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Journal of Geodynamics 54 (2012) 43–54 Contents lists available at SciVerse ScienceDirect Journal of Geodynamics journal homepage: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jog Review Geoneutrinos and the energy budget of the Earth Jean-Claude Mareschal a,∗ , Claude Jaupart b , Catherine Phaneuf a , Claire Perry a a b GEOTOP, University of Quebec at Montreal, POB 8888, sta. Downtown, Montreal, Canada H3C3P8 Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, 1, rue Jussieu – 75238 Paris Cedex 05, France a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 4 July 2011 Received in revised form 19 October 2011 Accepted 20 October 2011 Available online xxx Keywords: Heat flow Heat generation Energy budget Bulk silicate Earth Urey number Core cooling Mantle cooling a b s t r a c t The total energy loss of the Earth is well constrained by heat flux measurements on land, the plate cooling model for the oceans, and the buoyancy flux of hotspots. It amounts to 46 ± 2 TW. The main sources that balance the total energy loss are the radioactivity of the Earth’s crust and mantle, the secular cooling of the Earth’s mantle, and the energy loss from the core. Only the crustal radioactivity is well constrained. The uncertainty on each of the other components is larger than the uncertainty of the total heat loss. The mantle energy budget cannot be balanced by adding the best estimates of mantle radioactivity, secular cooling of the mantle, and heat flux from the core. Neutrino observatories in deep underground mines can detect antineutrinos emitted by the radioactivity of U and Th. Provided that the crustal contribution to the geoneutrino flux can be very precisely calculated, it will be possible to put robust constraints on mantle radioactivity and its contribution to the Earth’s energy budget. Equally strong constraints could be obtained from a deep ocean observatory without the need of crustal correction. In the future, it may become possible to obtain directional information on the geoneutrino flux and to resolve radial variations in concentration of heat producing elements in the mantle. © 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Contents 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . The total heat loss of the Earth . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.1. Continental heat flow . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.2. Oceanic heat flow . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.2.1. Young sea floor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.2.2. Old sea floor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.2.3. Bathymetry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.2.4. Age distribution of the sea floor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.2.5. Hot spots . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . The main sources of energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.1. Heat producing elements in bulk silicate Earth . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.1.1. Crustal heat production . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.1.2. Mantle heat production: Urey number . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.2. Heat flow from the core . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.3. Secular cooling of the mantle . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Determining U and Th with geoneutrinos . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.1. Neutrino detectors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.2. Oscillations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.3. Mantle heat producing elements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.4. Crustal contribution to geoneutrino flux . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.5. Directional information . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Preliminary results and future studies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Acknowledgements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ∗ Corresponding author. Tel.: +1 515 987 3000x6864; fax: +1 514 987 3635. E-mail address: [email protected] (J.-C. Mareschal). 0264-3707/$ – see front matter © 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.jog.2011.10.005 44 44 44 44 44 45 45 45 46 46 46 47 47 47 48 48 48 49 49 49 51 52 53 53 44 J.-C. Mareschal et al. / Journal of Geodynamics 54 (2012) 43–54 1. Introduction 400 Heat flux (mW m −2 ) 350 Balancing the energy budget of the Earth has proved to be a very difficult exercise. The total energy loss of the Earth can be calculated from heat flux measurements on land and from the cooling plate model on the sea floor. This loss has to be balanced against all the heat sources and the secular cooling of the Earth. The main energy source is the decay of radioactive elements in the Earth’s crust and mantle. The latter one is not directly measured. All the other sources of energy are small: when added together, they represent less than the uncertainty on the energy budget. It is useful to consider separately the radioactivity of the crust which is well constrained by heat flux measurements combined with numerous determinations of heat production in rock samples from that of the mantle which must be inferred from different models. Another reason for separating the crustal and mantle contributions is that crustal radioactivity does not provide energy to maintain convection in the mantle. As far as the secular cooling is concerned it is useful to separately consider the cooling of the core from that of the mantle. Both can be estimated independently. The total energy loss of the Earth is well constrained but, except for the crustal heat production, there has been no direct observation to date that allows us to evaluate the different components that enter in the Earth energy budget. It had been suggested for some time that the radioactivity of the Earth’s deep interior could be directly determined from the observation of neutrinos (Eder, 1966; Marx, 1969; Avilez et al., 1981; Krauss et al., 1984; Kobayashi and Fukao, 1991). With the recent development of neutrino detectors, this so far tantalizing objective seems within reach (Raghavan et al., 1998; Rothschild et al., 1998), and several observatories have now reported detecting geoneutrinos Kamland collaboration (Araki, T. and 86 collaborators), 2005; Enomoto et al., 2007; Borexino collaboration group (Bellini and 89 collaborators), 2010; Kamland collaboration (Gando, A. and 65 collaborators), 2011. 