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Media coverage of climate change: current trends, strengths
Media coverage of climate change: current trends, strengths

... he was “99 percent certain" that warmer temperatures were caused by the burning of fossil fuels and not solely a result of natural variation, and that “it is time to stop waffling so much and say that the evidence is pretty strong that the greenhouse effect is here” (Shabecoff 1988, A1). This dramat ...
Sensitivity of tree growth to the atmospheric vertical profile in the
Sensitivity of tree growth to the atmospheric vertical profile in the

... Terrestrial vegetation responds to weather and climate through a variety of physiological, demographic, and ecosystem processes (Bonan 2002). Together, these processes determine where plant species grow, how well they grow, and how their arrangement within the communities changes over time (Bonan 20 ...
Spring 2008 Summary
Spring 2008 Summary

... locations within the United States, we qualitatively noticed that this line fell very close to the actual precipitation values plotted in the scatter plot, where control precipitation was plotted on the x-axis and quadrupled CO2 precipitation on the y-axis. In expanding the analysis, we desired to q ...
CSPR Briefing CS PR B
CSPR Briefing CS PR B

... and storms in the near future (Stocker et al. 2013). Amongst others, these changes risk creating severe impacts on residential buildings and public health through impacts such as water leakage, rot-decay, mold, storm destruction, high indoor temperatures and urban flooding (IPCC 2012). The question ...
CGE Training Materials for Vulnerability and Adaptation Assessment
CGE Training Materials for Vulnerability and Adaptation Assessment

... decision-making preferences. Evaluating and ranking adaptation options can be useful for setting priorities for domestic action. There is no right or wrong way to evaluate adaptation options and set priorities. However, involvement of stakeholders is critical because any ranking of adaptation option ...
Climate Change: ImplIcatIons and strategIes for the luxury fashIon
Climate Change: ImplIcatIons and strategIes for the luxury fashIon

... report. The research by Verisk Maplecroft focused on regions of the world where the raw materials (particularly high-quality varieties) are produced, and it evaluates the impact of climate change on these regions over the next 50 years and beyond. Regions that are likely to be significantly affected ...
Document
Document

... Climate change has been described as a stress factor that increases migration pressure in “climate hot spots” (WBGU 2007; Warner et al., 2010) and the likelihood of conflict because migrants could compete with the resident population for scarce resources such as farmland, housing, water, employment, ...
Evaluation, characterization, and communication of uncertainty by
Evaluation, characterization, and communication of uncertainty by

... Finally, it has become clear to most observers that the sources of uncertainty are not confined to our evolving understanding of how the climate system works. Within that sphere, many conclusions are now widely accepted even though many of the details of specific sources of risk are still sketchy. U ...
PDF
PDF

... Senator Bingaman: “I think this whole issue of offsets, the more I've read about this issue . . . are fraught with opportunity for game playing, which will be fully exploited, I'm sure. We have a lot of creative people who can find ways to find offsets and to verify offsets if we open that door to o ...
The Impact of Climate Change on Rice Production in Nepal
The Impact of Climate Change on Rice Production in Nepal

... Numerous empirical studies suggest that climate change will have a bigger impact on agriculture in developing countries relative to developed countries (Stern 2006). However, the degree of the impact will depend upon the magnitude of the climate change and other factors. Increasing temperature will ...
T M Global Climate Change, Human Security, and Democracy Overview of Core Issues
T M Global Climate Change, Human Security, and Democracy Overview of Core Issues

... Ecosystems are components of biodiversity; and species and their diversity are essential components within ecosystems. Each species, and therefore biodiversity, has a fundamental role in the provision of ecosystem services (see Appendix 1). The loss of biodiversity will lead to a change in the servi ...
Climate Relicts: Past, Present, Future
Climate Relicts: Past, Present, Future

... Given the that current global climate is warmer than throughout most of the Pleistocene and further warming seems unavoidable (IPCC 2007), we refer primarily to “cold” relicts, that is, those populations that persist under relatively cooler and more humid microclimatic conditions within a warmer and ...
- FUND - Climate Framework for Uncertainty, Negotiation
- FUND - Climate Framework for Uncertainty, Negotiation

