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High Risk Groups for SCD Population Size SCD Percent / Year Total SCD / Year High Coronary Risk Post M I Heart Failure/ E F < 35%) Syncope / Heart Disease Previous VF / VT 0 1 2 5 10 (millions) 20 0 1 2 5 10 20 50 (percent) 0 50 100 200 (thousands) 300 Impact of F-U Time on NNT 20 17 17 14 14 9 5 3 MUSTT 2Y. 5Y. 5 10 4 MADIT 1 2Y. 11 3Y. AVID 2Y. 3Y. MADIT 2 2Y. 3Y. COMPANION SCD-HeFT 1Y. 2Y. 2Y. 5Y. U-Shaped Curve for ICD Efficacy Goldenberg et al. J. Am. Coll. Cardiol. 2008;51;288-296 Of a total of 714 SCD cases (annual incidence 54 per 100,000), LV function was assessed in 121 (17%) The LVEF was severely reduced in 36 patients (30%), mildly to moderately reduced in 27(22%), and normal in 58 (48%). J Am Coll Cardiol 2006;47:1161– 6 TVNS Katritsis DG, Camm L, European Heart Journal 2004 25, 1093-1099 Measurement of TWA with CH-2000 • 21 elettrodi, 14 standard e 7 speciali. Adaptive cancellation reduces noise due to patient movement Valt Valt Even Beats Mean Odd Beats Elevato Valore Predittivo Negativo (97% al follow-up di 21 mesi) Basso Valore Predittivo Positivo (19% al follow-up di 21 mesi) Calo’ et al. IN PRESS (J Am Coll Cardiol 2009;53:471–9) - 48 pazienti con CAD ed indicazione a SEF - ceMRI entro 32±6 giorni dal SEF - “infarct surface area” e “infarct mass” hanno identificato, meglio della FE, i pazienti con substrato aritmico (TV monomorfa) JACC 2005;45:1104-8. 101 DCM pts with the presence or absence of midwall fibrosis followed up prospectively for 658 ± 355 days for events J Am Coll Cardiol 2006;48:1977– 85 Binary logistic regression analysis comparing the extent of late enhancement (%LGE), left ventricular endsystolic volume (LVESV), left ventricular end-diastolic volume (LVEDV), and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) as predictors of death or hospitalization. There was a strong association between %LGE and outcome, and %LGE was the sole significant predictor of the primary end point (odds ratio 1.12, 95% confidence interval 1.03 to 1.24, p = 0.02). Different morphologies of fQRS The fQRS included various RSR’ patterns with or without the Q wave and was defined by the presence of an additional R wave (R’ prime), or notching in nadir of the S wave, notching of R wave, or the presence of more than one R prime (fragmentation) in two contiguous leads corresponding to a major coronary artery territory. Effects of recording site and filtering on f-QRS. Kaplan-Meier analysis showing major cardiac events in patients with fragmented QRS (fQRS group) and without fragmented QRS (non-fQRS group). Average follow up was 57±23 months JACC 2000 NEJM 2003 31 pts (30.8 ± 7 yrs) who fulfilled the criteria of the Task Force for ARVC/D diagnosis after noninvasive clinical evaluation underwent RV electroanatomic voltage mapping and endomyocardial biopsy to validate the diagnosis 20 pts (group A; 65%) had an abnormal RV electroanatomic voltage mapping showing 1 area with low-voltage values (<0.5 mV), surrounded by a border zone (0.5 to 1.5 mV) that transitioned into normal myocardium (> 1.5 mV). Circulation 2005;111:3042-3050 Pts from group B had sporadic disease and histopathological evidence of inflammatory cardiomyopathy (P < 0.0001). 11 pts (55%) with electroanatomic low-voltage regions received an ICD because of life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias, whereas all but 1 pt with a normal voltage map remained stable on antiarrhythmic drug therapy (P = 0.02). Three-dimensional electroanatomic voltage mapping enhanced accuracy for diagnosing ARVC/D (1) by demonstrating low-voltage areas that were associated with fibrofatty myocardial replacement (2) by identifying a subset of patients who fulfilled ESC/ISFC Task Force diagnostic criteria but showed a preserved electrogram voltage, an inflammatory cardiomyopathy mimicking ARVC/D, and a better arrhythmic outcome. Priori Circulation 2002 Brugada Circulation 2003