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______________________________________________________________________________ 3. THE ATMOSPHERE The atmosphere is the name for a layer of gases that surround a body of sufficiently large mass. The gases are attracted by the gravity of the body, and held fast if gravity is sufficient (thaerefore mass must be large) and the atmosphere's temperature is low. Some planets (called gas giants) consist mainly of various gases, and thus have very deep atmospheres. Earth, Venus, Mars, and Pluto have atmospheres that surround their surfaces. Other bodies in the solar system such as the moon possess extremely thin atmospheres. This topic will focus on the structure of the Earth’s atmosphere. 3.1 Structure and Composition Earth's atmosphere is a layer of gases surrounding the planet Earth and retained by the Earth's gravity. It contains roughly 78% nitrogen and 21% oxygen, trace amounts of other gases, and water vapor. The mixture of gases is commonly known as air. The atmosphere protects life on Earth by absorbing ultraviolet solar radiation and reducing temperature extremes between day and night. The atmosphere has no abrupt cut-off. It slowly becomes thinner and fades away into space. There is no definite boundary between the atmosphere and outer space. Three-quarters of the atmosphere's mass is within 11 km of the planetary surface. The Karman line, at 100 km, is frequently used as the boundary between atmosphere and space. The Earth’s atmosphere is made up of several layers, that is, in order from the earth surface: Troposphere, startosphere, mesosphere, thermosphere and exosphere. The boundaries between these regions are named the tropopause, stratopause, and mesopause. In addition, the ozone layer occurs, which is a layer of air which is rich in ozone (O3). The ozone layert runs from the stratosphere to the thermosphere (10-50km). Each of the mentioned strata has a different composition, temperature and pressure. J. Henwood Intermediate Environmental Science- Atmosphere V1.0 ______________________________________________________________________________ J. Henwood Intermediate Environmental Science- Atmosphere V1.0 ______________________________________________________________________________ 3.1.1 Temperature and the atmospheric layers The average temperature of the atmosphere at the surface of earth is 14 °C. The temperature of the Earth's atmosphere varies with altitude and between the different atmospheric layers: - troposphere: From the Greek word "tropos" meaning to turn or mix. The troposphere is - the lowest layer of the atmosphere starting at the surface going up to between 7 km at the poles and 17 km at the equator with some variation due to weather factors. The troposphere has a great deal of vertical mixing due to solar heating at the surface. Weather occurs within the trophosphere; stratosphere: from that 7–17 km range to about 50 km, temperature increasing with - height; mesosphere: from about 50 km to the range of 80 km to 85 km, temperature decreasing - with height; and thermosphere: from 80–85 km to 640+ km, temperature increasing with height. The temperatures present within the layers is presented below: In some cases, the ionosphere is also distinguished. This is the part of the atmosphere that is ionized by solar radiation and includes the exosphere and the thermosphere. The processes occurring within the atmosphere are rather complex. Within the troposphere, weather occurs and thus the interactions occurring are rather complex, as given in the diagram on the following page. J. Henwood Intermediate Environmental Science- Atmosphere V1.0 ______________________________________________________________________________ J. Henwood Intermediate Environmental Science- Atmosphere V1.0 ______________________________________________________________________________ 3.2 Solar Radiation and the Atmosphere Solar radiation is radiant energy emitted by the sun, particularly electromagnetic energy. On Earth, solar radiation is obvious as daylight when the sun is above the horizon. This occurs during daytime, and at night in summer near the poles, but not at all in winter near the poles. When the direct radiation is not blocked by clouds, it is experienced as sunshine, a combination of bright yellow light (sunlight in the strict sense) and heat. 3.2.1 Interaction of Solar Radiation with the Atmosphere The average energy density (the average energy per metre square) of solar radiation just above the Earth's atmosphere , in a plane perpendicular to the rays, is about 1367 Wm-2, a value called the solar constant (although it fluctuates by a few parts per thousand from day to day, and is more at the equator than at the poles). The Earth allows 1/4th the solar constant or ~342 Wm-2 (a value known as insolation) to pass through the surface of the atmosphere since radiation amounting to this value fall at 90o to the surface of the atmosphere. Of this 342m-2 the amount received at the surface varies spatiotemporally (through space and time) and depends on the state of the atmosphere and the latitude. 