... reduction costs. The parameters γ determine which part of the knowledge is kept within the region, and which part spills over to other regions as well. In the base case, γR=0.9 and γG=0.1. The model is similar in structure and numbers to that of Goulder and Schneider (1999) and Goulder and Mathai (2 ...
(AGE). OPIM 319, Spring 2010 - Operations, Information and
(AGE). OPIM 319, Spring 2010 - Operations, Information and

Static mass-balance sensitivity of Arctic glaciers and ice caps using
Static mass-balance sensitivity of Arctic glaciers and ice caps using

... than 40 Arctic glaciers and ice caps, with the earliest beginning in the 1940s (Dowdeswell and others, 1997), but few include >20 years (Dyurgerov and Meier, 1997). Most Arctic glaciers and ice caps have experienced significant negative mass-balance trends during the last 40 years, although these ar ...
- Macquarie University ResearchOnline
- Macquarie University ResearchOnline

... climate. The observed response in pollen assemblages is due in part to quantitative compositional shifts, and in part to range boundary shifts. When climate change is rapid, so is compositional change. The composition of pollen assemblages tracks the climate with lags of the order of 100 years or le ...
1.5.5.1 OSPAR climate request - The Quality Status Report 2010
1.5.5.1 OSPAR climate request - The Quality Status Report 2010

... Forbes and Godwin-Austen (1859)). ...
Thermal tolerance and climate warming sensitivity in tropical snails David J. Marshall
Thermal tolerance and climate warming sensitivity in tropical snails David J. Marshall

... (these records represent the combined effects of aerial conditions, solar radiation, and tidal inundation; N = 1 each, 42 days, 24 April–04 June 2012). Although the recordings based on the most extreme rocky shore habitat occupied by E. malaccana might not be entirely representative of the thermal r ...
Climate Change and Your Health: Rising Temperatures, Worsening
Climate Change and Your Health: Rising Temperatures, Worsening

... 2009) to estimate the temperature changes for the reported regions in the year for which the  air quality studies were carried out. We then combined our estimated temperature changes  with the changes in ozone reported for the regions in the various years to arrive at a rough  climate penalty factor ...
Department of Defense Natural Resources Program Fall 2015
Department of Defense Natural Resources Program Fall 2015

... environment, how can I argue effectively for needed resources? There is no one answer to any of these questions, but there are many tools and partnerships available, and more on the horizon. The authors in this issue do a great job describing the problems and challenges posed by a changing climate, ...
DHM - MIS - Ministry of Science, Technology and Environment
DHM - MIS - Ministry of Science, Technology and Environment

... the capacities for addressing climate change. The operational tools and procedures, such as EIA and spatial planning, were also assessed for their potential to facilitate adaptation in the sector. More detailed review of the sectors infrastructure covered the main categories and priorities, overall ...
Presents
Presents

... Hinkel et al. (2010) address the question of what will be both the potential and the residual impacts of sea-level rise on coastal countries of the EU27. The authors use the DIVA model to project the impacts of various sea-level rise and socio-economic scenarios on the countries first without any ad ...
Accessing and Using Climate Data and Information in Fragile, Data
Accessing and Using Climate Data and Information in Fragile, Data

... interest. The climatology is typically calculated using data for a continuous 30-year period known as the Standard Climate Normal. The climate system consists of separate components of the Earth that interact to influence the climate of a region. While the atmosphere is the most important component, ...
The psychology of climate change communication - UvA-DARE
The psychology of climate change communication - UvA-DARE

... layer, and there is a global “greenhouse” effect, then there must be a “hole” in the “greenhouse.” Some Americans thus reason that this “hole” either allows more solar radiation into the biosphere—warming the planet—or, alternatively, allows heat to escape—cooling the planet. Although logical, such ...
Communicating climate change: history, challenges, process and
Communicating climate change: history, challenges, process and

... falling with the issue attention cycles in the media.21–25 Basic understanding of the problem thus remains superficial and vulnerable to frequent revision.26–28 Today, after more than 20 years of scientific progress and a much greater scientific consensus,29,30 public climate change communication is ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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