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Don’t Panic! Novartis Still Invested In CAR-T CTL019’s exclusion from Novartis’s future potential blockbuster list has explanation (p3) Data Expert View Opdivo fallout: rivalry in PD-1 market to continue and more trials could mean more surprises (p8) Pharma does not need to make wearables; instead it needs to figure out how best to use the data these technologies can provide (p20) Scrip 19 August 2016 No. 3816 Pharma intelligence | informa Shutterstock: T.Dallas s cripintell ig e n c e .c om Boehringer’s Oncology Strategy: Build From Niche Lung Cancer Base EMILY HAYES [email protected] With Gilotrif sales building over time, private Boehringer Ingelheim turns its focus to broad development program for its third-generation EGFR inhibitor olmutinib, with ambition to become a leader in lung cancer. A s it moves into its next stage of life as an oncology player, Boehringer Ingelheim GMBH is prioritizing lung cancer, with hopes of building a strong franchise upon a base of targeted EGFR drugs – Gilotrif and olmutinib, the third-generation follow-on drug in-licensed from Hanmi Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd. Approval of Boehringer’s Gilotrif/Giotrif (afatinib) in July 2013 for NSCLC with EGFR mutations marked Boehringer’s entry into the oncology market after 20 years of investment and research and development in the space. Gilotrif, a once-daily, irreversible blocker of the ErbB family that specifically inhibits EGFR, HER2 and ErbB4, faced a big commercial challenge from the start, competing with Roche/Astellas Pharma Inc.’s entrenched Tarceva (erlotinib). Furthermore, AstraZeneca PLC’s EGFR inhibitor Iressa (gefitinib) was approved by FDA in June 2015, paving the way for reintroduction into the US market and global approvals. Boehringer had suggested that afatinib might have advantages over others in the class based on the mechanism of action, which is irreversible compared to reversible competitors, but at the time of approval, head-to-head data was not available. It got a boost in January when Boehringer announced that Gilotrif had a modest efficacy advantage compared to Iressa in the Phase II LUX-Lung 7 study in non-squamous NSCLC. Gilotrif received approval for secondline treatment of squamous NSCLC in April, with a modest overall survival benefit compared to chemotherapy, but the market has been shifting toward PD-1 inhibitors like Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.’s Opdivo (nivolumab). NEWCOMER’S PERFORMANCE Boehringer has not publicly released sales figures for afatinib, but Jörg Barth, corporate senior vice president and therapy area head in oncology, commented in an interview that there has been a nice trend toward growth globally and the company presumes based on strong data that this will continue. According to IMS Health Inc., the drug had US sales of about $513,000 in the third quarter of 2013, its first quarter on the market. It estimates US sales of $5.3m for 2013, $73.6 m in 2014 and $114.3m in 2015, with $33.5 m in the first quarter of 2016. In the third quarter of 2015, its US re-launch period, IMS Health data show Iressa had $709,000 in US sales, with yearly sales of $3.2m. In the first quarter of this year, Iressa had sales of about $4.9m. BI is a relative newcomer to the oncology space, and it will take some time beCONTINUED ON PAGE 6 BROUGHT TO YOU BY THE EDITORS OF PHARMASIA NEWS, START-UP AND SCRIP INTELLIGENCE IN THIS ISSUE Continuation of MONARCH 2 study may delay filing and tougher competitive outlook against Pfizer’s Ibrance and Novartis’ ribociclib 13 from the managing editor [email protected] Cast your eyes over the Olympics medal table and you will see something remarkable. Great Britain, as a diplomat friend put it, is “doing quite well.” For now, Team GB is in second place, ahead of China. Amazing considering that in Atlanta ‘96 it ranked 36th. How so this swift rise up the ranks? The answer, it seems, is cold hard cash and a dose of tough love. Since the UK’s humiliation of the late 1990s, National Lottery funding has poured in, but good money is never thrown after bad. If your sport does well, funding is increased. If not, it is cut. Cycling and rowing have struck gold, but basketball lost out and the team failed even to qualify for Rio. It’s a brutal but effective system that works well in drug development too. If it’s gold you’re after, invest hard in core areas and know when to cut your losses. But in both cases there is a risk that rough diamonds in unfashionable fields may get lost. How to capture these assets is the next challenge. Despite the political turmoil, Sanofi appears keen to invest in the manufacturing of an insulin product in Turkey 16 COVER / Boehringer’s Oncology Strategy: Build From Niche Lung Cancer Base 3 Don’t Panic! Novartis Still Invested In CAR-T Despite 2Q Silence 4 Novartis Korea May Face Business Suspension In Rebate Probe 5 Pfizer Sees Bright Long Term Biosimilar Future In China 7 Business Bulletin 8 Opdivo Fallout: Rivalry In PD-1 Market To Continue 10 Medivation Sees Potential For Combinations Out Of Opdivo Failure 11 Allergan Sees Growth From New Launches, Not Big M&A 12 R&D Bites 13 Lilly’s Abemaciclib Hit Leaves It Down But Not Out 14 Another Late-Stage Failure For AstraZeneca’s Selumetinib 14 CAR-T Update: Kite’s Filing Coming Soon 15 Valeant’s New Strategic Direction: Clean Break Or Simply A Paint Job? 16 Pricing Concerns Delaying Sanofi’s Turkey Insulin Investment? 17 Policy & Regulation Briefs exclusive online content Surprise! It’s A Phase III Failure 18 If Egalet Wins At FDA, Arymo ER Still Might Not In Opioid Market 19 Stockwatch: Landscaping Earnings Announcements At Valeant And Endo When Phase III clinical trial failures happen it is a painful blow – to the drug manufacturer, to investors and to patients. Scrip takes a look at some of the biggest Phase III surprises since 2010. http://bit.ly/2bt3bwc 20 Expert View: Wearables: A World Of Pharma Partnership And Potential Partnerships Required For Emerging Infectious Diseases 23 Appointments 22 Pipeline Watch Bringing drugs and vaccines for emerging infectious diseases to the marketplace requires playing the long game and collaborations if efforts are going to be successful. http://bit.ly/2aQZAuj 2 | Scrip intelligence | 19 August 2016 @ s cri pn e w s /s cri pi nte l l i genc e /s cri pi nte l l i g en ce /s cri pi nte l l i genc e © Informa UK Ltd 2016 HEADLINE NEWS Don’t Panic! Novartis Still Invested In CAR-T Despite 2Q Silence Novartis AG’s CAR-T cell therapy CTL019, set to be the first in this class to achieve a US FDA filing, might not be an immediate blockbuster owing to its tricky treatment logistics, small initial indication and a lack of physician and patient exposure, but it is still a game changer in immuno-oncology, says Dr. Oz Azam, Novartis’s head of cell therapies. LUCIE ELLIS [email protected] N ovartis AG’s cell therapy CTL019, a CAR-T (chimeric antigen receptor T-cells) product, caused a stir last month when the big pharma neglected to include the pipeline-leading therapy on a list of its upcoming potential blockbuster drugs during its second-quarter earnings presentation. But Dr. Oz Azam, global head of cell and gene therapies at Novartis, told Scrip this was not a big deal and indeed there were a number of explanations for the medicine’s exclusion. While Azam said he couldn’t comment directly on why Novartis’s senior management team did not include CTL019 on a slide presented to investors last month called ‘11 potential blockbusters in innovative medicines’; he noted the company had previously been very “open about the fact we are filing this product next year and that we see huge potential for it.” He also highlighted that Novartis’“rich pipeline” has plenty of upcoming products to talk about across multiple therapy areas. However, in a discussion with Scrip, Azam highlighted the challenges facing Novartis as it pursues its mission to be first to market with a CAR-T therapy in the US. UNKNOWN PATIENT POPULATION Currently cells therapies are only being used for a modest number of indications, with skin and blood stem cells representing the majority of therapeutic uses – but the pipeline has increased exponentially in recent years. According to Informa Pharma’s Biomedtracker there are 22 CAR-T therapy programs in the pipeline from 16 companies: nine clinical-stage assets and 13 preclinical programs. There are also two clinical programs being led by the National Institutes of Health. Still, companies will remain uncertain on the potential reach of their new therapies until more treatments make it to market, particularly in the oncology space where there are already a growing number of therapeutic immuno-oncology options. If Novartis is first to market with its CAR-T offering, Azam admitted the company was unsure on the extent of its initial uptake because it is an entirely new treatment. “To be very candid, we think there is a sizable opportunity here but I don’t have values and numbers to share with you. We might be treating thousands of patients or tens of thousands of patients. We just don’t know yet,” Azam said. He added that physicians need more exposure for CTL019 or other CAR-T therapies post-approval so they can decide how and when best to use these options. Furthermore, Novartis is initially targeting a third-line use indication for CTL019 in a discrete patient population – pediatric acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL). So judging the number of patients who will ultimately be eligible for CTL019 therapy is tricky. Azam isn’t worried about the future of Novartis CAR-T therapy though: “With such a transformative and powerful therapy it’s okay scripintelligence.com to start with a distinct population first and demonstrate that you have got that right,” he said. Novartis will look at the wider indications following CTL019’s introduction to the US market. “Cell therapy is an important piece of the puzzle for Novartis’s overall oncology strategy,” Azam said. REGULATORY PATHWAY TO BE FORGED Novartis will present its most recent clinical trial data for CTL019 at the American Society of Hematology’s annual meeting in December this year, following on from data presented last year by the company’s development partner on the CAR-T drug, the University of Pennsylvania. The pharma then plans to submit its data package to the FDA in early 2017. However, Azam said the company was aware that any CAR-T therapy seeking approval will be scrutinized by US regulators because of the novel nature of the products and the risks they carry, plus a few recent cases of clinical trial holds on CAR-T drugs due to adverse events. The FDA imposed a clinical hold on a trial forJuno Therapeutics Inc.’s CAR-T therapy candidate JCAR015 in early July in response to three deaths in the study. However, the hold was lifted less than a week later. Juno speculated that the three cases of lethal cerebral edema observed in the Phase II ROCKET study were caused by fludarabine, which was added to cyclophosphamide to prime the immune systems of adults with relapsed or refractory B-cell ALL. The FDA responded quickly to the company’s request to resume enrolling patients in ROCKET as long as the trial’s protocol required pre-conditioning with a cyclophosphamide-only chemotherapy regimen. “The FDA is going to be in a very detailed and data orientated mood when assessing CTL019,” Azam said, “but it should be because this filing may well represent the introduction of a totally new therapy.” He said Novartis was preparing “the best package possible” for CTL019 to reassure regulators it had a full data set, that the company had analyzed the benefit/risk profile of the treatment and that it had all the fundamentals in place for a successful commercial launch in 2017. “It’s not just a scientific and data analysis, the FDA will want to know our treatment will be available once approved and that the service and manufacturing is going to be done to a high standard to meet their guidelines,” Azam said. Novartis has invested in a centralized manufacturing site in Morris Plains, New Jersey, which it believes will fulfil its current needs for providing CTL019 to patients. The Swiss pharma acquired the Morris Plains site for $43m from Dendreon in 2012. It also has access to a manufacturing site in Europe. “Novartis has been doing a CONTINUED ON PAGE 4 19 August 2016 | Scrip intelligence | 3 HEADLINE NEWS Novartis Korea May Face Business Suspension In Rebate Probe Novartis’ South Korean subsidiary could face a business suspension and other administrative measures after prosecutors indicted several employees without detention on charges of illegal rebate payments. JUNG WON SHIN [email protected] S outh Korean prosecutors have indicted six current and former employees of Novartis Korea without detention on charges relating to their alleged involvement in illegal “rebate” payments to doctors in return for prescribing the company’s drugs. According to prosecutors, the South Korean subsidiary of Switzerland-based Novartis AG allegedly paid a total of KRW2.59bn ($2.4m) in rebates to doctors through five pharmaceutical journals and an academic journal publishing firm over the period from January 2011 to around January this year. Prosecutors indicted a total of 34 people, including the head of Novartis Korea and five other current or former company officials, without detention for their alleged participation in the criminal acts. Prosecutors have also asked the Ministry of Health and Welfare and Ministry of Food and Drug Safety to take administrative measures against Novartis Korea, including business suspension, relevant drug price cuts, and reimbursement suspensions. The ministries have also been requested to suspend the licenses of the doctors suspected of receiving rebates from the company. Prosecutors didn’t reveal the specific drugs involved in the alleged rebate payments. THE ALLEGATIONS South Korea has vowed to step up its fight against illegal activities involving rebates (irregular payments in return for favors) said to be rampant in the local pharma industry, as the government aims to raise the industry’s global competitiveness and nurture the sector as an economic growth engine. After the latest probe, prosecutors confirmed that multinational firms - which have been stressing their ethical management - “aren’t free from the temptation of rebate payments.” They have also confirmed