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 Age (My) Fig. 1. Observed and predicted oceanic heat flux as a function of sea floor age. The dotted line is the predicted heat flux for the half space cooling model. The average observed heat flux (±one standard deviation) within different age groups is shown by continuous (thin) lines. Data from Stein and Stein (1994). integrate the product of heat flux times the areal age distribution for continental crust. It gives a value for the continental heat loss of about 14 TW, almost identical to that obtained by the area weighted average (Pollack et al., 1993). 2.2. Oceanic heat flow The sea floor spreading hypothesis implies that the oceanic lithosphere is hot when it forms at the mid-oceanic ridges and cools as it moves away from the spreading centers. Half-space or plate cooling models can be used to calculate the energy loss through the sea floor. These models differ slightly in their boundary conditions but their predictions are almost identical for young sea floor ages. For a half-space cooling model, the temperature T varies with depth z and distance x to the spreading center as: z 2 v z 2. The total heat loss of the Earth T (x, z) = Tm erf We shall briefly recall how the total energy loss of the Earth has been determined. The heat loss has been calculated by many authors (e.g., Sclater et al., 1980; Pollack et al., 1993; Jaupart et al., 2007) and we shall follow their approach. with Tm the temperature at the spreading center, v the half spreading rate, = x/v the age of the sea floor. The surface heat flux can be calculated directly as: 2.1. Continental heat flow To estimate the continental heat flux, we have used a data base containing more than 18,000 heat flux measurements from the continents and their margins. This number includes many additions to the data in the compilation by Pollack et al. (1993). The measurements are very unevenly distributed geographically with the majority of the data coming from Eurasia and North America. Two large continents, Antarctica and Greenland, remain largely unsampled. The raw average of all continental heat flux values is 85.2 mW m−2 . This value is biased because the data set includes many data collected for geothermal exploration in anomalously hot regions. The bias is made evident when data from the USA and the rest of the world are analyzed separately: the raw average is 112.4 mW m−2 for the USA vs. 80.7 mW m−2 for the rest of the world. One way to remove the bias is by area-weighting: i.e., estimating the average over sufficiently large windows (1◦ × 1◦ ), and then taking the average of all the windows. It yields an average heat flux for all the continents of ≈66 mW m−2 . Multiplying by the continental surface area of 210 × 106 km2 gives 13.9 TW for the total energy loss through the continents (Jaupart et al., 2007). An alternative method to calculate continental heat loss is to bin the data by “age”, determine the average heat flux for each age group, x Tm Q () = √ = CQ −1/2 = Tm erf √ 2 (1) (2) where CQ depends on the temperature of the magma ascending at the sea floor, and on the thermal properties (thermal diffusivity and conductivity) of the cooling lithosphere. In order to compare the oceanic heat flux measurements with the model, data have been binned by age. Fig. 1 shows that the observed heat flux is systematically less than predicted for sea floor ages <60 My, and that heat flux is approximately constant and higher than predicted for ages >80 My. 2.2.1. Young sea floor Only heat that is conducted through the sea floor can be measured. At mid-oceanic ridges, most of the heat is transported by the circulation of hydrothermal fluids through large open fractures in the shallow crust. This convective component of the heat flux accounts for the difference between the observations and the predictions of the cooling model. At depth, fractures are sealed by the confining pressure and the plate cools by conduction only. In regions of the sea floor that are well sealed by sediments, the heat flux observations fit the cooling model and can be used to determine the constant CQ . With the additional constraint that q( → ∞) → 0 (Harris and Chapman, 2004), the value of CQ ranges between 470 and 510 mW m−2 My1/2 . J.-C. Mareschal et al. / Journal of Geodynamics 54 (2012) 43–54 −2500 45 4 3.5 −3500 3 −4000 dA/dt (km y−1) −4500 −5000 2.5 2 Bathymetry (m) −3000 −5500 −6000 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 Age (My) 2 1.5 1 Fig. 2. Worldwide average sea floor bathymetry as a function of age (solid triangle), and predicted bathymetry for a cooling half space (dotted line). 0.5 Bathymetry data from Crosby and McKenzie (2009). 0 2.2.2. Old sea floor For ages greater than 80 My, the heat flux levels off and is higher than calculated for a half space cooling model. The common interpretation is that cooling of the mantle triggers the onset of small scale convection which maintains a constant temperature at fixed depth below the sea floor. Experiments designated to measure the heat flux on sea floor older than 100 My have shown that it is almost constant and equal to 48 mW m−2 . 2.2.3. Bathymetry One consequence of the cooling of the sea floor is that the average density of a rock column increases because of thermal contraction: m = −˛m T where ˛ is the thermal expansion coefficient, m is mantle density, and T is the temperature difference at time . The change in bathymetry can be calculated from the isostatic balance condition: 1 h = (m − w ) d 0 ˛ = Cp (m − w ) −˛m m (z, )dz = (m − w ) d T (z, )dz 0 [q(0, ) − q(d, )] d 0 where Cp is the specific heat of the lithospheric rocks and w density of sea water. For a half space, d→ ∞ and q(d, ) → 0, we have: h = ˛ Cp (m − w ) q()d 0 It gives: h = h0 + 2˛ CQ 1/2 = h0 + CH 1/2 Cp (m − w ) The bathymetry of the sea floor fits the half-space cooling model very well for ages less than 80 My. For older ages, the bathymetry becomes flat, confirming that heat supplied at the base balances the heat loss at the surface of the plate (Fig. 2). The constant CH is related to CQ and, with standard values for the physical properties of the mantle (˛ = 3.1 × 10−5 K−1 , Cp = 1170 J kg−1 K−1 , m = 3330 kg m−3 , and w = 1000 kg m−3 ), we obtain CH /CQ = 704 m3 W−1 My−1 . Measurements of the depth to the basement on old sea floor have been used to determine a value of 345 m My−1/2 for CH which translates as 480 mW m−2 My1/2 for CQ (Carlson and Johnson, 1994). This is within the range obtained from the heat flux data set. 2.2.4. Age distribution of the sea floor In order to determine the total oceanic heat loss, we integrate the heat flux times the areal distribution of sea floor ages. The distribution of sea floor ages has been very well determined from studies 0 50 100 150 200 Age (My) Fig. 3. Age distribution of the sea floor, not including the marginal basins: distribution from isochrons (solid line); best fit to the distribution (dotted line). Data from Cogné and Humler (2004). of the marine magnetic anomalies (Müller