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1 Supplementary Online Material: Global change and species interactions in terrestrial ecosystems Jason M. Tylianakis, Raphael K. Didham, Jordi Bascompte, David A. Wardle Contents: Box S1: Higher order effects of multiple GEC drivers on species interactions. Box S2: Effects of Global Environmental Change (GEC) drivers on biotic interactions. Box S3: The consequences of interaction network architecture for the effects of GEC on two different species interaction types. Methods S1: Description of methods and search terms used for literature review. Figures S1-S6: Additional information supporting the trends in changes to pairwise interactions depicted in main text Fig. 1. 2 Box S1: Higher order effects of multiple GEC drivers on species interactions. As an illustrative example of the potential higher order interactions among multiple drivers of GEC, we show the relative effects of three GEC drivers (CO2 enrichment, climate change and nitrogen deposition) on one common type of species interaction (foliar herbivory). Arrows a, b and c are direct effects, whereas arrows d, e, and f moderate the direct effects (of a, b and c respectively). Climate change may have direct effects on herbivory (arrow b), with performance (Johns & Hughes 2002; Zvereva & Kozlov 2006) and abundance (Bezemer et al. 1998; Logan et al. 2003) of herbivores tending to improve under conditions of simulated climate change, and ranges of herbivore species potentially expanding (Battisti et al. 2005). In contrast, the direct effects of elevated CO2 on herbivory (arrow c) may often be negative, with herbivore performance and fecundity often decreasing under conditions of elevated CO2 (Percy et al. 2002; Awmack et al. 2004; Asshoff & Hättenschwiler 2005; Zvereva & Kozlov 2006). Carbon dioxide enrichment may also drive climate change (arrow a), such that the effect of CO2 is the sum of the direct (c) and climate-mediated indirect (in a path model, coefficient a x b) effects on herbivory. Furthermore, the effects of climate change and CO2 enrichment may be moderated by N deposition (dotted arrows). For example, reduced herbivory of some plant species under elevated CO2 may be compensated for by increasing herbivory under N fertilisation (arrow f), potentially producing a positive interaction effect between these two drivers when they are tested simultaneously (Cleland et al. 2006). Plant growth under elevated CO2 becomes increasingly N limited, so N deposition may increase plant biomass production and thereby reduce the impact of CO2 on climate change (arrow d). However, these short-term benefits to plant growth will themselves be largely offset by climate change (Long et al. 2006). Finally, N deposition and temperature increases usually have positive effects on herbivory, and these effects can be additive (Richardson et al. 2002) or interactive (e) (Ritchie 2000). N deposition d e f Climate b a CO2 c Plant-Herbivore Interaction Above: Potential higher order interactions among CO2 enrichment, climate change and nitrogen deposition effects on herbivory. Direct effects of N deposition on herbivory are omitted, but examples of these are presented in Fig. S2. 3 Box S2: Effects of Global Environmental Change (GEC) drivers on biotic interactions. GEC drivers may directly affect (block red arrows) the phenotype (e.g. physiology) or abundance of an organism that indirectly affects (black arrows) the organism’s interactions with other species (its consumers or resources). For taxa on which the direct effects of GEC are known to be trivial or unimportant (e.g., direct CO2 effects on organisms other than plants) interactions are not depicted. GEC drivers may also directly modify the interaction between two organisms (red, dotted arrows) e.g. through changes in phenology of both interacting species. Double headed arrows indicate competitive interactions. For simplicity, competitive interactions are only depicted between plants, and between native and exotic species, but species at any trophic level may compete with others. 4 Box S3: The consequences of interaction network architecture for the effects of GEC on two different species interaction types. Mutualistic networks are very cohesive and show a nested structure in which specialist species interactions form well-defined subsets of the interactions between generalist species (bottom left). These features make mutualist networks robust to the loss of interactions caused by GEC (the specialist animals that pollinate fewest plants pollinate a subset of the plants pollinated by generalists). Antagonistic networks appear to be more compartmentalised, with each compartment including a group of strongly interacting plants and animals, but few interactions among different compartments (bottom right) (Lewinsohn et al. 2006). This structure makes them more susceptible to losses of species, especially top consumers. However, recent work on ant-plant mutualist networks has shown that symbiotic associations (e.g. ants and myrmecophytes) are highly compartmentalised and less nested than nonsymbiotic (e.g. seed dispersal) networks (Guimarães et al. 2007), indicating that tightly coevolved symbioses may be particularly prone to extinctions of closely related interacting partners. Above: The top two panels represent two real networks describing the interactions between plants (green nodes) and insects (orange nodes). The mutualist network (top left) is a pollination community in Zackenberg, Greenland (Olesen et al. 2008), and the antagonist network (top right) is a plant-herbivore community in the Espinhaço mountain range, Southeast Brazil (Prado & Lewinsohn 2004). The bottom two panels show interactions (blue squares) between plant and animal species; they are demonstrative only and not based on real data. 5 Methods S1 To compile our literature database, we searched for original research papers on the effects of one or more global change drivers on one or more interspecific interaction types. Note, the response variable of interest was the strength or frequency of the interaction itself, rather than the diversity of species, the response of individual species involved in the interaction, or the effects of an interaction on the response of a species to a GEC driver. To focus our review, we used only empirical studies (not theoretical papers, reviews or editorial material) of terrestrial systems. To augment the studies with which the authors were familiar, we searched the ISI Web of Science database for studies from 1997 to 2007 using the following search terms: (rate or proportion or infect* or strength or dominance or advantage) and (pollinat* or predat* or parasit* or pathogen or competit* or "food web" or hemiparasit* or mycorrhiz* or endophyt* or herbivor* or (seed and dispers*)) and ("climate change" or "elevated temperature" or drought or "nitrogen addition" or "elevated nitrogen" or "invasive species" or "biotic invasion" or (habitat and (loss or degradation or fragment*)) or ("land use" and (change or modif* or intensifi*)) or "CO2 enrichment" or "elevated CO2" or "elevated carbon dioxide" or "carbon dioxide enrichment") not (marine or aquatic or freshwater). We further refined the search by excluding the subject areas: (mathematical & computational biology or geography or materials science, ceramics or mathematics, interdisciplinary applications or metallurgy & metallurgical engineering or urban studies or food science & technology or limnology or archaeology or marine & freshwater biology or cell biology or chemistry, organic or engineering, environmental or computer science, artificial intelligence or computer science, interdisciplinary applications or polymer science or computer science, theory & methods or biochemistry & molecular biology or toxicology or engineering, electrical & electronic or biophysics or geology or genetics & heredity or chemistry, applied or health care sciences & services or materials science, multidisciplinary or health policy & services or history & philosophy of science or geography, physical or paleontology or instruments & instrumentation or materials science, composites or oceanography or water resources or mathematics, applied or fisheries or chemistry, analytical or nanoscience & nanotechnology or engineering, mechanical or obstetrics & gynecology or pharmacology & pharmacy or physics, fluids & plasmas or geosciences, multidisciplinary or nuclear science & technology or physics, mathematical or anthropology or physics, multidisciplinary or developmental biology or physics, nuclear or energy & fuels or psychology, biological or engineering, chemical or spectroscopy or meteorology & atmospheric sciences or geochemistry & geophysics or thermodynamics). Of the approximately 1600 papers retrieved in this search, over 600 matched our response variables of interest. These studies are presented as a summary spreadsheet (Table S1) and were used to generate Fig.1 in the main text and Figs. S1-S6 in the S.O.M.. 6 Figures S1-S6: Additional information supporting the trends in changes to pairwise interactions depicted in main text Fig. 1 Predicted future changes to species interactions resulting from the effects of each global environmental change (GEC) driver. Arrows with solid outlines indicate nutrient and energy flow, while double-headed arrows with dotted outlines indicate resource competition. + and – symbols within arrows indicate benefit or cost to each participant (e.g. + + within an arrow is a mutualism). The proportion of colours within each arrow indicates the proportion of interactions (from all interactions of a given type and GEC driver present in our database Table S1) showing increases (green), no effect (white), or decreases (dark grey) respectively in strength or frequency of the interaction following each of five major GEC drivers. In Table S1, each row represents the response of a