participation in the form of stock market participation, even after accounting for background controls including income, social factors, and behavioral proxies. Similar findings are pointed out by Van Rooij et al., 2012, who used a sample of 1’091 households in the Netherlands and found that home ownership and investments in stocks, mutual funds and bonds are much more common among those individuals who score high on financial literacy. Christelis, Jappelli, & Padura, 2010, used data from the 2004 Survey of Health, Aging and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) which covered a representative sample of 32’184 individuals aged 50 years or more in eleven European countries and investigated the relationship between cognitive abilities (i.e. numerical skills, memory skills and verbal fluency) and stock market participation. They found evidence that cognitive impairments reduce the propensity to hold stocks while controlling for socio-economic characteristics such as education. Roman Graf 24/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland 3.3.2. Investment Sophistication Calvet, Campbell, & Sodini, 2007, used data supplied by Statistics Sweden of the entire population of Sweden (about 9 million residents) and reported that households with greater financial sophistication (measured by crude proxies) tend to invest more efficiently but also more aggressively. Similar findings are provided by Banks, O'Dea, & Oldfield, 2010, who used data from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) with a representative sample of the English population aged 50 years and older and found that less numerate individuals hold systematically different portfolios. Müller & Weber, 2010, conducted an internet survey on investment fund choice in Germany and reported a positive influence of financial literacy on the likelihood of investing in low-cost fund alternatives. Guiso & Jappelli, 2008, used data from an Unicredit Clients’ Survey which was conducted in 2007 with 1’686 individuals with a checking account (balance at least EUR 10’000) in one of the banks of the Unicredit Group. They reported that lack of financial literacy is the main variable explaining lack of portfolio diversification. Also about diversification, Abreu & Mendes, 2010, analyzed 1’268 questionnaires of Portuguese citizens aged 18 years or older with at least one bank account and found that investors’ educational levels and their financial knowledge have a significant impact on diversification or the number of different assets included in a portfolio. Hastings & Tejeda-Ashton, 2008, collected 763 questionnaires in Mexico City and found that financially literate respondents place much higher importance on fees relative to brand name when selecting mutual funds. 3.4. Personal Indebtedness The findings of financial literacy and debt or indebtedness point into the direction that more financially literate individuals are more likely to opt for less costly mortgages and avoid high interest payments and superfluous fees. A number of empirical studies focused their attention on the relationship between indebtedness and financial literacy as well as selfcontrol. 3.4.1. Quality of Debt Contracts Moore, 2003, surveyed Washington State residents and showed evidence that financial literacy affects borrowing behavior. For instance, the less literate are more likely to have costly mortgages and are more often behind schedule in paying off mortgage loans. Furthermore, Lusardi & Tufano, 2009, analyzed data of 1’000 respondents in the US and reported that low knowledge about debt is the norm and that low level of financial literacy among consumer credit users is associated with use of high cost credits. Roman Graf 25/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland 3.4.2. Mortgage Debt Fornero & Monticone, 2011, reported on the basis of data from Italy that among home owners, households currently having a mortgage proof to have higher financial literacy levels than those who are not. As explanation they emphasize the learning opportunity of contracting housing debt. Gerardi, Goette, & Meier, 2010, analyzed several aspects of financial literacy and cognitive ability in a survey of subprime mortgage borrowers who took out loans in 2006 and 2007. They found a large negative correlation between numerical ability and mortgage delinquencies as well as defaults which is robust after controlling for a broad set of sociodemographic variables. 3.4.3. Self-control Gathergood, 2012, analyzed 1’234 UK household questionnaires with a positive balance on at least one consumer credit item and found that UK customers’ lack of self-control and to a lesser extend also financial illiteracy are positively associated with non-payment of consumer credit and self-reported excessive financial burdens of debt. In the same direction point results by Heidhues & Koszegi, 2010, who showed in a formal analysis that non-sophisticated consumers underestimate their taste for immediate gratification and therefore result in repaying debt in an ex-ante suboptimal back-loaded manner more often than they predict or prefer.34 3.5. Economic and Financial Stability Financial literacy is important to economic and financial stability as more financial literate individuals can make better informed decisions and demand higher quality services which will encourage competition and innovation in the financial marketplace. (OECD, 2012A, p. 8) Furthermore, financially knowledgeable individuals are more likely to take appropriate steps to manage transferred risks in a humble way. All together, financially literate individuals lead to the financial sector becoming more efficient resulting in less costly financial regulation and supervision being applicable. (OECD, 2012A, p. 8) Lusardi & Mitchell, 2011C, highlight in an outlook for financial literacy that poor financial decision making can have substantial costs not just for individuals but also for societies at large.35 They argue that financial illiteracy undermines the stability of the global financial system and conclude that financial literacy skills are critical for the economic and social welfare not only of this generation, but especially of those to come. 34 Hoelzl & Kapteyn, 2011, assemble in an editorial about “Financial Capability” the different perspectives on financial behavior. They emphasize that financial capability may be approached in an interdisciplinary way from both psychology and economics. In their article they also refer to selfassessment to learn more about one’s risk aversion. 35 For an illustration on how financial illiteracy can cause harm for the whole society, refer to Volpe & Mumaw, 2010, who examined the relationship between financial literacy and loose lending standards during the US real estate boom of 2001-2006. Roman Graf 26/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland 3.5.1. Self-Assessed vs. Actual Financial Literacy Guiso & Jappelli, 2008, used data from an Unicredit Clients’ Survey and found that a large number of investors claim to know much more about finance than what is actually the case. This finding is relevant to assess the impact of recent regulation requiring financial intermediaries to elicit the degree of investors’ financial sophistication (refer to section 2.2.3.). Investment firms thereby often perform surveys which, however, rather reflect investors’ optimism, self-confidence and over-confidence instead of financial literacy. 3.6. Financial Literacy in Switzerland There is only little known about financial literacy in Switzerland as there is only limited empirical research available focusing on Switzerland and Switzerland did not participate in the OECD study in 2005. The Institute Banking and Finance (IBF) of the Zurich University of Applied Science (ZHAW) has engaged in the financial literacy topic and established a dedicated education platform on financial literacy. Their aim is to build fundamental knowledge about financial literacy in Switzerland and make basic information available in order to enable larger research projects to be performed.36 Thomas Staeheli and Matthias Zobl completed a project report as part of their studies at the ZHAW in June 2006 titled: „Erhebung über den Stand der Kenntnisse bezüglich Financial Literacy in der Schweiz“.37 Staeheli & Zobl, 2008, surveyed 104 individuals through their private network, 108 ZHAW students, 103 employees of the ZHAW and 45 employees of two Swiss companies. They raised data about the way in which respondents were handling their money, how respondents assessed their own financial knowledge, how distinct their real financial knowledge was and which exposure to financial education (incl. information channels) they already had.38 Staeheli & Zobl, 2008, created a „Self Evaluation Index“ (SEI) and a „Financial Literacy Index“ (FLI) in order to compare financial literacy levels with self-assessed financial knowledge. Their results showed a gender gap in financial literacy scores with women also answering more frequently “don’t know” compared to men. Their results also indicated a significant over-confidence in terms of financial knowledge with respondents which is decreasing in financial literacy levels. Especially weak results were discovered in the areas 36 The IBF of the ZHAW and the independent financial planning company Investor’s Dialogue have founded a joint venture for financial literacy in 2006. Their aim is to optimize resources and conduct common research in the field of financial literacy. Furthermore, the initiative of the ZHAW in the field of financial literacy aims at fostering information sharing with organizations such as the OECD but also the SNB which has launched their economic education program “iconomix” in November 2007. 37 The report has been revised in May 2007 for publication purposes. 38 They used a financial literacy study by the Bertelsmann foundation (Leinert, 2004) and Commerzbank (Commerzbank, 2004), both focused on Germany, for comparative purposes. Roman Graf 27/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland of the relationship between risk and reward of investments but also in the knowledge about the Swiss retirement system. However, more than 50% of respondents reported to be interested in learning more about handling their finances. The financial literacy study by Staeheli and Zobl gives some first insight into the financial knowledge of the population in Switzerland. However, there has not been any systematic and representative survey of financial knowledge conducted in Switzerland yet.39 While there have been diverse and heterogeneous initiatives and projects in the area of financial literacy, Switzerland has not introduced any national strategy in relation to financial literacy as compared to multiple other OECD countries (cf. Hieber, Probst, & Wüthrich, 2011, and section 6.3.1. about efforts undertaken in the field of financial literacy in Switzerland). 3.7. Final Remarks The basic OECD report on “Improving Financial Literacy, Analysis of Issues and Policies” issued in 2005 concludes a low level of financial understanding and awareness among respondents. At the same time, however, the OECD referred in its report to the significant differences in survey audiences, the varieties in approaches applied to measure financial literacy and the heterogeneous survey methodologies followed in the studies analyzed. Since the publication of the fundamental OECD report many new studies have been published and convergence in the methodologies and measurement of financial literacy could be observed.40 However, the findings did change only little with financial literacy levels still remaining on a rather low level in many countries. 39 The study by Staeheli & Zobl, 2008, cannot be considered representative due to the low sample size, lack of randomness in the selection of the sample, unsatisfactory geographical diversification and biases in socio-economic characteristics such as age (approx. 50% of respondents are within the age of 19 and 29 years) and education (approx. 50% of respondents are university graduates). In contrast, the University of Zurich conducted representative surveys about structured products and investment and stock-market behavior in Switzerland (cf. Wilding et al., 2010, and Birchler, Volkart, Ettlin, & Hegglin, 2011 or section 6.2.). While those studies collected information about the knowledge of the population in regards to areas such as the differences between stocks and bonds or the functioning of structured products, they were self-assessment based. Self-assessment likely results in people overstating their knowledge as highlighted in the paper of Staeheli & Zobl, 2008. 40 Refer to Table 3 and Exhibit A6 for an international comparison of findings based on consistent financial literacy definitions. Roman Graf 28/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland 4. Empirical Analysis of Financial Literacy This chapter starts with a description of the dataset and a general overview of the survey results. Later in the chapter there will be univariate and multivariate analysis of the financial literacy scores reconciled to demographic, economic and financial characteristics of survey respondents. 4.1. Description of Dataset The dataset used in the empirical analysis has been gathered by GfK Switzerland AG, a major Swiss market research institute which provides qualitative and quantitative market research. GfK was thereby assigned by the Swiss Institute of Banking & Finance (SIB&F) of the University of St. Gallen (HSG) to raise data on their behalf about the behavior of depositors during the financial crisis in the German speaking part of Switzerland. A questionnaire was constructed by the SIB&F which was used by GfK to conduct 1’500 telephone interviews of about 15 minutes in length with a representative sample of randomly selected individuals aged 20-74 years. The interviews were held in April 2011 and there was no remuneration of survey participants, neither in cash nor in any other form. The people participating in the survey were not necessarily the household heads. The data is crosssectional with respondents not having received the survey questionnaire prior to the interviews.41 Three financial literacy questions (refer to Table A1 in the appendix) were included at the end of the questionnaire. They were chosen such as to reflect on learnings from comparable studies conducted abroad. Simple descriptive statistics were performed in Microsoft Excel while more advanced analysis such as regressions were undertaken in Stata (V12). The questionnaire does not distinguish between “don’t know” and “refuse to answer” and this study will use the abbreviation DK for those types of responses. The share of DK is 3% or 42 answers of the sample (n=1’500) for the question about interest rates, 4% or 63 answers for the question about inflation and 13% or 195 for the risk diversification question. The sample has not been adjusted for DK observations with analysis displaying them separately. Table A2 describes the demographic and economic characteristics and Table A3 the financial characteristics of the sample households. Furthermore, Exhibit A1 geographically plots all survey participants on a Swiss map. 4.1.1. Financial Literacy Questions The complete questionnaire comprised of 18 questions whereof three were directly related to financial literacy. The three questions about financial literacy were chosen such as to allow 41 The survey was the first in its kind and there are no learning effects to be considered due to repetitive raising of information through similar or equal questions. Roman Graf 29/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland for international comparability of the results received. They were developed by Lusardi and Mitchell for the US HRS in 2004 and can be classified in three categories: Knowledge about interest rates Knowledge about inflation Knowledge about risk diversification 4.2. Description of Survey Results The consolidated responses to the three questions are highlighted in Table 1. On an aggregate view, the shares of correct answers for the interest rates and inflation questions are both about 79%. However, the results for the question about risk diversification shows a full sample score of correct answers of only 73%. Especially the number of respondents who said that they did not know the answer or refused to give an answer was high with 13% or 195 survey participants.42 Table 1: Responses to Financial Literacy Questions Men Questions # HH Women in % # HH Whole Sample in % # HH in % Interest Rates More than CHF 102 (correct answer) Exactly CHF 102 Less than CHF 102 Don’t know/ refuse to answer Number of observations 611 50 43 10 714 85.57 7.00 6.02 1.40 100.00 578 116 60 32 786 73.54 14.76 7.63 4.07 100.00 1'189 166 103 42 1'500 79.27 11.07 6.87 2.80 100.00 33 55 606 20 714 4.62 7.70 84.87 2.80 100.00 61 112 570 43 786 7.76 14.25 72.52 5.47 100.00 94 167 1'176 63 1'500 6.27 11.13 78.40 4.20 100.00 88 561 65 714 12.32 78.57 9.10 100.00 115 541 130 786 14.63 68.83 16.54 100.00 203 1'102 195 1'500 13.53 73.47 13.00 100.00 699 636 443 530 15 97.90 89.08 62.04 74.23 2.10 750 630 309 431 36 95.42 80.15 39.31 54.83 4.58 1’449 1’266 752 961 51 96.60 84.40 50.13 64.07 3.40 84 10 1 11.76 1.40 0.14 170 26 9 21.63 3.31 1.15 254 36 10 16.93 2.40 0.67 Inflation More Exactly the same Less (correct answer) Don’t know/ refuse to answer Number of observations Risk Diversification Investment in single stock Investment in mutual fund (correct answer) Don’t know/ refuse to answer Number of observations Correct Answers Across Questions At least one correct answer At least two correct answers Correct answer to all questions Correct answer to interest and inflation question No correct answer “Don’t know/ refuse” Across Questions At least one “don’t know/ refuse” answer At least two “don’t know/ refuse” answer Answer "don’t know/ refuse" to all questions Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations 42 Under the assumption of plain guessing of survey participants the expected share of respondents answering all questions correctly would be 5.56% or 83 respondents. Furthermore, the expected score of correct answers would be 1.17 correct answers for each respondent while assuming pure guessing. That compares to an average of 2.31 in the sample (i.e. 3’467 correct answers divided by 1’500 respondents). Roman Graf 30/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland 4.2.1. Interest Rates Knowledge Question 1 about interest rates was answered correctly by 1’189 or 79% of all survey respondents. Those respondents correctly argued that they would have more than CHF 102 in their account by the end of year five. Around 18% of respondents gave incorrect answers while 3% said that they did not know the solution or did not want to answer the question at all. The question about interest rates has been solved best what may be due to the fact that in many states such as the state of Zurich, interest calculation is part of the official school curriculum. The official school curriculum in mathematics in the state of Zurich includes sample interest rate questions for Secondary School Level I which are to a large extend congruent with the question asked in the survey.43 (Bildungsdirektion des Kantons Zürich, 2010, p. 302) Therefore, survey participants who went through the Secondary School Level I of the Swiss school system should have already been familiarized with the interest rates question.44 4.2.2. Inflation Knowledge Question 2 about inflation reveals 1’176 or 78% correct responses with participants stating that they could buy less if inflation is above the nominal interest rate. Around 17% of the survey participants were responding incorrectly and 4% refused to give an answer or admitted that they did not know. While considering again the school curriculum of the state of Zurich, also as a proxy for other German speaking states in Switzerland, one can find the term inflation as part of “orientation knowledge” at Secondary School Level I. The curriculum requires students to be able to use the term inflation “in various situations and areas”. (Bildungsdirektion des Kantons Zürich, 2010, p. 94) 4.2.3. Risk Diversification Knowledge Question 3 about risk diversification shows the poorest results with only 1’102 or 73% of the survey participants being aware of the lower risk of mutual fund as compared to single stock investments. Approximately 13% of responses were wrong and also 13% of the survey participants said that they did not know or refused to answer the question. 43 There is no consistent school curricula in Switzerland as the organization of the school system is in the authority of the states (BV Art. 62). However, the initiative “Projekt Lehrplan 21” of the Deutschschweizer Erziehungsdirektoren-Konferenz (D-EDK) aims at harmonizing the school curriculums of all German-speaking states. This new school curriculum includes clarifications in the field of financial competences of pupils and aims at incorporating mandatory educational objectives in the field of financial knowledge. The release date of the unified curriculum is supposed to be spring 2014. (EDK, 2010) 44 Zemp, 2011, chairman of the Swiss teachers’ association, argues in an article that so far Secondary School Level I (secondary school) teachers have not received the required technical and didactical education in the area of financial literacy. However, he also mentions that the Secondary School Level II (professional education, grammar school) should result in students having fundamental competences in financial matters such as simple risk return considerations. Roman Graf 31/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland The low performance in the risk diversification question can be explained with the fact that the knowledge of stock market risk diversification is not part of most Swiss school curricula. Knowledge in this area would have to come from economic and financial education or personal investment experience. However, personal investment experience may be rather low as only 536 or 36% of survey participants said that they had an investment portfolio (refer to Table A4). 84% of respondents with an investment portfolio answered the risk diversification question correctly compared to 68% without portfolio (refer to Table 15). 4.2.4. Results Across All Questions The results across all questions show that around 50% of respondents were correctly answering all three questions and around 3% were unable to correctly answering one question at all. Approximately 17% of the survey participants said that they did not know or refused to answer at least one question.45 Table 2 includes pearson-correlation coefficients of correct and DK responses across pairs of questions. The pearson-correlation coefficients in Table 2 are demonstrating a positive linear relationship between correct as well as between DK answers to any pair of questions.46 However, the strength of the linear relationships are rather weak. There seems not to exist strong evidence that some people answered all questions correctly while others responded incorrectly or in the form of DK to all questions. Nevertheless, one can conclude that the strongest linear relationship contains a pearson-correlation coefficient of 0.31 and is found with people answering DK to the interest rates and inflation question. Table 2: Pearson-Correlation Coefficients of Responses Across Questions Correct Answers Interest Inflation Risk Interest 1.00 - - Inflation 0.12 1.00 - Risk 0.17 0.09 1.00 DK Answers Interest Inflation Risk Interest 1.00 - Inflation 0.31 1.00 - Risk 0.16 0.12 1.00 Variables: Correct Answers and DK Answers are dummy variables. Correct Answers (1 = correct answer and 0 incorrect or DK), DK Answers (1 = DK and 0 = otherwise). Sample: n =1’500 (for all pairs of variables) Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations 45 Exhibit A2 to Exhibit A5 display the (share of) respondents who correctly answered all three questions respectively no question at all on a Swiss map. Inhabitants of the cantons of Appenzell-Ausserrhoden, Basel-Stadt and Fribourg performed best when considering the share of respondents who correctly answered all three questions. 46 Pearson-correlations measure the strength and direction of a linear relationship between two variables. The pearson-correlation coefficients can range from -1 to +1, with -1 indicating a perfect negative linear relationship, +1 indicating a perfect positive linear relationship, and 0 indicating no linear relationship at all. A variable correlated with itself will always have a pearson-correlation coefficient of 1. Roman Graf 32/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland 4.3. International Comparison of Survey Results Table 3 includes an international comparison of the survey results. While considering comparable surveys performed recently in other countries such as Germany or the Netherlands one can see that financial literacy levels in Switzerland are comparable to or slightly higher than in other developed countries. Furthermore, the country comparison highlights the gap in financial literacy between emerging countries such as Russia and developed countries like Switzerland. Table 3: International Comparison of Financial Literacy Germany Sweden New Zealand Japan USA Russia Italy Netherlands Switzerland Interest Rates More than CHF 102 (correct answer) 82.4 Exactly CHF 102 3.0 Less than CHF 102 3.7 Don’t know/ refuse to answer Total 35.2* 49.2* 86.0 70.5 64.9 36.3 40.0 84.8 79.3 6.0 6.0 11.3 24.1 25.0 3.4 11.1 4.0 9.4 9.2 6.7 6.8 1.8 6.9 11.0 15.6* 4.0 14.1 14.5 32.9 28.2 10.0 2.8 100.0 100.00 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 7.0 5.8 11.2 4.4 6.2 2.7 6.3 7.0 5.0 9.0 50.8 3.8 5.7 11.1 78.4 Inflation More 0.9 Exactly the same 3.8 24.0 Less (correct answer) 78.4 59.5 81.0 58.8 64.3 18.7 59.3 76.9 Don’t know/ refuse to answer 17.0 16.5 5.0 30.4 15.6 26.1 30.7 14.7 4.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Total Risk Diversification Investment in single stock 5.9 13.1 Different 2.8 13.3 12.8 Different 13.3 13.5 Investment in mutual fund (correct answer) 61.8 68.4 Question 39.5 51.8 6.7 Question 51.9 73.5 Don’t know/ refuse to answer 32.3 18.4 57.7 34.9 35.5 34.8 13.0 n/a n/a n/a n/a 45.0 n/a n/a 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Correct answer to all questions 53.2 21.4* n/a 27.0 30.2 3.1 n/a 44.8 50.1 Correct answer to interest & inflation quest. 71.9 26.7* 73.0 49.2 46.2 21.8 31.5 73.4 64.1 No correct answer 10.3 14.7* n/a 17.6 12.3 31.8 n/a 10.5 3.4 37.0 34.7* 7.0* 61.5 42.4 53.7 44.9* 37.6 16.9 8.4 3.2* n/a 9.7 4.7 12.5 n/a 8.1 0.7 Paper Telephone Face-to Face Paper Telephone Face-toFace Face-toFace & Paper Computer (Internet) Telephone Exactly same risk Total Correct Answers Across Questions “Don’t know/ refuse” Across Questions At least one “don’t know/ refuse” answer Answer "don’t know/ refuse" to all questions Methodology Interview methodology Data Sample size (no of observations) 1’059 1’302 850 5’268 1’488 1’366 3’992 1’665 1’500 Age range (years) 22-91 18-79 Adult 20-69 Adult n/a n/a >25 20-74 Average age (years) 52.11 44.00 n/a 49.59 n/a 46.04 57.65 55.00 45.87 Gender characteristics (% of male) 47.00 50.00 43.06 49.11 n/a 42.20 63.00 53.00 47.60 Year of interviews 2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2009 2007 2010 2011 Not necessarily Not necessarily Not necessarily Not necessarily Not necessarily Not necessarily Yes Yes (with partner) Not necessarily Respondent could not refuse to answer * Open ended question Don’t know and refuse to answer added up Results without Maori tribe Almenberg & SäveSöderbergh, 2011 Crossan et al. 2011 Alessie et al. 2011 Dataset Respondents are household heads Comments and Specialties Particularities of studies * Risk question slightly different Separate study on youth47 Sources Sources Bucher & Lusardi, 2011 Sekita, 2011 Lusardi & Mitchell, 2011A Klapper & Panos, 2011 Fornero Monticone, 2011 Source: As included above 47 Lusardi et al., 2010, included the same three questions in the 1997 NLSY wave 11 (refer ot Table A20) in 2007-2008 and reported the following results for 7’417 respondents aged 23-27 years (49% female, 51% male): Interest Rates: 79.3% correct/ 14.7% incorrect/ 5.9% don’t know, Inflation: 54.0%/ 30.4%/ 15.4%, Risk Diversification: 46.7%/ 15.8%/ 37.4% Roman Graf 33/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland The population in Switzerland seems to have better knowledge about risk diversification while performing about average on inflation and interest rates knowledge compared to other developed countries. On an aggregate basis it becomes visible that Switzerland has with 3.4% a very low share of respondents who could not answer one single question correctly compared to other countries. Furthermore, the respondents in Switzerland were much less likely to answer that they did not know a response or refused to answer the question. 4.4. Determinants of Financial Literacy Table 5 includes financial literacy scores reconciled to demographic, economic and financial characteristics of survey participants. The following sections analyze those determinants of financial literacy in more depth.48 4.4.1. Gender The results in Table 5 show a non-trivial gender gap in financial literacy levels between men and women with men outperforming women in all three questions separately but also on aggregate. 62% of men answered all three questions correctly compared to only 39% of women. Furthermore, there is a statistically significant difference in the share of “don’t know/ refuse” answers with women (22%) being almost double as likely as men (12%) to say at least once that they didn’t know or to refuse to answer the question.49 Level of Education One reason for the significant gender gap in financial literacy can be seen in the better education of men. As shown in Table A2, 18% resp. 26% of men stated to have an university or university of applied science degree compared to only 8% resp. 13% of women. This overrepresentation of men with university degrees is supported by the fact that in 1990, only 33.2% of licentiate or degree graduates were women. (BfS, 2012D) Table 4: Statistical Test of Gender Gap in Financial Literacy Characteristics Overall Primary School Secondary School Professional Education Grammar School University (Applied) University Men 62.04 28.57 30.77 52.94 62.79 71.43 80.77 N 714 7 39 306 43 189 130 Women 39.31 16.67 25.76 36.48 36.56 54.46 59.32 N 786 12 66 455 93 101 59 Difference 22.73 *** 11.90 5.01 16.46 *** 26.23 *** 16.97 *** 21.45 *** Test-Stat. 8.79 0.61 0.55 4.50 2.86 2.90 3.12 P-Value 0.00 0.54 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 *** Significant at 1% confidence level, ** Significant at 5% confidence level, * Significant at 10% confidence level Financial Literacy: Financial literacy is measured on the share of respondents answering all three questions correctly (e.g. 39.31% of 786 women knew all answers). Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations 48 Refer to the literature review in chapter 3 or Exhibit A6 for a comparison of typical relationships between demographic, economic and financial characteristics and financial literacy as reported by other researchers. 49 The differences in the proportions of correct responses to all three questions as well as DK responses between men and women are statistically significant on a 1% confidence level in an univariate statistic. The resulting t-values are 8.79 for the difference in the proportion of correct answers and 5.09 for the difference in DK respectively. The gender difference in financial literacy, measured on individual question level, in aggregate or in form of number of correct answers, remains statistically significant (1% confidence level) in a multivariate regression analysis with a number of control variables (refer to Table 10). Roman Graf 34/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table 5: Financial Literacy by Demographic, Economic and Financial Characteristics Interest Rates Characteristics Whole Sample N Correct DK Inflation Correct Risk DK Correct DK Overall All 3 ≥ 1 DK Correct 1’500 79.27 2.80 78.40 4.20 73.47 13.00 50.13 16.93 714 786 85.57 73.54 1.40 4.07 84.87 72.52 2.80 5.47 78.57 68.83 9.10 16.54 62.04 39.31 11.76 21.63 634 575 291 81.07 80.00 73.88 2.52 2.09 4.81 71.29 83.65 83.51 5.36 3.13 3.78 77.60 75.30 60.82 9.46 12.35 21.99 50.16 54.61 41.24 14.51 15.30 25.43 1’357 143 79.37 78.32 2.65 4.20 79.51 67.83 3.91 6.99 75.24 56.64 12.09 21.68 51.88 33.57 15.77 27.97 316 63 950 121 45 5 83.54 79.37 79.16 71.07 75.56 60.00 1.58 4.76 2.63 5.79 4.44 0.00 77.22 71.43 79.89 74.38 77.78 60.00 5.38 4.76 3.47 5.79 6.67 0.00 76.27 71.43 73.47 71.07 64.44 60.00 11.71 15.87 12.42 13.22 28.89 20.00 52.85 46.03 51.16 42.98 35.56 40.00 16.46 22.22 15.68 19.01 33.33 20.00 19 105 761 136 290 189 57.89 63.81 76.74 79.41 83.79 93.12 15.79 9.52 2.76 2.94 0.00 2.12 57.89 65.71 73.19 78.68 90.00 90.48 0.00 9.52 5.12 4.41 1.38 2.12 36.84 56.19 72.40 66.18 81.38 84.13 26.32 29.52 12.22 18.38 7.93 9.52 21.05 27.62 43.10 44.85 65.52 74.07 31.58 35.24 17.21 22.79 9.31 11.64 1’040 188 22 213 23 14 82.69 69.15 72.73 74.18 78.26 50.00 1.73 4.79 0.00 5.16 8.70 14.29 79.33 68.09 68.18 85.92 69.57 64.29 3.46 7.98 0.00 4.23 8.70 7.14 77.31 68.62 81.82 61.50 60.87 42.86 10.48 15.43 9.09 22.07 17.39 28.57 54.23 38.83 54.55 41.78 47.83 21.43 13.94 21.81 9.09 25.82 21.74 42.86 247 512 237 330 129 43 2 77.33 79.10 79.75 80.91 78.29 75.68 100.00 2.43 4.10 1.27 1.21 6.20 0.00 0.00 77.73 82.03 79.75 76.36 70.54 72.97 75.00 5.26 4.49 2.11 4.55 3.88 2.70 0.00 69.64 71.29 78.90 76.67 69.77 78.38 75.00 15.79 13.09 10.55 12.12 15.50 8.11 0.00 43.32 51.17 55.27 52.12 46.51 46.51 0.00 20.24 17.19 12.66 16.06 20.93 9.30 100.00 127 407 339 264 125 90 148 66.93 75.43 79.35 84.85 90.40 93.33 72.30 4.72 2.46 1.18 2.65 0.00 0.00 10.14 69.29 72.24 80.53 84.09 90.40 91.11 70.27 7.87 3.93 3.24 3.03 1.60 0.00 10.81 53.54 69.53 75.52 79.92 77.60 93.33 69.59 26.77 12.53 10.62 10.98 12.80 2.22 18.24 27.56 42.26 51.03 59.47 65.60 80.00 41.22 30.71 16.71 13.57 15.15 14.40 2.22 27.70 620 327 235 119 21 178 75.81 81.65 85.53 85.71 100.00 71.91 2.42 1.83 0.85 2.52 0.00 8.99 73.39 77.98 87.66 94.12 95.24 71.91 4.52 3.06 2.98 0.00 0.00 10.11 69.84 72.17 80.85 85.71 76.19 70.22 13.87 13.46 9.36 5.88 9.52 19.10 43.23 49.54 65.53 68.91 71.43 39.89 17.10 16.51 12.34 8.40 9.52 29.78 Gender Male Female Age 20 to 39 years 40 to 59 years 60 to 74 years Nationality Swiss Foreigners Marital Status Single Permanent Relationship Married Divorced Widowed DK Education Primary School Secondary School Professional Education Grammar School University (Applied) University Labor Market Status Employed Housekeeper Pupil/ Student Pensioner Unemployed Other Number of People in HH 1 Person 2 People 3 People 4 People 5 People ≥ 6 People DK Household Income < CHF 4'500 CHF 4'500 - 7'000 CHF 7'000 - 9'000 CHF 9'000 - 12'000 CHF 12'000 - 15'000 > CHF 15'000 DK Financial Wealth < CHF 50'000 CHF 50'000 - 100'000 CHF 100'000 - 250'000 CHF 250'000 - 1 Mio. > CHF 1 Mio. DK Financial Literacy: Financial literacy is measured as share of respondents in the sample answering the question(s) correctly. Nationality: Foreigners include all respondents without Swiss citizenship. Survey participants responding to have other citizenships beside the Swiss citizenship have been counted as Swiss (n=35). There are three respondents with multiple citizenships but no Swiss citizenship. Education: Secondary School (Real-, Sekundar-, Bezirkschule). Professional education (Berufsschule, Gewerbeschule, KV). Grammar School (Mittelschule, Gymnasium, Seminar). University (Applied) (Fachhochschule, HWV, Technikum), University (Universität, Hochschule, ETH/ Poly). Financial Wealth: Excludes Real Estate Property. Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Roman Graf 35/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland However, Table 4 highlights the comparison of financial literacy levels, on the basis of the ratio of participants who correctly answered all three questions, between genders with the same level of education. The two-dimensional statistic shows that a statistically significant gender gap (1% confidence level) remains within all education cohorts beside primary and secondary school. Type of Occupation and Marital Status Another reason for the difference in financial literacy levels among men and women may be the current occupation. 