that pharma journals are serving as “agencies” for companies’ rebate payments and that doc- 4 | Scrip intelligence | 19 August 2016 tors in university and general hospitals have been receiving rebates. Novartis Korea is said to have indirectly provided rebates to doctors by having the journals and an academic publishing company invite a number of doctors to fine restaurants including hotels to have them discuss Novartis drugs, activities for which a certain amount of money would be paid to the doctors. The journals and publisher essentially served as agencies in exchange for “advertisement” fees. The multinational pharma firm also allegedly provided expenses to doctors to attend overseas conferences as guest reporters for the pharma journals, prosecutors said. NOVARTIS RESPONSE Meanwhile, Novartis Korea said it regrets that some of its employees had violated rules against corporate culture and social expectations for the company and the pharma industry by holding small-scale medical meetings through pharma journals. In addition, it confirmed that some employees had provided support to some medical professionals to attend overseas conferences in a way that violated the Fair Competition Code of the Korea Researchbased Pharma Industry Association (KRPIA), which represents foreign pharma firms operating in the country. But it did not agree that such acts had been conducted with the approval of Novartis Korea’s management, said Novartis Korea. “Novartis doesn’t tolerate illegal activities. Based on our internal probe, we have been taking measures to improve this. We will thoroughly review details of the indictment and consider coming up with followup measures,” it said. Established in 1997, Novartis Korea is the second-largest multinational pharma operating in South Korea, posting KRW455.3bn in sales last year. From the editors of PharmAsia News. Published online 10 August 2016 CONTINUED FROM PAGE 3 lot of planning around this for the last few years, it’s not something you do overnight,” he said. “We have concrete and robust plans to invest and expand our capacity as patient populations mature.” NEW COMMERCIAL MODEL NEEDED As well as planning for manufacturing infrastructures that will be required for the commercial launch of CTL019, Novartis has been preparing a new commercial model for this type of treatment. Unlike a small molecule or biologic product, Azam highlighted that cell therapy treatments were more like “services.” As such, Novartis has been taking lessons from its Alcon Inc. unit, particularly from its device and medtech products, in order to design its commercial model for CTL019. “CTL019 is going to need a service type of model, not a traditional pharma sales model,” Azam noted. “In a device setting, you hand-hold a physician through device training more than you would for a new drug product.” For example, Azam said that practitioners would need to be able to provide a “cell therapy service” to patients. The patients need to be managed throughout the process of harvesting blood cells, those cells being reengineered at a manufacturing site and then reintroduced. Doctors will need to be aware and cautious of possible side effects and patients will need follow-up checks after treatment. CLT019 is Novartis’s focus in the cell and gene therapy space for the rest of 2016, but it has two other pipeline programs: FCR001 for use in renal transplants and HSC835 which is a stem cell transplant program. Azam told Scrip that the company had not ruled out further investment in this unit. “Cell therapy is one of the pillars of Novartis’s immuno-oncology strategy. The company is very active in this space but its CAR-T component is the most real and most mature right now.” Still, as the field develops in size and by the number of targets available, he said Novartis was an agnostic company that would look at broadly at opportunities. “We have some amazing pipeline CAR-Ts but this doesn’t preclude us from looking at other cell and gene therapies in the future. If there is good science we will follow it and that might lead to future business development opportunities,” he said. Published online 8 August 2016 © Informa UK Ltd 2016 HEADLINE NEWS Pfizer Sees Bright Long Term Biosimilar Future In China Despite shorter term general cost pressures and the time needed for approval reviews, Pfizer Inc. sees a strong future for its biosimilar operations in China, as it recorded a solid second quarter performance for its traditional franchises and unveiled a series of new health alliances in this key emerging market. YING HUANG [email protected] P fizer Inc. is betting long in China, where it sees significant market opportunities for its biosimilar business in particular, a potential growth strategy which the US giant highlighted in its recent second quarter earnings call. This key emerging market, where Pfizer made its biggest capital investment in the quarter, contributed double-digit growth in both the cardiovascular and anti-infective franchises. “China continues to perform well, even in the face of some anticipated cost pressures,” John Young, group president for Pfizer Essential Health, noted in the call. “We continue to see some strong volume growth overall. Our business grew around about 11% in the quarter.” Pfizer remains “very positive” about the opportunities for its business in China, Young said, and overall its franchises are growing strongly. “It [the business] is very well-aligned with the priorities of the Chinese government, and we’re working very closely with them to strengthen primary care services and management for chronic diseases, which we believe will do good things for the Chinese healthcare system and for patients, and obviously are very well-aligned with our portfolio as well,” Young noted. China was also a key driver of broader emerging markets performance. “In emerging markets, operational revenue growth of $116m or 4% was driven by legacy Hospira Inc. operations and certain Essential Health products, primarily in China,” Pfizer’s chairman and chief executive officer Ian Read noted in the call. The company did not break out China figures but noted that Legacy Hospira operations contributed $78m across emerging markets in the quarter. NEW STRATEGIC ALLIANCES As part of its effort to align with needs and better help Chinese patients with chronic diseases, Pfizer formed two strategic alliances with local partners in the second quarter. scripintelligence.com In May, it signed a memorandum with the China Cardiovascular Association to form an in-depth and broad collaboration, including high-quality professional competence demonstration exchange programs for cardiology, primary chronic disease management, a primary chest pain center construction project, a cardiovascular health indicators project based on big data management, and the establishment of a volunteer service team. Another strategic partnership was set up with the National Center for Cardiovascular Disease in June, which covers cardiovascular disease prevention policy research and specification establishment, prevention and control technology development, and academic research in disease trends based on big data. Most recently, Pfizer and the Guizhou provincial government signed a major strategic collaboration framework agreement for developing “Big Health” on July 8. The concept of Big Health encompasses a wide range of healthcare industries including pharmaceuticals, healthcare products, medical equipment and healthcare big data. Through the alliance, Pfizer will support the construction of an emergency network system and the establishment of stroke and chest pain centers, as well as exploring the application of big data to establish disease management model. COST PRESSURES? The cost pressures Young alluded to may include new investigations into pricing that are apparently being planned by the regulatory authorities in China. In May, the country’s state-owned newswire China Daily reported that the National Development and Reform Commission, China’s top medicines price regulator, may require more drug companies to provide information under soon to be launched “large-scale and systematic” antitrust investigations into the pharma industry. The planned move comes after Chinese Premier Li Keqiang said during an ex- ecutive meeting of the State Council that healthcare reform had entered a crucial stage, with a reduction in drug prices listed among the key tasks going forward. Pfizer and a number of distribution companies and medical device manufacturers have been summoned to provide data and information, the newswire said, citing sources close to the regulator. BUILDING UP BIOSIMILARS Biosimilars present a very attractive market opportunity for Pfizer in China as it is now the worldwide leader in the sector, the executives said. Last September, Pfizer completed the acquisition of Hospira, a leading provider of injectable drugs and infusion technologies with a strong global presence in biosimilars. However, “In China, whilst we see significant potential from the Hospira portfolio, it will take time to realize that just given by the time of regulatory approval,” Young cautioned. In June, Pfizer announced the investment of $350m to develop a global biotechnology center in the Hangzhou Economic Development Area in China. “This innovative facility will ensure we develop and manufacture the high-quality, affordable biosimilar medicines that have the potential to benefit patients both in China and throughout the world,” Read said. Even though the penetration of biologic medicines generally into China is low compared with most benchmarks internationally, Pfizer believes that post the expiry of any relevant patents in China, there will be significant opportunities, according to Young. The Hangzhou center is expected to be completed in 2018, and the company will work with the China FDA and relevant authorities to bring biosimilar molecules and other products coming out of that facility to the Chinese market as soon as possible after that, he added. From the editors of PharmAsia News. Published online 9 August 2016 19 August 2016 | Scrip intelligence | 5 HEADLINE NEWS Datamonitor Healthcare had been projecting $590m in worldwide sales for Gilotrif in 2016 But lung cancer specialist Howard Jack West commented that use of afatinib after erlotinib in non-squamous NSCLC is “a testament to the tenacity and ignorance of physicians and patients over actual evidence.” West is medical director of the thoracic oncology and genitourinary oncology programs at the Swedish Cancer Institute in Seattle. “There is no compelling evidence to suggest this is a remotely good idea, and I strongly suspect that a trial comparing second-line afatinib to chemo in patients with acquired resistance to erlotinib would be far more favorable for chemotherapy,” he said in an interview. 6 | Scrip intelligence | 19 August 2016 As for afatinib’s approved indications, West notes that the head-to-head data against Iressa in the LUX-Lung 7 study was not widely publicized and, in his opinion, awareness is low, particularly among community oncologists. In late July, the company announced some setbacks in its plans to expand Gilotrif into head and neck cancer. It stopped the LUX-Head & Neck 2 trial in patients with locally advanced head and neck cancer who have no evidence of disease after treatment with chemotherapy and radio- in July 2015 for global markets except for China, Hong Kong and South Korea, where the drug is already approved based on Phase I/II data from the HM-EMSI-101 study. In conjunction with the American Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting in June, the company unveiled a comprehensive pivotal development program for olmutinib called ELUXA, including monotherapy and combination studies. Regulatory filings could start with ELUXA 1, a Phase II trial in EGFR-positive lung cancer with T790 mutations in patients already therapy, as well as the LUX-Head & Neck 4 trial in Asia, based on the advice of an independent data monitoring committee, which determined during a pre-planned interim analysis that it was “highly unlikely” the LUX-Head & Neck 2 trial would show an efficacy advantage for afatinib. The LUXHead & Neck 3 trial in Asian patients with recurrent and/or metastatic head and neck cancer will continue as planned, consistent with the DMC’s recommendation. Datamonitor Healthcare had been projecting $590m in worldwide sales for Gilotrif/Giotrif in 2016, prior to the head & neck failure, rising to almost $1bn in 2023, including new indications. treated with an EGFR inhibitor; the trial has completed enrollment. The other studies, which will kick off this year, include headto head trials against Gilotrif. Shutterstock: Lightspring CONTINUED FROM COVER fore they really see sustained forward momentum there, Datamonitor Healthcare analyst Justin Burns told Scrip. “The next few years will be especially critical for them as their pipeline moves from early-to-mid to a more mid-to-late stage of candidate development,” Burns noted. Based on a March 2016 survey, Kantar Health’s CancerMPact Treatment system suggests that Gilotrif was the first choice for use in second-line non-squamous NSCLC patients with EGFR mutations, but not T790m mutations (not an approved indication), and had a 15% share of the firstline EGFR mutant population. Stephanie Hawthorne, vice president of clinical and scientific assessment at Kantar Health, notes that a subset analysis of the LUX-Lung-3 trial that supported approval showed that Gilotrif was able to confer an overall survival benefit in patients with a specific EGFR mutation (exon 19 deletion, or del19); this is the only randomized data for an EGFR inhibitor showing an OS benefit compared to chemotherapy in this treatment setting and patient population. “It is possible that the utilization that Gilotrif has gained in first-line EGFR mutants represents select use in some del19 patients,” Hawthorne told Scrip. FULL STEAM AHEAD ON OLMUTINIB Boehringer is now very focused on the late-stage development of olmutinib (BI 1482694), a third-generation EGFR inhibitor. The company licensed rights to the drug from Hanmi, where it was named HM61713, HOW TO DIFFERENTIATE? But as with its second-generation Gilotrif, Boehringer is once again playing followthe-leader. AstraZeneca PLC’s Tagrisso (osimertinib) nabbed the first approval for EGFR-positive patients with T790 mutations. Asked how olmutinib will be differentiated from Tagrisso and