single interaction type to a single global change driver. In cases where a single published study examined effects of more than one driver or responses of more than one interaction type, these results are presented in separate rows. The number of specific pairwise interactions examined in the study (e.g. species A interacts with species B) was recorded where possible; however, in some cases responses were measured at the entire community level and individual pairwise interaction responses could not be meaningfully separated. The number of these pairwise interactions (or entire communities) showing a decrease, increase, or no effect in the strength or frequency of the interaction, under that specific global change driver was recorded, and this number of interactions was the basis for quantifying changes to interaction frequencies in Fig. 1 and Figs. S1-S6. This essentially gave extra weighting to studies that examined a greater variety of pairs of interacting species. Of course we emphasise that this approach of vote counting can only give an estimate of broad trends in the literature. Yellow arrows indicate a change in dominance between competing species, which was recorded as a separate column in Table S1. Width of arrows represents the number of studies considered in this review (small: ≤ 10; medium: 11-40; large: > 40 cases) and in Fig. S6 the number of studies on all drivers are combined (small: ≤ 40; medium: 41-100; large: > 100 cases). A table of the studies on which these trends are based (Table S1) is provided in the S.O.M, with details regarding specific treatments and response variables. Below each supplementary figure we explain in more detail the potential effects of the driver on each interaction, using a subset of references from our database (Table S1), and relevant reviews or theoretical work (which were excluded from the database). Although we acknowledge that this “vote-counting” approach can only give a very approximate indication of trends in the literature, we believe that a quantitative metaanalysis of such a large number of different response variables and specific treatments would give a false sense of confidence in the trends. We therefore emphasise that these are broad generalizations based on a survey of original research studies from the literature over the past decade and that many exceptions exist. The total trends for Fig. 1 in the main text and Fig. S6 are derived from the combination of the expected changes in each of the individual drivers presented here. Figures S1-S6 are replicas of the individual panels in main text Fig. 1. Roman numerals describe the interactions as listed below each figure. 7 Figure S1: CO2 enrichment CO2 enrichment Although increases in atmospheric CO2 concentrations can potentially drive climate change, we separate these two drivers due to their differing effects on species and their interactions. In particular, the effects of CO2 enrichment on plant growth may contrast with the effects of climate change. i) Plant-pollinator: General benefit to pollinators, but variable. CO2 enrichment can induce changes to nectar quantity (increases; Lake & Hughes 1999; Dag & Eisikowitch 2000; Davis 2003a; decreases; Rusterholz & Erhardt 1998; and no change; Lake & Hughes 1999 have all been recorded) and composition (Erhardt et al. 2005), which can increase fecundity of, and attractiveness to, pollinator species (Mevi-Schutz et al. 2003; Mevi-Schutz & Erhardt 2005). There is some variation in these effects across plant species (Davis 2003a; Erhardt et al. 2005), and marginally significant disruption to this mutualism can occur due to changes in flowering phenology (Erhardt et al. 2005). The number of flowers produced has also been shown to increase (Osborne et al. 1997) or remain unchanged (Lake & Hughes 1999) by elevated CO2. ii) Plant-fungal: Frequent increase in colonisation, but highly variable. Enrichment by CO2 may increase root colonisation by ectomycorrhizal fungi (EMF) (Rey et al. 1997; Langley et al. 2003; Lukac et al. 2003) and arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi (AMF) (Klironomos et al. 1998; Rillig & Allen 1998; Rouhier & Read 1998; 8 Louche-Tessandier et al. 1999; Olesniewicz & Thomas 1999; Staddon et al. 1999; Rillig et al. 2000; Hartwig et al. 2002; Hu et al. 2005) and increased extraradical mycorrhizal hyphal production can occur (Gamper et al. 2004; Staddon et al. 2004), but not always (Lewis et al. 1994; Kasurinen et al. 1999; Fransson et al. 2001; Jifon et al. 2002). Increases may occur in subsoil but not topsoil (Rillig & Field 2003), and only with coarse but not fine AMF endophytes (Rillig et al. 1999; Rillig & Field 2003). Elevated CO2 generally increases mycorrhizal fungal abundance (Treseder 2004) (possibly due to increased fungal sporulation; Klironomos et al. 1997b) and can cause a shift in fungal strains (Gamper et al. 2005) and species (Parrent et al. 2006), although other studies have also reported no significant effect on community composition (Chung et al. 2006). Where they occur, shifts in fungal communities have variable effects on plant growth, ranging from negative to positive, depending on plant and fungal species (Rouhier & Read 1998; Gavito et al. 2000; Johnson et al. 2005c). Further, changes to fungal metabolism may have important consequences for C cycling (Chung et al. 2006). The effect of elevated CO2 may be greater on EMF than on AMF or plants (Alberton et al. 2005). Enrichment of CO2 may increase N uptake (Hu et al. 2005), but no significant effect has been shown for P uptake (Sanders et al. 1998; Staddon et al. 1998) or within-plant carbon allocation (Rouhier & Read 1999). There is possible selection for fungal strains that help the host plant to meet nutrient demands, and an indirect increase in N fixation by bacteria (Gamper et al. 2005). Responses vary in strength or direction depending on the plant (Wolf et al. 2003; Gamper et al. 2005; Johnson et al. 2005c) and mycorrhizal (Rillig & Field 2003) species. iii) Seed dispersal: Unclear. To our knowledge no study to date has investigated direct effects of CO2 on seed dispersal. iv) Plant-plant competition: Shift in advantage. Enrichment of CO2 may give a competitive advantage to some plant species over others (Clark et al. 1997; Hebeisen et al. 1997; Berntson et al. 1998; Diaz et al. 1998; Lovelock et al. 1998; Atkin et al. 1999; Navas et al. 1999; Greer et al. 2000; Huxman & Smith 2001; Reich et al. 2001; Tilman & Lehman 2001; Fuhrer 2003; Poorter & Navas 2003; Zavaleta et al. 2003; Stiling et al. 2004), through interspecific differences in the stimulation of growth (Clark et al. 1997; Berntson et al. 1998; Diaz et al. 1998; Atkin et al. 1999; Greer et al. 2000; Reich et al. 2001; Fuhrer 2003; Zavaleta et al. 2003) (e.g. C3 plants; Bazzaz 1990; Patterson et al. 1999 or fast-growing trees; Laurance et al. 2004) or occasionally mediated by herbivore pressure (Diaz et al. 1998). ‘Mesic’ legumes might be favoured over grasses and some Brassicaceae (Hebeisen et al. 1997; Grunzweig & Korner 2001). No change was found in the relative competitive ability of two C3 grasses (Hely & Roxburgh 2005), but invasive C4 grasses were found to gain a competitive advantage over native C4 grasses due to increased germination and growth rates (Baruch & Jackson 2005). Variation in responses can be due to nutrient availability (Poorter & Navas 2003) or differences between species within functional groups (Reich et al. 2001). v) Plant-hemiparasite: Frequent but variable benefit to parasite. Hemiparasites may be affected directly through impacts on their physiology and indirectly through impacts on host plants (Phoenix & Press 2005). The hemiparasite may be favoured by higher growth response and increased carbon gains (Matthies & Egli 1999; Grunzweig & Korner 2001; Hattenschwiler & Zumbrunn 2006), 9 potentially increasing the demand for host mineral nutrients (Phoenix & Press 2005) and competition with the host for N (Hwangbo et al. 2003). Alternatively, elevated CO2 has been shown to have no effect (Watling & Press 1997, 1998; Matthies & Egli 1999) or even alleviate (Dale & Press 1998; Watling & Press 2000) the negative effect of hemiparasites on their hosts and reduce the benefit for the parasite (Grunzweig & Korner 2001). Variability can arise due to host species or nutrient availability (Matthies & Egli 1999). vi) Plant-herbivore: Generally negative, but variable effects on herbivores. Herbivore development times may increase (Johns & Hughes 2002; Asshoff & Hättenschwiler 2005), decrease (Johns & Hughes 2002) or be unaffected (Awmack et al. 2004; Chong et al. 2004) by CO2 enrichment. A recent meta-analysis (Stiling & Cornelissen 2007) found a general decrease in herbivore abundance under elevated CO2. Herbivore performance (Stiling et al. 1999; Johns & Hughes 2002; Percy et al. 2002; Veteli et al. 2002; Asshoff & Hättenschwiler 2005; Zvereva & Kozlov 2006), and fecundity (Awmack et al. 2004; Asshoff & Hättenschwiler 2005) have been shown to decrease, but may in some cases remain constant (Diaz et al. 1998; Bezemer et al. 1999) or increase (Bezemer et al. 1999; Stacey & Fellowes 2002; Williams et al. 2003; Chen et al. 2005). Further, variation in within-plant physiological responses may produce diverse responses of herbivores to CO2 enrichment (Pritchard et al. 2007). The varied responses of fecundity above give rise to variable effects on herbivore population size (Docherty et al. 1997; Hughes & Bazzaz 2001; Stiling et al. 2002). Effects on oviposition choice and feeding preference were similarly found to be variable (Docherty et al. 1997; Abrell et al. 2005; Hamilton et al. 2005). Nevertheless, when it occurs, enhanced herbivore damage under elevated CO2 is usually driven by elevated rates of overall consumption to compensate for reduced food quality (Hughes & Bazzaz 1997; Stiling et al. 1999; Williams et al. 2000; Bidart-Bouzat 