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U.S. Financial Regulation Online Economic Seminars www.econseminars.com Last Update: October 7, 2009 1 Part 1 Depository Financial Institutions: Commercial Banks 2 Overview of Banking Regulation ¶ Regulatory Goals and Tools “Reserve Requirements” To ensure sufficient liquidity to convert notes (now deposits) into Specie (now notes), thereby avoiding bank runs ”Capital Requirements” To ensure sufficient capital to allow banks to survive declines in asset prices ”Interbank Relations Rules” To ensure competition among banks and between banks and other institutions • Rules on Mergers and New Bank Formation • Rules on Deposit Interest Rates ”Interindustry Relations Rules” to ensure that combinations between bank and non-bank companies do not weaken banks 3 ”Asset Allocation Rules” To ensure diversification Fractional Reserve Banking 4 First Bank of the United States (1791 – 1811) ¶ Formation Private Bank Formed By Congress With 20 Year Term Advocated By Alexander Hamilton, First Treasury Secretary And Leading Federalist (Democrat) Under Washington Opposed By Jefferson, Madison And Most Republicans 5 First Bank of the United States (1791 – 1811) ¶ Functions Manage State War Debts Recently Assumed By New Federal Government Establish The Public Credit Of The U.S. Provide Strong Central Currency As Alternative To State Banks Act As Federal Fiscal And Monetary Agent • Receive Federal Tax Deposits And Make Payments • Manage U.S. Mint’s Minting of Coin And Purchase/Sale of Specie Act As Private Bank • Make Loans (Excluding Loans to Federal Government) • Issue Bank Notes Convertible Into Specie and Legal Tender For Federal Tax Payment 6 First Bank of the United States (1791 – 1811) ¶ Financing The Bank $10 Million Capitalization • $2 Million From U.S. Treasury - 100% Borrowed From Bank • $8 Million From Private Sources - 25% ($2M) Payable In Specie - 75% ($6M) Payable In Treasury Bonds and Scrip ¶ Revenue Sources Investment And Loan Portfolio Customs Excise Taxes Tax On Whiskey Sales 7 First Bank of the United States ¶ Opposition To First Bank, Primarily In The South Agricultural States Viewed The Bank As • A Tool Of Northern Commercial Interests • A Source Of Weakened Southern Banks • A Source Of Tighter Farm Credit • An Infringement On States’ Rights South Objected To The Excise Tax On Alcohol Used To Finance The Bank’s Interest Payments On States’ Debts • Whiskey Was “A Necessity of Southern Life” • Controversy Led To Shay’s Rebellion (“The Whiskey Rebellion”) in 1794 ¶ Charter Allowed To Expire In 1811 (Under Madison) 8 Second Bank of the United States (1816 – 1836) ¶ Formation Private Bank Formed By Congress With 20 Year Term Advocated By The Democrats (Federalists) With Madison, A Republican, As President ¶ Functions Manage War Of 1812 Debts Provide Strong Central Currency As Alternative To State Banks Act As Federal Fiscal And Monetary Agent • Receive Federal Tax Deposits And Make Payments • Manage U.S. Mint’s Minting of Coin And Purchase/Sale of Specie Act As Private Bank • Make Loans Including Loans to Federal Government • Issue Bank Notes Convertible Into Specie and Legal 9 Tender For Federal Tax Payment Second Bank of the United States ¶ Opposition To Bank Was Primarily In The South Agricultural States Viewed The Bank As • • • • A Tool Of Northern Commercial Interests A Source Of Weakened Southern Banks A Source Of Tighter Farm Credit An Infringement On States’ Rights In Early Years Bank Was Haunted By Corruption • Loans To Political Supporters • Nicholas Biddle Became President In 1822 And Ended Corrupt Practices 10 Second Bank of the United States ¶ Andrew Jackson Was Strong Opponent Objected To Elite Central Institution