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Comparing Forecast Performance of Stock Market and Macroeconomic Volatilities: An US Approach:
Comparing Forecast Performance of Stock Market and Macroeconomic Volatilities: An US Approach:

Basic Numerical Procedures - Tian
Basic Numerical Procedures - Tian

... Standard Errors in Monte Carlo Simulation The standard error of the estimate of the option price is the standard deviation of the discounted payoffs given by the simulation trials divided by the square root of the number of observations. To double the accuracy of a simulation, we must quadruple the ...
Finance Committee
Finance Committee

... have an immediate vested interest in the assets. DISCUSSION: The current forms of distribution allowed for these assets are very limited. An amendment to the plan is proposed that would offer additional forms of distribution, essentially providing a longer horizon for assets to be distributed from t ...
The Evolution of Quantitative Investment Strategies
The Evolution of Quantitative Investment Strategies

... Modern optimizers are extremely sophisticated in their ability to handle complex objectives and constraints; professionals who work on building or enhancing these tools usually have advanced training in mathematics or allied fields. Vendors of optimizers provide easy-to-use interfaces that do not re ...
Banks balance sheets and the international transmission
Banks balance sheets and the international transmission

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PowerPoint for Chapter 3

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Lecture 8
Lecture 8

... • By varying wA, one can trace out the efficient set of portfolios. We graphed the efficient set for the two-asset case as a curve, pointing out that the degree of curvature reflects the diversification effect: the lower the correlation between the two securities, the greater the diversification. • ...
Journal of Statistical and Econometric Methods, vol.2, no.2, 2013, 157-173
Journal of Statistical and Econometric Methods, vol.2, no.2, 2013, 157-173

... A mean-variance optimization is a quantitative method that is adopted by fund managers, consultants and investment advisors to construct portfolios for the investors. When the market is less volatile, mean-variance model seems to be a better and more reasonable way of determining portfolio selection ...
Open full article - Acta Universitatis
Open full article - Acta Universitatis

... This article is aimed at proposing of an inovative method for calculating the shares of operational and financial risks. This methodological tool will support managers while monitoring the risk structure. The method is based on the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) for calculation of equity cost, na ...
Rational Expectations: Part I
Rational Expectations: Part I

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From Cash-in-the-Market Pricing to Financial Fragility
From Cash-in-the-Market Pricing to Financial Fragility

... several intermediaries to sell assets at the same time, the attempt to obtain liquidity may be self-defeating: as the asset sales push asset prices lower, intermediaries are forced to sell even more assets, which exacerbates the decline in prices. An important component of this argument is that the ...
PRC Paper Title - Stanford University
PRC Paper Title - Stanford University

(Problems 80 points) A fully amortizing mortgage loan is made for
(Problems 80 points) A fully amortizing mortgage loan is made for

... A. Given the information above, calculate the mean, the standard deviation for each asset. B. Calculate the correlation between Stock Reit, Stock House and Stock Bond. Comment on your results. C. Calculate the correlation between House Reit, and House Bond. Comment on your results. D. Let us assume ...
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... financial crisis may be less a result of its merits and more attributable to the poor performance of other investment alternatives. Farmland may be strictly preferred in the pre-crisis period with high mean returns with low variance. However, the extremely risk-averse investor may still prefer to in ...
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The past five years have seen market behaviour dominated by

... Investors cited a number of concerns about market capitalisation weighted indices including their bias towards large caps, certain sectors and regions as some of the practical issues with traditional indices. In addition, there are a number of conceptual and empirical limitations often highlighted b ...
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... fund risk given the likely violation of the normality assumption. Brooks and Kat (2001) found that hedge fund index returns are not normally distributed. Many hedge fund indexes exhibit relatively low skewness and high kurtosis (especially in the case of funds investing in convertible arbitrage, ris ...
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Lecture 10: Market Efficiency

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Sample chapter  - McGraw Hill Higher Education
Sample chapter - McGraw Hill Higher Education

... investor regards risk as something undesirable, but which may be worth tolerating if the expected return is sufficient to compensate for the risk. In graphical terms, indifference curves for a risk-averse investor must be upward sloping as shown in Figure 7.5, opposite. The risk–return coordinates f ...
Risk Management and Financial Institutions
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... risk-free rate. T-rates are regarded as too low to be used as risk-free rates because: a. T-bills and T-bonds must be purchased by financial institutions to fulfill a variety of regulatory requirements. This increase demand for these Ts driving their prices up and yields down. b. The amount of capit ...
Fulltext: english,
Fulltext: english,

... lowest. Momentum might be interpreted as the risk factor mimicked by the return on a portfolio of winner stocks minus the return on a portfolio of loser stocks. As the initiator of this sub-literature, Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) introduce the one-year momentum anomaly and claim to obtain enhanced p ...
The Lucas Asset Pricing Model
The Lucas Asset Pricing Model

... Given that ρ > 1, this derivation yields some interesting insights: 1. (the log of) asset prices will be more volatile than (the log of) dividends 2. An increase in risk aversion ρ increases Pt (because ρ(ρ − 1)σ 2 /2 > 0 and an increase in ρ increases its size) The second point is surprising, so le ...
Improving portfolio efficiency with absolute
Improving portfolio efficiency with absolute

... improving portfolio efficiency. The only case in which an allocation to absolute return is not warranted is when an investor wishes to maximize return without regard for volatility. In this analysis, it would be an excess return of 8.23%. In that extreme scenario, however, the resulting portfolio wo ...
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Modern portfolio theory

Modern portfolio theory (MPT) is a theory of finance that attempts to maximize portfolio expected return for a given amount of portfolio risk, or equivalently minimize risk for a given level of expected return, by carefully choosing the proportions of various assets. Although MPT is widely used in practice in the financial industry and several of its creators won a Nobel memorial prize for the theory, in recent years the basic assumptions of MPT have been widely challenged by fields such as behavioral economics.MPT is a mathematical formulation of the concept of diversification in investing, with the aim of selecting a collection of investment assets that has lower overall risk than any other combination of assets with the same expected return. This is possible, intuitively speaking, because different types of assets sometimes change in value in opposite directions. For example, to the extent prices in the stock market move differently from prices in the bond market, a combination of both types of assets can in theory generate lower overall risk than either individually. Diversification can lower risk even if assets' returns are positively correlated.More technically, MPT models an asset's return as a normally or elliptically distributed random variable, defines risk as the standard deviation of return, and models a portfolio as a weighted combination of assets, so that the return of a portfolio is the weighted combination of the assets' returns. By combining different assets whose returns are not perfectly positively correlated, MPT seeks to reduce the total variance of the portfolio return. MPT also assumes that investors are rational and markets are efficient.MPT was developed in the 1950s through the early 1970s and was considered an important advance in the mathematical modeling of finance. Since then, some theoretical and practical criticisms have been leveled against it. These include evidence that financial returns do not follow a normal distribution or indeed any symmetric distribution, and that correlations between asset classes are not fixed but can vary depending on external events (especially in crises). Further, there remains evidence that investors are not rational and markets may not be efficient. Finally, the low volatility anomaly conflicts with CAPM's trade-off assumption of higher risk for higher return. It states that a portfolio consisting of low volatility equities (like blue chip stocks) reaps higher risk-adjusted returns than a portfolio with high volatility equities (like illiquid penny stocks). A study conducted by Myron Scholes, Michael Jensen, and Fischer Black in 1972 suggests that the relationship between return and beta might be flat or even negatively correlated.
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