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WESTERN INDIAN OCEAN TRAINING ON VULNERABILITY
WESTERN INDIAN OCEAN TRAINING ON VULNERABILITY

... As an exercise, participants conducted a quick vulnerability assessment in which they identified the most vulnerable resources/assets to climate change in their individual MPAs and the factors contributing to vulnerability. Participants then shared and discussed the results of this exercise and iden ...
Towards the Strengthening of European Coordination between
Towards the Strengthening of European Coordination between

... the connection between runoff into the Arctic Ocean and the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation. Increases in freshwater runoff are expected to affect ocean stratification, circulation, and global climate processes because of the potential of freshwater to reduce vertical thermohaline circulatio ...
Partisan Group Identity and Belief in Human
Partisan Group Identity and Belief in Human

... (Lupia & McCubbins, 1998). In the case of climate change, those with clear positions likely obtain them from elite cues – where elite Republicans oppose the view that climate change is largely human-caused, while elite Democrats support it (Bolsen, Druckman, & Cook, 2015, p. 286).2 Those who are kn ...
Climate warming and the potential extinction of fig wasps, the
Climate warming and the potential extinction of fig wasps, the

... mutualisms remains poorly understood, particularly in the tropics [1]. Specialized pollination relationships, in which a plant species has few alternative pollinators, are expected to be more vulnerable than generalized ones [2,3]. In the extreme case of obligate, one-to-one relationships (one polli ...
- The University of Liverpool Repository
- The University of Liverpool Repository

... Winter” zone has very little heating demand, as its winters are relatively mild. Shanghai is in the “Hot Summer, Cold Winter” zone, with days exceeding 40 deg C in the summer, as well as cold sub-zero days in winters. However, as Shanghai is located on the coast, it is generally slightly milder than ...
Greenhouse effect and altitude gradients over the Alps – by
Greenhouse effect and altitude gradients over the Alps – by

... 60 nighttime and 25 daytime case studies, distributed over the year, are used with measured LDR and LUR, and MODTRAN calculated LOR that includes radiosonde profiles from Payerne, station air temperature and skin temperature inferred from LUR. Gclr versus LDR relations for Payerne (490 m a.s.l.) and ...
February 26, 2014 Ms. Mabel Echols Office of Information and
February 26, 2014 Ms. Mabel Echols Office of Information and

... To facilitate accounting for the costs of climate impacts and the benefits of reducing carbon pollution in regulatory proceedings undertaken by different agencies, the United States government assembled the IWG in 2010 to develop an estimate of a social cost of carbon that can be utilized in rulemak ...
Climate Change Impacts On Rainfed Corn Production In
Climate Change Impacts On Rainfed Corn Production In

... insecurity for the entire nation are associated with corn scarcity and low production. Global warming is expected to cause climate change in Malawi, including changes in temperature and precipitation amounts and patterns. These climate changes are expected to affect corn production in Malawi. This s ...
Lash et al 2014 RWH and Adaptation final submitted
Lash et al 2014 RWH and Adaptation final submitted

... is required to assess the potential adaptability and resilience of RWH tank sizes generated under climate change scenarios. Research in this area is growing, as exemplified by studies undertaken by Ming-Daw et al. (2009) and Youn et al. (2012). The latter study downscaled a scenario from the Canadia ...
English
English

... changing settlement patterns, and more extreme sea levels, the number of people exposed  to coastal flooding in Asia will increase by 50% by 2030 from 2000 levels, threatening their  assets and lives. The poor will be particularly disadvantaged as they have less capacity for  response and adaptatio ...
ECD - advantage publication June18_Layout 1
ECD - advantage publication June18_Layout 1

... important mitigation co-benefits A new study, conducted by the CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) in collaboration with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) and IFAD, confirms that smart investments in smallholder adaptation c ...
Adapting ecosystems to climate change
Adapting ecosystems to climate change

... plants grow faster. This can be demonstrated in controlled environments such as in laboratory experiments. However, it is unlikely to be the case in natural settings, where the effect will be reduced or negated by existing nutrient limitations and changes in temperature, water availability and other ...
Guiding Principles for City Climate Action Planning
Guiding Principles for City Climate Action Planning