23% of women mentioned that their current occupation is housekeeping compared to less than 1% of men (refer to Table A2). It may therefore be that financial matters are more often handled by men as a result of a traditional household role allocation. Furthermore, any survey based on household heads only would result in a bias towards single and widowed women living in one person households.50 However, this study was not based on household heads only and the likelihood of the selection of a man or woman was equally probable. Furthermore, Table A2 indicates a higher probability of male participants leaving in a one person household as compared to female participants. Table A2, however, also shows that women are more often widowed and divorced. Engagement and Interest in Financial Matters Even women who claim to be highly engaged in the daily management of their money know significantly less (share of all answers correct: 35%) than corresponding male respondents (58%) - and strikingly also less than women who are not engaged at all (41%).51 Also the women who said to have followed the financial crisis very closely fall short in financial knowledge compared to their male counterparts (55% vs. 69%).52 4.4.2. Age There is no uniform picture in terms of financial literacy when it comes to age. The interest rates and risk questions have been solved best by the youngest cohort aged 20-39 years while the inflation question as well as all three questions together have been answered best by participants in the age range 40-59 years.53 Overall, one can say that individuals aged 60 years and older have lower financial literacy levels (41% vs. 52%) and do more often admit 50 Bucher & Lusardi, 2011, p. 570, refer to this effect as “gender selection bias”. 51 Difference in score between men and women is statistically significant on a 1% confidence level with t-value of 4.67. 52 Difference in score between men and women is statistically significant on a 5% confidence level with t-value of 2.00 (p-value 0.045). 53 The study represents a cross-sectional analysis and it is therefore not possible to distinguish between age and cohort effects. The authors’ view is congruent with Bucher & Lusardi, 2011, who concluded that financial literacy is related to both effects. Roman Graf 36/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland to not know the question or refuse to answer questions (25% vs. 15%) than their younger counterparts.54 The chart in Exhibit 7 indicates a hump-shaped pattern of financial literacy and age for both men and women. The function of financial literacy scores is concave with increasing overall levels of financial knowledge until the age 40 years and decreasing levels thereafter. The pattern on individual question level is somewhat different with correct answers to the interest rates and risk questions slightly decreasing with age and correct answer to the inflation question increasing with age.55 The results can be explained by the fact that the older generation has more experience with inflation as Switzerland was incurring high inflation rates of up to 10% during the 1970s and again rates in the range of 5% to 6% in 1990 and 1991. (Global Rates, 2012) Exhibit 7: Financial Literacy by Age Financial Literacy by Age 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 All correct - Ratio Men All correct - Ratio Women All correct - Ratio Together Financial Literacy: Financial literacy is measured as share of respondents answering all three questions correctly (Ratio: Based on two years of data due to outliers - e.g. data for age 20 and 21, 22 and 23 etc. has been combined). Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Education and Gender Effect While splitting the sample in three age categories and analyzing the composition in terms of education and gender one observes that there is a gender bias with women accounting for 58% of respondents in the age cohort 60-74 years. Furthermore, the education level is lower with older respondents who have a lower share of university degree holders. The lower education level with older respondents underpins the existence of a cohort effect. OECD statistics show that in 2009 40.0% of 25-34 years old individuals in Switzerland had attained at least tertiary education compared to only 28.3% of individuals aged 55-64 years. These numbers are reflecting the development of the ratio of graduates from tertiary educations to the population at the typical age of graduation which increased in Switzerland from 11.9% in 2000 to 31.4% in 2007. (OECD, 2012B) 54 Both differences are statistically significant on a 1% confidence level with t-value of 3.38 resp. 4.30. However, as shown in the multivariate regression analysis in Table 10 which includes age as a discrete variable and also incorporates a number of control variables, age appears only to be of statistical significance for the interest rates and risk diversification questions. Moreover, coefficients are negligibly small. 55 The results are in line with other research such as Agarwal et al., 2009, or Almenberg & Säve-Söderbergh, 2011, who also found a humpshaped age pattern and better inflation knowledge with the older population (refer to Exhibit A6). Roman Graf 37/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland It can therefore be expected that the low ratio of tertiary educated people in the older age cohorts will gradually reduce over time and that the hump-shaped pattern of financial literacy and age will presumably steadily reduce.56 4.4.3. Nationality The country of citizenship split allocates better financial knowledge to Swiss. Only about 34% of foreigners were able to correctly answer all three questions and 28% did at least once admit to not know or refused to answer a question compared to 52% and 16% of Swiss.57 One reason for the difference in financial literacy between Swiss and foreigners is education. While 15% of foreigners judge their highest education as primary or secondary school, only 8% of Swiss do so. Table 6 includes two-dimensional statistics of the differences in financial knowledge between Swiss and foreigners within education cohorts. Table 6: Statistical Test of Nationality Gap in Financial Literacy Characteristics Overall Primary School Secondary School Professional Education Grammar School University (Applied) University Swiss 51.88 23.53 31.40 44.71 45.90 66.67 76.36 N 1‘357 17 86 700 122 267 165 Foreign 33.57 10.53 24.59 35.71 52.17 58.33 N 143 2 19 61 14 23 24 Difference 22.73 *** 23.53 20.87 * 20.12 *** 10.19 14.49 18.03 * Test-Stat. 4.17 0.77 1.84 3.04 0.73 1.40 1.88 P-Value 0.00 0.44 0.07 0.00 0.47 0.16 0.06 *** Significant at 1% confidence level, ** Significant at 5% confidence level, * Significant at 10% confidence level Financial Literacy: Financial literacy is measured as share of respondents answering all three questions correctly (e.g. 33.57% of 143 foreigners knew all answers). Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations The differences in financial literacy are statistically less significant than in the gender case. However, it is still noteworthy that secondary school or professionally educated Swiss are around 20 percentage points more likely than foreigners to know all three answers. Selection Bias The share of foreign respondents in the sample is 9.5% compared to a much higher ratio of foreign citizens in Switzerland which is estimated by BfS to be 24.9% in 2010 for the age category 20-74 years.58 (BfS, 2011A) The main reason for the lower representation of foreigners in the sample is likely to be the fact that the questionnaire was held in German and foreigners not being able to speak German were not eligible to take part in the survey. The language challenge is also highlighted by the fact that the interviewers of the survey quoted that the German knowledge of 12% of the foreign respondents was rather poor compared to only 1% for Swiss respondents. Finally, there is some higher proportion of 56 The ratio of tertiary educated people for the age cohort 25-64 years already increased from 23.8% in 1998 to 36.9% in 2009 underpinning the strong trend towards a higher share of tertiary educated people. (OECD, 2012B, p. 217) 57 Differences are statistically significant on a 1% confidence level with t-value of 4.17 resp. 3.70. As seen in Table 10 nationality remains statistically significant in a multivariate setting with financial literacy measured in all forms but the answers to the interest rate question. 58 The BfS data is based on Swiss wide data while the questionnaire only considers the German speaking part of Switzerland. However, the substantial difference in the share of foreigners cannot be explained with geographical reasons as, for instance, Zurich with a population above one million citizens has an unemployment rate of just above 26% for the age cohort 20-74 years. (BfS, 2011A) Roman Graf 38/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland foreigners in the age cohort 20-39 years and foreign respondents consisted of 59% men compared to only 46% of Swiss respondents (refer to Table A2 for a nationality split of foreigners). 4.4.4. Marital Status Table 5 shows that financial knowledge based on all three questions is highest with singles (53%) and lowest with widowed respondents (36%). Besides, a third of widowed respondents answered to at least one question that they did not know or just refused to answer. The pairwise correlation coefficients in Table A8 and A9 include some explanations for the poor performance of widowed respondents. Widowed survey participants are less well educated than any other marital status cohort and are on average much older. High Financial Engagement with Widowed Participants When asked about their level of financial engagement, 40% of widowed respondents answered that they were highly engaged – the highest engagement level across all marital status (overall: 25%). Surprisingly enough, only about 26% of singles, the lowest ratio apart from the five respondents who did not disclose their marital status, did say that they were highly engaged. 4.4.5. Education Table 5 shows a positive relationship between education and financial literacy. On an overall basis one can see that the higher the education of a respondent the better his or her financial knowledge. As already indicated, the level of education is positively related to the level of financial knowledge irrespective of gender (Table 4) and nationality (Table 6). Comparison of Education Levels Table 7 includes the catalog of education respondents could choose from and analyses the deviation in financial literacy scores between differently well educated respondents. The univariate statistic includes statistical evidence of differences in financial knowledge between individuals with different educational backgrounds. Table 7: Statistical Test of Financial Literacy and Level of Education Characteristics Primary vs. Secondary School Secondary School vs. Prof. Education Secondary School vs. Grammar School Prof. Education vs. Grammar School Grammar School vs. University (Applied) Prof. Education vs. University (Applied) University (Applied) vs. University Score 21.05 27.62 27.62 43.10 44.85 43.10 65.52 N 19 105 105 761 136 761 290 Score 27.62 43.10 44.85 44.85 65.52 65.52 74.07 N 105 761 136 136 290 290 189 Difference -6.57 -15.48 *** -17.23 *** -1.75 -20.67 *** -22.42 *** -8.55 ** Test-Stat. -0.60 -3.02 -2.74 -0.38 -4.04 -6.50 -1.98 P-Value 0.55 0.00 0.01 0.70 0.00 0.00 0.05 *** Significant at 1% confidence level, ** Significant at 5% confidence level, * Significant at 10% confidence level Financial Literacy: Financial literacy is measured as share of respondents answering all three questions correctly (e.g. 21.05% of 19 pr. school grad. knew all answers). Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Roman Graf 39/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland It may seem straightforward that better educated people have better financial knowledge than less well educated people. However, while considering the low level of complexity of the questions one may be surprised not to see any saturation in financial literacy scores. The share of university graduates which answered all three questions correctly is still more than 20 percentage points higher than with grammar school graduates or professionally educated people.59 For Whom Does Education Matter Most? The gradients in terms of education and financial literacy scores are high with university graduates being 53 percentage points more likely to know all three answers than primary school graduates.60 There is no other demographic or economic characteristic which has a higher dispersion in consolidated financial literacy scores. An investigation of the gradients and statistical relevance of education for gender, nationality and age has been included in Table 8. Statistically, education matters most for male, Swiss and people in the age range 40-59 years. The difference in statistical significance is driven by the sample size in the respective cohorts which is especially low with foreigners (n=143). Table 8: Gradients of Education and Financial Literacy Characteristics Overall Primary vs. Secondary School Secondary School vs. Prof. Ed. Secondary vs. Grammar School Prof. Ed. vs. Grammar School Grammar School vs. Uni. (Ap.) Prof. Ed. vs. Uni. (Applied) 6.6 15.5 17.2 1.8 20.7 22.4 Uni. (Applied) vs. University *** *** *** *** 8.6 ** Male Female 2.2 22.2 *** 32.0 *** 9.9 8.6 18.5 *** 9.1 10.7 * 10.8 0.1 17.9 ** 18.0 *** 9.3 * 4.9 Swiss 7.9 13.3 14.5 1.2 20.8 22.0 ** ** *** *** 9.7 ** Foreign. 20-39 Y. 40-59 Y. 60-74 Y. 10.5 14.1 25.2 * 11.1 16.5 27.6 ** 26.0 16.2 17.1 0.9 23.0 *** 23.9 *** 12.6 19.9 21.8 1.8 19.6 21.4 10.0 8.2 13.7 5.6 16.8 22.3 * 6.2 9.4 5.1 ** ** ** *** 12.7 *** Significant at 1% confidence level, ** Significant at 5% confidence level, * Significant at 10% confidence level Financial Literacy: Financial literacy is measured as share of respondents answering all three questions correctly (e.g. the value 6.6 indicates that the share of secondary school graduates knowing all three answers is 6.6 percentage points higher than with primary school graduates). Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations The gender split shows that male secondary school graduates perform on average 22 percentage points worse than professional educated male and staggering 32 percentage points worse than grammar school graduates (both statistically significant at 1% confidence level). Both, men and women with an university of applied science degree are about 18 percentage points more likely to know all answers compared to their professionally educated counterparts (both statistically significant at 1% confidence level). There is statistical evidence (5% confidence level) that Swiss with professional education or grammar school perform better than secondary school graduates. Even stronger statistical 59 Almenberg & Säve-Söderbergh, 2011, had information about college majors of their respondents and found graduates with quantiatitve majors such as economics and engineering performing better. They asked the interest rate question as an open question making it more difficult for participants and concluded that the type of major matters with the interest rate and inflation question but not the risk diversification question. 60 The compulsory Swiss schooling system goes in all states until year nine and includes the primary and secondary school (BV 62, Art. 8 Konkordat über die Schulkoordination). However, there were 19 respondents considering primary school as their highest level of education. Out of those 19, eleven are above 60 years old and another two are foreigners. The Konkordat über die Schulkoordination was introduced in 1970 and at that time some states were only considering seven years schooling as compulsory. These states were asked to extent the mandatory school system in “a reasonable amount of time” to nine years. (Schweizerische Konferenz der kantonalen Erziehungsdirektoren, 1970, p.3) Roman Graf 40/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland evidence (1% confidence level) exists for the difference between grammar school or professional education and university of applied science. Persistent Positive Effect of Education over Time The age split in Table 8 reveals evidence that any further education after the secondary school matters especially in the cohort of 40-59 years old people. At age 60-74 years, there are still high gradients but accompanied with lower statistical evidence. Some of those results may have therefore been driven by chance. However, while comparing the sample size within the three categories one can see that the oldest cohort only includes 291 respondents (refer to Table A2). One may therefore argue that the lower statistical significance is mainly due to a sample size effect and that the level of education also matters in higher age categories. 4.4.6. Labor Market Status The labor market split in Table 5 shows that employed people and students compete best in financial literacy while housekeepers and pensioners are at the lower end of the scale. Considering the DK scores, 26% of pensioners and 22% of housekeepers admitted not to know the answer or refused to give an answer to at least one question, much above students with 9% or employed individuals with 14%.61 Occupation – Driven by Gender and Age There are significantly more women who are housekeeper (23% vs. 1%) while the proportion of men being employed is higher (81% vs. 59%). It may intuitively make sense that the occupation has an impact on the understanding of financial matters.62 Exhibit 8: Gender and Age by Occupation Gender by Occupation 100% 80% 45% 60% 97% 50% 43% 50% 52% 50% 57% 50% 48% 77% 40% 20% 55% 0% 3% 23% Men Women Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations 61 The general negative relationship between financial literacy (measured as dummy with 0 = all three answers correct) and DK scores (variable taking values of 0-3) manifest itself in a spearman-correlation coefficient of negative 0.45 for all survey respondents (n=1’500). 62 Refer also to Alessie et al., 2011, p. 534, or Lusardi & Mitchell, 2011A, p. 515, who argue that employed people should have better financial knowledge due to the attendance of employer sponsored seminars focused on financial and retirement matters. Roman Graf 41/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland There are also considerable differences in the age of respondents from the various occupations as shown in Exhibit 8. The median pensioner is 67 years old while the median housekeeper is 39 years old. As explained in section 4.4.2. financial knowledge scores are hump-shaped with age and the type of occupation may therefore explain part the age pattern. 4.4.7. Number of People Living in a Household The number of people living in a household seems to have a rather small impact on financial literacy. However, 43% of people living in single person households and about 47% of people living in households with five people or more than five people knew all three questions what is below average while three people households performed best with 55%. One reason for the poor performance of one person households may lie in the composition of the respondents. One person household respondents comprise of 66% employed people and 26% pensioners compared to 80% resp. 2% for three people households. There is also an under-representation of married respondents with single person households which only account for 2% and an over-representation of singles with 61%. Explained alternatively, three people households outperform other households as they comprise of higher fractions of employed respondents and relatively lower proportions of widowed and divorced respondents. 4.4.8. Household Income Table 5 shows that higher monthly household income is strongly positively related to higher financial literacy scores, on single question but also on aggregate level. The gradient is high as on aggregate level the difference in financial literacy (measured on the share of people answering all three questions correctly) is staggering 52 percentage points between the 127 respondents declaring a monthly household income of below CHF 4’500 and those 90 respondents saying their household was to earn more than CHF 15’000. As shown in Table A3, men are over-represented in higher income brackets and graduates from university and university of applied science account for 67% of people earning CHF 15’000 while only comprising 32% of the sample. The spearman-correlation coefficient between household income and education is 0.37 underpinning the positive relationship between the two characteristics (refer to Table A9). 4.4.9. Financial Wealth The picture for financial wealth and financial literacy looks rather similar to the picture seen for household income. Again, wealthier respondents scored better than their financially poorer counterparts. The difference in the share of people knowing all answers in the lowest and highest wealth category is 28 percentage points. Roman Graf 42/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Interestingly, the 178 respondents who did not declare their financial wealth performed worst on an aggregate basis with only around 40% of respondents correctly answering all three questions and almost 30% saying at least once that they did not know or refused to answer. 4.4.10. Who Knows the Most and Who Knows the Least? Table 9 includes the single demographic, economic and financial characteristics which are related to the highest respectively lowest aggregate financial literacy scores. Characteristics Interest Rates Inflation Risk Overall Highest Literacy Gender Age Nationality Marital Status Education Labor Market Status Number of People in Household Household Income Financial Wealth Male 20-39 Years Swiss Single University Employed 4 People > CHF 15’000 > CHF 1 Mio. Male 40-59 Years Swiss Married University Pensioner 2 People > CHF 15’000 > CHF 1 Mio. Male 20-39 Years Swiss Single University Pupil/ Student 3 People > CHF 15’000 CHF 250k - 1 Mio. Male 40-59 Years Swiss Single University Pupil/ Student 3 People > CHF 15’000 > CHF 1 Mio. Lowest Literacy Table 9: Characteristics with Highest and Lowest Financial Literacy Gender Age Nationality Marital Status Education Labor Market Status Number of People in Household Household Income Financial Wealth Female 60-74 Years Foreigner Divorced Primary School Housekeeper ≥ 6 People < CHF 4’500 < CHF 50’000 Female 20-39 Years Foreigner Per. Relationship Primary School Housekeeper 5 People < CHF 4’500 < CHF 50’000 Female 60-74 Years Foreigner Widowed Primary School Unemployed 1 Person < CHF 4’500 < CHF 50’000 Female 60-74 Years Foreigner Widowed Primary School Housekeeper 1 Person < CHF 4’500 < CHF 50’000 Financial Literacy: Financial literacy is measured as the share of respondents in the sample who answered the question(s) correctly. Characteristics: DK have not been considered as characteristic. Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations 4.5. Multivariate Regression Analysis of Financial Literacy This section analysis the relationship between demographic, economic and financial variables with financial literacy on the basis of a multivariate linear regression analysis. The objective is to come up with valid statements about the effects of demographic, economic and financial variables on financial literacy scores of survey respondents. Financial literacy as dependent variable has thereby been defined in a number of different ways. Dummy variables are used as certain variables are nominal and standard regression analysis would assume them to be of continuous nature.63 Table 10 reports OLS estimates of the effect of demographic, economic and financial variables on financial literacy scores. The multivariate regression analysis includes variables for gender, age, nationality, marital status, education, occupation, household size, household income and financial wealth. It allows to make a statement about the impact of one of those variables on financial literacy while keeping the other variables stable (ceteris paribus view). 63 Dummy variables are defined as being categorical, non-ordinal and binary in nature (only take values of 0 or 1). Roman Graf 43/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland 4.5.1. Multivariate Regression Results The multivariate linear regression results in Table 10 imply a statistically significant relationship between gender, nationality, education, household income and financial wealth with most definitions of financial literacy. Men, better educated individuals, people with higher household income as well as financial wealth have on average higher levels of financial literacy than their counterparts.64 Interestingly, age, nationality and education are of higher statistical relevance for the relationship with the inflation and risk diversification questions than the interest rate question. Furthermore, household income and financial wealth seem to be especially relevant for risk diversification knowledge as indicated by high statistically significant coefficients. The gender coefficient in the first column indicates that women are 17 percentage points less likely to answer all three questions correctly compared to men. The standard error of the estimate of 0.03 gives an indication about the accuracy of the predicted coefficient. It specifies that with a probability of around 68% the real coefficient will have a value between minus 14 and minus 20 percentage points. In regards to household income one can say that individuals living in households with income above CHF 15’000 have on average a 0.54 higher score of correct answers than those living in a household with income below CHF 4’500. The statistical significance is on a 1% level confirming that the coefficient is very likely different from zero and the variable has therefore a statistically non-negligible relationship with the dependent variable financial literacy score. 4.5.2. Is There a Problem of Multicollinearity? As displayed in Table 10 there is stronger statistical evidence of an existing relationship between household income and financial literacy than with the degree of education and financial literacy. However, one may argue that education is highly correlated with household income and results are therefore impacted by multicollinearities.65 64 The results from the linear probability model in Table 10 are confirmed while applying a probit model (with average marginal effects) in order to account for the dichotomous nature of the dependent variable (excl. Score Correct and DK Score definition of financial literacy as they are not of dichotomous nature). Estimates for average marginal effects of the independent variables (i.e. coefficients) derived from probit regression analysis are characterized through very similar levels of magnitude and statistical significance as those included in the linear probability model applied. Refer to Table A11 for results of the probit regression. The conclusions drawn from the linear probability model in Table 10 remain also valid while applying logit regression analysis (with average marginal effects). Logit models allow to estimate the probability of occurrence of an event (e.g. probability of all answers correct). Estimates for average marginal effects of the independent variables (i.e. coefficients) derived from logit regression analysis are characterized through very similar levels of magnitude and statistical significance as those included in the linear probability model applied. Refer to Table A12 for results of the logit regression. The F-values are in the range of 3.91 to 10.23 with p-values of 0.00 in the multiple regression analysis in Table 10. They indicate that in all the regression analysis in Table 10 financial literacy is unlikely to be independent of the set of explanatory variables used. There is essentially no chance of getting a relationship this strong just by chance. R2 values stretch from around 0.07 to 0.16 highlighting that the set of independent variables are able to explain around 7% (Interest Rate definition, column four) to 16% (Score Correct definition, column two) of the variation in financial literacy. 65 The multicollinearity problem refers to the fact that in a multiple linear regression with multicollinearity, OLS regression coefficients are unstable (sensitive to small changes in input data) or not even uniquely defined, have highly inflated variances, and are impossible to be interpreted individually. (Sundberg, 2002, p. 365) The stronger the multicollinearity is, the greater the standard errors will be and the more difficult it gets to determine which independent variable is actually producing which effect on the dependent variable. When high multicollinearity is present, confidence intervals for coefficients tend to be very wide and t-statistics tend to be small. Coefficients will have to be larger in order to be statistically significant, i.e. it will be harder to reject the null hypothesis when multicollinearity is present. (Anderson, Sweeney, & Williams, 2009, p. 644) Roman Graf 44/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table 10: Multivariate Linear Regression - Financial Literacy Multivariate OLS Regression – Financial Literacy Gender Women (d) Age Age Nationality Foreigner (d) Marital Status Single (d) In Permanent Relationship (d) Married (d) Divorced (d) Widowed (d) Education Primary School (d) Secondary School (d) Professional Education (d) Grammar School (d) University (Applied) (d) University (d) Occupation Employed (d) Housekeeper (d) Pupil/ Student (d) Pensioner (d) Unemployed (d) Household Size Number of People in Household Household Income < CHF 4’500 (d) CHF 4’500 - 7’000 (d) CHF 7’000 - 9’000 (d) CHF 9’000 - 12’000 (d) CHF 12’000 - 15’000 (d) > CHF 15’000 (d) DK (d) Financial Wealth < CHF 50'000 (d) CHF 50'000 - 100'000 (d) CHF 100'000 - 250'000 (d) CHF 250'000 - 1 Mio. (d) > CHF 1 Mio. (d) DK (d) _cons N R2 F All Correct Score Correct Interest Rates Inflation -0.17 *** (0.03) -0.22 *** (0.04) -0.07 *** (0.02) -0.08 *** (0.02) -0.07 *** (0.02) 0.09 *** (0.03) -0.00 (0.00) -0.00 (0.00) -0.00 (0.00) 0.01 *** (0.00) -0.00 *** (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) -0.19 *** (0.04) -0.31 *** (0.07) -0.02 (0.04) -0.09 *** (0.04) -0.20 *** (0.04) 0.14 *** (0.04) omitted omitted omitted omitted -0.03 (0.07) 0.01 (0.04) 0.05 (0.05) 0.05 (0.08) -0.13 (0.11) -0.02 (0.07) 0.01 (0.09) 0.12 (0.13) -0.03 (0.06) -0.03 (0.03) -0.05 (0.05) 0.04 (0.07) -0.07 (0.06) 0.00 (0.03) -0.03 (0.05) -0.03 (0.07) omitted omitted omitted omitted 0.02 (0.12) 0.11 (0.12) 0.12 (0.12) 0.24 ** (0.12) 0.30 ** (0.12) omitted 0.31 (0.20) 0.56 (0.19) 0.57 (0.20) 0.73 (0.19) 0.82 (0.19) *** *** *** *** 0.03 (0.10) 0.12 (0.10) 0.16 (0.10) 0.13 (0.10) 0.21 ** (0.10) 0.11 (0.10) 0.18 (0.10) 0.23 (0.10) 0.30 (0.10) 0.31 (0.10) Risk Diversification omitted omitted -0.03 (0.06) 0.01 (0.04) 0.09 * (0.05) 0.11 (0.07) omitted * ** *** *** DK Score -0.01 (0.07) -0.04 (0.04) -0.04 (0.05) 0.03 (0.08) omitted 0.17 (0.11) 0.26 ** (0.10) 0.18 (0.11) 0.29 *** (0.11) 0.29 *** (0.11) 0.16 (0.12) -0.06 (0.12) 0.00 (0.12) -0.12 (0.12) -0.06 (0.12) omitted omitted omitted omitted omitted -0.12 (0.10) -0.11 (0.11) -0.05 (0.14) -0.18 * (0.11) -0.01 (0.16) -0.11 (0.17) -0.07 (0.23) -0.11 (0.17) -0.03 (0.09) -0.09 (0.09) -0.16 (0.12) -0.04 (0.09) 0.00 (0.09) -0.02 (0.09) 0.01 (0.12) -0.05 (0.09) 0.02 (0.09) 0.00 (0.10) 0.08 (0.13) -0.01 (0.10) -0.05 (0.10) -0.00 (0.11) -0.21 (0.14) 0.07 (0.11) -0.01 (0.01) -0.02 (0.02) 0.00 (0.01) -0.01 (0.01) -0.00 (0.01) 0.01 (0.01) omitted omitted omitted 0.07 (0.04) 0.08 (0.05) 0.12 (0.05) 0.15 (0.05) 0.15 (0.06) 0.07 (0.06) 0.05 (0.04) 0.10 (0.05) 0.12 (0.05) 0.15 (0.05) 0.14 (0.06) 0.02 (0.06) 0.13 (0.05) 0.16 (0.05) 0.18 (0.05) 0.15 (0.06) 0.25 (0.07) 0.12 (0.06) omitted 0.13 (0.05) 0.16 (0.05) 0.21 (0.06) 0.23 (0.06) 0.30 (0.07) 0.16 (0.07) omitted ** *** *** *** *** ** omitted 0.25 (0.08) 0.34 (0.09) 0.42 (0.09) 0.45 (0.10) 0.54 (0.12) 0.21 (0.11) *** *** *** *** *** * omitted * ** *** ** omitted ** ** *** ** omitted omitted *** *** *** ** *** * omitted -0.15 (0.05) -0.15 (0.05) -0.11 (0.06) -0.12 (0.06) -0.20 (0.07) -0.02 (0.07) *** *** ** * *** omitted 0.01 (0.03) 0.14 *** (0.04) 0.14 *** (0.05) 0.14 (0.11) -0.04 (0.05) 0.02 (0.05) 0.19 *** (0.06) 0.25 *** (0.08) 0.24 (0.18) -0.01 (0.09) 0.04 (0.03) 0.07 ** (0.03) 0.06 (0.04) 0.17 * (0.09) -0.02 (0.05) -0.03 (0.03) 0.02 (0.03) 0.04 (0.04) 0.04 (0.09) -0.03 (0.05) 0.00 (0.03) 0.10 *** (0.03) 0.15 *** (0.05) 0.03 (0.10) 0.04 (0.05) -0.00 (0.03) -0.05 (0.04) -0.11 ** (0.05) -0.11 (0.11) 0.07 (0.05) 0.44 *** (0.17) 1.62 *** (0.27) 0.74 *** (0.14) 0.31 ** (0.14) 0.57 *** (0.15) 0.31 * (0.17) 1’480 0.1571 9.66 1’480 0.1649 10.23 1’480 0.0701 3.91 1’480 0.1160 6.80 1’480 0.1015 5.86 1’480 0.0952 5.45 *** Significant at 1% confidence level, ** Significant at 5% confidence level, * Significant at 10% confidence level Dependent Variables: Financial literacy according to the following types of definitions: All Correct (dummy with 1 = all answers correct and 0 = not all answers correct), Score Correct (value of 0-3 depending on amount of correct answers of respondent), Interest Rates, Inflation and Risk Diversification (dummy with 1 = correct answer and 0 = incorrect or DK answer), DK Score (value of 0-3 depending on amount of DK answers of respondent). Explanatory Variables: Numbers in brackets are standard errors. (d) stands for dummy (0/1) variable. Sample: The sample of n=1’500 has been adjusted for respondents answering: DK for marital status (n=5), Other for occupation (n=14) and DK for number of people in household (n=2). Out of a total adjustment of n=21, 1 has been multiple counting (DK for marital status and number of people in household) resulting in a sample size for the regression of n=1’480. Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Roman Graf 45/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland There are various approaches which help detecting the degree of multicollinearity. As a first measure one can test if the regression is characterized through a high R2 but few statistically significant t-statistics. While considering the regression results in Table 10 one can dismiss this statement. There is no strong indication of multicollinearity that can be derived from the findings of a high R2 but few significant t-statistics in the multivariate regression analysis applied. As further analytical models to identify potential multicollinearities, pairwise correlations, variance inflation factors (VIF) and conditional indices of regressors will be analyzed. Pairwise Correlations Across Regressors Table A8 and Table A9 show pairwise pearson- and spearman-correlation coefficients between the independent variables used in the multivariate linear regression analysis in Table 10. The results reveal that there are hardly any pearson-correlation coefficients between variables which are above |0.50| and which would therefore indicate a significant linear relationship. It comes with no surprise that strongest linear effects relate to trivial relationships such as the ones between age and labor market characteristics, age and marital status or marital status and household size. While considering financial characteristics it becomes visible that education has a positive linear relationship to both household income and financial wealth. However, the correlation coefficients remain rather low with, for instance, university graduates being negatively related to household income between CHF 4’500 and CHF 7’000 (pearson-correlation coefficient 0.15) and positively related to household income above CHF 15’000 (pearson correlation coefficient 0.21). The strongest linear relationship exists between DK answers for financial wealth and DK answers for household income with a pearson-correlation coefficient of 0.68. Variance Inflation Factors (VIF) and Condition Indices Table A10 depicts VIF, eigenvalues and condition indices for the independent variables used in the multivariate regression analysis in Table 10. VIF quantify the severity of multicollinearity of coefficients in OLS regression analysis. They are computed from the correlation matrix of the independent variables and provide an index that measures how much the variance of an estimated regression coefficient is increased because of the correlation between predictors and, hence, multicollinearity. (Rawlings, Pantula, & Dickey, 1998, p. 372) Multicollinearity of coefficients becomes critical with VIF values larger than 10. (Kutner, Nachtsheim, & Neter, 2004, p. 408) Table A10 shows that VIF values are highest with education characteristics and the occupation type Housekeeper. The VIF of the independent variable Professional Education, for instance, is 22.92 and its square root 4.79. This means that the standard error for the Roman Graf 46/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland coefficient Professional Education is 4.79 as large as it would be if it were uncorrelated with the other independent variables. The condition number is derived from the square root of the ratio of the largest to the smallest eigenvalues of the independent variables. A number of around 10 indicates weak dependencies that may be starting to affect the regression estimates while values of 30-100 indicate moderate to strong dependencies. (Rawlings et al., 1998, p. 371) The condition number of 45.25 indicates that the estimates might have a moderate amount of numerical error.66 It can be concluded that there is a degree of multicollinearity involved in the regression analysis which has likely resulted in the education characteristics showing too large standard errors and consequently too small t-statistics. Education may therefore be of slightly higher statistical relevance as depicted in Table 10.67 66 However, the statistical standard errors are almost always much greater than the numerical errors (cf. Belsley, Kuh, & Welsch, 2005, p. 85ff). 