other third-generation EGFR inhibitors, Boehringer’s Barth commented: “We are still on the learning curve there, at the moment it looks similar [to] Tagrisso but we think there are opportunities over time.” Boehringer notes that it wasn’t initially apparent that Gilotrif would show a survival advantage in EGFR patients with del19 mutations, the specific mutation that helped it differentiate from the other EGFR TKIs. Published online 10 August 2016 © Informa UK Ltd 2016 BUSINESS BULLETIN Valeant’s Dermatology Sales Strategy: Teenage Zits Valeant Pharmaceutical International Inc.’s dermatology business is in trouble. But CEO Joseph Papa said the company is counting on teenagers eager to have clear skin when they return to school in the fall to boost prescriptions of the firm’s acne medicine Solodyn (minocycline). “As many of the teenagers go back to school, that’s an important time period for acne and other parts of the dermatology franchise,” Valeant CEO Joseph Papa told investors and analysts during the company’s Aug. 9 secondquarter earnings conference call. Sales of Valeant’s Solodyn, a tetracycline-class drug indicated to treat inflammatory lesions of non-nodular moderate to severe acne vulgaris in patients 12 years or older, plummeted 74% in the second quarter, compared to a year earlier. Papa noted Valeant has instituted a couponing program for independent pharmacies for the company’s dermatology products, which the firm is hoping will help push sales of its medicines, including Solodyn. [email protected], 10 August 2016 Chi-Med Approaches Inflection Points Hutchison China MediTech Ltd., better known as Chi-Med, is uniquely positioned as a global pharma R&D company based in China, supported by a profitable domestic prescription and OTC drugs business, with listings on both London’s AIM market and Nasdaq. Led for 16 years by British CEO Christian Hogg, the firm counts AstraZeneca PLC and Eli Lilly & Co. as partners and has global ambitions for its R&D pipeline, built around selective kinase inhibitors for cancer and inflammatory indications. Some of those ambitions are approaching key inflection points, with major data publication catalysts expected for four of its candidates by the end of the first quarter of 2017. If all goes according to plan, the firm could be filing its lead product fruquintinib for approval in China, and moving AZ-partnered savolitinib as well as unpartnered scripintelligence.com BMS Reacquisition Bulks Up ASLAN’s Deal Chest Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. is paying Aslan Pharmaceuticals Pte. Ltd. $10m upfront to reacquire at an early stage the Asian rights to a first-in-class oncology molecule it originally licensed to the Singapore-based oncology venture back in 2011. ASLAN will also be eligible for development and regulatory milestones “in excess of” a further $50m, plus royalties on BMS’ future worldwide sales of the drug, ASLAN002 (also known as BMS777607), while the US major will also assume all development and commercialization costs. The new funds will add to the $34m raised through ASLAN’s recent Series C funding, which took the venture’s total to $69m, and provide new capacity for planned licensing deals to bolster ASLAN’s remaining pipeline assets. “We absolutely intend to pursue new agreements and in fact have already been in discussions,” ASLAN CEO Dr. Carl Firth revealed to Scrip. ASLAN originally acquired rights to BMS777607 in China, South Korea, Taiwan, Australia and other selected Asian countries in November 2011 for undisclosed financial terms, with BMS holding on to the drug in the rest of the world as part of the deal. The small molecule acts as an inhibitor of RON and related cMET receptor tyrosine kinases and is currently in Phase II at ASLAN for second-line use in gastric and breast cancer. While these programs have focused on monotherapy use, potential is also seen for combination use with anti-PD1 and other immune checkpoint inhibitors. [email protected], 10 August 2016 epitinib into pivotal studies, all by the middle of next year. The recent amendment to the firm’s co-development deal with AstraZeneca for its c-Met inhibitor savolitinib is indicative of Chi-Med’s desire to step up its investment. It is paying an extra $50m over three years to help fund a Phase III study in c-Met-driven papillary renal cell carcinoma that is expected to start soon, and will get a five percentage point increase in the global (non-China) tiered royalty rate payable on savolitinib sales for all indications, bringing it up to 14-18%. [email protected], 8 August 2016 Diabetes Delivers China Strength For Merck China continued to provide robust double-digit growth in the second quarter for Merck & Co. Inc., and in spite of increased generic and brand name competition for its best sellers including Januvia (sitagliptin) for diabetes, the US firm saw key brands keep growing across emerg- ing markets. In the primary care Januvia franchise, strong double-digit growth in emerging markets and China is going to continue over time, Adam Schechter, executive vice president and president for Global Human Health, predicted during an earnings call. “We really have not gotten National Reimbursement Drug List [NRDL] approval for Januvia in China yet. So once that’s achieved, I think that that represents another opportunity for us for growth of the Januvia franchise outside of the US,” he noted. Inclusion in the list would provide wider reimbursed access through China’s national health insurance schemes for Januvia, which was launched in China in March 2010. In China, the US firm is taking various steps to improve disease awareness and the availability of modern therapies in the diabetes sector. It held the Sixth Incretin Forum in Shenzhen in March, gathering experts to discuss China’s diabetes market and address precise and localized treatment solutions for Chinese patients. [email protected], 10 August 2016 19 August 2016 | Scrip intelligence | 7 HEADLINE NEWS Opdivo Fallout: Rivalry In PD-1 Market To Continue Opdivo’s Phase III disappointment in first-line non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is not the end of the world for BristolMyers Squibb, according to Datamonitor Healthcare analyst Dustin Phan. It also may not be the last surprise in a field with so many contenders and so many ongoing trials, as data from Pharmaprojects shows. LUCIE ELLIS [email protected] B 8 | Scrip intelligence | 19 August 2016 2 Keytruda 1 10 8 1 1 21 4 Opdivo 1 8 15 2 1 27 1 1 Tecentriq ristol-Myers Squibb Co. shocked the market late last week when it announced a Phase III trial exploring its market leading PD-1 inhibitor Opdivo (nivolumab) as a first-line treatment for NSCLC had missed its primary endpoint. However, Datamonitor Healthcare analyst Dustin Phan told Scrip Opdivo will still pose a barrier to market entry for many late-phase pipeline therapies because of its strong uptake as a second-line treatment. Topline data from the pivotal Phase III CheckMate 026 trial revealed that Opdivo failed to meet its primary endpoint of progression-free survival (PFS) in previously untreated NSCLC. Patients in this study were randomized to either Opdivo monotherapy or a physician’s choice platinum-based chemotherapy regimen. All patients were screened for PD-L1 expression, which remains a biomarker with debatable utility. BMS, which has approval for allcomers in second-line NSCLC, used a threshold of just ≥5% for the primary analysis. Opdivo’s low cutoff for PD-L1 expression is likely the most significant contributor to the drug’s negative Phase III efficacy data in the first-line setting, Phan noted in an analysis for Datamonitor Healthcare. There are additional cut-points for PD-L1 levels in CheckMate 026, presumed to be 10%, 20% and 50%, which could easily show efficacy. Merck & Co. Inc.’s first-line NSCLC story for its PD-1 inhibitor Keytruda, KEYNOTE-024, showed PFS and overall survival using a 50% threshold for PD-L1 expression, and the drugs are widely regarded as similar. The high regard for BMS’ drug should help it “remain dominant,” Phan noted. The analyst pointed out that Opdivo’s “blockbuster status across the entire oncology treatment space gives it physician comfort and familiarity that will be difficult to overcome.” BMS reported Opdivo held an 80% share of the PD-1 market and was the firm’s top-seller during the second quarter, with $840m in sales. Opdivo has already secured more approvals than its two major rivals, Merck’s Keytruda (pembrolizumab) and Roche’s PD-L1 inhibitor Tecentriq (atezolizumab), and Opdivo has more active trials ongoing than the two other PD-1/L1 therapies (see chart). According to the Pharmaprojects database there are 26 clinical trial programs ongoing for Opdivo, as well as one preclinical study. Meanwhile, Merck has 20 ongoing clinical programs for Keytruda and one preclinical study and Roche is exploring Tecentriq in 16 clinical and two preclinical programs. With so many competitive studies ongoing in the PD-1/L1 space, it is not unlikely that some produce surprising results – much like Opdivo’s miss in first-line NSCLC – despite the commercial success of these products in other areas or different settings in the same indication. While full data from the CheckMate 026 study have not yet been presented, initial thoughts have put the missed endpoint down to trial design and not lack of response with the drug. The full information could help improve the design of future clinical studies for PD-1/L1 products. 6 3 6 2 18 0 2 4 6 8 10 ApprovedIndications PhaseI 12 14 16 Pre-Registration Preclinical 18 20 22 PhaseIII 24 26 PhaseII Total Source:CitelinePharmaprojects Pharmaprojects Meanwhile, Phan highlighted that Opdivo’s Phase III failure will likely only delay and not prevent the drug’s entry into the first-line NSCLC treatment space, as the ongoing CheckMate 227 trial will also investigate Opdivo plus BMS’s own Yervoy (ipilimumab) as well as Opdivo plus chemotherapy in the first-line setting. “In addition, patients in this study will undergo immunohistochemical testing for PD-L1 expression, so we can expect subgroup analysis that will provide insight into the efficacy of these regimens across PD-L1 expression levels,” he said. Still, combinations featuring Opdivo will have to demonstrate efficacy in both PD-L1-positive and -negative patients, or demonstrate considerably larger survival improvements in PD-L1-positive patients than PD-1 inhibitor monotherapy, if Opdivo is to overcome Keytruda’s first-to-market advantage. Keytruda could achieve a first-line label expansion in 2017. © Informa UK Ltd 2016 HEADLINE NEWS Ongoing Trials For Approved PD-1/L1 Drugs By Indication bladder Phase III DRUG NAME & LEAD COMPANY prostate Phase II KEYTRUDA (PEMBROLIZUMAB) MERCK & CO. peritoneal Phase II DISEASE DISEASE STATUS fallopian tube Phase II melanoma launched ovarian Phase II NSCLC launched pancreatic Phase II head and neck pre-registration solid, unspecified Phase II renal Phase III breast Phase II bladder Phase III lymphoma, non-Hodgkin’s Phase II urethral Phase III colorectal Phase II gastrointestinal, stomach Phase III lymphoma, B-cell Phase II esophageal Phase III leukemia, chronic myelogenous Phase II breast Phase III mesothelioma Phase II myeloma Phase III cervical Phase II colorectal Phase III endometrial Phase II lymphoma, Hodgkin’s Phase III sarcoma, soft tissue Phase II liver Phase III myeloma Phase I endometrial Phase II Infection, hepatitis-C virus Phase I lymphoma, B-cell Phase II leukemia, chronic lymphocytic Preclinical lymphoma, unspecified Phase II TECENTRIQ (ATEZOLIZUMAB) ROCHE solid, unspecified Phase II DISEASE DISEASE STATUS ovarian Phase II bladder launched peritoneal Phase II NSCLC pre-registration fallopian tube Phase II renal Phase III prostate Phase II breast Phase III pancreatic Phase I urethral Phase III leukemia, chronic lymphocytic Preclinical head and neck Phase III OPDIVO (NIVOLUMAB) BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB colorectal Phase III DISEASE DISEASE STATUS lung, small cell Phase III melanoma launched solid, unspecified Phase II NSCLC launched sarcoma, synovial Phase II renal launched sarcoma, lipo Phase II lymphoma, Hodgkin’s launched melanoma Phase I head and neck pre-registration gastrointestinal, stomach Phase I gastrointestinal, stomach Phase III lymphoma, B-cell Phase I esophageal Phase III lymphoma, non-Hodgkin’s Phase I brain Phase III myeloma Phase I lung, small cell Phase III myelodysplastic syndrome Phase I liver Phase III ovarian preclinical squamous cell Phase III prostate preclinical urethral Phase III Opdivo, Keytruda and Tecentriq will continue to battle for market share for the foreseeable future as all three drugs are targeting the same cancer indications. Just looking at ongoing Phase III studies there is a lot of crossover on the indications being targeted scripintelligence.com Source: Citeline Pharmaprojects by BMS, Merck and Roche, including for bladder, stomach, esophageal, urethral, breast, colorectal and liver cancers (see table). However, Merck is the most advanced company with a PD-1 drug targeting myeloma, as it currently has a Phase III program running for this indication. BMS and Roche’s drugs are only in Phase I studies for myeloma. In total, Pharmaprojects lists 63 pipeline PD-1, PD-L1 or PD-L2 drugs, from preclinical to Phase III. Published online 11 August 2016 19 August 2016 | Scrip intelligence | 9 HEADLINE NEWS Medivation Sees Potential For Combinations Out Of Opdivo Failure EMILY HAYES [email protected] Failure of Bristol’s PD-1 inhibitor Opdivo in first-line lung cancer may open doors for combination use with drugs with immuneactivating properties, like prostate cancer drug Xtandi and PARP inhibitor talazoparib. T he disappointing results for Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.’s Checkmate 026 trial are more of a setback for Opdivo than a failure, but with the expectation that the PD-1 inhibitor will need to be used in combination or in patients with higher levels of PD-L1 expression – other companies are seeing opportunity. Medivation Inc. is among those, highlighting the potential for its blockbuster prostate cancer drug Xtandi and PARP inhibitor talazoparib to play a complementary role to immunotherapy during the company’s second-quarter earnings call. Bristol reported on Aug. 5 that Opdivo (nivolumab) monotherapy missed the progression-free survival endpoint in the first-line CheckMate 026 study, looking at patients