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IPCC climate alarm advocacy has failed: what`s
IPCC climate alarm advocacy has failed: what`s

... recently of all, since 1998, global temperature stasis and gentle cooling have occurred. Tellingly, since 1958 there has been an increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide, partly due to human emissions, of more than 20 per cent. That there has been no concomitant increase in global temperature invalida ...
1 I
1 I

... anthropogenic effects of climate change are already occurring and will be substantial (IPCC). A recent U.S. government analysis (GAO) shows that that U.S. land management agencies are not prepared to address this issue. This analysis also highlights the need for assessment of climate change impacts ...
The Effect of Climate Change on Polar Bear Populations
The Effect of Climate Change on Polar Bear Populations

... There has been natural variation in temperature throughout history, largely due to CO2 concentrations. In recent history we have been adding huge amounts of CO2 to the atmosphere, which increases temperature and melts sea ice. ...
Radiation Climate Data Record based on the climate version of
Radiation Climate Data Record based on the climate version of

Before/after program
Before/after program

... accumulate in the atmosphere. They absorb thermal radiation (heat) from the Earth’s surface, and redirect it back down to the Earth, heating up our planet. This is called the GREENHOUSE EFFECT. ...
Adapting to climate change - Australian Industry Group
Adapting to climate change - Australian Industry Group

... Adapting to climate change • As an organisation – Our members • As an investor – UNPRI – Direct and indirect investments ...
PPT - Atmospheric Chemistry Modeling Group
PPT - Atmospheric Chemistry Modeling Group

... • Methane is the second most important anthropogenic greenhouse gas •Tropospheric ozone forcing is +0.3-0.7 W m-2; range reflects uncertainty in natural levels • Aerosol forcing could be as large as -2 W m-2 ; range reflects uncertainty in aerosol sources, optical properties, cloud interactions IPCC ...
Behind the Hockey Stick - Page Contact:
Behind the Hockey Stick - Page Contact:

... iconic status — as well as making it a bull’s-eye. A community Started in December 2004, the site has nine active scientists, skeptical of human-induced warming argued that Mann’s who have attracted the attention of the blog cognoscenti for data points were too sparse to constitute a true picture, o ...
Satellite Based Climate Change Study
Satellite Based Climate Change Study

... has increased the amount of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere (shown in the graph to the right). The increased amount of gases which absorb heat, has directly lead to more heat being retained in the atmosphere and thus an increase in global average surface temperatures. This change in temperature i ...
Seattle Public Library Talk
Seattle Public Library Talk

... season storms, like our big windstorms, will also get stronger “There is also evidence of an increase in the intensity of storms in both the mid- and high-latitude areas of the Northern Hemisphere,” State X ...
rapid climate change
rapid climate change

... Disruption to the Atlantic THC The Atlantic THC (Box 2) is projected to weaken with rising global temperatures, although there is little consensus on the size or rate of the weakening. Any weakening would have a cooling effect around the North Atlantic, principally during winter. This would be super ...
Development of Ecotourism Project in The Lake Victoria and
Development of Ecotourism Project in The Lake Victoria and

... Micro-finance credit opportunities Livestock production Integrating livestock ...
prese - Parliamentary Monitoring Group
prese - Parliamentary Monitoring Group

... • Climate Change: Some Basic Facts. • Climate change is a central aspect of the broader environmental agenda, the latter being about sustainable growth and development. • The debate on climate change is informed by scientific evidence contained in the fourth assessment report of the IPCC which asse ...
Climate Intervention Is Not a Replacement for Reducing Carbon
Climate Intervention Is Not a Replacement for Reducing Carbon

... monitor the environmental effects of an albedo-modification deployment. Improvements in the capacity to monitor direct and indirect changes on weather, climate, or larger Earth systems and to detect unilateral or uncoordinated deployment could help further understanding of albedo modification and c ...
Energy Sector (CLP
Energy Sector (CLP

... Climate is changing anyway & countries will act, so we need to step up adaptation and position for new business opportunities today, since it takes time to implement… ...
Presentation - IEA Task 38
Presentation - IEA Task 38

... the surface and top-of-atmosphere. This can directly affect local and global climate.  The net local climate effect (near surface temps.) will be determined by the efficiency with which the remaining net radiation is partitioned into sensible, latent, and ground heat fluxes via convective and condu ...
The next step for the movement against climate modification and
The next step for the movement against climate modification and

... whether or not you believe that the Earth is indeed warming significantly above-and-beyond natural rates, and whether or not you believe that human activities are largely responsible for such warming (….) – then you will necessarily prefer active technical management of radiation forcing of the Eart ...
Press release
Press release

... Nine boundaries were identified including climate change, stratospheric ozone, land use change, freshwater use, biological diversity, ocean acidification, nitrogen and phosphorus inputs to the biosphere and oceans, aerosol loading and chemical pollution. The study suggests that three of these bounda ...
Home_files/Climate Briefing for Policymakers (V4).
Home_files/Climate Briefing for Policymakers (V4).

... 9. Comparison to Atomic Bombs. Excess greenhouse gases — mostly CO2 from the burning of fossil fuels — have already caused an “energy imbalance” (more energy coming into the Earth than is going out) that is equivalent to 400,000 Hiroshima atomic ...
The Climate Change Habitability Index - Eli Blevis
The Climate Change Habitability Index - Eli Blevis

... can think of. There is a lot of data available, and assessing the actual habitability of a particular location in terms of risks associated with climate change is a tremendously complex and intricate calculation. Our goal here is to hide all this complexity inasmuch as it is possible to do so. We ch ...
Imperial College London
Imperial College London

... University of Reading ...
Primer on Climate Change Science (NACAA)
Primer on Climate Change Science (NACAA)

... concentration of water vapor in the lower atmosphere is controlled by the rate of evaporation and precipitation, which are much more strongly influenced by changes in atmospheric temperature and circulation than by human activities directly.9 There are also several gases that do not have a direct gl ...
ClimateChange
ClimateChange

... of the climate that can be identified (e.g. using statistical tests) by changes in the mean and/or the variability of its properties, and that persists for an extended period, typically decades or longer. It refers to any change in climate over time, whether due to natural variability or as a result ...
Sources of Uncertainty
Sources of Uncertainty

... the climate, allowing scientists to develop a greater understanding of the many complex interactions within the system and estimate how changing greenhouse gas levels will affect the climate. Climate models use the laws of nature to simulate the radiative balance and flows of energy and materials. T ...
Slide 1
Slide 1

... AND WE DISAGREE ON THESE • There may be no warming since 1995/1979/1958/1940. • Climate sensitivity is between 0.3 and 1.3 deg. C. • The AGW signal is unmeasurable (lost in the noise). (despite CO2 increases of 5%, 15% and >20%) ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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