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259 EPILOGUE: WESTERN SOVIETOLOGY AND THE GORBACHEV PHENOMENON. THE BIRTH OF "LIBERAL" TECHNOCRACY FROM THE ASHES OF COMMUNISM? Introduction: The Gorbachev Phenomenon as a Soviet Technocracy There are a considerable number of Western Sovietologists who view the rise of Gorbachev as the victory of the competent, liberal Party "technocrats" over the conservative, ideological "partocrats." For example, Samuel Lieberstein argued that there are two opposing camps in Soviet politics, the technocrats and the partocrats. The former, armed with the latest techniques of information gathering, struggle with the latter, who are armed with the true word of Marxism. The former group ostensibly uses their information gathering techniques (like computers) to monitor feedback and make adjustments in the system, while the latter pay no attention to feedback. "The former group seeks to introduce a more rational style of thought and action into Party deliberations, while the latter seeks to preserve the Party's prerogative of insisting that two and two makes five if ideological considerations so dictate."1 Similarly, Bruce Parrott classified the two factions as either "nontraditionalist" or "traditionalist," with Lenin and Khrushchev representing the former and Stalin and Brezhnev representing the latter. He prophesied in 1983 that the superiority of the nontraditionalist approach (which was characterized by less Party supervision of the STI than traditionalists like Stalin) would soon force the 1Samuel USSR: 1975): Lieberstein, "Technology, Work, and Sociology in the The NOT Movement," Technology and Culture 16 (January 65. 260 Party leadership to adopt a nontraditionalist approach to technological progress, which seems to have been fulfilled with the rise of Gorbachev.2 And the scholarship which supports the view that the Gorbachev faction represents the emergence of Soviet technocracy has a long and some may say distinguished tradition. Blau and Meyer, for example, argued that if trained experts were to perform tasks within the limits of technology and the administrative framework, resort to strict command authority is unnecessary and, indeed, "must be eschewed lest it interfere with the exercise of discretion in making expert judgments . . . The advanced technology of the twentieth century necessitates information feedback and specialized skills, which are incompatible with an authority structure resting on blind obedience to orders issued through a chain of command."3 Likewise, Jerry Hough quoted Galbraith as saying that the power of those with specialized knowledge (the scientists and specialists) will become "very great," so that one's power would not necessarily be reflected by their place in the formal administrative hierarchy.4 Hough further stressed that the advanced technology of the twentieth century necessitates information feedback and specialized skills, which "are 2Bruce (Cambridge: Parrott, Politics and Technology in the Soviet Union The MIT Press, 1985), 300-301. 3Peter M. Blau and Marshall W. Meyer, Bureaucracy in Modern Society (New York: Random House, 1971), pp. 144-5. 4Jerry (Cambridge: Hough, The Soviet Union and Social Science Harvard University Press, 1977), p. 60. Theory 261 incompatible with an authority structure resting on blind obedience to orders issued through a chain of command," with the result that "impersonal mechanisms of control displace oldfashioned discipline and command authority."5 Moshe Lewin provides another example of the unquestioned faith in technology to effect cultural and political change. He opens his monograph entitled Political Undercurrents in Soviet Economic debates with the fuzzy idea that the process of social development under Stalin was not commensurate with "modernization" of state institutions.6 In other words, since social development, from one society to another, follows the same objective course of progress as determined by the linear model of science producing technology which causes cultural change, the "lag" in the "modernization" of social institutions will inevitably catch up to the level of modernization of the state and governmental apparatus. Lewin suggests that the monopoly of information, ideology, and communications in the USSR "has hindered the modernization of economic and political life and severely thwarted the development of science, culture, and creativity in many spheres."7 Hence, according to Lewin, "statism" will gradually and gracefully give way to the forces of "socialist pluralism."8 5Ibid, p. 63. 