67 While removing household income or financial wealth as independent variables from the multivariate regression analysis in Table 10 (financial literacy definition of first column), education coefficients become more statistically significant. The effects are stronger while omitting income but only result in the dummy University to become significant on a higher confidence level (1% vs. 5% while omitting either wealth or income). Roman Graf 47/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland 5. Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior This chapter analysis the relationship between financial literacy and financial behavior on the basis of univariate statistics and multivariate linear regression analysis. The objective is to be able to come up with valid statements about the causal effects of financial literacy on financial behavior variables such as investment behavior, consumption and mortgage indebtedness as well as retirement account saving. Multivariate analysis are required in order to be able to simultaneously examine the relationship between financial literacy, financial behavior and demographic, economic and financial characteristics of survey respondents. 5.1. Self-Assessed Personal Behavior Characteristics Included in Table 11 are financial literacy scores reconciled to self-assessed personal behavior characteristics of respondents. Those characteristics will be analyzed in more detail and will be included as control variables in the subsequent multivariate regression analysis. Table 11: Financial Literacy by Self-Assessed Personal Behavior Characteristics Interest Rates Correct DK Inflation Correct Risk DK Correct DK Overall All 3 ≥ 1 DK Correct Characteristics N Whole Sample 1’500 79.27 2.80 78.40 4.20 73.47 13.00 50.13 16.93 Financial Engagement No Engagement Low Engagement High Engagement Very High Engagement DK 171 372 537 411 9 73.68 81.45 81.19 77.86 44.44 5.85 2.42 2.05 2.19 33.33 78.95 83.87 78.21 73.72 66.67 8.77 3.49 2.42 4.87 22.22 70.76 76.34 76.16 69.59 22.22 15.20 13.17 9.87 15.09 55.56 46.78 55.38 52.89 44.28 0.00 23.98 16.94 12.29 18.98 66.67 Financial Interest Very High Interest High Interest Low Interest No Interest 219 716 483 82 83.11 81.28 76.40 68.29 1.37 2.09 3.73 7.32 89.04 82.96 70.19 58.54 0.91 2.93 6.42 10.98 82.65 73.46 71.84 58.54 5.94 12.57 15.11 23.17 65.30 53.36 43.06 20.73 7.31 15.36 21.33 30.49 Risk Characteristics High Risk Aversion Moderate Risk Aversion Low Risk Aversion DK 994 410 65 31 78.67 81.22 81.54 67.74 3.12 0.73 3.08 19.35 79.98 77.32 72.31 54.84 4.33 2.44 4.62 22.58 72.64 77.32 76.92 41.94 14.99 6.10 7.69 13.00 50.00 52.68 49.23 22.58 19.42 8.54 12.31 58.06 Financial Planning No Planning Little Planning Some Planning Significant Planning DK 142 267 495 582 14 76.76 74.53 80.61 81.62 50.00 2.11 4.12 2.22 2.23 28.57 78.17 78.65 79.60 77.84 57.14 3.52 4.49 3.03 4.98 14.29 64.08 72.66 75.96 74.91 35.71 16.90 11.99 11.31 12.89 57.14 42.25 46.44 51.72 53.09 21.43 19.01 16.85 15.15 16.84 64.29 Financial Literacy: Financial literacy is measured as the share of respondents in the sample who answered the question(s) correctly (correct) or who did not know (DK). Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations 5.1.1. Financial Engagement Survey participants were asked to judge the following statement: “I am very engaged when it comes to the daily managing of my money.” Roman Graf 48/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland The participants were able to give their view on a Likert-type scale of one (strong disagreement) to four (strong agreement). There was also the opportunity to not answer the question or to say that one does not know, what nine respondents actually did. The results show 63% or 948 respondents claiming to be highly or very highly engaged in the financial management of their money.68 Interestingly, individuals claiming themselves as being only engaged little have the best financial knowledge of interest rates, inflation and risk diversification and also on an aggregate basis. Second best score people with high engagement while very high engagement is surprisingly connected to the poorest performance. However, Table 12 shows that the differences in financial literacy between the various levels of engagement are rather small as compared to other personal behavior characteristics. Table 12: Statistical Test of Financial Engagement and Financial Literacy Characteristics Very High vs. High Engagement High vs. Low Engagement Low vs. No Engagement Score 44.28 52.89 55.38 N 411 537 372 Score 52.89 55.38 46.78 N 537 372 171 Difference -8.61 *** -2.49 8.60 ** Test-Stat. -2.63 -0.74 1.86 P-Value 0.01 0.46 0.06 *** Significant at 1% confidence level, ** Significant at 5% confidence level, * Significant at 10% confidence level Financial Literacy: Financial literacy is measured as share of respondents answering all three questions correctly (e.g. 44.28% of 411 very highly financially engaged respondents knew all answers). Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations 5.1.2. Financial Interest Survey participants were asked to judge the following statement: “How closely have you followed the developments during the financial crisis?” The participants were again able to categorize themselves in a Likert-type scale with four options. The range went from bracket one for very close observation (i.e. active search for information about financial crisis) to bracket four for no observation at all. Nobody made use of the opportunity to refuse to answer or to say that one does not know. Table 13 indicates that the relationship between financial interest and financial knowledge seems strongly positive on an overall basis. People who followed the financial crisis very closely (and who are therefore assumed to be highly interested in financial matters) are performing significantly better with an overall score of 65% compared to counterparts with high interest (53%), low interest (43%) and no interest (21%).69 68 Survey participants were also asked about how intensively they thought about their financial future. This alternative form of financial engagement reveals comparable results with 74% of people who claim to be very highly financially engaged also partly or fully disagreeing with the statement that they were not thinking about their financial future. This number is considerably lower among people without financial engagement (64%) or low engagement (68%). Refer also to section 5.1.4. for more information. 69 The questionnaire also assessed the knowledge of respondents about the Swiss depositor insurance system (Einlegerschutz). The knowledge about the depositor insurance system can also be taken as an indicator of financial interest of a respondent as there was a political debate about changes in the system (i.e. tentative increase of coverage from CHF 30’000 to CHF 100’000) which was also closely followed by the Swiss press. 83.56% of respondents with very high financial interest confirmed the existence of a deposit insurance in Switzerland compared to 78.21% for respondents with high interest, 59.21% for respondents with low interest and 53.66% for respondents with no interest. Furthermore, 65.30% of very highly interest respondents knew that the deposit insurance coverage increased in the last three years compared 41.90% for highly interest individuals, 22.57% of little interested people and 21.95% of individuals with no interest at all. Roman Graf 49/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table 13: Statistical Test of Financial Interest and Financial Literacy Characteristics Very High Interest vs. High Interest High Interest vs. Low Interest Low Interest vs. No Interest Score 65.30 53.36 43.06 N 219 716 483 Score 53.36 43.06 20.73 N 716 483 82 Difference 11.94 *** 10.30 *** 22.33 *** Test-Stat. 3.12 3.50 3.82 P-Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 *** Significant at 1% confidence level, ** Significant at 5% confidence level, * Significant at 10% confidence level Financial Literacy: Financial literacy is measured as share of respondents answering all three questions correctly (e.g. 65.30% of 219 respondents who were very highly interested in financial matters knew all answers). Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations 5.1.3. Risk Characteristics Survey participants were asked to judge the following statement: “While considering the capital in your bank accounts and investment portfolios - How much risk are you ready to bear if you may lose part of that money.” The participants were able to give their view on a Likert-type scale of one (no risk at all) to six (high risk). There was also the opportunity to not answer the question or to say that one does not know, what 31 respondents actually did. The six risk categories have been reduced to three cohorts (while merging two cohorts into one) in order to better facilitate evaluation. As shown in Table 11, there is no distinct pattern in terms of risk aversion and financial literacy across questions. While people who were not willing or able to judge their risk aversion performed poorest in all three questions and on an overall basis, moderately risk averse people seem to have performed best overall. Interestingly, less than 73% of people considering themselves as highly risk averse were able to answer the question about risk diversification correctly – a number below average. It may be that people who are aware of their inferior knowledge about risk diversification consequently behave in a risk adverse way. 5.1.4. Financial Planning Survey participants were asked to judge the following statement: “You are stuck in the day to day live and don’t think about the future in terms of financial matters?” The participants were again able to categorize themselves in a Likert-type scale with four options. The range went from bracket one which states that the statement is totally wrong to bracket four which states that the statement is fully correct. 14 respondents made use of the opportunity to refuse to answer or to say that one does not know. 72% or 1’077 respondents argued that the statement is at least rather wrong and consequently are assumed to carry out at least some financial planning. 409 or 27% of respondents indicated that they did only little or no financial planning at all. However, Table 14 shows that the difference in financial literacy between the levels of financial planning are rather small as compared to other personal characteristics. Consequently, they are not statistically significantly different from zero while applying reasonable confidence levels. Roman Graf 50/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table 14: Statistical Test of Financial Planning and Financial Literacy Characteristics Significant vs. Some Planning Some vs. Little Planning Little vs. No Planning Score 53.09 51.72 46.44 N 582 495 267 Score 51.72 46.44 42.25 N 495 267 142 Difference 1.37 5.28 4.19 Test-Stat, 0.45 1.39 0.81 P-Value 0.65 0.16 0.42 *** Significant at 1% confidence level, ** Significant at 5% confidence level, * Significant at 10% confidence level Financial Literacy: Financial literacy is measured as share of respondents answering all three questions correctly (e.g. 53.09% of 582 sign. planner knew all answers). Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations 5.2. Investment Portfolio Firstly, the relationship between financial literacy and investment portfolio ownership will be analyzed with univariate statistics. In a next step there will be a multivariate regression analysis performed to investigate the relationship between the two variables in more detail.70 5.2.1. Univariate Statistics 36% or 536 of survey participants reported to currently have an investment portfolio. Table 15 shows that those respondents who said that they currently have an investment portfolio have statistically significant (1% confidence level) better financial literacy scores on all three questions separately but also on an aggregate level compared to the 964 respondents without investment portfolio. Furthermore, there is also strong statistical evidence that people without an investment portfolio do more often admit to not know a response or refuse to answer. It appears as if individuals who report to not know the answer actually recognize their financial illiteracy. Table 15: Statistical Test of Investment Portfolio Ownership and Financial Literacy Investment Portfolio Overall All 3 Correct Overall ≥1 DK Interest Rates Inflation Risk Diversification Yes 64.37 7.46 85.26 87.50 83.96 N 536 536 536 536 536 No 42.22 22.20 75.93 73.34 67.63 N 964 964 964 964 964 Difference 22.15 *** -14.74 *** 9.33 *** 14.16 *** 16.33 *** Test-Stat. 8.22 -7.29 4.27 6.39 6.86 P-Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 *** Significant at 1% confidence level, ** Significant at 5% confidence level, * Significant at 10% confidence level Financial Literacy: Financial literacy is measured as share of respondents with resp. without investment portfolio answering the question(s) correctly. Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations 5.2.2. Multivariate Regression Results Table 16 reports OLS estimates of the effects of financial literacy and other demographic, economic and financial variables on investment portfolio ownership. The dependent variable investment portfolio ownership is a dummy variable with 0 for no investment portfolio ownership and 1 for investment portfolio ownership.71 70 Table A4 shows demographic, economic and financial characteristics split between participants with and without investment portfolio. 71 The results from the linear probability model in Table 16 are confirmed while applying a probit or logit model (with average marginal effects) in order to account for the dichotomous nature of the dependent variable. Estimates for coefficients of the independent variables derived from probit or logit regression analysis are characterized through very similar levels of statistical significance as those included in the linear probability model applied. However, the size of the coefficients for the financial wealth variables are somewhat lower and the coefficients for the financial interest variables are somewhat higher in the probit and logit regressions as compared to the OLS regression in Table 16. Refer to Table A19 which includes probit and logit regression results for the financial literacy definition all correct. Roman Graf 51/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland The regression results in Table 16 imply a statistically significant relationship between financial literacy and investment portfolio ownership. A higher level of financial literacy comes with an increased likelihood of investment portfolio ownership in all aggregate financial literacy measures. Interestingly, the inflation and risk diversification questions have higher statistical relevance for the relationship with investment portfolio ownership than the interest rates question which, however, in univariate statistics was still statistically significant.72 The coefficients indicate that a person who can answer all three questions correctly is 10 percentage points more likely to have an investment portfolio compared to a person who cannot respond correctly to all questions. At the same time, for every additional question a person admits to not know or refuses to answer, the likelihood of investment portfolio ownership decreases by 13 percentage points. A statistically significant relationship does also exist between investment portfolio ownership and financial wealth. Coefficients are rather high and results in the first column are indicating that a person with financial wealth above CHF 1 Mio. has a 37 percentage points higher probability of owning an investment portfolio compared to a person with financial wealth below CHF 50’000. Nationality also prevails as having a statistically significant relationship with investment portfolio ownership in all types of financial literacy definitions. Swiss are more likely to have investment portfolios. Also of statistical significance is a person’s risk aversion. Individuals who are less risk averse are more likely to have an investment portfolio. Nevertheless, financial interest, engagement and planning seem to have lesser of an impact on investment portfolio ownership. However, very high interest in financial matters is significantly positive related to a higher probability of investment portfolio ownership. The coefficients of the financial literacy variables are indicating that the relationship between financial literacy and investment portfolio ownership is somewhat weaker than the one between financial wealth and investment portfolio ownership. However, one cannot neglect that a person answering one additional financial literacy question correctly has a seven percentage point higher chance of owning an investment portfolio. 5.2.3. Direction of Causality and Omitted Variables The OLS regression analysis in Table 16 provides evidence of a statistically significant relationship between financial literacy and investment portfolio ownership. However, estimates included in the regression analysis may suffer from serious restrictions and limitations. 72 The F-values of around 16 and p-values of 0.00 in the multiple regression analysis in Table 16 indicate that investment portfolio ownership is unlikely to be independent of the set of independent variables used. There is essentially no chance of getting a relationship this strong just by chance. R2 values of around 0.27 show that the set of independent variables are able to explain around 27% of the variation in investment portfolio ownership, a value which is considerably higher than those reported in multivariate analysis of comparable studies as reported in Exhibit A6. For a discussion about multicollinearity (i.e. VIF, eigenvalues and condition indices) refer to Table A13. Roman Graf 52/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table 16: Multivariate Linear Regression – Investment Portfolio Multivariate OLS Regression – Investment Portfolio (d) Financial Literacy - All Correct (d) 0.10 (0.03) *** Financial Literacy - Score Correct 0.07 (0.02) *** Financial Literacy - Interest Rates (d) 0.02 (0.03) 0.07 (0.03) 0.11 (0.03) Financial Literacy - Inflation (d) Financial Literacy - Risk Diversification (d) ** *** Financial Literacy - Score DK Gender Women (d) Age Age Nationality Foreigner (d) Education Primary School (d) Secondary School (d) Professional Education (d) Grammar School (d) University (Applied) (d) University (d) Occupation Employed (d) Unemployed (d) Household Size Number of People in Household Household Income Household Income Financial Wealth < CHF 50'000 (d) CHF 50'000 - 100'000 (d) CHF 100'000 - 250'000 (d) CHF 250'000 - 1 Mio. (d) > CHF 1 Mio. (d) Financial Interest No Interest (d) Low Interest (d) High Interest (d) Very High Interest (d) Financial Engagement No Engagement (d) Low Engagement (d) High Engagement (d) Very High Engagement (d) Risk Characteristics High Risk Aversion (d) Morderate Risk Aversion (d) Low Risk Aversion (d) Financial Planning No Planning of Financial Future (d) Little Planning of Financial Future (d) Some Planning of Financial Future (d) Significant Planning of Financial Future (d) _cons N R2 F -0.13 (0.03) *** * -0.04 (0.03) -0.04 (0.03) -0.04 (0.03) -0.05 (0.03) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) -0.09 (0.04) ** -0.08 (0.04) * -0.08 (0.04) * -0.09 (0.04) omitted omitted omitted omitted -0.03 (0.14) 0.01 (0.13) 0.06 (0.13) 0.08 (0.13) -0.02 (0.14) -0.05 (0.14) -0.01 (0.13) 0.03 (0.13) 0.06 (0.13) -0.02 (0.14) -0.07 (0.14) -0.04 (0.13) 0.02 (0.13) 0.04 (0.13) -0.04 (0.14) -0.02 (0.14) 0.01 (0.13) 0.06 (0.13) 0.09 (0.13) 0.02 (0.13) -0.04 (0.04) 0.00 (0.06) -0.05 (0.04) -0.00 (0.06) -0.05 (0.04) 0.00 (0.06) -0.04 (0.04) 0.01 (0.06) 0.00 (0.01) 0.01 (0.01) 0.00 (0.01) 0.00 (0.01) 0.00 (0.01) 0.00 (0.01) 0.00 (0.01) 0.01 (0.01) omitted omitted omitted omitted 0.21 (0.03) 0.37 (0.04) 0.49 (0.05) 0.37 (0.11) *** *** *** *** 0.21 (0.03) 0.37 (0.04) 0.48 (0.05) 0.37 (0.11) *** *** *** *** 0.22 (0.03) 0.37 (0.04) 0.48 (0.05) 0.37 (0.11) *** *** *** *** 0.22 (0.03) 0.38 (0.04) 0.49 (0.05) 0.39 (0.11) omitted omitted omitted omitted 0.06 (0.06) 0.06 (0.06) 0.20 (0.07) 0.06 (0.06) 0.06 (0.06) 0.20 (0.07) 0.06 (0.06) 0.06 (0.06) 0.19 (0.07) 0.07 (0.06) 0.07 (0.06) 0.20 (0.07) *** *** *** omitted omitted omitted omitted 0.03 (0.04) 0.04 (0.04) 0.02 (0.04) 0.03 (0.04) 0.04 (0.04) 0.02 (0.04) 0.03 (0.04) 0.04 (0.04) 0.02 (0.04) 0.03 (0.04) 0.04 (0.04) 0.02 (0.04) omitted 0.11 (0.03) 0.16 (0.06) omitted *** *** 0.11 (0.03) 0.16 (0.06) omitted *** *** 0.11 (0.03) 0.16 (0.06) *** 0.09 (0.03) 0.14 (0.06) omitted omitted omitted 0.05 (0.05) 0.03 (0.04) 0.07 (0.04) 0.05 (0.05) 0.03 (0.04) 0.07 (0.04) 0.05 (0.05) 0.03 (0.04) 0.07 (0.04) 0.05 (0.05) 0.04 (0.04) 0.08 (0.04) -0.25 (0.16) -0.32 (0.17) 1'250 0.2702 16.15 1'250 0.2726 16.34 -0.29 (0.17) 1'250 0.2750 15.41 *** *** *** *** *** omitted *** omitted * ** * *** *** * -0.19 (0.17) 1'250 0.2710 16.21 *** Significant at 1% confidence level, ** Significant at 5% confidence level, * Significant at 10% confidence level Dependent Variable: Investment Portfolio Ownership (0 = no portfolio (n=792), 1 = portfolio (n=458)) as dummy variable. Explanatory Variables: Numbers in brackets are standard errors. (d) stands for dummy (0/1) variable. Household Income is based on ordinal scale with values ranging from 1 (lowest income) to 6 (highest income). Sample: The sample of n=1’500 has been adjusted for respondents answering: Other for occupation (n=14), DK for number of people in household (n=2), DK for income (n=148), DK for wealth (n=178), DK for planning for financial future (n=14), DK for engagement (n=9), DK for risk aversion (n=31) and missing value for consumption credit (n=1). Out of a total adjustment of n=397, 115 have been double, 13 triple and 2 four-times counted resulting in a sample size for the regression of n=1’250. Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Roman Graf 53/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland The variable financial literacy may itself be endogenous as people become more financial literate due to their investment experience. It may well be that the ownership of an investment portfolio results in a better understanding of finance due to learning effects (reverse causality). Furthermore, financial literacy may have been measured with error and certain influential variables may have been omitted in the model potentially leading to biased estimates. Finally, respondents may have reacted sensitive to how questions were asked and there exists the possibility of guessing.73 (cf. Van Rooij et al., 2011) Instrumental Variable (IV) In order to take account of those pitfalls an IV estimation can be applied. An IV approach allows to re-estimate the impact of financial literacy on investment portfolio ownership while controlling for potential reverse causality and effects from omitted variables.74 A valid instrumental variable has to be correlated with the (potentially) endogenous variable financial literacy and uncorrelated with the error term. A valid instrument should therefore not have a direct linkage to investment portfolio ownership but an indirect relationship through the variable financial literacy. The requirement that valid instruments are uncorrelated with the error term can in general not be statistically tested and therefore needs a strong theoretical argument. (Schmidheiny, 2012, p. 7) Valid instruments are typically derived from natural or random experiments. (Angrist & Krueger, 2001) However, finding a valid and strong instrumental variable is often very hard in practice. (cf. Van Rooij et al., 2012) Finding a valid instrument has proven to be particularly challenging in the setting of the multivariate regression in Table 16 with many theoretically sound instruments failing to fulfill the necessary statistical tests. Statistical Diagnostic of Applied Instruments Table A14 includes a list of instruments which have been applied but for which the statistical diagnostic revealed that they were often weak and failed to be valid. The instrumental variables tested have been identified while following the rational that financial literacy of respondents depends on the financial knowledge of individuals living in their surroundings. It is assumed that respondents who are surrounded by highly financial knowledgeable individuals can learn from them and become more literate themselves. Furthermore, it is not 73 Reverse causality: Investment portfolio ownership in this study refers to both types of ownership - discretionary and non-discretionary. Learning effects may be present in both cases. When opening a discretionary investment portfolio with a Swiss bank one supposedly receives information about the risk and return characteristics of various asset classes due to compliance regulations. Furthermore, while running an investment depot one receives notifications for coupon and dividend payments as well as end-of-year investment statements. On the other hand, while giving a bank an investment mandate, one usually gets information about the portfolio development during the investment period with a description of the underlying economic developments. Consequently, in both cases one could assume that an individual can improve its knowledge about risk diversification, inflation and interest rates while owning an investment portfolio. Omitted variable: An example of an omitted variable is a significant inheritance. An inheritance of a large amount of money has likely an impact on investment portfolio ownership. However, it was not possible to include the variable in the model as no data about inheritances was collected. 74 Instrumental variable approaches have been followed by many researchers in conjunction with studies about financial literacy and retirement planning. Refer to Bernheim et al., 2001, Behrman et al., 2010, Lusardi & Mitchell, 2011A, or Table A15. Roman Graf 54/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland expected that the high density of financial knowledgeable individuals is connected with investment portfolio ownership of a respondent.75 The statistical diagnostic reveals that none of the instruments identified boasts an F-statistic above the often cited threshold of 10 which would allocate high strength to an instrument. Hardly any of the instruments tested have a statistically significant relationship with financial literacy as also shown by the small t-statistics in the first stage regression which was performed for the “score correct” and “all correct” financial literacy definitions. Even less significant are the t-statistics in the second stage or IV regression where investment portfolio ownership is the dependent variable. Durbin-Wu-Hausman test statistics indicate that the null hypothesis of the exogeneity of financial literacy cannot be rejected in any case tested while applying a 5% confidence level. Due to the high p-values in the Durbin-Wu-Hausman tests one may argue that, on the basis of the instruments applied and the underlying rational, there are some doubts in the assumption that financial literacy is endogenous. While considering the test results achieved one is advised to better stay with OLS estimates than to use IV estimates. 5.2.4. Discussions While it has been difficult to draw on an IV approach to proof the direction of causality there are some promising findings of other researchers which can be referred to at this stage. Considering again the statistically significant characteristics found in Table 16, it gets visible that financial wealth has the highest positive coefficients followed by risk appetite and financial literacy. Fascinatingly, the findings in this study are reflecting the responses given in a related survey of 2’000 individuals in Switzerland conducted by the University of Zurich in 2010 which asked non-shareholders why they did not hold shares. Most people responded that they did not have the money (37%) followed by the fact that they did not want to take risks (28%) and lack of knowledge (18%). (Birchler, Volkart, Ettlin, & Hegglin, 2011, p. 21) Taking into consideration the findings above one may reasonably conclude that the lack of knowledge results in people not having investment portfolios rather than the lack of investment portfolio ownership resulting in less knowledge of individuals. At least for the people not having an investment portfolio, which are 792 of the 1’250 individuals included in the regression analysis, it seems as causality is largely running from knowledge to investment portfolio ownership rather than opposite. 75 The same logic has been followed by a number of other researchers. Table A15 includes an overview of instrumental variables which have been used by other researchers in order to instrument financial literacy. Roman Graf 55/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Wealth and Investment Portfolio Ownership The very large coefficients of financial wealth indicate that wealth is critically linked to portfolio ownership while the very low coefficients for household income are surprisingly pointing towards a negligible impact of income on portfolio ownership.76 Survey participants were asked about the gross monthly income of their household. The fact that individuals with a portfolio are double as likely to be retired and above the age of 60 years compared to people without portfolio may give some information on why wealth is important for investment portfolio ownership rather than income (refer also to Table A4). There may also be discussions about the direction of causality with financial wealth being seen as a result of investment portfolio ownership. This view is somewhat challenged by the structure of the coefficients for the various wealth categories. The wealth category coefficients show a statistically significant positive relationship with portfolio ownership which is peaking at a coefficient of 0.49 in the category CHF 250’000-1 Mio. rather than increasing up to the category >CHF 1 Mio..77 The wealth category coefficients show a concave structure with a saturation point rather than a monotonous increasing structure. Furthermore, there are already high coefficients at low wealth levels such as the wealth level CHF 50’000-100’000 which arguably provides evidence that higher wealth is causing individuals to have investment portfolios and effects running opposite are potentially weaker. Low Risk Aversion Comes with Higher Investment Portfolio Ownership Individuals who reported to have little risk aversion are 16 percentage points more likely to have an investment portfolio than individuals with a high risk aversion.78 It seems as there exists a paradigm that investing is inherently risky, irrespective of the fact that investments may also be solely focused on secure bonds rather than more risky assets. Such a misperception of the riskiness of investments was reported by Bachmann & Hens, 2011, who used data from a representative online survey of 1’000 people in Switzerland and reported that half of the respondents assessed the risk of asset classes wrongly. It may therefore well be that risk averse people believe that investing is inherently risky and therfore do not have an investment portfolio. However, the findings may also reflect the reaction of many individuals to the dotcom bubble and the recent financial crisis. Many retail investors lost considerable amounts of money 76 Coefficients remain low and standard errors elevated while splitting income into dummy variables reflecting the same categories as shown in Table 5. 77 However, Wald tests of equality of the coefficients indicate statistically significant differences for all preceding wealth categories apart from the category >CHF 1 Mio. which is non-significantly different from the category CHF 250’000-1 Mio.. Furthermore, there is awareness of the different sizes of the wealth buckets. Nevertheless, there is also the argument that professional wealth managers actively target individuals in higher wealth categories also resulting in wealthier individuals becoming more likely to own investment portfolios rather than opposite. 78 While considering the characteristics of individuals in regards to risk aversion one can see that 2.7% of women compared to 6.2% of men assessed themselves to have a low risk aversion. In terms of age, 3.4% of people above the age of 60 years considered themselves to have a low risk aversion compared to 5.4% of people between the age of 20-39 years. Furthermore, graduates from primary or secondary school are much more likely to assess themselves as having low risk aversion as compared to their better educated counterparts. Furthermore, high risk aversion is decreasing in household income and to a large extent also in financial wealth. Roman Graf 56/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland during those stock market meltdowns and consequently decided to close their investment portfolios and became more risk averse.79 Those crises may thereby have resulted in a segregation with investors with a higher risk appetite remaining invested and less risk seeking individuals closing their portfolios. The relationship between risk aversion and portfolio ownership may well lose on intensity once capital markets are becoming less volatile again as it seems as many (risk averse) individuals have closed their portfolios as a reaction to past investment experience. 5.2.5. Conclusions Financial wealth, risk appetite and financial literacy are positively related to investment portfolio ownership while household income has less of an impact. While the direction of causality is hard to be proven, related research underpins the view that financial knowledge has a meaningful causal effect on investment portfolio ownership. 5.3. Consumption Credit and Mortgage Debt Firstly, the relationship between financial literacy and consumption credit as well as mortgage debt will be analyzed with univariate statistics. In a next step there will be a multivariate regression analysis performed to investigate the relationship between the two variables in more detail.80 5.3.1. Univariate Statistics Table 17: Statistical Test of Consumption Credit/ Mortgage Debt and Financial Literacy Consumption Credit Overall All 3 Correct Overall ≥1 DK Interest Rates Inflation Risk Diversification Yes 45.07 19.72 74.65 69.01 74.65 N Mortgage Debt Overall All 3 Correct Overall ≥1 DK Interest Rates Inflation Risk Diversification Yes 56.77 14.12 81.80 83.26 75.98 N 71 71 71 71 71 No 50.35 16.81 79.48 78.85 73.39 N 1’428 1’428 1’428 1’428 1’428 Difference -5.28 2.91 -4.83 -9.84 ** 1.26 Test-Stat. -0.87 0.64 -0.98 -1.97 0.23 P-Value 0.39 0.52 0.33 0.05 0.81 No 44.53 19.31 77.12 74.29 71.34 N 687 687 687 687 687 Difference 12.24 *** -5.19 *** 4.68 ** 8.97 *** 4.64 ** Test-Stat. 4.72 -2.67 2.23 4.21 2.03 P-Value 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.00 0.04 813 813 813 813 813 *** Significant at 1% confidence level, ** Significant at 5% confidence level, * Significant at 10% confidence level Financial Literacy: Financial literacy is measured as share of respondents with resp. without consumption credit or mortgage debt answering the question(s) correctly. Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Only 5% or 71 individuals reported to currently have an outstanding consumption credit. Table 17 shows that respondents with a consumption credit perform worse as compared to 79 The proportion of people holding shares directly decreased from 30% in 2000 to only 17% in 2010. (Birchler et al., 2011, p. 5) Furthermore, the relationship between risk aversion and investments is also highlighted by the fact that in a study conducted by the University of Zurich, 87% of participants reported “security” as the pivotal criteria in the selection of their investments in 2010. (Birchler et al., 2011, p. 41) It seems as even those more risk seeking investors still in the market focused on security of their investments rather than performance. 80 Table A5 and A6 show demographic, economic and financial characteristics split between participants with and without consumption credit and mortgage debt. Roman Graf 57/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland their counterparts without credit. However, the difference in financial literacy is only statistically significant (5% significant level) for the inflation question. On the other hand, 46% or 687 of respondents reported to currently have an outstanding mortgage. Table 17 shows that respondents with mortgage debt perform better than their counterparts without a mortgage. The differences in financial literacy are statistically significant in univariate statistics. 