et al., 2008). There are few ages higher than 180 My and the areal distribution appears to decrease linearly with age , such that the areal distribution can approximated by: CA 1 − (3) 180 where is age in My (Fig. 3). In order to account for the total area covered by the oceans including the marginal basins (300 × 106 km2 ) the accretion rate CA = 3.4 km2 y−1 . Integrating separately sea floor younger and older than 80 My gives: 80 CQ −1/2 CA Q80− = 0 180 Q80+ = q80 CA 1 − 180 1 − 80 180 d = 24.3 TW d = 4.4 TW (4) Qoceans = 29 ± 1 TW The error of the estimate of the present heat loss through the sea floor is small, but the value obtained gives only a snapshot of the mantle cooling. The sea floor spreading and subduction rates vary on a time scale of several 100 My and are modulated by the Wilson cycles. The cumulative heat loss as a function of age depends strongly on the spreading rate and on the sea floor age distribution. For the triangular and the rectangular age distributions, the total heat loss is calculated as: √ 4 2 1/2 Q = SCQ CA for a triangular distribution 3 1/2 = 2CQ CA for a rectangular distribution (5) where S is the total sea floor area; CQ and CA have been defined above. A more general formulation can be found in the study by 1/2 Labrosse and Jaupart (2007). The total heat loss increases as CA but, for the same spreading rate, it is slightly higher for the rectangular than for the triangular age distribution. With half the present accretion rate and a triangular age distribution, the oceanic heat loss could be as low as 20 TW. It could reach 35 TW with a spreading rate that is 50% higher than present (Fig. 4). Detailed studies of sea floor ages and past spreading rate have shown that sea floor spreading rates could have decreased by as much as 50% during the past 120 My (Müller et al., 2008). This implies that the rate of heat loss through the sea floor was higher 46 J.-C. Mareschal et al. / Journal of Geodynamics 54 (2012) 43–54 Table 1 Estimates of the continental and oceanic heat flux and global heat loss. 35 present slow fast Total heat loss (TW) 30 Continental (mW m−2 ) Williams and von Herzen (1974) Davies (1980) Sclater et al. (1980) Pollack et al. (1993) Jaupart et al. (2007)a 25 20 15 Total (TW) 61 93 43 55 57 65 65 95 99 101 94 41 42 44 46 a The average oceanic heat flux does not include the contribution of hotspots. The total heat loss estimate includes 3 TW from oceanic hotspots. 10 5 0 Oceanic (mW m−2 ) 0 50 100 150 200 Age (My) Fig. 4. Cumulative total heat loss of the sea floor for three different distributions of the sea floor age: the present triangular distribution, triangular distribution with twice the present spreading rate and oldest sea floor 90 My, rectangular distribution with oldest sea floor 180 My and spreading rate half of present. The total oceanic area is 300 × 106 km2 , and CQ = 490 mW m−2 My−1/2 ; for ages >80 My, heat flux is 48 mW m−2 . in the recent past than now (e.g., Loyd et al., 2007). This trend could be part of a cyclic behavior on the time scale of the Wilson cycle (250–400 My). If it is confirmed, it implies that the present rate of heat loss is less than the long term average (Becker et al., 2009), without considering other factors of secular variations such as continental growth and changes in the total sea floor surface. 2.2.5. Hot spots Hotspots bring additional heat to the oceanic plates. This heat is not accounted for by the plate cooling model and should be added to the oceanic heat loss. The extra heat flux is barely detectable, but the heat that has been put in the plate can be estimated from the volume of the swell of the sea floor: it amounts to 2–4 TW (Davies, 1988; Sleep, 1990). This is an upper bound because the oceanic plate may be recycled in the mantle before the additional heat reaches the surface. Whether the present low rate of heat transport by plumes from the core to the Earth surface is representative of the long term average remains an open question. Adding the heat from the hotspots to the continental and oceanic heat flow gives the total energy loss at the Earth’s surface: 46 TW. This value is not much different from the first estimates by Williams and von Herzen (1974) (see Table 1). As discussed above, this value may be different from the long term average because of secular and/or cyclic variations in sea floor spreading and subduction rates (see also Labrosse and Jaupart, 2007; Loyd et al., 2007). 3. The main sources of energy The difference between the total heat loss of the Earth and the energy production inside the Earth must be balanced by internal cooling. Most of energy produced in the Earth comes from the decay of radioactive elements. In the core, energy is also released as latent heat by the freezing of the inner core and by its gravitational settling. The decrease in gravitational potential energy due to thermal contraction of the Earth is not negligible, but it is stored as strain energy and does not contribute to the budget (Birch, 1952). 3.1. Heat producing elements in bulk silicate Earth Following Urey (1955), many researchers have used the chondritic meteorites as the starting material for the Earth and to estimate the concentration in heat producing elements (HPE). Although it had first been suggested that the total heat production in a “chondritic” Earth would be ≈28 TW, Wasserburg et al. (1964) pointed out that Earth was depleted in K relative to the meteorites, and that with the same abundance in U and Th, but only 1/4 of the K, the total heat production would only be 20 TW. Several different methods have been used to determine the composition and the abundance of radio-elements in the Earth mantle. These have yielded slightly different estimates of the heat generation in bulk silicate earth (BSE), which includes the crust and mantle (Table 2). The estimates by McDonough and Sun (1995), Hart and Table 2 Radio-element concentration and heat production in meteorites, bulk silicate Earth, and mantle. U (ppm) Carbonaceous chondrites 0.02 0.015 Ordinary chondrites CI chondrites 0.0080 Palme et al. (2003) 0.0070 McDonough and Sun (1995) Bulk silicate Earth From CI chondrites 0.020 Javoy (1999) From EH chondrites 0.014 Javoy (1999) From chondrites and lherzolites trends 0.021 Hart and Zindler (1986) From elemental ratios and refractory lithophile elements abundances 0.020 ± 20% McDonough and Sun (1995) 0.022 ± 15% Palme et al. (2003) 0.017 ± 0.003 Lyubetskaya and Korenaga (2007) Depleted MORB source 0.0032 Workman and Hart (2005) Average MORB mantle source 0.013 Su (2000) Th (ppm) K (ppm) A* (pW kg−1 ) 0.07 0.046 400 900 5.2 5.8 0.030 0.029 544 550 3.5 3.4 0.069 270 4.6 0.042 385 3.7 0.079 264 4.9 0.079 ± 15% 0.083 ± 15% 0.063 ± 0.011 240 ± 20% 261 ± 15% 190 ± 40 4.8 ± 0.8 5.1 ± 0.8 3.9 ± 0.7 0.0079 25 0.59 0.040 160 2.8 J.