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Climate and Carbon Cycle Prediction: C3P
Climate and Carbon Cycle Prediction: C3P

... require emissions to drop to below 1990 levels in less than 50 years. • Emissions will need to continue to decrease steadily thereafter to a very small fraction of current emissions. ...
Southeast Asia Climate Analysis and Modelling
Southeast Asia Climate Analysis and Modelling

... Six model experiments were run over a common domain that included all Association of Southeast Asian Nations member states. Using data from six global climate models, PRECIS was used to generate high resolution (25 km) future climate change projections for Southeast Asia up to the year 2100. This i ...
The Greenhouse Effect and the Ecological
The Greenhouse Effect and the Ecological

... the correlation - temperatures have slowly increased while carbon dioxide concentrations have also increased due to fossil fuel burning. It is not unreasonable to expect that the world will continue to become a warmer place as the carbon dioxide abundance continues to grow. ...
Influence of parallel computational uncertainty on simulations of the
Influence of parallel computational uncertainty on simulations of the

... calculated by using more than 30-yr simulations. It is also found that the parallel computational uncertainty has no distinguishable effect on power spectrum analysis of climate variability such as ENSO. Finally, it is suggested that the influence of the parallel computational uncertainty on Coupled ...
Lecture #1
Lecture #1

... • The atmosphere can respond on time scales of days to months with lingering affects of about 1 year • The ocean responds on time scales of 10’s of years to even 100 years • This leads to a large natural variability of the climate system and GCMs are unable to represent or predict this variability w ...
Quantitative Finance
Quantitative Finance

... A glorified programmer but well-paid and easier to find a job This kind of job can vary a lot It could be coding quickly all the time Working on a large systems debugging someone else’s code ...
Climate change impacts on hydrological processes and river flow
Climate change impacts on hydrological processes and river flow

... remaining  natural  wetland,  the  Danube  Delta  Fig. 3 Major subbasins of the Danube maintains an enormous biodiversity. Many of the  species  that  live  within  the  static  freshwater  The  first  model  set‐up  includes  the  whole  ecosystems  of  the  delta  are  unique  to  it,  but  its  D ...
User-driven downscaling: advances in data apportioning and
User-driven downscaling: advances in data apportioning and

... Little guidance in selection of: Emissions GCMs Hundreds of downscaled GCM runs Many impacts studies cannot use all of them How much information is really useful? ...
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Brian T. Neudorff 585-748-7056 Page 2 Brian Neudorff 415

...  Create and distribute weekly weather forecasts for all major NASCAR events through Twitter to over 3,000 followers across the country and world, and through NASCAR WX-Man.  Use Twitter and syndicated posts to communicate with NASCAR race officials, personnel, racing teams, media, fans and ticketh ...
Does Climate Affect the World`s Vegetation – Or is it
Does Climate Affect the World`s Vegetation – Or is it

... destroy a large forest – or magically produce one where it didn’t exist before – to obtain data to verify your computer model. But new techniques have arisen to help the situation. Evaluating Models with Actual Physical Data Climate scientists recently developed a multivariate statistical method, kn ...
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exam1.candidate.questions

... 4. Is there more water vapor in the lower atmosphere or the upper atmosphere? Is there more water vapor in the tropics or the polar regions? 5. From which way does the wind blow in the Jet Stream? Which way does the wind blow from in the tropical Trade Winds? 6. In the “middle latitudes” there are l ...
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2 K -1 - The Heartland Institute`s International Conferences on

Improving evaluation of climate change impacts on the water cycle
Improving evaluation of climate change impacts on the water cycle

... The Segura River basin (SRB), located in southeast Spain, is a drought-prone region with an irrigated agricultural water demand of 85% of the total water demand in the entire basin. Water scarcity is a major issue in the SRB. Therefore the generation of resources from non-traditional sources (such a ...
Slide 1 - Divecha Centre for Climate Change
Slide 1 - Divecha Centre for Climate Change

Chapter 16 - Texas Tech University Atmospheric Science Group
Chapter 16 - Texas Tech University Atmospheric Science Group