2004; Handa et al. 2006), although numerous studies have found no effect (Diaz et al. 1998; Peters et al. 2000; Williams et al. 2000; Johns et al. 2003; Barbehenn et al. 2004; Cleland et al. 2006), reduced rates of consumption (Asshoff & Hättenschwiler 2005; Cleland et al. 2006) or variation according to plant species (Hattenschwiler & Schafellner 2004; Asshoff & Hättenschwiler 2005; Knepp et al. 2005). An early review (Bezemer & Jones 1998) suggested that leaf chewers such as caterpillars can often compensate for reduced food quality by increasing their consumption, but this was found not to be the case for grasshoppers (Asshoff & Hättenschwiler 2005). Leafminers may (Stiling et al. 1999) or may not (Johns & Hughes 2002) compensate for reduced plant quality, and phloem feeders even seem to benefit from CO2 enrichment of the host plant (Bezemer & Jones 1998; Bezemer et al. 1998; Chen et al. 2005). Protection against herbivores provided by mutualistic endophytes has been found to increase under elevated CO2 (Marks & Lincoln 1996). Effects of CO2 may be mediated by N fertilisation (Cleland et al. 2006), temperature (Johns & Hughes 2002; Veteli et al. 2002; Zvereva & Kozlov 2006), host plant species (Barbehenn et al. 2004) or ozone levels (Percy et al. 2002). vii) Plant-pathogen: Frequent increase in infection, but variable. Fungal infection generally increases (Chakraborty et al. 2000; Mitchell et al. 2003), possibly due to decreased water stress, increased leaf longevity or increased photosynthetic rate (Mitchell et al. 2003). In addition to infection rates, the per capita effect of pathogen infection on host photosystem II operating efficiency has been shown to increase under elevated compared with ambient CO2 (Aldea et al. 2006). However, 10 there are exceptions (Chakraborty et al. 2000), with negligible effects on disease expression reported in some instances (Meijer & Leuchtmann 2000). Moreover, increased photosynthesis and water use efficiency, or the effects of CO2 concentration on the transcription or post-translational turnover of pathogenesis-related proteins, may lead to increased tolerance to fungal infection (Jwa & Walling 2001). viii) Seed predation: Unclear. This has been seldom investigated, although one study found predation of acorns by weevils to be unaffected by CO2 enrichment (Stiling et al. 2004). ix) Parasite-host: Unclear. To our knowledge no study to date has investigated direct effects of CO2 on parasite-host interactions. x) Animal-animal competition: Shift in advantage. Differences in benefit among aphid species have been shown to alter competitive interactions (Stacey & Fellowes 2002). See also variable effects on different herbivores in vi above, which can cause a shift in competitive advantages. xi) Predator-prey or parasitoid-host: General increase in attack rates, but variable. Natural enemy densities have been shown to increase (Percy et al. 2002), and high CO2 levels have been shown to enhance attack rates of herbivores by parastoids (Stiling et al. 1999; Stiling et al. 2002). Prey consumption and mean relative growth rates of predators may also increase (Chen et al. 2005). Where increased development times of invertebrate herbivore larvae occur, this increases their period of maximum vulnerability to predators and parasitoids (Johns & Hughes 2002; Asshoff & Hättenschwiler 2005). In contrast, elevated CO2 may also reduce the volatile response of plants to herbivory, making them less attractive to natural enemies of the herbivores (Vuorinen et al. 2004). Other studies have shown no effect on predation/parasitism rates (Bezemer et al. 1998; Stacey & Fellowes 2002; Awmack et al. 2004), or found variation across species (Sanders et al. 2004) or plant genotypes (Holton et al. 2003). xii) Decomposer food web: Some increases, but variable across all trophic levels. Literature syntheses provide evidence that the soil microbial biomass (the basal consumers of the decomposer food web) can show variable responses (Zak et al. 2000) (often positive (Phillips et al. 2002; Dijkstra et al. 2005; Hu et al. 2005; Sonnemann & Wolters 2005) or neutral (Kandeler et al. 1998; Lussenhop et al. 1998; Zak et al. 2000; Niklaus et al. 2001; Wiemken et al. 2001; Allen et al. 2005) depending upon both plant species and nutrient availability (Klironomos et al. 1996). Different effects on different species can also lead to shifts in the microbial community composition (Phillips et al. 2002). Although only a handful of studies have investigated effects of elevated CO2 on belowground consumers in higher trophic levels, those that have show a variety of responses (Klironomos et al. 1996; Lussenhop et al. 1998; Hungate et al. 2000; Wardle 2002; Yeates et al. 2003). Nematodes can be positively (Li et al. 2007) or negatively (Neher et al. 2004) affected, and their community structure can be altered (Hoeksema et al. 2000; Neher et al. 2004; Li et al. 2007). Similarly, the microarthropod community has also been shown to be positively (Jones et al. 1998; Sticht et al. 2006) or negatively (Niklaus et al. 2003) affected, or to be unaffected (Klironomos et al. 1997a; Jones et al. 1998; 11 Lussenhop et al. 1998). There are even instances in the literature in which higher level consumers are promoted by CO2 enrichment but lower ones are not, which is consistent with bottom-up regulation of organisms in higher trophic levels, which in turn exert top-down effects regulating lower trophic levels (Lussenhop et al. 1998; Yeates et al. 2003). 12 Figure S2: N deposition N deposition i) Plant-pollinator: Possible benefit to pollinators. If protein concentrations increase in nectar as they do in leaves, attractiveness to pollinators could also increase (Gardener & Gillman 2001; Mevi-Schutz & Erhardt 2005). Soil N can drive increases in flower abundance, thereby attracting more pollinators, but this effect was found to occur in the year following enhanced vegetative growth (Muñoz et al. 2005), emphasising that N effects on plant-pollinator interactions may only be detectable at long time scales. More research is required on this topic. ii) Plant-fungal: General decrease in colonisation by mycorrhizae. Colonisation of grasses by non-mycorrhizal fungi increases following N deposition (Siguenza et al. 2006), but effects on plant-mycorrhizal mutualisms are variable (Hutchinson et al. 1998; Treseder 2004) (although often negative; Grogan & Chapin 2000; Treseder & Vitousek 2001; Hartwig et al. 2002; Staddon et al. 2004) across taxa, with decreased AMF colonisation observed in native grasses but not legumes (Gamper et al. 2004), and native shrubs but not exotic grasses (Siguenza et al. 2006). Diversity and sporocarp abundance of aboveground (Lilleskov et al. 2001) and belowground (Lilleskov et al. 2002) EMF, as well as EMF colonisation rates (Baum & Makeschin 2000; Baum et al. 2002) have been shown to decline with increasing N. There can also be a shift in EMF community structure (Avis & Charvat 2005), with a decrease in fungi capable of using organic N sources, while certain “nitrophilic” taxa 13 were found to be unaffected or even benefit from increased N (Lilleskov et al. 2001). Effects can also vary according to soil nutrient availability, with N addition causing decreased allocation to AM structures at sites with ample P (i.e. low N:P ratio of soil), and increased allocation to AM fungal structures when P is limiting (i.e. high N:P ratio; Johnson et al. 2003). Nitrogen deposition can negate the effects of increased CO2 on plantmycorrhizal mutualisms (West et al. 2005), and increasing soil nutrient availability has been shown using modelling to cause a shift of plant-mycorrhizal interactions from mutualistic to parasitic, as relative benefits to the plant decrease (Neuhauser & Fargione 2004). Finally, increased N application can cause a decrease in the ratio of fungal to total microbial biomass (de Vries et al. 2006), and soil acidification caused by increased N can have negative effects on mycorrhizal communities (Bunemann et al. 2006). iii) Seed dispersal: Possibly none. Although we are unaware of any research directly testing the effects of N deposition on seed dispersal, low N and protein levels in fruit (Jordano 2000), and the lack of variability in fruit morphology/chemistry following N fertilization (Cipollini et al. 2004) suggest that large effects are unlikely. iv) Plant-plant competition: Shift in advantage. N deposition causes frequent shifts in dominance (Hebeisen et al. 1997; Navas et al. 1999; Zavaleta et al. 2003) due to advantages for certain N-demanding plant species (Bobbink et al. 1998; Tilman & Lehman 2001; Brooks 2003; Rickey & Anderson 2004; Silliman & Bertness 2004; Stevens et al. 2004; Badgery et al. 2005; Kuijper et al. 2005), with competitive growth forms such as graminoids responding particularly well to soil nutrient increases (Fuhrer 2003; Brooker 2006). Altered fungal infection may also mediate competitive interactions between plant species, but other studies have found no effect of N deposition on competition (Wilson & Tilman 1991; Strengbom et al. 2006). Effects may be mediated by management intensity (Hartley & Mitchell 2005). v) Plant-hemiparasite: Possibly none or slight decrease. Studies have shown no effect of N on the plant-hemiparasite antagonism (Aflakpui et al. 2005) or a decrease in hemiparasite seed germination with increasing N concentration up to a point, then no further effect (Ayongwa et al. 2006). vi) Plant-herbivore: General increase in herbivory. N addition generally makes plants more attractive to herbivores (Roy et al. 2004; Throop & Lerdau 2004; Hines et al. 2005; Prudic et al. 2005; Cornelissen & Stiling 2006b) and enhances herbivore population sizes (Armolaitis 1998; Fluckiger & Braun 1998; Haddad et al. 2000; Sudderth et al. 2005; Rowe et al. 2006), performance and consumption (Kerslake et al. 1998; Nordin et al. 1998; Power et al. 