-C. Mareschal et al. / Journal of Geodynamics 54 (2012) 43–54 Table 3 Some estimates of bulk continental crust heat production A, of the crustal component of heat flux for a 41 km thick crust Qc , and of the total heat production of the continental crust. A (W m−3 ) Qc (mW m−2 ) TW Reference 0.74–0.86 30–35 6.4–7.4 0.83 0.92 0.58 1.31 1.25 0.93 0.70 0.55–0.68 0.94 34 38 24 54 51 38 29 23–29 39 7.1 8.0 5.0 11.3 11.1 8.0 6.1 4.8–6.1 8.2 0.84–1.15 0.70 0.79–0.99 34–47 29 32–40 7.1–9.8 6.1 6.8–8.2 Allègre et al. (1988), O’Nions et al. (1979) Furukawa and Shinjoe (1997) Weaver and Tarney (1984) Taylor and McLennan (1995) Shaw et al. (1986) Wedepohl (1995) Rudnick and Fountain (1995) McLennan and Taylor (1996) Gupta et al. (1991) Nicolaysen et al. (1981), Jones (1988) Gao et al. (1998) Jaupart et al. (1998) Jaupart et al. (2003) Zindler (1986), and Palme et al. (2003) all yield ≈5 pW/kg, i.e., a total of 20 TW for the heat production of BSE, but several authors have argued for lower values of the mantle heat production. Javoy (1999) has argued that the starting material for the Earth mantle should be the enstatitic meteorites which give a lower heat production for the present mantle than a chondritic composition. Boyet and Carlson (2006) have used 146 Sm/142 Nd isotopes systematics to infer that the abundances in U, Th, and K of the mantle were about 70% those calculated for a chondritic mantle. More recently, Lyubetskaya and Korenaga (2007) used an inversion method and obtained a heat generation value of ≈4 pW/kg, i.e., a total of ≈16TW for BSE, also lower than the commonly accepted values. 3.1.1. Crustal heat production Different sampling methods have been used to estimate the average heat production of the continental crust which give values between 0.6 and 1.3 W m−3 (Table 3). This wide range can be narrowed down because values higher than 1 W m−3 are unlikely since they imply that the total crustal heat production is higher that the surface heat flux in stable continental provinces. It is probably best to estimate the bulk crustal heat production directly from the surface heat flux which integrate over the entire crust and is insensitive to local heterogeneities (Jaupart et al., 2003). The crustal heat production can be determined in exposed crustal section, where the entire crustal column is exposed. In stable provinces where the crust is in thermal steady state, the bulk crustal heat production can thus be determined by subtracting the mantle component from the surface heat flux. The best estimates for the mantle heat flux are 15 ± 3 mW m−2 (e.g., Jaupart and Mareschal, 1999; Roy and Rao, 2000). Such values are consistent with estimates of the mantle heat flux obtained from geo-thermobarometry studies on mantle xenoliths (e.g., Rudnick and Nyblade, 1999; Kukkonen and Peltonen, 1999; Russell et al., 2001) There is a trend of decreasing heat production with crustal age (Table 4), but one cannot predict the heat Table 4 Estimates of bulk continental crust heat production from heat flow data from Jaupart et al. (2003). Age group Aa (W m−3 ) QC b (mW m−2 ) % Areac Archean Proterozoic Phanerozoic Total continents 0.56–0.73 0.73–0.90 0.95–1.21 0.79-0.99 23–30 30–37 39–50 32–40 9 56 35 Range of heat production in W m−3 . Range of the crustal heat flux component in mW m−2 . c Fraction of total continental surface, from Model 2 in Rudnick and Fountain (1995). a b 47 production and surface heat flux on the basis of crustal age since there are wide variations within each age group, particularly in the Proterozoic. Integrating over the entire volume of the continental crust yield a total heat production of ≈7.5 ± 1 TW. Crustal heat production is the only component in the energy budget which is well constrained and estimated with a small uncertainty. 3.1.2. Mantle heat production: Urey number The heat production of the mantle, obtained by removing from BSE the radio-elements stored in the crust, is estimated at 9–14 TW, depending on the model used for calculating BSE composition and accounting for the much small uncertainty on the crustal heat production. Values higher than the upper limit of this range have been proposed and are still used (e.g., Davies, 1999; Stacey and Davis, 2008). Because the heat production in the crust does not provide energy to drive mantle convection, it is useful to subtract it from the total energy loss and focus on the mantle heat loss, which is 39 TW. The ratio of the total heat production that is available to drive mantle convection to the total heat loss is referred to as the Urey ratio. For 13 TW mantle heat generation, the Urey ratio is 0.33 but it could be as low as 0.23 for the BSE radio-element abundance proposed by Lyubetskaya and Korenaga (2007). The values for mantle heat production used by Stacey and Davis (2008) imply a Urey ratio larger than 0.5, and the upper limit of Davies (1999) is 0.78. The present Urey ratio is a key parameter for parameterized convection models of the Earth where scaling laws are used to determine the rate of heat loss. It has been shown that low (i.e., <0.7) values of the Urey ratio lead to the “Archean thermal catastrophe” where the temperatures during the Archean (>2.5 Gy) would be hot and imply massive melting of the mantle (e.g., Christensen, 1985; Korenaga, 2006) unless the present scaling laws are modified. 3.2. Heat flow from the core Some authors have assumed that the heat flux from the core is equal to the heat flux transported by the hotspots. There is no reason that it should be so. The heat carried away by hotspots originating at the core mantle boundary must be less than the core’s output (Labrosse, 2002; Mittelstaedt and Tackley, 2006). Hotspots thus give a lower bound on the core heat flow of about 4 TW (Davies, 1993). A different bound can be obtained by calculating the minimum heat flux that would be conducted along an adiabat in the core. Because the core is thought to have a very high thermal conductivity, the heat flux conducted along the adiabat is 40 mW m−2 , i.e., implying a total energy loss of 5 TW (higher than the heat carried by hotspots). How much energy is required to power the geodynamo has been much debated. Present estimates vary within a wide range (5–14 TW) with a preferred value of 9 TW (Buffett, 2002; Nimmo, 2007). This energy comes from the secular cooling of the core, the latent heat released by the freezing of the inner core, and by the gravitational settling of the inner core. Some authors have proposed that energy is also provided by heat producing elements in the core. Potassium has been the preferred candidate (Goettel, 1976; Lee et al., 2004), but the presence of U in the core has also been suggested (Herndon, 1996). 