3.2.2 The Global Energy Budget The energy that reaches the earths atmosphere comes from the sun and the absorption and loss of radiation from the earth and its atmosphere determine our climate. If the earth had no atmosphere the mean surface temperature would be 255K (-18oC), well below the freezing point of water. The atmosphere serves to retain heat near the surface and the earth is thereby made habitable. This accounting for incoming and outgoing energy is called the global energy balance and could potentially be upset by any significant changes to the earth’s atmosphere. The 1/4th of the solar constant or ~342 Wm-2 allowed through is mainly made up of the visible region of the spectrum, with some in the UV region. Notably, the stratosphere absorbs UV due to the ozone present and results in warming of the stratosphere. The lower atmosphere is however transparent to UV and visible light, which thus pass through. Therefore it gains relatively little energy from incoming radiation. The following diagrams describe what happens to the incoming insolation. These diagrams need to be understood and known. However, the radiation energy values need not be memorised. J. Henwood Intermediate Environmental Science- Atmosphere V1.0 ______________________________________________________________________________ J. Henwood Intermediate Environmental Science- Atmosphere V1.0 ______________________________________________________________________________ Light passes through the atmosphere and meets clouds and a fraction is relected back to outer space. However, a proportion passess through and reaches the ground. At ground level light is also reflected unchanged especially if snow, ice or water (such as the ocean) are present. The fraction of reflected light is termed the albedo and is over 0,5 for clouds but below 0.1 for oceans. The global average for albedo is 0.3. Whereas some light is reflected unchanged from the clouds or from the ground, a proportion of the transmitted radiant energy in the visible region penetrates to the ground and is absorbed. The radiation absorbed by the ground is transformed into other forms of energy namely heat energy. This will be emitted once again from the ground in one of three forms: latent heat, evapotranspiration and surface radiation. Latent heat is the energy emitted or absorbed during a change of state, such as when liquid water forms a gas (water absorbed) or the reverse. On the other hand, evapotranspiration is the process by which plants loose water through transpiration, coupled with the loss through evaporation of from seas, pools etc. Radiation, of course, refers to EMR. Whereas the radiation absorbed is in the UV/VIS region, the radiation emitted from the ground is in the IR region (long wavelength: 100-150nm). This is since, the ground retains a certain proportion of the absorbed radiation as heat and emits radiation of a longer wavelength (thus less energy). Conclusively, the earth releases energy in three forms i.e. latent heat, evapotranspiration and IR radiation, which in essence are three forms of heat energy. Whereas latent heat and heat due to evapotranspiration is absorbed by gases in the atmosphere (and is not lost to space), the emitted radiation undergoes a different process. Several atmospheric constituents absorb the IR radiation emitted, such as carbon dioxide, water vapour and ozone. Methane, nitrous oxide and CFC’s are also important absorbers. Therefore, some of the energy emitted will be radiated back to space, a part is absorbed by the atmosphere, and a part will be returned to the ground (back radiation). The back radiation is once again absorbed by the surface of the earth and the process of absorbtion and radiation by the ground is again repeated until the wavelength is further increased and the radiation looses energy. The result is transfer of energy from the upper atmosphere to the ground and direct warming of the air nearest the ground together with evaporation/ condensation. Overall more energy is retained next to the surface thus giving a higher mean temperature. To note is that the energy entering the atmosphere (342 Wm-2) is equal to the sum of the energy lost from the atmosphere after reflection from clouds and radiation by the ground. In essence this balance must be kept. Increase in the input over the output of energy will result in global