1998; Hattenschwiler & Schafellner 1999; Hartley et al. 2003; Throop & Lerdau 2004; Hartley & Mitchell 2005; Prudic et al. 2005; Stiling & Moon 2005; Throop 2005; Groenteman et al. 2006; Stevens & Jones 2006), although other studies have observed no effect on consumption (Cleland et al. 2006), colony growth (Muller et al. 2005), and survival (Cornelissen & Stiling 2006a), or even reduced consumption (Erelli et al. 1998) with added N. Increased foliar concentrations of unpalatable or defence chemicals (Lou & Baldwin 2004; Throop & Lerdau 2004) could make plants less attractive to herbivores. Reduced carbon-based defence chemicals could also make plants 14 unattractive to herbivores that require those chemicals for their own defence (Prudic et al. 2005). Increased production of alkaloids was found in endophyte-infested grass following N addition, but this had no effect on aphids or their parasitoids (Krauss et al. 2007). Variability has been observed between different interacting species (Roy et al. 2004; Throop & Lerdau 2004), and effects may be most pronounced on low N soils (Jiang & Schulthess 2005; Kuijper et al. 2005). Increased development rates of herbivores (Groenteman et al. 2006) may offset the slowed development observed under elevated CO2. vii) Plant-pathogen: General increase in infection. N deposition can cause increased severity of pathogen infection (Nordin et al. 1998; Limpens et al. 2003; Mitchell et al. 2003; El-Hajj et al. 2004; Strengbom et al. 2006), and stimulate expansion of leaf-surface algae, reducing the volume of host photosynthetic tissue (Limpens et al. 2003). Increased leaf amino acid concentrations can also promote fungal infection (Strengbom et al. 2002), but high doses of N can increase production of phenolics that may defend against fungal pathogens (Witzell & Shevtsova 2004). Effects of N can be mediated by climatic factors (Strengbom et al. 2006). viii) Seed predation: Variable, but possible decrease. Studies have shown reduced abundance and effect of seed-head weevils in fertilized treatments (Lejeune et al. 2005), no correlation between seed preferences of rodents and nitrogen concentration (Kollmann et al. 1998), and increased availability of plant species of value to granivorous birds (e.g., Stellaria - chickweeds) (Wilson et al. 1999) under elevated N. ix) Parasite-host: Possible reduction in infection. Little is known, although increased dietary protein from plants under elevated N has been shown to reduce gastrointestinal nematode infection of small ruminants (Knox et al. 2006). x) Animal-animal competition: Shift in advantage. Different responses among invertebrate herbivores to N addition have been shown (Roy et al. 2004; Throop & Lerdau 2004), leading to shifts in dominance (Hines et al. 2005). Hares were also found to show a preference for high N plants, although they avoided these plots when geese (which also preferred high N plots) were present (Stahl et al. 2006). xi) Predator-prey or parasitoid-host: General increase in attack, but variable. N fertilisation has been shown to lead to increased attack rates by parasitoids (Moon et al. 2000; Moon & Stiling 2000). In contrast, shorter larval development times may reduce the window of maximum vulnerability of insect herbivores to predators and parasitoids (Mevi-Schutz et al. 2003; Cornelissen & Stiling 2006a), and N fertilization was found to have no significant effect on leaf miner mortality caused by natural enemies (Cornelissen & Stiling 2006a). Reduced allocation of carbon to C-based structures such as trichomes may negatively affect herbivore defences (Throop & Lerdau 2004), as may reduced larval defence chemicals (Prudic et al. 2005). Finally, N deposition has been shown to lead to increased predator to herbivore ratios (Hines et al. 2005), increased parasitoid and hyperparasitoid abundance (Krauss et al. 2007), and increased egg load of parasitoid offspring (Jiang & Schulthess 2005). 15 xii) Decomposer food web: Variable across all trophic levels. Available evidence points to the soil microbial biomass (primary consumer of the soil food web) and the decomposition processes that it drives, showing positive (Johnson et al. 1998; Lussenhop et al. 1998; Ruess et al. 1999; Bradley et al. 2006; Manning et al. 2006; Power et al. 2006; Rinnan et al. 2007), neutral (Johnson et al. 1998; Wiemken et al. 2001; Dijkstra et al. 2005; Johnson et al. 2005a) or negative (Johnson et al. 1998; Fisk & Fahey 2001) responses to N addition depending on context (Soderstrom et al. 1983; Kaye & Hart 1997; Scheu & Schaefer 1998; Bardgett et al. 1999b; Ettema et al. 1999). These variable effects are also propagated through higher trophic levels in the soil food web, affecting flows through the fungal vs. bacterial energy channels (Bardgett et al. 1999b; Ettema et al. 1999). Further, there is evidence for N addition sometimes promoting higher trophic levels (e.g. nematodes; Ruess et al. 1999; Li et al. 2007 and microarthropods; Klironomos et al. 1997a) in the soil food web but not lower ones, presumably because of regulation of lower trophic levels by increased predation (Ettema et al. 1999). However, Collembola may increase (Manning et al. 2006) or decrease (Sticht et al. 2006) in abundance. 16 Figure S3: Climate change Climate change To assess impacts of climate change we include studies that test effects of increase in average temperature, altered rainfall regimes and increased frequency of extreme weather events such as El Niño southern oscillations (ENSO). i) Plant-pollinator: General reduction in pollination. Drought-linked reduction in flower availability can lead to extinction of specialist pollinators (Harrison 2000, 2001), and interannual shifts in pollinator communities have been correlated with climatic changes (Wall et al. 2003). Climate-induced changes to flowering phenology (Price & Waser 1998; Fitter & Fitter 2002; Schauber et al. 2002; Lambrecht et al. 2007) or abundance (Saavedra et al. 2003) can reduce temporal overlap between plants and pollinators (Memmott et al. 2007), with timing and intensity of masting events being particularly vulnerable to climatic changes (Schauber et al. 2002). The quantity and composition of nectar produced may also be affected by temperature and water availability (Pacini et al. 2003; Petanidou 2003), affecting attractiveness to pollinators. Variation in response due to habitat context (Kudo & Hirao 2006) has been found. ii) Plant-fungal: Highly variable. Increased root colonisation (Gavito et al. 2003; Staddon et al. 2004), extraradical mycorrhizal hyphal (Staddon et al. 2004) and mycelial production (Clemmensen et al. 2006) have been shown with soil warming, as have increased frequency of endophyte infection (Ju et al. 2006) and defence 17 alkaloid production (Salminen et al. 2005). However, responses of plant-mycorrhizal mutualisms to climate change have been highly variable across plant species (Heinemeyer & Fitter 2004), and often difficult to separate from climate effects on host-plant physiology (Staddon et al. 2002), as colonisation may reflect increases in plant biomass (Heinemeyer & Fitter 2004). Drought has been shown to cause decreased colonisation by a fine endophyte (Staddon et al. 2004). Dark respiration in lichens (algal-fungal associations) has been shown to acclimate to seasonal temperature fluctuations (Lange & Green 2005). iii) Seed dispersal: General reduction in dispersal. Inadequate pollination may have cascading effects on frugivorous vertebrates (Harrison 2000) that disperse seeds. Shifts in seasonal fruit availability may disrupt the match between production peaks of fruits and arrival of migratory or seasonal birds (Jordano 2000). Climate change may also alter the primary agent of seed dispersal, due, for example, to different effects on ants vs. rodents (Ness & Bressmer 2005). iv) Plant-plant competition: Shift in advantage. Climate change is well known to cause major changes in vegetation composition and species ranges (Laurance et al. 2004; Brooker 2006; Parmesan 2006), and may give a competitive advantage to certain species (Tilman & Lehman 2001; Zavaleta et al. 2003; Klanderud 2005; Wang et al. 2006), such as C4 plants (Fuhrer 2003) or graminoids (Brooker 2006; Walker et al. 2006). Changes to plant phenology brought about by global warming (Root et al. 2003) may affect the ability of different species to acquire resources early in the season (Dunnett & Grime 1999), or shift herbivore preference (Russell & Louda 2005), thereby providing associational resistance. Time of snowmelt and associated nutrient releases can alter community dominance (Heegaard & Vandvik 2004) and productivity (Wasley et al. 2006). No change in competitiveness between two C3 grasses (Hely & Roxburgh 2005) implies that differences between major growth forms may be more important than differences within groups. Climate change may also increase the frequency of droughts in certain areas, which increases fire risk and may interact synergistically with habitat clearance and burning to affect forest tree species (Laurance & Williamson 2001). v) Plant-hemiparasite: Variable. Increased rates of photosynthesis may increase the demand of hemiparasites for host mineral nutrients (Phoenix & Press 2005). The parasitic annual life style of a hemiparasite, without a persistent seed bank, was found to make it vulnerable to spring drought, which induced population collapses (Ameloot et al. 2006). Mineral nutrients may alleviate the impacts of climate change on plant-hemiparasite associations (Phoenix & Press 2005). vi) Plant-herbivore: Frequent increase in herbivory, but highly variable. Temperature may be the dominant abiotic factor directly affecting herbivorous insects (Bale et al. 2002), and climate change may drive increased consumption (Johns et al. 2003), and shifts in species composition (Fuhrer 2003; Roy et al. 2004; Andrew & Hughes 2005), host plant