5.3.2. Multivariate Regression Results Table 18 reports OLS estimates of the effect of financial literacy and other demographic, economic and financial variables on consumption credit and mortgage indebtedness.81 The dependent variables consumption credit and mortgage debt are dummy variables which take a value of 0 for respondents with no debt and 1 for respondents with debt.82 It becomes visible that the characteristics of mortgage debtors are distinctly different from consumption credit debtors. While mortgage debtors are on average more financial literate, financial literacy coefficients for consumption credit indebtedness are negligible. On an aggregate level, there is statistical evidence that a person who answered all three questions correctly is five percentage points more likely to having a mortgage.83 In addition, there is statistically significant evidence that consumption credit borrowers are more likely to be male and foreigners whereas gender matters less with mortgage debt and mortgage borrowers are more likely to be Swiss. In terms of financial characteristics, there is statistically significant evidence that mortgage loans are especially common with the highest wealth cohort while with consumption credits the negative coefficients indicate a decreasing probability of indebtedness with wealth levels statistically significant up to CHF 250’000. It seems as if there is a saturation effect at wealth levels of around CHF 250’000 with customers becoming less likely to still apply for consumption credits at this level (Table A5 shows that only two respondents with financial wealth above CHF 250’000 reported to have a consumption credit). 81 The only change in control variables to the multivariate regression analysis in Table 16 is that the variable Impulsive Behavior is replacing Financial Planning. The substitution has been conducted as financial planning rather than impulsive behavior seemed to be of interest for investment portfolio ownership and vice-versa for consumption and mortgage indebtedness. The questionnaire included a self-assessment question about an individual’s impulsiveness in relation to its purchase experience. Participants were asked to judge their impulsiveness on a Likert-type scale of one (no impulsive behavior) to four (very frequent impulsive behavior). 82 The results from the linear probability model in Table 18 are confirmed while applying a probit or logit model (with average marginal effects) in order to account for the dichotomous nature of the dependent variables. Estimates for coefficients of the independent variables derived from probit or logit regression analysis are characterized through very similar levels of statistical significance as those included in the linear probability model applied. However, the magnitude of the OLS estimates in the consumption credit regression in Table 18 deviate somewhat from the probit and logit estimates in Table A19 due to the small number of respondents reporting to have a consumption credit (n=61 after adjustments). The size of the coefficients for the variables nationality and very frequent impulsive behavior are lower in the probit and logit regressions as compared to the OLS regression in Table 18. Refer to Table A19 which includes probit and logit regression results for the financial literacy definition all correct. 83 The F-values of around 4 resp. 13 and p-values of 0.00 in the multiple regression analysis in Table 18 indicate that consumption credit resp. mortgage indebtedness is unlikely to be independent of the set of regressors used. There is essentially no chance of getting relationships this strong just by chance. R2 values of around 0.09 resp. 0.23 show that the set of independent variables are able to explain around 9% resp. 23% of the variation in consumption credit resp. mortgage indebtedness. The data shows that the explanatory power is considerably higher in the mortgage regression. However, R2 values of around 9% are still comparable to those reported in multivariate analysis of comparable studies as reported in Exhibit A6. Table A16 analysis the multicollinearity of the regressors included in Table 18. Roman Graf 58/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table 18: Multivariate Linear Regression – Consumption Credit resp. Mortgage Debt Multivariate OLS Regression - Consumption Credit (d) Financial Literacy - All Correct (d) 0.05 (0.03) Financial Literacy - Score Correct 0.03 (0.02) -0.01 (0.02) -0.01 (0.02) 0.01 (0.01) Financial Literacy - Inflation (d) Financial Literacy - Risk Divers. (d) 0.03 (0.03) 0.02 (0.03) 0.03 (0.03) Financial Literacy - Score DK Age Age Nationality Foreigner (d) Education Primary School (d) Secondary School (d) Professional Education (d) Grammar School (d) University (Applied) (d) University (d) Occupation Employed (d) Unemployed (d) Household Size Number of People in Household Household Income Household Income Financial Wealth < CHF 50'000 (d) CHF 50'000 - 100'000 (d) CHF 100'000 - 250'000 (d) CHF 250'000 - 1 Mio. (d) > CHF 1 Mio. (d) Financial Interest No Interest (d) Low Interest (d) High Interest (d) Very High Interest (d) Financial Engagement No Engagement (d) Low Engagement (d) High Engagement (d) Very High Engagement (d) Risk Characteristics High Risk Aversion (d) Morderate Risk Aversion (d) Low Risk Aversion (d) Impulsive Behavior No Impulsive Behavior (d) Rare Impulsive Behavior (d) Regular Impulsive Behavior (d) Very Frequent Impulsive Behavior (d) _cons N R2 F ** -0.00 (0.01) Financial Literacy - Interest Rates (d) Gender Women (d) Multivariate OLS Regression - Mortgage Debt (d) 0.00 (0.01) 0.02 (0.02) -0.03 (0.01) * -0.00 (0.00) 0.13 (0.02) -0.03 (0.01) ** -0.00 (0.00) *** 0.13 (0.02) -0.03 (0.01) ** -0.00 (0.00) *** 0.13 (0.02) -0.03 (0.01) -0.04 (0.03) ** -0.00 (0.00) *** 0.12 (0.02) *** -0.00 (0.03) -0.01 (0.03) -0.01 (0.03) -0.01 (0.03) 0.01 (0.00) *** 0.01 (0.00) *** 0.01 (0.00) *** 0.01 (0.00) *** -0.13 (0.04) *** -0.13 (0.04) *** -0.13 (0.04) *** -0.13 (0.04) *** omitted omitted omitted omitted omitted omitted omitted omitted 0.06 (0.07) 0.07 (0.06) 0.07 (0.07) 0.04 (0.07) 0.06 (0.07) 0.06 (0.07) 0.08 (0.06) 0.07 (0.07) 0.04 (0.07) 0.06 (0.07) 0.06 (0.07) 0.07 (0.06) 0.07 (0.07) 0.04 (0.07) 0.06 (0.07) 0.06 (0.07) 0.08 (0.06) 0.07 (0.07) 0.04 (0.07) 0.06 (0.07) 0.02 (0.14) 0.03 (0.14) 0.03 (0.14) 0.05 (0.14) -0.02 (0.14) 0.01 (0.14) 0.02 (0.14) 0.02 (0.14) 0.05 (0.14) -0.02 (0.14) 0.01 (0.14) 0.02 (0.14) 0.03 (0.14) 0.05 (0.14) -0.02 (0.14) 0.02 (0.14) 0.03 (0.14) 0.04 (0.14) 0.06 (0.14) -0.01 (0.14) 0.01 (0.02) -0.01 (0.03) 0.01 (0.02) -0.01 (0.03) 0.01 (0.02) -0.01 (0.03) 0.01 (0.02) -0.01 (0.03) 0.01 (0.04) -0.06 (0.06) 0.01 (0.04) -0.06 (0.06) 0.01 (0.04) -0.06 (0.06) 0.01 (0.04) -0.06 (0.06) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.10 (0.01) *** 0.10 (0.01) *** 0.10 (0.01) *** 0.10 (0.01) *** 0.00 (0.01) 0.00 (0.01) 0.00 (0.01) 0.00 (0.01) 0.05 (0.01) *** 0.05 (0.01) *** 0.05 (0.01) *** 0.06 (0.01) *** omitted -0.04 (0.02) -0.05 (0.02) -0.04 (0.02) -0.06 (0.05) omitted *** *** -0.04 (0.02) -0.05 (0.02) -0.04 (0.02) -0.05 (0.05) omitted *** *** -0.04 (0.02) -0.05 (0.02) -0.04 (0.02) -0.05 (0.05) omitted *** *** -0.04 (0.02) -0.05 (0.02) -0.04 (0.02) -0.05 (0.05) *** *** omitted omitted omitted omitted 0.05 (0.03) 0.04 (0.04) -0.00 (0.05) 0.23 (0.11) 0.05 (0.03) 0.04 (0.04) 0.00 (0.05) 0.23 (0.11) 0.05 (0.03) 0.04 (0.04) -0.00 (0.05) 0.23 (0.11) 0.05 (0.03) 0.04 (0.04) 0.00 (0.05) 0.24 (0.11) ** ** ** omitted omitted omitted omitted omitted omitted omitted omitted -0.02 (0.03) -0.04 (0.03) -0.02 (0.03) -0.02 (0.03) -0.04 (0.03) -0.02 (0.03) -0.02 (0.03) -0.04 (0.03) -0.02 (0.03) -0.02 (0.03) -0.04 (0.03) -0.02 (0.03) 0.02 (0.07) 0.02 (0.06) 0.03 (0.06) 0.02 (0.07) 0.02 (0.06) 0.03 (0.06) 0.03 (0.07) 0.02 (0.06) 0.03 (0.06) 0.03 (0.07) 0.02 (0.06) 0.03 (0.06) omitted omitted omitted omitted omitted -0.00 (0.02) 0.01 (0.02) 0.01 (0.02) -0.00 (0.02) 0.01 (0.02) 0.01 (0.02) -0.00 (0.02) 0.01 (0.02) 0.01 (0.02) -0.00 (0.02) 0.01 (0.02) 0.01 (0.02) 0.08 (0.05) 0.15 (0.04) 0.15 (0.05) omitted omitted omitted omitted omitted 0.00 (0.01) 0.01 (0.03) 0.00 (0.01) 0.01 (0.03) -0.00 (0.01) 0.00 (0.03) 0.00 (0.01) 0.01 (0.03) -0.05 (0.03) -0.15 (0.06) omitted 0.03 (0.01) 0.05 (0.03) 0.16 (0.05) omitted ** * *** 0.03 (0.01) 0.05 (0.03) 0.16 (0.05) omitted ** * *** 0.03 (0.01) 0.05 (0.03) 0.16 (0.05) omitted ** * *** 0.03 (0.01) 0.05 (0.03) 0.17 (0.05) ** * *** omitted * *** *** 0.08 (0.05) 0.15 (0.04) 0.15 (0.05) omitted * *** *** omitted * ** -0.05 (0.03) -0.16 (0.06) 0.08 (0.05) 0.15 (0.04) 0.15 (0.05) omitted * *** *** omitted * ** -0.05 (0.03) -0.16 (0.06) 0.09 (0.05) 0.15 (0.04) 0.15 (0.05) ** -0.06 (0.03) -0.16 (0.06) omitted omitted omitted 0.03 (0.03) 0.02 (0.06) -0.06 (0.10) 0.03 (0.03) 0.02 (0.06) -0.07 (0.10) 0.03 (0.03) 0.02 (0.06) -0.07 (0.10) 0.03 (0.03) 0.01 (0.06) -0.08 (0.10) 0.12 (0.08) 0.12 (0.08) 0.10 (0.08) -0.99 (0.17) 1'248 0.0891 4.26 1'248 0.0893 4.27 1'248 0.0900 4.01 1'248 0.0910 4.36 1'248 0.2351 13.38 *** -1.02 (0.17) 1'248 0.2340 13.30 *** -1.02 (0.18) 1'248 0.2341 12.40 *** -0.97 (0.17) 1'248 0.2338 13.28 *** Significant at 1% confidence level, ** Significant at 5% confidence level, * Significant at 10% confidence level Dependent Variables: Consumption Credit (0 = no credit (n=1’187), 1 = credit (n=61)) resp. Mortgage Debt (0 = no debt (n=673), 1 = debt (n=575)) as dummy variables. Explanatory Variables: Numbers in brackets are standard errors. (d) stands for dummy. Household Income based on ordinal scale ranging from 1 (lowest) to 6 (highest). Sample: The sample of n=1’500 has been adjusted for respondents answering: Other for occupation (n=14), DK for number of people in household (n=2), DK for income (n=148), DK for wealth (n=178), DK for planning for financial future (n=14), DK for engagement (n=9), DK for risk aversion (n=31), DK for impulsive behavior (n=2) and missing value for consumption credit (n=1). Out of a total adjustment of n=399, 115 have been double, 13 triple and 2 four-times counted resulting in a sample size for the regression of n=1’248. Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Roman Graf * *** *** omitted * omitted 0.11 (0.08) *** 59/79 ** *** *** Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Interestingly, household income and household size are only of statistical relevance for mortgage holders. While applying for a mortgage loan, banks in Switzerland consider household income as one key factor in order to determine what size of mortgage a household can carry. However, one would also have assumed that income plays an even more decisive role with consumption credits which are typically not backed by any other form of collateral. From a personal behavior point of view it becomes observable that impulsive behavior is strongly positively related to consumption credit indebtedness but not to mortgage debt. On the other hand, engagement in the daily management of financial matters seems to be relevant with mortgage holders only. The same holds true for risk appetite which is only statistically negatively related to mortgage debt. One may argue that owning property financed with mortgage debt is more risky than renting and highly risk averse people pay down their mortgage faster than little risk averse people. However, rather high statistically significant negative coefficients indicate that mortgage owners are risk averse and potentially believe owning a property is less risky. 5.3.3. Discussions As highlighted in Table A5 there are only 71 (resp. 61 after adjustments) individuals reporting to currently have a consumption credit. This small sample size makes it hard to find statistically significant relationships in multivariate regression analysis. Self-Control and Impulsive Behavior84 Exhibit 9 highlights that impulsive behavior is strongly positively related to consumption credit indebtedness and negatively related to mortgage debt. Exhibit 9: Private Indebtedness by Impulsive Behavior Consumption Credit Indebtedness Mortgage Indebtedness 22% 25% 20% 47% 35% 40% 15% 26% 30% 12% 10% 5% 50% 47% 20% 7% 3% 10% 0% 0% No Impulsive Behavior Rare Impulsive Behavior Regular Impulsive Behavior Very Frequent Impulsive Behavior No Impulsive Behavior Rare Impulsive Behavior Regular Impulsive Behavior Very Frequent Impulsive Behavior Indebtedness: Ratio of respondents with consumption resp. mortgage debt to total respondents in cohort. Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations 84 In this study lack of self-control is used synonym to impulsive behavior. Self-control can be characterized as an intrapersonal decision timeinconsistency problem. (Gathergood, 2012, p. 590) The close interrelation between the two terms is also highlighted by the trade-off individuals face between ‘excessive’ and ‘impulsive’ immediate consumption and a consumption–saving rule requiring the exercise of self-control for its implementation. (Benhabib & Bisin, 2005, p. 462) Roman Graf 60/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Gathergood, 2012, examined the relationship between self-control, financial literacy and over-indebtedness on consumer credit debt among UK consumers and provides empirical evidence of a positive relationship between lack of self-control and greater use of quickaccess but high cost credit items. Further findings point out that both financial illiteracy and lack of self-control have a positive impact on consumer over-indebtedness, with the lesser exerting a stronger influence. Self-control problems have also been used as explanation for high levels of credit card borrowings in theoretical literature. (cf. Heidhues & Koszegi, 2010) As mentioned, previous research emphasizes that impulsive behavior is strongest related to readily accessible credit products such as credit card borrowings. One would have assumed that borrowing with consumption credits is less clear-cut and impulsiveness would therefore play less of a role. However, while there was no information collected about over-indebtendess of survey respondents, the data about consumer credit indebtedness in Table 18 and Exhibit 9 confirms that impulsive behavior is prone to consumption credit debt. The same linkage is not statistically proven for financial illiteracy in a multivariate analysis while the univariate analysis in Table 17 allocates higher overall financial literacy scores to individuals without consumption credit – however, on no stastically signficiant grounds. Concluding on findings from this study one may argue that it is the behavior characteristic impulsiveness which prevails as significant driver of consumption credit indebtedness rather than financial knowledge. Who Demonstrates Impulsive Behavior? In order to better understand the characteristics of people acting in an impulsive manner a multivariate regression analysis with the dependent variable impulsive behavior has been included in Table A17. The dependent variable impulsive behavior is a dummy variable with a value of 0 for respondents showing no impulsive behavior and 1 for respondents showing at least some impulsive behavior. The analysis includes the same control variables as the model in Table 18. While refraining from drawing on conclusions about causality, impulsive behavior seems to be more prominent with wealthier individuals and, unexpectedly, people assessing themselves to be highly risk averse and very highly engaged in financial matters. Ironically, as impulsive behavior is positively related to consumption credit indebtedness there is some indirect effect resulting in very risk averse people potentially being more likely to end up having consumption credit debt than less risk averse people.85 85 One may also argue that bad experience with (existing) consumption credits may result in impulsive individuals becoming more risk averse. A higher risk aversion would thereby result from bad personal experiences of individuals. However, while considering the whole sample, the share of consumption credit holders is 4.43% for the 994 highly risk averse people, 4.39% for the 410 moderately risk averse people, 7.69% for the 65 less risk averse people and 12.90% for the people not declaring the level of their risk aversion. Univariate statistics are supporting the hypothesis that more risk seeking individuals are more likely to have consumption credits. Roman Graf 61/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland While financial literacy is statistically significant negatively related to impulsive behavior, the general level of education does not imply a significant relationship. More financial literate individuals are less likely to show impulsive behavior with a person answering all three questions correctly being 5 percentage points less likely to act at least to a certain degree in an impulsive manner. 5.3.4. Conclusions It can be concluded that consumption credit indebtedness is positively related to impulsive behavior while no significant relationship exists with financial literacy. Impulsive behavior at the same time is more common among rich and highly risk averse people as well as less financially literate individuals. 5.4. Retirement Account Firstly, the relationship between financial literacy and retirement account ownership will be analyzed with univariate statistics. In a next step there will be a multivariate regression analysis performed to investigate the relationship between the two variables in more detail.86 5.4.1. Univariate Statistics 41% or 610 respondents reported to have a retirement account with a bank.87 As indicated in Table 19 there is strong statistical evidence (1% confidence level) that people with retirement accounts know more about interest rates, inflation and risk diversification than people without retirement accounts. There is an overall 16 percentage point higher share of people with retirement account knowing all three questions as compared to people without an account. Table 19: Statistical Test of Retirement Account Ownership and Financial Literacy Retirement Account Overall All 3 Correct Overall ≥1 DK Interest Rates Inflation Risk Diversification Yes 59.84 11.48 83.93 84.26 81.15 N 610 610 610 610 610 No 43.48 20.67 76.07 74.38 68.20 N 890 890 890 890 890 Difference 16.36 *** -9.19 *** 7.86 *** 9.88 *** 12.95 *** Test-Stat. 6.22 -4.66 3.69 4.57 5.58 P-Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 *** Significant at 1% confidence level, ** Significant at 5% confidence level, * Significant at 10% confidence level Financial Literacy: Financial literacy is measured as share of respondents with resp. without retirement account answering the question(s) correctly. Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations 86 Table A7 shows demographic, economic and financial characteristics split between participants with and without retirement account. 87 A retirement account (Säule 3a Vorsorgekonto) receives special tax treatment under Swiss legislation and allows individuals to save for their retirement in a tax efficient manner. Individuals saving through retirement accounts are able to annually claim payments to the accounts for tax purposes but are charged with a tax charge (at a reduced tax rate) once they withdraw their savings. While opening a retirement account, depositors have to decide upon the savings solutions they want to select. Many banks offer pure savings accounts with a variable interest rate but also investment solutions which invest up to 50% into stocks. The numbers above only refer to the retirement accounts provided by banks while disregarding retirement solutions from insurance companies (cf. Exhibit 4). The term retirement account in this master thesis is used as a proxy for the tax preferred retirement accounts only (Säule 3a Vorsorgekonto). Roman Graf 62/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland 5.4.2. Multivariate Regression Results Table 20 reports OLS estimates of the effect of financial literacy and other demographic, economic and financial variables on retirement account ownership. 88 The dependent variable retirement account ownership is a dummy variable which takes a value of 0 for respondents with no retirement account and 1 for respondents with retirement account.89 Financial literacy has a statistically significant positive relationship with retirement account ownership while being defined as score of correct answers or all answers correct. Answering one additional question correctly results in a five percentage points higher chance of owning a retirement account while keeping the other variables unchanged.90 Nationality prevails as having a statistically significant relationship with retirement account ownership in all types of financial literacy definitions. Foreigners are less likely to have retirement accounts. The absolute value of the coefficients of around 0.12 are high while compared to financial literacy coefficients. Even stronger, however, is the relationship between unemployment and saving through retirement accounts. The coefficient indicates that an unemployed person is around 15 percentage point less likely to save through retirement accounts. Considering education one can see that higher education generally increases the likelihood of saving account ownership. As also shown in Table A7, people educated at grammar school or higher are relatively over-represented in the retirement account cohort. However, education does not prevail as being statistical significantly related to retirement account ownership in a multivariate setting. Financial wealth and household income have a positive relationship with retirement account ownership which is especially significant at higher household income and lower financial wealth levels. 88 The changes in control variables to the multivariate regression analysis in Table 16 are that the variable Risk Characteristics has been excluded and the variable Household Income has been accounted for through dummy variables in place of an ordinal scale variable to increase explanatory power. The Risk Characteristics variable has been excluded as risk aversion considerations seem to be of less interest while analyzing retirement account ownership (the risk characteristics coefficients are not statistically significant when being included in the regression analysis in Table 20). 89 The results from the linear probability model in Table 20 are confirmed while applying a probit or logit model (with average marginal effects) in order to account for the dichotomous nature of the dependent variable. Estimates for coefficients of the independent variables derived from probit or logit regression analysis are characterized through very similar levels of statistical significance as those included in the linear probability model applied. However, the size of the coefficients for the household income variables are somewhat higher and the coefficients for the financial wealth variables are somewhat lower in the probit and logit regressions as compared to the OLS regression in Table 20. Refer to Table A19 which includes probit and logit regression results for the financial literacy definition all correct. Sample: Swiss law allows withdrawals of money from retirement accounts starting from the completed 60 iest birth year for men and the 59th for women (BVV3). In order to circumvent adverse tax progression effects, many individuals gradually withdraw their retirement account deposits starting already before their retirement. Any withdrawals are thereby taxed separately at a reduced tax rate (cf. DBG Art. 38 & DBG Art. 214). Retirement account contributions of individuals who did not contribute to the occupational pension system (often individuals below the age of 25 years) result in a reduced tax deduction allowance within general allowances (cf. DBG Art. 212). The tax deduction allowance for insurance nd rd nd premiums and interest income is linked to contributions to the 2 or 3 pillar in Switzerland. As the compulsory 2 pillar contributions (and usually also the voluntary 2nd pillar solutions) start with the 25th birth year there is hardly any tax benefit to be derived from contributions to the 3rd pillar prior to the 25th birthday. For the purpose of the multivariate regression analysis in Table 20, only individuals between the age of 20-65 years have been included. Even though there are typically rather small tax benefits for individuals opening retirement accounts below the age of 25 years, they have still been included in the analysis as some occupational pension systems may already accumulate savings before the compulsory 25 th birth year or some individuals may have contributed to retirement accounts neglecting the reduced tax benefits. Out of the 35 individuals aged below 25 years in the analysis, four reported to have a retirement account. 90 The F-values of around 6 and p-values of 0.00 in the multiple regression analysis in Table 20 indicate that retirement account ownership is unlikely to be independent of the set of regressors used. There is essentially no chance of getting a relationship this strong just by chance. R2 values of around 0.15 show that the set of independent variables are able to explain around 15% of the variation in investment portfolio ownership. Table A18 analysis the multicollinearity of the regressors included in Table 20. Roman Graf 63/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table 20: Multivariate Linear Regression – Retirement Account First Stage Regression All Correct (d) Multivariate OLS Regression - Retirement Account (d) Financial Literacy - All Correct (d) 0.06 (0.03) * Financial Literacy - Score Correct 1.00 (0.52) 0.05 (0.02) 0.03 (0.04) 0.05 (0.04) 0.07 (0.03) Financial Literacy - Inflation (d) Financial Literacy - Risk Diversification (d) * Financial Literacy - Score DK -0.04 (0.04) Instrumental Variables FDP (d) Political Activism (d) Age Age Nationality Foreigner (d) Education Primary School (d) Secondary School (d) Professional Education (d) Grammar School (d) University (Applied) (d) University (d) Occupation Employed (d) Unemployed (d) Household Size Number of People in Household Household Income < CHF 4'500 (d) CHF 4'500 - 7'000 (d) CHF 7'000 - 9'000 (d) CHF 9'000 - 12'000 (d) CHF 12'000 - 15'000 (d) > CHF 15'000 (d) Financial Wealth < CHF 50'000 (d) CHF 50'000 - 100'000 (d) CHF 100'000 - 250'000 (d) CHF 250'000 - 1 Mio. (d) > CHF 1 Mio. (d) Financial Interest No Interest (d) Low Interest (d) High Interest (d) Very High Interest (d) Financial Engagement No Engagement (d) Low Engagement (d) High Engagement (d) Very High Engagement (d) Financial Planning No Planning of Financial Future (d) Little Planning of Financial Future (d) Some Planning of Financial Future (d) Significant Planning of Financial Future (d) _cons N R2 F F of instruments Hansen J-Test * ** Financial Literacy - Interest Rates (d) Gender Women (d) IV Regression Ret. Account (d) 0.09 (0.05) 0.07 (0.05) ** *** -0.00 (0.03) 0.00 (0.03) -0.00 (0.03) -0.01 (0.03) -0.18 (0.03) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) -0.00 (0.00) -0.12 (0.05) ** -0.12 (0.05) ** -0.12 (0.05) ** -0.13 (0.05) *** -0.17 (0.05) 0.16 (0.10) 0.00 (0.00) *** 0.04 (0.11) omitted omitted omitted omitted omitted omitted 0.20 (0.17) 0.13 (0.16) 0.18 (0.17) 0.18 (0.16) 0.20 (0.17) 0.19 (0.17) 0.12 (0.16) 0.18 (0.17) 0.17 (0.16) 0.19 (0.17) 0.18 (0.17) 0.11 (0.16) 0.17 (0.17) 0.16 (0.16) 0.18 (0.17) 0.20 (0.17) 0.13 (0.16) 0.19 (0.17) 0.19 (0.16) 0.21 (0.17) -0.08 (0.16) -0.01 (0.16) 0.00 (0.16) 0.13 (0.16) 0.14 (0.16) 0.26 (0.16) 0.13 (0.14) 0.18 (0.15) 0.05 (0.17) 0.05 (0.18) -0.05 (0.04) -0.07 (0.09) 0.08 (0.06) -0.09 (0.13) -0.01 (0.01) 0.01 (0.02) omitted omitted 0.04 (0.04) -0.15 (0.08) ** 0.00 (0.01) *** *** *** *** 0.12 (0.06) 0.17 (0.07) 0.20 (0.07) 0.26 (0.08) 0.20 (0.08) *** *** 0.14 (0.04) 0.23 (0.04) 0.23 (0.06) 0.05 (0.14) * *** *** *** ** 0.12 (0.06) 0.17 (0.07) 0.20 (0.07) 0.26 (0.08) 0.20 (0.08) *** *** 0.14 (0.04) 0.23 (0.04) 0.23 (0.06) 0.05 (0.14) * omitted * *** *** *** *** omitted *** 0.04 (0.04) -0.15 (0.09) 0.00 (0.01) omitted * omitted *** 0.04 (0.04) -0.15 (0.08) 0.00 (0.01) omitted ** omitted 0.14 (0.04) 0.23 (0.04) 0.23 (0.06) 0.05 (0.14) * 0.00 (0.01) omitted 0.12 (0.06) 0.18 (0.07) 0.21 (0.07) 0.27 (0.08) 0.21 (0.08) 0.04 (0.04) -0.16 (0.08) 0.13 (0.06) 0.18 (0.07) 0.22 (0.07) 0.28 (0.08) 0.22 (0.08) ** *** *** *** *** omitted *** *** ** 0.14 (0.04) 0.24 (0.04) 0.24 (0.06) 0.05 (0.14) 0.09 (0.06) 0.14 (0.06) 0.17 (0.07) 0.19 (0.07) 0.27 (0.08) ** ** *** *** omitted *** *** ** 0.02 (0.04) 0.15 (0.04) 0.10 (0.06) 0.08 (0.12) 0.04 (0.08) 0.06 (0.10) 0.06 (0.11) 0.10 (0.13) -0.03 (0.17) omitted *** * 0.12 (0.05) 0.09 (0.10) 0.13 (0.10) -0.03 (0.19) omitted omitted omitted omitted omitted 0.01 (0.07) 0.04 (0.07) 0.13 (0.08) 0.01 (0.07) 0.04 (0.07) 0.13 (0.08) 0.01 (0.07) 0.04 (0.07) 0.13 (0.08) 0.02 (0.07) 0.05 (0.07) 0.13 (0.08) 0.21 (0.08) 0.17 (0.07) 0.15 (0.07) omitted omitted omitted omitted omitted omitted 0.02 (0.05) 0.01 (0.05) 0.00 (0.05) 0.02 (0.05) 0.01 (0.05) 0.01 (0.05) 0.02 (0.05) 0.01 (0.05) 0.01 (0.05) 0.02 (0.05) 0.01 (0.05) 0.01 (0.05) 0.04 (0.05) 0.02 (0.05) -0.00 (0.05) -0.02 (0.07) -0.01 (0.07) 0.00 (0.07) omitted omitted omitted omitted omitted omitted 0.05 (0.06) 0.08 (0.06) 0.11 (0.06) 0.05 (0.06) 0.08 (0.06) 0.11 (0.06) 0.05 (0.06) 0.08 (0.06) 0.11 (0.06) 0.05 (0.06) 0.08 (0.06) 0.11 (0.06) -0.03 (0.06) 0.01 (0.06) 0.00 (0.05) 0.08 (0.08) 0.08 (0.08) 0.10 (0.08) * * * * * * ** omitted *** ** ** -0.05 (0.15) -0.11 (0.13) -0.12 (0.12) -0.26 (0.20) -0.32 (0.20) -0.31 (0.20) -0.24 (0.20) 0.14 (0.19) -0.39 (0.21) 1‘127 0.1481 6.35 1‘127 0.1503 6.46 1‘127 0.1507 6.07 1‘127 0.1465 6.27 1’127 0.1634 9.65 3.58 1’127 * 0.06 *** Significant at 1% confidence level, ** Significant at 5% confidence level, * Significant at 10% confidence level Dependent Variable: Retirement Account Ownership (0 = no account (n=621), 1 = account (n=506)) resp. All Correct as dummy variable in first stage regression. Explanatory Variables: Numbers in brackets are standard errors. (d) stands for dummy (0/1) variable. Sample: The sample of n=1’500 has been adjusted for respondents answering: Other for occupation (n=14), DK for number of people in household (n=2), DK for income (n=148), DK for wealth (n=178), DK for planning for financial future (n=14), DK for engagement (n=9), DK for risk aversion (n=31), missing value for consumption credit (n=1) and respondents with age above 65 years (n=161) . Out of a total adjustment of n=558, 116 have been double, 30 triple and 3 four-times counted resulting in a sample size for the regression of n=1’127 (refer to footnote 89 for a discussion of the age adjustment). Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Roman Graf 64/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Financial interest, financial engagement and interestingly even financial planning seem to have less of an impact on retirement account ownership. Coefficients are low and there is no statistical evidence for a distinct impact of those variables on retirement account ownership. 5.4.3. Direction of Causality and Omitted Variables The OLS regression analysis in Table 20 implies a statistically significant relationship between financial literacy and retirement account ownership. However, estimates included in the regression analysis may suffer from serious restrictions and limitations. As with investment portfolio also with retirement account ownership there remains the question about the direction in which causality is running. It again may well be that the ownership of a retirement account results in a better understanding of finance due to learning effects (reverse causality). Financial literacy may thereby be endogenous itself as people become more financial literate due to their exposure to savings and investment decisions. Furthermore, financial literacy may have been measured with error which could also have contributed to biased estimates. Finally, respondents may have reacted sensitive to how questions were asked and there exists the possibility of guessing. (cf. Van Rooij et al., 2011) In order to take account of those limitations an IV estimation will be applied. An IV approach allows to re-estimate the impact of financial literacy on investment portfolio ownership while controlling for potential reverse causality and effects from omitted variables. Instrumental Variable (IV) A valid instrumental variable has to be highly correlated with the (potentially) endogenous variable financial literacy and uncorrelated with the error term. A valid instrument should therefore not have a direct linkage to retirement account ownership but an indirect relationship through the variable financial literacy. (Schmidheiny, 2012, p. 7) Financial literacy is instrumented by the exposure to financial knowledge and financial interest of others in the same region. The assumption thereby is that people who are exposed to financially knowledgeable and financially interested people become more financially knowledgeable themselves. Furthermore, it is assumed that financial knowledge and interest of others is beyond the scope of the respondents and does not directly impact the fact if a respondent has a retirement account. Political Attitude and Political Activism The first hypothesis is that the exposure to financially knowledgeable individuals in regions with a low share of liberal right-wing voters is smaller than in regions with a high share of Roman Graf 65/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland liberal right-wing voters. The voting shares of the political party “FDP.Die Liberalen” in the national elections in October 2011 have been taken as a proxy for financial knowledge.91 The second hypothesis is that financial interest and the desire to make one’s financial knowledge known to others is more prominent with individuals who are politically active in regards to votes about financial topics. The regional participation rates in the national vote about the adjustment of the retirement rent conversion factor in March 2010 have been taken as proxy for financial interest.92 Statistical Diagnostic of Instrumental Variables The first stage regression highlights that the instrument reflecting the voting share of the “FDP.Die Liberalen” has a positive statistically significant relationship with financial literacy while political activism has less statistical relevance in the setting applied. The second stage regression underpins that the instrumented financial literacy variable has a statistically significant positive impact on retirement account ownership. Table 21 includes a number of statistical tests which have been applied to test the validity and strength of the instrumental variables applied. Table 21: Statistical Diagnostic of Instrumental Variables First Stage Regression Summary Statistics Variable Financial Literacy – All Correct R2 Adj. R2 0.1634 0.1397 Part. R2 0.0062 F-Stat. 3.58 P-Value Durbin-WuHausman Test F-Stat. 0.03 6.16 P-Value Hansen J-Test X2-Score 0.01 0.06 P-Value 0.81 Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations The test results as included above will be analyzed on an item-by-item basis. F-Statistic The F-statistic allows to test the joint significance or strength of both instruments. The Fstatistic of 3.58 and p-value of 0.03 indicates that both instruments are jointly significantly different from zero while applying a confidence level of up to 3%. However, the partial R2 is just 0.0062 what raises some questions about the strength of the instruments. Furthermore, Staiger & Stock, 1997, argue that instruments can be considered weak if F-statistics are below 10 what is the case with the two instruments applied.93 91 FDP.Die Liberalen is the major liberal party in Switzerland and emerged from the merger performed on a national level in 2009 between the FDP and the significantly smaller Swiss Liberal Party. Currently, FDP.Die Liberalen has 30 representatives in the national parliament and is the third strongest party in Switzerland on a national level (Nationalrat) with a share of 15.1% of all seats. Voting shares of FDP.Die Liberalen have been collected on postal code level and a dummy variable has been defined which takes a value of 1 for the postal codes which are in the highest 10% of FDP.Die Liberalen voting shares and 0 otherwise. 92 On March 7, 2010 there was a national vote about the adjustment of the rent conversion rate in the compulsory occupational pension system so as to account for the changed demographic and economic landscape in Switzerland. Voting participation rates have been collected on postal code level and a dummy variable has been defined which, consistently with the FDP.Die Liberalen voting shares, takes a value of 1 for the postal codes which are in the highest 10% of voting participation rates and 0 otherwise. 