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Palutikof
Palutikof

... literature’ • Submissions of literature and/or text can be made to the appropriate CLA, the Co-Chairs or the TSU, for consideration IPCC Working Group II: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability ...
Phenological responses of prairie plants vary among species
Phenological responses of prairie plants vary among species

... Abstract. As temperature is a common regulator of temperate plant phenology, future increases in global temperatures are likely to cause shifts in the timing of plant phenophases such as flowering and senescence, with potential feedbacks on species interactions and carbon cycling. We used a 3-year f ...
LNG FUEL CYCLE: IMPACTS Report Number PH3/5 January 1999
LNG FUEL CYCLE: IMPACTS Report Number PH3/5 January 1999

Document
Document

... gious groups within countries and to political radicalization. This could destabilize countries and even entire regions.18 The most serious climate risks and conflicts are expected in poor countries which are vulner able to climate change and have less access to capital to invest in adaptation, but ...
Perceptions of agro-pastoralists towards the change in temperature
Perceptions of agro-pastoralists towards the change in temperature

Highly contrasting effects of different climate forcing agents on
Highly contrasting effects of different climate forcing agents on

Advent Light
Advent Light

... There are multiple mitigation pathways that are likely to limit warming to below 2°C relative to pre-industrial levels. These pathways would require substantial emissions reductions over the next few decades and near zero emissions of carbon dioxide and other long-lived greenhouse gases by the end o ...
Environment and Development (UNCED)
Environment and Development (UNCED)

Center for Global Environmental Research
Center for Global Environmental Research

... Model SX-6 in 2002. In March 2007, we replaced that system with an NEC Model SX-8R/128M16 in order to provide an increased capacity for speed and storage. We expect our research to benefit directly from this upgrade. The supercomputer system is available for use by researchers from NIES and other re ...
Climate change, water and food security
Climate change, water and food security

... rapidly changing and more sensitive climate. Insolation reaching the earth is at its lowest recorded level, but this ‘global dimming’ has not affected photosynthesis and it is hypothesized that diffuse light is used more efficiently than direct sunlight. The modelling undertaken for AR4 has generall ...
Ethics and Global Climate Change* Stephen M
Ethics and Global Climate Change* Stephen M

... vii).12 The IPCC has, accordingly, submitted three comprehensive reports, in 1990, 1995, and 2001.13 The results have remained fairly consistent across all three reports, though the level of confidence in those results has increased.14 The main findings of the most recent are as follows. The IPCC be ...
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PDF

... 1997). Rosenzweig et al. (1993) have used such a model to simulate the impact of climate change, with and without trade liberalization. They find a small, positive production effect stemming from trade liberalization. Reilly, Hohmann and Kane (1993, 1994) have also explored this issue. They find tha ...
A model study of warming-induced phosphorus–oxygen feedbacks
A model study of warming-induced phosphorus–oxygen feedbacks

... Received: 20 October 2016 – Discussion started: 31 October 2016 Revised: 20 March 2017 – Accepted: 12 April 2017 – Published: 19 May 2017 ...
Hearts or minds? Identifying persuasive messages on climate change
Hearts or minds? Identifying persuasive messages on climate change

... surveys of Americans, climate change is an important environmental concern, but environmental concerns rank lower than issues such as national security and the economy (Pew Research Center, 2010a). Advocates of climate change policies must confront the challenge that the public historically has view ...
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PDF

... heat energy from the lower latitudes to the higher latitudes, the direction of transport is fixed by the climate system. This directionality of heat energy and moisture transport interacting with the pattern of relative marginal damages from temperature increases across latitudes determines the bias ...
T H SHO N Old Retired Person
T H SHO N Old Retired Person

... OldE Retired Person ...
Climate change is simple: We do something or we`re
Climate change is simple: We do something or we`re

... climate science community. However, even scientists looking at the standard model projections have become leery of 2 degrees. Here’s what the scientists over at RealClimate said back in 2009: We feel compelled to note that even a “moderate” warming of 2°C stands a strong chance of provoking drought ...
Water Climate Change Impacts
Water Climate Change Impacts

... events as a result of climate change. Here many thousands of climate model runs are performed with and without increased levels of greenhouse gases. The change in the frequency of the extreme event under investigation shows how much more or less likely such an event has become due to climate change. ...
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Document

... The Earth’s climate has changed in the past due to natural factors and these factors will also change the Earth’s climate in the future. Significant natural factors are, for example, volcanic activity and the activity of the sun. It has been generally accepted that human activities also contribute t ...
The Role of Landscape Processes within the Climate System
The Role of Landscape Processes within the Climate System

... and localized pockets that lead to long-term regional warming or cooling. The role of landscape processes within the climate assessments however has been mostly ignored except in terms of how carbon assimilation is affected. As summarized in the National Research Council (2005) report, the role of v ...
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PDF

... the jump. This increase is all the more striking as it occurs after a three-decade plateau, while one could have expected a steady increase over the whole period. This upward trend of additional doomists is still noticeable during the following two decades. These results clearly suggest that it beco ...
Seasonal mean temperature changes control future heat waves
Seasonal mean temperature changes control future heat waves

... frequency (i.e., number of heat wave days) will be considerably larger in regions with small temperature variability (Figure 2b), such as the tropics, where up to 95% of all days become heat wave days in the future. This contrasts with present climate values (Figure 2a), which are by definition below ...
CLIMATE CHANGE COMMUNICATION AT VTV Presenters: Hoang
CLIMATE CHANGE COMMUNICATION AT VTV Presenters: Hoang

... Normal and cultural ways to talk about climate? Events on climate change? How to measure the effectiveness of Climate Change Communication in Vietnam? Could presenters do something in person to arise awareness of climate change? International co-operation about climate change ...
Meteorology of the stratosphere - University of Reading, Meteorology
Meteorology of the stratosphere - University of Reading, Meteorology

... [email protected] ...
Climate Change Forecast Spells Doom For Bamboo, Panda Bears
Climate Change Forecast Spells Doom For Bamboo, Panda Bears

... Tuanmu and other researchers, from Michigan State University and the Chinese Academy of Sciences conducted a study in China’s northwestern Qinling Mountains on bamboo found there. These mountains are home to about 270 pandas–roughly 20 percent of the of the world’s wild population. Publishing their  ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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