preference (Russell & Louda 2005) or range (Battisti et al. 2005). The performance (Johns & Hughes 2002; Veteli et al. 2002; Zvereva & Kozlov 2006), survival (Kiritani 2007) and abundance (Bezemer et al. 1998; Logan et al. 2003) of herbivores tends to improve under conditions of simulated climate change, and development rates are also accelerated (Johns & Hughes 2002; Williams et al. 2003; Chong et al. 2004), although variation in the response of different 18 components of plant physiology may produce diverse responses of herbivores to drought (Pritchard et al. 2007). Mistiming due to phenological differences between herbivores and their food plant may interfere with this antagonism (Visser & Holleman 2001; Visser & Both 2005; Musolin 2007), but other studies have shown no shifts in the phenological match between plant and herbivore (Sparks & Yates 1997). There are also negative effects on herbivory, due to increases in endophytic toxins affecting mammals (Ju et al. 2006) and insects (Salminen et al. 2005), and variation in the effects of climate has been observed among different herbivore species (Roy et al. 2004), with some species showing reduced growth and consumption (Williams et al. 2000). vii) Plant-pathogen: General increase in infection. Many pathogens of plants and animals are limited by climatic requirements for overwintering (Pfender & Vollmer 1999; Garrett et al. 2006), and diseases may increase in incidence (Strengbom et al. 2006) and expand in geographic range (Kamata et al. 2002; Fuhrer 2003; Roy et al. 2004; Parmesan 2006) due to climate warming, provided that maximum threshold temperatures are not exceeded (Stacey 2003). Disease vectors may also carry more infections with increasing temperatures (Fabre et al. 2005); however, no effect of early snowmelt on pathogen occurrence has been observed in some species (Roy et al. 2004). viii) Seed predation: Variable, depending on direction of change in plant phenology. Much research shows that the synchrony of insect activity with plant resources can affect the impact of floral herbivores on their host plant populations (Russell & Louda 2004). Changes in the timing of seed development may therefore be crucial, as late opening of cones can lead to an increase in pre-dispersal seed predation (Worthy et al. 2006). Early flowering/fruiting has been shown to either significantly reduce seed predation by grasshoppers (Lacey et al. 2003), or increase the severity of insect attack in other cases (Mahoro 2003). Climate change can also alter the relative collection of seeds by ant dispersers or rodent predators (Ness & Bressmer 2005). Increased average temperature and increasing variability in temperature can even have contrasting effects, with the former causing an increase, and the latter causing a decrease in pre-dispersal seed predation in grasslands (McKone et al. 1998). ix) Parasite-host: Increase in infection. ENSO events have been shown to promote the growth of disease vector populations (Stapp et al. 2004), and facilitation of pathogen outbreaks by temperature shifts has been implicated in widespread amphibian extinctions (Pounds et al. 2006). Climate change may facilitate arbovirus spread (Toussaint et al. 2006) and transmission of nematode parasites between mammals (Kutz et al. 2005) and birds (Cattadori et al. 2005). It has also been shown to cause a population collapse of trematode-infected amphipods (Mouritsen et al. 2005). Increased temperatures may allow disease vectors (e.g. ticks; Lindgren & Gustafson 2001) and parasites (Poulin & Mouritsen 2006) to increase in abundance. Diseases may also expand their geographic range (Ebi et al. 2005; Ogden et al. 2006), but the effects of climate may vary across regions (latitude, lowland vs. highland) (Ebi et al. 2005). x) Animal-animal competition: Shifts in competitive ability. Climate change may drive shifts in invertebrate species composition (Fuhrer 2003; Roy et al. 2004; 19 Andrew & Hughes 2005; Helms & Vinson 2005; Hodkinson 2005) and food web structure (Polis et al. 1997), due to variation in the effects of climate on different species (Roy et al. 2004). Invertebrates may sometimes benefit over vertebrates. For example, increased temperature reduces carcass scavenging by vertebrates, but increases activity by insects (DeVault et al. 2004). Further, temperature affects dehiscence of seeds, which affects competition between rodent seed predators and ant dispersers (Ness & Bressmer 2005), and changes in global temperature and rainfall may create gradients of ectotherm size and affect competition between small and large species (Kaspari 2005). The importance of competitive interactions among small mammals was also shown to vary greatly with changing local demography, which was driven largely by climatic patterns (Kelt et al. 2004). xi) Predator-prey or parasitoid-host: Possible increase, but highly variable. Higher trophic levels are likely to be more susceptible to climate change and will be disproportionately lost from communities (Petchey et al. 1999; Voigt et al. 2003). Climate change can affect the timing (Visser et al. 2003; Both et al. 2006), demography (Kelt et al. 2004) and abundance (Durant et al. 2003) of prey species, thereby disrupting predator-prey dynamics (Durant et al. 2005; Visser & Both 2005). Shorter development times of insect herbivore larvae can reduce vulnerability to predators and parasitoids (Johns & Hughes 2002), and parasitism rates have been shown to decline with increasing climatic variability (Stireman et al. 2005). Parasitoid longevity (Chong & Oetting 2006), development inside the host (Fellowes et al. 1999; Hegazi & Khafagi 2005) and rates of predation and parasitism (Ris et al. 2004) have all been shown to decline with increasing temperature. In contrast, other studies have shown increased development rates (Chong et al. 2005), consumption rates (Skirvin et al. 1997; Bezemer et al. 1998; Perdikis et al. 1999; Virtanen & Neuvonen 1999; Polis et al. 2000; Van Nouhuys & Lei 2004; Martin 2007), and abundance (Roy et al. 2004) of predators and parasitoids. Moisture associated with El Niño events has been shown to facilitate top-down control of herbivores by increasing the persistence of their nematode predators (Preisser & Strong 2004). Foraging efficiency and consumption rates of insect predators has been found to increase more than that of their prey following temperature increases (Stacey 2003), and parasitoids can also be favoured by warm early spring temperatures through effects on host-parasitoid synchrony (Van Nouhuys & Lei 2004). Additionally, climate change may indirectly facilitate predatorprey interactions by altering vegetation structure and thereby affecting prey susceptibility to predators (Martin 2007). xii) Decomposer food web: Variable across all trophic levels. Elevated temperature has effects on the soil microbial biomass that are positive (Ruess et al. 1999), neutral (Bardgett et al. 1999a; Ruess et al. 1999; Zhang et al. 2005), or negative (Arnold et al. 1999; Waldrop & Firestone 2006; Rinnan et al. 2007) depending on context (Kandeler et al. 1998). Similar results have been found with regard to the community structure of soil invertebrates occupying higher trophic levels (Cole et al. 2002; Convey et al. 2002; Dollery et al. 2006), indicative of bottom-up regulation of higher level consumers (Harte et al. 1996; Briones et al. 1997; Ruess et al. 1999; Sohlenius & Boström 1999). 20 Figure S4: Biotic invasions Biotic invasions Although there has been a strong theoretical focus on the importance of species interactions as determinants of invasion success (Mitchell et al. 2006), there has not been a comparable research focus on the resulting impacts of invasive species on species interactions within invaded communities (White et al. 2006). Unlike other GEC drivers which can have direct effects on pairwise species interactions, biotic exchange involves embedding a novel species into an existing set of species interactions, so that strictly speaking any impact of an invasive species on the pairwise interaction between two other species would classically be referred to as an indirect effect within food web ecology. Consequently, we do not focus on the many examples of direct effects of an invasive species on the phenotype or abundance of a native species, but rather on the indirect effects of invasive species on ecological interactions between other species (native or non-native). In Figure S4, invasive species are depicted within circles, and the new interactions between invasive and native biota are depicted as an interaction (block arrow) with increasing strength. These new links are added for consistency, but the Roman numeral footnotes refer to indirect effects of biotic exchange on already existing interactions. i) Plant-pollinator: General disruption of pollination. Growing evidence now supports two primary mechanisms of indirect disruption to native plant-pollinator mutualisms: through exploitative or interference competition for available flower resources by invasive pollinators (depicted symbolically in Figure S4 as a honeybee) 21 (Gross & Mackay 1998; Kato et al. 1999; Gross 2001; Hansen et al. 2002; Celebrezze & Paton 2004; Ings et al. 2006), and through exploitative competition for available native pollinators by invasive plants (Chittka & Schurkens 2001; Brown et al. 2002; Ghazoul 2004; Moragues & Traveset 2005). The latter may lead to reduced conspecific pollen on stigmas of native plants in plant-invaded plots (Larson et al. 2006), but alternatively, native pollinators may be somewhat averse to feeding on exotic plants, possibly due to their rarity (Memmott & Waser 2002). Despite these effects on native pollinators, exotic plants can be sufficiently pollinated by exotic bees when suitable native pollinators are absent (Stout et al. 2002). In addition, a few studies show that indirect antagonistic interactions