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Transcript
Chapter 13
The Foreign
Exchange Market
Topics to be Covered
• Foreign Exchange Market
• Exchange Rate
• Types of Exchange Rates:



Spot Rates
Forward Rates
Cross Rates
• Arbitrage and Hedging
• Swaps, Futures, and Options
• Central Bank Intervention
• Black Markets and Parallel Markets
Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
13-2
Foreign Exchange Market
• The Foreign Exchange Market (FEM) is a
market where one country’s money is traded
for that of another country.
• The “money” that is traded is bank deposits or
bank transfers of deposits denominated in a
foreign currency.
• The FEM consists primarily of large
commercial banks in world financial centers
such as New York or London. These
financial centers operate in different time
zones (refer to Figure 13.1).
Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
13-3
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13-4
Exchange Rate
• Exchange Rate (XR)—the price of one
money in terms of another.
• Types of Exchange Rates:



Spot XR vs. Forward XR
US $ equivalent vs. foreign currency per US $
Cross XR
Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
13-5
Spot Market
• Spot Market is where currencies are traded
“on the spot”, that is, for immediate delivery.
The exchange rate here is called the spot XR.
• Table 13.1 refers to the New York FEM.
• Exchange rates are quoted at a specific day
and time.
• The rates are for large, wholesale trades
($1 million or more) among banks; the smaller
the quantity of foreign exchange purchased
(retail transaction), the higher the price.
Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
13-6
Spot Market (cont.)
• The different exchange rates are expressed
either as: (1) U.S. $ per unit of the foreign
currency; (2) Foreign currency per U.S. $
(or the reciprocal).
• The rates are “midrange” quotes or
the average of the banks’ buying and
selling prices.
Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
13-7
Spread
• Spread—the difference between the
buying and selling price of a currency.
• The spread will tend to be higher for
thinly or low-volume traded currencies
or for high-risk currencies (refer to Table
13.2 Currency spreads).
Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
13-9
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13-10
Arbitrage
• Arbitrage—the activity of
simultaneously buying a currency in
one market while selling in another to
take advantage of profit opportunities.
• Arbitrage could involve more than
two currencies.
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13-12
Cross Rate
• Cross Rate—the third exchange rate
implied by any two exchange rates
involving three currencies.
• Since the dollar is actively traded with
many currencies, any two exchange
rates involving dollars can be used to
determine cross rates.
Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
13-13
Forward Rates
and Forward Exchange Market
• Much of international trade is contracted in
advance of delivery and payment.
• What options does the importer have with
respect to payment?

Wait until day of delivery of the imported
commodity and then buy the foreign currency.

Buy the foreign currency now and hold or invest
it for the contract period.

Use the forward exchange market.
Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
13-14
Forward Rates (cont.)
• Forward exchange market—where a
currency may be bought and sold at a
price (i.e., forward rate) agreed upon
today but for delivery at a future date.
Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
13-15
Depreciation vs. Appreciation
• Depreciation—when the value of one
currency falls relative to another. For
example, if the U.S. dollar depreciates
against the Swiss franc, then it takes
more dollars to buy one franc.
• Appreciation—when the value of one
currency rises relative to another.
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13-16
Forward Premium vs.
Forward Discount
• Forward Premium—when the forward
exchange rate is greater than the
spot rate.
• Forward Discount—when the forward
exchange rate is less than the spot rate.
• Flat Currency—when the forward rate
and spot rate are equal.
Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
13-17
Foreign Exchange Swap
• Foreign Exchange Swap—an agreement to
trade currencies at one date and then reverse
the trade at a later date.
• The swap serves as a borrowing and a
lending operation combined in one deal.
• These agreements are frequently used by
commercial banks for inter-bank trading.
• Swaps account for over 50% of the volume of
trading activity in the foreign exchange market
(refer to Table 13.4).
Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
13-18
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13-19
Hedging
• Hedging—an activity to offset or avoid
risk in the market.
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13-20
Foreign Exchange Futures Market
• Futures market is similar to the forward market
where currencies may be bought and sold for
future delivery.
• The futures market differs from the forward market
in that:




Only a few currencies are traded
Trading occurs in standardized contracts
Trading occurs in a specific geographic location such
as the International Monetary Market of the Chicago
Mercantile Exchange
Futures contracts are for smaller amounts of currency and
are a useful hedging tool for smaller firms
Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
13-21
Foreign Currency Option
• Foreign Currency Option—a contract that
provides the right to buy or sell a currency at
a fixed exchange rate on or before the
maturity date.
• Call Option—an option to buy currency.
• Put Option—an option to sell currency.
• Striking or Exercise Price—the price of the
currency stated in an option contract.
Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
13-22
Foreign Currency Option (cont.)
• Foreign currency options were first traded
in December 1982 at the Philadelphia
Stock Exchange.
• The options contracts cover only a few foreign
currencies and their fixed amounts are
smaller than those of futures contracts.
• Unlike a future or forward contract, the option
offers the right to buy or sell if desired in the
future and is not an obligation.
Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
13-23
Supply of and Demand for
Foreign Currency
• Refer to Figure 13.2 Dollar/Pound Market
• Demand for pounds curve—arises from the
U.S. demand for British goods, services, and
financial assets.
• Supply of pounds curve—comes from the
British demand for U.S. goods, services, and
financial assets.
• Equilibrium exchange rate—found at the
intersection of the demand and supply curves.
Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
13-24
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13-25
Central Bank Intervention
• Central banks, such as the Federal Reserve,
buy and sell foreign exchange to influence the
values of their currencies.
• Suppose the U.S. demand for British goods
increases, which causes the demand for
pounds to shift to the right. As a result, the
dollar depreciates and pound appreciates.
• Either the Bank of England or the Fed may
intervene to stop the pound appreciation by
selling pounds in the foreign exchange
market.
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13-26
Fixed Exchange Rate
• Fixed Exchange Rate—where a central
bank actively intervenes in the foreign
exchange market so as to keep the
exchange rate from changing.
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13-27
Flexible Exchange Rate
• Flexible Exchange Rate—where the
exchange rate is determined by freemarket forces of demand and supply.
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13-28
Black Market
• Black Market—an illegal market in
foreign exchange. Usually a result of
restrictive government policies on
foreign exchange transactions.
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13-29
Parallel Market
• Parallel Market—a free market allowed
by government to coexist with the official
market.
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13-30