warming whereas a decrease in input results in global cooling. Alternatively, if less energy is released from the atmosphere for example, since the atmosphere itself absorbs more IR (due to more absorbing substances like CO2) global warming occurs since the atmosphere next to the J. Henwood Intermediate Environmental Science- Atmosphere V1.0 ______________________________________________________________________________ surface retains more energy. Therefore, for constant earth temperature, the energy stored in the atmosphere and ocean does not change in time, so energy equal to the incident solar radiation must be radiated back to space. The Earth reflects about 30% of the incident solar flux; the remaining 70% is absorbed, warms the land, atmosphere and oceans, and powers life on this planet. Eventually this energy is reradiated to space. This balance is very important. If disrupted the potential effects can be catastrophic. 3.2.3 The Greenhouse Effect This is the process by which energy is recycled in the atmosphere to warm the Earth's surface and is an essential piece of Earth's climate. The term greenhouse effect may be used to refer either to the natural greenhouse effect, due to naturally occuring greenhouse gases, or to the enhanced (man made: anthropogenic) greenhouse effect, which results from gases emitted as a result of human activities The greenhouse effect the process by which energy is recycled in the atmosphere to warm the Earth's surface and is an essential piece of Earth's climate. Under stable conditions, the total amount of energy entering the system from solar radiation will exactly balance the amount being radiated into space, thus allowing the Earth maintain a constant average temperature over time. However, recent measurements indicate that the Earth is presently absorbing 0.85 ± 0.15 W/m 2 more than it emits into space. This increase, associated with global warming, is believed to have been caused by the recent increase in greenhouse gas concentrations. 3.2.3.1 Mechanism The key to the greenhouse effect is the fact that the atmosphere is relatively transparent to incoming solar radiation as staed further abovem but strongly absorbes the infrared radiation that is emitted from the ground. In fact, most of the solar radiation heats the surface, but the atmosphere is heated from radiation emitted from the ground. The mechanism of the greenhouse effect is given in the diagram below. J. Henwood Intermediate Environmental Science- Atmosphere V1.0 ______________________________________________________________________________ This figure is a simplified, schematic representation of the flows of energy between space, the atmosphere, and the Earth's surface, and shows how these flows combine to trap heat near the surface and create the greenhouse effect. Energy exchanges are expressed in watts per square meter (W/m2). In the Global energy budget, UV/VIS radiation reaches the surface and is absorbed. This warms the land which in turn releases heat (through latent heat and evapotranspiration) and radiation (in the form of IR radiation, that is heat). Whereas a part of the radiation heat/ radiation is lost from the atmosphere to space (as described further above) the greenhouse gases close to the surface of the earth absorb the IR radiation and heat and increase in temperature. Therefore, the atmosphere close to the surface is warmed. The gases in the atmosphere themselves reflect (back radiation) and release IR radiation and heat, which are absorbed by the ground. The ground releases the radiation, once again as latent heat, evapotranspiration and IR radiation, and the process is repeated. This cycling of heat is the greenhouse effect and is much what occurs in a normal greenhouse, yet on a much smaller scale. 3.2.3.2 The greenhouse gases The molecules/atoms that constitute the bulk of the atmosphere; oxygen (O2), nitrogen (N2) and argon; do not interact with infrared radiation significantly. In the Earth’s atmosphere, the dominant infrared absorbing gases are water vapor, carbon dioxide, and ozone, Other J. Henwood Intermediate Environmental Science- Atmosphere V1.0 ______________________________________________________________________________ absorbers of significance include methane, nitrous oxide and the chlorofluorocarbons. The latter molecules are called the greenhouse gases since they constitute the molecules which absorb IR radiation, and thus contribute to the warming of the atmosphere. The most important gas is water varpour, accounting for 36% of the greenhouse effect, second comes CO2 (12%) and third O3 (3%). J. Henwood Intermediate Environmental Science- Atmosphere V1.0 ______________________________________________________________________________ 3.3 