720 ppm of K in the core would entirely account for the K deficit of BSE relative to the chondritic meteorites. With 720 ppm K, the core would generate an additional 8 TW of energy. This remains a highly controversial question but most geochemists are skeptical that any K has been stored in the core (McDonough, 2003). Energy flowing from the core into the mantle at a rate as high as 10 TW implies that the inner core is a relatively young feature unless there is radiogenic heat production. Results obtained by different authors show that without radiogenic heat, the inner core 48 J.-C. Mareschal et al. / Journal of Geodynamics 54 (2012) 43–54 Total heat loss 46 ± 2 TW Liquidus temperature (°C) 1600 Heat production Crust 7 TW (6−7 TW) 1500 1400 1300 Heat production Mantle 13 TW (9−16 TW) 1200 0 1 2 3 Mantle cooling 17 TW (8−18 TW) 4 Age (Gy) Core heat loss 9 TW (4−14 TW) Fig. 5. Liquidus temperatures of basalts from ophiolites and greenstone belts with MORB characteristics as a function of age. Adapted from Abbott et al. (1994). age would be between 0.4 and 1.9 Ga (Buffett, 2002; Labrosse, 2003; Nimmo, 2007). With a high rate of energy flow from the core, the presence of an inner core is not required to maintain the magnetic field, but a young inner core is in contradiction with some geochemical estimates that put its age at 3.5 Gy (Brandon et al., 2003). The presence of HPEs in the core would resolve this contradiction: with 300 ppm K in the core and a time-averaged heat flux of 8.5 TW, the age of the inner core would approximately be the same as that of the Earth. Without K, the inner core can be as old as the Earth only if the core heat flow is less that 3 TW. Fig. 6. Breakdown of the present mantle energy by Jaupart et al. (2007), with the best estimates of the core heat flow and of the abundance of radio-elements in BSE and the mantle cooling rate adjusted to balance the budget. deficit. They balance the budget by adjusting the total heat production of the mantle (Table 5). For Stacey and Davis (2008), the total heat generation of BSE would thus be 28 TW; for Davies (1999), the heat production of the mantle could be as high as 28 TW, most of it in the lower mantle, and the total for BSE could be thus higher than that of a chondritic Earth not depleted in K. 4. Determining U and Th with geoneutrinos 3.3. Secular cooling of the mantle Mantle temperatures can be calculated from the composition of the Mid oceanic ridge basalts (MORB). Petrological studies on Archean (3.5–2.5 Gy old) MORB like rocks suggest a modest cooling rate of 50 K/Gy (Fig. 5, see also, Abbott et al., 1994). Cooling of the mantle at a rate of 1 K/Gy yields ≈0.13–0.15 TW, depending on the average thermal capacity of the mantle. If the present cooling rate is not significantly different from this long term average, we obtain that the mantle cooling contributes ≈7 TW. If we simply add up our best estimates of the energy inputs to the mantle energy budget, we obtain 7 + 13 + 9 = 29 TW and we are 10 TW short of the present mantle energy loss of 39 TW. The budget balancing would be even more difficult if we were to assume that heat flow from the core is lower than 9 TW, or that the total heat generation of BSE is less than 20 TW. The long term deficit might even be higher than suggested if the present rate of sea floor spreading is lower than the long term average. In order to balance the budget, Jaupart and Mareschal (2011) have considered that the present mantle heat production and core heat flux are the least poorly constrained components. They have balanced the budget by adjusting the present cooling rate of the mantle to ≈120 K/Gy (Fig. 6 and Table 5). This value is inconsistent with the long term estimate from komatiites. There are two ways out of this conundrum: (1) the present rate of heat loss is mostly determined by the age distribution of the sea floor may be higher than the long term average, and/or (2) the present mantle cooling rate is higher than the long term average. Alternative approaches to balance the energy budget have been used by Davies (1999) and by Stacey and Davis (2008). Although there are differences in the details of their analysis, both authors assume that the mantle cooling rate is well constrained (<10 TW) and that the core heat flow is low, i.e., it is the same as the total heat transported by hot spots (4–5 TW). This does not allow for K in the core to make up for the The total heat production in the Earth is an important and so far poorly constrained component of the energy budget. Models also differ in the radial distribution of the heat producing elements in the mantle with the suggestion by some authors that the lower mantle is very enriched in radioactive elements. 4.1. Neutrino detectors Until recently, there was little hope to directly measure the mantle heat production and its radial variation. The situation has evolved after the development of underground neutrino observatories equipped with large liquid scintillation detectors that react Table 5 Various estimates of the breakdown of the global budget in TW. Stacey and Davis (2008) have added heat production in the continental crust to that of bulk silicate earth. They also assume that gravitational potential energy released by thermal contraction produces heat rather than strain energy. Both Stacey and Davis (2008) and Davies (1999) assume that hot-spots carry all the heat from the core. Total heat loss Crustal heat production Mantle heat production Crust mantle differentiation Gravitational (thermal contraction) Tidal dissipation Core heat loss Mantle cooling a Stacey and Davis (2008) Davies (1999) Jaupart et al. (2007) range (preferred value) 44 8 20 0.6 3.1 41 5 12–28b 0.3 46 6–8 (7) 11–15 (13) 0.3 0.1 5 9a 0.1 6–14 (8) 9–23 (18)c 3.5 8.0 Mantle cooling is fixed. Lower mantle heat production is variable and adjusted to balance the other terms in the budget. c Mantle cooling is adjusted to balance the budget. b J.