The impact of climate change on the global economy
... Estimates of climate change damage vary according to whether there is a tipping point at which damage accelerates The “N-damages” climate damage function, named after its originator Nordhaus (2013), is widely used by economists and is the least concerning of the three climate damage functions. Clima ...
... Estimates of climate change damage vary according to whether there is a tipping point at which damage accelerates The “N-damages” climate damage function, named after its originator Nordhaus (2013), is widely used by economists and is the least concerning of the three climate damage functions. Clima ...
Planning in the face of uncertainty: weather and water
... 21st century, and we don’t know how active volcanoes are going to be in the 21st century. So here are the greenhouse gas concentrations that come out of a lot of different emissions scenarios that are created The punch line here is that no matter what choices we make—up at the top are CO2 concentrat ...
... 21st century, and we don’t know how active volcanoes are going to be in the 21st century. So here are the greenhouse gas concentrations that come out of a lot of different emissions scenarios that are created The punch line here is that no matter what choices we make—up at the top are CO2 concentrat ...
1 I
... observed are superimposed on this longer-term, ongoing variability, some of which can be reproduced by today’s advanced climate models. Importantly, the model that captures the past thousand years of global temperature patterns successfully (Figure 1.2) using only solar and volcanic inputs does not ...
... observed are superimposed on this longer-term, ongoing variability, some of which can be reproduced by today’s advanced climate models. Importantly, the model that captures the past thousand years of global temperature patterns successfully (Figure 1.2) using only solar and volcanic inputs does not ...
Our Responsibility to Sustain God`s Earth
... The Earth system is complex and science is only beginning to unfathom its mysteries. The land, oceans, atmosphere, lithosphere and living organisms (the biota) exchange energy, water and chemicals in never-ending circles called biogeochemical cycles. These cycles are our planetary life support syste ...
... The Earth system is complex and science is only beginning to unfathom its mysteries. The land, oceans, atmosphere, lithosphere and living organisms (the biota) exchange energy, water and chemicals in never-ending circles called biogeochemical cycles. These cycles are our planetary life support syste ...
10584_2012_414_MOESM1_ESM
... advantage over a deterministic approach. However, it does not remove model dependency. The parameters are chosen such that they are in general consistent with the findings of the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) (Solomon et al. 2007). As such, the climate assumptions are likely to lead to more st ...
... advantage over a deterministic approach. However, it does not remove model dependency. The parameters are chosen such that they are in general consistent with the findings of the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) (Solomon et al. 2007). As such, the climate assumptions are likely to lead to more st ...
Consistency analysis
... • Presently a warming is going on in the Baltic Sea region. • No formal detection and attribution studies available. • BACC considers it plausible that this warming is at least partly related to anthropogenic factors. • So far, and in the next few decades, the signal is limited to temperature and di ...
... • Presently a warming is going on in the Baltic Sea region. • No formal detection and attribution studies available. • BACC considers it plausible that this warming is at least partly related to anthropogenic factors. • So far, and in the next few decades, the signal is limited to temperature and di ...
Trees and climate change
... susceptible to pests and diseases, and of course will not grow or yield well. It may be more important now than ever to match a species carefully to the site, particularly at the small scale. In other words, avoid planting beech on southern facing slopes and hill tops. Best growth for productive spe ...
... susceptible to pests and diseases, and of course will not grow or yield well. It may be more important now than ever to match a species carefully to the site, particularly at the small scale. In other words, avoid planting beech on southern facing slopes and hill tops. Best growth for productive spe ...
the Transcript ()
... Overturning Circulation; the circulation that warm water carries warm waters northward through the Atlantic – warm upper waters – they progressively cool as they travel through the Atlantic, and when they get up into the northern Atlantic, they cool sufficiently, so that they sink to become dense wa ...
... Overturning Circulation; the circulation that warm water carries warm waters northward through the Atlantic – warm upper waters – they progressively cool as they travel through the Atlantic, and when they get up into the northern Atlantic, they cool sufficiently, so that they sink to become dense wa ...
full text ( 360kb) - USF College of Marine Science
... found in the Byrd ice core (Johnsen et al., 1972). The Orca Basin data do not appear to track Greenland air temperatures. Gulf of Mexico warming while the North Atlantic remained cold is consistent with weakened cross-equatorial heat transport (e.g., Manabe and Stouffer, 1997) and may indicate that ...
... found in the Byrd ice core (Johnsen et al., 1972). The Orca Basin data do not appear to track Greenland air temperatures. Gulf of Mexico warming while the North Atlantic remained cold is consistent with weakened cross-equatorial heat transport (e.g., Manabe and Stouffer, 1997) and may indicate that ...
Climate Change - Our Responsibility To Sustain God`s Earth
... increase and cyclones will range further south in Australia. Patterns in ocean currents that transfer energy between the Polar Regions and the equator may change, slow down or cease to circulate. Global temperatures could rise by as much as 5 degrees Celsius (estimated range 1.4-5.8oC) over the next ...
... increase and cyclones will range further south in Australia. Patterns in ocean currents that transfer energy between the Polar Regions and the equator may change, slow down or cease to circulate. Global temperatures could rise by as much as 5 degrees Celsius (estimated range 1.4-5.8oC) over the next ...
Climate Topline Mess.. - The Regeneration Project
... America is at a crossroads. We can continue to overload the planet with carbon pollution that harms public health, threatens our food and water supplies and harms nature, or we can embrace a new future with clean energy technologies. ...
... America is at a crossroads. We can continue to overload the planet with carbon pollution that harms public health, threatens our food and water supplies and harms nature, or we can embrace a new future with clean energy technologies. ...