The Ozonosphere 3.3.1 Ozone Ozone (O3) is a triatomic molecule, consisting of three oxygen atoms joined together. It is an allotrope of oxygen that is much less stable than the diatomic species, O2. Ozone is a pale blue gas at standard temperature and pressure, and one of the most toxic compounds known. It is also unstable, decaying to ordinary oxygen: 2 O 3 3 O2 This reaction proceeds more rapidly with increasing temperature and decreasing pressure. O3 is present in low concentrations throughout the Earth's atmosphere: ground level ozone is an air pollutant with harmful effects on lung function, found due to photochemical smog. However in the upper atmosphere it prevents damaging ultraviolet light from reaching the Earth's surface. It is formed in many ways from O2, namely by electrical discharges such as lightning, and by action of high energy electromagnetic radiation. Certain electrical equipment generates significant levels of ozone, especially devices using high voltages, such as laser printers, photocopiers, and arc welders. Electric motors using brushes can generate ozone from repeated sparking inside the unit. Large motors, such as those used by elevators or hydraulic pumps, will generate more ozone than smaller motors 3.3.2 The Ozone Layer The highest concentrations of ozone in the atmosphere are in the stratosphere, in a region also known as the ozone layer. Here it filters out the shorter wavelengths (less than 320 nm) of ultraviolet light (270 to 400 nm) from the Sun that would be harmful to most forms of life in large doses. 3.3.1 Formation and destruction The ozone-oxygen cycle is the process by which ozone is continually regenerated in Earth's stratosphere, all the while converting ultraviolet radiation into heat energy. 3.3.1.1 How ozone is made In the first step, an ozone molecule's life begins when intense ultraviolet solar radiation (less than 240 nm in wavelength) breaks apart an oxygen molecule (O2) into two oxygen atoms, called oxygen radicals. These atoms react with other oxygen molecules to form 2 ozone molecules. O2 + (radiation < 240nm) → 2O. O2 + O. + M → O 3 + M Here "M" is a so-called "third body collision partner", a molecule (usually nitrogen or oxygen) which carries off the excess energy of the reaction. Without it the reaction cannot occur. Ozone forms slowly since there isn't a lot of solar energy at wavelengths less than 240 nm. This production process would require about one year to replace the amount of ozone that exists at around 20 km above Earth's surface. J. Henwood Intermediate Environmental Science- Atmosphere V1.0 ______________________________________________________________________________ 3.3.1.2 How ozone works When ozone in the upper atmosphere is hit by ultraviolet solar radiation, it quickly undergoes a chemical reaction. The triatomic ozone molecule becomes diatomic molecular oxygen plus a free oxygen atom: O3 + radiation → O2 + O. Free atomic oxygen then quickly reacts with other oxygen molecules and forms ozone again: O2 + O. + M → O 3 + M The overall effect is to convert penetrating UV light into harmless heat. 4.3.1.3 How ozone is removed When an oxygen atom and an ozone molecule meet, they recombine to form two oxygen molecules: O3 + O. → 2O2 The overall amount of ozone in the stratosphere is determined by a balance between production by solar radiation, and removal by recombination. The removal rate is much slower than the period of the ozone-oxygen cycle. Certain free radicals (very active molecules), the most important being hydroxyl (OH.), nitric oxide (NO.), and atoms of chlorine (Cl.) and bromine (Br.), catalyze the recombination reaction, leading to an ozone layer that is thinner than it would be if the catalysts were not present. Most of the OH. and NO. are naturally present in the stratosphere, but human activity, especially the by-product of chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) and halons, greatly increased the Cl. and Br. J. Henwood Intermediate Environmental Science- Atmosphere V1.0 ______________________________________________________________________________ concentrations, leading to ozone depletion. Each Cl. or Br. atom can catalyze tens of thousands of decomposition reactions before it is removed from the stratosphere as follows: O3 + Cl. → O2 + ClO ClO → O. + Cl. As noted, Cl. In the above reaction is recycled, thus leading to further destruction. Similarly for OH. and NO.: O3 + OH. → O2 + O2H O3 + NO. → O2 + NO2 However, these two are not recycled as mush as Cl. and Br.. J. Henwood Intermediate Environmental Science- Atmosphere V1.0 ______________________________________________________________________________ 3.4 Weather and Climate Weather is an all-encompassing term used to describe all phenomena that can occur in the atmosphere of a planet. The term is normally taken to mean the activity of these phenomena over short periods of time, usually no more than a few days in length. Average atmospheric conditions over significantly longer periods are known as climate. Usage of the two terms often overlaps and the concepts are obviously very closely related. 