-C. Mareschal et al. / Journal of Geodynamics 54 (2012) 43–54 49 to the anti-neutrinos produced by the decay of U and Th. It appears that it will be possible to determine the amount of U and Th in the Earth, and their distribution in different reservoirs (see all the contributions in Dye, 2006). The liquid scintillators detect inverse beta decay events due to electron antineutrinos: range of distances traveled by geoneutrinos is much larger than the oscillation distance, it is adequate to use the average survival probability value of 0.56 ± 0.02 (Enomoto et al., 2007). This is not true for reactors antineutrinos because they travel a fixed distance and the survival probability must be calculated for each of the reactors. e + p → n + e+ 4.3. Mantle heat producing elements (6) The positron e+ promptly annihilates emitting two ␥ rays and the free neutron is captured on protons with a mean time of 210 s, emitting a 2.2 MeV ␥ ray. It is the coincidence of the delayed event that positively identifies the antineutrino inverse  decay. The cross section of the reaction depends on the anti-neutrino energy squared: e p→e+ n = 9.3 × E2 × 10−44 cm2 (E ) d˚(E ) dE dE (8) Averaging the cross section over the entire energy spectrum gives (Fiorentini et al., 2007): 238 U = 0.404 × 10−44 cm−2 232 Th = 0.127 × 10−44 cm−2 The cross section of the reaction () is very small: for a target of 1032 protons and one year exposure, the flux required to observe one geoneutrino event is 1032 × 3.15 × 107 / ; which gives a minimum flux of 7.67 × 104 cm−2 s−1 for 238 U antineutrinos and 2.48 × 105 cm−2 s−1 for 232 Th antineutrinos (Enomoto et al., 2007). Detector exposure is measured by the total number of protons in the detector times the exposure time. The practical unit for measuring detector exposure to geoneutrinos is 1032 protons-year (the mass of a 1032 protons detector is 1.2 kT of liquid scintillator). The terrestrial neutrino unit (TNU) refers to the total number of events recorded per unit detector exposure. In addition to the geoneutrinos from decay of radio-elements in the Earth, antineutrinos are also produced in nuclear reactors all over the world. The reactor signal from nearby reactors must be calculated from detailed information on their power and fuel composition. 4.2. Oscillations One of the fundamental discoveries of recent studies in underground observatories is that neutrinos, that are a superposition of different “flavors” e , , and , undergo oscillations from one flavor to another (as discussed and summarized by Gonzalez-Garcia and Nir, 2003). The “survival” probability of an electron antineutrino varies with distance traveled from the source as follows: Pe →e ≈ 1 − sin2 (212 )sin2 1.27m221 Lr Ee (9) where 12 and m221 are the oscillation parameters. Lr is distance (in m) and Ee is the antineutrino energy in MeV. The oscillations parameters have been determined at the KamLAND neutrino observatory in Japan from measurements on reactors antineutrinos and solar data to constrain the mixing angle as tan 2 ( 12 ) = 0.47 and m221 = 7.58 × 10−5 eV 2 (Abe et al., 2008). For a 3 MeV antineutrino, the characteristic oscillation distance is ≈100 km. Because the 2 ˚= (7) where E is in MeV, with a threshold energy of ≈1.8 MeV. The maximum energy of 235 U and 40 K antineutrinos is below the detection threshold, and only antineutrinos from 238 U and 232 Th can be detected. The total number of events detected is proportional to the total number of target protons in the detector, Np , times the exposure time, , times the total cross section of the reaction: Np × The flux of neutrinos from the mantle depends on the total mass of radio-elements and on their radial distributions if we assume a spherically symmetric Earth with radius a. For a detector located at the surface of the earth, the neutrino flux is obtained as: = a 2 1 Ni (u) log 0 a d cos −1 0 1 d 0 Ni (r)r 2 dr 4(a2 − 2ar cos + r 2 ) 1 + u 1−u udu (10) with u = r/a and Ni (r) is the volumetric activity for radio-elements at distance r from the Earth center. The angle between the source and the detector’s direction is theta; because of the symmetry, is defined arbitrarily in the plane perpendicular to the direction of the detector. For a uniform activity Ni0 between r/a = 0 and r/a = b, the flux is: 232 Th or 238 U ˚= a N 2 i0 b2 − 1 × log 2 1 + b 1−b +b (11) The gravity field at the surface of or outside a spherically symmetric Earth depends only on the total mass of the Earth regardless of the radial variation in density. Eq. (10) shows that the neutrino flux depends on the radial distribution of the sources and that is more affected by the shallow than by the deep sources. For example, the geoneutrino flux is about 5% higher for radio-elements concentrated in the mantle than for a uniform distribution in the mantle and core. Likewise, for the same total mass of radioactive elements, the flux is ≈10% lower if the upper mantle is depleted by a factor of 3 relative to the lower mantle. For the BSE model of McDonough and Sun (1995), the total neutrino activity from 238 U is 5.9 × 1024 s−1 and that of 232 Th is 5.1 × 1024 s−1 . For a uniform distribution throughout the entire Earth the resulting flux at the surface ˚U = 1.2 × 106 cm−2 s−1 and ˚Th = 1.0 × 106 cm−2 s−1 for U and Th, yielding 15.1 and 4.0 TNU’s (or 0.56 that number if oscillations are considered). Assuming that the crustal enrichment in radio-element relative to the mantle is 60 that and radio-elements are distributed uniformly within the crust and the mantle results in a 90% increase in flux and in the number of neutrino events, with 29 and 7.6 TNU for U and Th respectively. In that case, the difference between the latter model and a model including a crust over a layered mantle is small. Considering a model with a depleted mantle and no crust for a crude estimate of the neutrino flux in oceans, we obtain fluxes ˚U = 0.72 × 106 cm−2 s−1 and ˚Th = 0.6 × 106 cm−2 s−1 , yielding 9 and 2.4 TNU for U and Th respectively. 4.4. Crustal contribution to geoneutrino flux Estimating the abundance of U and Th in the mantle from the geoneutrino observations is particularly difficult because the largest part of the geoneutrino flux in continents comes from the crust nearby the observatory and only 10–20% come from the mantle (e.g., Raghavan et al., 1998; Fiorentini et al., 2005; Enomoto et al., 2007), depending on the local crustal composition and thickness. The effect of the crustal component of the geoneutrino flux was demonstrated by the study of Fiorentini et al. (2005) who showed 50 J.-C. Mareschal et al. / Journal of Geodynamics 54 (2012) 43–54 Fig. 7. Map of surface heat flux in continents. In stable continental regions, the main component of the heat flux is the crustal radioactivity. Oceanic areas have been greyed out because the higher surface heat flux is due to the cooling of oceanic and bears no relation to radioactivity. In thermal steady-state, the geoneutrino flux is expected to decrease over low heat flux regions and to increase over high heat flux regions. Hzm ˚ = 2 1 log 2 1+ R2 2 zm R + tan−1 zm z m R (12) where is the constant ratio of neutrino activity to heat production (see for instance Table 6). For a horizontally stratified crust, we can simply add the contributions of several cylinders with different thicknesses. The effect of the stratification is significant near the observatory and increases the neutrino flux if crustal heat production decreases downward (Fig. 8). For distances larger than two crustal thickness, the geoneutrino flux no longer depends on the vertical distribution but only on the integrated crustal radioactivity. The point of such calculations is to illustrate the close relationship between the total crustal radioactivity that can