6Moshe Lewin, Political Undercurrents in Soviet Economic Debates (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1974), ix. 7Ibid, 8For 292. an excellent review of Lewin's book, see Steven Rosefielde, review of Political Undercurrents in Soviet Economic 262 Another variation on the same theme is provided by Barrington Moore, who views the Soviet bureaucracy as staffed by "technocrats," who make their decisions according to technical and rational criteria, and who resist Party members who try to manipulate the "technostructure" for purely political or ideological motives.9 Hence, the Soviet bureaucracy serves to "inhibit the leader from exercising his power fully."10 The logical consequence of this type of bureaucracy, which is supposedly predictable and rational, which has (1) a code of legality, (2) objective rules, and (3) objectively evaluated performance, is that the technostructure has forced the politicians to become technically competent; hence, according to Hough, party membership is primarily a sign of "having the technocratic criteria for it."11 John P. Young and Jeanne P. Taylor add that the changing character of Soviet science and technology has placed increasingly stringent constraints on the permissible form and magnitude of central direction of science and technology.12 Debates, by Moshe Lewin. In The Russian Review 34 (October 1975): 491. He characterizes Lewin's notion of "statism" and "socialist pluralism" as "central motifs" of the work, which Lewin attempted to substantiate "elliptically." I would add that this is the best Lewin could do, given the weakness of his fundamental presupposition. 9Barrington Moore, Jr., Terror and Progress USSR (Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 1954), 187. 52. 10Ibid, 190. 11Jerry Hough, The Soviet Union and Social Science Theory, p. 12John P. Young and Jeanne P. Taylor, "Science and Technology Policy in the U.S.S.R.: Impact of the Changing Character of 263 Moreover, they argue, the growing tensions between central Party guidance and the spontaneous, decentralized nature of science, are having the effect of gradual change in favor of recognizing the autonomous forces of science and technology.13 They suggest that the effectiveness of traditional methods of control likely will decline due to the increasing ability of the scientific community to resist control. Another variation on this theme of the advance of science and technology irrevocably transforming society by way of the technocrats (who are supposedly the political champions of the STI) is presented by Alexander Shtromas, who argues that the scientific and technical intelligentsia in the USSR form the crucial, institutionally recognized "second pivot" of a coming revolution. Whereas the interests of the Party apparatus are in maintaining its control over socially relevant activities, "however irrational, counterproductive and even damaging in terms of utility such a system may be," the "professional strata" are, on the contrary, "chiefly interested in achieving, by whatever they do, maximum utility which coincides entirely with the professional person's natural striving for full realization of his potential."14 According to Shtromas, these technocrats, Soviet Science and Technology on Its Studies Journal (Winter 1979): 211. 13Ibid, Administration," Policy 211-212. 14Alexander Shtromas, "How the End of the Soviet System May Come About," in Alexander Shtromas and Morton A. Kaplan, eds., The Soviet Union and the Challenge of the Future (New York: Paragon House Publishers, 1988), p. 209. 264 whose livelihood depends on the successful application of "universally applicable skills," are naturally opposed to the partocrats, whose power "rests in the positions they hold."15 Like Lewin, Shtromas suggests that the inevitable "crisis" in the system will induce the technocrats to rise against the partocrats in an open bid for supremacy.16 The most salient example of technocratic theories on Western Sovietology is provided by those who argue that the Soviet Union has become a Technocracy, in which the superior ability of the technical intelligentsia in the modern era has forced the eclipse of ideology and politics. Such a technocracy is characterized by the following three features: (1) in circumstances where political decisions involve specialized knowledge and the exercise of technical skills, political power tends to gravitate toward technological elites; (2) technology has become autonomous, hence politics has become a function of systemic structural determinants over which it has little or no control; and (3) technology (and science) constitute a new legitimating ideology that subtly masks certain forms of social domination.17 According to the group conflict school of thought, the first two criteria for technocracy have already been met. The idea that Soviet government is a function of the technocratic bureaucracy, where the so-called technocrats have allegedly 15Ibid, p. 215. 16Ibid, p. 256. 17From John G. Gunnell, "The Technocratic Image and the Theory of Technocracy," Technology and Culture 23 (June 1982); p. 397. 265 usurped (or will usurp) power from the partocrats, coincides nicely with Gunnell's formulation. This is the central theme, for example, of Timothy Dunmore's work on post-war Stalinist politics.18 The third criterion, however, implies a complete revolution from a Marxist to a Positivist blueprint for social development. And several Sovietologists argue that this has in fact happened. For example, Cyril Black argues that the social consequences of the linear model in the USSR have transformed Marxism-Leninism from a form of economic to scientific determinism.19 But the most important argument for this idea is provided by Kendall Bailes, whose extremely influential monograph entitled Technology and Society under Lenin and Stalin: Origins of the Soviet Technical Intelligentsia, 1917-1941 suggests that the Communist Party of the Soviet Union is now, in fact, a technocracy.20 The 18Timothy Dunmore, Soviet Politics, 1945-53 (New York: St. Martin's Press, 1984). Dunmore implies that the lower levels of Soviet industry control top bosses in the USSR by virtue of the fact that it is the top bosses who rely on their underlings for correct information and other forms of feedback. 