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Climate Change and Variability over India : Observations, Modelling
Climate Change and Variability over India : Observations, Modelling

... Skill depends on the level of our understanding of the physical, geophysical, chemical and biological processes that govern the climate system Substantial improvements over the last two decades Sub-models : atmosphere, ocean, land surface, cryosphere, biosphere Typical Resolution of global models (a ...
How Do Polar Marine Ecosystems Respond to Rapid Climate
How Do Polar Marine Ecosystems Respond to Rapid Climate

Earth`s climate system - University of Reading
Earth`s climate system - University of Reading

Printer-friendly version - Weconnect
Printer-friendly version - Weconnect

The Conditional Nature of the Local Warming Effect
The Conditional Nature of the Local Warming Effect

The impact of climate change on the global economy
The impact of climate change on the global economy

... The insurance industry recognises that they are likely to bear much of the risk of global warming. Companies have already felt the force of extreme weather events on profits; from unseasonal floods in the UK to Hurricane Katrina in the US, extreme weather-related damage to properties has seen insura ...
Arctic and Alpine Permafrost - Atmospheric Sciences at UNBC
Arctic and Alpine Permafrost - Atmospheric Sciences at UNBC

... been retreating during the past decades: Syslov (1961) reports that the permafrost extent at Mezen (Russia) has retreated northward at an average rate of 400 m per year since 1837, whereas similar findings have been reported for the Mackenzie Valley of Canada. • Although permafrost is temperature de ...
NEW SEMINAR - IUCN Academy of Environmental Law
NEW SEMINAR - IUCN Academy of Environmental Law

... assigned readings, in-class discussions and out-of-class research. In addition to gaining knowledge about the course subjects, students will also gain experience in making verbal presentations. The classes will be conducted under the assumption that all students will have read and studied the assign ...
Presentation - IEA Task 38
Presentation - IEA Task 38

... momentum exchanged with the atmosphere ...
Climate Dynamics & Variability MEA 593O 002 call no
Climate Dynamics & Variability MEA 593O 002 call no

... South China Sea where the EOF-2 mode is deficient ...
PPT - Atmospheric Chemistry Modeling Group
PPT - Atmospheric Chemistry Modeling Group

... constant emissions. Change in pollution tied to a decrease in the frequency of cold fronts arriving from Canada, which sweep away the pollution. 2050s ...
Climate change: the challenges for public health and
Climate change: the challenges for public health and

... forcing frequencies are defined as short term. Climate fluctuations on time scales of less than 100 years are usually considered as climate variability. There is new and stronger evidence that most of the warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human activities (United Nation’s in ...
Challenges of a Changing Earth: Past Perspectives, Future Concerns
Challenges of a Changing Earth: Past Perspectives, Future Concerns

... based on limited instrumental data may be able to generate scenarios of unusual ENSO behavior in the future, but confidence in such predictions will be limited unless there is sound evidence that such conditions are plausible, as demonstrated by records from the past. 8.2.1 Paleoclimate data and mod ...
RomaN EmPIRE?
RomaN EmPIRE?

... applying this kind of climate data has inspired “surprisingly little interest among historians” or others working with ancient cultures, “probably because most of this research is published in natural science journals”, rather than history or archaeology journals. However, new ideas and culture are ...
pdf
pdf

... 10:00 Science and Society Dr. Bruce Lewenstein, Cornell University, Department of Communication and Science & Technological Studies 10:40 Climate Change and the Media: Dr. Holly Menninger, Cornell University 11:20 BREAK 11:30 Guidelines for Communicating about Science with Diverse Audiences. Dr. Bru ...
Folie 1 - Hans von Storch
Folie 1 - Hans von Storch

... Some years later, Callendar (1938) related the warming to human emissions of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, a mechanism described some 40 years earlier by Arrhenius (1898). Flohn (1941) also brought this line of reasoning into the scientific debate. Interestingly, Arrhenius himself stated that ...
Powerpoint
Powerpoint

...  Legitimate – developed through process that reflects values, perspectives, and concerns of those affected ...
An Analysis of Radiative Equilibrium, Forcings, and Feedbacks
An Analysis of Radiative Equilibrium, Forcings, and Feedbacks

... typically be persistent over decades.  If the forcing is persistent and large enough, it may produce a  temperature trend that can be detectable against natural, internal variability.  Volcanic eruptions cause  a significant cooling effect by emitting volcanic ash and sulfur dioxide, which oxidizes  ...
CH03
CH03

... Microscopic air bubbles in ice core samples from glaciers can be used to determine changes in greenhouse gas concentrations over ...
present status and future vulnerabilities
present status and future vulnerabilities

... • Implications for global and regional management of the carbon-water system. • Identification of key research areas to advance in this field. ...
Australia`s Changing Climate - Climate Change in Australia
Australia`s Changing Climate - Climate Change in Australia

... Figure 1 and 2 use the UK Hadley Centre and Climate Research Unit Temperature series version 4 (UK HadCRUT4) dataset, plus symbols in Figure 2 show where changes are statistically significant ...
Syllabus (PDF)
Syllabus (PDF)

used by Dr. Glantz on October 11
used by Dr. Glantz on October 11

... seasonality, among other climate conditions make climate a resource for many countries • As a resource, it provides for adequate food production and water resources in a region • Experience from similar ecosystems of coping with climate conditions including extremes can be considered a part of that ...
SCAR`s Antarctic Climate Change and the Environment (ACCE
SCAR`s Antarctic Climate Change and the Environment (ACCE

... decades to millennia that have prevailed over the past million years. Knowing this natural variability enables researchers to identify when present day changes exceed the natural state. The palaeorecords show that change is normal and the unexpected can happen. 3. Levels of the greenhouse gas CO2 in ...
evidence of climate change
evidence of climate change

... above sea level. The air temperature is also much lower, and the experts do not expect the ice to melt on account of rising temperatures.  In this part of Antarctica, the ice sheet is actually growing as a consequence of increased snowfall.  This has led some critics to question the global warming ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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