3.4.1 Variation in Insolation Weather phenomena result from temperature differences around the globe, which arise mainly due to variation in insolation. Insolation varies on a spatial (over distance) and temporal (through time) basis. Temporal variation is in turn seasonal (varies over the seasons) and diurnal (varies through the day). Thus areas closer to the tropics, around the equator, receive more energy from the Sun than more northern and southern regions, nearer to the Earth's poles. In addition, insolation is hiegher deuring the day, particularly when the sun occupies a central position in the sky, and is stronger during summer. Finally, different surface areas (such as ocean waters, forested lands, and ice sheets) have differing reflectivity (albedo), and therefore absorb and radiate different amounts of the solar energy they receive. Surface temperature differences cause vertical wind currents. A hot surface heats the air above it, and the air expands and rises, lowering the air pressure and drawing colder air into its place. Rising and expanding air gives up its heat and so cools, which causes it to shrink and sink, increasing air pressure and displacing the air already below it. Horizontal wind currents are formed at the boundaries between differentially heated areas and can be intensified by the presence of sloped surfaces. The simple systems thus formed can then display emergent behaviour to produce more complex systems and thus all other weather phenomena. A large scale example of this process can be seen in the Hadley cell and other forms of atmospheric circulation. A smaller scale example would be coastal breezes. The fundamental causes of weather are thus surface temperature, and to a lesser extent, elevation. Because the Earth's axis is tilted (not perpendicular to its orbital plane), sunlight is incident at different angles at different times of the year. In June the Northern Hemisphere is tilted towards the sun, so at any given Northern Hemisphere latitude sunlight falls more directly on that spot than in December. This effect causes seasons. Any precession in a planet's orbit will affect the amount of energy received at a particular spot throughout the year and may influence long-term weather patterns.. J. Henwood Intermediate Environmental Science- Atmosphere V1.0 ______________________________________________________________________________ 3.4.2 Global circulation Atmospheric circulation is the large-scale movement of air, by which heat is distributed on the surface of the Earth. The large-scale structure of the atmospheric circulation varies from year to year, but the basic structure remains fairly constant. Three cells are said to account for this circulation that is the Hadley cell, the Ferrell cell and the polar cell, as shown in the diagram below. 3.4.2.1 Hadley cells The Hadley cell mechanism is well understood and provides an explanation for wind observations very well. It is a closed circulation loop, which begins at the equator with warm, moist air lifted aloft in equatorial low pressure areas to the tropopause and carried poleward. At about 30°N/S latitude, it descends in a cooler high pressure area. Some of the descending air travels equatorially along the surface, closing the loop of the Hadley cell and creating the Trade Winds. 3.4.3 Coriolis Force The Coriolis effect is caused by the presence of the coriolis force, which is in turn caused by rotation of the earth. Once air has been set in motion by the pressure gradient force, it undergoes an apparent deflection from its path, as seen by an observer on the earth. This apparent deflection is called the "Coriolis force" and is a result of the earth's rotation. J. Henwood Intermediate Environmental Science- Atmosphere V1.0 ______________________________________________________________________________ As air moves from high to low pressure in the northern hemisphere, it is deflected to the right by the Coriolis force. In the southern hemisphere, air moving from high to low pressure is deflected to the left by the Coriolis force. The amount of deflection the air makes is directly related to both the speed at which the air is moving and its latitude. Therefore, slowly blowing winds will be deflected only a small amount, while stronger winds will be deflected more. Likewise, winds blowing closer to the poles will be