93 There is awareness of the rather low F-statistics which are a result of the difficulties in finding a set of instruments with more predictive power. However, at the same time there can be referred to other studies such as Bucher & Lusardi, 2011, which included instruments in their regression analysis which were characterized through F-statistics for the instruments of around 4 as well. Roman Graf 66/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Durbin-Wu-Hausman Test With the Durbin-Wu-Hausman Test the endogeneity of financial literacy can be tested. The null hypothesis is that financial literacy is exogenous. The F-statistic of 6.16 and the corresponding p-value of 0.01 indicate that the null hypothesis can be rejected up to a confidence level of 1%. Consequently, it can be said with a reasonable high certainty that financial literacy is endogenous in the setting applied. Hansen J-Test The Hansen J-Test examines the over-identifying restrictions. The test can be applied as two instrumental variables (FDP voting share and vote participation rates) are used to instrument one endogenous variable (financial literacy). The test assumes that one instrument is valid (i.e. exogenous) and then tests for the validity of the other instrument. It allows to make a statement about whether the instruments are uncorrelated with the error term in the second stage regression or not. The X2-score of 0.06 and p-value of 0.81 does not allow to reject the over-identifying restrictions while applying a meaningful confidence level. Hence, it cannot be concluded that the instruments do not satisfy the orthogonality conditions and thus it cannot be said that the instruments are not valid. Interpretation The IV approach applied gives some evidence that the direction of causality is going from financial literacy to retirement account ownership rather than opposite. While analyzing the IV regression results, however, one has to keep in mind the rather low F-statistic for the instruments derived from the first stage regression. 5.4.4. Discussions The old-age pension system in Switzerland is often considered as a well thought through construction which is also referred to as an example of best practice by multiple international organizations. (BSV, 2008) Irrespectively, 45% of 1’000 respondents of a representative survey of eligible Swiss voters published by Credit Suisse mentioned that they look at the old-age pension system in Switzerland with concern. The Swiss pension system thereby ranks second highest on a scale reflecting the worries of Swiss, just after unemployment. (Credit Suisse, 2010, p. 6) Having those two findings in mind and considering that 506 out of 1’127 or 45% of respondents reported to have a retirement savings account one may raise the question if people hold retirement accounts mainly for tax or genuinely for retirement saving purposes. This question is especially relevant as no significant relationship (on 5% confidence level or smaller) could be found between financial planning or engagement and retirement account ownership. Roman Graf 67/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Upper Income and Wealth Quintiles Use Retirement Accounts Overall, it seems as household income and financial wealth are the key variables determining if someone has a retirement account or not. The high coefficients of the different financial income and wealth levels paired with statistical significance indicate their importance. There is an annual contribution cap to retirement accounts making the tax favored saving especially interesting for medium income earners rather than very prosperous individuals for whom the favorable tax effects loose on relative importance.94 However, the regression results show the highest coefficients of around 0.27 with the income bracket CHF 12’00015’000. In terms of financial wealth and retirement account ownership, coefficients are peaking at the wealth bracket CHF 100’000-250’000 resp. CHF 250’000-1 Mio. reaching values of around 0.23. Out of those numbers one may conclude that tax efficient saving through retirement accounts is especially favored by households in the upper (but not top) income and wealth classes.95 Nationality Gap in Retirement Account Ownership The eligibility for tax preferred saving through retirement accounts does not depend on any nationality criteria. However, the process through which the derived tax benefits can be claimed is different between Swiss and foreigners with certain visa types.96 The majority of foreigners living in Switzerland are in possession of permanent residence permissions. However, there may still be a knowledge barrier or some foreigners may still have their pension solution from their home country. They may consider Switzerland only as their home for a temporary time and may therefore decide not to save for retirement through Swiss retirement solutions. Furthermore, as many of them may not have gone through the Swiss education system they are unlikely to know the Swiss retirement and tax system well. Only the labor force is eligible for savings in the form of retirement accounts. Table 22 indicates that foreigners have higher labor force participation rates than Swiss irrespective of 94 The contribution cap to retirement accounts is dependent on the question if an individual is insured in the second pillar (BVG) or not. For 2012 the maximum contribution amounts were CHF 6’682 (8% of upper limit according to BVG 80 I) for individuals with BVG insurance coverage and CHF 33’408 (40% of upper limit) for those without BVG coverage. 95 The gross monthly wage (median) in Switzerland was CHF 5’933 in 2010. (BfS, 2011B) The SNB reported average net wealth of households of CHF 341’262 for 2010. However, the SNB includes real estate and pension assets while deducting liabilities such as mortgages to get average net wealth. (SNB, 2011) The wealth number used in this study is a gross number neglecting real estate ownership and liabilities. The conclusions are supported by Wald tests of the equality of the coefficients of two neighboring wealth brackets. The null hypothesis of equal coefficients can thereby be rejected on a 5% confidence level with the wealth categories <CHF 50’000 and CHF 50’000-100’000 as well as CHF 50’000-100’000 and CHF 100’000-250’000. The corresponding F-values are 15.68 resp. 4.01 and the p-value 0.000 resp. 0.045. There is a statistically significant difference between the coefficients of the wealth categories. Wald tests for income brackets result in the rejection of the null hypothesis of equal coefficients for the income bracket <CHF 4’500 and CHF 4’500-7’000 (F-value: 3.99, p-value: 0.046). 96 Foreigners without permanent residence permission (Niederlassungsbewilligung C) working in Switzerland are subject to source taxes (Quellensteuern) which are deducted monthly from their salary and handed in to the tax office by their employer. If such foreigners make contributions to retirement accounts, they are asked to hand in an application with their contribution confirmation in order to receive reimbursement of some of their deducted source taxes. Foreigners with permanent residence permission or without permanent residence but with gross labor income exceeding a state set threshold (e.g. state of Zurich CHF 120’000 annually) are subject to a tax assessment based on their income and wealth situation. They are required to hand in a tax declaration as Swiss do (incl. any claim on retirement account contributions) and get their source tax paid considered in the tax assessment. Foreigners and Swiss leaving Switzerland permanently are eligible to claim the savings in retirement accounts (with the regular tax implications which applies with a withdrawal). However, a person leaving Switzerland may also decide to keep the money in the retirement account and claim it when retiring. In this case a source tax (Quellensteuer) applies in place of the regular taxation, which, however, is usually more favorable. (BVV 3) Roman Graf 68/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland gender. This findings are also consistent with our sample where out of the 109 foreigners included in the regression analysis, 85.3% are employed compared to 79.2% of Swiss. Table 22: Standardized Labor Force Participation Rates in Switzerland Men 75.5 Women 60.8 - Swiss 73.5 - Swiss 59.7 - Foreigners 82.0 - Foreigners 65.5 Standardized Labor Force Participation Rate: Includes individuals with age 15 years and older. Foreigners: Permanent residents (short term visitors only if at least 12 months in Switzerland). Source: BfS, 2012E As all respondents in the survey reported to be living in Switzerland for more than five years, it may be of pivotal importance to better educate foreigners about the Swiss retirement and tax system in order to ensure a higher coverage of foreigners also in the third pillar. Furthermore, as highlighted in Table 20, unemployed people are far less likely to have a retirement account. This fact is especially noteworthy as workers with no employment are no longer insured against age in the second pillar. Longer periods of unemployment may therefore cause critical gaps in a person’s retirement benefits. 5.4.5. Conclusions Household income, financial wealth, significant financial planning and financial literacy are statistically significantly positively related to retirement account ownership while foreign nationality and unemployment have a negative relationship. An instrumental variable regression provides evidence that causality is running from financial knowledge to retirement account ownership rather than opposite. However, a low F-statistic for the instruments applied proclaims the applied instruments to be rather weak. Roman Graf 69/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland 6. Policy Implications and Conclusions This chapter discusses implications for policy makers in Switzerland arising from the findings about financial literacy as described previously. The aim is to outline the magnitude of efforts in the area of financial literacy undertaken by policy makers abroad and to reflect on actions already undertaken in Switzerland. 6.1. Rationale for Improving Financial Literacy in Switzerland As stated by Gale & Levine, 2010, improving financial literacy should be a first-order concern for policy makers, with potential gains not only occurring for the individuals who would benefit directly, but also for their family members and for the society at large.97 The more financially literate individuals and their families would experience a financially secure working life and retirement while the society would also get its share through the experience of social and economic gains from a reduced financial vulnerability of many of its members. A better financial knowledge of the population in Switzerland would also bring positive externalities in the form of improved decision making processes with individuals. Such better decision making practices are of particular importance in Switzerland due to its direct democracy and the derived high frequency of votes. Findings of this study reveal that financial literacy levels in Switzerland are akin to other developed countries such as Germany or the Netherlands. Even though there were no national strategies on financial literacy propagated in Switzerland as was done in some countries abroad, it seems as if we are not lacking behind on financial knowledge.98 However, even though the results do not call for any immediate actions, it seems to be the wrong time to play down the importance of financial literacy in Switzerland. Instances such as the fall of Lehman Brothers and its harmful consequences for many less financially knowledgeable retail investors have clearly pointed out that there is still work to be done. This holds especially true while recalling current domestic trends of transferring an increasing number of risks to individuals. Financial knowledge is particularly low among women, elderly, foreigners and poorly educated individuals and some of those groups seem to be exposed the highest to the new challenges. Furthermore, the positive externalities of financial literacy as seen in a higher propensity to owning investment portfolios and retirement accounts underpin the rational for improving financial literacy. 97 For a discussion about the relationship between financial literacy and welfare costs refer to Williams & Satchell, 2011. 98 One may argue that the financial literacy levels in Switzerland are surprisingly high while considering the rather small efforts undertaken in the past to foster financial knowledge (refer to Table 23). Habschick, Seidl, & Evers, 2007, analyzed the financial literacy initiatives undertaken in the EU-27 countries and concluded that Germany plays an active role in the field of financial literacy and constitutes the second-most active member state after the UK. They identified 40 schemes in Germany which are mostly provided in classrooms and which mainly target children or young adults. Hence, an explanation for the small difference in financial literacy between Switzerland and Germany may be the fact that the initiatives in Germany may not yet have had its impact on the adult population which was used as focus group in this study. Roman Graf 70/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland 6.2. Information Challenge The survey as presented in this paper provides insight into the status quo of financial literacy in Switzerland and its relationship to financial behavior. However, the study has limitations in regards to statements about multiple aspects of financial literacy such as debt literacy or investment knowledge and can be considered as providing the big picture rather than an accurate drawing of the financial knowledge level in Switzerland.99 As indicated in the literature review, other researchers often defined financial literacy rather broadly including knowledge about areas such as retirement, debt, insurance or numeracy. Consequently, in order to get a more accurate picture of the areas where financial literacy is lacking the most among the population in Switzerland, there should be follow-on studies with a focus on the various aspects of financial literacy. Furthermore, prospective studies should be focused on Switzerland as a whole as compared to this study which was focused on the German speaking part of Switzerland only. 6.2.1. High Fragmentation of Data Collection in Switzerland Table A20 highlights that many countries such as the US with its Jump$tart survey or Australia with its ANZ survey have implemented financial literacy surveys which provide data about the development of financial literacy levels across time and on granular level. Longitudinal studies or regularly conducted surveys focused on financial literacy are still missing in Switzerland. So far, information relating to financial knowledge has been gathered in the form of add-ons to multiple studies with broad arrays of rationales. While this study ensured international comparability of financial literacy results, there is still a high level of fragmentation in information gathering in Switzerland when it comes to defining financial literacy at a more granular level.100 Regularly conducted studies with consistent questions focused on financial literacy (no selfassessment) would be of critical importance to measure and track the success of any policy measures undertaken in the field of financial literacy. As done with the HRS survey in the US, it could be thought about attaching a financial literacy add-on in the Integrated System for Household and Personal Statistics (SHAPE) framework managed by the BfS or the part of the SHARE survey which covers the elderly population in Switzerland.101 99 The study does, for instance, provide information about the relationship between financial literacy and consumption credit indebtedness on the basis if someone has a consumption credit. However, the survey does not provide information about the fact if an individual can be considered to be in financial hardship because of the consumption credit or if the credit does just provide some bridge financing without causing any further challenges with the debtor. In addition, the survey is cross-sectional and does not allow for comparisons across different points in time. 100 More granular information about financial knowledge in Switzerland has for instance been collected through representative surveys by the University of Zurich for knowledge about structured products (cf. Wilding et al., 2010) or investment and stock-exchange knowledge (cf. Birchler et al., 2011). However, their assessment of the knowledge of survey participants is based on self-assessment rather than derived from the results of relevant questions. 101 The aim of the BfS is to build with the SHAPE framework an integrated statistical information system about individuals and households until 2019. SHAPE comprises of the HABE, SAKE and SILC surveys which are conducted continuously (i.e. SAKE) or annually (other surveys). As postulated by BfS, 2007, p. 8, thematic surveys on topics such as education should be added to the SHAPE framework with data raising on a five year interval. Financial literacy questions may be included in an add-on to the thematic survey about education. Roman Graf 71/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland 6.2.2. The Question About the Requirement of a National Body and Strategy Exhibits A2 to A5 report aggregate financial literacy scores geographically and indicate that improving financial literacy levels is rather a national than a local challenge in Switzerland. This holds especially true as newly proposed consumer protection regulations as well as changes in the retirement system have a national rather than local reach. While considering the organizational setting in regards to improving financial literacy in countries abroad one can see that many countries have introduced national committees or offices with broader or narrower mandates. One can argue about the reasonableness of establishing a national body also in Switzerland which would be in charge of the coordination of potential policy measures in the field of financial literacy and which may define a financial literacy strategy in Switzerland. Such a national committee on financial literacy could define the term financial literacy in the form of national standards, act as a coordinator in raising data about the level of financial literacy, derive appropriate policy proposals and act as an evaluator of measures taken.102 (cf. Hieber et al., 2011) A nationwide approach might also be supported as the school curricula for German-speaking Switzerland are established in combined efforts rather than on pure state level. Consequently, a national body on financial literacy could undertake important lobbying activities and provide valuable inputs for future school curricula. Besides, it could act as a strategic player which is representing Switzerland in international committees such as the OECD/ INFE. Furthermore, the national body could assess international initiatives and propose best practice measures in the field of financial literacy in Switzerland. 6.3. Policy Implications and Action Items Even though there was no representative data available on financial knowledge in Switzerland, various bodies have already undertaken financial literacy related initiatives. Not surprisingly, however, those initiatives have not always targeted the audience characterized by particular low financial knowledge levels. 102 National bodies and strategies in regards to financial literacy have already been defined in countries such as Australia and the US. Australia: The Australian government has asked its financial regulator, the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC), to prepare a national financial literacy strategy which was then endorsed by the Australian Government Financial Literacy Board. With the Australian Government Financial Literacy Board, Australia has defined a non-statutory body that provides advice to government and ASIC on financial literacy issues. The Board consists of 12 members who meet quarterly. Refer to ASIC, 2011, for further information. US: The President’s Advisory Council on Financial Capability, established in 2010, can be considered the national body on financial literacy in the US. The council belongs to the Department of the Treasury and its functions include the collection of information about financial literacy (e.g. through the FLEC), the advising of the president in regards to policy measures as well as the reporting of the financial knowledge in the US. The Financial Literacy and Education Commission (FLEC) has developed the 2011 national strategy to promote financial literacy and education. The FLEC comprises of 21 federal entities. For further information about the organization and functions of the President’s Advisory Council on Financial Capability refer to The White House, 2010, and for information about the national strategy to FLEC, 2011. Roman Graf 72/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table 23: Selected Financial Literacy Initiatives Undertaken in Switzerland Initiative Kinder-Cash & Potz Tuusig iconomix Money & Budget Organization Description Audience Zentris AG, Pro Juventute Focus: Responsible money management Target Group: Children (4-12 years) Concept: Comprehensive teaching material for kindergarten and primary school level, workshops and material for parents. Kinder-Cash, the 1x1 of money for kids provides tool which helps teach money-lessons in an age appropriate way. Potz Tuusig, teaching material for kits in comic form. Reference: www.kinder-cash.ch & www.potz-tuusig.ch Teachers & Parents Swiss National Bank (SNB) Focus: Enhance economics knowledge Target Group: Secondary School Level II students Concept: Iconomix is a web-based tool used in the teaching of economics. It offers a range of teaching units that can be either downloaded or ordered. It is primarily intended for use by school teachers of economics and humanities. Reference: www.iconomix.ch Teachers Budget Consulting Switzerland Focus: Promotion of sound financial behavior Target Group: People from various social backgrounds Concept: Providing of budget examples and consulting as well as material tailored for school education in the field of financial behavior (dedicated section for teachers). Reference: www.budgetberatung.ch Teenagers, Adults & Teachers Money & Budget Debt Consulting Switzerland Education material & Web-Gateway to Financial Literacy Swiss Bankers Association Focus: Responsible money management Target Group: Teenagers and adults Concept: Webpage which provides in a section “prevention” extensive material about money and education. Section “youth and money” includes selection of learn clips and testimonies of teenagers ending up in debt trap. Reference: www.schulden.ch and www.femmestische.ch Focus: Provide online gateway for financial literacy Target Group: Students, adults, parents and teachers Concept: Provide training material for the secondary school level II and various courses for bank employees. Launch “Webweiser Financial Literacy” as financial literacy gateway. Reference: www.money-info.ch Teenagers, Parents & Teachers Students, Adults, Parents & Teachers PostFinance Focus: Support sound financial behavior Target Group: Teenagers Concept: EventManager is a modern online-game supporting sound financial behavior. Topics covered are budgeting, financing and investing. Reference: www.postfinance-eventmanager.ch Teenagers Money and Education FemmesTISCHE Focus: Money and education – what parents can do Target Group: Children Concept: Comprehensive set of materials on how parents can educate their children on how to deal with money. Set is available in many languages so as to cover migrants and their families as well. Reference: www.femmestische.ch/produkte/geld.html Parents “Budgetiert – Kapiert in 90 Minuten” Cooperation between Plusminus and Swiss Post FinLiCo - Financial Literacy Competencies for Adult Learners The Swiss national Umbrella Organization for Adult Education (SVEB) Consumer information – insurance basics Swiss Insurance Association (SIA) EventManager Financial Services Provider vs. Customer Relationship Swiss Design Institute for Finance and Banking (SDFB) Guidebooks Foundation for Consumer Protection Focus: Sound management of money (incl. budgeting and debt trap) Target Group: Teenagers and students Concept: School presentation including training material of 90 minutes. Reference: www.post.ch/post-postdoc-budgetiert-kapiert-in-90minuten.pdf Focus: Improve financial knowledge Target Group: Adults Concept: Toolbox for learners and guidance for teachers will be developed. The international project runs from 2010-2012. SVEB is partnered by SER State Secretariat for Education and Research which provides funding. Reference: www.alice.ch/de/sveb/projekte Focus: Improve insurance knowledge Target Group: Adults Concept: SIA provides on its website information on insurance basics. It covers personal insurance but also non-life insurance. Reference: www.svv.ch Focus: Reflection of the financial institutions and customers relationship Target Group: Financial institutions and consumers Concept: The SFDB is included in the OECD database on financial education programs. SFDB projects such as FLOW addresses the wideranging issues associated with the manner in which digital media influence the interface between financial service providers and their customers. Reference: www.sdfb.ch Focus: Responsible money management Target Group: Consumers Concept: Provider of guidebooks covering topics such as savings, investments and budgeting. Special publications cover youth and money as well as how to deal with cell phone bills. The consumer protection foundation also provides consulting. Reference: www.konsumentenschutz.ch Teachers Adults Adults Financial Institutions & Consumers Consumers Source: OECD, 2012C, references as mentioned Roman Graf 73/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland 6.3.1. What Has Been Done in Switzerland? An overview of selected initiatives undertaken in the field of financial literacy in Switzerland is given in Table 23 which shows that there is no national strategy on how to improve financial literacy but a set of initiatives and projects started by various public and private institutions. Publicly and privately led initiatives covering target audiences of children, teenagers and adults as well as customers have been undertaken. The initiatives are typically covering financial literacy in the area of money handling and target to reduce private indebtedness, especially among teenagers and young adults. However, as highlighted in section 5.3. of this study no statistically significant relationship between financial literacy and consumption credit indebtedness could be proven on the basis of the data raised in the questionnaire. Findings from the analysis about consumption credit indebtedness highlight the critical importance of impulsiveness rather than financial knowledge while, however, not covering indebtedness in the form of leasing obligations or credit card debt. Nevertheless, one may argue that first-order policy measures and initiatives focusing on consumer indebtedness should aim at defusing the impulsive behavior of individuals rather than enhancing financial knowledge. While individuals can hardly be educated on selfcontrol, potential measures in this area could be seen in constraining the access to consumption credits. In more concrete terms one could consider restricting the access to credits at the point-of-sale or delaying the access to credits through processes which require certain amounts of time.103 The Lack of Evaluation As there was no representative data on financial literacy levels in Switzerland available, the initiatives undertaken were mainly based on studies and data which unveiled problems in areas such as youth indebtedness. Furthermore, there were no such things as systematic evaluations of the effects of the existing programs, neither on financial literacy levels nor on consequent financial behavior. However, as highlighted by the OECD, it is especially the evaluation of the financial education programs which is seen as of critical importance. (OECD, 2009C) While considering the various initiatives it becomes clear that most of them are followed by individuals voluntarily. On may argue that many initiatives are followed by (children of) better educated individuals as their awareness of such programs is supposed to be higher than for less educated people. Furthermore, programs targeted towards school curricula are often at the mercy of the teachers if they are implemented in practice. 103 Comparable measures have also been proposed by Gathergood, 2012, who found evidence for an especially strong relationship between impulsive behavior and indebtedness with readily accessible credit products in the UK. Roman Graf 74/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland No Information about Financial Literacy of Youth Unlike in many other countries, in Switzerland there has not been any data collected on financial literacy of youth, neither in this study nor in any other. As there is no binding school curricula on the topic of financial literacy, Switzerland will also not take part in the voluntary OECD PISA 2012 financial literacy framework survey which will take place in 2012.104 (Manz, 2011, p. 60) OECD PISA 2012 is the first large-scale international study which aims at assessing the financial literacy of young people and which generates comparable data across countries.105 As a result, taking part in the OECD PISA financial literacy survey would have allowed local policy makers to gather important information about the financial knowledge of students in Switzerland and how they compare internationally. 6.3.2. Which Focus Groups and Topic Areas Have Been Neglected? Disregarding the lacking information about the financial knowledge of youth, extensive focus has been given to financial literacy of students and the use of money by teenagers. The reason can be seen in increasing private indebtedness of young adults in Switzerland (refer to section 2.2.2.). While considering the demographic groups which were attributed low financial knowledge levels one can see that especially people with the following characteristics have not been given special consideration by the initiatives undertaken:106 Women Poorly educated and low income groups Elderly population A glance at international efforts in the field of financial literacy will shed some light on how Switzerland compares internationally and what weight has been given to better educating women, disadvantaged and elderly people in other countries. 6.3.3. What Has Been Done Abroad? There is no consistency in measures commenced by public and private policymakers and organizations around the globe in regards to financial literacy. Actions undertaken have been 104 However, the school curricula “Projekt Lehrplan 21” is supposed to introduce mandatory lectures covering the area “money” within the subject group “Wirtschaft, Arbeit, Haushalt” at Secondary School Level I. (EDK, 2010, p.12) Refer to section 4.2. or EDK, 2010, for further information. 105 Refer to Table A20 or OECD, 2012A, for more information about the OECD PISA 2012 financial literacy framework. 106 Foreigners have also not been targeted by any initiative explicitly. However, they have been excluded here as the financial literacy results of foreigners as shown in this study are based on foreigners who declared to be living in Switzerland for more than five years. As those foreigners were also able to answer the telephone questions in German, one would assume that they do not need to be targeted differently from Swiss. However, special initiatives for foreigners may be applicable if further studies disclose major lack in financial knowledge among foreigners not yet fully integrated in Switzerland. Germany, for instance, has with its “Fit in Finanzen” a mediation concept which explicitly targets foreigners. Roman Graf 75/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland highly fragmented with some countries introducing promising financial literacy programs while others have taken a rather hands-off approach.107 High Fragmentation of Initiatives in Europe Habschick, Seidl, & Evers, 2007, analyzed the EU-27 member states in regards to their measures and initiatives undertaken in the field of financial literacy while distributing 800 online questionnaires of which 440 were returned. They were able to identify 180 financial literacy schemes in the countries analyzed and concluded that there had been little information exchange between member states. While pointing out the fact that there were already very successful and efficient methodologies in place in several member states, they argued to concentrate on transnational cooperation in terms of defining content, curricula and methodology of initiatives. A closer reflection of the initiatives undertaken in the EU-27 member countries showed that the distribution of financial literacy schemes varied among countries with most schemes being found in the UK, Germany and Austria. Poland was at the forefront while considering only states in Eastern Europe where many countries followed a hands-off approach. The main target groups were children and young adults and two out of three schemes were provided by intermediaries. (Habschick et al., 2007, p. 3) Furthermore, Habschick et al., 2007, p. 21, report that one out of four schemes had targeted specifically low-income or low-education groups and that every second initiative used multiple instruments and channels with the internet being of particular importance. Initiatives focused on women include "Women Entrepreneurs: Empowering through financial literacy” in Malta, “Financial management in young households” in Germany or “Plan Your Future” in Poland. The elderly population has been explicitly mentioned as target group in schemes such as the European funded “Adult Basic Accounting and Control of Over Indebtedness” (ABACO) project focusing on South Europe or in the campaign “The National Pensions Awareness Campaign” (NPAC) in Ireland. The financial literacy program “Finance & Pédagogie” in France covers especially poorly edcuated and disadvantaged people and gives advice on general money handling matters. Many Initiatives Focused on Youth in the United States There has been much attention paid to financial literacy in the US with a large array of initiatives rolled out from private and public organizations in the past. Due to the high number of schemes in the US the focus of this snapshot will be on the Jump$tart coalition but also the efforts undertaken by the Federal Reserve. While limiting the research on those two 107 The OECD International Gateway for Financial Education maintains a database of financial education programs undertaken in its member countries. Those information can be accessed through www.financial-education.org/program.php. Roman Graf 76/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland organizations, it becomes clear that students and youth in general are the single most important focus groups in terms of financial education.108 The Jump$tart coalition maintains the national standards in personal finance education, which serve as a program-design and evaluation framework for school administrators, teachers, curriculum specialists, instructional materials developers, and educational policymakers. Combined with the Jump$tart coalition's best practices guidelines, the standards serve as a guide for state and local policymakers in implementing financial education legislation. (Mandell, 2008, p. 11) Measures undertaken in the field of financial education of youth by the Federal Reserve in the US include "Life Smarts," a national quiz-based competition for high school students, educational web sites, such as "FedVille," where students actively learn more about financial concepts such as spending, saving, and earning interest, and FederalReserveEducation.Org, a system-wide education web portal which offers easy access to a host of beneficial resources geared toward students, parents, and teachers. (FED, 2012) High Activism in Australia Australia identified in its 2011 financial literacy strategy a number of financial literacy programs across a range of sectors which are: community, indigenous, government, workplace and international. Interestingly, many of those financial literacy initiatives are sponsored or endorsed by the major Australian financial services companies. Community programs include the campaign “Saver Plus” administered by The Brotherhood of St Laurence and ANZ which aims to increase personal savings and financial capability of people on low incomes or the initiative “Start Smart” an interactive program for primary and secondary school students sponsored by the Commonwealth Bank Foundation. Indigenous people are covered through the “Indigenous Money Mentor Network” which is run by NAB and the Traditional Credit Union while government departments are active through a number of programs mainly focused on money management, savings and investments. Some employers such as the Australian Post and Westpac have special financial education programs for employees.109 6.3.4. Potential Action Items While looking across the border it seems as there are very few financial literacy schemes undertaken in common efforts across national borders. Financial literacy has been dealt with 108 Financial literacy schemes are also administered by many other regional, state and national bodies such as the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, the President’s Advisory Council on Financial Literacy, the FLEC or the National Association of Insurance Commissioners. However, initiatives undertaken by the national bodies mentioned are often aiming at children and students. The President’s Advisory Council, for instance, seeks to assist the American people in understanding and addressing financial matters through various tools such as campaigns like the “National Financial Literacy Challenge” (online test for high-school students) or the “MoneyMath” (lessons for life curriculum for 7-9 graders). 