with at least 5% expression of PD-L1. Merck & Co. Inc. had success in this indication with its competing Keytruda (pembrolizumab), but enrolled patients with 50% or greater expression. ‘PARP inhibition in NSCLC is a less crowded space and we intend to pursue this opportunity’ Even before this failure, the limitations of PD-1 inhibitors have been widely acknowledged. While PD-1 inhibitors have dramatically changed the oncology treatment landscape, typically only 20%-30% get a response. The CheckMate 026 failure further underscored the need to develop other kinds of immunotherapies to improve results. The gaps may open doors for development of Xtandi and talazoparib, both of which could have effects that complement immunotherapy, Medivation suggested during its Aug. 9 call. Medivation reported $330m in US sales for Xtandi for the second quarter. Including sales reported by Astellas Pharma Inc., the drug had a total of $595m for this period. Medivation noted that the drug is on track to be the sixth-best-selling oncology drug in 2016, with $2.8bn in projected sales. The company could see expanded labeling for Xtandi, which is approved in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer, in late October. The supplementary filings are based on the Phase II TERRAIN and STRIVE studies, which tested the drug head to head against bicalutamide. The STRIVE study included non-metastatic as well as metastatic prostate cancer patients. An expansion could be a needed boost. In an Aug. 10 note, Leerink Swann analyst Jeffrey Porges noted the flat, sequential growth for Xtandi in recent quarters. “This quarter marks the third consecutive 10 | Scrip intelligence | 19 August 2016 quarter of 3%-4% organic volume growth for Xtandi in the US, and we do not see any near-term catalysts that could materially increase this steady, low-single digit demand growth rate before the potential label expansion in Q4,” he noted. Meanwhile, hopes are high for talazoparib, which is in a Phase III study of genetically targeted breast cancer. It is also in development for prostate cancer, small cell lung cancer and ovarian cancer. The company is starting five trials in four indications this year and will pursue two more large indications – glioblastoma and non-small cell lung cancer – next year, CEO David Hung told the call. “We’re investing pretty thoroughly in this asset,” the exec added. The poly ADP ribose polymerase (PARP) inhibitor class got a boost with stellar results for Tesaro Inc.’s niraparib in June. Medivation is positioning talazoparib as a drug that is much more potent at trapping PARP than niraparib. IMMUNO-OPPORTUNITIES During the earnings call, Medivation execs played up the immuneactivating potential of Xtandi and agreed with analyst suggestions that the failure of Bristol’s CheckMate 026 study could create new opportunities for drug development. “Clearly the ability to up-regulate PD-L1 is an important feature about this drug. And it could make it really synergistic with [a] PD-1 agent,” Hung said. “We think it would be very interesting to study this in other tumors where PD-1 may have less than stellar results. I think that certainly does open a door.” Prostate cancer is one of the tumor types that has been left untouched by the revolution of PD-1 inhibitors. In the past, PD-1 inhibitors have not been associated with response in prostate cancer. Jennifer Bishop, writing in the journalOncotarget in January 2015, reported significant up-regulation of PD-L1 expression after enzalutamide treatment, the company noted during the call. More recently, Julie Graff of the Oregon Health & Science University and colleagues reported promising initial data from a Phase II study of Xtandi with Merck’s Keytruda in metastatic castrationresistant prostate cancer in Oncotarget on July 12. In the first 10 patients enrolled, three (30%) had a response. A patient with liver metastases was one of the responders and these patients are usually very difficult to treat. Medivation also believes that there is potential for talazoparib in combination with immunotherapy, particularly in NSCLC. PARP inhibitors inhibit DNA damage response, which is thought to be complementary to checkpoint inhibition. AstraZeneca PLC has the only marketed PARP inhibitor – Lynparza (olaparib) – and is studying it in combination with its investigational PD-L1 inhibitor durvalumab on the theory it could prime patients for response. “We do think that PARP inhibition would be very exciting in nonsmall cell lung. And it is one of the indications that we’re targeting. We do think that that space is a little bit less crowded. And we do intend to pursue that opportunity,” Hung said. Published online 11 August 2016 © Informa UK Ltd 2016 HEADLINE NEWS Allergan Sees Growth From New Launches, Not Big M&A MANDY JACKSON [email protected] A llergan PLC has $27.6m in cash after closing the $40.5bn sale of its generics business to Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. and paying down $9.3bn debt, but the company will rely on blockbuster sales gains and recent launches for revenue and earnings growth, not a big acquisition. Allergan PLC has $27.6m in cash after closing the $40.5bn sale of its generics business to Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. and paying down $9.3bn debt, but the company will rely on blockbuster sales gains and recent launches for revenue and earnings growth, not a big acquisition. CEO Brent Saunders stuck with his first quarter earnings message during Allergan’s second quarter conference call on Aug. 8, repeating the drug maker’s plan to buy companies or license products that represent stepping stones on the path to sales growth, rather than pursue large, transformational mergers and acquisitions. The road to rising revenue also will be paved with double-digit growth from Allergan’s key franchises, including Botox (onabotulinumtoxinA) and Restasis (cyclosporine), as well as new products across the company’s core therapeutic areas. Leerink analyst Jason Gerberry pointed out in an Aug. 8 research note that “management’s commentary on the call suggested the company is focusing on its existing business and possible tuck-in deals rather than a larger transformational deal, effectively dismissing media speculation that Allergan may be interested in acquiring or merging with Biogen Inc.” After selling its generic medicines to Teva, which completes Allergan’s transition to a branded product company, Saunders said during the second quarter call that “we are well-positioned to continue to deliver strong results, powered by our ‘Growth Pharma’ model. This model is built around five key elements: top-line growth, with the goal of double-digit growth; category leadership in each of our seven therapeutic areas; customer intimacy; ‘Open Science’ R&D to fuel innovation; and operational excellence.” scripintelligence.com Allergan reported $3.7bn in brandname product revenue for the second quarter, which was a 2% gain versus the same period in 2015, or a 9% gain excluding three big impacts: divested assets, foreign currency exchange rates, and sharply declining sales for Namenda (memantine) immediate-release (IR), which is facing generic competition. Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) dropped over the same time frame by 9% to $3.35. Revenue fell short of analyst consensus of $4bn in sales, but beat EPS expectations of $3.33. Sales for the wrinkle-reducer and migraine headache-reliever Botox rose 14% year-over-year to $719.7m in the second quarter, while sales for the dry eye drug Restasis grew 20.2% to $390.6. However, sales for the former Alzheimer’s disease blockbuster Namenda IR plunged 98.2% to $4.1m while Namenda extended-release (XR) sales fell 18.7% to $166.5m and revenue from Namzaric, a combination of Namenda XR and the Pfizer Inc. drug Aricept (donepezil), totaled $12.8m. In addition to buying back $5bn to $10bn in stock from its shareholders and paying down some of its $33.3bn in debt, Allergan will use the proceeds from the Teva deal and cash flow from product sales to boost sales top-selling assets, support recently launched products, and invest in growth through research and development as well as acquisitions – just not big M&A deals. And the company’s $27.6bn cash balance is set to grow soon, since Allergan also recently agreed to sell its drug distribution business known as Anda Inc. to Teva for $500m. COMMERCIAL CHIEF OPTIMISTIC ABOUT LAUNCHES Chief commercial officer William Meury said Allergan was happy with sales to date from recent launches, but noted investments that are being made to help those products grow and to protect established assets. The number of prescriptions and prescribers for Viberzi (eluxadoline), which is approved to treat irritable bowel syndrome with diarrhea (IBS-D), “are climbing at a high rate consistently week-overweek,” Meury said. Sales growth for Viberzi is similar to the growth rate for Linzess (linaclotide), which was approved in 2012 to treat IBS with constipation (IBS-C) and is marketed in partnership with Ironwood Pharmaceuticals Inc., despite the fact that Viberzi costs almost three times as much as Linzess. Linzess sales increased 37% year-overyear to $155.1m in the second quarter, while Viberzi sales totaled $20.4m for the April-toJune period. Saunders mentioned the difference between Viberzi and Linzess pricing in response to a question about payer pressures on drug costs during Allergan’s second quarter conference call. The CEO noted that payers are willing to negotiate a favorable price for novel, differentiated therapies, but pricing discussions are more difficult in crowded markets. “If there are four drugs launching with relatively similar mechanisms and indications over a 12-month period, pricing dynamics are more challenging than they have been. If you’re launching something like Viberzi, where we can get a price that’s almost three times the price of Linzess, because it’s a one-of-kind and novel mechanism, [discussions are] pretty straightforward,” he said. Payer negotiations are not an issue for Kybella (deoxycholic acid), however, which is approved to reduce the appearance of a double chin. Like Allergan’s Botox Cosmetic product, Kybella is sold by plastic surgeons and dermatologists to cash-paying customers. Net revenue for the chin-thinning drug totaled $12.7m in the second quarter. Published online 9 August 2016 CLICK To read more online: http://bit.ly/2aUjJed 19 August 2016 | Scrip intelligence | 11 R&D BITES Oncolytics Biotech reported less than impressive Phase II NSCLC data for its cancer drug Reolysin (pelareorep) last week – and despite the company’s best attempt to find statistical significant data in subgroup analyses, analysts are not convinced. The Canadian firm reported on Aug. 10 data split by gender from the Phase II IND211 study, which enrolled patients with both non-squamous (adenocarcinoma) and squamous cell histology. Progression-free survival (PFS) was significantly better for female patients in the test arm of the IND211 study (n=20) than for those in the control arm (n=16); median PFS was 5.39 months compared with 3.02 months, respectively (p=0.0201). The company also promoted a “strong evolving trend” towards overall survival benefit for female patients in the test arm. However, no median PFS or p-value was provided by the company for the overall patient population, leaving analysts to contemplate how successful this study actually was. Datamonitor Healthcare analyst Dustin Phan noted that the company’s decision to report statistical analysis across gender lines to achieve statistical significance was “rather odd,” suggesting as it does that “there may not have been an improvement in progression free survival in the overall (male and female) population.” [email protected], 11 August 2016 Advaxis Advances Personalized Cancer Vaccines The struggle for personalized cancer therapies – and the downfall for one high-profile company – has been costly, complicated and time-consuming manufacturing, but one of the potential advantages of Advaxis Inc.’s vaccines targeting patient-specific neoepitopes is a simplified manufacturing process. The Princeton, New Jersey-based company recently entered into a collabo12 | Scrip intelligence | 19 August 2016 Spark Therapeutics Now Targets 2017 For First Retinal Gene Therapy Approval Spark Therapeutics Inc. has announced a slight delay to completing the US submission of what is expected to the first BLA involving a gene therapy for a genetic disease, from the end of 2016 to early in 2017. The company has also released clinical data on a further nine patients treated with its potential gene therapy, voretigene neparvovec (SPK-RPE65) for inherited retinal disease (IRD) caused by mutations in the RPE65 gene, a rare blinding condition, and preliminary data from a Phase I/II study of a potential gene therapy, SPK-9001 for hemophilia B. Voretigene neparvovec is not going to be the first gene therapy to be developed anywhere, as uniQure NV gained an EU approval for the first gene therapy in the Western world, Glybera (alipogene tiparvovec), back in 2012 for the treatment of lipoprotein lipase deficiency. More recently, GlaxoSmithKline PLC gained approval in Europe in May 2016 for Strimvelis, an ex vivo autologous hematopoietic stem cell gene therapy to treat severe combined immunodeficiency due to adenosine deaminase deficiency. Nonetheless, Philadelphia-based Spark has US breakthrough therapy designation for both voretigene neparvovec and SPK-9001 from the FDA, and a deep-pocketed big pharma, Pfizer Inc., as a partner for its hemophilia gene therapy program. Approval of Spark’s groundbreaking ophthalmic therapy could only be a matter of months away. [email protected], 11 August 2016 ration with Amgen Inc. that’s worth $65m up front and up to $475m in milestone fees to develop and commercialize ADXS-NEO, an immunotherapy that’s designed to target the mutations or neoepitopes specific to an individual patient’s tumor cells. The treatments uses live attenuated Listeria monocytogenes (Lm) that are bioengineered to produce and deliver tumor antigens to antigen-presenting cells in order to provoke a T-cell response. [email protected], 11 August 2016 Glucokinase Activation Gets Boost With vTv Phase II Data Shutterstock: Pressmaster Oncolytics’ Subgroup Data Unlikely To Save Reolysin will be developed and manufactured using the same technology underlying Advaxis’s off-the-shelf cancer vaccines. Advaxis