deflected more than winds at the same speed closer to the equator. The Coriolis force is zero right at the equator. The Coriolis effect is responsible for the direction of rotation of cyclones. Due to the effect, cyclones rotate counterclockwise in the Northern hemisphere and clockwise in the Southern hemisphere. J. Henwood Intermediate Environmental Science- Atmosphere V1.0 ______________________________________________________________________________ 3.5 Natural Climate Change Climate change refers to the variation in the Earth's global climate or in regional climates over time. It describes changes in the variability or average state of the atmosphere (or average weather) over time scales ranging from decades to millions of years. These changes may come from processes internal to the Earth, be driven by external forces (e.g. variations in sunlight intensity) or, most recently, be caused by human activities. Weather is a chaotic dynamical system, but in many cases, it is observed that the climate (i.e., the average state of weather) is fairly stable and predictable. This includes the average temperature, amount of precipitation, days of sunlight, and many other variables that might be measured at any given site. However, there are also changes within the Earth's environment that can affect the climate. 3.5.1 Glaciation Glaciers are recognized as one of the most sensitive indicators of climate change, advancing substantially during climate cooling (e.g., the Little Ice Age of the last century) and retreating during climate warming. Glaciers grow and collapse, both contributing to natural variability and greatly amplifying external forces. For the last century, however, glaciers have been unable to regenerate enough ice during the winters to make up for the ice lost during the summer months. The most important climate processes of the last several million years are the glacial and interglacial cycles of the present ice age. Though shaped by orbital variations, the internal responses involving continental ice sheets and 130 m sea-level change certainly played a key role in deciding what climate response would be observed in most regions. 3.5.2 Factors driving climate change 3.5.2.1 Solar variation The sun, as the ultimate source of nearly all energy in the climate system, is an integral part of shaping Earth's climate. On the longest time scales, the sun itself is getting brighter as it continues its evolution. Early in Earth's history, it is thought to have been too cold to support liquid water at the Earth's surface. On more modern time scales, there are also a variety of forms of solar variation, including the 11–year solar cycle and longer-term modulations. However, the 11–year sunspot cycle does not manifest itself clearly in the climatological data. These variations are considered to be influential in triggering the Little Ice Age and for some of the warming observed from 1900 to 1950. 3.5.2.2 Orbital variations In their impact on climate, orbital variations are in some sense an extension of solar variability, because slight variations in the Earth's orbit lead to changes in the distribution and abundance of sunlight reaching the Earth's surface. Such orbital variations, known as Milankovitch cycles, are a highly predictable consequence of basic physics due to the mutual interactions of the Earth, its moon, and the other planets. These variations are considered the driving factors underlying the glacial and interglacial cycles of the present ice age. Subtler variations are also present, such as the repeated advance and retreat of the Sahara desert in response to orbital precession. J. Henwood Intermediate Environmental Science- Atmosphere V1.0 ______________________________________________________________________________ Variations in the Earth's eccentricity, axial tilt, and precession comprise the three dominant cycles, collectively known as the Milankovitch Cycles for Milutin Milankovitch, the Serbian astronomer who is generally credited with calculating their magnitude. Taken in unison, variations in these three cycles creates alterations in the seasonality of solar radiation reaching the Earth's surface. These times of increased or decreased solar radiation directly influence the Earth's climate system, thus impacting the advance and retreat of Earth's glaciers. Eccentricity: The first of the three Milankovitch Cycles is the Earth's eccentricity. Eccentricity is, simply, the shape of the Earth's orbit around the Sun. This constantly fluctuating, orbital shape ranges between more and less elliptical (0 to 5% ellipticity) on a cycle of about 100,000 years. These oscillations, from more elliptic to less elliptic, are of prime importance to glaciation in that it alters the