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1 How do we know that climate change is happening?
1 How do we know that climate change is happening?

... Without the greenhouse effect, the Earth would be a frozen lump of rock like the Moon. At the other end of the scale, Venus’s atmosphere is 96-per-cent carbon dioxide, which, combined with its proximity to the Sun, gives it a balmy surface temperature of around 480°C. Water is the most abundant gree ...
Global Warming Litigation - Norris McLaughlin & Marcus
Global Warming Litigation - Norris McLaughlin & Marcus

... → Allegation that companies have a strategy of establishing “front” groups with scientists that distort scientific data and misinform the public. → Rather than asking a court to determine how much greenhouse gas production is acceptable or attributable to a particular D, the Ps are asking the court ...
粮农组织“气候智能型农业”相关工作
粮农组织“气候智能型农业”相关工作

... World’s population will increase by one-third by 2050 FAO estimates that agricultural production will have to increase by 60% However, climate change is estimated to have reduced global yields of maize and wheat by 3.8 % and 5.5 % since 1980. ...
Potential Impact of Climate Change on Rare Precipitation Jan 6, 2014 Geoff Bonnin
Potential Impact of Climate Change on Rare Precipitation Jan 6, 2014 Geoff Bonnin

... – Probable Maximum Precipitation: worst case “perfect storm” • Unknown probability ...
the big picture chapter 19 global change
the big picture chapter 19 global change

... AP exams. It would be wise to review with your students the calculations and interpretation skills used in the following math problems. The first problem asks students to calculate sea level rise in meters over a given time period The second problem requires students to read a graph and calculate ne ...
Grenada`s
Grenada`s

... full impacts of either sea level rise, or storm surges. This data on wave dynamics and wave energy was important to facilitate analysis of the erosion potential, and the runoff potential of the waves under the different scenarios. Its unavailability meant that the analysis that was done was a static ...
Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation Considerations For
Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation Considerations For

... daily temperature average over each year shows a sharp increase during the first decade of the 21st century (Rasul et. al. 2012). Analysis of seasonal data over this period shows significant increases in winter mean and maximum temperatures, while mean and minimum summer temperatures show a consiste ...
Current Extreme Weather and Climate Change
Current Extreme Weather and Climate Change

... In contrast, the observed trends fit well with our understanding of how climate change drives changes in weather. Computer models of the climate that include both natural forces as well as human influences are consistent with observed global trends in heat waves, warm days and nights, and frost days ...
Kevin Anderson, EcoCities
Kevin Anderson, EcoCities

... at 7 billion … but how many people need to make the ...
H3 Evidence and impacts of climate change.
H3 Evidence and impacts of climate change.

... 2006 – The Stern Review concludes that climate change could cause severe economic damage – reducing gross domestic product (GDP) by up to 20% if left unchecked – but curbing it would cost about 1% of global GDP. 2007 – The IPCC and former US vice-president Al Gore receive the Nobel Peace Prize for s ...
ANPR Comments- Endangerment
ANPR Comments- Endangerment

... FR 44,424/3 (Page 183-184) Tropospheric Ozone Increased concentrations of tropospheric O3 are causing a significant anthropogenic warming effect, but, unlike the long-lived six GHGs, tropospheric O3 has a short atmospheric lifetime (hours to weeks), and therefore its concentrations are more variable ...
Water supply options for the future
Water supply options for the future

... • Climate models are currently capable of credibly simulating present climate at the continental scale. • Models are continually improving, yet key physical relationships remain poorly understood, the water vapor/cloud formation and feedback process being the most significant. • Greater resolution a ...
Central Queensland - Department of Environment and Heritage
Central Queensland - Department of Environment and Heritage

... Average temperatures across the state are currently 1°C higher than they were 100 years ago. Recent decades have shown a clear warming trend. Our climate is already highly variable but climate change is leading to shifts beyond this natural variability. ...
Environmental Science 12 with elaborations
Environmental Science 12 with elaborations

... • personal choices: rain harvesting, waste water recycling, mitigation, xeriscaping Global Warming and Climate Change • system: weather, climate, greenhouse effect, albedo effect, change over time, positive and negative feedback loops, global temperatures • energy balance: conduction, radiation, con ...
Download pdf | 50 KB |
Download pdf | 50 KB |

... The least developed countries can only embark on a sustainable development path if we help finance adaptation and capacity-building. We must help these countries help themselves. And we must reach an agreement that ensures faster technological transfer. Here, we need to develop novel financial mecha ...
VP of Sustainability at Aspen Skiing Company Auden Schendler on
VP of Sustainability at Aspen Skiing Company Auden Schendler on

... are seeing the future today. What we fear is warmer weather, more rain than snow, and persistent droughts. The fear is you’re in an increasingly challenging environment to run a ski business. But the broader issue is that everybody’s on the front lines, not just skiing. The bigger issue is the econo ...
The Oceans, the Atmosphere and Climate Change - EUR
The Oceans, the Atmosphere and Climate Change - EUR

... a small fraction of its radiation, it represents the main source of energy for our planet and climate. Only about half of the total energy coming from the sun that reaches the Earth is stored in the oceans; the rest is immediately reflected back to space or stored in the atmosphere (this heat storag ...
Sustainable development, policies and measures
Sustainable development, policies and measures

Author
Author

... massive greenhouse. A greenhouse is a glass shed used to grow plants, especially during winter. The glass panels let in the light and heat from the sun. The heat gets trapped inside and cannot escape from the greenhouse. The house heats up and gives out warmth to the plants. This natural process is ...
Ozone
Ozone

... • The presence of carbon sinks, which remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, may be countering rise in emissions. We cannot assume that the capacity of these sinks to absorb carbon has not been fully exhausted or will be so in the near future. • Plant growth may have increased in response to ris ...
Stratospheric Temperature Trends
Stratospheric Temperature Trends

... • Stratospheric T should remain a priority for climate change detection. • Discrepancies between models and obs need better explanations. • Observations (and reanalyses) for detecting changes are not ideal. • Progress has been slow. • Large uncertainties remain and need to be better quantified. • La ...
A Guide to Understanding Global Temperature Data
A Guide to Understanding Global Temperature Data

... people live where the temperature fluctuates by many degrees every day, and the seasonal swing in temperatures can be 80 F or more, a couple of degrees doesn’t matter too much. But in the case of global warming, one or two degrees is the entire change scientists are trying to measure over a period o ...
Document
Document

... • It is possible to predict the effects of climate change on river flows and water quality, but a long chain of models and assumptions is required; • Different assumptions can lead to radically different outcomes; • These start at the top of the model chain – some GCMs give a substantial increase in ...
Document
Document

... • An integral National Strategy for incorporation of the Republic of Serbia into Clean Development Mechanism under the Kyoto Protocol that integrates CDM strategies for energy, agriculture, forestry and waste sectors developed.  Ministry of Energy and Mining - energy sector – July 2008. ...
Misconceptions in water resource studies
Misconceptions in water resource studies

... Not only will a graph show up a trend, but it also enables one to look for ‘wild’ observations or outliers which do not appear to be consistent with the rest of the data. The treatment of outliers is a complex subject in which common sense is more important than statistical theory. The notes that fo ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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