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... Judd and Lontzek (2011) have formulated a dynamic stochastic version of DICE the SDICE - which includes stochastic tipping points possibilities. They show that this complexity a¤ects the optimal policy results in comparison to RICE. The modeling of damage reservoirs is beyond the purpose of this pap ...
Constraining temperature variations over the last
Constraining temperature variations over the last

... Estimates of past temperature and climate variability are a prerequisite for a possible attribution of the twentieth century warming to anthropogenic greenhouse gas forcing. While proxy based climate reconstructions can inform our knowledge of large-scale temperature variations in past centuries, th ...
Slide 1
Slide 1

... If greenhouse gas concentrations rise, they trap more heat, so Earth warms. If their concentrations fall, more heat escapes, and Earth cools. Without the greenhouse effect, Earth would be about 30°C cooler than it is today. ...
Climate change and the demise of Minoan civilization
Climate change and the demise of Minoan civilization

... winds in the tropical Pacific sweep and accumulate over time warm surface water to the west. This leaves the surface eastern tropical Pacific with colder upwelling water. Thus during normal conditions (often referred as La Nina) there are cold surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific and warm in ...
Land - Use/Land Cover Change as a
Land - Use/Land Cover Change as a

... with adjusted stratospheric temperatures). The height of the rectangular bar denotes a central or best estimate of the forcing, while each vertical line is an estimate of the uncertainty range associated with the forcing guided by the spread in the published record and physical understanding, and wi ...
Trends and Variability in Snowmelt Runoff in the Western United
Trends and Variability in Snowmelt Runoff in the Western United

... the western United States are earlier (later) than average. The relation between atmospheric pressure and CMDs is supported by the correlation between the mean CMD time series and mean AMJJ temperatures for the western United States (Fig. 7). When atmospheric pressures are greater than average, temp ...
Temperature-induced mismatches between
Temperature-induced mismatches between

... and the metabolism : consumption ratio. For simplicity, we show the quadratic model, though the linear model fit the data equally well (Appendix A: Table A2). In each panel, the solid black line is the overall trend, and the other lines are the species-level trends. ...
PDF
PDF

... in rainfall is also observed in April in both the states; though rainfall in April is often not considered good for wheat as this is the harvesting season of the crop. An upward trend in rainfall is observed in November in Haryana and in December in Bihar. The above analysis of winter rainfall data ...
Sensitivity of tree growth to the atmospheric vertical profile in the
Sensitivity of tree growth to the atmospheric vertical profile in the

... Terrestrial vegetation responds to weather and climate through a variety of physiological, demographic, and ecosystem processes (Bonan 2002). Together, these processes determine where plant species grow, how well they grow, and how their arrangement within the communities changes over time (Bonan 20 ...
Chapter 4: NSW Snowy Mountains region
Chapter 4: NSW Snowy Mountains region

... around five years, and that immense damage could be caused by their presence. ...
Self-Governance and Peer Review in Science-for
Self-Governance and Peer Review in Science-for

... Three-quarters of this paragraph consists of caveats about uncertainties and limitations of current understanding. Nonetheless, its now-famous closing sentence marked the first time the IPCC had reached a consensus on two key points: first, that global warming is probably occurring (“detection”), an ...
Footprints of climate change on Mediterranean Sea biota
Footprints of climate change on Mediterranean Sea biota

... heterogeneous. Different papers used different temperature diagnostics (e.g., monthly mean, instantaneous values), from different instruments and at different depths. Therefore, in order to use a homogenized temperature diagnostic, we have used the sea surface temperature (SST) at each specific loca ...
Forest ecotone response to climate change
Forest ecotone response to climate change

... based on biological principles, using two different arguments. In fact, neither of these arguments holds up under scrutiny. The first argument is based on the well-known fact that photosynthesis measured on short time scales shows a unimodal response to temperature. It is then argued by extension th ...
Extreme precipitation response to climate perturbations in an
Extreme precipitation response to climate perturbations in an

... deep convection plays a key role in the tropical climate, the dynamics of convective showers are not resolved in climate models and relatively simple parameterizations are used. It is often argued that the parameterizations and their interaction with the resolved dynamics are responsible for most of ...
Balance as bias: global warming and the US prestige press
Balance as bias: global warming and the US prestige press

... causes problems when it is applied to issues of science. It seems to demand that journalists present competing points of views on a scientific question as though they had equal scientific weight, when actually they do not’’. In this paper we endeavored to see how this assertion— while reasonable at it ...
Up-regulation of photosynthesis and sucrose
Up-regulation of photosynthesis and sucrose

... 1991, Kirschbaum 1994) because elevated CO 2 levels will reduce photorespiratory losses. Idso and Idso (1994) showed that plant growth enhancement due to elevated CO 2 was highly significant at higher temperature. Moreover, the increased supply of assimilates caused by higher CO 2 could be combined ...
Precipitation and Temperature
Precipitation and Temperature

... (2006, 2007) developed a perturbation method to generate alternative extreme values for precipitation in KnnCAD Version 1, however Eum and Simonovic (2012) found that their methodology could not be easily extended for generation of alternative temperature extremes because it would be capable of gene ...
Collapse of the California Current During Glacial Maxima Linked to
Collapse of the California Current During Glacial Maxima Linked to

