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Effect of climate change on the thermal stratification of the baltic sea
Effect of climate change on the thermal stratification of the baltic sea

... freshwater pulse can provide the haline surface stratification. This finding suggests that it is not a real transport of juvenile freshwater into the centre of the Baltic proper that ensures re-stratification but rather a wave. Hordoir and Meier (2010) showed that the actual arrival of juvenile fres ...
Evolution of the Southern Annular Mode during the past
Evolution of the Southern Annular Mode during the past

... The positive phase of the SAM is associated with low pressure anomalies over Antarctica and high pressure anomalies over the mid-latitudes, and this enhanced atmospheric pressure gradient results in strengthening and poleward contraction of the Southern Hemisphere westerly jet stream1 . The mountain ...
No consensus on consensus
No consensus on consensus

... The role of consensus in this decision making is described by Oreskes [36]: “If we feel that a policy question deserves to be informed by scientific knowledge, then we have no choice but to ask, what is the consensus of experts on this matter? If there is no consensus of experts—as was the case amon ...
Temperature and Heat-Related Mortality Trends in the Sonoran and
Temperature and Heat-Related Mortality Trends in the Sonoran and

... this century, which will lead to dehydration, heat exhaustion, deadly heatstroke, kidney problems, lethargy, and poor work performance among the exposed population [3]. Extreme heat events account for a higher number of annual fatalities in the United States than any other extreme weather event. In ...
Statistical downscaling of daily mean temperature, pan evaporation
Statistical downscaling of daily mean temperature, pan evaporation

... precipitation using a weather generator method (Liao et al. 2004). SDSM has once been used in the upper and middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin, China (Zhao and Xu 2008; Liu et al. 2008) and has mainly focused on maximum and minimum temperatures as well as precipitation. Simultaneously downscal ...
Simulating thermal pollution caused by a hypothetical groundwater
Simulating thermal pollution caused by a hypothetical groundwater

... greater than the total annual residential heating demand in Cologne, Germany. Due to the low thermal diffusivity of aquifers relative to air, subsurface temperatures experience less fluctuation than surface air temperatures. Therefore, geothermal energy systems use aquifers as heat sources during th ...
Global Climate Science, Uncertainty and Politics: Data
Global Climate Science, Uncertainty and Politics: Data

... (weather balloons). The models then calculate the likely evolution of this observed initial state over short periods (hours to days). By contrast, when used for climate research, GCMs generally are not initialized with observational data. Instead, they simulate climate, starting—in principle, at lea ...
STATISTICAL COMMISSION  18 March 2016 Forty-seventh session
STATISTICAL COMMISSION 18 March 2016 Forty-seventh session

... Expressed appreciation for the guidance provided on issues emerging from the implementation of the SNA, including the completion of several manuals, handbooks and guidelines that facilitate the implementation of the 2008 SNA and supporting statistics, and urged the Working Group to continue to give ...
This paper reports on a special health concern identified in Barrow
This paper reports on a special health concern identified in Barrow

... In each of the three cellars, the temperature and degree of thaw varied, but temperatures in  the cellars were considerably warmer then the outside air.  Measurements taken on the same  day from the Barrow Arctic Research Consortium (BASC) Permafrost Research Tunnel, recorded  a difference of 33 deg ...
PDF
PDF

... trading had been adopted. All economic models available at the time showed significant cost reduction (about 50%) in scenarios where emission trading had been accounted for. The White House estimate of 2002, if made on the assumption that no trading would take place in the Kyoto agreement, was deriv ...
Trends of surface humidity and temperature during 1951
Trends of surface humidity and temperature during 1951

... is consistent with the simplified Clausius-Clapeyron equation. The annual observations from Beijing Meteorological Station are very close to the theoretical values, but with seasonal variations. When the temperature is greater than 295 K, the curve which directly used the coefficients over the pure ...
Modeling and forecasting extreme hot events in the central
Modeling and forecasting extreme hot events in the central

... June, July and August are considered. This period seems to be enough, since no EHE is observed in May during the analysed period, while 3 events are found in Zaragoza and 4 in Huesca, in September. In order to fit a model based on a point process, an occurrence point must be associated to each event ...
Tropospheric temperature response to stratospheric ozone recovery
Tropospheric temperature response to stratospheric ozone recovery

... Stratospheric ozone changes impact climate in a number of ways, as discussed briefly in the introduction and documented extensively elsewhere. Recently, Hu et al. (2011) claimed a previously unreported effect of ozone changes. They argued that ozone recovery in the 21st century will act to amplify w ...
Rapid climate change and no-analog vegetation in lowland Central
Rapid climate change and no-analog vegetation in lowland Central

... Changes in the inter-hemispheric temperature gradient during the late Quaternary affected the mean position and the intra-annual migration of the ITCZ. Cold conditions in the North Atlantic kept convective activity further south in the tropics, whereas warm conditions facilitated its migration to mo ...
Transcript
Transcript

... guy called Matthew Fontaine Maury. Now Maury was a lieutenant in the US Navy and from even when he was a small boy was obsessed with mathematics and data and analysis. But in 1839 Maury had a coaching accident where he broke his thigh bone and dislocated his kneecap and while he was recovering he sp ...
Apocalypse soon? Dire messages reduce belief in global warming by
Apocalypse soon? Dire messages reduce belief in global warming by