at higher trophic levels may also impact on plant-pollinator mutualisms, with comparatively strong evidence for invasive predators (depicted symbolically in Figure S4 as a mustelid) altering the abundance of native bird and lizard pollinators (Traveset & Saez 1997; Kelly et al. 2006), or invasive ants reducing pollination of native plants (Blancafort & Gomez 2005). Only limited evidence exists so far for indirect negative effects of invasive herbivores on plant-pollinator interactions (Vazquez & Simberloff 2004; Traveset & Richardson 2006), possibly through effects on plant and pollinator population growth (Spurr & Anderson 2004). ii) Plant-fungal: General but variable reduction in colonisation. Invasive plants (Batten et al. 2006; Mummey & Rillig 2006) and earthworms (McLean et al. 2006) may affect AMF community composition, diversity and abundance, and reduce extraradical hyphal lengths, but this may (Klein et al. 2006) or may not (Pritekel et al. 2006) translate into differences in AMF infection intensity between plant-invaded vs. uninvaded communities. Mycorrhizal inocula from invaded grasslands may also improve plant growth relative to native grassland inocula (Gillespie & Allen 2006). However, interactions between invasive plants and AMF communities may facilitate further invasion by using antifungal phytochemicals to disrupt the mutualism and native plant growth (Stinson et al. 2006) or by parasitizing mycelial networks between multiple plants to allow the invasive to establish initially and then reduce AMF availability (Reinhart & Callaway 2006). Fungi themselves may also potentially become invasive (Schwartz et al. 2006). For example, exotic EMF have been shown to facilitate the spread of exotic trees (Diez 2005), and a toxic fungal endophyte introduced with the grass Lolium arundinaceum altered rates of sympatric tree herbivory and slowed succession from grassland to forest (Rudgers et al. 2007). iii) Seed dispersal: General disruption of dispersal. Although there has been substantially less research emphasis placed on seed dispersal than on pollination, species invasions are thought to disrupt both mutualisms through substantively the same mechanisms (Traveset & Richardson 2006). Invasive seed dispersers can reduce the number of fruit visits or seeds removed by native dispersers (Ferguson & Drake 1999; Christian 2001; Carney et al. 2003). For example, Traveset and Riera (Traveset & Riera 2005) documented the disruption of a strong interaction between an endemic perennial shrub and an endemic frugivorous lizard, precipitated by the displacement of the lizard by introduced mammals since Roman times. Invasive species may also promote seed deposition in suboptimal germination sites (Riera et al. 2002), and alter the frequency of fruit predation rather than seed dispersal (Kelly et al. 2006). For example, invasive ants may displace important seed dispersers (Witt & Giliomee 2004), and this can lead to reduced seed dispersal distances (Ness et al. 2004). Some examples of invasion-induced disruption of seed dispersal mutualisms have led to 22 cascading effects on plant community assembly over moderately large spatial scales (Christian 2001). iv) Plant-plant competition: Shift in advantage. Herbivory by invasive insects and mammals can indirectly facilitate dominance of invasive plants over natives (Schierenbeck et al. 1994; Callaway et al. 1999). Compensatory growth, changes to the mycorrhizal community, or harmful root exudates produced as invasive plants respond to herbivory may have deleterious effects on native plants (Pearson & Callaway 2003). Similarly, Edwards and others (Edwards et al. 2000) found that invasive rabbits (Oryctolagus cuniculus) promoted a shift in competitive balance between the invasive creeping thistle (Cirsium arvense) and several native grass species, allowing creeping thistle to dominate. Invasive deer browsing has also been found to promote native bryophyte growth, altering the relative competitive advantage of invasive Rhododendron over native shrubs (Cross 1981). Competition in intertidal kelp communities can be altered by an invasive epiphytic alga, which causes a competitive reversal favouring an invasive alga over native kelp (Levin et al. 2002). Finally, invasive pathogens have been shown to preferentially attack native grasses, causing a competitive reversal in favour of invasive grasses (Malmstrom et al. 2006). v) Plant-hemiparasite: Unclear. To our knowledge no study to date has investigated effects of invasive species on hemiparasite-host interactions. vi) Plant-herbivore: Frequent, but variable increase in herbivory. Invasive herbivores can have strong negative effects on native (Franks et al. 2006) and invasive (Halpern & Underwood 2006; Liu & Stiling 2006) plants. In many situations invasive herbivores can cause changes in competitive balance between native and invasive plants (see iv above), and in turn some invasive plants facilitate an increased negative impact of invasive herbivores on native plants. For example, Rand and Louda (2004) found that exotic thistle (Carduus nutans) invasion increased the susceptibility of native Cirsium undulatum plants to an invasive biocontrol weevil (Rhinocyllus conicus). Similar examples of invasive herbivore-mediated apparent competition have been shown to increase attack rates on native plants in the presence of invasives, in New Zealand (Sessions & Kelly 2002), California (Lau & Strauss 2005), and Hawaii (Lenz & Taylor 2001). Invasive ants can also promote attack of native plants by exotic herbivores (O'Dowd et al. 2003). In contrast, invasive herbivores can outcompete natives for shared resources, causing a reduction in native herbivore growth/survival (Byers & Noonburg 2003). Salt marsh invasions have been shown to cause a shift from plants to detritus being used as the basal resource in arthropod webs (Gratton & Denno 2006). Native plant-herbivore interactions are further altered by species invasions at higher trophic levels, through the cascading effects on native and invasive herbivores (see below). vii) Plant-pathogen: Possible increase in infection. Exotic plants can indirectly influence virus incidence in native plants by increasing populations of the aphid vector (Malmstrom et al. 2005). Exotic plants may potentially also act as source populations for pathogens themselves (Dwyer et al. 2007). viii) Seed predation: General, though not universal, increase in predation. Invasive seed predators (depicted symbolically in Figure S4 as an ant) can have stronger effects than native seed predators on native plants, potentially driving 23 extinction of the plant and indirectly affecting its endemic seed predators (Rose et al. 2005). Reduced seed dispersal in areas invaded by ants was found to lead to a higher proportion of seeds being predated by rodents (Witt & Giliomee 2004). Plant invasions can also affect seed predation. For example, exotic weeds were found to provide an important food source for sustaining endangered native granivore populations (Schiffman 1994), but attack on native thistles increased strongly with increasing density of exotic thistles (Rand & Louda 2004). A further study found that granivores removed an order of magnitude less native seeds than exotic seeds (Folgarait & Sala 2002). ix) Parasite-host: General increase in transmission. Invasive hosts can carry new parasites with the potential to remain in a system even after their founding host is extirpated (Smith & Carpenter 2006), although a similar number of blood parasite lineages was found in native populations compared to introduced populations (Ishtiaq et al. 2006). Invasive species may act as vectors (Lilley et al. 1997; Kiesecker et al. 2001; Tompkins & Gleeson 2006) or source populations (Tompkins et al. 2002; Tompkins et al. 2003; Hampton et al. 2004) for diseases, increasing spread among native hosts. In contrast, an invasive species that is a poor quality host has been shown to have a dilution effect, reducing parasite infection of native hosts (Telfer et al. 2005). x) Animal-animal competition: Shift in advantage. While a large body of literature has demonstrated direct competitive effects of invasives on natives (outside the scope of this review), there are comparatively few examples of invasive species altering competitive interactions between other species. However, displacement of native ants by invasive species can potentially alter food web structure (Rowles & O'Dowd 2007), and mutualisms between invasive ants and aphids have been shown to reduce the survival of herbivore competitors. In Hawaii, the invasive gecko Hemidactylus frenatus displaced the native Lepidodactylus lugubris indirectly through more effective exploitation of available insect prey, rather than by direct interference competition (Petren & Case 1996). In at least two cases, an invasive species has been shown to affect native competitors by apparent competition mediated through increased density of a shared natural enemy (a native parasitoid of native leafhoppers; Settle & Wilson 1990, or a shared predatory crab feeding on native clams; Grosholz 2005). However, invasive mammals (McDonald et al. 2007) and ants (King & Tschinkel 2006) may not always outcompete natives, but rather increase in abundance when the native declines due to an external driver. Further, numerical dominance by invasive ants may be greatest immediately following invasion, then decline over time (Morrison 2002; Strayer et al. 2006). Although exotic species may be competitively superior (Turnock et al. 2003; Yasuda et al. 2004), the same has been shown for natives, which may even act as intraguild predators (Hickerson et al. 2005). Compared to trophic interactions, competition from introduced species is not likely to be a common cause of extinctions of long-term resident species (Davis 2003b). For example, invasive starlings do not have severe impacts