determined from heat flux and the neutrino flux at the observatory. Eq. (12) is useful to estimate the near field geoneutrino flux, but it is not bounded for R→ ∞ and the integration for the far field must be performed on a spherical shell (Fig. 9). When very detailed information on the crustal composition is available and shows local enrichments in radio-elements, the oscillation parameters can be included in the calculation of the near field contribution to the flux. A small increase in the neutrino flux can indeed be observed in the very near field when oscillations are included. For the sake of the example, we have calculated the effect of an enriched vertical cylinder with twice the concentration of radioactive elements as in the average crust. The oscillations are calculated for an energy of 3 MeV and the oscillation parameters of Abe et al. (2008). The effect is small but not entirely negligible and results in the flux being about 9% higher than that estimated with 5 4 Φ/γ(QQm) that the number of geoneutrino events to be expected in continental observatories varies between 30 and 65 /(1032 target protons × year), with the highest event rates in regions where the crust is thick. In this global study, the crustal geoneutrino flux was estimated from the model CRUST2.0 (Mooney et al., 1998) combined with world averaged estimates of radio-element abundance in the upper, middle and lower crust. Because the surface heat flux in stable continental regions also depends on the radioactivity of the crust, one expects a strong correlation of the predicted geoneutrino flux with the measured surface heat flux (Fig. 7). Such a correlation with surface heat flux is not observed on the predicted geoneutrino flux map of Fiorentini et al. (2005) because it is based on a very poorly constrained seismic crustal model which does not account properly for variations in crustal composition. In order to estimate the crustal neutrino flux ˚, we shall first consider the geoneutrino flux at the origin of the coordinate system. We first suppose that the crust is homogeneous. The contribution of a homogeneous cylindrical layer with heat production H, thickness zm and radius R to the geoneutrino flux at the center can be calculated: 3 undifferentiated DI = 2.5 difference 2 1 0 0 5 10 15 20 r/zm Fig. 8. Integrated neutrino flux for 2 different vertical distributions of radioactivity in a layer of thickness zm . The observation site is located on the surface at the axis of the cylinder. The total heat production (Q − Qm ) is the same for both models, but one model has uniform vertical distribution of radio-elements, while the other has an enriched upper crust of thickness 0.3 × zm . The differentiation index DI is the ratio of surface to average heat production. J.-C. Mareschal et al. / Journal of Geodynamics 54 (2012) 43–54 51 Table 6 Mantle and crust composition, heat production, and geoneutrino activity. The energy of K neutrinos is below the detection threshold. Mantle (4 × 1024 kg) Heat production (W/kg) e activity (s−1 kg−1 ) Javoy (1999) Composition (ppm) Total mass (kg) Heat production (TW) e activity (s−1 ) McDonough and Sun (1995) Composition (ppm) Total mass (kg) Heat production (TW) e activity (s−1 ) Palme et al. (2003) Composition (ppm) Total mass (kg) Heat production (TW) e activity (s−1 ) Lyubetskaya and Korenaga (2007) Composition (ppm) Total mass (kg) Heat production (TW) e activity (s−1 ) Continental crust (2.3 × 1022 kg) Rudnick and Gao (2003) Composition (ppm) Total mass (kg) Heat production (TW) e activity (s−1 ) Jaupart et al. (2003) Composition (ppm) Total mass (kg) Heat production (TW) e activity (s−1 ) U Th K 9.52 × 10−5 7.38 × 107 2.56 × 10−5 1.61 × 107 3.48 × 10−9 2.25 × 104 0.014 5.6 × 1016 5.3 4.1 × 1024 0.042 16.8 × 1016 4.3 2.7 × 1024 385 15.4 × 1020 5.4 (34.7 × 1024 ) 0.020 ± 20% 8 × 1016 7.6 5.9 × 1024 0.079 ± 15% 31.6 × 1016 8.1 5.1 × 1024 240 ± 20% 9.6 × 1020 3.3 (21.6 × 1024 ) 0.022 ± 15% 8.8 × 1016 8.4 6.5 × 1024 0.083 ± 15% 33.2 × 1016 8.5 5.3 × 1024 261 ± 15% 10.4 × 1020 3.6 (23.4 × 1024 ) 0.017 ± 0.003 6.8 × 1016 6.5 5.0 × 1024 0.063 ± 0.011 25.2 × 1016 6.5 4.1 × 1024 190 ± 40 7.6 × 1020 2.6 (17.1 × 1024 ) 1.3 3.0 × 1016 2.9 2.2 × 1024 5.6 12.9 × 1016 3.3 2.1 × 1024 1.5 × 104 3.45 × 1020 1.2 (7.8 × 1024 ) 1.2–1.4 2.8–3.2 × 1016 2.7–3.0 2.1–2.4 × 1024 4.8–5.6 11.2–12.9 × 1016 2.8–3.3 1.8–2.1 × 1024 1.4–1.7 × 104 3.4–3.8 × 1020 1.1–1.4 (7.2–8.8 × 1024 ) the average survival probability 0.56 (Fig. 10). This example uses a high value for the local enrichment to illustrate that it may be necessary to account for the survival probability near the Sudbury neutrino observatory where the crustal heat production is ≈30% higher than the average Canadian shield (Perry et al., 2009). 4.5. Directional information 15 19 20.5 15.6 7.4 6.9–7.6 incoming neutrinos. Determining the direction of the incoming neutrino with an accuracy of 5% has been considered a feasible objective (Suzuki, 2006; Fields and Hochmuth, 2006; Hochmuth, 2006; Tonazzo, 2007). With this directional information, it will be possible to perform a depth sounding of the Earth and to determine the vertical distribution of the radioactive elements U and Th in the crust and mantle. One expects the flux of crustal neutrinos to be highest near the horizontal direction and the flux of mantle neutrinos to be spread a wide range of dips with a maximum at intermediate inclinations (Fig. 11). The existence of two 1 1 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 Φ Φ/Φ tot Neutrino detectors do not yet have the capability of measuring both the energy and the momentum, i.e., the direction, of the Total 0.4 0.4 homogeneous differentiated 0.2 0 0 0 0 5 10 no oscillation oscillation 0.56 survival probability 0.2 15 3 100 200 300 400 radial distance (km) distance (10 km) Fig. 9. Cumulative neutrino flux for a thin spherical shell at the surface of a sphere. The thickness of the shell (0.006 times the sphere radius) is analog to that of the continental crust. The calculation with two different vertical distributions of HPEs in the crust shows that the difference does not increase outside the near field region. Fig. 10. Effect of crustal heterogeneities on the neutrino flux in the near field with oscillations. The calculation is for a homogeneous crust except in the region within 30 km of the observatory where the radioactivity is double that of the average crust. In this situation, an average correction for neutrino oscillation underestimates the geoneutrino flux by 9%. 52 J.