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... There is also a lot of research on economic costs of mandatory emission cuts (see IPCC, 2007). Most studies rely on structural models to assess the impact of emissions cuts. For instance, Paltsev, Reillya, Jacobya, and Morris (2009) use the MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) model; ...
FAQ 4.2 | Are Glaciers in Mountain Regions Disappearing?
FAQ 4.2 | Are Glaciers in Mountain Regions Disappearing?

... In many mountain ranges around the world, glaciers are disappearing in response to the atmospheric temperature increases of past decades. Disappearing glaciers have been reported in the Canadian Arctic and Rocky Mountains; the Andes; Patagonia; the European Alps; the Tien Shan; tropical mountains in ...
Climate Change and Agricultural Commodities
Climate Change and Agricultural Commodities

... production and their productivity with consequences to both food supply and food security and many of these effects will be seen most in least developed countries (LDCs). Without doubt, climate change is occurring and is already having a dramatic impact on climatic variability, global temperatures a ...
Geomagnetic modulation of clouds effects in the Southern
Geomagnetic modulation of clouds effects in the Southern

... atmosphere composition and the energy of the primary and secondary cosmic ray particles. The region where the geomagnetic reduction in cosmic rays is least, the cosmic ray effect on clouds appears greatest. [17] At this point, it is not possible to establish the physical mechanisms that drive the at ...
Northern African climate at the end of the twenty
Northern African climate at the end of the twenty

... sensitive to SST anomalies—and their gradients—in the Indian, Atlantic, and Pacific Oceans. Indeed, the AR4 AOGCM simulations do not produce a consensus about how rainfall will change due to greenhouse gas increases over northern Africa during the summer, further undermining confidence in the result ...
'Communicating Uncertainties for those Insuring Future Climate Change' Oslo 2008
'Communicating Uncertainties for those Insuring Future Climate Change' Oslo 2008

... I would like you to think on the potential damage done (to science and society) if distributions which are not decision-support relevant probabilities are used as if they were. And to think of alternatives for packaging uncertainty so that it can better inform policy and decision support. (allowing ...
A model study of warming-induced phosphorus–oxygen feedbacks
A model study of warming-induced phosphorus–oxygen feedbacks

... and a potential acceleration of organic matter turnover in a warming climate. The overall area of ocean sediments that are in direct contact with low-oxygen bottom waters also increases with expanding OMZs. This leads to a release of phosphorus from ocean sediments. If anthropogenic carbon dioxide e ...
Republic Act No. 9729
Republic Act No. 9729

... responsibilities and the Precautionary Principle to guide decision-making in climate risk management. As a party to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, the State adopts the ultimate objective of the Convention which is the stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations in the ...
Glacier variations and climate change in the central Himalaya over
Glacier variations and climate change in the central Himalaya over

... snowmelt is minimal. Thus little mass is lost from the annual accumulation layer that is gradually thinned by steady vertical compression. Some mass might be removed by wind scour, but there is no way to control for this effect. Thus the annual layer thicknesses (in meters of water equivalent) are a ...
Keeping North Carolina`s Farms and Forests Vibrant and Resilient
Keeping North Carolina`s Farms and Forests Vibrant and Resilient

... days and warmer nights potentially disrupting pollination. Increased instances of drought could be possible and increase fire hazards. Fewer days with rain, but more instances of intense rain when it does rain, could become more common. More intense rains could impact field preparation and result in e ...
climate change adaptation - India Environment Portal | News
climate change adaptation - India Environment Portal | News

... services are projected (World Bank 2013). These cumulative changes are increasing risks across a region often referred to as Asia’s “Water Tower” since it is the source of waters that sustain over one billion people (Xu et al. 2009). Yet, there is significant uncertainty about the regional climate r ...
Republic Act 9729
Republic Act 9729

... Section 2. Declaration of Policy. – It is the policy of the State to afford full protection and the advancement of the right of the people to a healthful ecology in accord with the rhythm and harmony of nature. In this light, the State has adopted the Philippine Agenda 21 framework which espouses su ...
The Role of Methane in Climate (Change)
The Role of Methane in Climate (Change)

... millennia for methane to outgas. It is unfathomable to AMEG and many others that main-stream science are behaving like “methane denialists” when the observations are clearly undermining such out-of-hand rejection, based on inaccurate models that are clearly missing feedbacks. In fact the situation i ...
Read and the brochure here
Read and the brochure here

... estimates for one or more region ...
The impacts of climate change on human rights and forced migration
The impacts of climate change on human rights and forced migration

... trapping heat from the sun, and making the planet inhabitable (the ‘greenhouse effect’). These gases occur naturally but are also emitted by human activities, in particular the burning of fossil fuels, deforestation and intensive agricultural practices. Human activities have released 900 billion ton ...
karfakis
karfakis

... other, eventually determines the final welfare impact of climate changes locally in any time perspective. The evidence indicating that an environmental shock may have a positive indirect but a negative direct impact on health is noteworthy. For instance, Galindo (2009) shows that, in Mexico, the sam ...
Impact analysis of climate change for an Alpine catchment using
Impact analysis of climate change for an Alpine catchment using

