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Journal of Climate (Proof Only)
Journal of Climate (Proof Only)

... The authors find that, when global average warming is roughly canceled by aerosols, temperature changes in the polar regions are still 20%–50% of the changes in a warmed world. Atmospheric circulation anomalies are also not canceled, which affects the regional climate response. It is also found that ...
Observed groundwater temperature response to recent climate
Observed groundwater temperature response to recent climate

... often time series of atmospheric temperatures can be represented more appropriately by models using breakpoints than by models assuming monotonic functions. Hence, we here apply a sequential t test analysis for regime shifts (STARS) to detect possible abrupt climate regime shifts (CRSs) in the tempe ...
Decadal-Scale Temperature Trends in the Southern Hemisphere
Decadal-Scale Temperature Trends in the Southern Hemisphere

... satellite. As they rise to the ocean surface, they record a temperature profile. PALACE profiles are transmitted with 5–8 dbar vertical resolution in the upper ocean, 8–10-dbar vertical resolution between 300 and 800 dbar, and 16–20-dbar vertical resolution between 800 m and the bottom of the profil ...
Warming - Amazon Web Services
Warming - Amazon Web Services

... difficult to obtain and therefore few in number and geographic coverage. Therefore, there is still substantial uncertainty in the evolution of past global or hemispheric temperatures. (Comparing only local or regional temperature; as in Europe, is of limited value for our purposes,' as regional vari ...
Statistical Classification of Terrestrial and Marine Ecosystems for
Statistical Classification of Terrestrial and Marine Ecosystems for

... which are needed for the ecological interpretation of the environmental quality in terms of ecological stability and resilience (Ruxton 1968). Contrary to species which are used to indicate single aspects of habitat quality or pollution, ecoregions are more complex indicators which comprehensively d ...
995
995

... changes and phenotypic plasticity can also occur rapidly in response to climate change (Bradshaw and Holzapfel, 2006), so that ‘vulnerability’ may vary not only in space but also in time. Obviously, predicting patterns of physiological stress, and the subsequent effects of mortality and reproductive ...
Consequences of Global Warming of 1.5 °C and 2 °C for Regional
Consequences of Global Warming of 1.5 °C and 2 °C for Regional

... The world leaders gathered for the 21st Conference of the Parties (COP21) in Paris in December 2015 agreed to take steps towards limiting the global mean annual surface air temperature (GMAT) increase to well below 2˚C above pre-industrial levels, and to pursue efforts towards a target of 1.5˚C [1]. ...
A Climate Change Assessment via Trend Estimation of Certain
A Climate Change Assessment via Trend Estimation of Certain

... cool, humid spring (March to May) and cool, wet autumn (September to November). On the other hand, the South of the country is always hot and has two different distinct seasons, dry (December to May) and wet (June to November) [2], with daily average temperature changes between 26 and 29 ◦ C. With t ...
SID5 Form - Defra Science Search
SID5 Form - Defra Science Search

... details of the outputs of the research project for internal purposes; to meet the terms of the contract; and to allow Defra to publish details of the outputs to meet Environmental Information Regulation or Freedom of Information obligations. This short report to Defra does not preclude contractors f ...
The Effect of Urban Heat Island on Climate Warming in the Yangtze
The Effect of Urban Heat Island on Climate Warming in the Yangtze

... was very likely the warmest 30-year period of the last 800 years and likely the warmest 30-year period of the last 1400 years [1]. Such an increase in air temperature results in rising sea levels, extreme weather events, complex and profound changes in terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems, altered mod ...
Scientists  - Environmental Defense Fund
Scientists - Environmental Defense Fund

... Rule 29(d), that it is not practicable for these scientists to file a joint amicus brief with the other amici supporting petitioners and that it is thus necessary for the scientists to file a separate brief to state their views. These scientists wish to address different issues than the other amici ...
PowerPoint presentation (PPT file)
PowerPoint presentation (PPT file)

... characterized by relatively smaller uncertainties; Tier 3: Higher order methods involving detailed modeling and/or inventory measurement systems driven by data at a greater resolution that provide estimates with lower uncertainties than the previous two methods. ...
Uncertainties of Climate Observation Data and Simulation Modelling
Uncertainties of Climate Observation Data and Simulation Modelling

... (new projections with an agreement for a small number of models); 4) restrictedly probable (model results are not certain but changes are physically possible). A principal difficulty in substantiation of projections consists in impossibility to unanimously predict the evolution of GHGs in the futur ...
Attribution of the record high Central England temperature of
Attribution of the record high Central England temperature of

... years, such as 2014, in Central England by at least 13-fold. We assessed the sensitivity of the FAR results using two further tests. Firstly, we used the observational uncertainty estimates (standard error estimated at 0.09 °C) from Parker and Horton (2005) to examine the sensitivity of the FAR to t ...
Science and the Public: Debate, Denial, and Skepticism
Science and the Public: Debate, Denial, and Skepticism

... data (Baba, Cook, McGarity, & Bero, 2005). At first glance, it might appear paradoxical that an industry would sponsor laws ostensibly designed to ensure transparency of research. However, access to raw data is necessary for the re-“analyses” of epidemiological data by entities sympathetic to corpor ...
Temperature changes in Poland in 21st century
Temperature changes in Poland in 21st century