... • Are computer programs using mathematical equations like weather forecasting models • Differ from weather forecasting models – GCMs must include oceans, biosphere, cryosphere – GCMs have coarser resolution – GCMs often used to test the effect of changing a particular parameter, like amount of green ...
IESanalAMS07s
IESanalAMS07s

... from as early as we can get quantitative information and extending reliably into the future. In particular, the ocean is critically undersampled both in space and time, and national and intergovernmental observational commitments are essential for progress.” ...
Diagnosing atmosphere--land feedbacks in CMIP5 climate models
Diagnosing atmosphere--land feedbacks in CMIP5 climate models

... due to corrupted temperature data. These results suggest that the models are successfully simulating the effect of increased temperatures on stimulating some convection, while increasing evapotranspiration and thus reducing soil moisture. However they do not provide any modelled evidence for ‘local’ ...
Efficiently Constraining Climate Sensitivity with Ensembles
Efficiently Constraining Climate Sensitivity with Ensembles

Energy and Environmental Consequences – TEP4220
Energy and Environmental Consequences – TEP4220

... health risks from various different emissions (particulate matter, sulfur, nitrogen, heavy metals etc.) as well as climate change. Students will learn how to evaluate the environmental and human health impacts of a specific energy technology. The course covers the use of toxicological and epidemiolo ...
Does the Arctic sea ice have a tipping point?
Does the Arctic sea ice have a tipping point?

... absence of SICI in a climate warming experiment if the integration proceeds to the point where Arctic sea ice is completely removed. Beyond this point there can be no further reductions in polar surface albedo and SICI cannot occur. Unfortunately, sea ice data is currently archived for only a small ...
Climate Model MEA Teacher Materials
Climate Model MEA Teacher Materials

... around the world are interested in studying Earth’s climate. Some scientists are interested in the current climate and weather conditions. They make observations using real-time information from weather stations, weather balloons, and Climate models are systems of equations based on the basic laws o ...
Seattle Public Library Talk
Seattle Public Library Talk

... A relatively narrow current of warm, moist air from the subtropics…often starting near or just north of Hawaii. ...
Temperature anomaly for the Northeast U.S.
Temperature anomaly for the Northeast U.S.

Are pattern scaling methods useful to inform about adaptation strategies?
Are pattern scaling methods useful to inform about adaptation strategies?

... iii. Responses to external forcing and natural internal variability are independent of each other, so that changes in anthropogenic forcing do not change the internal dynamics of the climate system. If these assumptions do not hold, then the approach is fundamentally flawed and its use to project ch ...
Chemical forcing of climate - Atmospheric Chemistry Modeling Group
Chemical forcing of climate - Atmospheric Chemistry Modeling Group

... GENERAL CIRCULATION MODELS (GCMs) Standard research tools for studying the climate of the Earth • Solve conservation equations for momentum, heat, and water on global 3-D atmospheric domain • Horizontal resolution ~100 km • Include coupling to ocean, land, biogeochemistry, atmospheric chemistry to ...
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Atmospheric model



An atmospheric model is a mathematical model constructed around the full set of primitive dynamical equations which govern atmospheric motions. It can supplement these equations with parameterizations for turbulent diffusion, radiation, moist processes (clouds and precipitation), heat exchange, soil, vegetation, surface water, the kinematic effects of terrain, and convection. Most atmospheric models are numerical, i.e. they discretize equations of motion. They can predict microscale phenomena such as tornadoes and boundary layer eddies, sub-microscale turbulent flow over buildings, as well as synoptic and global flows. The horizontal domain of a model is either global, covering the entire Earth, or regional (limited-area), covering only part of the Earth. The different types of models run are thermotropic, barotropic, hydrostatic, and nonhydrostatic. Some of the model types make assumptions about the atmosphere which lengthens the time steps used and increases computational speed.Forecasts are computed using mathematical equations for the physics and dynamics of the atmosphere. These equations are nonlinear and are impossible to solve exactly. Therefore, numerical methods obtain approximate solutions. Different models use different solution methods. Global models often use spectral methods for the horizontal dimensions and finite-difference methods for the vertical dimension, while regional models usually use finite-difference methods in all three dimensions. For specific locations, model output statistics use climate information, output from numerical weather prediction, and current surface weather observations to develop statistical relationships which account for model bias and resolution issues.
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