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The Climate Change Challenge
The Climate Change Challenge

... So was the first part successful? Based simply on GHG measurements, the agreement was reasonably successful. According to the UN, emissions of the signatories were 22.6% below 1990 levels, significantly better than the 5% reduction target. However, overall carbon emissions have continued to increase ...
- OpenKnowledge@NAU
- OpenKnowledge@NAU

... ACC is extremely small. The existence of a scientific consensus, especially one as overwhelming as exists for human-induced climate change, raises the level of confidence that the overall findings of that consensus are correct (Bedford & Cook, 2013). There is no scientific controversy although there ...
Download pdf | 977 KB |
Download pdf | 977 KB |

... • Nations/states: e.g. California cap-and-trade legislation, US EPA Mercury ruling, Australia carbon tax/trading scheme, UK 4th carbon budget, growth in renewable energy investment (despite the slow-down). • Cities: e.g. “Covenant of Mayors” commits signatories of EU cities and towns to reduce CO2 e ...
Climate notes
Climate notes

... long-lasting effects that may make the survival of life on Earth more difficult for both humans and other species. • Some of these potential climate changes include global warming, sea-level changes, and changes in precipitation. Chapter menu ...
natural ecosystems chapter 8
natural ecosystems chapter 8

... in rivers and streams may cause mortality of some native fish species and some of the invertebrates on which they prey, and increase the likelihood that non-native salmonid fishes (which spawn in freshwater but may spend a portion of their life in the ocean) will colonize these rivers and streams. A ...
IPCC Sea level rise AR 5 SLR etc
IPCC Sea level rise AR 5 SLR etc

... the future, in order to plan for climate change impacts? [Chapters 1, 2, 14, 15, 16, 17, 20, and 21; TS] Overall characteristics of societies and economies, such as population size, economic activity, and land use, are highly dynamic. On the scale of just 1 or 2 decades, and sometimes in less time t ...
5.0 project evaluation - Climate Adaptation Knowledge Exchange
5.0 project evaluation - Climate Adaptation Knowledge Exchange

... waste management, industry, land usage and management, and forestry sectors where there are clear potential to mitigate climate change by reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The formal and informal sectors of Ghana’s economy are strongly based on natural resources: agriculture, pastoralism, logging, ...
Appendix 5 Fine-scale population responses to weather and climate
Appendix 5 Fine-scale population responses to weather and climate

... 2012). With the continued rise in greenhouse gas emissions, the impact of climate change is likely to persist and intensify (IPCC, 2013). The impact of climate change on biodiversity can be direct, for example a previously suitable region may become climatically unsuitable due to a rise in temperatu ...
C.4: Climate Change - North American Duck Symposium
C.4: Climate Change - North American Duck Symposium

... Les Marais du Vigueirat, Arles, 13200, France Changes in waterfowl ranges over the last decades are increasingly reported, both in North America and in Europe. The relative importance of different winter quarters may fluctuate under the influence of changing local habitat conditions, as well as acco ...
2016-IP47 A Global Zero Carbon Roadmap
2016-IP47 A Global Zero Carbon Roadmap

... biosphere sinks are simulated with the probabilistic climate model MAGICC (Model for the Assessment of Greenhouse-gas Induced Climate Change) [Meinshausen et al., 2011]. Cumulative carbon budgets in line with the 1.5∘ C and 2∘ C temperature goals are from IPCC ...
Geomagnetic modulation of clouds effects in the Southern
Geomagnetic modulation of clouds effects in the Southern

... [4] Two mechanisms by which cosmic rays may affect cloud properties are currently under debate [e.g., Carslaw et al., 2002; Harrison and Carslaw, 2003, and references therein]. The ion-aerosol clear-air mechanism is based on the assumption that the existence of ions enhances the beginning and growth ...
6.1 Need for Study - Rajiv Gandhi University of Health Sciences
6.1 Need for Study - Rajiv Gandhi University of Health Sciences