-C. Mareschal et al. / Journal of Geodynamics 54 (2012) 43–54 0.1 crust mantle 0.08 Φ 0.06 5. Preliminary results and future studies 0.04 0.02 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 dip (o) Fig. 11. Neutrino flux from the crust (a thin spherical shell with radius 0.994 < r/a < 1) and the mantle (0.5 < r/a < 0.994) as a function of the inclination. The flux of crustal geoneutrinos exhibits a sharp maximum at near horizontal inclination. The flux of mantle geoneutrinos shows a distribution spread over a much wider range of dip angles, with a maximum near 50◦ . distinct mantle reservoirs, a depleted upper mantle and a primitive lower mantle, could also be ascertained from the variation of the neutrino flux with inclination (Fig. 12). If it can be measured, the variation of the geoneutrino flux with inclination will provide a means to determine any enrichment in radioactive elements of the lower mantle relative to the upper one. Because the flux from crustal sources overwhelms the geoneutrino signal in continents, resolving the difference between a homogeneous and a layered mantle requires not only very large detector exposures but also accounting for the crustal flux with extreme, perhaps unpractical, precision. On the sea floor where the crustal flux is low and uniform, directional measurements with very large detector exposure could resolve the presence of a reservoir in the lower mantle enriched in radioactive elements relative to the upper mantle. Such enrichment, which has been hypothesized from geochemical models, is a key element for understanding mantle dynamics and evolution. It 0.025 0.02 Φ/Φ0 could be demonstrated following the deployment on the sea-floor of a directional geoneutrino detector with very large total exposure. Sea-floor geoneutrino detectors with directional information could also test for the presence of an extremely large lower mantle reservoir of radio-elements (up to 27 TW) such as suggested by Davies (1999), again a key information for models of mantle convection. uniform layered 0.015 0.01 0.005 0 0 20 40 60 80 o dip ( ) Fig. 12. Variations of the mantle neutrino flux with inclination for two different radial distributions of U and Th in the mantle. flux per unit dip angle is relative to the total integrated flux ˚0 , and both radial distributions are compared to the total integrated flux ˚0 for the uniform distribution a uniform distribution. The differences between the two distributions are marked with the flux spread over a much wider range of inclinations for the homogeneous than the two reservoirs mantle. Note that the mantle flux is low (relative to the effective cross-section) and that it is one order lower than the crustal flux. It translates in low event yield per unit angle. Two research groups, at the KamLAND neutrino observatory in Japan and at the Gran Sasso observatory in Italy, have now reported on their geoneutrino observations. Recently, the Borexino group reported on their observations at the Gran-Sasso observatory in Italy. The noise from nuclear reactors is one tenth that at Kamioka and very detailed geological studies have been conducted to properly account for the complicated crustal structure (Coltorti et al., 2011). The preliminary report has identified 9.9 events for a 252.6T y exposure of the detector; this is equivalent to a rate of 3.9 events/(100T y) Borexino collaboration group (Bellini and 89 collaborators), 2010. The small geoneutrino flux observed at Borexino is sufficient to rule out the existence of a “nuclear reactor” in the Earth’s core that had been proposed by Herndon (1996). Despite the small size of the detector (1.7 × 1031 target protons), these observations have led to a, perhaps not unexpected, but conclusive report. The team at the Kamioka Liquid Scintillator Antineutrino Detector (KamLAND) was the first to report on geoneutrino observations. With a total exposure target of 7.09 × 1031 protons year, this first report concerned 28 (+16/−15) geoneutrino events, which corresponds to a flux 6.34(+ 3.6/− 3.4) × 108 cm−2 s−1 Araki, T. and 86 518 collaborators), 2005; Enomoto et al., 2007. These numbers are consistent with the BSE model: the central value for the total heat generation of U and Th is 16 TW with a very large uncertainty due the crustal contribution. These results at Kamioka are particularly remarkable considering that the site is probably the worst possible for geoneutrino observations, with very strong noise from nuclear reactors and a very complicated crustal structure. In their most recent report, the KamLAND group analyzed the geoneutrino events recorded during nine years (2135 days) of operation and concluded that uranium and thorium contribute 20 ± 9 TW to the Earth heat flux (Kamland collaboration (Gando, A. and 65 collaborators), 2011. Adding the heat generated by potassium yields a total heat production of 24 TW for the BSE, compared with a range of 14–20 TW for the geochemical estimates discusses above. This number still comes with a large error bar because of the uncertainty on the crustal contribution which dominates the local geoneutrino flux. For determining mantle composition in heat producing elements, the crustal contribution to the geoneutrino flux must be very accurately accounted for. As shown in this article, estimates based on “global” models are inadequate, and precise measurements of the variations in heat flux and crustal radioactivity near the observatory will be needed (Perry et al., 2009; Dye, 2010). Several other experiments are already underway or planned to obtain data on the geoneutrino flux from large exposure target in different observatories in deep mines around the world (Sudbury, Ontario, Canada, Homestake, South Dakota, USA) (Chen, 2006). Sudbury is located within the Canadian Shield deep inside the continent. The geology of the structure and the regional framework are very well documented (see all the papers collected by Ludden and Hynes, 2000), and, despite local variations in radioactivity, the site is one of most favorable available for geoneutrino studies on land. The construction of a large mobile detector on the sea-floor is being considered and its deployment, costly as it maybe, is definitely feasible and would open another window on the mantle (Dye et al., 2006; Dye, 2010). J.-C. Mareschal et al. / Journal of Geodynamics 54 (2012) 43–54 With very large detector exposures at several land observatories and reliable models of crustal heat production, it will be possible to resolve the crustal and mantle components of the neutrino flux. Although the capability of measuring direction is not available yet, it is an important goal because it will permit resolution of radial variations in mantle composition with very large detector exposures on land and on the sea floor. Acknowledgements The authors are grateful to Steve Dye who commented on a draft of the manuscript and to two anonymous reviewers for their constructive comments. They thank Francis Lucazeau at IPGP who provided an updated data base of heat flux measurements. 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