19Cyril Black, The Scientific-Technological Revolution: Economic to Scientific Determinism?, A discussion paper presented at the Kennan Institute and the U.S. Department of State, 18 January 1979, p. 9. Black argues that Soviet theories of the STR "recognize the global character of contemporary problems and the ineluctable trend toward international integration." 20The Citations Index lists well over a hundred references to this book in scholarly works. The reviews of Bailes' work are uniformly positive, some of which are glowing. See for example Peter H. Solomon, Jr., review of Technology and Society under Lenin and Stalin: Origins of the Soviet Technical Intelligentsia, 1917-1941, by Kendall E. Bailes, In Russian Review 38 (July 1979): 371. Solomon says that Bailes' work has "implications for a whole field of study." Moreover, he has "sharpened our understanding of Soviet history, politics, economics and society." See also Mervyn Matthews, review of Technology and Society under 266 central thesis of Bailes's work is that the purges carried out against the "bourgeois," technocratic minded engineers, and their replacement with "red" specialists, ironically laid the foundation of Soviet technocracy: "While the technical intelligentsia became politicized in favor of the Communist party, the Communist party became in part "technocratized" by an infusion of new members who combined political background with technical skills. The party and technical elites in Soviet society never merged entirely, but this system of overlapping and interlocking elites marked a profound social change from the situation in 1928."21 The interesting thing about Bailes' fascinating and wellwritten history is that it was inspired by John Kenneth Galbraith's The New Industrial State, in which he argued that science and technology (according to the linear model) force cultural changes in every society which is in the process of "modernization." According to Bailes, his interest in the Scientific-Technical Intelligentsia (STI) congealed "in the same period when John Kenneth Galbraith in The New Industrial State and others in the West were arguing that an emergent technostructure was becoming the key group in the management of Lenin and Stalin: Origins of the Soviet Technical Intelligentsia, 1917-1941 , by Kendall E. Bailes, In The Slavonic and East European Review 58 (April 1980): 308. "This is throughout a scholarly work which illuminates many neglected spots in Soviet social history." 21Kendall E. Bailes, Technology and Society under Lenin and Stalin: Origins of the Soviet Technical Intelligentsia, 1917-1941 (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1978), 200. 267 modern industrial societies, an argument by no means universally accepted. These developments raised a host of questions in my mind about the nature of Soviet society and its comparability with Western societies, for which no answers were readily available."22 The significance of this theory with respect to interpreting the STR is self-evident: if the CPSU is now dominated by technocrats, the ideology of the STR clearly appears to be an ex post facto legitimization of what has already occurred, that is, the triumph of science and its alleged offspring technology over Party ideology--appropriately signified by the admission that science had become a "direct productive force." Bailes pointed to the fact that the Soviets characterize the model "New Soviet Man" as a technical specialist, evidence of the extent to which technical specialists have impressed their collective image on Soviet society as a whole.23 This idea that the ideology of the STR in the Soviet Union is an ex post facto recognition of social and technological changes which have already taken place is the consensus opinion of Western analysts of the Soviet STR. For example, Harley D. Balzer flatly states that the USSR in the era of Brezhnev was the most "technocratic society in the world."24 Moreover, he suggests that "Science and technology are key aspects of the 22Ibid, 3-4. 23Ibid, 317. 24Harley D. Balzer, "The Soviet Scientific and Technical Intelligentsia," Problems of Communism 32 (May-June 1982): 66. 