Not Responsible To “The People” Attempted To End Bank In 1832 By Transferring Federal Deposits To State Banks; Congress Over-Ruled Bank Became Pawn In Jackson-Clay Presidential Campaign Bank Charter Allowed To Expire n 1836 11 The “Free Banking” Era (1836 – 1863) ¶ State Banking All Banks Chartered And Supervised By States State Supervision Focused On • Capital Requirements • Bank Note Reserve Requirements (Usually Specie Plus Eligible Paper) ¶ Era Of Frequent Bank Failures General Relaxation Of Capital And Reserve Requirements Banks Chose To Charter In Easy States Southern Agricultural Banks Most “At Risk” • Agricultural PricesVolatility and Weak Supervision 12 The National Banking Act Of 1863 (Dual Banking) ¶ Established Federally-Chartered Banks Civil War Took Southern Opponents To “National” Banking Out Of Congress Office Of The Comptroller Was Created To Supervise National Banks Federally-Chartered Banks Tended To Have Weak Capital Requirements But Strong Reserve Requirements To Maintain Convertibility • Reserve Requirements Could Be Satisfied By Holding Treasury Securities, Thereby Enhancing War Finance • National Banks Were Required To Accept Each Others ‘13 Notes At Par The National Banking Act Of 1863 ¶ Congress Actively Favored National Banks Levied A 10% Tax On Notes Of State Banks, Effectively Driving State Bank Note Issuance Out Of Existence • State Banks Responded By Shifting Issuance From Notes To Deposits The Act Prohibited Interstate Banking • State Banks Could No Longer Shop For Favorable Charters • State Banks Declined Significantly In Importance 14 The National Banking Act Of 1863 ¶ The Act Did Not Prevent Bank Failures The Panic Of 1873 • Agricultural Prices Collapsed • “The Crime Of 1873” The Panics Of the 1890s • International Gold Flows • The Silver Purchase Act Of 1890 The Panic Of 1907 15 The Federal Reserve Act Of 1913 ¶ Background Crop Cycles And The “Inelastic Currency” • During Harvest Season Demand For Money And Credit Increased But No Source Of Increased Supply • Severe Seasonal Credit Crunches Occurred • Only Moderating Factors Were Inflows Of Foreign Credit And Lending By Clearing Houses 16 The Federal Reserve Act Of 1913 ¶ Background The Panic Of 1907 • Weakening Economy Coincided With Financial Scandal And Harvest Time • Trust Company Failures In NYC Led To Major Credit Lockup • Problem Spread To Interior Banks As NY Correspondents Failed • Resolved By J.P. Morgan And Intervention By Clearing Houses, Treasury, And Strong Banks/Trust Companies 17 The Federal Reserve Act Of 1913 ¶ Federal Reserve System Structure Managed By 7-Member “Board Of Governors” In DC Created 12 “Branches,” Called Federal Reserve Districts Federal Reserve Bank Of New York Was Major District Bank Federal Open Market Committee Formed In 1930s • Function Was To Conduct Monetary Policy • 12 Members--7 BOG Members Plus 5 Regional Bank Presidents In Rotation 18 The Federal Reserve Act Of 1913 ¶ Federal Reserve System Functions Lend To Member Banks At Discount Window • Loans Made On “Real Bills” At “Discount Rate” • Loans For “Need,” Not “Profit” Supervise Member Banks Provide Services To Member Banks • Check Clearing • Coin Sorting Establish Reserve Requirements For Member Banks 19 The Banking Act Of 1933 (Glass-Steagall Act) ¶ Main Features Prohibited Commercial Bank Ownership Of Investment Banks And Insurance Companies Prohibited Payment Of Interest On Demand Deposits Established The FDIC To Insure Bank Deposits Authorized Fed To Supervise Member Banks • Establish Capital Requirements For Member Banks Authorized Fed To Issue Federal Reserve Notes, Limited To 4 times Gold Stock Held 20 The Banking Act Of 1933 (Glass-Steagall Act) ¶ Main Features Expanded