* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
Download Lecture23
Transformation in economics wikipedia , lookup
Internationalization wikipedia , lookup
International factor movements wikipedia , lookup
Balance of trade wikipedia , lookup
Development theory wikipedia , lookup
Development economics wikipedia , lookup
Labour standards in the World Trade Organization wikipedia , lookup
Lecture 23 In Defense of Globalization Or Jagdish Bhagwati in Action Anti Globalization: Why? • Two critical groups: – Hard Core: • Won’t be persuaded by rational argument • Hold Trilogy of beliefs, plus – Anti-capitalist, capitalism exploits weak countries – anti-corporation: multi-nationals are principle agents of exploitation – All leads to anti-globalization as force which facilitates growth of capitalist corporation – Anti-American, – Mainstream dissenters • View globalization as source of – Poverty, environmental deterioration, child labour, cultural imperialism, female exploitation • Rebut Mainstream dissenters Perils of Globalization • Globalization is an aggregate of – – – – Capital flows trade in goods and services, immigration diffusion of technology • Globalization is faster today • Globalization creates greater instability due to greater integration • Globalization is a product of technical change and government intervention to reduce barriers. An optimal Speed for Globalization? • Can you manage globalization ? • What institutions are available? • How fast do we lower barriers for – Trade in form of tariffs and quotas – Immigration flows – Capital flows • Is one rate (big bang or crawl) good for all countries? I. Poverty Enhanced or Diminished? • Does globalization reduce poverty? – Yes, via globalization leading to growth which in turn leads to poverty reduction. – Some types of growth reduce poverty faster than other types of growth • Tigers used export led labour intensive growth • India growth was inward and relied on capital intensive project. No connection between growth and poverty reduction Trade and Growth • How does trade lead to growth ? – – – – Specialization leads to gains from trade Trade allows scale economies which leads to growth Trade increases competition and reduces monopolies Out-ward looking trade countries have macroeconomic stability; low inflation, stable exchange rates. – Export earnings allow importation of advanced technology Examples of India and China • China: outward looking and poverty reduction from 28 % in 1978 to 8 percent today. • India; Inward looking 55% poverty rate was near constant • World-wide: – 1970’s 11% poor in Africa and 76% in Asia – 2000: Africa had 67% of poor and 15% in Asian II. Child Labour Increased or Reduced? • Evidence: Increased household earnings and specialization has reduced child labour – Vietnam: 26% of children work in ag and only 7% elsewhere – Increased income in poor countries allows households to send children to school III. Women Harmed or Helped? • Trade and the Wage Gender Gap – Greatest when there is no free trade since • Monopolies can discriminate against women if not contested in the labour market in closed market • Opening market will cause competition and force end of discrimination • Global Female migration: migrant is better off to be free of attachments and host women are better off • Unpaid work: Trade is neutral on this issue • Trade Agreements lead to low wage female intensive work in EPZs (export processing zones) – Not true, females are paid more in EPZ’s than in farm • Evils, working in middle east, prostitution and trafficing IV Democracy and Globalization? • Globalization aids democracy in two ways – Indirectly by creating social conditions • Increased education, social equality and breaking class structure – Directly: • Farmers now by pass intermediaries with computers to sell their products – Examples of globalization fostering democracy – Chile under Pinochet, Spain, Indonesia, South Korea • Globalization can reduce social spending on education, health and welfare and jeapordize democratic reforms. • Democratic Deficit: Politicians approve globalization when people are against it V. Culture: Imperiled or enriched? • English is a killer language spread by globalization • But immigration has caused countries to go bilingual USA and Spainish • UNESCO estimates that cultural exports from LDC’s have risen from 12 to 30 % between 1978-2000 • Globalization may destroy indigenous cultures by taking lands or passing them by. • Free trade must allow for cultural exceptions – Free imports of films etc with subisding local productions is optimal solution. VI. Wages and Labour Standards at Stake? • Labour saving technology and not globalization has caused labour displacement in developed countries • Race to the bottom on labour standards is really race to the top as DC lobbyists force LDC’s to raise labour standards. VII Environment and Globalization • Free Trade reduced emissions from autos since under restrictions only gas guzzzlers exported. • Free trade in ag will lead to less chemical based framing techniques • Increased income in poor countries reduces pollution as new technologies emerge • Race to Bottom: Lower environmental standards to attract investment. No supporting evidence that this occurs. • WTO and the Environment – Hormone fed beef and GM; WTO rule is that an exclusion of an import must be based on scientific evidence. And there is none. – Dolphins: production, processes and methods (PPMs) violates ethical preferences unless dolphins protected when tuna caught then one could ban that tuna was denied because it is de facto discrimination • WTO denies PPM’s seen as non-tariff barrier • Free Riders on Koyoto: US not meet standards. Must do something. Good Governance • Coping with downsides – Adjusted assistance: • domestically implemented but externally funded • WTO dispute mechanism should trigger an aid response when it is a burden to poor countries – Use generalized trade sanctions and – Sanctions for not meeting pre-conditions (i.e. no child labour) To cope with downsides