... temperatures warmer than the Holocene are recorded in the equatorial Pacific for isotope stages 5e and 11. Relation of California margin marine temperatures to coastal vegetation. Analysis of pollen preserved in continental margin sediments ties changes in vegetation in the Pacific coastal zone to n ...
Prediction of Future Change of Water Demand Following Global
Prediction of Future Change of Water Demand Following Global

... 2.2, 1.6 and 2.4 ℃ for a growing period by the 2070s for GCM, MRI and CCSR/NIES. Duration of growth period for maize becomes shorter by 9 days for GCM and CCSR/NIES while only 3 days for MRI. Air temperature rise projected with the GCM, MRI and CCSR/NIES models was 3.5, 1.4 and 3.0 ℃ during growing ...
geneva dialogues 7.4.11[1]. - Graduate Institute of International and
geneva dialogues 7.4.11[1]. - Graduate Institute of International and

... community has failed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and urgent action is needed to prevent catastrophic climate change then it may be necessary to resort to techniques involving deliberate large-scale intervention in the Earth’s climate system (‘geoengineering’); Ensuring that, in the event such ...
- LPPM-UNILA Institutional Repository (LPPM
- LPPM-UNILA Institutional Repository (LPPM

... that simple act such as: walking or go to school by bike, turn off the lights after they finish studying, saving paper consumption, and others can reduce greenhouse gas contribution. ...
Effect of climate change on rice yield at Kharagpur, West... Tanmoyee Bhattacharya , Dr. R.K Panda
Effect of climate change on rice yield at Kharagpur, West... Tanmoyee Bhattacharya , Dr. R.K Panda

... which indicates that the variability of monsoon rainfall exhibits decreasing trend during the whole period . Statistical analysis was performed to evaluate the performance of Aquacrop model in simulating crop variables. The statistical analysis result given in Table 3 and Fig 6 indicated that the mo ...
expert panel findings - Copenhagen Consensus Center
expert panel findings - Copenhagen Consensus Center

... Extension of Protected Areas, Protecting All Dense Forests. The expert panel chose to merge Agricultural Productivity R&D with the similar intervention proposed under the topic of Hunger and Malnutrition, noting the combined benefits of this investment; discussion of this intervention is included un ...
Updating the World on the Latest Climate Science
Updating the World on the Latest Climate Science

... (Peters and Hertwich 2008), and by the slowdown of previous improvements in the CO2 intensity of the global economy (Raupach et al. 2007). The observed acceleration in fossil fuel CO2 emissions is tracking high-end emissions scenarios used by IPCC AR4 (Nakicenovic et al. 2000). In contrast, CO2 emis ...
The Copenhagen Diagnosis - Climate Change Research Centre
The Copenhagen Diagnosis - Climate Change Research Centre

... comprise previous IPCC lead authors familiar with the rigor and completeness required for a scientific assessment of this nature. This report is freely available on the web at: ...
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North Report

The North Report was a 2006 report evaluating reconstructions of the temperature record of the past two millennia, providing an overview of the state of the science and the implications for understanding of global warming. It was produced by a National Research Council committee, chaired by Gerald North, at the request of Representative Sherwood Boehlert as chairman of the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Science.These reconstructions had been dubbed ""hockey stick graphs"" after the 1999 reconstruction by Mann, Bradley and Hughes (MBH99), which used the methodology of their 1998 reconstruction covering 600 years (MBH98). A graph based on MBH99 was featured prominently in the 2001 IPCC Third Assessment Report (TAR), and became a focus of the global warming controversy over the 1997 Kyoto Protocol. It was disputed by various contrarians, and in the politicisation of this hockey stick controversy the New York Times of 14 February 2005 hailed a paper by businessman Stephen McIntyre and economist Ross McKitrick (MM05) as undermining the scientific consensus behind the Kyoto agreement. On 23 June 2005, Rep. Joe Barton, chairman of the House Committee on Energy and Commerce, with Ed Whitfield, Chairman of the Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations, wrote joint letters referring to issues raised by the Wall Street Journal article, and demanding that Mann, Bradley and Hughes provide full records on their data and methods, finances and careers, information about grants provided to the institutions they had worked for, and the exact computer codes used to generate their results. Boehlert said this was a ""misguided and illegitimate investigation"" into something that should properly be under the jurisdiction of the Science Committee, and in November 2005 after Barton dismissed the offer of an independent investigation organised by the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, Boehlert requested the review, which became the North Report.The North Report went through a rigorous review process, and was published on 22 June 2006. It concluded ""with a high level of confidence that global mean surface temperature was higher during the last few decades of the 20th century than during any comparable period during the preceding four centuries"", justified by consistent evidence from a wide variety of geographically diverse proxies, but ""Less confidence can be placed in large-scale surface temperature reconstructions for the period from 900 to 1600"". It broadly agreed with the basic findings of the original MBH studies, which subsequently been supported by other reconstructions and proxy records, while emphasising uncertainties over earlier periods. The principal component analysis methodology that McIntyre and McKitrick had contested had a small tendency to bias results so was not recommended—but it had little influence on the final reconstructions, and other methods produced similar results.
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