Authority Of The Federal Reserve System • Fed Could Set Ceilings On Rates Paid On “Time And Saving Deposits” • Fed Could Set Limits On Margin Loans By Banks And Others 21 Federal Reserve System Responses To 1933 Act ¶ Subsequent Developments Implemented Authority To Restrict “Margin Loans” • Established Regulation “T” For Security Lending By BrokerDealers (1934) • Established Regulation “U” Controlling Security Lending By Banks (1936) • Established Regulation “G” Controlling Security Lending By Non-Bank Domestic Lenders (1968) • Established Regulation “X” Controlling Security Lending By Foreign Lenders (1968) 22 Federal Reserve System Responses To 1933 Act ¶ Subsequent Developments Implemented Regulation “Q” Setting Ceilings On Interest Rates Paid On Bank Time And Saving Deposits (1933) Implemented Regulation “D” Creating Uniform Reserve Requirements For Member Bank Deposits 23 The Bank Holding Company Act Of 1956 ¶ Prohibited Banks From Buying Or Being Owned By Non-Bank Non-Financial Entities (e.g., Industrial Corporations) Concern That Industrial Companies Would Borrow From Banks At Advantageous Terms, Thereby Weakening Banks Concern That BHCs Were Being Used To Circumvent Prohibition Of Interstate Branching via “Chain Banking” Excluded One-Bank Holding Companies 24 Bank Holding Company Act Amendments Of 1970 ¶ Extended To One-Bank Holding Companies The BHCA Limitations On Mergers With Non-Banking Companies 25 The Community Reinvestment Act Of 1977 (CRA) ¶ Introduced Social Criteria Into Bank Lending Initiated By Concerns About “Redlning” FDIC-Insured anks Evaluated On Basis Of Lending Within Deposit-Generating Communities • Focuses On Limiting Deposit Drains To Outside Areas • CRA Does Not Require Making Loans With High Default Prospects Federal Reserve System Was Charged With Evaluating CRA Compliance 26 The Community Reinvestment Act Of 1977 (CRA) ¶ Government Sponsored Entities (FNMA, FHLMC) Also Required To Meet Social Criteria Monitored By HUD HUD Introduced “Special Affordable Loan” Requirement • GSEs Must Have A Minimum Share Of New Loans To Borrowers With Incomes Below 60% Of Community Median • GSEs SAL Minimum Started at 12% of New Mortgages In 1996, Rose to 28% in 2008 27 The Depository Institutions Deregulation And Monetary Control Act of 1980 (DIDMCA) ¶ Initiated Removal Of Glass-Steagall Restrictions Established Uniform Reserve Requirements For Banks and Thrift Institutions Phased Out Requlation Q, Allowing Unlimited Interest Payments on Time And Saving Deposits Allowed Interest Payments On Substitutes For Demand Deposits (NOW Accounts) 28 The Depository Institutions Deregulation And Monetary Control Act of 1980 (DIDMCA) ¶ Other Actions Liberalized Investment Authority of Thrift Institutions • S&Ls Could Invest Up To 20% In Non-Mortgage Assets • MSBs Coukd Invest Up To 5% In Non-Mortgage Increased FDIC Deposit Insurance To $100K from $40K Required Federal Reserve System To Price Its Services (Check Clearing, Coin Sorting, FedWire, ACH, etc.) 29 The Financial Industry Modernization Act of 1999 [Called Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act, Or GLB Act] ¶ Continued Dismantling Of Glass-Steagall Act In 1994 CitiBank Bought Travelers Insurance And Salomon Brothers’ Smith-Barney Brokerage To Form CtiGroup • CitiGroup Formation Illegal Under Glass-Steagall • CitiBank Received Waiver To Allow Merger GLB Act Formalized Approval Of CitiGroup By Allowing Any Commercial Bank To Undertake Cross-Industry Mergers • Chase Bank Buys JPMorgan to Create JPMorganChase Cross-Industry Merger Approval Conditioned On “Satisfactory” CRA Rating In Most Recent Evaluation 30 Part 1.2 Bank Supervisory Agencies 31 Supervisory Agency Structure Comptroller of the Currency 