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HEAT IN THE HEARTLAND: Climate Change and Economic Risk in
HEAT IN THE HEARTLAND: Climate Change and Economic Risk in

... fact-based look at the potential risks facing specific sectors and regions of the national economy. As in a classic business risk assessment, we analyze not only the most likely scenarios, but also the scenarios that, while less likely, could have more significant impacts. In this report, we focus o ...
1/ Format an contents of the « National overview…
1/ Format an contents of the « National overview…

... Mediterranean coastline are already evident, reflected by an increased mortality of some species, changes in species reproductive biology during warm years, and an increase of exotic species arrivals. The projected climate change under IPCC scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions, together with foreca ...
Polar amplification as a preferred response in an idealized
Polar amplification as a preferred response in an idealized

... from the integrations by Alexeev (2003) where the SSTs at each time-step were constrained to be zonally symmetric. With our 50 m mixed-layer depth, the typical time-scale for atmospheric response is significantly shorter than that for the ocean, and the atmospheric time-scale can be regarded as negl ...
No consensus on consensus
No consensus on consensus

... The IPCC itself expends considerable effort in assessing uncertainty and levels of confidence in the scientific findings as described in the recent special issue in Climatic Change on Guidance for Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty and Confidence in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climatic ...
Changes in extreme temperature and precipitation in the
Changes in extreme temperature and precipitation in the

... countries were invited, and participants from 17 countries were present at the workshop. The participants were asked to bring long-term daily observational data from their countries to analyse during the workshop, and more stations were analysed afterwards. The ETCCDI provides standardized software ...
Global Warming - Department of Geology UPRM
Global Warming - Department of Geology UPRM

... assumes a constant aerosol concentration beyond 1990, and the lower one includes changes in aerosol concentration beyond 1990. (It is assumed that the Greenhouse effect is reduced with increased aerosols.)Note: In IPCC reports, climate sensitivity usually refers to the long- term or equilibrium, cha ...
Mathematics of Climate Change - Library
Mathematics of Climate Change - Library

... possibilities rather than a single magic number. Be that as it may, accurate and reliable prediction of global climate change is a key to policy making. It is clear that policies should be based on predictions that are built on a sound foundation. Mathematical scientists need to get involved, becaus ...
Climate Change and Forest Genetic Resources - state of knowledge, risks and opportunities
Climate Change and Forest Genetic Resources - state of knowledge, risks and opportunities

... present respond differently to disturbances (Kindt et al., 2006). As climate changes, less wellperforming species may be replaced through a process of natural selection and competition by other trees that are already present within systems and that are better-suited to new conditions, such that the ...
Assessment of impact of climate change on water resources: a long
Assessment of impact of climate change on water resources: a long

... water resources impacts under transient climate change scenarios by an integrated model linking empirical regional climate downscaling, hydrologic and hydraulic models, and GCMs. The transient scenarios show that in the near-term (approximately 20 years) significant changes could occur. Ferris (2005 ...
Exploring the relationship between climate change and rice yield in
Exploring the relationship between climate change and rice yield in

... Because of increasing emissions of anthropogenic greenhouse gases as a result of human activities, climate change has emerged as a key concern for environmentally and economically vulnerable countries, such as Bangladesh. Combined with the potential increase in global temperature, rainfall has alrea ...
Impacts of future climate change on soil frost in the midwestern
Impacts of future climate change on soil frost in the midwestern

... [2] At global and regional scales, long‐term changes in climate have been observed. In 2005, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) reported a sharp increase in global average air temperatures, at a rate of 0.18°C per decade since 1976, with most of the warming attributed to the anthropogenic g ...
PDF
PDF

... educing global greenhouse gas emissions has become one of the most serious challenges ever to face the international community. In spite of a small number of dissenting views, which frequently attract media attention, there is a robust scientific consensus that climate change represents an extraordi ...
Project Concept and PDF-B Document
Project Concept and PDF-B Document

... agriculture. In general inter-annual climate variability is high. Rainy seasons can be extremely wet and associated with floods and landslides, but can also arrive late or fail, introducing considerable uncertainty in agricultural practices. The rural poor are the most vulnerable to the impacts of K ...
Climate Change Adaptation Project Report
Climate Change Adaptation Project Report

... (CBT) to prepare for the local impacts of climate change. The CBT ‘Communities Adapting to Climate Change’ initiative supports community efforts to increase local adaptive capacity and resiliency to climate change. Climate change adaptation is preparing for and responding at the local level to poten ...
Preparing Low-Emission Climate-Resilient Development
Preparing Low-Emission Climate-Resilient Development

... and climate change. They incorporate the priorities of all stakeholders, including organizations and individuals outside the government. LECRDS should not be perceived as strategies that create rules and constraints to development, but rather as approaches that will continue to pursue social, gender ...
Statistical downscaling of daily mean temperature, pan evaporation
Statistical downscaling of daily mean temperature, pan evaporation