CEO Daniel O’Connor told Scrip the company expects to get from tissue sample testing to a two-year supply of vaccine treatments within six weeks for each patient. Advaxis has three vaccines in the clinic in multiple indications, all of which are based on the company’s Lm Technology, which Initial data from the Phase IIb AGATA trial reveal that vTv Therapeutics Inc.’s selective glucokinase activator TTP399 was well tolerated and produced a significant change from baseline in HbA1c levels at six months, the primary endpoint, at the higher dose tested. President and CEO Steve Holcombe declared that the company was “extremely pleased” with the findings and enthusiastic about advancing the product into the next stage of development. However, that will await a partner, although a number of possible partners are in the offing. [email protected], 11 August 2016 © Informa UK Ltd 2016 HEADLINE NEWS Lilly’s Abemaciclib Hit Leaves It Down But Not Out EMILY HAYES [email protected] for the second quarter and is now Pfizer’s top-selling cancer drug. A filing for ribiciclib, which was recently awarded breakthrough therapy designation, is expected by the end of this year. Lilly has been positioning abemaciclib as being best-in-class and has suggested the drug has an advantage when it comes to dosing over Ibrance because it has a milder safety profile and therefore does not require dose interruptions or reductions. Continuation of Phase III MONARCH 2 study, with no early termination for efficacy, may mean a delay in filing and a tougher competitive outlook against Pfizer Inc.’s Ibrance and Novartis AG’s ribociclib. N Shutterstock: sergign ot only does Eli Lilly & Co.’s announcement that its breast cancer drug abemaciclib did not show enough efficacy to terminate the pivotal MONARCH 2 study early throw its filing plans into doubt, it may also dash the commercial prospects for the cyclin-dependent kinase (CDK)4/6 inhibitor, which now seems destined to be third to market. Hopes for an early filing of abemaciclib were dashed on Aug. 10, when Lilly announced that the MONARCH 2 study, which included 669 patients, would continue after a preplanned interim analysis by a data monitoring committee. Final results are due in the first half of 2017. The company said that it “will await further data and continue to work with the FDA to inform its submission plan for single-agent abemaciclib,” based on the single-arm, Phase II MONARCH 1 study. During its second-quarter earnings call, Lilly had affirmed plans to file abemaciclib with FDA in the third quarter using the MONARCH 1 study of the drug as a single agent, following an interim read out from MONARCH 2, which tests the drug in combination with the aromatase inhibitor fulvestrant in women with refractory hormone-receptor positive, HER2-negative locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer. While abemaciclib does have breakthrough therapy designation with the FDA and the agency has accepted single arm data for oncology accelerated approvals, especially when a Phase III trial is ongoing, the application would have been much stronger with a positive interim analysis from MONARCH 2. Lilly’s stock price was trading down by 1.34% to $80.43 on the news and closed at $80.55 (down 1.17%) on Aug. 10. Investors had expected that the MONARCH 2 study would be terminated early for efficacy at the time of the interim analysis. After all, Pfizer Inc.’s Phase III PALOMA-3 study of the first-in-class CDK4/6 inhibitor Ibrance (palbociclib) and Novartis AG’s Phase III MONALEESA-2 study of ribociclib (LEE011) were both terminated early for efficacy. Ibrance won accelerated approval in early 2015 and went on to become a huge success in breast cancer, bringing in $514 in sales scripintelligence.com THIRD TO MARKET Expectations that abemaciclib will be third to market is “secured” by the news that MONARCH 2 study will continue, Bernstein Research analyst Tim Anderson said in an Aug. 10 note. “It is a bit unfair – the threshold for significance is intentionally set high at the interim analysis, and difference in design/accrual/events can easily a cause a strong signal to fall short,” but nevertheless the outcome will raise questions over whether there is a difference in efficacy compared to Ibrance or ribociclib, the analyst observed. In the MONARCH 1 study, the drug demonstrated an objective response rate of 19.7%, but as Anderson pointed out, it “technically missed its endpoint.” The lack of interim data from MONARCH 2 means that MONARCH 1 will have to stand on its own and approvability based on this trial is “borderline,” the analyst concluded. Results from MONARCH 2 are expected in the first half of 2017. “Some may wonder if the news foreshadows a real difference in activity – drawing a link between frequent low grade diarrhea to lowered persistence to compromised activity,” Anderson said, as the side effect had been a concern in the shorter MONARCH 1 that could be exacerbated with the continuation of MONARCH 2. Furthermore, the efficacy of oncology drugs can drop in larger, later-stage trials, so the MONARCH 2 data could disappoint when the trial is complete. Bernstein is forecasting $710m in abemaciclib sales in 2020, assuming “third-to-market status, no real differentiation, and no usage in other tumors like KRAS [mutant] NSCLC (Phase III data in 2018),” Anderson said. But, he added, “if MONARCH 1 leads to early approval in 2017, and if the Phase III program shows a more competitive profile relative to Ibrance, then estimates in 2020 could increase substantially. For now, we maintain our conservative assumptions.” Leerink Swann analyst Seamus Fernandez similarly concluded in an Aug. 10 note that it’s unlikely that the company will be able to file the drug as a monotherapy as planned this year, and that the market opportunity now “becomes even narrower.” BMO Capital Markets analyst Alex Arfaei said that he expects a positive outcome in MONARCH 2 and “conservatively” forecasts a mid-2018 launch. The lack of an early stoppage does “cast some uncertainty over the efficacy of abemaciclib and its competitive profile given that it is significantly behind Pfizer’s Ibrance,” but the first-line MONALESSA-2 study of ribociclib is “not completely comparable to MONARCH 2, which also included patients who received prior endocrine therapy,” Arfaei said. Published online 10 August 2016 19 August 2016 | Scrip intelligence | 13 HEADLINE NEWS Another Late-Stage Failure For AstraZeneca’s Selumetinib ALEX SHIMMINGS [email protected] AstraZeneca PLC’s novel targeted anticancer selumetinib has missed its endpoints in a Phase III study in lung cancer, the second late-stage failure for the product, which last year disappointed in uveal melanoma. T op-line data from the 510-patient Phase III SELECT-1 trial of AstraZeneca PLC’s MEK 1/2 inhibitor failed to show any benefit on the primary endpoint of progression-free survival (PFS) when used in combination with docetaxel chemotherapy for the second-line treatment of patients with KRAS mutation-positive (KRASm) locally advanced or metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). There was also no sign of any benefit on overall survival (OS). This is in contrast to its performance at Phase II in 87 previously treated patients with KRAS-positive NSCLC that found the addition of selumetinib to docetaxel therapy statistically improved PFS and objective response rate. Selumetinib also improved OS to 9.4 months as opposed to 5.2 months seen in patients only treated with docetaxel; however, this result was not statistically significant. “It is disappointing for patients that these results have not been confirmed in Phase III,” commented AstraZeneca’s Sean Bohen, executive vice president, global medicines development and chief medical officer. The SELECT-1 setback seems to spell the end for selumetinib in this indication, with AstraZeneca’s attention now turning to other therapeutic strategies in NSCLC: Bohen said the company remained “committed to further developing treatments in the lung cancer setting, such as our immunotherapy combinations and targeted EGFR treatments.” Indeed the product seems to have got rather lost by the wayside at AstraZeneca,when compared with the development paths for the TKI Tagrisso (osimertinib) and anti-PDL1 product durvalumab. Selumetinib is a highly selective oral inhibitor of MEK1/ 2, which play a critical role in the RAS-ERK pathway, which is activated during cancer growth, including in patients with KRASm NSCLC. This was a unique mechanism of action in NSCLC, but the product did have competition in KRAS+ disease in the form of Eli Lilly & Co.’s investigational CDK4/6 dual inhibitor abemaciclib, and the newer immune targeted products, among other already marketed products. “Selumetinib likely wouldn’t have been a blockbuster in NSCLC, as it would have entered into an increasingly crowded second-line setting and would have had to compete with immunotherapies as well as drugs already like Cyramza [Lilly’s ramucirumab] and Vargatef [Boehringer Ingelheim GMBH ‘s nintedanib]. However, we did have it projected to be the first targeted drug approved for KRAS mutation-positive NSCLC patients. This patient group has historically been difficult to treat, so the approval of selumetinib could have been a significant clinical advancement in NSCLC,” said Datamonitor Healthcare lead analyst Hardik Patel. Failure in the trial comes just after a year since selumetinib flopped at the Phase III stage in its original lead indication, uveal melanoma. AZ had originally planned to file for uveal melanoma in 2015 and later for KRASm NSCLC in 2017. Published online 9 August 2016 CAR-T Update: Kite’s Filing Coming Soon With all eyes on the race to get the autologous cell immunotherapies to market, Kite Pharma Inc. announces it could soon see late-stage data on its lead candidate. EMILY HAYES [email protected] K ite Pharma Inc. a major player in autologous chimeric antigen receptor T-cell (CAR-T) therapies aimed at B-cell malignancies, is expecting late-stage data for its lead candidate, KTE-C19, in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma very soon. The company indicated during its second-quarter earnings call that it will be getting top-line data from the ZUMA-1 study of KTEC19 in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, a pivotal trial, by the end of the third quarter. Kite, Novartis AG and Juno Therapeutics Inc. have been in a race to get competing complex, autologous immunotherapies to market. With high stakes for the personalized medicines, there’s been intense scrutiny on every comment, or absence of comment, from the sponsors. CAR-T therapies have demonstrated impressive efficacy in hematological malignancies, but have largely been relegated to later lines of therapy of B-cell malignancies due to the challenges of targeting, which can result in severe adverse events. 14 | Scrip intelligence | 19 August 2016 David Chang, executive vice president of R&D and chief medical officer, said during an Aug 8 call that the company continues to advance trials of KTE-C19, which are expected to enroll more than 330 patients in 50 sites in the US. The company will maintain its focus on patients with refractory B-cell malignancies with few treatment options, Chang said. Kite is planning a registrational filing by the end of 2016 and 2017 in EU. Chang said that the company also initiated a technology collaboration with UCLA for the development of off-the-shelf, allogeneic T-cell therapies from renewable pluripotent stem cells. Kite said that it is also investigating KTE-C19 in earlier lines of DLBCL and a range of new indications, including follicular lymCLICK phoma and chronic lymphocytic Read full story at: leukemia. http://bit.ly/2b3UZlJ Published online 9 August 2016 © Informa UK Ltd 2016 HEADLINE NEWS Valeant’s New Strategic Direction: Clean Break Or Simply A Paint Job? Trying to get out from under the shadow of ongoing investigations into its pricing and questionable business practices, which have led to its shares diving 90% in the past year, Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc. laid out its strategy for becoming a “new” company. But one analyst questioned whether the changes being made were simply “new paint on the same old shed.” DONNA YOUNG [email protected] I nsisting it was now a “new” company – or at least on its way to becoming one – Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc. on Aug. 9 unveiled plans to reorganize its business, reaffirmed its 2016 full year guidance and vowed to aggressively bring down its $30bn in debt by renegotiating its terms and selling off noncore assets. “We are setting the company on a new path with new strategic imperative, changes to the management team and structure and new business segments and a new direction,” said Valeant CEO Joseph Papa. The company has been plagued by scandals in the past year over significantly hiked up drug prices and its questionable relationship with the specialty pharmacy Philidor Rx Services Inc. “Valeant will be embarking on a new vision and mission,” Papa told investors and analysts during the company’s Aug. 9 second-quarter earnings call. “We want to be a trusted healthcare partner and to improve people’s lives with our healthcare products.” But skeptical Wells Fargo analyst David Maris questioned whether things were really changing with Valeant or if the Canadian drug company was simply putting “new paint on the same old shed.” He concluded Valeant’s new actions were far from enough to change his mind – declaring the company’s business trends were weak, its debt was high, its key management were leaving, congressional and Securities and Exchange Commission investigations were ongoing and the firm remained a “price-driven model in a payer market that has gotten smarter.” But investors were pleased with Valeant’s plan for a turnaround – pushing shares up nearly 26% before closing at $28.16, a gain of $5.74, or 25.4%. Papa, who has been trying to turn things around for Valeant since he was installed as CEO in May – replacing Mike scripintelligence.com Pearson, who was essentially fired by the firm’s board in March but stayed on until a replacement could be found – said the company’s reorganization currently doesn’t involve a name change, although he said it’s “something we’ll always continue to evaluate.” Nonetheless, he said the new Valeant will consist of three reorganized business segments: Bausch & Lomb