... balance, through cloud forcing similar to green house gases. Human activity since the industrial revolution has increased the amount of green house gases in atmosphere leading to increased radiative forces from CO2, Methane, trophospheric ozone ,CFCs and Nitrous oxide. The concentration of CO2 and M ...
ภาพนิ่ง 1 - Regional Climate Change
ภาพนิ่ง 1 - Regional Climate Change

... Sixth Learning & Sharing Seminar on Mainstreaming Climate Change Adaptation into River Basin Planning and Development: Challenges and Opportunities 27 June 2011 KAMONTHIP 3, 2nd Floor Siam City Hotel, Bangkok, Thailand ...
Long-Term Ecological Records and Their Relevance to Climate
Long-Term Ecological Records and Their Relevance to Climate

... These predictions have led to forecasts of biotic loss including widespread extinctions and largescale die-back of the tropical rainforest biome (Cox et al. 2004, Huntingford et al. 2008; but see Zelazowski et al. 2011). What was the response of biota in the past to these higher temperatures: extirp ...
Emerging markets and climate change: Mexican standoff or low-carbon race?: Working Paper 46 (489 kB) (opens in new window)
Emerging markets and climate change: Mexican standoff or low-carbon race?: Working Paper 46 (489 kB) (opens in new window)

... 2005 taking into account improvements in this relationship over this period. This generates an emissions profile reasonably similar to the SRES A1FI scenario. Using this scenario, results from MAGICC show that the world in 2100 will have dramatically higher atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse g ...
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... sensed surface temperatures (Houghton et al. 2012); – (C) the Heat Vulnerability Index (HVI) developed by Reid et al. (2009) ...
amicus brief
amicus brief

... warming issue. In recent years, he has drawn attention to the danger of passing climate tipping points, producing irreversible impacts that would yield a different planet from the one on which civilization developed. As part of that work, Dr. Hansen has outlined steps that are needed to stabilize cl ...
Sub-programs and Types of Intervention
Sub-programs and Types of Intervention

... Thematic Priorities for Water, including the marine environment; Thematic Priorities for Waste; Thematic Priorities for Resource Efficiency, including soil and forests and green and circular economy; • Thematic Priorities for Environment and Health, including chemicals and noise; • Thematic Prioriti ...
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... GEOS 105 Introduction to Environmental Geoscience Credits 3. 3 Lecture Hours. Key concepts and generalizations of global environmental issues within an Earth systems science framework including climate change, air pollution, land and coastal degradation, water resources and pollution, and habitat lo ...
When It Rains, It Pours: Future Climate Extremes and Health
When It Rains, It Pours: Future Climate Extremes and Health

... per year. Arctic perennial sea ice extent declined by about 11.5% per decade over this period, and snow cover and glaciers have diminished in both hemispheres.3 According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), sea level will rise between 26 and 98 cm by 2100. The potential exists f ...
Implementation of UNFCCC, Kyoto Protocol and CDM in Vietnam
Implementation of UNFCCC, Kyoto Protocol and CDM in Vietnam

... participation of main national stakeholders involved on CDM • Establish a country specific strategy approach in order to obtain the highest degree of political support • Designate an appropriate focal point agency that will coordinate national CDM activities and investments. ...
Folie 1 - The World AgroMeteorological Information Service
Folie 1 - The World AgroMeteorological Information Service

... • Increasing urbanization and globalization • Increasing competition from other sectors for land, energy, water and capital • Climate change a continuous process; greater focus on short-term actions on adaptation and mitigation ...
Current and future climate of the Federated States of Micronesia M
Current and future climate of the Federated States of Micronesia M

... during the dry season, but higher than average rainfall during the wet season. La Niña tends to bring above average rainfall in the dry season. The West Pacific Monsoon affects the western states of Chuuk and especially Yap more than the eastern states of Pohnpei and Kosrae. It tends to be farther e ...
U.S. EPA`s Models-3 : An Integrated “One
U.S. EPA`s Models-3 : An Integrated “One

... CO2 contributing to global warming; Control of fossil-fuel black carbon could be the most effective method of slowing glabal warming (Jacobson, Nature, 2001); ...
Projected Climate Change Impacts in Asia and Japan
Projected Climate Change Impacts in Asia and Japan

... Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology, FY2010‐14, 12 programs,  ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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