1863 National Chartered Banks Federal Reserve System 1913 State Chartered FRB Members Federal Deposit Insurance Corp 1933 National Chartered Banks State Chartered Banks Savings Banks State Banking Commissions Various State Chartered Banks Office of Thrift Supervision, FDIC, And State Banking Commisions Various Savings and Loan Associations Savings Banks 32 Supervisory Agency Ratings ¶ The CAMELS System (1978) CAMELS Criteria • Capital Adequacy • Asset Quality • Management Ability • Earnings Performance • Liquidity • Sensitivity To Market Risk The CAMELS Ratings • Rating Based On Call Reports, Field Visits - Scored From 1 (Poor) To 5 (Excellent) - Results Are Not Public • Rating Assigned By Lead Supervisory Agency 33 The Basle Accords ¶ Basle I (1988) Established International Standards For Bank Supervision Defined “Capital” • Tier 1 Capital = Common Equity Paid In + Cumulative Retained Earnings + Noncumulative Preferred Stock • Tier 2 Capital = + + + Hybrid Debt Subordinated Debt Loan Loss Reserves Contingency Reserves 34 The Basle Accords ¶ Basle I (1988) Established Capital Composition Standards • At Least 50% Of Capital Had To Be Tier 1 • No More Than 50% Of Tier 2 Capital In Subordinated Debt Set “Risk-Based” Capital Requirements (Credit Risk Only) 35 The Basle Accords ¶ Basle II (2004) Extended Types Of Risk Evaluated • Credit Risk • Operational Risk • Market Risk Credit Risk Requirements • Standard Method—e.g. 8% of Average Risk-Adjusted Assets • Internal Risk-Based Analysis (Option For Large Banks) Market Risk • Basle II Recommends “Value At Risk” (VaR) 36 Basle II: Measuring Market Risk By VaR Example of VaR Analysis of Capital Required (Cumulative Probability Distribution Of Gain or 1.00 0.90 Capital Required for 5% Wipeout and 40% Volatility = 67% of Net Assets 0.70 0.60 Capital Required for 5% Wipeout and 20% Volatility = 33.5% of Net Assets 0.50 0.40 Expected Net Asset Increase in Next Y ear = 0.0% 0.30 0.20 0.10 5% Critical Probability 2.65 2.50 2.35 2.20 2.05 1.90 1.75 1.60 1.45 1.30 1.15 1.00 0.85 0.70 0.55 0.40 0.25 0.10 -0.05 -0.20 -0.35 -0.50 -0.65 -0.80 -0.95 -1.10 -1.25 -1.40 -1.55 -1.70 -1.85 0.00 -2.00 Cumulative Prbability 0.80 Percentage Gain or Loss Low Volatility (s=0.20) high volatility (s=0.40) 37 Problems With VaR ¶ Non-Normality In Distribution Of Returns Above-Normal Probability Of Large Asset Price Declines • Fat Tails And • “Black Swans” ¶ Use Of Historical Data Historical Measurement Of Correlations Between Asset Returns Dramatic Changes In Correlations In Crisis Periodx Failure To Incorporate Connections Between Markets 38 What Went Wrong With Commercial Banks In 2008? ¶ Off Balance Sheet Investments Structured Investment Vehicles • Independent Entities Created By Banks - Sold To Investors (Hedge Funds, High-Wealth) - Investors Financed Purchase Wiyj Short-Term Loans (Commercial Paper) - Banks Had No Explicit Obligation To Redeem - Bank’s Did Provide Letters of Credit (Commitments To Replace Short-Term Loans If Normal Lenders Withdrew) 39 What Went Wrong With Commercial Banks In 2008? ¶ Off Balance Sheet Investments The Collapse Of SIVs • During Credit Freeze In Fall, Banks Forced To Make Loans To SIVs, Selling Assets And Restricting Bank Loans • Banks Faced Implicit Commitents To Repurchase SIV Assets (”Reputational Put) 40 What Went Wrong With Commercial Banks In 2008? ¶ Changes In Supervisory Philosophy The Shift To Internal Risk Assessment (Basle II) • Applied To Large Banks • Rested On Poor Assumptions - Quantitative Risk Management Methods (VaR) Were Suitable - Management Incentives Were Aligned With Shareholders 41 Part 2 Depository Financial Institutions: Thrift Institutions Savings And Loan Associations And Mutual Savings