... wide variety of benefits for people, from boosting the local economy to reducing air pollution. However, many cities are also encountering complex challenges, as they lack the knowledge of how to approach climate planning in a way that is integrated, systematic, and inclusive. Conventional urban pla ...
2015 Global Climate Legislation Study - summary for policymakers (English) (opens in new window)
2015 Global Climate Legislation Study - summary for policymakers (English) (opens in new window)

... agreeing to a new universal climate change agreement. A new universal climate change agreement needs to set the world on a clear path of declining emissions over time. The reality of the science indicates that global emissions need to be halved by 2050 and at some point in the second half of the cen ...
Agriculture and Climate Change in Kenya: Climate Chaos, Policy
Agriculture and Climate Change in Kenya: Climate Chaos, Policy

... support farmers at the local level do or do not receive, and the extent to which their own interests are fore grounded or marginalised within the policy process. Ultimately, the policy response to climate change in the agricultural sector is one important factor which mediates local-level vulnerabil ...
Climate Projections FAQ
Climate Projections FAQ

... various socioeconomic scenarios. The output may then be “downscaled” to finer spatial resolution, using a variety of techniques, to develop more location-specific information. It is our hope that you will find this document helpful as you navigate this complex arena and develop or select projections ...
Key Steps: Mitigation
Key Steps: Mitigation

... Any of these analytical approaches can be used to develop scenarios, & associated streams of annual I&FF and O&M costs  A suitable sectoral model  A sectoral plan  A projection of sectoral trends  The current situation in the sector  A combination of those approaches ...
Climate projections FAQ - Eastern Forest Environmental Threat
Climate projections FAQ - Eastern Forest Environmental Threat

... various socioeconomic scenarios. The output may then be “downscaled” to finer spatial resolution, using a variety of techniques, to develop more location-specific information. It is our hope that you will find this document helpful as you navigate this complex arena and develop or select projections ...
Announcement of Opportunity
Announcement of Opportunity

... The sign and magnitude of the SO’s contribution to global atmospheric CO2 are set by the difference between the carbon content of upwelling and downwelling waters. This difference is determined by the sum of a complex, poorly understood array of biological, chemical and physical processes that coll ...
climate change in the american mind
climate change in the american mind

... The 2014 U.S. National Climate Assessment (written and reviewed by hundreds of climate experts over the past 4 years) states: “the global warming of the past 50 years is primarily due to human activities, predominantly the burning of fossil fuels. Many independent lines of evidence confirm that huma ...
Climate change implications for fisheries and aquaculture
Climate change implications for fisheries and aquaculture

... and extreme weather events – is affecting the abundance and distribution of fisheries resources and suitability of geographical locations for aquaculture systems. Underlying climate-related physical and chemical changes are linked to yet growing carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, which are being absorb ...
The influence of volcanic eruptions on the climate
The influence of volcanic eruptions on the climate

... the high Andes along the Pacific to Laguna del Carbón in Argentina, the lowest point in the Southern Hemisphere. Because of this, South America hosts a rich diversity of climate zones and biodiversity, all of which may respond in unique ways to external forcing. The most prominent climatic feature o ...
Radical Adaptation, Justice, and American Indian
Radical Adaptation, Justice, and American Indian

... to look at ourselves because as tough as these last five hundred years have been, the next five hundred or even fifty years are going to be tougher. —Oren Lyons{ ...
Severe Storms over Europe
Severe Storms over Europe

... Blue shaded bands show the 5–95% range for 19 simulations from five climate models using only the natural forcings due to solar activity and volcanoes. Red shaded bands show the 5–95% range for 58 simulationsfrom 14 climate models using both natural and anthropogenic forcings (IPCC 2007). ...
Climate Change and Migration: Improving Methodologies to
Climate Change and Migration: Improving Methodologies to

... relationship between climate change and migration and describe approaches with which to further our understanding of climate change-related migration. Climate change and variability can occur as a result of natural processes and due to human activity. Human induced climate change over the last centu ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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