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... one or more ‘business as usual’ projections with a baseline counterfactual in which the current climate remains unchanged. Since some climate change would be inevitable even if emissions of greenhouse gases were halted immediately, such a comparison is of little value as a guide to policy. A more ap ...
Activity 2.1: Historical Climate Cycles
Activity 2.1: Historical Climate Cycles

... emissions have remained stable or increased in recent years. Hansen and others noted that while the paleoclimate evidence paints a clear picture of what Earth's earlier climate looked like, but that using it to predict precisely how the climate might change on much smaller timescales in response to ...
Scientists identify top ten priority regions for climate
Scientists identify top ten priority regions for climate

... BirdLife International announced the findings of the research today, which was carried out in partnership with researchers from the University of California at Santa Barbara, the University of Kansas, Seoul National University and Lincoln University of New Zealand. About the findings, lead author an ...
When can we expect extremely high surface temperatures?
When can we expect extremely high surface temperatures?

... notes that only a few of the investigated regional climate models are able to correctly reproduce observed extreme temperatures. Therefore some caution is needed when interpreting projected T100 -values. The same model deficiencies that cause an overestimation of present-day extreme temperatures (e. ...
Climate Change Games Resources Sheet
Climate Change Games Resources Sheet

... http://www.willyoujoinus.com/energyville/ Energyville – Chevron and The Economist Group have launched an online game that looks at the economic, environmental and security opportunities and trade-offs associated with different energy sources. http://www.globalwarminginteractive.com/ CO2FX – A web ba ...
Global Warming Games
Global Warming Games

... http://www.willyoujoinus.com/energyville/ Energyville – Chevron and The Economist Group have launched an online game that looks at the economic, environmental and security opportunities and trade-offs associated with different energy sources. http://www.globalwarminginteractive.com/ CO2FX – A web ba ...
URGENT ACTION ALERT U.S. House of Representatives to Vote on
URGENT ACTION ALERT U.S. House of Representatives to Vote on

Prediction as a Technology University of Colorado at Boulder Presented at the
Prediction as a Technology University of Colorado at Boulder Presented at the

Technical Document
Technical Document

... historical daily climate station data for the study area by respective month over the entire period of record at that station. This study utilizes historical climate station data from NOAA's Global Historical Climate Network (GHCN), as provided by SimCLIM software. After this application, the final ...
How the Latest Generation of Supercomputers Speeds Global
How the Latest Generation of Supercomputers Speeds Global

... Great Plains of the U.S., which can change from minute to minute, to weather in the Swiss Alps, where it can be cool and rainy in one valley and warm and sunny in the next. ...
Climate Change - Division on Earth and Life Studies
Climate Change - Division on Earth and Life Studies

... The observed warming in the lower atmosphere and cooling in the upper atmosphere provide us with key insights into the underlying causes of climate change and reveal that natural factors alone cannot explain the observed changes. In the early 1960s, results from mathematical/physical models of the c ...
Global Warming: Scientific Basis and Christian Responses
Global Warming: Scientific Basis and Christian Responses

... than a few hours. We understand the role of greenhouse gases in regulating our current climate. It is important to ask whether we understand the role of greenhouse gases in past climate. This is an extremely interesting question, especially when considered over the total span of Earth climate histor ...
Climate Change and its impact on European Windstorm scenarios
Climate Change and its impact on European Windstorm scenarios

... - temperatures will be higher by up to 3°C Summer 2080s: - precipitation will decrease by up to 25% (particularly in northeast Jylland and Sjælland) ...
Politics - Wave 2 - TGFL - NDI
Politics - Wave 2 - TGFL - NDI

... essentially determine the magnitude of eventual impacts and whether the Anthropocene is a short-term, relatively minor change from the current climate or an extreme deviation that lasts thousands of years.The scientists say atmospheric concentration of CO2 has risen about 35% since 1750 and is now a ...
10-03
10-03

PDF
PDF

The terrestrial Arctic response to (and role in) local and global
The terrestrial Arctic response to (and role in) local and global

Slowdown of the thermohaline circulation causes enhanced
Slowdown of the thermohaline circulation causes enhanced

... [11] Our results are not directly applicable to the consequences of THC changes under enhanced greenhouse gas concentrations [Cubasch et al., 2001]. Instead, they address the consequences of THC change in a ‘‘current climate’’ setting, or those following a moderate meltwater discharge. However, thro ...
Expanding the Concept of Human - Caused Climate
Expanding the Concept of Human - Caused Climate

Document
Document

... climate change may alter those patterns in the future is one of the things I have focused on in my research,” remarked Held after hearing of the award. As temperature rises, so too will the quantity of water vapor in the atmosphere, and this gas, in turn, will drive further warming. The result is a ...
Climate Change Our Future
Climate Change Our Future

... ScienceBlogs, 17 January 2017, http://scienceblogs.com/significantfigures/index.php/2017/01/17/jointstatements-on-climate-change-from-national-academies-of-science-around-the-world/ ...
COASTS: how best can we adapt to the challenges of climate change?
COASTS: how best can we adapt to the challenges of climate change?

... response to various interacting factors. Over the last two decades there have been a number of studies which have defined natural climate variability over the last million years. Cores from glaciers, ocean floor and from land sites have revealed the magnitude and frequency of change in sea level, co ...
What are the “grand challenges” in hydrology?
What are the “grand challenges” in hydrology?

... • From the USGCRP Water Cycle Study Group, 2001 (Hornberger Report): [understanding] the causes of ...
Folie 1 - hvonstorch.de
Folie 1 - hvonstorch.de

... Concern about the development of climate weapons lead to a series of diplomatic discussions. During a summit meeting 1974 the United States and the Soviet Union issued a Joint Draft Treaty: „Each State Party to this Convention undertakes not to engage in military or other hostile use of environmenta ...
ELA Seventh Grade Common Final Exam
ELA Seventh Grade Common Final Exam

... Later that week, Jamal timidly walked into the principal’s office. “How can I help you?” Ms. Garcia asked him. “Well, I’d like to start a new club,” Jamal told her. He explained his plan to try to get his friends to join so they could learn about new ways to reduce global climate change. He talked a ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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