elninocyclones - Global Change System for Analysis, Research
... The very high resolution modelling work suggests that increases in the intensity of tropical cyclones will be accompanied by increases in mean and maximum precipitation rates. In the cases studied, precipitation in the vicinity of the storm centre increased by 20% whereas peak rates increased by 30 ...
... The very high resolution modelling work suggests that increases in the intensity of tropical cyclones will be accompanied by increases in mean and maximum precipitation rates. In the cases studied, precipitation in the vicinity of the storm centre increased by 20% whereas peak rates increased by 30 ...
The air has no residence
... residences of air as weather and as climate? What are the challenges to art of these occupancies of air? What is the political praxis for these aesthetics of climate change? The traversal between weather and climate is not an easy one. Oh happy air, oh catastrophic climate. It is a journey between t ...
... residences of air as weather and as climate? What are the challenges to art of these occupancies of air? What is the political praxis for these aesthetics of climate change? The traversal between weather and climate is not an easy one. Oh happy air, oh catastrophic climate. It is a journey between t ...
As part of this CSL proposal, each working group has generated
... to the Greenland ice sheet and its role in future climate change (although, to date, the development of the land ice model has leveraged DOE computing resources almost exclusively). Since the most widely used description of a model with these capabilities is an “Earth System Model”, the supported mo ...
... to the Greenland ice sheet and its role in future climate change (although, to date, the development of the land ice model has leveraged DOE computing resources almost exclusively). Since the most widely used description of a model with these capabilities is an “Earth System Model”, the supported mo ...
EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCE SUMMER SCHOOL
... CHART 1 ‘FORC PLOT’: This displays the total radiative forcing as a function of time, as given on the final column of ‘FORCING’, following the user’s choices. SHEET 2 ‘CLIMATE MODEL’: This is the climate model itself. It uses the forcings selected in ‘FORCING’ and displayed in ‘FORC PLOT’. The user ...
... CHART 1 ‘FORC PLOT’: This displays the total radiative forcing as a function of time, as given on the final column of ‘FORCING’, following the user’s choices. SHEET 2 ‘CLIMATE MODEL’: This is the climate model itself. It uses the forcings selected in ‘FORCING’ and displayed in ‘FORC PLOT’. The user ...
crop and water resource modelling - START
... existing modes of variability on an underlying global warming trend. ...
... existing modes of variability on an underlying global warming trend. ...
Slide 1
... Then aggregate up by twelve major regions (US, EU, …) Constrain by global fossil fuel resources ...
... Then aggregate up by twelve major regions (US, EU, …) Constrain by global fossil fuel resources ...
Forest dynamics: a broad view of the evolution of the topic
... theory gained much acceptation as a new paradigm, but was questioned from its beginnings by Gleason (1917, 1939). In Clements view, succession is a gradual, directional, autoorganized change from pioneer to stable, mature community states that, when reached, will remain unchanged. This view was modi ...
... theory gained much acceptation as a new paradigm, but was questioned from its beginnings by Gleason (1917, 1939). In Clements view, succession is a gradual, directional, autoorganized change from pioneer to stable, mature community states that, when reached, will remain unchanged. This view was modi ...
Climate Change and Forests in the Great Plains
... ological responses of many tree spe- forests, especially in southern bocies (Botkin 1993. Malanson 1993, real forests. Shugart 1984). Because our focus in Prentice et a!. (1991, 1993b) used this article is on modeling the Jiver- a smaller-scale approach to develop sitf of tree species, we emphasize ...
... ological responses of many tree spe- forests, especially in southern bocies (Botkin 1993. Malanson 1993, real forests. Shugart 1984). Because our focus in Prentice et a!. (1991, 1993b) used this article is on modeling the Jiver- a smaller-scale approach to develop sitf of tree species, we emphasize ...
Leites.L_Modeling growth responses to climate change of Douglas
... • Planting sites had different treatments. Only those with no treatments were used in this analysis: 1 or 2 per location. • Planting sites comprised 2‐3 blocks. l d bl k • Populations were planted in row plots of 10‐12 seedlings. Populations were planted in row plots of 10 12 seedlings ...
... • Planting sites had different treatments. Only those with no treatments were used in this analysis: 1 or 2 per location. • Planting sites comprised 2‐3 blocks. l d bl k • Populations were planted in row plots of 10‐12 seedlings. Populations were planted in row plots of 10 12 seedlings ...
Lesson 1 Planning
... it is snowing in May, how can global warming really be happening?” or “how can you predict climate in 50 years when you can’t even predict if its going to rain tomorrow?”) o Climate as long term, average weather o The ‘Butterfly’ effect of weather. Factors that affect climate (tilt, precipitation, o ...
... it is snowing in May, how can global warming really be happening?” or “how can you predict climate in 50 years when you can’t even predict if its going to rain tomorrow?”) o Climate as long term, average weather o The ‘Butterfly’ effect of weather. Factors that affect climate (tilt, precipitation, o ...
Future climate in the Pacific Northwest
... precipitation values at all the Northwest grid points. The reason for such averaging is that variations in model climate on scales smaller than a few grid cells is not meaningful. Put another way, the models represent the variations of climate that would occur on a smooth planet with similar land-se ...
... precipitation values at all the Northwest grid points. The reason for such averaging is that variations in model climate on scales smaller than a few grid cells is not meaningful. Put another way, the models represent the variations of climate that would occur on a smooth planet with similar land-se ...
