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Transcript
I Don’t Want a Car, I want a Trip
The Gig Economy is Coming, and it Will Impact You
Ron Sasine
Hudson Windsor, LLC - Retail Packaging Strategy & Execution
[email protected]
The Big Message, and Four Things to
Think About

Disaggregation of Assets is a Growing Trend

Vertical Integration of Production peaked in the 1980’s, but by the
early 1990’s was being widely reevaluated

Over the past 20 years, Managers Have Increasingly Focused on Core
Production Capabilities

Efficient Purchasing Practices, Collaborative Supplier Relationships
and Capital Availability all promote disaggregation

The Gig economy requires changes in Management Thinking,
Regulatory Frameworks and Payment Expectations
Source: McKinsey and Co.
The Uber Lesson
…yesterday’s way of doing things seemed to work pretty well if you owned the assets
…but today’s market devalues asset ownership in favor of service providers
South American Toothpaste
…or what I learned about asset ownership from my favorite competitor

In the 1990’s, large consumer products companies began to divest
ancillary, non-core assets

Suppliers—specifically packaging suppliers—stepped in and invested in
additional production facilities and service offerings

How do you beat a competitor who plays all the right cards?

Customer needed flexibility, low capital expense, and cost improvement

Set up an in-plant finishing line to fold/glue cartons, operated by contract
labor

Flat-shipped cartons required lower inventory, less shipping space, and
faster changeovers between sizes and items

Filling-line flexibility beat quality printing in customer’s decision tree
Uber’s Lessons For Packagers
…the changes they’ve created in one market will eventually impact ours

A temporary asset, where and when I want it, is better than a fixed
asset

What we think we know about industry structure can be changed
almost immediately with a good app and a loose network of suppliers

Flexibility of assets requires flexible employment contracts

Purchasers have to adjust their procurement processes, and once they
see the benefit, they will

Cheap capital allows many more suppliers to bring their own
equipment to the market

Regulatory frameworks aren’t equipped for the coming trend
Temporary Assets
…can accomplish most of today’s packaging needs
…and can be upgraded seamlessly when needed


Manufacturing sites are evolving from top-down, hierarchical facilities
owned and run by single companies to networks of collaborating
suppliers performing sequential tasks

Automotive plants – JIT transformed into Modular Consortia

Cosmetics fillers – Blended under Brand Owner direction, filled by
Contract Packager

Food packagers – Centralized production of bulk items, distributed fill
An Uber model in this business would have third-party packagers
flexing their capacity to reflect changes in volume, format, and
product to match the Brand Owners’ needs

Fruit packing equipment accompanies the changing harvest
Apps and Networks
…provide a boost in transaction efficiency
…streamline information sharing and increase total supply


Manufacturers operating in the emerging environment will search out
filling lines and packagers who can deliver best-in-class cost

Transparency and open costing will become standard, as Brand Owners
have a wide variety of choices

Temporary relationships will grow, and the costs of entry/exit of supplier
relationships will lessen
An Uber model in this business would include more modularity for
Brand Owners as they drive for common packaging footprints and
formats

Packagers would need to be nimble and flexible, adjusting their
capabilities and assets to evolving Brand Owner needs
Who’s the Boss?
…factories in the future could feel less like assembly lines and more like construction sites
…so managers will need to know how their people contribute to the whole, and lead

Packagers are likely to see moves toward flexible employment
contracts, with pressure from manufacturers and brand owners to
take on increasing staffing responsibilities


Cell phone assembly lines integrated with Provider-specific packaging
lines
Speed, quality and accuracy of packaging lines will be the sole
responsibility of Packagers, so arrangements will need to be made to
cover risk and liability

Sam’s Club preferred packaging provider agreement covers loss of
product, in-Club performance, and safety
Partners, Really?
…packaging Procurement will need to become less adversarial
…and transparent data sharing will drive inefficient providers out

The intense flexibility of the Gig Economy is driven by the immediacy
of the data (location, price, performance expectations) and the
collaboration implicit in the “sharing” of the ride, asset, or
experience


It’s not about what you did for me last year or last quarter, but what can
you do for me in the immediate short-term
An Uber model in this business would require Procurement teams to
work with a larger number of Packagers than at present and treat
them all equally and uniformly

Packagers would need access to transparent demand data and immediate
decision making on the part of Brand Owners
BYO Car/Machine/Filler
…with the cost of capital at historic lows, we’ve all got a line of credit
…but does that mean you’ve got the right asset?