... balances. While global climate models are designed to describe climate change on global or continental scales, their resolution is too coarse for them to be suitable for describing regional climate change. Therefore, regional climate models are applied to downscale the coarse meteorological fields t ...
i3084e11
i3084e11

... other, eventually determines the final welfare impact of climate changes locally in any time perspective. The evidence indicating that an environmental shock may have a positive indirect but a negative direct impact on health is noteworthy. For instance, Galindo (2009) shows that, in Mexico, the sam ...
Perceptions of Obvious and Disruptive Climate Change: Community
Perceptions of Obvious and Disruptive Climate Change: Community

... governing bodies in the Arctic to ask scholars and scientists to identify thresholds of possible irreversible regime shifts [56]. In Alaska, sea and land-based ice is melting rapidly; temperatures are rising sharply; and drought, wildfires, and insect outbreaks are more common, all of which signific ...
REPUBLIC REPUBLIC OF NAURU
REPUBLIC REPUBLIC OF NAURU

... paragraphs of Decision1/CP.19 and 1/CP.20. Being a Small Island Developing State (SIDS), as per the Lima decision 1/CP.20 in paragraph 11,, Nauru is mainly communicating information on strategies, plans and actions for climate resilience and low greenhouse gas ...
Water and Climate Change - Background Document
Water and Climate Change - Background Document

... a warmer planet. For Arab Region, this could mean changes to our climate— specifically temperature, evaporation, rainfall, and drought. Changes in climate will also likely affect the availability of our water resources and our plans to meet expected demands for water in the future. For surface water ...
Methane - Clean Air Task Force
Methane - Clean Air Task Force

... estimates.8 Microbes in the stomachs of cows (as well as other ruminants such as sheep, goats, buffalo and camels) produce methane by fermenting food during digestion—a process known as enteric fermentation; emissions exit when the animals exhale or belch. Other agricultural sources include rice cu ...
A fractal climate response function can simulate global average
A fractal climate response function can simulate global average

... One way of dealing with the uncertainties in climate response function and forcings is to acknowledge them explicitly and utilize them as leeway for fitting model responses to observed temperatures. For the most elaborate climate models, this could at most take the form of some implicit tuning, bec ...
Climate Action Plan - Reporting Institutions
Climate Action Plan - Reporting Institutions

... equivalent greenhouse gases. Transportation activities accounted for 55% of emissions, while campus facility operations (emissions from electrical and natural gas use) constituted 43%. Solid waste, agriculture and landscape activities, and refrigerants accounted for only 2% of total emissions. ...
The impact of climate change and weather on transport - MOWE-IT
The impact of climate change and weather on transport - MOWE-IT

... The main consequences of climate change as predicted by most of the existing climate models are an increase in global temperatures, changes in precipitation patterns, and sea level rise. In general, climate models predict that increases in temperature will be higher over land areas than over oceans ...
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Global warming



Global warming and climate change are terms for the observed century-scale rise in the average temperature of the Earth's climate system and its related effects.Multiple lines of scientific evidence show that the climate system is warming. Although the increase of near-surface atmospheric temperature is the measure of global warming often reported in the popular press, most of the additional energy stored in the climate system since 1970 has gone into ocean warming. The remainder has melted ice, and warmed the continents and atmosphere. Many of the observed changes since the 1950s are unprecedented over decades to millennia.Scientific understanding of global warming is increasing. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reported in 2014 that scientists were more than 95% certain that most of global warming is caused by increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases and other human (anthropogenic) activities. Climate model projections summarized in the report indicated that during the 21st century the global surface temperature is likely to rise a further 0.3 to 1.7 °C (0.5 to 3.1 °F) for their lowest emissions scenario using stringent mitigation and 2.6 to 4.8 °C (4.7 to 8.6 °F) for their highest. These findings have been recognized by the national science academies of the major industrialized nations.Future climate change and associated impacts will differ from region to region around the globe. Anticipated effects include warming global temperature, rising sea levels, changing precipitation, and expansion of deserts in the subtropics. Warming is expected to be greatest in the Arctic, with the continuing retreat of glaciers, permafrost and sea ice. Other likely changes include more frequent extreme weather events including heat waves, droughts, heavy rainfall, and heavy snowfall; ocean acidification; and species extinctions due to shifting temperature regimes. Effects significant to humans include the threat to food security from decreasing crop yields and the abandonment of populated areas due to flooding.Possible societal responses to global warming include mitigation by emissions reduction, adaptation to its effects, building systems resilient to its effects, and possible future climate engineering. Most countries are parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC),whose ultimate objective is to prevent dangerous anthropogenic climate change. The UNFCCC have adopted a range of policies designed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and to assist in adaptation to global warming. Parties to the UNFCCC have agreed that deep cuts in emissions are required, and that future global warming should be limited to below 2.0 °C (3.6 °F) relative to the pre-industrial level.
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