268 image Soviet leaders present to their own people and to the outside world."25 Stephen Cohen--the leading representative of the revisionist school of Soviet historiography--suggested that the ideology of the STR as articulated under Brezhnev (a neoStalinist, and therefore, by implication, anti-reformist) was grudgingly reformist in nature.26 Erik Hoffmann declared that during the Brezhnev years, the advance of science and technology forced the top political leadership to adopt old political princiles--such as centralized economic planning and democratic centralism--to rapidly changing scientific-technical conditions.27 Hence, the standard interpretation of the STR is that the technocratic Party elite is gradually changing in favor of pragmatism and incrementalism due to the non-ideological force of science--which has become increasingly necessary to the functioning of the state. Perhaps the most striking example of this interpretation of the official Soviet ideology of the STR is that of Erik P. Hoffmann and Robbin F. Laird in their work entitled Technocratic Socialism: The Soviet Union in the Advanced Industrial Era, in which they assert that both the theory and practice of societal guidance in the USSR are now primarily technocratic in nature: that is, the Soviets value technical (instrumental) more than 25Ibid, 66. 26Stephen York: F. Cohen, Rethinking the Soviet Oxford University Press, 1985), 139. 27Erik Experience (New P. Hoffmann, "Soviet Views of the 'ScientificTechnological Revolution," World Politics 30 (July 1978): 628. 269 social (symbolic) rationality.28 In the new era of technocratic leadership, equality rather than hierarchy, reciprocity rather than sanctions, and free-flowing rather than constricted information are the bases of interaction between the technical and political elites. "Norms are grounded on the mutual understandings and interests of a community of people actively engaged in a dialogue on important issues. Ends and means can always be changed, and both are continuously responsive to a wide variety of goal-setting feedback."29 It is as if technology, which requires spontaneity, non-ideological supervision, and intellectual freedom in its development and use, is forcing fundamental changes in the Soviet system, a process which is recognized as both liberal and legitimate in the official ideology of the STR. Problems with Technocratic Theories There are many problems with the above technocratic theories, all of which force a reexamination of our understanding of the Gorbachev phenomenon as the emergence of a liberal Soviet technocracy. The first and most important problem is the lack of any evidence whatsoever that any members of the CPSU view themselves as either technocrats or partocrats. If there really were such a division within the Party, one would expect some sort of self-conscious acknowledgement of this division from the Party 28Erik P. Hoffmann and Robbin F. Laird, Technocratic Socialism: The Soviet Union in the Advanced Industrial Era (Durham: Duke University Press, 1985), 171. 29Ibid. 270 members themselves. It would be as simple and basic as classifying oneself as either a Republican or a Democrat in American politics. But there is no evidence for such a self- conscious division within the party. On the contrary, when Soviet writers respond to with such Western theories of technocracy, they typically sneer at them as without merit, even as ludicrous--with good reason. For example, two prominent sociologists, Bokarev and Chaplin, acknowledge that "the socalled technocratic school is known to be the most influential one in modern Western sociology."30 They correctly define technocracy as "a political system where dominating positions belong to specialists in administration and economy, hence, the 'technocrat' is defined as a man who, due to his scientific and technical knowledge, is exercising social and political power in society."31 But they categorically deny the existence of any such group in Soviet society: "In essence," they say, "technocratic conceptions are nothing but theoretical grounds of some circles of the contemporary state-monopolist bourgeoisie striving to establish their political domination."32 Likewise, Bessonov's acid commentary on the group conflict school of thought in the West identifies "technological 30N.N. Bokarev and N.B. Chaplin, "Soviet Scientific and Technical Intelligentsia and Its Social Makeup," in The Intelligentsia and the Intellectuals: Theory, Method and Case Study, ed. Aleksandr Gella (London: Sage Publications, 1976), 224. 31Ibid. 32Ibid, 225. 271 determinism" as the linchpin of this school of thought.33 His article is spiced with barbed invective aimed at all those who really take such theories seriously. Similarly, the Large Soviet Encyclopedia identifies technocratic theories as "a distorted form of the reality of the scientific and technological revolution, with social production and government becoming increasingly dependent on the application of science and the employment of specialists."34 Moreover, Soviet theorists from the Academy of Sciences dubbed the Western linear model of technological and social progress as a philosophy of "Neopositivism," which they irrefragably abjure. As P.N. Fedoseev put it, "Treating the inner logic of scientific progress as absolute, they [the Western proponents of the linear model, Bell, Aron, Brzezinski, et al] put forward, and defend, the conception of autonomy for science and scientific progress. According to this conception, science is allegedly independent of society and its problems."35 Able and willing to turn a nice phrase in ridicule of such theories, Fedoseev castigates all such "Neopositivists" as "prophets of fully automated social development," as "the right wing of technocratic futurology," who 33B. Bessonov, "The Scientific and Technological Revolution and the Ideological Struggle," International Affairs, n.s. 2 (1974): 66. 