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Course_609_lecture_1 (Jan 18, 2017)
Course_609_lecture_1 (Jan 18, 2017)

... Over the long term, the amount of incoming solar radiation absorbed by the Earth and atmosphere is balanced by the Earth and atmosphere releasing the same amount of outgoing longwave radiation. About half of the incoming solar radiation is absorbed by the Earth’s surface. This energy is transferred ...
Do scientists agree about climate change? public perceptions from a
Do scientists agree about climate change? public perceptions from a

... Consensus views based on this body of research have been articulated through individual and joint statements by all of the major u.s. scientific organizations with relevant expertise,3 in statements or reports by the national academies of thirteen leading scientific nations,4 and in broad interna ...
An Overview On the Complexity of Humans Within It
An Overview On the Complexity of Humans Within It

... Addressing Uncertainties, Uncertainties, Committee Committee on on Radiative Radiative Forcing Forcing Effects Effects on on Climate, Climate, Climate Climate Research Research Committee, Committee, 224 ...
Climate Change SDWG Brief - Pacific Islands Forum Secretariat
Climate Change SDWG Brief - Pacific Islands Forum Secretariat

... PICs are at extreme risk from sea level rise as more than 50% of the population in the region lives within 1.5 km of the shore and many of these countries are less than a few meters above sea level. Thus, an increase of as little as half a meter, along with natural sea level variation (e.g. from ENS ...
The need for mitigation
The need for mitigation

... forests, vegetation or soils that can reabsorb CO2. Carbon dioxide is the largest contributing gas to the greenhouse effect. In the 200 years since 1800, levels have risen by over 30%. Since levels of greenhouse gases are currently rising even more steeply, leading to the most dramatic change in the ...
Speaker 10
Speaker 10

... To discuss the attribution of increasing losses to climate change with a high level group of participants from science and insurance industry. Risk of change – Peter Höppe ...
Menu of Learning Experiences
Menu of Learning Experiences

...  Maori and the Environment smartboard resource on Maori protocol (tikanga) for sustainability of the environment  Pay it Forward - Saving the World - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tn06FQbIRGU  ‘The inconvenient truth’ view CHAPTER TWENTY EIGHT – Balancing the environment and economy (movie of sc ...
National Inventory Report
National Inventory Report

... the Kyoto Protocol on April 29, 2000. The establishment of the Mexican Committee for GHG mitigation projects was on January 23, 2004. The establishment of the Interministrial Climate Change Commission was on April ...
Climate Change
Climate Change

... factors.  These are factors which alter the Earth’s heat balance and thus cause a gradual change in the Earth’s temperature.  More heat trapped – temperature rises until the heat radiated away from Earth equals that coming in. ...
Climate change - what is it all about
Climate change - what is it all about

... Most of the greenhouse gases occur naturally. However, since the Industrial Revolution in the 18th century, human society too has been producing greenhouse gases in ever-increasing amounts. As a result, their concentrations in the atmosphere are now higher than at any time in the past 650,000 years. ...
Submission regarding Australia UNFCC
Submission regarding Australia UNFCC

... "... the rate of warming over the past 15 years (1998–2012; 0.05 [–0.05 to 0.15] °C per decade) ... is smaller than the rate calculated since 1951 (1951–2012; 0.12 [0.08 to 0.14] °C per decade)." WG I SPM (page 3, section B.1), WG I chapter 2 (Exec summary pg 162, Sect 2.4.3 pg 194), Full Synthesis ...
press release
press release

Seasons, Temperature, Global Warming
Seasons, Temperature, Global Warming

... clouds keep Earth warm at night because they trap the outgoing infrared radiation from the Earth Global Warming Greenhouse effect = increase in earth’s surface temperature due to absorption of the earth’s outgoing infrared radiation by atmospheric gases principal greenhouse gases – water vapor, carb ...
Dr Manohar Arora
Dr Manohar Arora

... which is attributed directly or indirectly to human activities that alters the composition of the global atmosphere and which is in addition to natural climate variability observed over comparable time periods’ ...
Hot Politics ABOUT THE FILM FRONTLINE and the Center for
Hot Politics ABOUT THE FILM FRONTLINE and the Center for

... dioxide as a warming gas and suggest that the burning of fossil fuels could lead to global warming, describing what is known as the "greenhouse effect." • 1927: Yugoslavian Mulin Milankovic proposes that small, naturally occurring changes in Earth's orbit affect climate, leading to Ice Ages and warm ...
The FWs` Partners for Fish and Wildlife Program and Coastal
The FWs` Partners for Fish and Wildlife Program and Coastal

... al. 2006). For example, it is largely unknown how plant and animal species, populations, habitats, and ecosystems will respond to climate change due to their differences in competitive abilities, dispersal and colonization capabilities, migration rates, and response to disturbance. This is especiall ...
Food security in-depth (PDF 196 KB)
Food security in-depth (PDF 196 KB)

... Average temperatures are expected to increase across the globe in the coming decades. 11 In mid to high latitudes increasing average temperatures can have a positive impact on crop production, but in seasonally arid and tropical regions the impact is likely to be detrimental.12 Mean precipitation On ...
Thresholds risk prolonged degradation Planetary boundaries
Thresholds risk prolonged degradation Planetary boundaries

... for thresholds also allows misbehaviour that might be better nipped in the bud. Humans don’t die of the first cigarette they inhale, but the slow cumulative effects of smoking can hasten the journey towards one’s ultimate personal threshold. Ecologists believe there are numerous thresholds in nature ...
The climatic impacts of land surface change and carbon
The climatic impacts of land surface change and carbon

OUR CLIMATE IS STILL CHANGING!
OUR CLIMATE IS STILL CHANGING!

... therefore a major effect on the earths “greenhouse”. • There were very few “sun spots” during the little ice age when our climate was cold. • There have been significant “sun spots” during times of climate warming • There have been significant “sun spots” during the past 30 years ...
China - European Capacity Building Initiative
China - European Capacity Building Initiative

... 2. Decisions made by COP and COP/MOP ...
Climate, Ecology, and Human Health
Climate, Ecology, and Human Health

... geographical mapping that visually integrates the biological, chemical, and physical measurements can help define and analyze the consequences, costs, and the causes of global environmental change. ...
Climate Change - คณะเทคนิคการแพทย์
Climate Change - คณะเทคนิคการแพทย์

... destabilised slopes, and affect water resources within the next two to three decades. This will be followed by decreased river flows as the glaciers recede.  Freshwater availability in Central, South, East and Southeast Asia particularly in large river basins is projected to decrease due to climate ...
10584_2012_414_MOESM1_ESM
10584_2012_414_MOESM1_ESM

... climate model; an upwelling diffusion energy-balance model connected to carbon and other gas cycle models, which can be tuned to represent the output of more complex models. The model is computationally fast, so suitable for running large numbers of simulations in order to explore uncertainties. The ...
Presentation
Presentation

... willingness to cooperate with other Parties to tackle the negative impacts of climate change on a global scale • Switzerland is vulnerable to climate change: ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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