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Extreme climatic events and their evolution under changing climatic
Extreme climatic events and their evolution under changing climatic

... which a heat wave may occur can be arbitrarily set at 30 8C, which is typically a level that is exceeded at low elevations in Switzerland a few days each year. At higher elevations, above 1000 m or higher, the likelihood of encountering temperatures above 30 8C is negligible under current climate. S ...
Climatic Drivers of Change and the Future of African Ocean Assets
Climatic Drivers of Change and the Future of African Ocean Assets

... development, intensive agriculture, over exploitation, and resource extraction. In addition, increasing atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations pose a major threat to the oceans. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the impacts of climate change that will influence th ...
Terrestrial Ecosystem Response to Climate Change
Terrestrial Ecosystem Response to Climate Change

... precipitation ensure the survival and thriving of plants within a given environment (known as Climate space). ...
gwnord_chap1_072810 - Yale Economics
gwnord_chap1_072810 - Yale Economics

... absorb more warm radiation than hot radiation. This process is like a blanket on a cold winter’s night, which keeps us warm. As a result, the earth is about 33 °C warmer than it would be without our normal blanket of greenhouse gases. However, we are adding more blankets to the atmosphere in additio ...
A probabilistic analysis of human influence on
A probabilistic analysis of human influence on

... average monthly temperatures exceeding the 20th century average for each corresponding month resulting in a total of 346 months. Such a fact would seem to strongly support the hypothesis that global warming is occurring, but the question remains: how strong is this evidence (Bowman et al., 2010)? Ev ...
IPCC estimates for emissions from land
IPCC estimates for emissions from land

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Slide 1

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Traveling in Time through Climate History - Max-Planck
Traveling in Time through Climate History - Max-Planck

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Climate CHANGE ADAPTATION

... climate change, aiming at limiting warming to well 2°C. furthermore agreed that they should strive to limit temperature rise even further, to 1.5°C. Pledges made for the Paris agreement on climate change last winter would lead to global temperature rise of 2.6 to 3.1°C by the end of the century, acc ...
ESP-466. Why Does Climate Change. Basic scientific Principles and
ESP-466. Why Does Climate Change. Basic scientific Principles and

... years, the earth has experienced cooling and  warming cycles that take about 100,000 years to  complete. Over the range of each cycle, global  average temperature has varied about 5 degrees  Celsius (0r 9 degrees Fahrenheit), resulting in  extended ice ages and warm periods (NOAA,  2009). That clima ...
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Adapting Climate Change in Irrigation Sector

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Adapting Climate Change in Irrigation Sector
Adapting Climate Change in Irrigation Sector

... contribute about 40% of the average annual flow in the Ganges basin; and about 70% of the flow in the dry season  Mean temperatures decline by about 1 0C per 160m elevation (longitude) compared with 1 0C per 150 Km by latitude. ...
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Climate Dynamics and Global Change

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Climate Change and Its Consequences
Climate Change and Its Consequences

Climate Change in the American Mind: October 2014
Climate Change in the American Mind: October 2014

... 2. Perceived Risk of Global Warming 2.1. One in three Americans thinks people in the U.S. are being harmed right now by global warming. The impacts of global warming are starting to be felt in the United States. According to the 2014 U.S. National Climate Assessment1: “Residents of some coastal citi ...
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ESIP Federation_TalkV4_Asrar
ESIP Federation_TalkV4_Asrar

... model (HadGEM2-ES) compared with observed CO2 emissions for the historical period and those projected for the RCP scenarios (OBS/IAMs) (from Friedlingstein and Jones, ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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