34A.M. Prokhorov, ed., The Large Soviet Encyclopedia (New York: Macmillan, 1981), s.v. "Technocratic Theories," by S.M. Men'shikov. 35P.N. Fedoseev, "Topical Problems of Our Time and the Integration of Knowledge," in Science, Technology and the Future, ed. E.P. Velikhov, D.M. Gvishiani and S.R. Mikulinski (Oxford: Pergamon Press, 1980), 15. 272 espouse the ludicrous idea that technological development creates a "'state within a state' able to dictate how its achievements could be used."36 If there are contingents of "technocrats" and "partocrats" within the Party, Why is there no recognition of such a division within the USSR? Where is the evidence? Another problem with technocratic theories is the fact that they are based upon two very problematic presuppositions: first, that the USSR has achieved a technological revolution over the past thirty or so years, making it necessary to replace ideology with technical and rational criteria; second, that the STI and their political guardians within the Party provided both the initiative and the wherewithal, the push and the drive, to make this revolution a reality. But neither of these presuppositions is supported by the evidence. The first presupposition is false because the USSR failed to achieve anything like a technological revolution, either under Stalin or under his more liberal successors, as I attempted to demonstrate in chapter four above. Hoffmann's contention that "rapidly changing scientific-technical conditions" are forcing the erosion of democratic centralism assumes that the USSR is as technologically dynamic as the West. problem: the USSR is not nearly as technologically dynamic as the West. it were. But that is precicely the Hoffman's scenario puts the cart before the horse, as It is the failure of the USSR to achieve a technological revolution which is forcing the system to change, 36Ibid, 14. 273 to liberalize. It is not liberalizing as a consequence of such changes already underway. What would be the point of it? But most troubling of all, technocratic theories assume that the STI and their patrons in the Party are interested primarily in making the system work. These theories suggest that the Soviet government (the Council of Ministers and the glavki) work best when left alone. And this idea is demonstrably false. As shown above in chapter four, the historical evidence shows that the STI have been interested in little more than their own narrow fields of interest. The mythical vision of the STI put forth in the technocratic theories paints a picture of omnicompetent cadres of specialists who are only committed to making things work. But as Joravsky pointed out, such a character rarely exists: the typical Soviet scientist or technologist can be called a "pliable man of principle," who tries to be true to his discipline in times of conflict, but who placates political authorities with verbal play, or by avoiding sensitive topics, or by other concessions.37 But by being "true to his discipline," in the Soviet system, the scientist or technologist is also professionally and administrative autonomous. Without organic connections between social need and the technologist's research, 37David Joravsky, "Political Authorities and the Learned Estate in the USSR," in Soviet Science and Technology: Domestic and Foreign Perspectives, ed. John R. Thomas and Ursula KruseVaucienne (Washington, D.C.: The National Science Foundation, 1977), 155. Joravsky classifies the STI from the "learned opportunist" and the "militant ignoramus" on the one side, to the "intransigent specialist" or the "Varangian" on the other. 274 there is little incentive for the STI to push through new technologies, a process which Balzer described as a war. We know from both Western and Soviet sources that Soviet scientists and technologists enjoy immeasurably more intellectual and professional freedom than any other segment of Soviet society: as Medvedev put it, science is not only the most prestigious and best-paid line of work in the USSR, it also "offers the most freedom and advantages."38 But where is the evidence that the STI have used their autonomy, their social position and authority to transform Soviet society? Scientists are interested in the expansion of knowledge, of doing fundamental research; and the direction of technological research, in the USA and the USSR alike, come from outside the technologist in response to social need of some kind, however defined. So how is it that the Soviet technocrat has become dominant in politics? Moreover, the very nature of the technocrat's work places institutional constraints upon his behavior which neutralize their personal beliefs, as with Joravsky's "pliant man of principle." For example, the academic discipline of sociology was born immediately after the Stalinist dark ages as a free and relatively independent discipline. The founding fathers of Soviet sociology considered it part of their mission to use public opinion surveys and other types of sociological data to