distance from the Earth to the Sun, thus changing the distance the Sun's short wave radiation must travel to reach Earth, subsequently reducing or increasing the amount of radiation received at the Earth's surface in different seasons. Axial tilt: The second of the three Milankovitch Cycles, is the inclination of the Earth's axis in relation to its plane of orbit around the Sun. Oscillations in the degree of Earth's axial tilt occur on a periodicity of 41,000 years from 21.5 to 24.5 degrees. Today the Earth's axial tilt is about 23.5 degrees, which largely accounts for our seasons. Because of the periodic variations of this angle the severity of the Earth's seasons changes. With less axial tilt the Sun's solar radiation is more evenly distributed between winter and summer. However, less tilt also increases the difference in radiation receipts between the equatorial and polar regions. Precession: The third and final of the Milankovitch Cycles is J. Henwood Intermediate Environmental Science- Atmosphere V1.0 ______________________________________________________________________________ Earth's precession. Precession is the Earth's slow wobble as it spins on axis. This wobbling of the Earth on its axis can be likened to a top running down, and beginning to wobble back and forth on its axis. The precession of Earth wobbles from pointing at Polaris (North Star) to pointing at the star Vega. When this shift to the axis pointing at Vega occurs, Vega would then be considered the North Star. This top-like wobble, or precession, has a periodicity of 23,000 years. Due to this wobble a climatically significant alteration must take place. When the axis is tilted towards Vega the Northern Hemisphere will experience winter when the Earth is furthest from the Sun and summer when the Earth is closest to the Sun. This coincidence will result in greater seasonal contrasts. 3.5.2.3 Volcanism A single eruption of the kind that occurs several times per century can impact climate, causing cooling for a period of a few years. For example, the eruption of Mount Pinatubo in 1991 is barely visible on the global temperature profile. Huge eruptions, known as large igneous provinces, occur only a few times every hundred million years, but can reshape climate for millions of years and cause mass extinctions. 3.5.2.4 Greenhouse gases Current studies indicate that radiative forcing by greenhouse gases is the primary cause of global warming. Greenhouse gases are also important in understanding Earth's climate history. According to these studies, the greenhouse effect, which is the warming produced as greenhouse gases trap heat, plays a key role in regulating Earth's temperature. Over the last 600 million years, carbon dioxide concentrations have varied from perhaps >5000 ppm to less than 200 ppm, due primarily to the impact of geological processes and biological innovations. Curiously, it has been argued (Veizer et al. 1999) that variations in greenhouse gas concentrations over tens of millions of years have not been well correlated to climate change, with plate tectonics perhaps playing a more dominant role. However there are several examples of rapid changes in the concentrations of greenhouse gases in the Earth's atmosphere that do appear to correlate to strong warming, including the Paleocene–Eocene thermal maximum, the Permian–Triassic extinction event, and the end of the Varangian snowball earth event. During the modern era, rising carbon dioxide levels are implicated as the primary cause to global warming since 1950. 3.5.2.4 Plate tectonics On the longest time scales, plate tectonics will reposition continents, shape oceans, build and tear down mountains and generally serve to define the stage upon which climate exists. More recently, plate motions have been implicated in the intensification of the present ice age when, approximately 3 million years ago, the North and South American plates collided to form the Isthmus of Panama and shut off direct mixing between the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. J. Henwood Intermediate Environmental Science- Atmosphere V1.0 ______________________________________________________________________________ 3.5.2.5 Human influences Anthropogenic factors are acts by humans that change the environment and influence climate. The biggest factor of present concern is the increase in CO 2 levels due to emissions from fossil fuel combustion, followed by aerosols (particulate matter in the atmosphere) which exerts a cooling effect. Other factors, including land use, ozone depletion, and deforestation also impact climate. ____________________________________________________________________________ J. Henwood Intermediate Environmental Science- Atmosphere V1.0