Inc. ophthalmology products and international business; branded prescription medicines, including dermatology, gastrointestinal and women’s health drugs; and the company’s US diversified products, including the firm’s neurology and generic drugs, its Solta medical aesthetic device systems and its Obagi skin care line. The latter segment, said TD Securities analyst Lennox Gibbs, appears to be earmarked for divestment. Indeed, Papa said Valeant was looking at alternatives for a number of its “noncore businesses and geographies that represent revenue greater than $2bn,” although he said the company thinks it can get up to $8bn, which Gibbs noted would go a long way towards paying down the firm’s $30bn debt. Papa said Valeant has received “indications of interest on these assets and we have engaged respected banks and advisors to assist us in exploring our options.” About a third of the offers that have come in have been unsolicited, he said. Valeant officials noted the company already has taken steps to streamline its portfolio in the second quarter by agreeing to return its European rights to its plaque psoriasis drug brodalumab toAstraZeneca PLC, divest its Synergetics USA OEM business and sell back its rights to its recombinant human C1 esterase inhibitor Ruconest to Pharming NV, which brought in $181m in cash and the potential for up to $329m for in approval and sales milestones. Those actions, said Rodman & Renshaw analyst Raghuram Selvaraju, “constitute logically structured transactions that do not, in our view, impair Valeant’s base business. In our view, Valeant is taking a measured and rational approach to targeted divestitures of non-core businesses,” he said. “We fully intend to make decisions regarding our asset base in the best longterm interest of our shareholders,” Papa said. He said Valeant expects to “simplify the business and reduce our debt through strategic measures and cash generation over the next 12 months to 18 months.” Papa noted that Valeant already had paid $1.29bn towards its permanent debt so far and has completed all 2016 scheduled amortization payments and the payment for the first quarter of 2017. It has about $475m in remaining mandatory term loan amortization for next year, he said. But Papa said that while Valeant continues to be in compliance with its financial maintenance covenants under its bank debt through 2016, “our cushion is not as large as I would like it to be.” So the company is seeking to modify its interest coverage financial maintenance covenant with its lenders and plans to launch an amendment process shortly. “We plan to modify the interest coverage, financial maintenance covenants as well as a couple of other small changes,” explained Linda LaGorga, senior vice president and treasurer at Valeant. “This is all opportunistic and focus on getting us the flexibility to up-size our capital structure. So while the interest coverage financial maintenance covenant is a bit tight right now with additional push, we think we’ll be very comfortable going forward is just able to focus on the strategy of the business and talking about the business.” Published online 9 August 2016 19 August 2016 | Scrip intelligence | 15 HEADLINE NEWS Pricing Concerns Delaying Sanofi’s Turkey Insulin Investment? AHMET SEVINDIK of its diabetes product in Turkey, with the company not yet satisfied over this. The Sanofi executive clearly expressed his opinion at the Frankfurt meeting that prices in the country are “too low” and not sustainable for high-value products. Despite the political turmoil, Sanofi appears keen to invest in the local manufacturing of an insulin product in Turkey if the government “opens the way,” but is holding off over pricing worries. S anofi said at the beginning of this year that it had been negotiating with the Turkish government over the possible local production of one of its insulin preparations, and although there have been no further concrete statements on the move, negotiations are apparently still moving forward despite the political turmoil in the country. The French company last month took some well-known Turkish columnists and journalists to Frankfurt, where one of its major insulin production facilities is located and Turkey country president Fabrizio Guidi gave some further hints about the planned investment. Talking about the economic and social burden that diabetes is placing on Turkey and the expertise and technological superiority of Sanofi in the field of insulin production, he emphasized that the firm does indeed want to increase the local production of valueadded products. Sanofi is ready to invest if the government “opens the way” and the project would include importing an active ingredient from Germany and formulating it into a finished product for local distribution, he said. Shutterstock: Aleksey Klints PROJECT NOT FINALIZED Which specific Sanofi insulin preparation might be manufactured in Turkey is still not clear, and the company has been careful not to give away any details. However, the most obvious candidate would seem to be its long-acting basal product Lantus (insulin glargine). In addition, although Sanofi declared months ago that it was looking for a local partner in the diabetes project - which the government encourages and would prefer as a matter of policy - the company also has the option to stay in-house if no suitable collaborator can be found. When Sanofi acquired Czech generic drug maker Zentiva BV back in 2009, the deal gave it a factory in Lüleburgaz, Turkey, in which the French Group has since invested more than €600m ($665m) and globally has now become its third biggest production facility. The site earlier this year began exporting sterile antibiotic preparations to Japan and there are plans to begin shipments to China and Taiwan, and it may well be able to handle the diabetes product. While Turkey’s Ministry of Health would be very happy with such an investment for the local manufacturing of a high-tech product in line with its policy aims, and would probably be ready to provide purchasing guarantees in return, Guidi referred to the country’s pricing policies as a “road block” making it difficult to move forward at this stage. Downward pressure on prices has emerged as one of the main concerns for the pharma industry in Turkey, being blamed by the major local association last year for adversely affecting profitability and dragging the market into contraction when adjusted for inflation. Given this, it is perhaps not surprising that the Sanofi negotiations have been focusing on the likely pricing 16 | Scrip intelligence | 19 August 2016 POLITICAL FACTORS? Of course, Sanofi’s investment plans were first discussed before the July 15 coup attempt, which despite obvious political tensions nobody really saw coming. A state of emergency is now in place and the situation has sparked serious concerns globally about Turkey’s political and economic stability. Currently, 2,000-3,000 soldiers, prosecutors and judges are in jail and 50,000-60,000 public servants and bureaucrats have been sacked, while the owners of some big companies have been detained because of alleged ties to the religious group, Fethullah Community, held responsible by the government for the attempted coup. When asked whether the uncertainty might have any impact on its planned diabetes manufacturing investment, Sanofi Turkey declined to answer. Several other multinationals have already issued statements stressing their continued belief in the future of Turkey and that investment and business plans are going ahead (even if this might just be lip service), but interestingly, Sanofi hasn’t made any similar declarations so far. At the moment at least, the incumbent government seems to be in control, and for pharma companies Turkey is still a profitable market where they can do business, despite the challenges. Reassurances on pricing will therefore probably open the way to Sanofi’s new investment, barring any unexpected political turns. From the editors of PharmAsia News. Published online 9 August 2016 © Informa UK Ltd 2016 P O L I C Y & R E G U L AT I O N B R I E F S NICE Backs Ticagrelor Use With Aspirin AstraZeneca PLC’s Brilique (ticagrelor) has won initial backing by NICE for use at a lower 60 mg dose and in combination with aspirin by people who have had a heart attack and have completed an initial 12-month treatment period using a higher 90 mg strength of the anti-clotting drug, also with aspirin. The National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) on Aug 12 said it was recommending such patients take ticagrelor 60mg, which costs about £1 per tablet, with aspirin twice a day for up to three years, adding that there should no interruption between treating them at the higher 90mg dose and the lower 60 mg dose. The aim is to reduce their risk of a further heart attack or stroke. Because there are limited data on ticagrelor’s efficacy and safety, particularly the risk of bleeding, beyond three years, the draft guidance does not recommend treatment with ticagrelor beyond that period. Ticagrelor is an oral antagonist of the P2Y12 adenosine diphosphate receptor that inhibits platelet aggregation and thrombus formation in atherosclerotic disease. It won marketing authorization in February 2016 as a continuation therapy at 60mg for the prevention of atherothrombotic events in adult patients with a history of myocardial infarction and a high risk of developing an atherothrombotic event. [email protected], 11 August 2016 NICE Clears Amgen’s Imlygic At Second Attempt Amgen Inc.’s oncolytic virus-based immunotherapy Imlygic (talimogene laherparepvec) has been cleared for use in melanoma patients by the UK’s National Institute for health and Care Excellence (NICE), at the second time of asking. The recommendation in NICE’s final draft guidance came after Amgen put in place a patient access scheme (PAC) in which the drug will be supplied at an undisclosed discount to its current price of £1,670 ($2,166) per scripintelligence.com Daiichi Arbitration Case Bares Trail Of Deception At Ranbaxy Incriminating details in an arbitration order against the former Ranbaxy top brass led by the Singh brothers has put the spotlight back on allegations of misrepresentation of critical information concerning the US Department of Justice (DoJ) and FDA investigations against the Indian company at the time of its takeover by Daiichi Sankyo. The Singh brothers, who have challenged the award, though, have cried foul, questioning the timing of the apparent leak of the “confidential” award ahead of a court hearing. The order, details of which were reported in the local media, suggests that Ranbaxy’s top brass may have been well aware of certain compliance deviations way back in 2004. The Indian Express newspaper reported that a Self Assessment Report (SAR) prepared by Ranbaxy’s then R&D head and presented at a 2004 meeting which had the firm’s top brass in attendance listed over 200 drugs for which the company was alleged to have used fabricated data to get regulatory approvals in several countries. The SAR’s contents were pivotal in the launch of investigations against Ranbaxy by the US authorities, but the Indian firm’s top brass apparently withheld the report leaving the Japanese company in the dark. An industry source well in the know of the past goings on at Ranbaxy, told Scrip that prima facie, going by the report, it appears that the CEO and the board of the Ranbaxy “were complicit in misleading Daiichi Sankyo.” Others, such as an expert with a foreign drug firm, suggested that there was little doubt that at least some directors of the board were made aware of the malpractices, but they chose to be “economical with the truth” for reasons best known to them. [email protected], 11 August 2016 1 ml vial to England’s National Health Service. One vial is used initially followed by a second at three weeks and then every two weeks. It’s the second piece of good news Amgen has received from NICE in recent months. The company’s PCSK9 inhibitor Repatha (evolocumab) was recommended by NICE in June 2016 for use in patients with primary hypercholesterolemia and mixed dyslipidemia, again with a PAC agreed. NICE’s final draft guidance on Imlygic was released Aug. 9 and the final guidance is expected to be published in September. [email protected], 9 August 2016 Heron’s Sustol Faces Competition The long, tormented regulatory journey Heron Therapeutics Inc. has been on over the past nearly seven years with its chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting (CINV) drug Sustol (granisetron) has finally come to a somewhat successful end, with the FDA granting its go-ahead for the product to be marketed in the US, although not for the broad use the company had sought. US regulators said Sustol, a serotonin-3 (5-HT3) receptor antagonist, could be sold as a therapy in combination with other antiemetics to prevent acute and delayed nausea and vomiting associated with initial and repeat courses of moderately emetogenic chemotherapy (MEC) or anthracycline and cyclophosphamide (AC) combination chemotherapy regimens. But the FDA determined Heron had insufficient cisplatin patients in its Phase III trial to include the broader indication of highly emetogenic chemotherapy (HEC) beyond AC in Sustol’s labeling. [email protected], 10 August 2016 19 August 2016 | Scrip intelligence | 17 HEADLINE NEWS If Egalet Wins At FDA, Arymo ER Still Might Not In Opioid Market Potential sales impact of even broadest possible label for oral, intranasal and intravenous abuse remains a question mark given that abuse-deterrent products remain only a small percentage of market. SUE SUTTER [email protected] E galet Corp. is hoping Arymo ER (morphine sulfate extended-release) will garner the broadest abuse-deterrent labeling among long-acting morphine products following a positive FDA advisory committee review. However, the potential sales impact of such a label remains a question mark given the current market dynamics. On Aug. 4, the FDA’s Anesthetic and Analgesic Drug Products and Drug Safety and Risk Management advisory committees voted 18-1 for approval of Egalet’s long-acting opioid for management of pain severe enough to require daily, around-the-clock, long-term opioid treatment and for which alternative treatment options are inadequate. In separate votes, the panel also supported labeling as an abuse-deterrent product by the oral (16-3), nasal (18-1) and intravenous (18-1) routes of abuse. If