help the leadership become more responsive to the needs of 38Zhores Medvedev, Soviet Science (New York: Co., 1978), 143. W.W. Norton & 275 society. But it did not prove difficult for the Party to transform sociology from a discipline in the service of society to a discipline which was cynically manipulated to serve political objectives.39 The repressive school reforms of 1984, for example, were the results of advice provided by Party loyalists like Rutkevich, whose recommendations served the cause of buttressing political stability, not in the interests of the people. If the interests of the STI are at such a variance with the interests of the CPSU, then Why are 60 percent of natural scientists and 90 percent of social scientists also Party members?40 Is it true, as Popovsky claims, that the Party apparatus is careful not to let the STI "escape from the Party's guiding hand for a single moment"?41 How can the STI free themselves from "the overmastering authority of state interests?" The answer is that they can't. As Ellul pointed out, It is difficult to accept without reservation the image of the technician-archangel sallying forth to do battle with the megalomaniac and rotten politician. Nevertheless, it is probable that in the Soviet Union, as in Nazi Germany, there is a conflict between the two classes. But this conflict cannot be counted on to bring about a change in the regime. As C. Wright Mills has shown, the managers under any regime whatsoever are never anything but executive agents. They are never in a position, publicly or 39For an excellent descriptive account of this, see Vladimir Shlapentokh, The Politics of Sociology in the Soviet Union (Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1987), chapter 3. 40Peter Kneen, Soviet Scientists and the State (Albany: University of New York Press, 1984), 73. 41Mark State Popovsky, Manipulated Science: The Crisis of Science and Scientists in the Soviet Union (New York: Doubleday & Co., 1979), 49. 276 institutionally, to assert themmasters.42 selves against their How does one explain the fact that the STI and the Bolsheviks under Lenin had so much in common? Why was it, as Bailes pointed out, that the majority of the STI threw their weight behind the Bolsheviks during the Civil War? Why did Lenin view the future Soviet state as run by scientists and engineers, where there would be little or no role for politics? These and other questions are impossible to answer from the standpoint of an alleged "technocrat-partocrat" dichotomy. It may be more accurate to support Popovsky's contention that the only dichotomy in the USSR is between "the godless technocrat" and the religious believer, because both the technocrat and the Party member have shared a common faith in the linear model of technological and social development, and have supported centralized planning of such development from the "top down."43 Yet another problem with technocratic theories, strongly connected to the above problem, is the modern redefinition of the technocrat as "liberal." Traditionally, the typical "technocrat" has been correcly portrayed as anything but liberal, with good reason. Langdon Winner pointed out that technocracy's challenge to liberalism is simple and direct: "Its premises are totally incompatible with a central notion that justifies the practice of liberal politics: the idea of responsible, responsive, 42Jacques Ellul, The Technological Society (New York: A. Knopf, 1973), 256. 43Popovsky, Manipulated Science, 230. Alfred 277 representative government."44 In a liberal democracy-- characterized by the rule of law--the rules and procedures by which the state is run matter quite apart from any practical consideration; hence, even if it were possible for an "industrial directorate" or a "soviet of engineers" to run the state based upon scientific and technical criteria (which is quite impossible due to the impossibility of central planning), technocracy would be quite undesirable with respect to political and civil liberties. In politics, as in other procedures (like conducting a symphony, for example), the rules of the game are what matter most to those who take part. And with the "top down" vision of social development as provided by the linear model, in which science spawns new technologies which transform society, there is little room for feedback or politics. Polanyi made this point quite clear when he stated that the positivist programme for the scientific ordering of society (based upon the linear model) leads to the destruction of the free society and the establishment of totalitarianism.45 do; This is what Lenin tried to and it failed. Conclusions: Technocracy and the Linear Model The biggest problem with technocratic theories is that they 44Langdon Winner, Autonomous Technology: Technics-out-ofControl as a Theme in Political Thought (Cambridge: The MIT Press, 1977), 146. 45Michael Polanyi, The Logic of Liberty: Reflections and Rejoinders (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1951; reprint, Chicago: University of Chicago Press, Midway Reprints, 1980), 28 (page references are to reprint edition). 