... migration of rain belts, as well as the change of tempospatial distribution and intensity of precipitation, has a direct influence on the total amount of water resources, while temperature and pan evaporation can indirectly affect the hydrologic trend due to the interaction with land surface process ...
Mainstreaming Early Warning Systems in Development
Mainstreaming Early Warning Systems in Development

... amplify risk and damages. The SFDRR sets out four priority actions to counter this trend: (1) understanding disaster risk; (2) strengthening disaster risk governance to manage disaster risk; (3) investing in disaster risk reduction for resilience; and (4) enhancing disaster preparedness for effectiv ...
English
English

... interventions (both GGR and SRM) that are carried out at a small scale (eg: local tree planning projects; roof whitening) are not normally considered as geoengineering. In line with decision X/33, the definition also excludes carbon capture at source from fossil fuels (CCS; i.e, preventing the relea ...
PDF
PDF

... earlier and cheaper emission reductions than models with exogenous technological change predict, especially through the development of carbon-free technologies. In the literature on ancillary benefits (e.g. Ekins, 1996; Van Vuuren et al., 2006), the positive impacts of greenhouse gas emission reduct ...
Bureaucratic Land Rush - Global Public Policy Institute
Bureaucratic Land Rush - Global Public Policy Institute

... creating a political momentum with the potential to significantly alter China’s economic and social system. How effective these laudable efforts will ultimately be remains to be seen. The astonishing rise of the climate issue to the very top of Beijing’s political agenda is in any case unequivocal. ...
Presenters
Presenters

... Session 4: Physical and biogeochemical feedbacks, forcing and climate sensitivity (part 3); Cryosphere, sea level and hydrological cycle Session 4: Physical and biogeochemical feedbacks, forcing and climate sensitivity (part 3); Cryosphere, sea level and hydrological cycle Session 4: Physical and bi ...
Four Case Studies in the United States
Four Case Studies in the United States

... There are likely to be increasing risks and costs from future climate change. The impacts of future climate change are likely to become greater as climate continues to change. There will likely be more loss of wetlands, higher risk to human life and property from stronger storms and hurricanes in t ...
Changes in extreme temperature and precipitation in the
Changes in extreme temperature and precipitation in the

... observational data. If daily data could not be provided, the country participants performed the complete analysis for all their stations in close discussion with the experts, so that it was possible to share at least the calculated climate indices, based on the quality-controlled daily time series. ...
Chapter 6: Projections Based on Global Climate Models
Chapter 6: Projections Based on Global Climate Models

... and A2 (high). Results are given for three future 20-year periods centred on 2030, 2055 and 2090, relative to a 20-year period centred on 1990. • The projected warming over the PCCSP region is about 70% as large as the global average warming for all emissions scenarios. Regional warming is expected ...
The biophysical link between climate, water, and vegetation in
The biophysical link between climate, water, and vegetation in

... gas impacts of bioenergy agroecosystems that remain due to limitations in the analysis techniques. However, the direct biophysical water and climate impacts of bioenergy expansion and the biophysical interactions with biogeochemical impacts have received far less attention, and large uncertainties o ...
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Economics of global warming

There are a number of policies that governments might consider in response to global warming. The assessment of such policies involves the economics of global warming.Global warming is a long-term problem. One of the most important greenhouse gases is carbon dioxide. Around 20% of carbon dioxide which is emitted due to human activities can remain in the atmosphere for many thousands of years. The long time scales and uncertainty associated with global warming have led analysts to develop ""scenarios"" of future environmental, social and economic changes. These scenarios can help governments understand the potential consequences of their decisions.The impacts of climate change include the loss of biodiversity, sea level rise, increased frequency and severity of some extreme weather events, and acidification of the oceans. Economists have attempted to quantify these impacts in monetary terms, but these assessments can be controversial.The two main policy responses to global warming are to reduce greenhouse gas emissions (climate change mitigation) and to adapt to the impacts of global warming (e.g., by building levees in response to sea level rise). Another policy response which has recently received greater attention is geoengineering of the climate system (e.g. injecting aerosols into the atmosphere to reflect sunlight away from the Earth's surface).One of the responses to the uncertainties of global warming is to adopt a strategy of sequential decision making. This strategy recognizes that decisions on global warming need to be made with incomplete information, and that decisions in the near term will have potentially long-term impacts. Governments might choose to use risk management as part of their policy response to global warming. For instance, a risk-based approach can be applied to climate impacts which are difficult to quantify in economic terms, e.g., the impacts of global warming on indigenous peoples.Analysts have assessed global warming in relation to sustainable development. Sustainable development considers how future generations might be affected by the actions of the current generation. In some areas, policies designed to address global warming may contribute positively towards other development objectives. In other areas, the cost of global warming policies may divert resources away from other socially and environmentally beneficial investments (the opportunity costs of climate change policy).
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