The Paris Agreement footprint on the IPCC Special Report on 1.5°C
... Sujatha Byravan, How the Most Vulnerable Countries Fared at the Paris Meeting, which states: “For the most vulnerable countries, including the Least Developed Countries (LDCs) and small island states, there were several concerns going into COP21 (Coast Trust 2015). The significant ones were as follo ...
... Sujatha Byravan, How the Most Vulnerable Countries Fared at the Paris Meeting, which states: “For the most vulnerable countries, including the Least Developed Countries (LDCs) and small island states, there were several concerns going into COP21 (Coast Trust 2015). The significant ones were as follo ...
Tracking Earth`s Energy: From El Nin˜o to Global Warming
... former is due to shortcomings in remote sensing. Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) values (Huffman et al. 2009) are considered most reliable for precipitation (Trenberth et al. 2007b), while results from CloudSat (e.g., Stephens and Haynes 2007) may help improve on these, with prospect ...
... former is due to shortcomings in remote sensing. Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) values (Huffman et al. 2009) are considered most reliable for precipitation (Trenberth et al. 2007b), while results from CloudSat (e.g., Stephens and Haynes 2007) may help improve on these, with prospect ...
File - Alberta Government
... activities, such as heating homes, driving cars, and using electricity all emit greenhouse gases. You can make a difference by considering and modifying your own energy use and conservation. Make sure your home heating system and vehicles are in good repair. Make sure your house is properly insula ...
... activities, such as heating homes, driving cars, and using electricity all emit greenhouse gases. You can make a difference by considering and modifying your own energy use and conservation. Make sure your home heating system and vehicles are in good repair. Make sure your house is properly insula ...
IPCC-XLII/INF. 10
... 1) Socio-economic modeling related to climate change; 2) Climate and water; 3) Climate and the oceans; and 4) Underlying science of climate change. A total of 175 applications were received by the 15 February 2015 deadline. The Secretariat performed the first technical screening of the applications ...
... 1) Socio-economic modeling related to climate change; 2) Climate and water; 3) Climate and the oceans; and 4) Underlying science of climate change. A total of 175 applications were received by the 15 February 2015 deadline. The Secretariat performed the first technical screening of the applications ...
download PDF
... threaten food security and infrastructure, they also threaten the basis of Native Alaskans’ culture and identity. The table on the following two pages provides a summary of changes that may affect humans and ecosystems across Alaska. ...
... threaten food security and infrastructure, they also threaten the basis of Native Alaskans’ culture and identity. The table on the following two pages provides a summary of changes that may affect humans and ecosystems across Alaska. ...
1-Judd-IFA 2012 PP(3)
... Current policy responses to support adaptation Synergies and conflicts between policies for climate change adaptation and population ageing ...
... Current policy responses to support adaptation Synergies and conflicts between policies for climate change adaptation and population ageing ...
Climate Change - COSEE Florida
... Natural vs. Human Caused Climate Change • Scientific consensus of large human contribution ...
... Natural vs. Human Caused Climate Change • Scientific consensus of large human contribution ...
Synopsis of FEWS NET-related Climate Change and Food Security
... We followed up on this study with a careful study of thousands of eastern African rainfall gauge observations. This analysis suggested that a warming Indian Ocean was likely to produce increasing dryness in extremely vulnerable areas of eastern and southern Africa. These results were presented in an ...
... We followed up on this study with a careful study of thousands of eastern African rainfall gauge observations. This analysis suggested that a warming Indian Ocean was likely to produce increasing dryness in extremely vulnerable areas of eastern and southern Africa. These results were presented in an ...
Trend and Change Analysis of Monthly and Seasonal Temperature
... last century [1]. Increasing temperature and changing patterns of precipitation, are among the many consequences, which are attributed to climate change. Regional variations can be much wider, and considerable spatial and temporal variations may exist between climatically different regions [2]. Temp ...
... last century [1]. Increasing temperature and changing patterns of precipitation, are among the many consequences, which are attributed to climate change. Regional variations can be much wider, and considerable spatial and temporal variations may exist between climatically different regions [2]. Temp ...
The Discovery of Rapid Climate Change
... Mikhail Budyko in Leningrad got disturbing results on a still larger scale from some simple equations for Earth’s energy budget. His calculations indicated that feedbacks involving snow cover could indeed bring extraordinary climate changes within a short time. Other geophysical models turned up mor ...
... Mikhail Budyko in Leningrad got disturbing results on a still larger scale from some simple equations for Earth’s energy budget. His calculations indicated that feedbacks involving snow cover could indeed bring extraordinary climate changes within a short time. Other geophysical models turned up mor ...
Climate of Concern
... There were, however, also some items that showed a decrease in the correct responses after the intervention. For example, item 6 which indicted a 3% drop, item 7 dropped by 7% and item 11 by 2.5% but these changes are not considered to be statistically significant. However, item 15 was notable, as i ...
... There were, however, also some items that showed a decrease in the correct responses after the intervention. For example, item 6 which indicted a 3% drop, item 7 dropped by 7% and item 11 by 2.5% but these changes are not considered to be statistically significant. However, item 15 was notable, as i ...
Strategic Plan for the US Climate Change Science Program
... changes to historicallyforce model simulations • Models simulate past changes most closely when forcing includes natural and human factors (e.g., GHG and aerosol emissions) ...
... changes to historicallyforce model simulations • Models simulate past changes most closely when forcing includes natural and human factors (e.g., GHG and aerosol emissions) ...
Global warming hiatus
A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.