The Gig Economy means that anyone with capital can provide
anything they’re willing to invest in


But the Gig consumer knows that the relationship is short-term and that
no matter how nice the car is, it’s going home with someone else
An Uber model in the Packaging business would foresee a number of
packaging providers able to deploy machinery rapidly, smoothly and
on a temporary basis

Mobility, flexibility and speed will be critical success factors for packaging
Providers who adopt this model
How Can Brand Owners Execute?



New Product Opportunities at Retail will be Driven by Three Key Factors

Convenience – Ease of Acquisition, Ease of Use, Social Endorsement

Expansion – Flavor, Variant, Format, Channel

Velocity – Speed to deploy, match, scale
Retailers need cost savings

Walmart is spending an additional $2.7 billion on in-store labor

Online retailers need operational savings
Brand Owners need to Strengthen Innovation Pipelines with New Packaging

Usage occasions, Formulations, Price points, Merchandising options
Source: Walmart, UC Berkeley
Innovation and Product Pricing
…it’s not about charging more because you have a better package
…BUT, does your new format help retailers establish a new price point for innovation?
Orlando
Kansas City
Consumer Preferences
…packaging will drive preference when it fulfills an untapped need or drives new usage
Chicago
Chicago
New Formats
…can help consumers make informed choices among product options
…and can help traditional brands reinvent themselves
Orlando
Kansas City
Reality of Retail Operations
…what is needed to execute product sales in your new packaging format?
…how complicated is it to stock, shop and face?
Jane, MO
Jane, MO
Replenishment Efficiency
…how many actions are required to stock your product?
…does your product need help to stand up and get noticed?
Chicago, IL
Jane, MO
How do winning products displace the
competition?



Innovative packaging with measurable consumer benefit
 Ease of use, dosing, performance, preparation help
 Improvement in product, enabled by packaging innovation
 Ships efficiently through multi-channel commerce
Packaging supports individuality, single-use, and customization
 Key millennial purchase drivers
 Simplicity over net price; net price over unit cost
On-shelf efficiency in presentation, operations, and sku count
 Streamlined store operations with packaging improvement
 Era of fierce competition for slots and facings
Retail-Ready Packaging is coming,
driven by three factors



Consumers need to instantly locate and identify products during evershorter shopping trips

Mobile is easy, instant and helpful

On-line products are always where you expect them to be—often in an
automatic, pre-set list of repeat buys
Retailers need labor savings

Walmart is spending an additional $2.7 billion on in-store labor

$15 minimum wage would result in an additional $4.95 billion/year
Stores need to refocus their associates toward customer service and
away from low value-added activities
Source: Walmart, UC Berkeley
Recap: The Big Message, and Four
Things to Think About

Disaggregation of Assets is a Growing Trend

Vertical Integration of Production peaked in the 1980’s, but by the
early 1990’s was being widely reevaluated

Over the past 20 years, Managers Have Increasingly Focused on Core
Production Capabilities

Efficient Purchasing Practices, Collaborative Supplier Relationships
and Capital Availability all promote disaggregation

The Gig economy requires changes in Management Thinking,
Regulatory Frameworks and Payment Expectations
Source: McKinsey and Co.
Questions?
Ron Sasine
[email protected]
www.hudsonwindsor.com
479/657-0177
© 2016 Hudson Windsor, LLC