109 For a thorough description of the pathway undertaken in the Australian education system in regards to financial literacy, refer to the chapter B of the 2011 National Financial Literacy Strategy of Australia named “Using educational pathways to build financial literacy“. (ASIC, 2011) Roman Graf 77/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland mainly on national levels with countries formulating their own strategies and with some countries following a “wait-and-see” strategy. Switzerland is not able to positively distinguish itself from comparable developed countries through its efforts carried out in the past. There is rather the impression that financial literacy enjoys some more attention in countries such as the US, the UK or Germany than in Switzerland. Switzerland is therefore well advised to reconsider its situation and define next steps so as not to lose ground. Meaningful action could thereby be seen in: Building of roundtables comprising of key stakeholders (e.g. initiative leaders, federal and state education representatives) Designation of coordinative national committee or related body for financial literacy Definition of financial literacy in its various forms and formulation of strategy for data collection and data management (e.g. financial literacy among youth) International cooperation and information exchange It seems paramount to sort out the fundamental institutional governance and framework first and not to call for concrete financial literacy initiatives at the time being. Any initiative launched instantly would be grounded on weak fundamentals in regards to which area of financial literacy it should tackle resulting in potentially disappointing outcomes. This holds especially true as it is vital that there exists a legitimate evaluation framework which is capable of measuring the effectiveness and efficiency of any initiative implemented. Especially, any calls asking for immediate actions in regards to the school education should be considered with caution. As highlighted in the relevant literature about school-based financial education, empirical findings provoke doubts about the scope of personal financial management courses on the financial literacy of participants. (cf. Cole & Shastry, 2008, Mandell & Klein, 2007, and Mandell, 2008) While the positive relationship between general academic education and financial literacy seems proven (also through results from this master thesis) there needs some further research and investigation in regards to the effects of financial management courses. One line of argumentation mentions the critical importance of fast application of acquired financial knowledge. (Mandell, 2008) Due to the considerable attention the topic financial literacy has received in many countries abroad, policy makers in Switzerland are well advised to leverage on their findings. International cooperation and information sharing seems crucial also in regards to international initiatives which may be extended to Switzerland.110 110 The “Global Financial Literacy Initiative” (GFLI), for instance, is an international non-profit organization whose mission is to advance financial literacy and financial responsibility in the US but also throughout the world. There may be numerous organizations and initiatives, private and public, which are proven in practice, well-accepted among financial literacy specialists and also available for application in Switzerland. Roman Graf 78/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland 6.4. Conclusions The first representative study on financial knowledge of the population in Switzerland confirms the expected. Switzerland is no role model but also not dragging behind other developed countries in regards to the financial knowledge of its population. While the personal characteristics of individuals connected to high financial literacy are rather clear-cut there is some more uncertainty about the (causal) relationship of financial literacy and financial behavior. Gender, nationality, education, household income and financial wealth seem to be the main determinants of financial literacy. Relationship wise, financial literacy seems to be positively connected to investment portfolio and retirement account ownership while having no significant impact on consumption credit indebtedness. Overcoming pitfalls seen in reverse causality of investment portfolio ownership on financial literacy as well as omitted variables in the regression models have proven to be demanding. However, at least in the case for retirement accounts an instrumental variable approach could be applied and provided some evidence of causality running from financial knowledge to retirement account ownership rather than opposite. Furthermore, as many other researchers (cf. Exhibit A6) have been able to find evidence of the direction of causality, one may leverage on their findings and imply the same direction of causality. Consequently, one may confidently conclude that financial literacy is causally leading to retirement account ownership. Engagement in regards to improving financial knowledge in Switzerland has been highest with private organizations while public policymakers have largely remained on the sideline. The initiatives undertaken to date (refer to Table 23) show that many non-profit organizations have become aware of the topic financial literacy. However, while considering the catalog of initiatives undertaken it becomes obvious that efficiency and effectiveness in building financial knowledge in the population could be enhanced while better coordinating efforts. A holistic approach aimed at improving financial literacy could thereby be implemented while establishing a national coordinative body. Switzerland cannot be considered a first-mover in regards to initiatives undertaken in financial literacy. However, as the results in this study showed there was also no need to be at the very front in terms of policy measures. What seems more important, however, is that at a time where many countries increased their efforts, Switzerland is not losing ground but does its homework. It may not harm to bring decision makers on a table, set out what has been done so far and learn from what has been done abroad. International cooperation and information sharing can be considered critical with many countries supposedly being in a better position to evaluate on past policy measures. Roman Graf 79/79 Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland V Sources Abreu, M., & Mendes, V. (2010). Financial Literacy and Portfolio Diversification. Quantitative Finance, 10(5), 515-528. Agarwal, S., Driscoll, J., Gabaix, X., & Laibson, D. (2009). 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Retrieved June 17, 2012, from www.worldbank.org: http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/TOPICS/EXTFINANCIALSECTOR/0,, contentMDK:22761006~pagePK:148956~piPK:216618~theSitePK:282885,00.html Worthington, A. C. (2006). Predicting Financial Literacy in Australia. Financial Services Review, 15(1), 59-79. Roman Graf J Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Yoong, J. (2010). Financial Illiteracy and Stock Market Participation: Evidence from the RAND American Life Panel. Pension Research Council Working Paper. Zemp, B. W. (2011). Financial Literacy gehört in die Lehrpläne der Schule. Die Volkswirtschaft, 6, 66. Roman Graf K Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland VI Acknowledgement While writing this master thesis I could benefit from the support and from useful thoughtprovoking remarks of various people. Foremost, I would like to acknowledge the employees of the Swiss Institute of Banking & Finance (SIB&F) who constructed the questionnaire and who made the derived dataset available to me. Special thanks go to Matthias Hoffmann who supported me with valuable thoughts in the process of writing this master thesis. Also appreciated is the support of the NZZ which provided me with aggregate data about their subscribers on a geographical basis. Many thanks go also to Prof. Dr. Martin Brown for his assistance as referee of this document. Roman Graf L Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland VII Glossary Organization Description Conference of Education Ministers of GermanSpeaking Switzerland (DEDK) The D-EDK is part of the network of the Swiss Conference of State Education Ministers (EDK). DEDK consists of separate sub-sections for the northwestern, the central and the east part of Switzerland. The objective of the D-EDK is to foster collaboration in the fields of the new school curricula (Lehrplan 21), the school television project, the promotion of specially gifted pupils and the area around external evaluation. Furthermore, partnership is also sought with questions about the coordination of new teaching materials and performance measurement in schools. Further information: www.d-edk.ch Financial Stability Board (FSB) The FSB has been established to coordinate at the international level the work of national financial authorities and international standard setting bodies and to develop and promote the implementation of effective regulatory, supervisory and other financial sector policies. It brings together national authorities responsible for financial stability in significant international financial centres, international financial institutions, sector-specific international groupings of regulators and supervisors, and committees of central bank experts. The Swiss National Bank is represented on the FSB. Further information: www.financialstabilityboard.org Jump$tart Coalition for Personal Financial Literacy The Jump$tart Coalition is a non-profit coalition of national organizations seeking to advance the financial literacy of pre-kindergarten through college-aged students. The Jump$tart Coalition endeavors to provide youth with lifelong financial decision-making skills. By working together with its 150 national partners, the Jump$tart Coalition provides advocacy, research, standards and educational resources. Further information: www.jumpstart.org OECD International Network of Financial Education (INFE) The OECD created the INFE Network in 2008 to promote and facilitate international co-operation between policy makers and other stakeholders on financial education issues worldwide. Currently, more than 170 institutions from 86 countries have joined the OECD INFE. Further information: www.oecd.org Swiss Design Institute for Finance and Banking (SDFB) The SDFB is an interuniversity competence center for design. It conducts theoretical and applied research to optimize the relationship between financial service providers and their customers. In cooperation with partners from the Swiss banking and financial services industry, SDFB researches and develops future-proof media solutions for people. SDFB is a cooperation between chairs of the Zurich University of the Arts, the Zurich University, the ETH Zurich and the University of St. Gallen. Further information: www.sdfb.ch State Secretariat for Education and Research (SER) The SER within the Federal Department of Home Affairs is the federal government's specialized agency for national and international matters concerning general and university education, research and space. It coordinates related activities within the Federal Administration and ensures cooperation with the cantons. Further information: www.sbf.admin.ch Swiss National Umbrella Organization for Adult Education (SVEB) SVEB is a non-governmental organization, which represents nationwide private and state institutions, associations, representatives responsible for adult education on a cantonal level, institutions, in-house training departments and personnel managers. It also extends its reach to individuals who are active in adult education (lifelong learning). SVEB promotes cooperation among adult learning institutions, raises public awareness for lifelong learning and supports its members in their activities. Further information: www.alice.ch/en/sveb Roman Graf M Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland VIII Appendix Exhibit A1: Geographical Allocation of Survey Respondents (n=1’500) Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Exhibit A2: Geographical Allocation of Survey Respondents Answering All Questions Correctly (n=752) Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Exhibit A3: Geographical Allocation of Survey Respondents Answering No Question Correctly (n=51) Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Roman Graf N Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Exhibit A4: Geographical State Allocation of Share of Respondents Answering All Questions Correctly Canton CH-AR CH-BS CH-FR CH-ZH CH-BL CH-ZG CH-LU CH-AG CH-AI CH-VS CH-SO CH-TG CH-BE CH-UR CH-NW CH-OW CH-GR CH-SZ CH-SG CH-SH CH-GL CH-GE CH-JU CH-NE CH-TI CH-VD Share 0.77 0.62 0.57 0.55 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.51 0.50 0.50 0.49 0.48 0.48 0.47 0.46 0.46 0.45 0.44 0.40 0.28 0.25 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Overall Share of Respondents Answering All Questions Correctly: 50.13% or 752 respondents. White Squares: NE, VD, GE, TI and JU have not been included in survey as they belong to the French or Italian part of Switzerland. Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Exhibit A5: Geographical State Allocation of Share of Respondents Answering No Question Correctly Canton CH-FR CH-ZG CH-NW CH-LU CH-SO CH-VS CH-SH CH-GR CH-BE CH-TG CH-AG CH-SG CH-ZH CH-AR CH-BS CH-BL CH-AI CH-UR CH-OW CH-SZ CH-GL CH-GE CH-JU CH-NE CH-TI CH-VD Share 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Overall Share of Respondents Answering No Question Correctly: 3.40% or 51 respondents. White Squares: NE, VD, GE, TI and JU have not been included in survey as they belong to the French or Italian part of Switzerland. Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Roman Graf O Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Exhibit A6: Findings of Empirical Studies Covering Identical Three Financial Literacy Questions Author(s) Year Journal Title 2011 Master Thesis Financial Literacy and Behavior in Switzerland Bucher & Lusardi 2011 Journal of Pension Economics and Finance Almenberg & Säve-Söderbergh 2011 Crossan et al. Country Sample Findings Gender Age Education Income Wealth Debt Retirem. Invest CH Age: 20-74 (ø 45.87) (n=1’500) Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Financial Literacy and Retirement Planning in Germany GER Age: 22-91 (ø 52.11) (n=1’059) Yes Yes Yes Yes N/A N/A Yes N/A Journal of Pension Economics and Finance Financial Literacy and Retirement Planning in Sweden SWE Age: 18–79 (ø 44.00) (n=1’302) Yes Yes Yes Yes N/A N/A Yes N/A 2011 Journal of Pension Economics & Finance Financial Literacy and Retirement Planning in New Zealand NZ Age: Adult (ø n/a) (n=850) Yes Yes Yes N/A N/A N/A No (public pension) N/A Sekita 2011 Journal of Pension Economics & Finance Financial Literacy and Retirement Planning in Japan JPN Age: 20-69 (ø 49.59) (n=5’268) Yes Yes Yes Yes N/A N/A Yes N/A Lusardi & Mitchell 2011A Journal of Pension Economics and Finance Financial Literacy and Retirement Planning in the United States USA Age: Adult (ø n/a) (n=1’488) Yes Yes Yes Yes N/A N/A Yes N/A Klapper & Panos 2011 Journal of Pension Economics and Finance Financial Literacy and Retirement Planning: the Russian Case RUS Age: n/a (ø 46.04) (n=1’366) Yes Yes Yes N/A N/A N/A Yes N/A Fornero & Monticone 2011 Journal of Pension Economics & Finance Financial Literacy and Pension Plan Participation in Italy ITA Age: n/a (ø 57.69) (n=3’992) Yes Yes Yes N/A Yes Yes (Mortgage) Yes N/A Alessie et al. 2011 Journal of Pension Economics and Finance Financial Literacy and Retirement Preparation in the Netherlands NED Age: >25 (ø 55.00) (n=1’665) Yes No Yes N/A N/A N/A Yes N/A Graf (this study) Financial Gender: Yes: FL is lower among women No: Other effects N/A: Gender effect not analyzed in study Age: Yes: FL is lower among young and old adults, hump-shaped (at least one correct) No: Other effects N/A: Age effect not analyzed in study Education: Yes: FL is lower among poorer educated adults No: Other effects N/A: Education effect not analyzed in study Income: Yes: FL is lower among low income households No: Other effects N/A: Income effect not analyzed in study Wealth: Yes: FL is lower among poorer households No: Other effects N/A: Wealth effect not analyzed in study Personal Indebtedness: Yes: FL is negatively related to personal indebtedness (not mortgage debt) No: Other effects N/A: Debt effects not analyzed in study Retirement Planning/Saving: Yes: FL is positive related to retirement planning/ saving No: Other effects N/A: Retirement planning effects not analyzed in study Investment Behavior: Yes: FL is positively related to stock investments (experience) or investment sophistication/ fees No: Other effects N/A: Investment Behavior effects not analyzed in study Source: As included above Roman Graf P Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table A1: Financial Literacy Questions Interest Rates Suppose you had CHF 100 in a savings account, the interest rate was 2% per year and there are no account management fees. After 5 years, how much do you think you would have in the account if you left the money to grow: a) more than CHF 102 b) exactly CHF 102 c) less than CHF 102 (Don’t know/ Refusal) Inflation Imagine that the interest rate on your savings account was 1% per year and inflation was 2% per year. After 1 year, would you be able to buy more than, exactly the same as, or less than today with the money in this account? a) more b) exactly the same c) less (Don’t know/ Refusal) Risk Diversification Which of the following investments do you consider to be less risky? a) an investment in stocks of a single company b) an investment in a mutual fund (Don’t know/ Refusal) Source: Questionnaire, authors’ translations Roman Graf Q Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table A2: Demographic and Economic Characteristics of Survey Respondents Men Characteristics # HH Women in % # HH Whole Sample In % # HH In % 714 100.00 786 100.00 1‘500 100.00 313 272 129 43.84 38.10 18.07 321 303 162 40.84 38.55 20.61 634 575 291 39.27 39.33 21.40 630 84 17 13 7 1 1 45 88.24 11.76 20.24 15.48 8.33 1.19 1.19 53.58 727 59 11 9 8 5 4 22 92.49 7.51 18.64 15.25 13.56 8.47 6.78 37.29 1‘357 143 28 22 15 6 5 67 90.47 9.53 19.58 15.38 10.49 4.20 3.50 46.85 182 30 465 26 10 1 25.49 4.20 65.13 3.64 1.40 0.14 134 33 485 95 35 4 17.05 4.20 61.70 12.09 4.45 0.51 316 63 950 121 45 5 21.07 4.20 63.33 8.07 3.00 0.33 Primary School Secondary School Professional Education Grammar School University (Applied Science) University 7 39 306 43 189 130 0.98 5.46 42.86 6.02 26.47 18.21 12 66 455 93 101 59 1.53 8.40 57.89 11.83 12.85 7.51 19 105 761 136 290 189 1.27 7.00 50.73 9.07 19.33 12.60 Labor Market Status Employed Housekeeper Pupil/ Student Pensioner Unemployed Other 577 5 5 107 13 7 80.81 0.70 0.70 14.99 1.82 0.98 463 183 17 106 10 7 58.91 23.28 2.16 13.49 1.27 0.89 1’040 188 22 213 23 14 69.33 12.53 1.47 14.20 1.53 0.93 Number of People in Household 1 Person 2 People 3 People 4 People 5 People >6 People Don’t know/ Refusal 121 253 105 159 62 14 0 16.95 35.43 14.71 22.27 8.68 1.96 0.00 126 259 132 171 67 29 2 16.03 32.95 16.79 21.76 8.52 3.69 0.25 247 512 237 330 129 43 2 16.47 34.13 15.80 22.00 8.60 2.87 0.13 Whole Sample Age 20 to 39 years 40 to 59 years 60 to 74 years Nationality Swiss Foreigners1 - thereof Italian - thereof German - thereof Austrian - thereof Portuguese - thereof Spaniard - thereof Other Marital Status Single In Permanent Relationship Married Divorced Widowed Don’t know/ Refusal Education 1 Foreigners include all respondents without Swiss citizenship. Survey participants responding to have other citizenships beside the Swiss citizenship have been counted as Swiss (n=35). Foreigners with more than one foreign citizenship but no Swiss citizenship have been included in the “other” cohort. Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Roman Graf R Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table A3: Financial Characteristics of Survey Respondents Male Characteristics Whole Sample # HH Female In % # HH Whole Sample In % # HH In % 714 100.00 786 100.00 1‘500 100.00 44 181 164 130 77 58 60 6.16 25.35 22.97 18.21 10.78 8.12 8.40 83 226 175 134 48 32 88 11.62 31.65 24.51 18.77 6.72 4.48 12.32 127 407 339 264 125 90 148 8.47 27.13 22.60 17.60 8.33 6.00 9.87 269 157 129 69 15 75 37.68 21.99 18.07 9.66 2.10 10.50 351 170 106 50 6 103 49.16 23.81 14.85 7.00 0.84 14.43 620 327 235 119 21 178 41.33 21.80 15.67 7.93 1.40 11.87 Household Income < CHF 4'500 CHF 4'500 - 7'000 CHF 7'000 - 9'000 CHF 9'000 - 12'000 CHF 12'000 - 15'000 > CHF 15'000 Don’t know/ Refusal Financial Wealth (ex. Real Estate) < CHF 50'000 CHF 50'000 - 100'000 CHF 100'000 - 250'000 CHF 250'000 - 1 Mio. > CHF 1 Mio. Don’t know/ Refusal Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Roman Graf S Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table A4: Characteristics of Survey Respondents by Investment Portfolio Questions Whole Sample With Portfolio # HH in % Without Portfolio # HH in % Whole Sample # HH in % 536 100.00 964 100.00 1‘500 100.00 297 239 55.41 44.59 417 547 43.26 56.74 714 786 47.60 52.40 187 201 148 34.89 37.50 27.61 447 374 143 46.37 38.80 14.83 634 575 291 39.27 39.33 21.40 510 26 95.15 4.85 847 117 87.86 12.14 1‘357 143 90.47 9.53 106 15 353 34 27 1 19.78 2.80 65.86 6.34 5.04 0.19 210 48 597 87 18 4 21.78 4.98 61.93 9.02 1.87 0.41 316 63 950 121 45 5 21.07 4.20 63.33 8.07 3.00 0.33 5 24 0.93 4.48 14 81 1.45 8.40 19 105 1.27 7.00 233 43.47 528 54.77 761 50.73 Gender Male Female Age 20 to 39 years 40 to 59 years 60 to 74 years Nationality Swiss Foreigners Marital Status Single In Permanent Relationship Married Divorced Widowed Don’t know/ Refusal Education Primary School Secondary School Professional Education Grammar School University (Applied Science) University 53 9.89 83 8.61 136 9.07 135 25.19 155 16.08 290 19.33 86 16.04 103 10.68 189 12.60 Labor Market Status 352 65.67 688 71.37 1’040 69.33 Housekeeper 62 11.57 126 13.07 188 12.53 Pupil/ Student 5 0.93 17 1.76 22 1.47 108 20.15 105 10.89 213 14.20 Unemployed 4 0.75 19 1.97 23 1.53 Other 5 0.93 9 0.93 14 0.93 29 5.41 98 10.17 127 8.47 CHF 4'500 - 7'000 118 22.01 289 29.98 407 27.13 CHF 7'000 - 9'000 127 23.69 212 21.99 339 22.60 CHF 9'000 - 12'000 102 19.03 162 16.80 264 17.60 CHF 12'000 - 15'000 59 11.01 66 6.85 125 8.33 > CHF 15'000 55 10.26 35 3.63 90 6.00 Don’t know/ Refusal 46 8.58 102 10.58 148 9.87 Employed Pensioner Household Income < CHF 4'500 Financial Wealth (ex. Real Estate) < CHF 50'000 94 17.54 526 54.56 620 41.33 CHF 50'000 - 100'000 132 24.63 195 20.23 327 21.80 CHF 100'000 - 250'000 145 27.05 90 9.34 235 15.67 CHF 250'000 - 1 Mio. 92 17.16 27 2.80 119 7.93 > CHF 1 Mio. Don’t know/ Refusal 16 57 2.99 10.63 5 121 0.52 12.55 21 178 1.40 11.87 Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Roman Graf T Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table A5: Characteristics of Survey Respondents by Consumption Credit Questions Whole Sample With Credit # HH in % Without Credit # HH in % Whole Sample # HH in % 71 100.00 1’428 100.00 1‘500 100.00 43 28 60.56 39.44 670 758 46.92 53.08 714 786 47.60 52.40 45 25 1 63.38 35.21 1.41 589 549 290 41.25 38.45 20.31 634 575 291 39.27 39.33 21.40 23 48 32.39 67.61 1’308 120 91.60 8.40 1‘357 143 90.47 9.53 10 5 50 6 - 14.08 7.04 70.42 8.45 - 306 58 899 115 45 5 21.43 4.06 62.96 8.05 3.15 0.35 316 63 950 121 45 5 21.07 4.20 63.33 8.07 3.00 0.33 1 4 1.41 5.63 18 101 1.26 7.07 19 105 1.27 7.00 43 60.56 717 50.21 761 50.73 Gender Male Female Age 20 to 39 years 40 to 59 years 60 to 74 years Nationality Swiss Foreigners Marital Status Single In Permanent Relationship Married Divorced Widowed Don’t know/ Refusal Education Primary School Secondary School Professional Education Grammar School 6 8.45 130 9.10 136 9.07 University (Applied Science) 8 11.27 282 19.75 290 19.33 University 9 12.68 180 12.61 189 12.60 Labor Market Status 60 84.51 979 68.56 1’040 69.33 Housekeeper 6 8.45 182 12.75 188 12.53 Pupil/ Student 1 1.41 21 1.47 22 1.47 Pensioner 1 1.41 212 14.85 213 14.20 Unemployed 3 4.23 20 1.40 23 1.53 Other - - 14 0.98 14 0.93 5 7.04 122 8.54 127 8.47 CHF 4'500 - 7'000 22 30.99 385 26.96 407 27.13 CHF 7'000 - 9'000 21 29.58 318 22.27 339 22.60 CHF 9'000 - 12'000 14 19.72 250 17.51 264 17.60 CHF 12'000 - 15'000 3 4.23 122 8.54 125 8.33 > CHF 15'000 2 2.82 88 6.16 90 6.00 Don’t know/ Refusal 4 5.63 143 10.01 148 9.87 Employed Household Income < CHF 4'500 Financial Wealth (ex. Real Estate) < CHF 50'000 55 77.46 565 39.57 620 41.33 CHF 50'000 - 100'000 8 11.27 319 22.34 327 21.80 CHF 100'000 - 250'000 2 2.82 233 16.32 235 15.67 CHF 250'000 - 1 Mio. 1 1.41 118 8.26 119 7.93 > CHF 1 Mio. Don’t know/ Refusal 1 4 1.41 5.63 20 173 1.40 12.11 21 178 1.40 11.87 Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Roman Graf U Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table A6: Characteristics of Survey Respondents by Mortgage Debt Questions Whole Sample With Mortgage # HH in % Without Mortgage # HH in % Whole Sample # HH in % 687 100.00 813 100.00 1’500 100.00 321 366 46.72 53.28 393 420 48.34 51.66 714 786 47.60 52.40 190 342 155 27.66 49.78 22.56 444 233 136 54.61 28.66 16.73 634 575 291 39.27 39.33 21.40 34 653 4.95 95.05 109 704 13.41 86.59 1‘357 143 90.47 9.53 52 9 573 31 20 2 7.57 1.31 83.41 4.51 2.91 0.29 264 54 377 90 25 3 32.47 6.64 46.37 11.07 3.08 0.37 316 63 950 121 45 5 21.07 4.20 63.33 8.07 3.00 0.33 9 44 1.31 6.40 10 61 1.23 7.50 19 105 1.27 7.00 344 50.07 417 51.29 761 50.73 Gender Male Female Age 20 to 39 years 40 to 59 years 60 to 74 years Nationality Swiss Foreigners Marital Status Single In Permanent Relationship Married Divorced Widowed Don’t know/ Refusal Education Primary School Secondary School Professional Education Grammar School 62 9.02 74 9.10 136 9.07 143 20.82 147 18.08 290 19.33 85 12.37 104 12.79 189 12.60 Employed 461 67.10 579 71.22 1’040 69.33 Housekeeper 102 14.85 86 10.58 188 12.53 Pupil/ Student 2 0.29 20 2.46 22 1.47 115 16.74 98 12.05 213 14.20 Unemployed 3 0.44 20 2.46 23 1.53 Other 4 0.58 10 1.23 14 0.93 18 2.62% 109 13.41% 127 8.47 CHF 4'500 - 7'000 155 22.56% 252 31.00% 407 27.13 CHF 7'000 - 9'000 176 25.62% 163 20.05% 339 22.60 CHF 9'000 - 12'000 144 20.96% 120 14.76% 264 17.60 CHF 12'000 - 15'000 70 10.19% 55 6.77% 125 8.33 > CHF 15'000 52 7.57% 38 4.67% 90 6.00 Don’t know/ Refusal 72 10.48% 76 9.35% 148 9.87 < CHF 50'000 228 33.19% 392 48.22% 620 41.33 CHF 50'000 - 100'000 162 23.58% 165 20.30% 327 21.80 CHF 100'000 - 250'000 University (Applied Science) University Labor Market Status Pensioner Household Income < CHF 4'500 Financial Wealth (ex. Real Estate) 127 18.49% 108 13.28% 235 15.67 CHF 250'000 - 1 Mio. 65 9.46% 54 6.64% 119 7.93 > CHF 1 Mio. Don’t know/ Refusal 17 2.47% 4 0.49% 88 12.81 90 11.07 21 178 1.40 11.87 Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Roman Graf V Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table A7: Characteristics of Survey Respondents by Retirement Account Questions Whole Sample With Account # HH in % Without Account # HH in % Whole Sample # HH in % 610 100.00 890 100.00 1‘500 100.00 311 299 50.98 49.02 403 487 45.28 54.72 714 786 47.60 52.40 262 268 80 42.95 43.93 13.11 372 307 211 41.80 34.49 23.71 634 575 291 39.27 39.33 21.40 572 38 93.77 6.23 785 105 88.20 11.80 1‘357 143 90.47 9.53 115 23 431 31 10 - 18.85 3.77 70.66 5.08 1.64 - 201 40 519 90 35 5 22.58 4.49 58.31 10.11 3.93 0.56 316 63 950 121 45 5 21.07 4.20 63.33 8.07 3.00 0.33 3 28 0.49 4.59 16 77 1.80 8.65 19 105 1.27 7.00 276 45.25 485 54.49 761 50.73 Gender Male Female Age 20 to 39 years 40 to 59 years 60 to 74 years Nationality Swiss Foreigners Marital Status Single In Permanent Relationship Married Divorced Widowed Don’t know/ Refusal Education Primary School Secondary School Professional Education Grammar School 58 9.51 78 8.76 136 9.07 University (Applied Science) 143 23.44 147 16.52 290 19.33 University 102 16.72 87 9.78 189 12.60 Labor Market Status 485 79.51 555 62.36 1’040 69.33 Housekeeper 71 11.64 117 13.15 188 12.53 Pupil/ Student 5 0.82 17 1.91 22 1.47 41 6.72 172 19.33 213 14.20 Unemployed 5 0.82 18 2.02 23 1.53 Other 3 0.49 11 1.24 14 0.93 16 2.62 111 12.47 127 8.47 CHF 4'500 - 7'000 121 19.84 286 32.13 407 27.13 CHF 7'000 - 9'000 155 25.41 184 20.67 339 22.60 CHF 9'000 - 12'000 133 21.80 131 14.72 264 17.60 CHF 12'000 - 15'000 74 12.13 51 5.73 125 8.33 > CHF 15'000 59 9.67 31 3.48 90 6.00 Don’t know/ Refusal 52 8.52 96 10.79 148 9.87 < CHF 50'000 178 29.18 442 49.66 620 41.33 CHF 50'000 - 100'000 154 25.25 173 19.44 327 21.80 CHF 100'000 - 250'000 Employed Pensioner Household Income < CHF 4'500 Financial Wealth (ex. Real Estate) 138 22.62 97 10.90 235 15.67 CHF 250'000 - 1 Mio. 67 10.98 52 5.84 119 7.93 > CHF 1 Mio. Don’t know/ Refusal 8 65 1.31 10.66 13 113 1.46 12.70 21 178 1.40 11.87 Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Roman Graf W Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table A8: Pairwise Pearson-Correlation Coefficients of Demographic, Economic and Financial Characteristics Gender Age National. Men Age Foreign. Marital Status Single Perm. Relation Married Divorced Widowed DK Primary Secondary Education Profes. Grammar Educ. Uni (Appl.) Uni Empl oyed House keeper Labor Market Status Stud Pens ent ioner Unem ployed DK HH No People <4,5k 4,57k Household Income 129-12k 15k 7-9k >15k DK <50k 50100k Financial Wealth 100250250k 1m >1m DK Gender Men (d) Age Age -0.03 1.00 Nationality Foreigner (d) 0.07 -0.11 1.00 Single (d) 0.10 -0.30 -0.01 1.00 -0.00 -0.10 0.03 -0.11 1.00 Married (d) 0.03 0.13 -0.00 -0.68 -0.28 1.00 Divorced (d) -0.16 0.14 0.00 -0.15 -0.06 -0.39 1.00 Widowed (d) -0.09 0.26 -0.02 -0.09 -0.04 -0.23 -0.05 1.00 DK (d) -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.01 -0.07 -0.02 -0.01 1.00 Primary (d) -0.02 0.11 0.00 -0.01 0.04 -0.01 -0.01 0.05 -0.01 1.00 Secondary (d) -0.06 0.13 0.08 -0.02 -0.02 -0.00 0.02 0.04 -0.01 -0.03 1.00 Prof. Ed. (d) -0.15 0.01 -0.05 -0.08 -0.03 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.03 -0.11 -0.28 1.00 Grammar (d) -0.10 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.04 0.01 0.05 -0.02 -0.04 -0.09 -0.32 1.00 Uni (Appl.) (d) 0.17 -0.06 -0.03 0.06 -0.00 -0.02 -0.03 -0.06 0.01 -0.06 -0.13 -0.50 -0.15 1.00 University (d) 0.16 -0.09 0.04 0.06 0.03 -0.02 -0.03 -0.07 -0.02 -0.04 -0.10 -0.39 -0.12 -0.19 Employed (d) 0.24 -0.41 0.07 0.11 0.06 -0.05 -0.00 -0.20 0.03 -0.07 -0.11 -0.07 -0.06 0.14 0.09 1.00 Housek. (d) -0.34 -0.06 -0.05 -0.14 -0.07 0.20 -0.06 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 0.05 0.14 0.02 -0.14 -0.10 -0.57 1.00 Student (d) -0.06 -0.18 -0.00 0.18 -0.03 -0.11 -0.04 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.08 0.08 -0.05 0.14 -0.18 -0.05 1.00 Pensioner (d) 0.02 0.66 -0.07 -0.12 -0.01 -0.04 0.08 0.29 -0.02 0.06 0.08 0.00 0.01 -0.03 -0.06 -0.61 -0.15 -0.05 1.00 Unempl. (d) 0.02 -0.02 0.07 0.10 -0.03 -0.09 0.00 0.04 -0.01 0.03 0.07 -0.02 0.04 -0.05 -0.01 -0.19 -0.05 -0.02 -0.05 1.00 DK (d) 0.00 0.01 -0.03 0.04 0.05 -0.04 -0.00 -0.02 -0.01 0.11 0.00 -0.04 0.04 0.02 -0.04 -0.15 -0.04 -0.01 -0.04 -0.01 1.00 No People -0.03 -0.30 0.03 -0.39 -0.06 0.53 -0.20 -0.18 -0.03 -0.05 -0.05 0.04 -0.01 -0.02 0.03 0.07 0.25 0.04 -0.32 -0.03 -0.04 1.00 <4,5k (d) -0.08 0.12 0.02 0.10 -0.00 -0.24 0.17 0.16 0.03 0.09 0.11 0.02 0.02 -0.10 -0.04 -0.20 -0.01 0.06 0.19 0.14 0.05 -0.21 1.00 4,5-7k (d) -0.04 0.00 0.04 0.04 -0.06 -0.06 0.07 0.02 -0.00 -0.00 0.08 0.16 -0.02 -0.11 -0.15 -0.10 0.05 0.01 0.07 0.02 -0.01 -0.11 -0.19 1.00 7-9k (d) 0.01 -0.04 -0.02 -0.09 -0.00 0.13 -0.07 -0.03 -0.03 -0.05 -0.08 0.06 0.01 0.07 -0.10 0.06 0.02 -0.07 -0.05 -0.04 -0.02 0.11 -0.16 -0.33 1.00 9-12k (d) 0.01 -0.05 -0.00 -0.04 0.03 0.09 -0.07 -0.06 -0.02 -0.02 -0.04 -0.09 -0.02 0.09 0.07 0.13 -0.03 0.00 -0.11 -0.06 -0.04 0.14 -0.14 -0.28 -0.25 1.00 12-15k (d) 0.08 -0.03 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.02 -0.05 -0.04 -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.10 0.01 0.05 0.13 0.07 -0.04 0.00 -0.04 -0.04 -0.00 0.04 -0.09 -0.18 -0.16 -0.14 1.00 >15k (d) 0.08 -0.03 -0.03 0.03 0.03 -0.00 -0.03 -0.04 -0.01 -0.03 -0.07 -0.15 0.03 0.05 0.21 0.12 -0.05 -0.03 -0.09 -0.01 0.00 0.05 -0.08 -0.15 -0.14 -0.12 -0.08 1.00 DK (d) -0.04 0.06 -0.01 -0.00 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.01 0.07 0.06 0.03 -0.00 -0.03 -0.04 0.02 -0.07 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.01 0.06 -0.04 -0.10 -0.20 -0.18 -0.15 -0.10 -0.08 1.00 <50k (d) -0.07 -0.28 0.12 0.06 0.03 -0.08 0.05 -0.05 -0.02 0.04 0.02 0.14 -0.03 -0.08 -0.12 0.09 0.02 0.10 -0.19 0.06 0.02 0.12 0.12 0.17 0.03 -0.03 -0.07 -0.12 -0.20 1.00 50-100k (d) 0.00 0.02 -0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.05 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0.05 0.01 0.04 -0.03 -0.04 -0.00 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.04 0.02 0.09 0.03 -0.01 -0.00 -0.14 -0.44 1.00 100-250k (d) 0.06 0.13 -0.04 -0.06 -0.01 0.08 -0.03 -0.00 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.05 0.04 0.06 0.00 0.01 -0.02 -0.05 0.06 -0.05 -0.04 -0.03 -0.05 -0.06 0.01 0.04 0.12 0.09 -0.12 -0.36 -0.23 1.00 250-1m (d) 0.06 0.21 -0.05 -0.02 -0.05 0.03 -0.01 0.04 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.10 0.00 0.02 0.13 -0.09 -0.03 -0.02 0.16 0.00 -0.00 -0.06 -0.03 -0.06 -0.04 0.06 0.03 0.16 -0.06 -0.25 -0.16 -0.13 1.00 >1m (d) 0.06 0.11 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 0.02 0.01 0.05 -0.01 0.04 -0.03 -0.08 0.00 -0.00 0.13 -0.09 -0.03 -0.01 0.15 -0.01 0.05 -0.06 0.00 -0.05 -0.05 0.03 0.03 0.09 -0.00 -0.10 -0.06 -0.05 -0.04 1.00 DK (d) -0.04 0.05 -0.03 - 0.01 0.00 -0.04 0.03 0.06 0.03 0.05 -0.02 0.01 -0.04 0.01 -0.09 0.07 -0.03 0.04 0.01 0.03 -0.05 -0.04 -0.15 -0.11 -0.10 -0.06 -0.08 0.68 -0.31 -0.19 -0.16 -0.11 -0.04 1.00 1’498 714 1’498 143 316 63 950 121 45 5 19 105 761 136 290 189 1’040 188 22 213 23 14 1’498 127 407 339 264 125 90 148 620 327 235 119 21 178 P.Relation. (d) 1.00 Marital Status Education Labor Market Status Household (HH) Household Income 1.00 Financial Wealth Sample (n) Pearson-Correlation Coefficients: The table includes pairwise pearson-correlation coefficients between demographic, economic and financial characteristics of survey respondents. The characteristics are instrumented through dummy variables for all types of characteristics other than age and number of people living in a household. 0/1 variables have to be used for all variables apart from the two mentioned as the assumptions underlying the pearson-correlation coefficients are interval level measurement. (O'Rourke, Hatcher, & Stepanski, 2005, p. 153) The pairwise pearson-correlation coefficients have been calculated on the basis of listwise deletion neglecting the two DK responses mentioned below in all correlation coefficients (i.e. STATA command: correlate and not pwcorr has been applied). Sample: A total of 1’498 respondents have been considered in order to account for two DK responses with the characteristics “Number of people living in a household” which have been eliminated in order to be able to include household size as categorical variable. Red Squares: The red shaded squares highlight pearson-correlation coefficients greater than |0.25| which are referring to a linear relationship between two variables among different types of characteristics. Limitations: Assessing pairwise pearson-correlation coefficients comes with some shortcuts due to various reasons. Firstly, a characteristic may be a linear combination of several variables and consequently not be correlated with one single other variable. Secondly, one has to define a cutoff point regarding statistical significance which should be lower the smaller the sample size of two pairs is. As a result, the examination of VIF is likely to be more prominent in order to get an understanding about multicollinearity between independent variables. While measuring the effect of correlation with all other variables VIF provide strong insight into multicollinearity problems. Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Roman Graf X Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table A9: Pairwise Spearman-Correlation Coefficients of Demographic, Economic and Financial Characteristics Gender Age National. Men Age Foreigner Marital Status Single Gender Men (d) 1.00 Age Age 0.01 1.00 Nationality Foreigner (d) 0.07 -0.10 1.00 Single (d) 0.08 -0.32 -0.01 1.00 P. Relationship (d) Perm. Relationship Married Education Divorced Widowed DK Education Labor Market Status Employed Housekeeper -0.01 -0.12 0.03 -0.11 1.00 Married (d) 0.07 0.17 0.01 -0.68 -0.28 1.00 Divorced (d) -0.18 0.15 -0.02 -0.16 -0.06 -0.40 1.00 Widowed (d) -0.09 0.22 -0.01 -0.09 -0.04 -0.22 -0.05 1.00 DK (d) -0.04 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.05 -0.01 -0.01 1.00 Education (Ordinal) 0.21 -0.13 -0.02 0.09 0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.09 0.01 Employed (d) 0.22 -0.35 0.06 0.12 0.08 -0.06 -0.01 -0.19 0.03 0.15 1.00 Housekeeper (d) -0.33 -0.07 -0.04 -0.15 -0.06 0.20 -0.07 -0.02 -0.01 -0.16 -0.57 1.00 Student (d) Student Pensioner Unemployed DK Household Size Household Income Financial Wealth No People Income Wealth Marital Status Education Labor Market Status 1.00 -0.06 -0.17 -0.02 0.16 -0.03 -0.10 -0.04 -0.02 -0.00 0.11 -0.19 -0.04 1.00 Pensioner (d) 0.03 0.59 -0.06 -0.11 -0.02 -0.03 0.08 0.26 -0.02 -0.08 -0.62 -0.14 -0.05 1.00 Unemployed (d) 0.02 -0.02 0.09 0.08 -0.03 -0.08 0.01 0.06 -0.00 -0.04 -0.19 -0.04 -0.01 -0.05 1.00 DK (d) 0.04 0.01 -0.03 0.04 -0.02 -0.02 0.01 -0.02 -0.00 0.01 -0.14 -0.03 -0.01 -0.04 -0.01 1.00 -0.02 -0.25 0.05 -0.42 -0.05 0.55 -0.21 -0.18 0.01 0.02 0.08 0.24 0.06 -0.34 -0.02 -0.03 Household Size No People Household Income Income (Ordinal) 0.14 -0.08 -0.04 -0.06 0.06 0.19 -0.18 -0.15 -0.05 0.37 0.28 -0.08 -0.05 -0.23 -0.12 -0.04 1.00 0.26 Financial Wealth Wealth (Ordinal) 0.11 0.35 -0.13 -0.09 -0.05 0.10 -0.04 0.06 -0.01 0.21 -0.11 -0.06 -0.10 0.26 -0.06 -0.04 -0.12 0.27 1.00 Sample (n) 1'290 633 1'290 128 273 55 817 107 36 2 1'290 917 150 18 176 19 10 1'290 1'290 1'290 1.00 Spearman-Correlation Coefficients: The table includes pairwise spearman-correlation coefficients between demographic, economic and financial characteristics of survey respondents. The characteristics are instrumented through dummy variables for characteristics which are of non-ordinary respectively of nominal nature. 0/1 variables have to be applied for certain characteristics such as gender or marital status because assumptions underlying the spearman-correlation coefficients only allow ordinary, interval or ratio scaled variables. (O'Rourke et al., 2005, p. 154) The pairwise spearman-correlation coefficients have been calculated on the basis of listwise deletion neglecting the two DK responses mentioned below in all spearman-correlation coefficients. Sample: Ordinary scaled characteristics have been included as categorical variables while eliminating DK answers for household size (n=2), income (n=148) and wealth (n=178) resulting in a total adjustment of 328. A final sample of 1’290 respondents have been considered, resulting from an initial sample of 1’500 respondents and 328 adjustments of which 114 were double counts and 4 triple counts. Red Squares: The red shaded squares highlight spearman-correlation coefficients greater than |0.25| which are referring to a linear relationship between two variables among different types of characteristics. Limitations: Assessing pairwise spearman-correlation coefficients comes with some shortcuts due to various reasons. Firstly, a characteristic may be a linear combination of several variables and consequently not be correlated with one single other variable. Secondly, one has to define a cutoff point regarding statistical significance which should be lower the smaller the sample size of two pairs is. As a result, the examination of VIF is likely to be more prominent in order to get an understanding about multicollinearity between independent variables. While measuring the effect of correlation with all other variables VIF provide strong insight into multicollinearity problems. Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Roman Graf Y Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table A10: Multicollinearity Diagnostics – Multivariate OLS Regression Analysis in Table 10 Variable Intercept Women Age Foreigner Permanent Relationship Married Divorced Widowed Secondary School Professional Education Grammar School University (Applied) University Housekeeper Student/ Pupil Pensioner Unemployed Household Size CHF 4'500 - 7'000 CHF 7'000 - 9'000 CHF 9'000 - 12'000 CHF 12'000 - 15'000 > CHF 15'000 DK CHF 50'000 - 100'000 CHF 100'000 - 250'000 CHF 250'000 - 1 Mio. > CHF 1 Mio. DK Mean VIF VIF SQRT VIF Tolerance R-Squared 1.28 2.53 1.05 1.20 2.61 1.52 1.33 6.69 22.92 8.30 15.08 11.25 14.63 8.64 2.05 9.82 1.95 3.43 3.54 3.26 2.21 2.07 2.88 1.29 1.36 1.34 1.13 2.04 4.91 1.13 1.59 1.03 1.10 1.62 1.23 1.15 2.59 4.79 2.88 3.88 3.35 3.82 2.94 1.43 3.13 1.40 1.85 1.88 1.81 1.49 1.44 1.70 1.13 1.17 1.16 1.06 1.43 0.78 0.40 0.95 0.83 0.38 0.66 0.75 0.15 0.04 0.12 0.07 0.09 0.07 0.12 0.49 0.10 0.51 0.29 0.28 0.31 0.45 0.48 0.35 0.78 0.74 0.75 0.88 0.49 0.22 0.61 0.05 0.17 0.62 0.34 0.25 0.85 0.96 0.88 0.93 0.91 0.93 0.88 0.51 0.90 0.49 0.71 0.72 0.69 0.55 0.52 0.65 0.22 0.26 0.25 0.12 0.51 Eigenvalue 7.80 1.78 1.57 1.47 1.22 1.18 1.11 1.06 1.05 1.03 1.00 0.98 0.96 0.91 0.88 0.85 0.82 0.76 0.67 0.59 0.37 0.32 0.27 0.16 0.08 0.06 0.03 0.01 0.00 Condition Number Condition Index 1.00 2.09 2.23 2.30 2.53 2.57 2.65 2.71 2.73 2.76 2.79 2.82 2.84 2.92 2.98 3.02 3.08 3.20 3.41 3.62 4.58 4.96 5.42 7.09 9.58 11.77 17.62 24.60 45.25 45.25 Theory As emphasized by Kmenta, 1986, p. 380, multicollinearity is a question of degree and not of kind and the meaningful distinction is not between the presence and the absence of multicollinearity but between the various degrees of multicollinearities. VIF: VIF quantify the severity of multicollinearity in OLS regression analysis. They provide an index that measures how much the variance (the square of the estimate's standard deviation) of an estimated regression coefficient is increased because of multicollinearity. The variance inflation factors are computed from the correlation matrix of the independent variables. Thus, the independent variables are centered and standardized to unit length. The diagonal elements of the inverse of the correlation matrix are the variance inflation factors. (Rawlings et al., 1998, p. 372) The link between and multicollinearity (of the standardized and centered variables) is through the relationship: is the coefficient of determination from the regression of on the other independent variables (supporting regression analysis: = ). If there is a near-singularity involving and the other independent variables, will be near 1.0 and will be large. If is orthogonal (i.e. uncorrelated) to the other independent variables, will be 0 and will be 1.0. (Rawlings et al., 1998, p. 373) VIF values become critical if they are larger than 10. (cf. Kutner et al., 2004, p. 408) SQRT VIF: The square root of the VIF shows how much larger the standard error is compared to what it would be if that variable was uncorrelated with the other independent variables in the model. Tolerance: The tolerance is representing the reciprocal value of the VIF. A tolerance close to 1 means that there is little multicollinearity whereas a value close to zero is stressing that multicollinearity may be a threat. A tolerance value lower than 0.1 is comparable to a VIF of above 10. R-Squared: R-Squared represent the coefficient of determination from the regression of tolerance from 1. on the other independent variables. Values equal the subtraction of the Eigenvalue: Eigenvalues are computed by a multivariate statistical technique called the principal component analysis. The eigenvalues (or characteristic roots) are the variances of the components. A zero eigenvalue means perfect multicollinearity among independent variables and very small eigenvalues imply severe multicollinearity. Condition Index/ Condition Number: The condition number is the condition index with the largest value. The condition number equals the square root of the largest eigenvalue divided by the smallest eigenvalue. When no multicollinearity is existent, the eigenvalues and condition indices will all equal one and when multicollinearity increases condition indices will increase as well. Rules of thumb suggest that a condition number of around 10 indicates weak dependencies that may be starting to affect the regression estimates. A condition number of 30-100 indicates moderate to strong dependencies. (Rawlings et al., 1998, p. 371) Sample: n = 1’480 (Table 10 includes a breakdown of the sample composition) Application/ Interpretation The VIF for Professional Education is 22.92 and its square root 4.79. This means that the standard error for the coefficient Professional Education is 4.79 as large as it would be if it were uncorrelated with the other independent variables. The value of 22.92 is derived from dividing 1 by 1 reduced by the coefficient of determination (i.e. R 2 of 0.96) of the linear multiple regression analysis with the dependent variable Professional Education and the independent variables as included above. The condition number of 45.25 is achieved while taking the square root of the highest eigenvalue (i.e. 7.7986) divided by the smallest eigenvalue (i.e. 0.0038). The condition number of 45.25 indicates that the estimates might have a moderate amount of numerical error. However, the statistical standard error is almost always much greater than the numerical error (cf. Belsley et al., 2005, p. 85ff). Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Roman Graf Z Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table A11: Probit Regression (Average Marginal Effects) – Financial Literacy Probit Regression – Financial Literacy All Correct Gender Women (d) Age Age Nationality Foreigner (d) Marital Status Single (d) In Permanent Relationship (d) Married (d) Divorced (d) Widowed (d) Education Primary School (d) Secondary School (d) Professional Education (d) Grammar School (d) University (Applied) (d) University (d) Occupation Employed (d) Housekeeper (d) Pupil/ Student (d) Pensioner (d) Unemployed (d) Household Size Number of People in Household Household Income < CHF 4’500 (d) CHF 4’500 - 7’000 (d) CHF 7’000 - 9’000 (d) CHF 9’000 - 12’000 (d) CHF 12’000 - 15’000 (d) > CHF 15’000 (d) DK (d) Financial Wealth < CHF 50'000 (d) CHF 50'000 - 100'000 (d) CHF 100'000 - 250'000 (d) CHF 250'000 - 1 Mio. (d) > CHF 1 Mio. (d) DK (d) N Log Likelihood Pseudo R2 LR chi2 Interest Rates Inflation Risk Diversification -0.16 *** (0.03) -0.07 *** (0.02) -0.09 *** (0.02) -0.07 *** (0.02) -0.00 (0.00) -0.00 (0.00) 0.01 *** (0.00) -0.00 *** (0.00) -0.19 *** (0.04) -0.03 (0.03) -0.08 ** (0.03) -0.17 *** (0.03) omitted omitted omitted -0.03 (0.07) 0.01 (0.04) 0.05 (0.05) 0.05 (0.08) -0.04 (0.06) -0.04 (0.04) -0.05 (0.04) 0.02 (0.07) -0.06 (0.05) 0.01 (0.03) -0.02 (0.04) -0.05 (0.07) omitted omitted omitted 0.01 (0.13) 0.11 (0.12) 0.12 (0.13) 0.23 * (0.12) 0.29 ** (0.13) omitted 0.02 (0.09) 0.08 (0.08) 0.11 (0.09) 0.09 (0.09) 0.22 ** (0.09) 0.08 (0.09) 0.15 (0.08) 0.19 (0.09) 0.29 (0.09) 0.30 (0.09) omitted -0.03 (0.06) 0.00 (0.04) 0.08 * (0.05) 0.10 (0.07) omitted * ** *** *** 0.13 (0.10) 0.20 ** (0.10) 0.13 (0.10) 0.23 ** (0.10) 0.24 ** (0.10) omitted omitted omitted -0.12 (0.10) -0.11 (0.11) -0.05 (0.14) -0.19 * (0.11) -0.03 (0.08) -0.07 (0.09) -0.17 (0.12) -0.04 (0.09) -0.01 (0.08) -0.02 (0.08) 0.00 (0.11) -0.04 (0.09) 0.02 (0.09) 0.00 (0.09) 0.07 (0.13) -0.01 (0.09) -0.01 (0.01) 0.00 (0.01) -0.01 (0.01) -0.00 (0.01) omitted omitted omitted 0.06 (0.04) 0.07 (0.04) 0.11 (0.05) 0.16 (0.06) 0.19 (0.07) 0.06 (0.05) 0.04 (0.04) 0.09 (0.04) 0.11 (0.05) 0.16 (0.06) 0.16 (0.07) 0.01 (0.05) 0.10 (0.04) 0.13 (0.05) 0.16 (0.05) 0.12 (0.06) 0.30 (0.08) 0.10 (0.06) omitted 0.13 (0.05) 0.17 (0.05) 0.21 (0.06) 0.23 (0.06) 0.33 (0.08) 0.15 (0.07) *** *** *** *** *** ** omitted 0.01 (0.03) 0.14 *** (0.04) 0.14 *** (0.05) 0.14 (0.12) -0.03 (0.05) 1’480 -899.79 0.1228 251.99 * ** *** *** ** ** *** ** omitted omitted 0.04 (0.03) 0.07 ** (0.03) 0.06 (0.05) omitted -0.03 (0.03) 0.02 (0.03) 0.10 * (0.06) omitted -0.01 (0.04) -0.03 (0.04) 1’460 -690.33 0.0724 107.81 1’460 -669.16 0.1226 186.98 ** *** *** ** *** * omitted 0.00 (0.03) 0.10 *** (0.04) 0.16 *** (0.05) 0.01 (0.10) 0.04 (0.05) 1’480 -773.83 0.091 155.24 *** Significant at 1% confidence level, ** Significant at 5% confidence level, * Significant at 10% confidence level Dependent Variables: Financial literacy according to the following types of definitions: All Correct (dummy with 1 = all answers correct and 0 = not all answers correct). Explanatory Variables: Numbers in brackets are standard errors. (d) stands for dummy (0/1) variable. Interest Rates, Inflation: Wealth category >CHF 1 Mio. != 0 and predicts success perfectly. Variable has been dropped and 20 observations not used (therefore n=1’460). Sample: The sample of n=1’500 has been adjusted for respondents answering: DK for marital status (n=5), Other for occupation (n=14) and DK for number of people in household (n=2). Out of a total adjustment of n=21, 1 has been multiple counting (DK for marital status and number of people in household) resulting in a sample size for the regression of n=1’480. Probit Model: Probit models are fitted by maximum likelihood compared to multivariate linear regression analysis which are fitted by ordinary least squares. The probit model assumes that the probability density function of the error term follows a standard normal distribution. The interpretation of the coefficients (apart from the direction of their effects, which can be derived from their sign, and the statistical significance, which can be derived from the z-values) is rather difficult in a probit model. Consequently, marginal effects have been disclosed in the regression analysis above. Marginal effects for dummy (0/1) variables show how the probability of the dependent variable taking the value one is predicted to change as the independent variable changes from zero to one, holding all other variables equal. In more concrete terms average marginal effects (in contrast to conditional marginal effects) have been calculated. Average marginal effects are taken as no real person has mean values on all the categorical independent variables (e.g. values between 0 and 1) and effects should therefore not be calculated at only one set of values, the means. With average marginal effects, a marginal effect is computed for each case and then all calculated effects are averaged. Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Roman Graf AA Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table A12: Logit Regression (Average Marginal Effects) – Financial Literacy Logit Regression – Financial Literacy All Correct Gender Women (d) Age Age Nationality Foreigner (d) Marital Status Single (d) In Permanent Relationship (d) Married (d) Divorced (d) Widowed (d) Education Primary School (d) Secondary School (d) Professional Education (d) Grammar School (d) University (Applied) (d) University (d) Occupation Employed (d) Housekeeper (d) Pupil/ Student (d) Pensioner (d) Unemployed (d) Household Size Number of People in Household Household Income < CHF 4’500 (d) CHF 4’500 - 7’000 (d) CHF 7’000 - 9’000 (d) CHF 9’000 - 12’000 (d) CHF 12’000 - 15’000 (d) > CHF 15’000 (d) DK (d) Financial Wealth < CHF 50'000 (d) CHF 50'000 - 100'000 (d) CHF 100'000 - 250'000 (d) CHF 250'000 - 1 Mio. (d) > CHF 1 Mio. (d) DK (d) N Log Likelihood Pseudo R2 LR chi2 Interest Rates Inflation Risk Diversification -0.16 *** (0.03) -0.07 *** (0.02) -0.09 *** (0.02) -0.07 *** (0.02) -0.00 (0.00) -0.00 (0.00) 0.01 *** (0.00) -0.00 *** (0.00) -0.19 *** (0.04) -0.03 (0.03) -0.08 *** (0.03) -0.17 *** (0.03) omitted omitted omitted omitted -0.03 (0.07) 0.01 (0.04) 0.05 (0.05) 0.05 (0.08) -0.04 (0.06) -0.03 (0.04) -0.04 (0.04) 0.03 (0.06) -0.06 (0.05) 0.01 (0.03) -0.02 (0.04) -0.05 (0.07) -0.03 (0.06) 0.00 (0.04) 0.08 (0.05) 0.10 (0.07) omitted omitted omitted omitted 0.02 (0.13) 0.11 (0.13) 0.13 (0.13) 0.24 * (0.13) 0.31 ** (0.13) omitted 0.02 (0.08) 0.08 (0.08) 0.11 (0.09) 0.08 (0.08) 0.23 ** (0.09) 0.08 (0.08) 0.15 (0.08) 0.19 (0.08) 0.30 (0.08) 0.31 (0.09) * ** *** *** 0.13 (0.10) 0.19 ** (0.09) 0.12 (0.10) 0.23 ** (0.10) 0.24 ** (0.10) omitted omitted omitted -0.12 (0.10) -0.11 (0.11) -0.06 (0.14) -0.19 * (0.10) -0.02 (0.08) -0.07 (0.09) -0.17 (0.11) -0.03 (0.09) -0.01 (0.07) -0.02 (0.08) 0.01 (0.11) -0.05 (0.08) 0.02 (0.08) 0.00 (0.09) 0.07 (0.13) -0.01 (0.09) -0.01 (0.01) -0.00 (0.01) -0.01 (0.01) -0.00 (0.01) omitted omitted omitted 0.04 (0.04) 0.09 (0.04) 0.11 (0.04) 0.16 (0.06) 0.15 (0.07) 0.01 (0.05) 0.10 (0.04) 0.13 (0.04) 0.16 (0.05) 0.12 (0.06) 0.32 (0.09) 0.10 (0.06) omitted 0.14 (0.05) 0.17 (0.06) 0.22 (0.06) 0.23 (0.07) 0.34 (0.08) 0.16 (0.07) *** *** *** *** *** ** omitted 0.01 (0.03) 0.14 *** (0.04) 0.15 *** (0.05) 0.16 (0.12) -0.04 (0.05) 1’480 -899.55 0.1231 252.49 0.05 (0.04) 0.06 (0.04) 0.11 ** (0.05) 0.16 *** (0.06) 0.20 ** (0.08) 0.06 (0.05) ** ** *** ** omitted omitted 0.04 (0.03) 0.07 ** (0.03) 0.06 (0.05) omitted -0.03 (0.03) 0.03 (0.04) 0.11 * (0.06) omitted -0.01 (0.04) -0.04 (0.04) 1’460 -690.84 0.0717 106.79 1’460 -669.61 0.1220 186.09 ** *** *** ** *** * omitted 0.00 (0.03) 0.10 *** (0.04) 0.17 *** (0.05) 0.02 (0.10) 0.04 (0.05) 1’480 -773.69 0.091 155.52 *** Significant at 1% confidence level, ** Significant at 5% confidence level, * Significant at 10% confidence level Dependent Variables: Financial literacy according to the following types of definitions: All Correct (dummy with 1 = all answers correct and 0 = not all answers correct). Explanatory Variables: Numbers in brackets are standard errors. (d) stands for dummy (0/1) variable. Interest Rates, Inflation: Wealth category >CHF 1 Mio. != 0 and predicts success perfectly. Variable has been dropped and 20 observations not used (therefore n=1’460). Sample: The sample of n=1’500 has been adjusted for respondents answering: DK for marital status (n=5), Other for occupation (n=14) and DK for number of people in household (n=2). Out of a total adjustment of n=21, 1 has been multiple counting (DK for marital status and number of people in household) resulting in a sample size for the regression of n=1’480. Logit Model: Logit models are fitted by maximum likelihood compared to multivariate linear regression analysis which are fitted by ordinary least squares. The logit model assumes that the probability density function of the error term follows a logistic distribution. The interpretation of the coefficients (apart from the direction of their effects, which can be derived from their sign, and the statistical significance, which can be derived from the z-values) is rather difficult in a logit model. Consequently, marginal effects have been disclosed in the regression analysis above. Marginal effects for dummy (0/1) variables show how the probability of the dependent variable taking the value one is predicted to change as the independent variable changes from zero to one, holding all other variables equal. In more concrete terms average marginal effects (in contrast to conditional marginal effects) have been calculated. Average marginal effects are taken as no real person has mean values on all the categorical independent variables (e.g. values between 0 and 1) and effects should therefore not be calculated at only one set of values, the means. With average marginal effects, a marginal effect is computed for each case and then all calculated effects are averaged. Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Roman Graf BB Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table A13: Multicollinearity Diagnostics – Multivariate OLS Regression Analysis in Table 16 Variable Intercept Financial Literacy - All Correct Women Age Foreigner Secondary School Professional Education Grammar School University (Applied) University Employed Unemployed Household Size Household Income CHF 50'000 - 100'000 CHF 100'000 - 250'000 CHF 250'000 - 1 Mio. > CHF 1 Mio. Very High Interest High Interest Low Interest Low Engagement High Engagement Very High Engagement Moderate Risk Aversion Low Risk Aversion Significant Planning Some Planning Little Planning Mean VIF VIF SQRT VIF Tolerance 1.19 1.31 2.06 1.07 7.65 29.96 10.63 20.33 14.6 2.04 2.85 1.28 1.50 1.27 1.39 1.40 1.15 3.48 5.89 5.23 2.58 2.89 2.64 1.08 1.06 3.33 3.26 2.47 4.84 1.09 1.15 1.43 1.03 2.77 5.47 3.26 4.51 3.82 1.43 1.69 1.13 1.22 1.13 1.18 1.18 1.07 1.86 2.43 2.29 1.60 1.70 1.62 1.04 1.03 1.83 1.81 1.57 0.84 0.76 0.49 0.94 0.13 0.03 0.09 0.05 0.07 0.49 0.35 0.78 0.67 0.79 0.72 0.72 0.87 0.29 0.17 0.19 0.39 0.35 0.38 0.92 0.95 0.30 0.31 0.40 R-Squared Eigenvalue 10.35 0.16 1.58 0.24 1.37 0.51 1.24 0.06 1.14 0.87 1.10 0.97 1.07 0.91 1.04 0.95 1.01 0.93 0.97 0.51 0.95 0.65 0.94 0.22 0.90 0.33 0.82 0.21 0.79 0.28 0.75 0.29 0.67 0.13 0.62 0.71 0.45 0.83 0.34 0.81 0.31 0.61 0.18 0.65 0.11 0.62 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.05 0.06 0.70 0.04 0.69 0.02 0.60 0.00 Condition Number Condition Index 1.00 2.56 2.75 2.89 3.01 3.07 3.12 3.15 3.20 3.26 3.31 3.32 3.38 3.55 3.63 3.72 3.94 4.10 4.80 5.56 5.78 7.53 9.54 10.50 11.28 12.82 15.90 21.69 54.08 54.08 Theory As emphasized by Kmenta, 1986, p. 380, multicollinearity is a question of degree and not of kind and the meaningful distinction is not between the presence and the absence of multicollinearity but between the various degrees of multicollinearities. VIF: VIF quantify the severity of multicollinearity in OLS regression analysis. They provide an index that measures how much the variance (the square of the estimate's standard deviation) of an estimated regression coefficient is increased because of multicollinearity. The variance inflation factors are computed from the correlation matrix of the independent variables. Thus, the independent variables are centered and standardized to unit length. The diagonal elements of the inverse of the correlation matrix are the variance inflation factors. (Rawlings et al., 1998, p. 372) The link between and multicollinearity (of the standardized and centered variables) is through the relationship: is the coefficient of determination from the regression of on the other independent variables (supporting regression analysis: = ). If there is a near-singularity involving and the other independent variables, will be near 1.0 and will be large. If is orthogonal (i.e. uncorrelated) to the other independent variables, will be 0 and will be 1.0. (Rawlings et al., 1998, p. 373) VIF values become critical if they are larger than 10. (cf. Kutner et al., 2004, p. 408) SQRT VIF: The square root of the VIF shows how much larger the standard error is compared to what it would be if that variable was unco rrelated with the other independent variables in the model. Tolerance: The tolerance is representing the reciprocal value of the VIF. A tolerance close to 1 means that there is little multicollinearity whereas a value close to zero is stressing that multicollinearity may be a threat. A tolerance value lower than 0.1 is comparable to a VIF of above 10. R-Squared: R-Squared represent the coefficient of determination from the regression of tolerance from 1. on the other independent variables. Values equal the subtraction of the Eigenvalue: Eigenvalues are computed by a multivariate statistical technique called the principal component analysis. The eigenvalues (or characteristic roots) are the variances of the components. A zero eigenvalue means perfect multicollinearity among independent variables and very small eigenvalues imply severe multicollinearity. Condition Index/ Number: The condition number is the condition index with the largest value. The condition number equals the square root of the largest eigenvalue divided by the smallest eigenvalue. When no multicollinearity is existent, the eigenvalues and condition indices will all equal one and when multicollinearity increases condition indices will increase as well. Rules of thumb suggest that a condition number of around 10 indicates weak dependencies that may be starting to affect the regression estimates. A condition number of 30-100 indicates moderate to strong dependencies. (Rawlings et al., 1998, p. 371) Sample: n = 1’250 (Table 16 includes a breakdown of the sample composition) Application/ Interpretation The VIF for Professional Education is 29.96 and its square root 5.47. This means that the standard error for the coefficient Professional Education is 5.47 as large as it would be if it were uncorrelated with the other independent variables. The value of 29.96 is derived from dividing 1 by 1 reduced by the coefficient of determination (i.e. R2 of 0.97) of the linear multiple regression analysis with the dependent variable Professional Education and the independent variables as included above. The condition number of 54.08 is achieved while taking the square root of the highest eigenvalue (i.e. 10.35) divided by the smallest eigenvalue (i.e. 0.00). The condition number of 54.08 indicates that the estimates might have a moderate amount of numerical error. However, the statistical standard error is almost always much greater than the numerical error (cf. Belsley et al., 2005, p. 85ff). Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Roman Graf CC Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table A14: Analysis of Selected Instrumental Variables Applied for Investment Portfolio OLS Regression Table A14.1: Selection of Instrumental Variables Applied No 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 No 31 32 33 34 35 Instrumental Variables - Data on Post Code (PLZ) Basis Absolute number of the population of town/ village Population growth of town/ village over the last 10 years (in %) Share of foreigners in town/ village (in %) Share of people aged 20-64 years in town/ village (in %) Labor force participation rate of 15-64 years old people (in %) Unemployment rate in town/ village (in %) Share of employees in 1. economic sector (in %) Share of employees in 3. economic sector (in %) Share of companies in 1. economic sector (in %) Share of companies in 3. economic sector (in %) Share of empty rental apartments in town/ village (in %) Density of dwelling - Wohndichte (resident per existent residency) Share of home owners in town/ village (in %) Share of people without education of people 15-64 years old (in %) Share of secondary school II educated people of people 15-64 y. (in %) Share of tertiary educated people of people 15-64 years old (in %) Voting share of FDP in 2011 parliament votes in town/ village (in %) Voting share of CVP in 2011 parliament votes in town/ village (in %) Voting share of SVP in 2011 parliament votes in town/ village (in %) Voting share of SP in 2011 parliament votes in town/ village (in %) Participation rate in 2010 vote about retirement conversion factor (in %) Participation rate in 2010 vote about tax fairness initiative (in %) Share of “Yes” votes in vote about retirement conversion factor (in %) Share of “Yes” votes in vote about tax fairness initiative (in %) Tax burden in town/ village (federal, state and local tax combined) Absolute amount of NZZ subscriptions (PLZ) Relative amount of NZZ subscriptions (in % of population PLZ) Relative amount of NZZ subscriptions (in % of population region 1) Relative amount of NZZ subscriptions (in % of population region 2) Comparis.ch – Number of mortgage rate requests (relative) Instrumental Variables - Data on Driving Time Basis Shortest driving time to one of 9 biggest cities in G-CH <45 min. - dummy Shortest driving time to one of 9 biggest cities in G-CH <30 min. - dummy Shortest driving time to one of 9 biggest cities in G-CH <15 min. - dummy Shortest driving time to Zurich, Basel or Bern Shortest driving time to Zurich, Basel or Bern <30 min. - dummy Underlying Hypothesis People in large cities are more literate. People in cities which grow fast are more literate. People in cities with less foreigners are more literate. People in cities with more people aged 15-64 years are more literate. People in cities with high labor force participation rate are more literate. People in cities with low unemployment rate are more literate. People in cities with low share of 1. sector empl. are more literate. People in cities with high share of 3. sector empl. are more literate. People in cities with low share of 1. sector comp. are more literate. People in cities with high share of 3. sector comp. are more literate. People in cities with low share of empty apartments are more literate. People in cities with high dwelling density are more literate. People in cities with high home ownership rates are more literate. People in cities with low share of uneducated people are more literate. People in cities with low share of secondary graduates are more literate. People in cities with high share of tertiary educ. people are more literate. People in cities with high share of FDP are more literate. People in cities with high share of CVP are more literate. People in cities with high share of SVP are more literate. People in cities with low share of SP are more literate. People in cities with high participation rates are more literate. People in cities with high participation rates are more literate. People in cities with high “Yes” voting shares are more literate. People in cities with high “No” voting shares are more literate. People in cities with low tax burden are more literate. People in cities with high amount of NZZ subscribers are more literate. People in cities with high amount of NZZ subscribers. are more literate. People in cities with high amount of NZZ subscribers. are more literate. People in cities with high amount of NZZ subscribers. are more literate. People in cities with frequent comparis.ch activity are more literate. Underlying Hypothesis People living closer to large cities are more literate. Application/ Interpretation Selection: The listing above represents a small selection of variables which have been applied in attempts to find a valid and strong instrumental variable for financial literacy. The majority of the variables above have also been tested on state level basis or, where possible, on regional basis (i.e. region 1 was defined as representing the first digit of the PLZ and region 2 as the first two digits of the PLZ). Variables which indicated a t-statistic close to or above a 10% confidence level (i.e. t-values of |1.65|) in the first or the second stage regression (refer to Table A14.2) were also implemented in the form of a dummy variables with the median or third quartile taken as segregation criteria. There have also been attempts undertaken to find valid instruments through the inclusion of multiple instrumental variables in over-identified models. However, the results did not improve markedly. Challenge: The main challenge in finding a valid and strong instrumental variable lies in the fact that the questionnaire was not constructed with regards to providing data for an instrumental variable approach. As seen in Table A15, some researchers were in the comfortable position to be able to draw on data collected in the questionnaire while defining an instrumental variable. As no data about the educational level of the parents or siblings nor usable information about the environment of the respondents were collected, finding a suitable instrumental variable becomes challenging. Hypothesis: The definitions of the hypothesis are congruent with the rational which was followed by other researchers (refer to Table A15). It is assumed that a person who is surrounded by people with better financial knowledge becomes itself more financial knowledgeable while at the same time no correlation to investment portfolio ownership exists. Hypothesis 27 states, for instance, that a person who is living in a town with a high relative share of NZZ subscribers becomes more financially literate. The NZZ is the leading Swiss economic newspaper and it can be assume that subscribers of this newspaper are more financially knowledgeable than their counterparts. At the same time, it can also be expected that the relative share of NZZ subscribers has no direct impact on investment portfolio ownership of a respondent and is itself exogenous (refer to Table A14.2 for more information). Source: BfS, 2012F, authors’ calculations Roman Graf DD Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table A14.2: Summary Statistics of Selected Instrumental Variables Applied 1. Stage Regression No 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 t-Statistic All correct t-Statistic Score -1.10 -0.28 0.57 -0.71 -1.33 0.59 -1.33 0.90 -1.31 1.10 1.17 -0.85 -0.31 -1.26 0.93 0.57 1.14 0.28 -1.55 0.37 0.35 0.52 -1.06 0.03 -0.10 -0.89 -1.75 -0.12 -1.21 0.83 0.34 2.21 0.29 -1.06 2.71 0.13 -1.01 0.72 -0.35 -1.98 0.20 -0.57 0.74 -0.55 0.66 0.41 0.09 -0.49 -0.14 -0.11 0.31 1.02 0.55 -0.92 0.80 0.18 0.45 -1.18 0.19 -0.21 -0.06 -0.85 0.88 -0.08 0.94 0.26 2.10 1.50 -0.86 2.24 2. Stage Regression t-Statistic All correct 0.96 0.17 0.07 0.69 -0.20 -0.52 -0.90 -0.71 -0.84 -0.71 -0.04 -0.45 -0.17 0.11 0.50 -0.11 0.51 0.28 -0.33 -0.34 -0.29 0.42 -0.50 -0.03 0.10 -0.51 0.41 0.05 0.82 0.26 -0.22 -0.60 -0.12 -0.61 -0.34 t-Statistic Score -0.13 0.20 0.07 0.36 -0.20 -0.20 -0.50 -0.61 -0.48 -0.53 -0.04 0.10 -0.19 0.09 -0.11 -0.10 0.49 0.52 -0.31 -0.60 -0.17 0.40 -0.51 -0.18 0.21 -0.06 0.40 -0.05 0.08 0.27 -0.19 -0.60 -0.14 -0.55 -0.34 F-Statistic F-Statistic All correct 1.21 0.08 0.33 0.50 1.78 0.35 1.77 0.80 1.71 1.21 1.36 0.71 0.10 1.59 0.86 0.33 1.31 0.08 2.40 0.14 0.12 0.27 1.13 0.00 0.01 0.80 3.08 0.02 1.47 0.70 0.12 4.87 0.08 1.13 7.35 Durbin-Wu-Hausman Test F-Statistic Score 0.02 1.02 0.52 0.12 3.93 0.04 0.33 0.55 0.30 0.44 0.17 0.01 0.24 0.02 0.01 0.10 1.04 0.30 0.84 0.65 0.03 0.21 1.39 0.03 0.04 0.00 0.73 0.77 0.01 0.89 0.07 4.43 2.26 0.74 5.03 F-Statistic All correct 2.42 0.03 0.00 1.56 0.13 2.03 2.47 2.20 1.92 1.33 0.03 0.44 0.06 0.00 0.20 0.03 0.15 2.85 0.27 1.12 0.38 0.30 0.56 3.51 3.00 0.55 0.04 0.00 0.76 0.02 0.14 0.83 0.03 0.99 0.43 P-Value All correct 0.12 0.87 1.00 0.21 0.72 0.15 0.12 0.14 0.17 0.25 0.86 0.51 0.81 0.97 0.65 0.86 0.70 0.09 0.60 0.29 0.54 0.59 0.45 0.06 0.08 0.46 0.84 0.97 0.38 0.88 0.71 0.36 0.86 0.32 0.51 F-Statistic Score 2.94 0.00 0.00 1.67 0.19 1.91 2.26 2.18 1.71 1.23 0.01 0.31 0.07 0.01 0.32 0.02 0.15 2.71 0.22 1.27 0.36 0.30 0.61 3.59 2.96 0.43 0.08 0.03 1.02 0.23 0.13 0.86 0.10 0.97 0.40 P-Value Score 0.09 0.95 0.98 0.20 0.66 0.17 0.13 0.14 0.19 0.27 0.92 0.58 0.79 0.93 0.57 0.88 0.70 0.10 0.64 0.26 0.55 0.59 0.43 0.06 0.09 0.51 0.78 0.87 0.31 0.88 0.71 0.35 0.75 0.32 0.53 Theory 1. Stage Regression: The first stage regression can be obtained while regressing all exogenous independent variables and the instrumental variables on the (endogenous) dependent variable (which is financial literacy in this case). The first stage regression allows to calculate the predictions for all exogenous independent variables and the instrumental variable. Weak instrumental variables are poor predictors of the endogenous variables in the first stage regression. The first stage regression has been performed with the STATA command ivregress, first and the attachment vce(robust) in order to get consistent (i.e. asymptotically unbiased) results (“vce” stands for variance-covariance estimates). Furthermore, in the case of the “all correct” definition of financial literacy, the stata command treatreg has also been applied due to the binary nature of the endogenous variable. However, results did not change markedly. 2. Stage Regression (IV Regression): The second stage or instrumental variable regression can be obtained while regressing the predictions received in the first-stage regression on the dependent variable (which is investment portfolio ownership in this case). F-Statistic: The F-statistic of the instruments allows to test the strength of the instrumental variables and is therefore derived from the first stage regression analysis. As there is always only one instrumental variable used for the (potentially) endogenous variable financial literacy, the F-statistics equal the square of the t-statistics (of the instrumental variable) in the case above. With one single endogenous regressor (which is the case in the examples above), instruments can be declared to be weak if the first stage F-statistic is less than 10. (Staiger & Stock,1997) When the instrumental variables are weak, the IV or two stage least squares estimators could be inconsistent or have large standard errors. The F-statistics have been performed with the STATA command estat firststage. Durbin-Wu-Hausman Test: The Durbin-Wu-Hausman test allows to make a statement about the endogeneity of a variable. The IV approach assumes financial literacy to be endogenous while in fact financial literacy may be exogenous. In the exogeneity case, OLS estimates would be more efficient than IV estimates. The null hypothesis of the Durbin-Wu-Hausman test is that financial literacy is exogenous. P-values of above 0.05 indicate that the null hypothesis cannot be rejected on a 5% confidence level and that the exogeneity of financial literacy cannot be rejected in the model as well. The Durbin-Wu Hausman test has been performed with the STATA command estat endogenous. T-Statistic: The t-statistic is the estimated coefficient of a variable divided by its standard error. Thus, the t-statistic measures how many standard deviations away from zero the estimated coefficient of a variable is. The t-statistic is used to test the hypothesis that the true value of the coefficient is non-zero, in order to confirm that the independent variable really belongs in the model. P-Value: The p-value of regression coefficients is the probability of observing a t-statistic that large or larger in magnitude given the null hypothesis that the true coefficient value is zero. The p-values as included above are referring to the Durbin-Wu-Hausman test and the null hypothesis that financial literacy is exogenous. The p-values thereby reflect the probability of observing an F-statistic as large or larger than the one received given the assumption that the null hypothesis is correct and financial literacy is exogenous. All correct: Dummy variable with 1 for respondents who answered all questions correct and 0 for respondents who could not answer all questions correct. Score: Variable which takes values in the range of 0-3 depending on the amount of correct answers of a respondent. Hansen J-Test (J Statistic): The Sargan Hansen test or J-test of over-identifying restrictions should be performed in any over-identified model estimated with instrumental variables techniques. All the instances above, however, are not over-identified but just-identified (i.e. there is one instrument for one endogenous variable (financial literacy)). Sample: n=1’250 (some hypothesis could not be tested on a full sample basis (e.g. voting shares of parties) as data was not always available for all data points on PLZ level). Application/ Interpretation The table above shows only few t-statistics in the first stage regression which are statistically significant on a 5% (critical value: |1.96|) or 1% confidence level (critical value: |2.58|). The fact that the instrumental variables are weak is underpinned by the F-statistics which are all below the critical value of 10. While considering the IV regression one can see that there is no instrument which exerts a statistically significant impact on investment portfolio ownership. T-values are rather low and in many cases there is even a change in sign between the first stage and second stage regression. Durbin-Wu-Hausman tests show that in non of the incidences above the null-hypothesis can be rejected while applying a 5% confidence level. On the basis of the instruments used above it cannot be rejected that financial literacy is exogenous. Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Roman Graf EE Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table A15: Instruments Used by Other Researchers in Financial Literacy Studies Empirical Paper Dependent Variable Lusardi & Mitchell, 2011A Financial Literacy and Retirement Planning in the United States Retirement Planning Bucher & Lusardi, 2011 Financial Literacy and Retirement Planning in Germany Retirement Planning Alessie et al., 2011 Financial Literacy and Retirement Planning in the Netherlands Retirement Planning Klapper & Panos, 2011 Financial Literacy and Retirement Planning: The Russian Case Retirement Planning Sekita, 2011 Financial Literacy and Retirement Planning in Japan Retirement Planning Fornero & Monticone, 2011 Financial Literacy and Pension Plan Participation in Italy Pension Plan Participation Crossan et al., 2011 Financial Literacy and Retirement Planning in New Zealand Almenberg & Säve-Söderbergh, 2011 Financial Literacy and Retirement Planning in Sweden Instrumental Variable (for Financial Literacy) IV: Exposure of respondents to state mandated high school financial education courses. Description: Some states in the US introduced financial education courses in high schools due to political reasons. Financial literacy is instrumented with the number of years a mandate was in effect and also relevant to the respondent (number of mandate years). Data was collected which indicated in which state a respondent was living in his/ her senior year at high school and how many years of financial education he or she was exposed to. Over-identified Model: No IV: Exposure to financial knowledge of others in the same region (instrumented by voting shares of libertarian party (FDP) and leftist party (PDS/ Die Linke) in the 2005 national election at administrative district level) and financial education of parents, alternatively. Description: Rational is that people who are exposed to financially knowledgeable people become more financially knowledgeable themselves (learning effects). Political attitude at a regional level is used as a proxy for financial knowledge of others. Alternatively, financial education of parents was used as well. Over-identified Model: Yes IV: Financial situation of siblings relative to respondents and financial understanding of parents as perceived by respondents. Description: Rational is that people who are exposed to financially knowledgeable people become more financially knowledgeable themselves (learning effects). When parents have better financial understanding, respondents should have higher financial literacy as well. Furthermore, information about the financial situation of the oldest sibling relative to the respondent was collected as well. When siblings were in worse financial condition than the respondents, respondents were more likely to have higher financial literacy. Over-identified Model: Yes IV: Total number of newspapers in circulation in every administrative region and total number of universities in every administrative region. Description: Rational is that people who are exposed to financially knowledgeable people become more financially knowledgeable themselves (learning effects). When there are more newspapers or universities, people should have better financial knowledge and respondents are supposed to have higher financial literacy as well. Over-identified Model: Yes IV: Level of Japanese language ability in the form of the relative grade in school with the age of 15 years (implemented as dummy). As additional IV, the average Japanese language ability in the prefecture where the respondents were living were used. Description: Respondents must know the meaning of words and be able to comprehend the sentences in the financial literacy questions. The rational for the average language ability in the prefecture is that people who are exposed to financially knowledgeable people become more financially knowledgeable themselves (learning effects). Over-identified Model: Yes IV: IV are relating to cost of learning and acquiring financial knowledge and information. One IV is defined as dummy and refers to the fact if a household member has a degree in economics. An additional IV is also defined as dummy and refers to the fact if at least one household member uses of computer (either at home or at work). Description: The hypothesis is that the presence of an economist and/ or a computer user in the household makes it easier for the respondent to acquire knowledge and information about financial matters. Over-identified Model: Yes Retirement Planning No IV approach applied. Retirement Planning No IV approach applied. Van Rooij et al., 2011 Financial Literacy and Stock Market Participation Stock Market Participation Van Rooij et al., 2012 Financial Literacy, Retirement Planning and Household Wealth Net Worth and Retirement Planning (separate regressions) IV: Two types of instrumental variables have been used in the form of dummy variables. One is referring to the financial situation of the oldest sibling and the other is referring to the parents’ understanding of financial matters. Description: They asked respondents about the financial experiences and relative financial situation of their siblings and parents. The rational is that respondents can learn from those around them, thus increasing their own financial literacy. Over-identified Model: Yes IV: IV are referring to the respondents economics education (i.e. the exposure to economics education before entering the job) and are defined as dummy variables. Description: Economic education has a strong predictive power for financial literacy, as can be shown by the test on the relevance of the instruments in the first stage regression. For both multivariate regression analysis (net worth and retirement planning) the same instrumental variable was used. Over-identified Model: No Source: As included above Roman Graf FF Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table A16: Multicollinearity Diagnostics – Multivariate OLS Regression Analysis in Table 18 Variable Intercept Financial Literacy - All Correct Women Age Foreigner Secondary School Professional Education Grammar School University (Applied) University Employed Unemployed Household Size Household Income CHF 50'000 - 100'000 CHF 100'000 - 250'000 CHF 250'000 - 1 Mio. > CHF 1 Mio. Very High Interest High Interest Low Interest Low Engagement High Engagement Very High Engagement Moderate Risk Aversion Low Risk Aversion Rare Impulsive Behavior Regular Impulsive Behavior Very Frequent Impulsive Behavior Mean VIF VIF SQRT VIF Tolerance 1.21 1.32 2.06 1.06 7.64 29.86 10.49 20.28 14.54 2.04 2.84 1.27 1.5 1.28 1.41 1.41 1.15 3.44 5.86 5.22 2.61 2.93 2.65 1.09 1.06 1.09 1.08 1.06 4.62 1.1 1.15 1.44 1.03 2.76 5.46 3.24 4.5 3.81 1.43 1.69 1.13 1.22 1.13 1.19 1.19 1.07 1.85 2.42 2.28 1.62 1.71 1.63 1.05 1.03 1.04 1.04 1.03 0.83 0.76 0.48 0.94 0.13 0.03 0.10 0.05 0.07 0.49 0.35 0.79 0.67 0.78 0.71 0.71 0.87 0.29 0.17 0.19 0.38 0.34 0.38 0.91 0.94 0.92 0.93 0.95 R-Squared Eigenvalue 9.85 0.17 1.54 0.24 1.34 0.52 1.21 0.06 1.14 0.87 1.10 0.97 1.08 0.90 1.02 0.95 1.00 0.93 0.97 0.51 0.96 0.65 0.94 0.21 0.92 0.33 0.85 0.22 0.83 0.29 0.78 0.29 0.68 0.13 0.63 0.71 0.58 0.83 0.41 0.81 0.35 0.62 0.30 0.66 0.18 0.62 0.11 0.09 0.08 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.04 0.07 0.02 0.05 0.00 Condition Number Condition Index 1.00 2.53 2.71 2.86 2.94 2.99 3.02 3.11 3.14 3.19 3.21 3.24 3.28 3.41 3.45 3.55 3.80 3.95 4.11 4.88 5.32 5.72 7.43 9.43 10.95 11.48 15.38 20.72 52.33 52.33 Theory As emphasized by Kmenta, 1986, p. 380, multicollinearity is a question of degree and not of kind and the meaningful distinction is not between the presence and the absence of multicollinearity but between the various degrees of multicollinearities. VIF: VIF quantify the severity of multicollinearity in OLS regression analysis. They provide an index that measures how much the variance (the square of the estimate's standard deviation) of an estimated regression coefficient is increased because of multicollinearity. The variance inflation factors are computed from the correlation matrix of the independent variables. Thus, the independent variables are centered and standardized to unit length. The diagonal elements of the inverse of the correlation matrix are the variance inflation factors. (Rawlings et al., 1998, p. 372) The link between and multicollinearity (of the standardized and centered variables) is through the relationship: is the coefficient of determination from the regression of on the other independent variables (supporting regression analysis: = ). If there is a near-singularity involving and the other independent variables, will be near 1.0 and will be large. If is orthogonal (i.e. uncorrelated) to the other independent variables, will be 0 and will be 1.0. (Rawlings et al., 1998, p. 373) VIF values become critical if they are larger than 10. (cf. Kutner et al., 2004, p. 408) SQRT VIF: The square root of the VIF shows how much larger the standard error is compared to what it would be if that variable was unco rrelated with the other independent variables in the model. Tolerance: The tolerance is representing the reciprocal value of the VIF. A tolerance close to 1 means that there is little multicollinearity whereas a value close to zero is stressing that multicollinearity may be a threat. A tolerance value lower than 0.1 is comparable to a VIF of above 10. R-Squared: R-Squared represent the coefficient of determination from the regression of tolerance from 1. on the other independent variables. Values equal the subtraction of the Eigenvalue: Eigenvalues are computed by a multivariate statistical technique called the principal component analysis. The eigenvalues (or characteristic roots) are the variances of the components. A zero eigenvalue means perfect multicollinearity among independent variables and very small eigenvalues imply severe multicollinearity. Condition Index/ Number: The condition number is the condition index with the largest value. The condition number equals the square root of the largest eigenvalue divided by the smallest eigenvalue. When no multicollinearity is existent, the eigenvalues and condition indices will all equal one and when multicollinearity increases condition indices will increase as well. Rules of thumb suggest that a condition number of around 10 indicates weak dependencies that may be starting to affect the regression estimates. A condition number of 30-100 indicates moderate to strong dependencies. (Rawlings et al., 1998, p. 371) Sample: n = 1’248 (Table 18 includes a breakdown of the sample composition) Application/ Interpretation The VIF for Professional Education is 29.86 and its square root 5.46. This means that the standard error for the coefficient Professional Education is 5.46 as large as it would be if it were uncorrelated with the other independent variables. The value of 29.86 is derived from dividing 1 by 1 reduced by the coefficient of determination (i.e. R2 of 0.97) of the linear multiple regression analysis with the dependent variable Professional Education and the independent variables as included above. The condition number of 52.33 is achieved while taking the square root of the highest eigenvalue (i.e. 9.85) divided by the smallest eigenvalue (i.e. 0.00). The condition number of 52.33 indicates that the estimates might have a moderate amount of numerical error. However, the statistical standard error is almost always much greater than the numerical error (cf. Belsley et al., 2005, p. 85ff). Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Roman Graf GG Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table A17: Multivariate Linear Regression – Impulsive Behavior Multivariate OLS Regression - Impulsive Behavior (d) Financial Literacy - All Correct (d) -0.05 (0.03) * Financial Literacy - Score Correct -0.04 (0.02) ** Financial Literacy - Interest Rates (d) -0.03 (0.03) -0.03 (0.03) -0.06 (0.03) Financial Literacy - Inflation (d) Financial Literacy - Risk Diversification (d) ** Financial Literacy - Score DK Gender Women (d) Age Age Nationality Foreigner (d) Education Primary School (d) Secondary School (d) Professional Education (d) Grammar School (d) University (Applied) (d) University (d) Occupation Employed (d) Unemployed (d) Household Size Number of People in Household Household Income Household Income Financial Wealth < CHF 50'000 (d) CHF 50'000 - 100'000 (d) CHF 100'000 - 250'000 (d) CHF 250'000 - 1 Mio. (d) > CHF 1 Mio. (d) Financial Interest No Interest (d) Low Interest (d) High Interest (d) Very High Interest (d) Financial Engagement No Engagement (d) Low Engagement (d) High Engagement (d) Very High Engagement (d) Risk Characteristics High Risk Aversion (d) Morderate Risk Aversion (d) Low Risk Aversion (d) _cons N R2 F 0.09 (0.03) 0.00 (0.03) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.03) ** 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.03) ** 0.00 (0.00) 0.01 (0.03) ** 0.00 (0.00) 0.03 (0.05) 0.03 (0.05) 0.04 (0.05) 0.03 (0.05) omitted omitted omitted omitted -0.01 (0.15) 0.02 (0.14) -0.01 (0.15) 0.04 (0.14) 0.02 (0.15) 0.00 (0.15) 0.03 (0.14) 0.00 (0.15) 0.06 (0.14) 0.03 (0.15) 0.01 (0.15) 0.04 (0.14) 0.01 (0.15) 0.07 (0.14) 0.04 (0.15) -0.02 (0.15) 0.02 (0.14) -0.01 (0.15) 0.04 (0.14) 0.01 (0.15) -0.02 (0.04) -0.10 (0.06) -0.02 (0.04) -0.10 (0.06) -0.02 (0.04) -0.10 (0.06) -0.02 (0.04) -0.11 (0.06) -0.01 (0.01) -0.01 (0.01) -0.01 (0.01) -0.01 (0.01) -0.01 (0.01) -0.00 (0.01) -0.00 (0.01) -0.01 (0.01) omitted 0.11 (0.03) 0.17 (0.04) 0.17 (0.05) 0.18 (0.12) omitted *** *** *** 0.11 (0.03) 0.17 (0.04) 0.18 (0.05) 0.18 (0.11) omitted *** *** *** 0.11 (0.03) 0.17 (0.04) 0.18 (0.05) 0.18 (0.12) *** *** 0.11 (0.03) 0.17 (0.04) 0.17 (0.05) 0.17 (0.11) omitted omitted omitted -0.01 (0.06) 0.06 (0.06) 0.06 (0.07) -0.01 (0.06) 0.06 (0.06) 0.06 (0.07) -0.00 (0.06) 0.06 (0.06) 0.06 (0.07) -0.01 (0.06) 0.06 (0.06) 0.06 (0.07) -0.08 (0.05) -0.01 (0.05) 0.09 (0.05) omitted * * omitted -0.08 (0.05) -0.01 (0.05) 0.09 (0.05) omitted * * omitted -0.08 (0.05) -0.01 (0.05) 0.09 (0.05) ** * omitted *** omitted omitted *** *** *** *** omitted * * omitted -0.08 (0.05) -0.01 (0.05) 0.09 (0.05) * ** omitted -0.11 (0.03) -0.09 (0.07) *** -0.11 (0.03) -0.09 (0.07) *** -0.11 (0.03) -0.09 (0.07) *** -0.10 (0.03) -0.08 (0.07) *** 0.55 (0.17) *** 0.59 (0.17) *** 0.59 (0.18) *** 0.51 (0.17) *** 1'248 0.0745 3.94 1'248 0.0764 4.04 1'248 0.0768 3.76 1'248 0.0779 4.13 *** Significant at 1% confidence level, ** Significant at 5% confidence level, * Significant at 10% confidence level Dependent Variable: Impulsive Behavior (0 = no impulsive behavior at all (n=850), 1 = at least some impulsive behavior (n=398)) as dummy variable. Explanatory Variables: Numbers in brackets are standard errors. (d) stands for dummy. Household Income is based on ordinal scale with values ranging from 1 (lowest income) to 6 (highest income). Sample: The sample of n=1’500 has been adjusted for respondents answering: Other for occupation (n=14), DK for number of people in household (n=2), DK for income (n=148), DK for wealth (n=178), DK for planning for financial future (n=14), DK for engagement (n=9), DK for risk aversion (n=31), DK for impulsive behavior (n=2) and missing value for consumption credit (n=1). Out of a total adjustment of n=399, 115 have been double, 13 triple and 2 four-times counted resulting in a sample size for the regression of n=1’248. Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Roman Graf HH Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table A18: Multicollinearity Diagnostics – Multivariate OLS Regression Analysis in Table 20 Variable Intercept Financial Literacy - All Correct Women Age Foreigner Secondary School Professional Education Grammar School University (Applied) University Employed Unemployed Household Size CHF 4’500 - 7’000 CHF 7’000 - 9’000 CHF 9’000 - 12’000 CHF 12’000 - 15’000 > CHF 15’000 CHF 50'000 - 100'000 CHF 100'000 - 250'000 CHF 250'000 - 1 Mio. > CHF 1 Mio. Very High Interest High Interest Low Interest Low Engagement High Engagement Very High Engagement Significant Planning Some Planning Little Planning Mean VIF VIF SQRT VIF Tolerance 1.19 1.31 1.43 1.08 7.58 32.96 11.25 22.56 16.51 1.54 1.59 1.21 4.17 4.29 4.02 2.65 2.53 1.25 1.36 1.36 1.15 3.57 6.37 5.70 2.69 2.99 2.70 3.92 3.85 2.84 5.25 1.09 1.14 1.20 1.04 2.75 5.74 3.35 4.75 4.06 1.24 1.26 1.10 2.04 2.07 2.01 1.63 1.59 1.12 1.17 1.17 1.07 1.89 2.52 2.39 1.64 1.73 1.64 1.98 1.96 1.69 0.84 0.77 0.70 0.93 0.13 0.03 0.09 0.04 0.06 0.65 0.63 0.83 0.24 0.23 0.25 0.38 0.40 0.80 0.74 0.73 0.87 0.28 0.16 0.18 0.37 0.33 0.37 0.25 0.26 0.35 R-Squared Eigenvalue 10.15 0.16 1.84 0.23 1.32 0.30 1.27 0.07 1.17 0.87 1.12 0.97 1.10 0.91 1.06 0.96 1.04 0.94 1.03 0.35 0.99 0.37 0.96 0.17 0.93 0.76 0.88 0.77 0.87 0.75 0.84 0.62 0.80 0.60 0.73 0.20 0.64 0.26 0.60 0.27 0.42 0.13 0.36 0.72 0.34 0.84 0.18 0.82 0.10 0.63 0.09 0.67 0.07 0.63 0.05 0.75 0.04 0.74 0.02 0.65 0.00 Condition Number Condition Index 1.00 2.35 2.77 2.82 2.95 3.01 3.03 3.09 3.13 3.15 3.20 3.25 3.31 3.39 3.42 3.48 3.56 3.72 4.00 4.13 4.90 5.32 5.49 7.57 9.92 10.82 12.47 14.23 15.75 21.69 55.61 55.61 Theory As emphasized by Kmenta, 1986, p. 380, multicollinearity is a question of degree and not of kind and the meaningful distinction is not between the presence and the absence of multicollinearity but between the various degrees of multicollinearities. VIF: VIF quantify the severity of multicollinearity in OLS regression analysis. They provide an index that measures how much the variance (the square of the estimate's standard deviation) of an estimated regression coefficient is increased because of multicollinearity. The variance inflation factors are computed from the correlation matrix of the independent variables. Thus, the independent variables are centered and standardized to unit length. The diagonal elements of the inverse of the correlation matrix are the variance inflation factors. (Rawlings et al., 1998, p. 372) The link between and multicollinearity (of the standardized and centered variables) is through the relationship: is the coefficient of determination from the regression of on the other independent variables (supporting regression analysis: = ). If there is a near-singularity involving and the other independent variables, will be near 1.0 and will be large. If is orthogonal (i.e. uncorrelated) to the other independent variables, will be 0 and will be 1.0. (Rawlings et al., 1998, p. 373) VIF values become critical if they are larger than 10. (cf. Kutner et al., 2004, p. 408) SQRT VIF: The square root of the VIF shows how much larger the standard error is compared to what it would be if that variable was unco rrelated with the other independent variables in the model. Tolerance: The tolerance is representing the reciprocal value of the VIF. A tolerance close to 1 means that there is little multicollinearity whereas a value close to zero is stressing that multicollinearity may be a threat. A tolerance value lower than 0.1 is comparable to a VIF of above 10. R-Squared: R-Squared represent the coefficient of determination from the regression of tolerance from 1. on the other independent variables. Values equal the subtraction of the Eigenvalue: Eigenvalues are computed by a multivariate statistical technique called the principal component analysis. The eigenvalues (or characteristic roots) are the variances of the components. A zero eigenvalue means perfect multicollinearity among independent variables and very small eigenvalues imply severe multicollinearity. Condition Index/ Number: The condition number is the condition index with the largest value. The condition number equals the square root of the largest eigenvalue divided by the smallest eigenvalue. When no multicollinearity is existent, the eigenvalues and condition indices will all equal one and when multicollinearity increases condition indices will increase as well. Rules of thumb suggest that a condition number of around 10 indicates weak dependencies that may be starting to affect the regression estimates. A condition number of 30-100 indicates moderate to strong dependencies. (Rawlings et al., 1998, p. 371) Sample: n = 1’127 (Table 20 includes a breakdown of the sample composition) Application/ Interpretation The VIF for Professional Education is 32.96 and its square root 5.74. This means that the standard error for the coefficient Professional Education is 5.74 as large as it would be if it were uncorrelated with the other independent variables. The value of 32.96 is derived from dividing 1 by 1 reduced by the coefficient of determination (i.e. R2 of 0.97) of the linear multiple regression analysis with the dependent variable Professional Education and the independent variables as included above. The condition number of 55.61 is achieved while taking the square root of the highest eigenvalue (i.e. 10.15) divided by the smallest eigenvalue (i.e. 0.00). The condition number of 55.61 indicates that the estimates might have a moderate amount of numerical error. However, the statistical standard error is almost always much greater than the numerical error (cf. Belsley et al., 2005, p. 85ff). Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Roman Graf II Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table A19: Probit and Logit Regression (Average Marginal Effects) – Financial Behavior Investment Portfolio (d) Probit Logit Financial Literacy All Correct (d) Gender Women (d) Age Age Nationality Foreigner (d) Education Primary School (d) Consumption Credit (d) Probit Logit Mortgage Debt (d) Probit Logit Retirement Account (d) Probit Logit 0.10 *** (0.02) 0.10 *** (0.02) -0.00 (0.01) -0.00 (0.01) 0.05 ** (0.03) 0.06 ** (0.03) 0.06 ** (0.03) 0.06 ** (0.03) -0.04 (0.03) -0.04 (0.03) -0.03 * (0.02) -0.03 * (0.02) -0.00 (0.03) -0.00 (0.03) -0.00 (0.03) -0.00 (0.03) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) -0.00 (0.00) -0.00 (0.00) 0.01 *** (0.00) 0.01 *** (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) -0.11 ** (0.05) -0.11 ** (0.05) 0.08 *** (0.02) 0.07 *** (0.02) -0.13 *** (0.05) -0.14 *** (0.05) -0.13 *** (0.05) -0.13 *** (0.05) omitted omitted omitted omitted omitted omitted omitted omitted -0.04 (0.14) 0.01 (0.14) 0.05 (0.14) 0.08 (0.14) -0.00 (0.14) -0.05 (0.15) 0.00 (0.14) 0.04 (0.14) 0.07 (0.14) -0.01 (0.14) 0.43 (13.80) 0.46 (13.80) 0.45 (13.80) 0.42 (13.80) 0.44 (13.80) 0.66 (43.24) 0.68 (43.24) 0.68 (43.24) 0.65 (43.24) 0.66 (43.24) 0.01 (0.13) 0.01 (0.12) 0.02 (0.13) 0.04 (0.13) -0.03 (0.13) -0.01 (0.13) 0.01 (0.12) 0.01 (0.13) 0.04 (0.12) -0.04 (0.13) 0.22 (0.19) 0.14 (0.18) 0.20 (0.19) 0.19 (0.19) 0.21 (0.19) 0.22 (0.19) 0.14 (0.18) 0.20 (0.19) 0.19 (0.19) 0.21 (0.19) -0.05 (0.04) -0.00 (0.06) -0.05 (0.04) 0.00 (0.06) 0.01 (0.02) omitted 0.01 (0.02) omitted 0.02 (0.04) -0.06 (0.06) 0.02 (0.04) -0.06 (0.06) 0.04 (0.04) -0.15 (0.08) * 0.04 (0.04) -0.16 (0.08) * 0.00 (0.01) 0.00 (0.01) 0.00 (0.01) 0.00 (0.01) 0.11 *** (0.01) 0.11 *** (0.01) 0.00 (0.01) 0.00 (0.01) 0.00 (0.01) n/a 0.00 (0.01) n/a 0.00 (0.01) n/a 0.00 (0.01) n/a 0.06 *** (0.01) n/a 0.06 *** (0.01) n/a n/a n/a omitted omitted CHF 4’500 - 7’000 (d) n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a CHF 7’000 - 9’000 (d) n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a CHF 9’000 - 12’000 (d) n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a CHF 12’000 - 15’000 (d) n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a > CHF 15’000 (d) n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Financial Wealth < CHF 50'000 (d) omitted omitted omitted omitted omitted -0.05 ** (0.02) -0.08 *** (0.03) -0.06 (0.04) omitted -0.05 ** (0.02) -0.09 ** (0.04) -0.07 (0.05) omitted omitted omitted Secondary School (d) Professional Education (d) Grammar School (d) University (Applied) (d) University Occupation Employed (d) Unemployed (d) Household Size Number of People in Household Household Income Household Income < CHF 4’500 (d) CHF 50'000 - 100'000 (d) CHF 100'000 - 250'000 (d) CHF 250'000 - 1 Mio. (d) > CHF 1 Mio. (d) Financial Interest No Interest (d) Low Interest (d) High Interest (d) Very High Interest (d) Financial Engagement No Engagement (d) Low Engagement (d) High Engagement (d) Very High Engagement (d) Risk Characteristics High Risk Aversion (d) Morderate Risk Aversion (d) Low Risk Aversion (d) Financial Planning No Planning of Financial Future (d) 0.20 (0.03) 0.31 (0.03) 0.42 (0.04) 0.30 (0.10) omitted *** *** *** *** omitted 0.09 (0.07) 0.08 (0.06) 0.21 *** (0.07) 0.20 (0.03) 0.30 (0.03) 0.41 (0.04) 0.29 (0.10) *** *** *** *** omitted 0.10 (0.07) 0.09 (0.07) 0.22 *** (0.08) -0.03 (0.03) -0.05 * (0.03) -0.01 (0.03) -0.02 (0.03) -0.05 * (0.03) -0.02 (0.03) omitted omitted omitted omitted 0.03 (0.04) 0.03 (0.04) 0.02 (0.04) 0.03 (0.04) 0.04 (0.04) 0.02 (0.04) -0.00 (0.03) 0.01 (0.02) 0.02 (0.02) -0.00 (0.03) 0.00 (0.02) 0.01 (0.02) omitted omitted omitted omitted 0.00 (0.02) 0.00 (0.03) 0.00 (0.02) 0.01 (0.03) 0.10 *** (0.03) 0.16 *** (0.06) 0.10 *** (0.03) 0.16 *** (0.06) 0.05 * (0.03) 0.04 (0.04) -0.00 (0.05) 0.23 ** (0.12) 0.05 * (0.03) 0.04 (0.04) -0.00 (0.05) 0.22 * (0.12) omitted omitted omitted 0.02 (0.05) 0.01 (0.05) 0.01 (0.05) 0.02 (0.05) 0.01 (0.05) 0.01 (0.05) n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a omitted omitted omitted 0.09 * (0.05) 0.15 *** (0.04) 0.15 *** (0.05) omitted -0.06 ** (0.03) -0.17 ** (0.07) -0.06 ** (0.03) -0.16 ** (0.07) n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Impulsive Behavior No Impulsive Behavior (d) n/a n/a omitted omitted omitted Rare Impulsive Behavior (d) n/a n/a Regular Impulsive Behavior (d) n/a n/a Very Frequent Impulsive Behavior (d) n/a n/a 0.03 (0.03) 0.00 (0.06) -0.09 (0.11) 1’250 -635.99 0.2256 370.54 1’250 -637.03 0.2243 368.47 1’248 -691.95 0.1965 338.49 *** *** *** *** 0.13 *** (0.03) 0.22 *** (0.04) 0.22 *** (0.06) 0.04 (0.14) omitted 0.09 ** (0.05) 0.15 *** (0.04) 0.15 *** (0.05) ** omitted 0.01 (0.07) 0.04 (0.07) 0.13 (0.08) n/a 1’072 -192.72 0.1767 82.73 0.13 *** (0.03) 0.22 *** (0.04) 0.22 *** (0.06) 0.04 (0.14) omitted n/a 1’072 -192.04 0.1796 84.08 omitted 0.01 (0.07) 0.04 (0.07) 0.13 (0.08) n/a N Log Likelihood Pseudo R2 2 LR chi *** omitted n/a 0.04 ** (0.02) 0.04 * (0.02) 0.08 ** (0.03) *** 0.02 (0.06) 0.01 (0.06) 0.02 (0.07) 0.07 (0.05) 0.04 (0.05) 0.07 (0.05) 0.04 ** (0.02) 0.04 * (0.02) 0.08 ** (0.03) *** 0.16 (0.07) 0.21 (0.07) 0.24 (0.07) 0.29 (0.08) 0.24 (0.09) omitted omitted Significant Planning of Fin. Future (d) *** 0.02 (0.06) 0.01 (0.06) 0.02 (0.07) 0.06 (0.05) 0.04 (0.05) 0.07 (0.04) Some Planning of Financial Future (d) ** omitted omitted Little Planning of Financial Future (d) 0.16 (0.07) 0.21 (0.07) 0.24 (0.07) 0.29 (0.08) 0.24 (0.09) 0.05 (0.06) 0.09 (0.06) 0.11 * (0.06) 0.05 (0.06) 0.09 (0.06) 0.11 * (0.06) omitted n/a n/a 0.03 (0.03) 0.00 (0.06) -0.09 (0.11) n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 1’248 -691.67 0.1968 339.04 1’127 -686.07 0.1151 178.47 1’127 -685.85 0.1154 178.89 *** Significant at 1% confidence level, ** Significant at 5% confidence level, * Significant at 10% confidence level Dependent Variable: Financial behavior characteristics as stated above in the form of dummy variables with 0 = no behavior (e.g. no investment portfolio ownership) and 1 = behavior (e.g. investment portfolio ownership). Explanatory Variables: Numbers in brackets are standard errors. (d) stands for dummy (0/1) variable. Household Income is based on ordinal scale with values ranging from 1 (lowest income) to 6 (highest income). The term n/a states that the variable has not been included in the regression analysis. Consumption credit: Wealth category >CHF 1 Mio. != 0 and occupation category unemployed != 0 predicts failure perfectly. Variables have been dropped and 176 (168 resp. 8) observations not used. Sample: A reconciliation of the underlying sample sizes is included in the description of the relevant multivariate linear regression tables in the main body of this thesis. Source: Dataset, authors’ calculations Roman Graf JJ Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Table A20: Selection of Repetitive Surveys Used for Financial Literacy Purposes in Developed Countries Country USA USA USA USA USA USA EU UK Survey University of Michigan Health and Retirement Study (HRS) Jump$tart Coalition Survey National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY) Rand American Life Panel National Financial Capability Survey (excl. State-by-State and Military Survey) Consumer Financial Literacy Survey Survey of Health, Aging and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) Roman Graf Frequency Description Biennial Type: Longitudinal panel study Way: In-depth personal or telephone interviews Sample: >26’000 Americans over the age of 50 years Scope: Nationwide Support: National Institute on Aging and Social Security Administration Launch: 1992 Financial Literacy: First set of FL questions was included in the 2004 HRS and the scope has been extended in 2006 and thereafter. Biennial (since 2000) Type: Cross-sectional study Way: Standardized questionnaire with 31 questions Sample: 6’856 high school seniors from 385 randomly selected schools and 1’030 undergraduate students from US colleges/ universities (2008 survey) Scope: Nationwide Support: More than 150 Jump$tart coalition members comprising of government agencies, non-profit organizations, educational institutions, financial associations and corporations. Funding of surveys: Merrill-Lynch Foundation. Launch: 1997 (in 2008 extended to college students) Financial Literacy: 2008 survey included basic questions covering inflation, taxes, investments (incl. risk considerations), credit cards, debt, retirement income, savings, insurance and general financial matters. 1997 and annual basis thereafter Type: Longitudinal study Way: Hour-long personal interviews of youth and one parent Sample: Approx. 9’000 youth (12-16 years old in 1997) Scope: Nationwide Support: Bureau of Labor Statistics Launch: 1979 resp. 1997 Financial Literacy: The three standard FL questions were included in the wave 11 of the NLSY97 (no longitudinal comparison as only included once). Monthly/ Six Months Type: Longitudinal study Way: Interviews over internet Sample: Approx. 5’000 respondents aged 18 years and older Scope: Nationwide Support: Rand Corporation (non-profit institution) Launch: 1970s Financial Literacy: Used by various researcher in the field of financial literacy such as Fonseca et al., 2012, Yoong, 2010 (no longitudinal comparison as only included once). One-off Type: Cross-sectional study Way: Telephone interviews Sample: Approx. 1'500 US adults Scope: Nationwide Support: FINRA Investor Education Foundation commissioned study in consultation with the US Department of Treasury and the President's Advisory Council on Financial Literacy. Launch: 2009 Financial Literacy: Survey included basic question about inflation, interest, bond prices and risk diversification as well as various sections on financial behavior in terms of credit card usage, mortgage indebtedness, investment and savings behavior etc. Annually Type: Cross-sectional study Way: Telephone interviews Sample: 1’007 adults aged 18 years and older (2012 survey) Scope: Nationwide Support: Survey was prepared for National Foundation for Credit Counseling and The Network Branded Prepaid Card Association Launch: 2007 Financial Literacy: Survey includes questions about budget, bills, debt, savings, spending, credit, mortgages, and personal finances (not exhaustive). Biennial Type: Longitudinal panel study Way: Computer assisted interviews Sample: Approx. 60’000 individuals from aged ≥ 50 years Scope: 20 European countries (incl. Switzerland) Support: Funding from European Commission, US National Institute on Aging, German Federal Ministry of Education and Research and various national sources. Launch: 2004 (SHARE baseline study with eleven countries) Financial Literacy: Focus on aging process from economics, health and social network angles. Biennial Type: Longitudinal panel study Way: Telephone and face-to-face interviews Sample: Approx. 15’000 individuals from aged ≥ 50 years (wave 4) Scope: England Support: Funding from US National Institute on Aging and consortium of UK government. Launch: 2002 Financial Literacy: No financial literacy section but cognitive module. KK Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland DE AUS OECD SAVE Survey ANZ Survey of Adult Financial Literacy in Australia OECD PISA Financial Literacy Assessment Annually Type: Longitudinal study Way: Usually personal inverviews (but also paper questionnaires) Sample: Around 2’250 observations (2009) Scope: Germany (focus on savings behavior) Support: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (German national science foundation) Launch: 2001 (first wave) Financial Literacy: In 2009, the questionnaire has been extended to include a module about financial literacy which covered a respondents' degree of financial and cognitive ability. Approx. Biennial Type: Cross-sectional study Way: Telephone interviews Sample: Approx. 3’500 adults aged 18 years and over (fourth survey, 2011) Scope: Australia Support: ANZ Launch: 2002 Financial Literacy: Survey includes questions about use and understanding of payment and transaction methods, money management, budgeting and planning, transaction products, borrowing and debt, saving, investments and superannuation as well as insurance (not exhaustive). Triennial (PISA) Type: Longitudinal study Way: Questionnaires (together with PISA assessment) Sample: 15 years old students Scope: 65 countries or regions are in PISA, 19 thereof will take part in financial literacy part (Albania, Australia, Belgium (Flemish Community), Brazil, Shanghai-China, Colombia, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, France, Israel, Italy, Latvia, New Zealand, Poland, Slovak Republic, Slovenia, Spain and United States) Support: OECD Launch: 2012 (results will be available in 2013) Financial Literacy: Focus on demonstrating and applying knowledge and skills. Survey consists of 60 minutes of main survey material with 40 items. The content covers (1) Money and transactions, (2) Planning and managing finances, (3) Risk and reward, (4) Financial landscape while scores depend on the following processes: (1) identify financial information, (2) analyze information in a financial context, (3) evaluate financial issues, (4) apply financial knowledge and understanding. Questions cover constructed-response (open questions) and selected-response (multiple choice questions) items. Source: Web-pages of survey providers Roman Graf LL Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Questionnaire (Page 1-2) Roman Graf MM Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Questionnaire (Page 3-4) Roman Graf NN Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Questionnaire (Page 5-6) Roman Graf OO Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Questionnaire (Page 7-8) Roman Graf PP Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland Questionnaire (Page 9) Roman Graf QQ Financial Literacy and Financial Behavior in Switzerland IX Declaration of Authorship " I hereby declare - that I have written this thesis without any help from others and without the use of documents and aids other than those stated above, - that I have mentioned all used sources and that I have cited them correctly according to established academic citation rules." Date and Signature: St. Gallen, August 20, 2012 Roman Graf ……………………………………………… RR