Banks 42 Thrift Institutions ¶ Designed To Collect Savings Deposits And Invest In Residential Mortgages ¶ S&L Deposits Insured By Federal Savings And Loan Insurance Corporation (FSLIC)L Institutions; MSB Deposits Insured By State Insurance Funds 43 Thrift Institutions ¶ Fatal Flaws Borrowed Short-Term (Deposits) And Made Long-Term Loans (Mortgages) • Viability Required Upward-Sloping Yield Curve And Stable Interest Rates Undiversified Assets--Entirely In Residential Mortgages 44 Important Legislation ¶ Federal Home Loan Bank Act of 1932 Created FHLB System Modeled After Federal Reserve System • Twelve Regional Banks • Authority To Lend To S&Ls On Mortgage Collateral Allowed Federally Chartered S&Ls 45 Important Legislation ¶ Federal Savings And Loan Insurance Act Of 1934 Created FSLIC • Modeled After FDIC • Supervised By FHLB Board • Insured S&L Deposits 46 Important Legislation ¶ Formation Of Government Sponsored Entities Federal National Mortgage Association (1938) • Purchased FHA/VA-Insured Mortgages • Financed By Bonds And “Pass-Thru” Securities • “Privatized” In 1968 Government National Mortgage Association (1968) • Supervised By HUD • Purchased Conventional And FHA/VA Mortgages 47 Important Legislation ¶ Formation Of Government Sponsored Entities Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp (1970) • Supervised By FHLB Board • Purchased Conventional Mortgages 48 Important Legislation ¶ Interest Rate Control Act of 1966 Subjected S&L Deposits to Regulation Q Ceiling Plus +.25% Goals: • Protect Income Of Thrift Institutions • Allow Thrifts A Small Deposit Rate Advantage Over Commercial Banks 49 Important Legislation ¶ DIDMCA of 1980 Liberalized Investment Authority of Thrift Institutions • S&Ls Could Invest Up To 20% In Non-Mortgage Assets • MSBs Could Invest Up To 5% In Non-Mortgage Assets Eliminated Interest Rate Ceilings On Deposits (Reg Q) Required Federal Reserve To Price Services To Banks (Check Clearing, Coin Sorting, Currency Replacement) 50 Important Legislation ¶ Depository Institutions Act Of 1982 (Garn-St. Germain) Broadened Powers of S&Ls • Allowed Investment of Up To 40% In Commercial Mortgages And 10% In Commercial Loans • Allowed S&Ls To Borrow An Unlimited Amount In Non-Deposit Loans • Shifted Risk Management Responsibility From Regulators To Bank/S&L Management • Allowed Any Depository Institution To Borrow From FDIC Or FSLIC To Replenish Capital 51 Other Important Events ¶ Advent Of Junk Bonds Michael Milken Sees That Below-Investment-Grade Bonds Earn More Than High-Rated Bonds After Adjusting For Defaults Drexel, Burnham, Lambert Creates A Market For Junk Bonds • Junk Bonds Allowed Smaller Companies To Get Access To Long-Term Financing • S&Ls Bought Junk Bonds On A Large Scale As A Way To Diversify Beyond Mortgages and Get High Returns 52 What Went Wrong With Thrifts? ¶ Interest Rates Rose, Especially Short Rates Long-Term Rate Increases Created Losses In Value Of Mortgage Assets, Wiping Out Capital Yield Curve Tilt Created Losses On Income Account, Threatening Liquidity 53 What Went Wrong With Thrifts? ¶ S&Ls Invested Heavily In Bad Loans Oil Prices and Home Prices Broke In The Mid-1980s Lack of Familiarity With New Lending Opportunities Scandalous Abuses In S&L Investing: The Keating Episode Mortgage Foreclosures Increased And S&Ls Began Failing, First in The South Then Elsewhere 54 Resolution: The Financial Institution Reform, Recovery, And Enforcement Act Of 1989 (FIRREA) ¶ Forced Insolvent S&Ls to Fail Or Be Bought By Stronger Institutions ¶ FSLIC Paid Off Depositors of Failed S&Ls And Acquired S&L Assets For Resale ¶ Resolution Trust Company (RTC) Was Formed to Sell Foreclosed Homes And Other Assets Acquired From S&Ls RTC Dissolves