278 are based upon the linear model of social development. The alleged preeminence of technical specialists in modern soceity is due to the centrality of spontaneous, non-ideological and international science as the primary force for social change in the modern era. For example, Daniel Bell's notion of "Post- Industrial" society holds that certain "science based" industries (computers, electronics, optics, polymers, etc.) increasingly dominate the manufacturing sector of society and provide the lead for other industrial societies. The distinguishing characteristics of these industries is that they are "sciencebased," which means that they are dependent upon theoretical work prior to production.46 The social impact of these "science- based" industries is the "end of ideology" as a force affecting social consciousness, because science is, by nature, independent of ideology.47 Given this preeminent role of science in society, Bell predicts that the scientists and technical specialists-independent of political, social, or economic ideology--will become the new leaders in post-industrial society. The gap in power between the professional elite and the unwashed masses will widen, because the working classes will not have the technical expertise required to run society. In post-industrial society, the "chief" problem confronting society will be the organization of science, a job which only scientists can perform. 46Daniel York: Bell, The Coming Basic Books, 1973), 25. 47Daniel of Post-Industrial Bell, The End of Ideology (New York: 1960), 393-407. Like Don Society (New The Free Press, 279 Price, who thinks that the technical and scientific elite have become the "fourth arm" of government in the US, Bell thinks that "the scientific estate--its ethos and its organization--is the monad that contains within itself the imago of the future society."48 Although Bell views the phrase "technological imperatives" as too rigid and deterministic (a view which is inconsistent with the above), he argues that in all modern industrial societies "there are certain common constraints which tend to shape similar actions and force the use of common techniques."49 This is why he thinks that the Soviet STR is identical to the technological revolution in the West, despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary. Bell argued, in fact, that the Soviet leaders had replaced the Marxist blueprint for society with the STR and technocratic leadership. As he put it, That society [the USSR] is one which is also post industrial. But such a society merges--in its problems, not necessarily in its outcomes--with the postcapitalist societies in that the new determining feature of social structure (but not necessarily of politics and culture) is the scientific and technological revolution, or what I have called in my writings the centrality of theoretical knowledge as the axial principle of social organization, while the character of the new stratification system will be the division between the scientific and technical classes and those who will stand outside.50 John Kenneth Galbraith uses the term "technological determinism" as the foundational concept in his New Industrial 48Ibid, 378. 49Bell, Post-Industrial Society, 75. 50Bell, 112. 280 State. Quite in alignment with the linear model, he asserts that technology is the systematic application of scientific knowledge to practical tasks. The result is that this forces the division and subdivision of any task into its component parts, a theme which is prominent in Soviet writings. And this process of specialization, he suggests, is more socially efficacious than what had previously obtained in practice: by pooling and testing the information provided by numerous individuals--none of whom is required to be a genius--it is possible to reach decisions that are beyond the capabilities of any one person. "Thus, and only thus, can organized knowledge be brought to bear on performance."51 Given the nature of the system, power will eventually accrue to those who possess specialized technical knowledge. Hence, like Veblen, Price, Bell and others, Galbraith views the emergence of the ubiquitous "technostructure" and "technocracy" as a social by-product of spontaneous, internallydirected progress of science. The above examples are only the most notable and celebrated of the social theories based upon the linear model.52 Yet, as discussed in the second and third chapters above, the linear model fails to explain the complicated relationships between society, technology and science. The development of technology owes much more to social need than to scientific 51John Kenneth Galbraith, The New Industrial State (Boston: Houghton Mifflin Company, 1967), 12. 52For a more comprehensive discussion of technocratic theorists, see Gunnell, "The Technocratic Image and the Theory of Technocracy," 392-416. 281 theory, which is often a hindrance to trial and error technological problem-solving. And science is utterly dependent upon technology in its development, now more than ever before. The linear model is a poor heuristic device with respect to our understanding of both the progress of technology and of science. It is a model which has been increasingly recognized to be insufficient and even misleading.