... Participants A total of 45 (10 male, 34 female, and 1 did not indicate) participants were recruited to the study via an advertisement posted on the Craigslist.org websites of 30 different American cities. The recruitment advertisement offered a chance to win a new iPod or $50 gift certificate in exc ...
The relative increase of record high maximum
The relative increase of record high maximum

... would be introduced by a mix of shorter and longer records. The missing data are filled in by ...
CLIMATE CHANGE 2014 Mitigation of Climate Change USTH scientific seminar 30/03/2015
CLIMATE CHANGE 2014 Mitigation of Climate Change USTH scientific seminar 30/03/2015

... Working Group III contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report ...
Temperature change and its effects on the Great Lakes climate
Temperature change and its effects on the Great Lakes climate

... in the northern hemisphere which would trigger a higher sea level. The sea could increase 1-2 feet on average by the year 2100. This could cause a significant problem for low lying areas. Also, there is a debatable theory of more extreme weather across the globe. More extreme weather could be classi ...
Weather and Death in India
Weather and Death in India

...  Physiological mechanisms and at-risk populations identified  Motivated by analysis of public health interventions, and now by concerns about climate change  ⇒ Much smaller literature for developing countries, key focus on rainfall, from perspective of consumption smoothing ...
HEAVY RAINFALL AND TEMPERATURE PROYECTIONS IN A
HEAVY RAINFALL AND TEMPERATURE PROYECTIONS IN A

... Meteorología e Hidrología de Ecuador) using the R- ClimDex computer program. A scenario for the year 2032 combining statistical results of extreme events and physical forcing from PRECIS scenarios A2 and B2 is also presented; using the extreme value theory from extReme computer program. The results ...
Csc_ADS_2011 - University of Minnesota
Csc_ADS_2011 - University of Minnesota

... • Dipole connections in forecast data provide insights about dipole activity in future. • For e.g. both forecasts for 2080-2100 show continuing dipole activity in the extratropics but decreased activity in the tropics. SOI activity is reduced in GFDL2.1 and activity over Africa is reduced in BCM 2.0 ...
Public Understanding of Science - Penelope Ironstone
Public Understanding of Science - Penelope Ironstone

... These images have been analyzed for their accuracy in depicting “real” science and scientists, how positive images enable scientists to garner more societal resources, and their depictions of women in science.4 This literature suggests that it is important to analyze these images as more than mere r ...
analysis of land skin temperature using avhrr observations
analysis of land skin temperature using avhrr observations

... globe, because it is a function of soil and vegetation conditions. In general, emissivity is approximately 0.95–0.97 for vegetated areas and 0.8–0.95 for most of the bare soil areas. In addition, evident seasonality is observed at emissivity fields (JL03). Utilizing MODIS-based emissivity in the LST ...
Environmental effects of increased atmospheric carbon dioxide
Environmental effects of increased atmospheric carbon dioxide

... of atmospheric carbon dioxide leads to the conclusion that increases during the 20th century have produced no deleterious effects upon global climate or temperature. Increased carbon dioxide has, however, markedly increased plant growth rates as inferred from numerous laboratory and field experiment ...
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North Report

The North Report was a 2006 report evaluating reconstructions of the temperature record of the past two millennia, providing an overview of the state of the science and the implications for understanding of global warming. It was produced by a National Research Council committee, chaired by Gerald North, at the request of Representative Sherwood Boehlert as chairman of the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Science.These reconstructions had been dubbed ""hockey stick graphs"" after the 1999 reconstruction by Mann, Bradley and Hughes (MBH99), which used the methodology of their 1998 reconstruction covering 600 years (MBH98). A graph based on MBH99 was featured prominently in the 2001 IPCC Third Assessment Report (TAR), and became a focus of the global warming controversy over the 1997 Kyoto Protocol. It was disputed by various contrarians, and in the politicisation of this hockey stick controversy the New York Times of 14 February 2005 hailed a paper by businessman Stephen McIntyre and economist Ross McKitrick (MM05) as undermining the scientific consensus behind the Kyoto agreement. On 23 June 2005, Rep. Joe Barton, chairman of the House Committee on Energy and Commerce, with Ed Whitfield, Chairman of the Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations, wrote joint letters referring to issues raised by the Wall Street Journal article, and demanding that Mann, Bradley and Hughes provide full records on their data and methods, finances and careers, information about grants provided to the institutions they had worked for, and the exact computer codes used to generate their results. Boehlert said this was a ""misguided and illegitimate investigation"" into something that should properly be under the jurisdiction of the Science Committee, and in November 2005 after Barton dismissed the offer of an independent investigation organised by the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, Boehlert requested the review, which became the North Report.The North Report went through a rigorous review process, and was published on 22 June 2006. It concluded ""with a high level of confidence that global mean surface temperature was higher during the last few decades of the 20th century than during any comparable period during the preceding four centuries"", justified by consistent evidence from a wide variety of geographically diverse proxies, but ""Less confidence can be placed in large-scale surface temperature reconstructions for the period from 900 to 1600"". It broadly agreed with the basic findings of the original MBH studies, which subsequently been supported by other reconstructions and proxy records, while emphasising uncertainties over earlier periods. The principal component analysis methodology that McIntyre and McKitrick had contested had a small tendency to bias results so was not recommended—but it had little influence on the final reconstructions, and other methods produced similar results.
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