in 1993 After Cost To Taxpayer Of $150-$300 Billion 55 The Financial Institution Reform, Recovery, And Enforcement Act Of 1989 (FIRREA) ¶ Regulatory Restructuring The FHLBB Was Dissolved The Office Of Thrift Supervision (OTS) Was Formed To Regulate All Thrift-Type Institutions (S&Ls And Mutual Savings Banks) 56 Part 3 Security Markets 57 Important Legislation ¶ Securities Act Of 1933 Required Registration Of Issued Securities With The SEC With Some Exceptions: • Securities Issued By Banks And S&Ls • Securities Issued By Religious And Charitable Organizations • Life Insurance And Pension Policy Liabilities • Notes With Less Than 270-Day Maturity (Commercial Paper) • 58 Private Placements Important Legislation ¶ Securities Act Of 1933 Registration Statements Must Specify: • Risk Factors • Any Material Information Civil Penalties Levied For Failure To Register Or To Properly Disclose Relevant Information 59 Important Legislation ¶ Securities Exchange Act Of 1934 Created Extensive Regulation Of Companies Issuing Securities, Of Security Broker-Dealers, And Of Security Exchanges Periodic Reporting To SEC By Companies With Publicly-Traded Securities • Form Annual 10-K And Quarterly 10Ql Reports • Form 8-K Reorts Of Unusual Events • Reports Of Insider Transaction • Reports Of Acquistions Of Over 5% Of Any Security Class 60 Important Legislation ¶ Securities Exchange Act Of 1934 Broker-Dealer Regulation • Segregation Of Accounts (Except net free credit) • Net Capital Rule: $100K Or 2% Of Debit Balances (50:1 Leverage) • Duty To Act In Clients’ Interest - Churning and Excessive Fees - Conflicts Of Interest In Proprietary Trading (Front Running) 61 Important Legislation ¶ Securities Exchange Act Of 1934 Prohibition Of “Market Manipulation” And Of Preferential Treatment Of Customers • Stock Gunning • Links Between Underwriting And Trading Desks • IPO Flipping And IPO Allocation Preferences • Insider Trading On Private Information • Disproportional Allocation Of Gains/Losses 62 Important Legislation ¶ Securities Exchange Act Of 1934 SEC Regulation Of Security Exchanges • Authority To Set Margin Requirements For Member Firms (Delegated To Fed) • Authority To Regulate Exchange-Traded Options (Delegated tp CBOE And Other SROs) • Authority To Regulate Futures Markets (Delegated tp CFTC) 63 Important Legislation ¶ Investment Company Act Of 1940 Regulates Investment Companies • Unit Trusts: Fixed Asset Composition • Management Companies: Variable Portfolio - Open-End Investment Companies (Mutual Funds) • Shares Sold And Redeemed By Company • Shares Continuously Distributed • Shares Priced Daily At Net Asset Value (NAV) - Closed-End Investment Companies • Shares Sold At IPO And Traded On Exchanges • Shares Priced Continuously At Market • Share Price Can Be At Premium Or Discount To NAV 64 Important Legislation ¶ Investment Company Act Of 1940 Aspects Of Investment Companies Act • Requires Registration With SEC • All Securities Must Be Held In Trust Account • Must Pay Out At Least 90% Of Income To Avoid Being Taxed At Trust Level • Prohibited From Borrowing Except From Banks For Temporary Purposes (Redemptions)--No “Margin” • Prohibited From Issuing “Senior Securities” - Debt Or Preferred Stock, Short Sales 65 Important Legislation ¶ Investment Company Act Of 1940 Mutual Fund Shennanigans (“Spitzerisms”) • Market Timing - Use Of After-Hours Info To Place Fund Orders - Example: Int’l Securities Close At 10AM USEST Or Later So Price Info Not Embedded In 4PM Closing NAV On Prior Day • Late Trading - Placing Orders After 4PM To Be Executed At 4PM NAV • Cherry-Picking Asset Sales To Meet Redemptions 66 - Selling Most Marketable Assets to Pay Out Cash Important Legislation ¶ Investment Advisors