approved with abuse-deterrent labeling by its Oct. 14 user fee date, Arymo would join six other currently approved extended-release/long-acting opioids, including two morphine sulfate products, with labeling that describes studies conducted to support abuse-deterrent properties pursuant to FDA guidance. POTENTIALLY BROADER LABEL “It’s our hope and expectation that we will achieve abuse-deterrent claims in the label for the intravenous route, oral route and intranasal routes of abuse,” Egalet President and CEO Robert Radie said during a second quarter earnings call that followed the advisory committee meeting. “This would then be the broadest set of claims [relative to] the comparisons of the labels for the other two currently approved abuse-deterrent, extended-release morphine products.” Pfizer Inc.’s Embeda (morphine sulfate/ naltrexone extended-release) was approved in 2009 and added labeling on oral and intranasal abuse deterrence in October 2014. However, Embeda was unavailable for several years. It was withdrawn from the market in March 2011 due to stability issues and ap- 18 | Scrip intelligence | 19 August 2016 proved with a manufacturing supplement in November 2013. Inspirion Delivery Technologies’ Morphabond (morphine sulfate extended-release) was approved in October 2015 with deterrence labeling against the intranasal and intravenous forms of abuse. In its briefing book for the advisory committee meeting, Egalet noted that morphine is the most commonly prescribed ER/LA opioid analgesic, with approximately 6.4m prescriptions filled at outpatient pharmacies in 2015. FEW INROADS FOR DETERRENT PRODUCTS However, abuse-deterrent formulations have made little inroads in this category. During the first four months of 2016, 98.5% of prescriptions filled for morphine extended-release were for products with no abusedeterrent properties, Egalet said, citing IMS Health data. ‘It’s our hope and expectation that we will achieve abuse-deterrent claims in the label for the intravenous route’ The difficulties abuse-deterrent formulations have had in capturing market share is not limited to the morphine category. At a May advisory committee review of the ER/ LA Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy, an industry representative said abuse-deterrent formulations account for approximately 22% of the market share of ER/LA opioids. The bulk of that share is represented by Purdue Pharma LP’s reformulated OxyContin (oxycodone extended-release). The new formulation was approved in 2010 and added deterrence claims for intravenous and intranasal abuse in 2013, which led the FDA to ban generics of the original formulation. The market dynamics raise the question of how much a third labeled route of abuse deterrence for Arymo would help it gain a commercial foothold and how much marketing muscle Egalet will have to put behind the product. SALES FORCE MIGHT EXPAND If approved, Arymo will be detailed by Egalet’s existing sales force. The 71-person team currently details two immediaterelease analgesics: Sprix (ketorolac nasal spray) and Oxaydo (oxycodone). Combined net product sales for the second quarter were $3.5m. Radie said Egalet’s sales force would detail Arymo to the same 11,500 high-decile physicians prescribing pain medications that the company is currently reaching with Sprix and Oxaydo. Egalet is currently evaluating the size and structure of its sales force for the three products, Radie said, predicting the size would probably expand to about 100 with the approval of Arymo. Assuming approval by the user fee goal date, active promotion is expected to begin in the first quarter of 2017. Oxaydo, licensed from Acura Pharmaceuticals Inc., is formulated with an adversive agent intended to make sniffing the drug unpleasant. The drug was approved in June 2011, and labeling includes a description of data from a human intranasal abuse liability study reflecting less drug liking with Oxaydo compared to immediate-release oxycodone. However, the FDA does not consider Oxaydo to carry abuse-deterrent labeling claims pursuant to a guidance document finalized in 2015. Published online 8 August 2016 CLICK To read more online: http://bit.ly/2aU6Jpf © Informa UK Ltd 2016 S T O C K WAT C H Landscaping Earnings Announcements At Valeant And Endo ANDY SMITH Endo, Valeant, Mylan and Perrigo all reported second-quarter results last week. Only maintenance of full-year guidance was needed for stock price outperformance but guidance cuts for all look like just a matter of time. A fter three consecutive quarterly earnings disappointments, including the disastrous first-quarter 2016 report that included such a drastic cut in full-year guidance that its share price fell about 20% on the day, second-quarter expectations for Endo International PLC were not high. In the event, both second-quarter sales and earnings beat analysts’ (recently deforested) consensus estimates and benefitted from that most sporadic of commercial drivers – wholesaler restocking – while full-year guidance was not cut further. The result was a relief rally for Endo’s share price which finished the week up 32.5%, trouncing the NYSE Arca Pharmaceutical Index which finished last week down 0.5%. It wasn’t just me who was left wondering if the management of Endo should be basking in the glow of a 71.5% share price fall in the last year: the title of the analysts from Citigroup’s note was “Absence of a negative. Finally a relatively uneventful quarter.” Between the lines of its earnings announcement, the underlying pressures seem to remain. Endo expects generic price deflation to continue from this year’s 5% decline to double that in 2017. I found myself asking the same rhetorical question as Cowen analysts. “At what point will improved performance lead to significant debt retirement in the face of still large [vaginal] mesh liability payments?” In a reversal of the roles of master and student, Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc. mimicked Endo by not changing its full-year guidance after slashing it twice already this year: in mid-March and then at its delayed first-quarter earnings report (Also see “Valeant’s New Strategic Direction: Clean Break Or Simply A Paint Job?” - Scrip, 9 Aug, 2016.). For once, that was where the similarity between the two companies end- scripintelligence.com ed with Valeant missing analysts’ consensus estimates of sales and earnings by 2% and 5% respectively, with a continuation of the headwinds of the first quarter. In the same way that no further cut in full-year guidance propelled Endo’s share price, Valeant’s rose by over 25% on the day to finish the week up over 13%. With a continuing degradation of its business, Valeant’s shareholders seemed to be distracted by the commentary on its efforts to repay its $31bn debt mountain. While the sale of non-core assets has been mentioned by both Valeant and Endo, I seemed to be the only one who remembered both companies acquiring wall flower assets in which no other acquirer was interested and then cutting R&D and raising prices, transforming them into even less palatable assets. Valeant also discussed transforming its agreement with Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. This resulted in Valeant losing money on most of its prescriptions as Walgreens was paid to dispense Valeant’s branded generic products which were not reimbursed by the patients’ insurers. If Walgreens was a not for profit institution there may be a possibility that it would donate its profits to Valeant or wrangle branded prices out of insurers for Valeant’s products that could easily be substituted by a generic – as its captive pharmacy Philidor Rx Services Inc. was doing until earlier this year – but neither is likely. Even without the reminder that Federal prosecutors are continuing their criminal investigation of Valeant’s relationship with Philidor, there were enough hints in Valeant’s second-quarter earnings commentary to suggest that like Endo, the full-year guidance cuts from earlier this year would not be the last. Valeant disclosed that it was seeking another relaxation on the covenants over its debt. This disclosure should have worried Valeant’s investors more than any other part of its earnings announcement, firstly because like Walgreens, debt holders are not charities and will require a cash compensation for relaxing the covenants. That cash compensation will reduce Valeant’s ability to pay down the principal on its debt. Secondly, of the two components in the interest cover ratio that is part of Valeant’s debt covenants, it is more likely to be lower earnings before interest and tax rather than higher interest that would be cause for concern and lower earnings imply lower sales. This is not the higher sales and earnings for the second half of the year that maintenance of full-year guidance after a slower second-quarter implies. Mylan NV also reported second-quarter results last week, beating analysts’ consensus earnings estimates, a maintenance of full-year guidance but a sales miss driven by US generic price erosion. That was echoed by Impax Laboratories Inc. and Perrigo Co. PLC results where earnings were well below analysts’ expectations and full-year guidance was lowered, in Perrigo’s case for the second time this year driven by (yes, you guessed it) a deteriorating generic pricing environment. The end of August will mark 300 years since the birth of the celebrated landscape designer Capability Brown. Landscape design has been described as the transformation or taming of nature whilst making the outcome look natural. In the same way the absence of full-year guidance cuts in Endo’s and Valeant’s results last week supposedly transformed their investment landscapes from bomb sites into stately homes. However, with the added complication of a foundation of debt to the deteriorating generic pricing and pre-authorization environment, nature will probably reclaim that work fairly quickly. Andy Smith is chief investment officer of Mann Bioinvest. Mann Bioinvest is the investment adviser for the Magna BioPharma Income fund which has no position in the stocks mentioned, unless stated above. Dr Smith gives an investment fund manager’s view on life science companies. He has been lead fund manager for four life science–specific funds, including International Biotechnology Trust and the AXA Framlington Biotech Fund, and was awarded the Technology Fund Manager of the year for 2007. Published online 15 August 2016 19 August 2016 | Scrip intelligence | 19 EXPERT VIEW Wearables: A World Of Pharma Partnership And Potential MELANIE SENIOR Pharma does not need to make wearables. Instead, it needs to figure out how best to use the data that these technologies can provide, how to integrate wearables into product offerings and how to persuade payers to foot the bill. Investment in this field is increasing as the potential of mobile and wearable technologies to transform therapeutic development and healthcare delivery becomes clear. A s the commercial and scientific potential of wearable devices in medicine becomes clearer, not least to slow the competition-driven price slide typically seen in consumer tech, both established technology giants and start-ups are vying for some of the action. This presents pharma firms with new potential partners – and potential competitors – in the likes of Google, Apple, and Samsung as well as in smaller specialists like Empatica and AliveCor. Device makers can be split into five broad categories, encompassing established medical devices players, large software and consumer technology firms, and a range of start-ups and specialists targeting the medical/healthcare market. Pharma does not need to make wearables. Instead, it needs to figure out how best to use the data that these technologies can provide, and how to integrate wearables into product offerings. “Our energy is spent more on making meaning out of the data that wearables are able to generate [rather than on building the tools themselves],” says Pfizer Inc.’s head of clinical innovation Craig Lipset. Makers Of Wearables TYPE OF COMPANY EXAMPLE Established medical devices firms Philips, Medtronic Consumer technology giants Apple, Samsung IT/data companies Google, Qualcomm, Microsoft, IBM Medical technology specialists Mega Electronics Start-ups (healthcare/medical devices) Vital Connect, Empatica, MC10 Start-ups (consumer technology) Withings, Empatica Source: Datamonitor Since most wearable devices are freely available on the consumer market, “whatever we see out there, we buy and try it. We have a cupboard full of wearables. Sometimes I have four or five on together, to test them,” says Kristian Hart-Hansen, chief executive officer of LEO Innovation Lab. “We’re looking at how to incorporate them into our solutions and thinking, but I don’t think we’ll be the people developing them.” A handful of pharma firms have acquired technology partners, preventing competitors from tapping the same technology or approach. In 2015, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. bought smart 20 | Scrip intelligence | 19 August 2016 inhaler firm Gecko Health Innovations, for example, following a similar move by diversified healthcare group Opko Health Inc. Also, AstraZeneca PLC made a small investment in New Zealand-based smart inhaler company Adherium Ltd during 2015, having shortly before announced a long-term commercialization agreement. PHARMA-TECHNOLOGY PARTNERSHIPS Indeed, partnerships are for now the most popular arrangement between biopharma companies and technology firms. Partnerships offer both sides flexibility and ensure that technological innovation can continue freely; in the case of larger tech groups, acquisition is generally not an option in any case. Hence partnerships are proliferating as the potential of mobile and wearable technologies to transform therapeutic development and healthcare delivery becomes clear, and as both sides seek the other’s expertise to make that happen. Biogen has tied up with Google’s Verily, Novartis AG has deals with Microsoft and Qualcomm, and Pfizer has joined forces with IBM to use remote monitoring devices to investigate Parkinson’s disease. Meanwhile, other firms are experimenting in focused areas with smaller players like MC10 or Vital Connect. Technology firms seeking to penetrate the healthcare market also require input from clinicians and drug developers. “We give device makers lots of feedback on what we think their products should be able to