... Modeling procedure for WG method is similar to canonical analysis i.e. identification a linear connections air temperature on stations and air temperature originated from reanalysis. The main difference is that the linkage was detected, in monthly scale using daily data, between grid data and indivi ...
Why We Need A New Direction In Climate Change Science
Why We Need A New Direction In Climate Change Science

... Estimated radiative forcings since preindustrial times for the Earth and Troposphere system (TOA) radiative forcing with adjusted stratospheric temperatures). The height of the rectangular bar denotes a central or best estimate of the forcing, while each vertical line is an estimate of the uncertai ...
FORTY-FOURTH SESSION OF THE IPCC Bangkok, Thailand, 17
FORTY-FOURTH SESSION OF THE IPCC Bangkok, Thailand, 17

... Mitigation options and their wider impacts The interaction of climate risks, adaptation and mitigation Adaptation and mitigation in relation to sustainable development, poverty eradication and ...
5.Temperature stress and plant sexual reproduction
5.Temperature stress and plant sexual reproduction

... particularly vulnerable to the effects of global warming. The direct effect of temperature changes on the reproductive process has been documented previously, and recent data from other physiological processes that are affected by rising temperatures seem to reinforce the susceptibility of the repro ...
Climate warming and the potential extinction of fig wasps, the
Climate warming and the potential extinction of fig wasps, the

... short-lived (1–2 days adult lifespan), fig wasps (Agaonidae). The different physiologies of the two partners are expected to respond very differently to climate change, destabilizing the mutualism in the short-run and possibly leading to co-extinctions in the long-run [3,6]. Numerous vertebrates (mo ...
Detection and Attribution of Temperature Changes in the
Detection and Attribution of Temperature Changes in the

... of the western United States? Why are temperatures changing? Are the temperature increases primarily naturally driven or human induced? Since variations in snow content can arise from temperature changes, precipitation changes, or a combination of the two (e.g., Groisman et al. 1994; Mote 2006), can ...
Mitigation of Climate Change
Mitigation of Climate Change

... Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report ...
Article - Cerfacs
Article - Cerfacs

... simulated (CSi) and observed Africa temperature indices is 0.6 with a standard deviation of 0.1, (the data have been high-pass filtered with an 8 year cut-off, and the results are significant at the 0.1% significance level as estimated by a Student t-test). In the following, the analysis is focused ...
Full Text - Current Science
Full Text - Current Science

... in production next to China. Occurrences of climatic extremes especially at critical growth stages of rice significantly reduce the yield3. According to Alam et al.4, one of the significant options for the agricultural sector in tropical Asia is ‘to adjust cropping calendar to deal with climatic var ...
Report of the Working Group on Small Pelagic Fish, their
Report of the Working Group on Small Pelagic Fish, their

... The overarching theme of the WG was the impact of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and related physical drivers such as the contraction of the subpolar gyre, the weakening of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the eastward shift of the Icelandic Low on the dynamics of Eastern North ...
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North Report

The North Report was a 2006 report evaluating reconstructions of the temperature record of the past two millennia, providing an overview of the state of the science and the implications for understanding of global warming. It was produced by a National Research Council committee, chaired by Gerald North, at the request of Representative Sherwood Boehlert as chairman of the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Science.These reconstructions had been dubbed ""hockey stick graphs"" after the 1999 reconstruction by Mann, Bradley and Hughes (MBH99), which used the methodology of their 1998 reconstruction covering 600 years (MBH98). A graph based on MBH99 was featured prominently in the 2001 IPCC Third Assessment Report (TAR), and became a focus of the global warming controversy over the 1997 Kyoto Protocol. It was disputed by various contrarians, and in the politicisation of this hockey stick controversy the New York Times of 14 February 2005 hailed a paper by businessman Stephen McIntyre and economist Ross McKitrick (MM05) as undermining the scientific consensus behind the Kyoto agreement. On 23 June 2005, Rep. Joe Barton, chairman of the House Committee on Energy and Commerce, with Ed Whitfield, Chairman of the Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations, wrote joint letters referring to issues raised by the Wall Street Journal article, and demanding that Mann, Bradley and Hughes provide full records on their data and methods, finances and careers, information about grants provided to the institutions they had worked for, and the exact computer codes used to generate their results. Boehlert said this was a ""misguided and illegitimate investigation"" into something that should properly be under the jurisdiction of the Science Committee, and in November 2005 after Barton dismissed the offer of an independent investigation organised by the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, Boehlert requested the review, which became the North Report.The North Report went through a rigorous review process, and was published on 22 June 2006. It concluded ""with a high level of confidence that global mean surface temperature was higher during the last few decades of the 20th century than during any comparable period during the preceding four centuries"", justified by consistent evidence from a wide variety of geographically diverse proxies, but ""Less confidence can be placed in large-scale surface temperature reconstructions for the period from 900 to 1600"". It broadly agreed with the basic findings of the original MBH studies, which subsequently been supported by other reconstructions and proxy records, while emphasising uncertainties over earlier periods. The principal component analysis methodology that McIntyre and McKitrick had contested had a small tendency to bias results so was not recommended—but it had little influence on the final reconstructions, and other methods produced similar results.
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