Act Of 1940 Requires Registration With SEC Of Any Investment Advisor Who Uses The Mail Or Any Form Of Interstate Commerce In The Conduct Of Business • Exceptions - Advisors Whose Clients All Reside Within The State Of The Advisor’s Office And Who Do Not Advise On Securities Traded On Listed Exchanges - Advisors Whose Only Clients Are Insurance Companies - Advisors Who Have Fewer Than 15 Clients And Who Do Not Represent Themselves To The Public - Advisors Who Are Charitable Organizations Or The Employees Of, Or Volunteers To, Such Entities 67 Important Legislation ¶ Securities Investors Protection Act (SIPA) Of 1970 Establishes SIPC • SIPC Authorized To Borrow $1 Billion From Treasury • All Registered Broker-Dealers Must Be Members • Members Pay Flat Insurance Premium - 1/2 Of 1% Of Gross Revenues 68 Important Legislation ¶ Securities Investors Protection Act (SIPA) Of 1970 Insures Broker-Dealer Accounts Up To $500K • Coverage - Direct Client Accounts (“Feeder” Is Insured Entity) - All Fully Paid Securities In Cash Accounts - “Free Cash Balances” In Margin Accounts - Cash Covered Up To $100K 69 What Went Wrong In Securities Markets In 2008? ¶ Mutual Funds: Collateral Damage Redemptions In Excess Of Cash Balances • Withdrawal Of Bank Letters Of Credit • Forced Sales Of Securities 70 What Went Wrong In Securities Markets In 2008? ¶ Stock Markets: Collateral Damage Breach Of Maintenance Margin Requirements • Forced Sales Of Securities By Customers Breach Of Broker-Dealer Collateral Requirements • Banks Call Loans To Brokers’ Trading Departments • Forced Sales Of Securities By Broker-Dealers 71 Part 4 Commodities Futures And Derivative Securities 72 Commodities Futures 73 Essentials Of Commodity Trading ¶ Occurs Primarily Through Futures Contracts Contract To Deliver Or Take Delivery Of A Commodity At A Specific Date And Place And At A Specific Price Parties To Contract • Hedgers - Short Hedgers: Hold Or Expect To Have Commodity Units At A Future Date (e.g., Fuel Oil Producer) - Long Hedgers: Committed To Sell Commodity at Future Date (e.g., Fuel Oil Company) • Speculators - Short Speculators: Sell In Expectation Of Price Decline 74 - Long Speculators: Buy In Expectation Of Price Increase Essentials Of Commodity Trading ¶ Economic Functions Of Futures Contracts Price Discovery • Provide Current Economic Agents With Information About Future Prices - Example: Farmers Can Plan Crop Amounts More Efficiently--Plant Less When Prices Are Expected To Fall, More When Prices Expected To Rise 75 Essentials Of Commodity Trading ¶ Economic Functions Of Futures Contracts Create Efficient Intertemporal Allocation Of Supply • If Prices Expected To Rise, Producers Will Store Product Now And Sell In Future--Thereby Aiding Consumers By Providing More Supply In Scarcer Times • If Prices Expected To Fall, Producers Will Reduce Stockpiles Now And Restore In Future At Lower Prices-Thereby Aiding Consumers By Shifting Supply From Low-Price Future To High-Price PresentStore Product Now And Sell In Future--Thereby Aiding Consumers By Providing More Supply In Scarcer Times 76 Essentials Of Commodity Trading ¶ Characteristics Of Commodity Prices Determined In Auction Market (Pit) By Open Outcry • Clearing Price Is That For Which Long Hedges+Long Specs = Short Hedges+Short Specs • Storeable Commdities Typically Are In “Contango” (Futures Price Exceeds Spot Price by Cost Of Carry) • Perishable Commodities (Onions) Have No Normal Future vs. Spot Relationship 77 Essentials Of Commodity Trading ¶ Role Of Exchange Clearing House Guarantee Completion Of Payments (Counterparty Risk) Establish Characteristics Of Standardised Contract Maintain Records On Contracts Traded And Contracting Parties Mark Accounts