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Standard HS.S-MD.6 (+) Use probabilities to make fair decisions (e.g. drawing by lots, using a random number generator.) *Statistics and Probability is a Modeling Conceptual Category Knowledge Target Recall previous understandings of probability. Learning Targets Reasoning Target Performance Skill Target Use probabilities to make fair decisions (e.g. drawing by lots, using a random number generator.) Product Target From Appendix A: Extend to more complex probability models. Include situations such as those involving quality control, or diagnostic tests that yield both false positive and false negative results. Standards for Mathematical Practice Make sense of problems and persevere in solving them. Reason abstractly and quantitatively. Construct viable arguments and critique the reasoning of others. Model with mathematics. Use appropriate tools strategically. Attend to precision. Look for and make use of structure. Look for and express regularity in repeated reasoning. DECONSTRUCTIONS PRODUCED BY: Kentucky Department of Education