do,” says Mike Capone, chief operating officer at clinical trial solutions provider Medidata. “We have met with Apple extensively,” echoes Adriana Karaboutis, executive vice-president of technology and business solutions at Biogen. “They’re trying to understand our requirements for, as an example, what might be required for tremor or voice tests in Alzheimer’s or Parkinson’s. We’re working informally to help give them insights into what we’re looking for.” APPLE: AN EMERGING HEALTHCARE COMPETITOR Apple’s ubiquitous iPhone and the newer Apple Watch are rapidly making this corporate giant a healthcare player in its own right. Apple has made no secret of its intention to break into the sector and become a centerpiece of mobile health data collection and presentation. Its HealthKit platform aggregates and presents consumers’ health data from across a variety of clinical apps and devices (including non-Apple ones). Additionally, ResearchKit, launched in March 2015, is an open-source software framework designed to enable scientists and medical researchers to build apps that can easily gather health data from Apple devices (and other gadgets connected via HealthKit) that may be spread nationwide or beyond. The newest software addition, CareKit, is smaller-scale: it allows developers to build healthcare apps that gather individual health data for personal use or for sharing with physicians or provider networks. Apple is also building its relationships with key healthcare stakeholders: it is reported to have had regular talks with the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and other regulators, and has tied © Informa UK Ltd 2016 EXPERT VIEW up with the likes of Epic, the largest vendor of electronic health records. The Apple Watch, launched in early 2015 and with an estimated 5–10 million quarterly sales, is Apple’s first wearable offering: the watch tracks heart rate, activity data (including whether you are standing or sitting), and collates information from a growing suite of other health and fitness apps and devices keen to be associated with the popular brand. The watch also provides an attractively large, ready-made customer base for multiple health-related accessories, including many seeking clinical application. The Kardia Band, designed as a strap for the Apple Watch by San Francisco-based medtech start-up AliveCor Inc. provides an electrocardiogram reading from a thumb pad, and generates detailed heart rhythm data that can be used to help patients detect episodes of atrial fibrillation. The device is pending 510k FDA clearance. Other apps on the Apple Watch help you remember to drink enough water, move around, eat healthily, and take your medication properly. Google has also joined the health wearables bandwagon. It has already licensed its blood glucose-testing contact lens technology to Novartis, and has developed a wristband to track heart rate, temperature, and other external variables like light and noise, which it intends to have licensed as a medical device for use in clinical trials or as part of physician-prescribed regimens. FOSTERING AND FUNDING DIGITAL HEALTH INNOVATION Another way for pharma to embrace technology is by fostering entrepreneurial, innovative health-tech start-ups – just as several Big Pharma companies have done to ignite creative drug discovery. In 2015, Danish dermatology group Leo Pharma AS launched LEO Innovation Lab, a series of units across Europe and North America focused on developing apps, digital platforms, and other initiatives to better meet the needs of people living with chronic skin diseases. “Wearables…are driving a lot of innovation within the pharmaceutical-digital space,” enthuses Kristian Hart-Hansen. LEO Pharma is also, since January 2016, investing in health-tech focused start-ups seeking novel solutions for psoriasis sufferers, by way of the newly created LEO Ventures. Pharmaceutical firms have long been investing in health technology: Merck & Co. Inc.’s $500m Global Health Innovation Fund has supported over 20 digital health companies since 2010, although few if any appear to be developing wearables. Bayer AG’s Grants4Apps program attracts digital health start-ups for funding, office space, and mentoring in exchange for innovative ideas across digital health, including wearables. “It’s a great way to bring digital expertise into the Bayer community,” says Bayer’s digital development head Jessica Federer about the program. One of the start-ups Bayer has chosen to support in its Grants4Apps Accelerator program is FabUlyzer, which is a wearable nano-sensor device that, when breathed or blown on, measures how much fat is burned during exercise. DIGITAL HEALTH INVESTMENTS Pharma’s foray into wearable technologies is happening as part of its broader drive to embrace digital technologies and patient-centricity. Most have brought on technology expertise to help both R&D and commercial teams understand and exploit new opportunities. scripintelligence.com GlaxoSmithKline PLC recently formalized a multi-disciplinary innovation unit whose mission is to modernize clinical trials using digital technologies; the Clinical Innovation and Digital Platforms group has a dedicated team and budget to ensure that initiatives move beyond experimental pilots toward more widespread application. Bayer’s digital development head Jessica Federer was appointed in July 2014 to take the entire organization digital, across all its divisions, thereby helping foster closer integration between the various segments (pharmaceuticals, crop sciences, and consumer) as well. Novartis has set up a digital medicines team to think about how to use beyond-the-pill technologies to improve outcomes, and has a digital development group within the team to look specifically at how to bring new technologies into the R&D organization. Many in the team are technologists with high scientific aptitude, often from the venture capitalist community. “We’re looking at how to absorb these technologies into regular operations, and to scale them up,” explains Vas Narasimhan, global head of drug development and chief medical officer at Novartis. “That’s how they can substantially improve the efficiency of the whole process.” He’s referring to technologies across the board, including software linking to searchable electronic health records to help identify trial patients, e-consent systems, and data entry, as well as telemedicine and wearables to allow virtual trials. Integrating wearables systematically across an R&D organization requires not just testing the wearables themselves, but an entire infrastructure of people, process, and technology. “Over the last 2–3 years, we’ve made specific investments…to use these novel data capture instruments in a more consistent manner,” explains Pfizer’s Craig Lipset. That includes making sure that they are understood by, and accessible to, all study teams, that they generate meaningful data that impact development, and that the data interfaces are optimized for the patient experience. It means ensuring compliant usage, and an understanding of patient preferences. It also means changing the approach to running trials and generating data. “It’s not just about strapping wearables on patients in [an] existing study setup. You need a different approach,” insists Lipset. Neither Lipset nor Narasimhan, like most of their counterparts at other pharma companies, will quantify how much they are investing in digital technologies and related expertise. But Novartis’s Narasimhan is clear on the timeframe for returns. “We’ve bet ourselves that within five years we’ll see a step change in R&D efficacy,” he says, “though we’re still trying to dimensionalize it.” As the technologies scale up, he expects quality to improve first, with efficiency and cost gains coming later. It is still too early to identify a common investment approach. Bayer’s Federer says only that the group’s digital transformation should not cost a lot of money, but instead take advantage of existing expertise. The Grants4Apps program, fostering and supporting innovative health-tech start-ups onsite to bring in creativity and opportunities for cross-pollination, is not a big-budget item: each group gets €50,000. This article is part of a Datamonitor Healthcare report: Wearables are Transforming R&D and Care Delivery. The full report is available online. Published online 8 August 2016 19 August 2016 | Scrip intelligence | 21 P I P E L I N E WAT C H Scrip’s weekly Pipeline Watch tabulates the most recently reported late-stage clinical trial and regulatory developments from the more than 10,000 drug candidates currently under active research worldwide. CLICK Visit scrip intelligence.com for the entire pipeline with added commentary. Late-stage clinical developments for the week 5–11 August 2016 LEAD COMPANY PARTNER COMPANY DRUG INDICATION MARKET Heron Therapeutics Inc. – Sustol (granisetron) extendedrelease sc injection chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting Takeda Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd. – Ninlaro (ixazomib) capsules multiple myeloma Xydalba (dalbavancin) skin and skin structure infections Jardiance (empagliflozin) CV death reduction in type 2 diabetes – Keytruda (pembrolizumab) head and neck squamous cell carcinoma US Merck & Co Samsung Bioepis Co. Ltd. biosimilar insulin glargine (MK-1293) type 1 and 2 diabetes US Eisai Co. Ltd. – Halaven (eribulin) breast cancer Marathon Pharmaceuticals LLC – deflazacort Duchenne muscular dystrophy US – Aristada (aripiprazole lauroxil) Inj. schizophrenia US – masitinib amyotrophic lateral sclerosis EU – biosimilar pegfilgrastim (CHS-1701) neutropenia US Seroquel XR (quetiapine fumarate) extended-release tablets bipolar depression – deflazacort Duchenne muscular dystrophy US Ascendis Pharma AS – TransCon Growth Hormone (long acting and unmodified) pediatric growth deficiency – Kissei Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd. JCR Pharmaceuticals Co. Ltd. biosimilar darbepoetin alfa (JR-131) renal anemia – vadadustat anemia in chronic kidney disease – – PRO 140 HIV/AIDS – – Vonvendi (von Willebrand factor) von Willebrand disease US REGULATORY APPROVAL US Canada SUPPLEMENTAL REGULATORY APPROVAL Cardiome Pharma Corp. Allergan PLC Boehringer Ingelheim (Canada) Ltd. Eli Lilly Canada Inc. EU Canada ACCELERATED/CONDITIONAL APPROVAL Merck & Co. Inc. REGULATORY FILING ACCEPTED China SUPPLEMENTAL REGULATORY FILING ACCEPTED Alkermes PLC ORPHAN DRUG DESIGNATION AB Science REGULATORY FILING Coherus BioSciences Inc. SUPPLEMENTAL REGULATORY FILING Astellas Pharma Inc. AstraZeneca PLC Japan PRIORITY REVIEW Marathon Pharmaceuticals LC PHASE III TRIAL INITIATION Akebia Therapeutics Inc. CytoDyn Inc. Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma Corp. PRODUCT LAUNCH Shire PLC Source: Biomedtracker 22 | Scrip intelligence | 19 August 2016 © Informa UK Ltd 2016 APPOINTMENTS Biotech company REGENXBIO Inc. has appointed Daniel J. Abdun-Nabi to its board of directors – effective Aug. 5, 2016. Abdun-Nabi was president and CEO of Emergent BioSolutions Inc. since 2012 and has held various leadership positions at the company since he joined in 2004, including chief operating officer and general counsel. Prior to this, he was general counsel of IGEN International Inc., and senior vice president, legal affairs, general counsel and secretary at North American Vaccine Inc. Andrew Hirsch is joining Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc. as chief financial officer (CFO) – effective Sept. 19, 2016. With over 20 years’ experience in strategic and operating roles in the biotech sector, Hirsch was recently president and CEO of BIND Therapeutics. Hirsch also held various other leadership positions at BIND including chief operating officer and CFO and prior to this he was CFO at Avila Therapeutics until its acquisitions by Celgene. Hirsch was also vice president of corporate strategy and M&A and program executive for the Tecfidera development team at Biogen. Arena Pharmaceuticals Inc. has appointed Vincent Aurentz executive vice president and chief business officer. Au- rentz carries more than 27 years’ experience in the pharma and biotech sector and prior to Arena, he was chief business officer for Epirus Biopharmaceuticals. Previously to this, he was president of HemoShear Therapeutics and before this, he was executive vice president and member of the executive management board at Merck KGaA. Aurentz is also a former executive vice president at Quintiles. Wilson Therapeutics has appointed Vincent Metzler vice president commercial planning & launch strategy. Metzler is a senior marketing and commercial operations executive with 16 years’ experience in the pharma and biotech industries He most recently was senior director marketing at Alexion and before this he held various sales and marketing positions at Miltenyi Biotec, Roche and Amgen. Olivier Litzka, partner at Edmond de Rothschild Investment Partners (EdRIP) and member of the supervisory board of Probiodrug AG, will step down from his board position as of Sept. 12, 2016. Chief business officer Mark Booth will also be leaving the company Aug. 15, 2015 with CEO of Probiodrug Konrad Glund taking over his responsibilities. BioLineRx Ltd. has appointed Phillip A. Serlin CEO of BioLineRx and will be succeeding Kinneret Savitsky – effective Oct. 10, 2016. Savitsky will serve as scientific advisor to the company until March 2017. Serlin joined the company in 2009 as chief financial and operating officer and previously was chief financial and operating officer of Kayote Networks Ltd. Celldex Therapeutics Inc. has promoted Elizabeth Crowley to the newly created position of senior vice president, chief product development officer. Crowley was previously senior vice president of product development of Celldex and joined the company in 2009 as vice president, clinical development. Prior to this she held various senior level roles at CuraGen Corporation, most recently serving as the vice president of development operations. Recordati has appointed Alberto Recordati chair of its board of directors and Andrea Recordati vice chair and CEO following the death of its chair and CEO, Giovanni Recordati. Giovanni had been CEO of the company since 1990 and chair of its board since 1999. Andrea, who has been chief operating officer since 2013, has been given the powers for the ordinary and extraordinary management of the company. 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