Climate Press
... the atmosphere, oceans, land surfaces and ice coverage. Like any scientific model or theory, they do not depict reality precisely but contribute to understanding and, to a limited extent, predicting processes. Climate models are able to depict quite well single aspects like the long-term development ...
... the atmosphere, oceans, land surfaces and ice coverage. Like any scientific model or theory, they do not depict reality precisely but contribute to understanding and, to a limited extent, predicting processes. Climate models are able to depict quite well single aspects like the long-term development ...
Groundwater flow and climate
... to generate time series of any length for the observed location on the basis of existing time series from surrounding gauging weather stations. Parameterization of the weather simulation tool is done on the base of available weather data from local weather stations of the German Weather Service (DWD ...
... to generate time series of any length for the observed location on the basis of existing time series from surrounding gauging weather stations. Parameterization of the weather simulation tool is done on the base of available weather data from local weather stations of the German Weather Service (DWD ...
Eyring_CCMValOverview_SPARCSSG_091028
... Stratospheric ozone is known to vary in response to a number of natural factors, such as the seasonal and the 11-year cycles in solar irradiance, the QBO, ENSO, variations in transport associated with large-scale circulations (i.e., Brewer Dobson circulation) and dynamical variability associated wit ...
... Stratospheric ozone is known to vary in response to a number of natural factors, such as the seasonal and the 11-year cycles in solar irradiance, the QBO, ENSO, variations in transport associated with large-scale circulations (i.e., Brewer Dobson circulation) and dynamical variability associated wit ...
Climate change consequences on the biome distribution in tropical
... among emission scenarios for the same model. As expected, the main source of uncertainty for regional climate change scenarios is associated to different projections from different AOGCMs. The projected temperature warming for South America range from 1° to 4°C for emissions scenarios B1 and from 2° ...
... among emission scenarios for the same model. As expected, the main source of uncertainty for regional climate change scenarios is associated to different projections from different AOGCMs. The projected temperature warming for South America range from 1° to 4°C for emissions scenarios B1 and from 2° ...
PDF
... Keith Wiebe, PhD, is a Senior Research Fellow at the International Food Policy Research Institute in Washington DC, where he leads the research program on Global Futures and Strategic Foresight. He is also the coordinator of the global economics team under the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and ...
... Keith Wiebe, PhD, is a Senior Research Fellow at the International Food Policy Research Institute in Washington DC, where he leads the research program on Global Futures and Strategic Foresight. He is also the coordinator of the global economics team under the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and ...
Climate change consequences on the biome - mtc-m16b:80
... among emission scenarios for the same model. As expected, the main source of uncertainty for regional climate change scenarios is associated to different projections from different AOGCMs. The projected temperature warming for South America range from 1° to 4°C for emissions scenarios B1 and from 2° ...
... among emission scenarios for the same model. As expected, the main source of uncertainty for regional climate change scenarios is associated to different projections from different AOGCMs. The projected temperature warming for South America range from 1° to 4°C for emissions scenarios B1 and from 2° ...
alexander b. polonsky
... specify the above results or improve essentially their statistical significance. In fact, uncertainty of the surface boundary conditions and model drift may obscure the real long-term ocean variability. Let us analyze briefly these problems. 2.2 Surface fields Both large-scale climatic-mean surface ...
... specify the above results or improve essentially their statistical significance. In fact, uncertainty of the surface boundary conditions and model drift may obscure the real long-term ocean variability. Let us analyze briefly these problems. 2.2 Surface fields Both large-scale climatic-mean surface ...
Dynamics of Alaska Boreal Forest under Climate
... natural succession • Temperature-induced drought stress would hinder the increase of basal area across the region, especially in dry upland areas • Climate change would boost stand diversity across the region through transient species redistribution ...
... natural succession • Temperature-induced drought stress would hinder the increase of basal area across the region, especially in dry upland areas • Climate change would boost stand diversity across the region through transient species redistribution ...
Atmospheric model
An atmospheric model is a mathematical model constructed around the full set of primitive dynamical equations which govern atmospheric motions. It can supplement these equations with parameterizations for turbulent diffusion, radiation, moist processes (clouds and precipitation), heat exchange, soil, vegetation, surface water, the kinematic effects of terrain, and convection. Most atmospheric models are numerical, i.e. they discretize equations of motion. They can predict microscale phenomena such as tornadoes and boundary layer eddies, sub-microscale turbulent flow over buildings, as well as synoptic and global flows. The horizontal domain of a model is either global, covering the entire Earth, or regional (limited-area), covering only part of the Earth. The different types of models run are thermotropic, barotropic, hydrostatic, and nonhydrostatic. Some of the model types make assumptions about the atmosphere which lengthens the time steps used and increases computational speed.Forecasts are computed using mathematical equations for the physics and dynamics of the atmosphere. These equations are nonlinear and are impossible to solve exactly. Therefore, numerical methods obtain approximate solutions. Different models use different solution methods. Global models often use spectral methods for the horizontal dimensions and finite-difference methods for the vertical dimension, while regional models usually use finite-difference methods in all three dimensions. For specific locations, model output statistics use climate information, output from numerical weather prediction, and current surface weather observations to develop statistical relationships which account for model bias and resolution issues.