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Large-scale effects of climate change on water resources in Sweden
Large-scale effects of climate change on water resources in Sweden

... Daily values of several modelled variables describing the water resources have been aggregated to average annual values and plotted on maps with high spatial resolution to analyse emerging geographical patterns for Europe and Sweden.   The results for the reference period (1981–2010) are similar for ...
Please amend title
Please amend title

... RESTRICTED Departmental Carbon Budget framework to cut emissions on the scale shown here. ...
2: A Primer on Climate Change
2: A Primer on Climate Change

... Table 2-l —Highlights of the IPCC 1990 Scientific Assessment of Climate Change The IPCC is certain that: . There is a natural greenhouse effect that already keeps the Earth warmer than it would otherwise be. . Emissions resulting from human activities are substantially increasing the atmospheric con ...
Climate Change Mitigation and The Kyoto Protocol
Climate Change Mitigation and The Kyoto Protocol

... Figure 6-8: Atmospheric CO2 (ppmv) accumulated from aviation’s use of fossil fuel beginning in 1940. ...
Has the ozone hole contributed to increased Antarctic sea ice extent
Has the ozone hole contributed to increased Antarctic sea ice extent

... M.Sigmond and J. Fyfe It has been suggested that the increase of Southern Hemisphere sea ice extent since the 1970s can be explained by ozone depletion in the Southern Hemisphere stratosphere. In a previous study we have shown, using single forcing time slice simulations with a coupled atmosphere-oc ...
Is the Sky A Review of Recent Global Warming Scare Stories
Is the Sky A Review of Recent Global Warming Scare Stories

... was caused by a combination of stratospheric ozone depletion and a change in atmospheric circulation caused by global warming. This pattern is called the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) and is an out-of-phase oscillation in temperature between the south polar region and the Southern Ocean at lower latit ...
Local Government Leaders Climate Change Declaration
Local Government Leaders Climate Change Declaration

... support resilience within our own councils and for our local communities. These plans will: a. promote walking, cycling, public transport and other low carbon transport options; b. work to improve the resource efficiency and health of homes, businesses and infrastructure in our district; and c. supp ...
English
English

... The water becomes cooler as it moves north, becoming heavier until it sinks off the coasts of Greenland. The now colder water then moves back southward deeper down in the ocean. Without the Gulf Stream, less heat would be transported from the equator to the Nordic region, which would then have a muc ...
The Paleozoic Era - Grass Range Science
The Paleozoic Era - Grass Range Science

... During the Cambrian there were no polar or high altitude glaciers. Cambrian raised oxygen levels in Earth's atmosphere to approximately 10% of that found in the modern atmosphere. The Cambrian Earth likely had more equitable climates than present because of the large amount of surficial seawater The ...
exxon`s weapons of mass deception
exxon`s weapons of mass deception

... One company stands out from the rest in its efforts to bring about Bush’s climate climb-down. For more than a decade, ExxonMobil (known as Esso in Europe) has been working consistently and systematically to derail any international action to tackle global warming. This corporation has made a concert ...
Conference Presentation
Conference Presentation

... Assume that the value of the company (a manufacturer of ski equipment) is unaffected by global warming as the GMT rises, until the temperature reaches 289.34K. A temperature increase from this point is assumed to adversely affect company value, causing it to decline in a linear manner as GMT rises f ...
8-Impacts_climate_variabilitychange
8-Impacts_climate_variabilitychange

... of the Millennium Development Goals (MDG’s). The EU is therefore committed to support Africa’s capacity Building efforts in the sustainable management of natural resources, including on weather observation, climate monitoring and early warning systems, as well as helping to tackle illegal logging an ...
ABTP Air Quality Modelling Study
ABTP Air Quality Modelling Study

...  We want to understand what forces & factors “drive” Toronto’s weather – now.  We want to see how these “drivers” change in future [based on IPCC based (GCM & RCM) model output]  We want to understand what future forces & factors will “drive” Toronto’s future weather and what the weather extremes ...
The Earth`s atmosphere and climate.
The Earth`s atmosphere and climate.

... The amount of radiation sent back to space from Earth can be reduced by increasing the concentration of greenhouse gases. More heat remains on Earth, the global temperature increases such that the amount of radiation from Earth to space increases to return to the radiative balance. ...
Annual Progress Report 2015-16
Annual Progress Report 2015-16

... via their modulation of Walker and Hadley Circulations, and atmospheric Rossby waves. It is very important to ensure that monsoon prediction models represent and predict these phenomena and their influences on the monsoon accurately. The Earth System Models (EaSMs) skill, however, varies by averagin ...
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

... networks that monitored the Fukushima radiation plume and forecasted its movement are the direct descendants of systems and computer models developed to trace fallout from weapons tests. Tracing radioactive carbon as it cycles through the atmosphere, the oceans, and the biosphere has been crucial to ...
Carbon Storage: A permafrost carbon bomb?
Carbon Storage: A permafrost carbon bomb?

... Although the Southern Ocean and AABW occupy a relatively small fraction of the global ocean, the warming of the water column surrounding Antarctica could account for about 18±8% of the ~180 TW heat gain in the climate system over the late twentieth century 2; resulting in a rise of the Southern Ocea ...
DFAE-II WP Series - Addi - University of the Basque Country
DFAE-II WP Series - Addi - University of the Basque Country

... subjected to changing environmental conditions; even if the changes are very gradual and imperceptible, the system is not in equilibrium. Second, climate change might not be the only factor of uncertainty in terms of environmental conditions, which would mean that the system is always fluctuating ar ...
The problem of a national communication
The problem of a national communication

... Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer/ International Benchmark Sites Network for Agrotechnology Transfer ...
MEC Nomusa Dube-Ncube
MEC Nomusa Dube-Ncube

... to be top down, from the national to provincial and down to District levels, but not to the local municipalities. • However, the Disaster Management Amendment Act 16 of 2015, has attempted to put more emphasis on the role for the local municipalities in disaster risk reduction. • It is important to ...
Current and future climate of Nauru
Current and future climate of Nauru

... Figure 2: The average positions of the major climate features in November to April. The arrows show near surface winds, the blue shading represents the bands of rainfall convergence zones, the dashed oval shows the West Pacific Warm Pool and H represents typical positions of moving high pressure sys ...
Climate change and wildlife diseases: When does the host matter
Climate change and wildlife diseases: When does the host matter

... Lips et al. (2008); specifically, a reanalysis of mortality data suggested that multiple introductions of B. dendrobatidis, coupled with its spatial spread along mountain ranges, better explained the timing of harlequin frog die-offs (Lips et al. 2008). It is important to note that warmer temperature ...
Climate Change: How will it affect the natural environment in NSW?
Climate Change: How will it affect the natural environment in NSW?

... The Lord Howe Island Biodiversity Management Plan is a multi-species, threat-based biodiversity plan that outlines measures to help conserve threatened and endemic species. It includes actions to help protect existing native vegetation and to control or eradicate problem weeds and pests. Monitoring ...
Egytp`s ClimaSouth Presentation 5
Egytp`s ClimaSouth Presentation 5

... Basics of Egypt’s position Egypt confirms its readiness and willingness to have a successful COP at Paris that concludes the negotiations with a fair and ambitious outcome based on UNFCCC principles & provisions. This COP includes two main aspects: Firstly, the political aspect which deals with the ...
PDF
PDF

... has increased by 0.9°C since 1910 (Hennessy et al. 2008). Like increases in global temperatures, changes in Australian temperatures are attributed to rising greenhouse gas emissions. ‘Most of the observed increase in global average temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the ob ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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