on populations of native birds (Koenig 2003). Competitive exclusion of native earthworms by exotic earthworms is not easily demonstrated and, in fact, co-existence of native and exotic species appears to be common, even if transient (Hendrix et al. 2006). xi) Predator-prey or parasitoid-host: General but variable reduction in predation. Introduced generalist predators can have particularly large effects on 24 native species (Johnson et al. 2005b; Snyder & Evans 2006), even altering the primary energy channels used (Geiger et al. 2005). In Delaware (USA) old fields, invasive Chinese mantis (Tenodera sinensis) displaces native spider predators, but also preys directly on native herbivores, with the net effect that herbivore abundance decreases, leading to enhanced plant growth (Moran et al. 1996). Displacement or predation of native predators by invasives is also observed in coccinelid beetles (Alyokhin & Sewell 2004; Evans 2004), intertidal crustaceans (Grosholz et al. 2000), and lizards (Suarez & Case 2002) Changes in basal resource availability due to plant invasion of wetlands can alter the structure of arthropod food webs (Gratton & Denno 2006) and an invasive plant and its herbivorous biocontrol agent have been shown to provide an effective resource subsidy that increases the relative abundance of native parasitoids in heavily-invaded habitats (Willis & Memmott 2005). Such subsidies of invasive prey can increase consumer abundance and lead to spillover of consumers onto native prey (Settle & Wilson 1990; Pearson et al. 2000; Norbury 2001; Benson et al. 2003; Ortega et al. 2004; Noonburg & Byers 2005; Rand et al. 2006). Feral pigs have been shown to provide a similar resource subsidy to golden eagles, which then drive population declines of an endemic fox (Roemer et al. 2001; Courchamp et al. 2003), but reduce predation rates of foxes on native skunks (Roemer et al. 2002). Conversely, an invasive ladybird has been shown to act as a population sink for native parasitoid eggs, resulting in a population increase of native ladybirds (Hoogendoorn & Heimpel 2002). Additionally, an invasive plant can affect conspicuousness of (lizard) prey to predators, thereby altering predation rates (Valentine et al. 2007). Introduced prey can also drive evolution of predator behaviour and physiology (Phillips & Shine 2006). In an extreme case, a toxic invasive pest kills its predators (Suttle & Hoddle 2006), possibly releasing other prey from predation pressure. In other cases, interference between introduced predator species (Snyder & Evans 2006) may reduce predation on their shared prey (Griffen & Byers 2006). Predators can favour introduced over endemic prey species (Griswold & Lounibos 2005), but this does not necessarily lead to reduced consumption of native prey (Maerz et al. 2005). Positive and negative effects may even occur simultaneously. For example, in alfalfa fields in Utah (USA), an invasive predator (seven-spot ladybird, Coccinella septempunctata) suppresses weevil abundance through predation, and simultaneously enhances weevil survival by eating the aphids that provide resource subsidies (honeydew) to weevil parasitoids (Evans & England 1996). Introduced parasitoids can form new interactions with exotic and native hosts (Elkinton et al. 2006), but at least for specialist parasitoids the overall impact on herbivore populations is less than generalist predators, and usually not enough to cause population extinction (Johnson et al. 2005b; Keeler et al. 2006). xii) Decomposer food web: Variable (depends on type of invader): Invasive plant species often (though not always; Belnap et al. 2005) promote decomposer microbes and the processes that they drive (Burtelow et al. 1998; Saggar et al. 1999; Ehrenfeld 2003; Van der Putten et al. 2007), and these effects can propagate through to higher trophic levels (Yeates & Williams 2001; Standish 2004). Shifts in dominance within the microbial (Kourtev et al. 2003; Marschner et al. 2005; Batten et al. 2006; Li et al. 2006) and microfaunal (Yeates & Williams 2001) community are also commonly observed in the presence of invasive plants. In addition, invasive aboveground consumers can greatly affect decomposer biota, but the nature of effect is dependent upon the context, including the type of invader involved (Wardle et al. 2001; Fukami et al. 2006). Invasive earthworms may promote microbial activity 25 (Bohlen et al. 2004) but can have a range of effects on both soil microbes and soil fauna (McLean & Leckie 2000), causing declines and shifts in dominance of macrofaunal communities (Chauvel et al. 1999), microarthropods (McLean & Parkinson 1998a, 2000) and soil fungi (McLean & Parkinson 1998b, 2000). Invasive predatory flatworms can significantly reduce earthworm densities and therefore the effects that earthworms have on other biota (Boag 2000). Soil invertebrates have also been shown to be negatively affected by invasive ants (Gotelli & Arnett 2000), beetles (Niemala et al. 1997), and grass (Gremmen et al. 1998). 26 Figure S5: Land use change Land use change We use the broad term “land use change” to encompass all anthropogenic changes to the abundance and structure of natural habitats, including habitat loss, fragmentation, increased agricultural management intensity, and altered abiotic (e.g., hydrological) and biotic (e.g., grazing) disturbance regimes. i) Plant-pollinator: General reduction in pollination. The large body of work examining the effects of land use changes on plant-pollinator mutualisms has revealed predominantly negative responses of pollinators and pollination success to habitat fragmentation (Jennersten 1988; Lamont et al. 1993; Oostermeijer & van Swaay 1998; Bigger 1999; Gigord et al. 1999; Jules & Rathcke 1999; Morgan 1999; SteffanDewenter & Tscharntke 1999; Luijten et al. 2000; Nielsen & Ims 2000; Parra-Tabla et al. 2000; Somanathan & Borges 2000; Warburton et al. 2000; Ghazoul & McLeish 2001; Groom 2001; Moody-Weis & Heywood 2001; Mustajarvi et al. 2001; Rocha & Aguilar 2001; Steffan-Dewenter et al. 2001; Wolf & Harrison 2001; Bosch et al. 2002; Bruna & Kress 2002; Gathmann & Tscharntke 2002; Jacquemyn et al. 2002; Kremen et al. 2002; Leimu & Syrjanen 2002; Lennartsson 2002; Paschke et al. 2002; Tomimatsu & Ohara 2002; van Rossum et al. 2002; Lienert & Fischer 2003; Quesada et al. 2003; Severns 2003; Smith-Ramirez & Armesto 2003; Brys et al. 2004; Duncan et al. 2004; Johnson et al. 2004a; Quesada et al. 2004; Rossetto et al. 2004; Blanche & Cunningham 2005; Ghazoul 2005; Honnay et al. 2005; Kolb 2005; Ward & 27 Johnson 2005; Aguilar et al. 2006; Valdivia et al. 2006; Klein et al. 2007; Ockinger & Smith 2007) and management intensity (Gabriel & Tscharntke 2007), but some variability due to self compatible species being less affected than self incompatible species (Aguilar et al. 2006). There have also been a few cases of increased pollinator abundance or pollination in fragmented or modified habitats (Karrenberg & Jensen 2000; Kelly et al. 2000; Schmidt & Jensen 2000; Mavraganis & Eckert 2001; Johnson et al. 2004b; Yates & Ladd 2005; Tylianakis et al. 2006; Diekotter et al. 2007). Reduced pollination in fragmented habitats may lead to declines of animal-pollinated tree species (Laurance et al. 2006), but the presence of corridors connecting fragmented habitats may lead to increased pollination (Tewksbury et al. 2002). Disruption to this mutualism is usually attributed to reduced pollinator diversity and abundance (Rathcke & Jules 1993; Klein et al. 2003a; Tylianakis et al. 2005; Chacoff & Aizen 2006), altered pollinator behaviour (Thompson 2001; Montgomery et al. 2003; Cheptou & Avendano 2006), or shifts in pollen quality transferred by different species (Chacoff et al. 2008). Fragmentation can eventually lead to genetic drift (Hooftman et al. 2004), and allee and inbreeding effects in plant (Galeuchet et al. 2005; Cheptou & Avendano 2006; Lazaro et al. 2006; Wagenius et al. 2007) and pollinator (Darvill et al. 2006; Ellis et al. 2006) populations. However, variation in the response of different bee species can produce varied responses to habitat modification (Klein et al. 2003b; Cane et al. 2006; Greenleaf & Kremen 2006; Winfree et al. 2007), and generalisations regarding effects of particular plant reproductive characteristics on responses to land use changes are difficult (Aizen et al. 2002; Ashworth et al. 2004). In particular, generalist honeybees may compensate for reduced pollination by specialist native bees (Aizen & Feinsinger 1994a, b). ii) Plant-fungal: Generally altered mycorrhizal composition and functioning. Changes in AMF composition and functioning due to management practices have frequently been shown (Abbott & Robson 1991; Helgason et al. 1998; Borstler et al. 2006; Gosling et al. 2006; Hijri et al. 2006; Mathimaran et al. 2007; Stromberger et al. 2007). Although AMF diversity has been shown to decline in modified habitats (Opik et al. 2006), and fragmentation affects AMF community composition (Mangan et al. 2004), no effects of patch size (Mangan et al. 2004) or edge effects (Mills 1995) on AMF diversity have yet been shown. Diversity and composition of EMF communities can be affected by both fragment size and isolation (Peay et al. 2007). iii) Seed dispersal: Reduction in dispersal. Habitat fragmentation has been shown to lead to reduced bird frugivory (seed dispersal) (Valdivia & Simonetti 2007), potentially causing a decline in obligately animal-dispersed trees (Laurance et al. 2006), and increased post-dispersal seed predation by rodents (Garcia & Chacoff 2007; but see Valdivia & Simonetti 2007). Although there are negative effects of isolation, increased connectivity (corridors) between patches can facilitate seed dispersal (Tewksbury et al. 2002). Habitat loss and fragmentation strongly affect large species of mammals and birds that are highly mobile and responsible for the few events