To Market Daily, And Transfer Losses To Gaining Accounts 78 Federal Regulation Of Commodities Futures ¶ Early Acts Grain Futures Act (1922) Commodity Exchange Act (1936) • Supplanted Grain Futures Act • Established Commodities Exchange Commission • Prohibited Market Manipulations And Fraudulent and Abusive Behavior • Regulation Applied Only To Agricultural Futures Contracts • Required All Futures Contracts To Be Traded On Exchanges Onion Futures Act (1958) • Prohibited Trading Of Onion Futures 79 Federal Regulation Of Futures Contracts ¶ Commodity Futures Trading Commission (1974) Amended 1936 Act To Extend Regulation To “All Futures Contracts” Traded On Exchanges Response To Rise Of Non-Agricultural Futures (Financials And Currencies) Excluded Forward Contracts And OTC Contracts Between “Sophisticated Parties.” Left Status Of Swap Agreements Uncertain, Excluding Them By CFTC Action Rather Than Congressional Mandate 80 Federal Regulation Of Futures Contracts ¶ Commodity Futures Modernization Act (2000) Clarified Legal Status Of OTC Contracts Excluded OTC Instruments • Forward Contracts Between Private Parties • Swap Agreements (Financial, Currency and Credit Default Swaps) Authorized Trading Of Single Stock Futures (Prior Authorization Had Been Only For Index Futures) 81 Financial Derivatives 82 Futures Contracts For Common Stocks ¶ Stock Index Futures Trading Began In 1983 With Value Line Index • Same Principles As Physical Commodities • Most Traded On NYSE/AMEX • Index Arbitrage: Establishes Relationship Between Futures And Spot Prices - Futures Price Equals Expected Spot Price Discounted @(1+r) - Changes In Futures Price Affect Spot Price 83 Futures Contracts For Common Stocks ¶ Single Stock Futures Contract Illegal Prior To Commodities Exchange Modernization Act (2000) First Single Stock Futures Contracts Traded in 2002 84 Options On Common Stocks ¶ Types Of Options Call Option • Option, But Not Obligation, To Buy Stock At A Fixed Price (The Strike Price) On Or Before A Specified Date • Holder Profits If Price At Exercise Exceeds Strike Price Put Option • Option, But Not Obligation, To Sell Stock At A Fixed Price (The Strike Price) On Or Before A Specified Date • Holder Profits If Price At Exercise Is Less Than The Spot Price 85 Options On Common Stocks ¶ Option Trading OTC Prior To 1973 CBOE Created In 1973 • Standardized Contracts: Expiration Dates, Strike Prices • Clearing House (OCC) To Bear Counterparty Risk And Monitor Trading In Options CBOE And NYSE/AMEX (NYSE/EuroNext) Are The Major Exchanges 86 Options On Common Stocks ¶ Option Regulation SEC - CFTC Turf Disputes SEC Is Primary Regulator Of Options On Stocks And Stock Indexes CFTC Is Primary Regulator Of Options On Futures Contracts 87 Credit Default Swaps ¶ Characteristics Created As Unregulated OTC Contracts Significant Counterparty Risk • No Clearing House • Buyer Requires Collateral From Seller 88 Credit Default Swaps ¶ Payment Triggered By “Credit Events” Specified In Particular Contracts • Buyer Pays Premium Based On Risk (Standard is 5% Of Protected Value) • Seller Pays Net Loss - Can Buy Securities At Face Value Or Pay Net Loss 89 What Went Wrong In 2008? ¶ The OTC Swap Market--Particularly CDSs--Had Created Extreme Interconnectedness Among Financial Institutions ¶ Trouble In One Market Was Rapidly Transmitted To Other Instruments And Markets Bank Loans To SIVs To Replace Commercial Paper Created Short-Term Credit Squeeze Credit Freeze Arising From Bank SIVs Resulted In High Libor Rates Used In Financial Swap Agreements Trading Departments At Investment Banks Faced Collateral Calls From Counterparties, Forcing Asset Sales Failure Of Lehman And AIG Triggered An Escalation In Counterparty Risk 90