of long-distance dispersal in fragmented habitats (Dirzo & Miranda 1990). iv) Plant-plant competition: Shift in competitive ability. Modification and fragmentation of natural habitats has been shown frequently to alter local conditions to favour competitive dominance of some plant species over others (Lavorel et al. 1997; Tilman & Lehman 2001; Dolt et al. 2005; Laurance et al. 2006; McEuen & Curran 2006; Spiegelberger et al. 2006), and these effects may persist for decades 28 after management practices have ceased (Fraterrigo et al. 2006a, b). Increased grazing intensity can also shift the interaction between plant species from competitive to facilitative, when an unpalatable species provides protection to its neighbours (Graff et al. 2007). v) Plant-hemiparasite: Possible benefit to parasite. Hemiparasites can benefit from reduced competition following haymaking (Ameloot et al. 2006) or low levels of simulated grazing (Hellstrom et al. 2004). More research on the effects of land use changes on hemiparasites is required. vi) Plant-herbivore: General increase in herbivory, but variable. The inability of gastropod herbivores to disperse from fragments has been shown to result in increased herbivory (Stoll et al. 2006). Further studies have shown increased herbivory (McEuen & Curran 2006) and herbivore abundance (Ryall & Fahrig 2005) in more isolated fragments, and increased gall formation after a threshold decline in forest cover (Chust et al. 2007). Land use intensity is also commonly associated with increased herbivore abundance (Root 1973; Chen & Welter 2002; Klein et al. 2002; Roschewitz et al. 2005). Although herbivores are less affected by patch size and isolation than are higher trophic levels (Kruess & Tscharntke 1994; Tscharntke & Brandl 2004; Valladares et al. 2006; Elzinga et al. 2007), they can still be negatively affected. Loss of understorey forest habitat can lead to herbivore population declines (Keeler et al. 2006), and grazing can affect herbivore community composition (Hartley et al. 2003). Studies have also found lower aphid densities in simplified landscapes (Roschewitz et al. 2005; Rand & Tscharntke 2007), and reduced infestation rates by agromyzid flies on thistles in landscapes with reduced non-crop area (Kruess 2003). vii) Plant-pathogen: Possible decrease, but variable, depending on scale of observation. Pathogen occurrence may decline near fragment edges (Siitonen et al. 2005) or on small fragmented plant populations (Colling & Matthies 2004), but when present, pathogen prevalence within the population can increase in fragmented habitats (Groppe et al. 2001; Carlsson-Graner & Thrall 2002), possibly due to a switch from the asymptomatic to the symptomatic state or to increased horizontal pathogen transmission in fragments (Groppe et al. 2001). Increased connectivity between sites created by the presence of roads has also been shown to increase invasion success of a plant pathogen (Jules et al. 2002). Fragmentation is unlikely to affect genetic susceptibility to pathogens (Galeuchet et al. 2005), but it can affect abundance of vectors (Fabre et al. 2005; Grilli & Bruno 2007). viii) Seed predation: Highly variable. Higher densities of rodents, subsidised by agricultural habitats have been shown to provide increased levels of seed predation (Jules & Rathcke 1999; Donoso et al. 2003; Tallmon et al. 2003; Garcia & Chacoff 2007). However, other studies have observed no direct effect of landscape intensification on attack by weevils (Rand & Louda 2004), or even reduced seed predation in fragmented habitats (Kruess & Tscharntke 1994; Steffan-Dewenter et al. 2001; Colling & Matthies 2004; Orrock & Damschen 2005; Ostergard & Ehrlen 2005), with negative effects being more likely for specialist seed-head feeders. Grassland intensification can lead to reduced floral diversity, and subsequent reductions in the quantity and diversity of grass and broad-leaved seed produced may affect seed predators (Wilson et al. 1999). 29 ix) Parasite-host: General increase in infection. Habitat modification is a leading cause of the emergence of zoonoses (Chomel et al. 2007), and can promote spread of vertebrate arboviruses (Toussaint et al. 2006). Although urbanization can in some cases reduce the abundance of many wildlife parasites (Deplazes et al. 2004; Fisher et al. 2005; Bradley & Altizer 2007), transmission can increase among hosts adapted to urban (Bradley & Altizer 2007) or agricultural (Gilbert et al. 2007) habitats. Therefore, parasite abundance, disease transmission and resulting population decline are generally increased by urbanization (Prange et al. 2003; Riley et al. 2004; Dhondt et al. 2005; Farnsworth et al. 2005; Wright & Gompper 2005; Ezenwa et al. 2006; Gibbs et al. 2006; Grieco et al. 2006; Yanoviak et al. 2006; Gilbert et al. 2007). The abundance of wildlife parasites has also been shown to increase in fragmented habitats (Allan et al. 2003; LoGiudice et al. 2003). Vectors that benefit from these habitats can also spread diseases to rarer wildlife or to human populations (Grieco et al. 2006; Yanoviak et al. 2006). x) Animal-animal competition: Shift in competitive ability. Habitat loss and fragmentation can shift the competitive balance between different coccinelid (Zaviezo et al. 2006), ant (Dauber & Wolters 2005), or generalist vs. specialist parasitoid (Elzinga et al. 2007) species. In particular, differences in the colonisation ability of different herbivore (Hines et al. 2005) and pollinator (Steffan-Dewenter et al. 2002) species can affect their relative abundance in fragmented patches. Grazing intensity can cause dominance shifts in herbivore communities (Hartley et al. 2003). Humaninduced desertification has been shown to shift the balance between specialist and generalist lizards (Attum et al. 2006). xi) Predator-prey or parasitoid-host: Highly variable, depending on taxon. Loss and fragmentation of natural habitats generally has its strongest negative effect on specialists at higher trophic levels (such as insect parasitoids; Kruess & Tscharntke 1994; Bascompte & Solé 1998; Tscharntke & Brandl 2004; Valladares et al. 2006; Elzinga et al. 2007). This can lead to reduced predator/prey ratios (Klein et al. 2002; Hines et al. 2005; Ryall & Fahrig 2006; Watts & Didham 2006), rates of parasitism (Roland & Taylor 1997; Thies & Tscharntke 1999; Kruess & Tscharntke 2000) and ability of natural enemies to track increased density of their prey (Chen & Welter 2002). However, some studies have found no effects of fragmentation on parasitoidhost interactions (Chust et al. 2007), and the loss of specialist predators does not necessarily imply an overall ecosystem-level reduction in predation (Swihart et al. 2001). In particular, landscape scale agricultural conversion frequently increases rates of nest predation and brood parasitism (e.g., Andren 1992; Tewksbury et al. 2006), particularly at edges. Similarly, parasitoid-host food web structure can be altered significantly by increasing land use intensity, resulting in dominance of few interactions, higher parasitoid/host ratios, and increased rates of parasitism of bees and wasps (Tylianakis et al. 2007). These positive effects on predation rates may be due to a subsidising effect of highly productive agricultural habitats on generalist natural enemies (Rand et al. 2006), a shift in species composition to disturbed habitat specialists (Andren 1992), or structural changes to the habitat affecting exposure of prey to predation (Thompson & Gese 2007). Such positive effects of habitat modification on predation by generalists may compensate or even overwhelm the negative effects on specialist predators (Rand & Tscharntke 2007). Complex multitrophic interactions can also blur the effects of fragmentation on specific 30 interactions. For example, landscape fragmentation was shown to reduce predation of a woodpecker by facilitating predation of its mammalian predators by a goshawk (Pakkala et al. 2006). The response of insect predator-prey interactions to land use change may show significant variability depending on the type of study (experimental vs. observational) and spatial scale (van Nouhuys 2005). xii) Decomposer food web: General reduction in biomass. Land use intensification generally causes reductions of decomposer organisms, including both microbial biomass (the basal consumer trophic level; Yeates et al. 1997; Frey et al. 1999; Wardle et al. 1999; Emmerling et al. 2001) and invertebrates occupying higher trophic levels (Yeates et al. 1997; Wardle et al. 1999; Yeates et al. 1999; Doles et al. 2001; Schmidt et al. 2001; Cortet et al. 2002; Mulder et al. 2003; Wu et al. 2005; Adl et al. 2006; Brennan et al. 2006; Chauvat et al. 2007), although a few studies have reported no change in fungal (Elmholt & Labouriau 2005) or bacterial biomass (Frey et al. 1999). This applies to both conversion of forest or grassland to agriculture (Wardle 2002) and intensification of agricultural practice (e.g., through cultivation) (Hendrix et al. 1986), and habitat restoration may not reverse these effects (Kardol et al. 2005). Some components of the decomposer food web are far more adversely affected than others, for example the fungal-based (vs. bacterial-based) energy channel (Wardle 2002) and soil animals with larger body sizes (Wardle 1995). Consequently, shifts in the fungal (Wu et al. 2007), nematode (Mulder et al. 2003) and microflora (Bardgett et al. 2001) community structure have been recorded with increased grazing intensity. The effects of other components of land use such as habitat fragmentation remain largely unknown, although reductions in diversity of the decomposer community (Rantalainen et al. 2005), abundance of microarthropods and fungal biomass (Rantalainen et al. 2006) have been recorded in experimentally fragmented habitats at small spatial scales. 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