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Chemoprevention of Cancer: An Update WREN Convocation of Practices May 9, 2009 Howard Bailey, MD UWCCC Chemoprevention Program Chemoprevention of Cancer Definition Sporn (1976), use of drugs, biologics, or nutrients to inhibit carcinogenesis Rationale A 15% decrease in epithelial cancers would prevent >100,000 deaths/yr and save $25 billion/yr Background Epidemiology Geographic/cultural differences Genetics – 98% malignancies have somatic mutations rather than germ line mutations association of infections with cancer Chemoprevention of Cancer The study of carcinogenesis has led to the current dogma that human carcinogenesis is a multi-year process Boutwell RK, 1976; The biochemistry of pre-neoplasia in mouse skin Frykberg and Bland, 1993; breast atypical hyperplasia to DCIS to carcinoma may take 30 years Thus providing an opportunity to intervene prior to accumulated mutations or phenotypic changes Basic Progression Model T(0) O’Shaughnessy, et al. - Clin Cancer Res 2002;8:314-46 10-30 years Chemoprevention Clinical Trials Phase II Trial(s) 25-75 50-300 1-12 6-36 pK, dose, SEB mod. safety Phase III Trials 300+ 36-60 cancer inc. Cost Subjects (N) Duration (months) Primary Endpoints Phase I Trial Risk Candidate Agent Chemoprevention Drug Development How development differs from – Cancer Therapy Accepted surrogate of tumor/disease regression Primary goal can be determined relatively quickly Vascular diseases More similar than cancer therapy Accepted surrogates Hypertension Hyperlipidemia Chemoprevention Drug Development Similar to Vascular Health prevention, an accepted surrogate marker/endpoint would make chemoprevention drug development more efficient. Intraepithelial Neoplasia? Colonic adenomas Cervical Carcinoma in situ Breast ductal carcinoma in situ Intraepithelial Neoplasia Cancer and IEN frequently share phenotypic and genotypic changes IEN is already considered a disease by many and has led to the approval of multiple interventions (celecoxib, diclofenac, topical 5FU, BCG, tamoxifen) Variability in diagnosis/interpretation Slow and relatively low rate of progression to cancer Current complexity and limited understanding Chemoprevention Phenotypic surrogates Skin – actinic keratoses, dysplastic nevi Oral – leukoplakia, erythroplakia Lung – bronchial dysplasia Esophagus – Barrett’s (dysplasia) Breast – DCIS, LCIS, atypical hyperplasia Colon – adenomas Cervix – cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) Endometrium – atypical hyperplasia Prostate – prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia (PIN) Bladder – superficial bladder cancer Chemoprevention Agents – Approved agents Tamoxifen Selective estrogen receptor modulator (SERM) for breast cancer prevention NSABP – P1 study (Fischer et al. JNCI 90:1371, 1998), 7000 women in each arm (175 cancers in placebo, 89 cancers in Tam) Raloxifene Selective estrogen receptor modulator (SERM) for breast cancer prevention NSABP – P2 (STAR) study,(Vogel et al. JAMA 295:2727, 2006), approx 4000 post-menopausal women in each arm with an expected BrCa rate of 4% over 5 years, observed only 0.4% in each arm. Chemoprevention Agents – Approved agents Tamoxifen P1 study Fisher JNCI 1998 Chemoprevention Agents – Approved agents Tamoxifen P1 study Chemoprevention Agents – Approved Agents Tamoxifen and Raloxifene are approved for women at “high risk” High risk is a women with a 1.66% chance of developing invasive breast cancer in the next 5 years All women > 60 yo Younger women with some number of the following risk factors: early menarche (<12 yo) , late menopause (>55 yo), nulliparity or >30 yo at first full term pregnancy, first degree family relative with breast cancer, prior breast biopsies especially with atypical ductal hyperplasia, … Chemoprevention Agents – Approved agents Celocoxib Specific COX-2 inhibitor approved for adenoma prevention in FAP (Steinbach et al. NEJM 342:1946, 2000) Prevention of sporadic polyps (Bertagnolli et al. NEJM 355:873, 2006) Increased cardiac risks (Solomon et al. NEJM 352:1071, 2005) Sporadic Adenomas Phase III Trials APC Trial • Sporadic CRN (n=2,035) • 91 participating sites • Celecoxib 200 mg bid or 400 mg bid vs. placebo • Rec. adenomas at 3 years AdvancedAdenomas Adenomas Recurrent Placebo bid *p<0.0001 vs. placebo; Bertagnolli – NEJM 2006;355:873-84 Celecoxib200 mg bid Celecoxib400 mg bid Chemoprevention Agents – Approved Agents Quadravalent HPV vaccine for cervical cancer VLP vaccine against HPV 6, 11, 16, 18 Initial Pilot study of monovalent (Koutsky et al. NEJM 347:1645-51, 2002) Initial phase 2 quadravalent (Villa et al. Lancet 6:271-78, 2005) approved for females 9-26 yo FUTURE I an II studies (NEJM 356: 1915, 2007) Chemoprevention Agents VLP vaccine, bivalent 16/18 Harper et al. Lancet 367, 2006 Further f/u on women who received all 3 doses Seropositivity/immunogenicity maintained for ≥ 5 yrs Protection beyond 16/18, also decreased 45/31 Chemoprevention Agents – Approved Agents Are they being used? Infrequently at best Reasons are many starting with limited interest from Primary Providers and Lay Public’s negative views Assessment of Dane County Providers M Jensen et al. survey of healthcare providers for adolescents opinions regarding the HPV vaccine. O Olaigbe et al. survey of healthcare providers for women regarding tamoxifen for breast cancer prevention Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial (PCPT): Specific Rationale Link between androgens and CaP T 5-alpha-reductase DHT AR Epidemiology Finasteride inhibits 5-alpha-reductase Safety profile from BPH studies 1993-96 18,882 Men > 55 yrs, < 3 PSA, normal DRE 2000-03 Endpoint: 7-year period prevalence of prostate cancer Primary Endpoint: Seven-Year Period Prevalence Placebo Finasteride Known prostate cancer status 4692 4368 Prostate cancer 1,147 (24.4%) 803 (18.4%) Relative Risk Reduction 24.8% (18.6% - 30.6%), P < 0.001 Thompson, et al NEJM 2003 PCPT Conclusions • Misclassification rates on biopsy were higher in the placebo arm and high grade rate on prostatectomies were not higher on finasteride arm • True risk of 8-10 is unknown • Estimates based on PCPT data including possibility of more high grade disease still show significant overall health benefit (person-years saved) to society with finasteride • Use of 5α reductase inhibitors probably won’t evolve unless another study is positive Unger et al. Cancer 2005 Reduction by Dutasteride of Prostate Cancer Events (REDUCE) • Dutasteride – dual inhibitor of type 1 and 2 5α reductase – BPH studies suggested decreased Pr CA incidence – Serum DHT levels further reduced by dutasteride • GSK sponsored study, 650 centers, 8000 subjects • Men 50-75 yo, PSA 2.5-3.0 to 10 ng/ml, must have a neg. prostate bx within 6 mos (no HGPIN or ASAP), prostate volume ≤80 cc Andriole et al. J Urology 2004 The Selenium and Vitamin E Cancer Prevention Trial (SELECT) • NCI sponsored prostate chemoprevention trial opened 2001 – 32,000 men, ≥ 50-55 yo, PSA ≤4.0 ng/ml, DREnegative – Selenomethionine 200 µg, α tocopherol 400 IU – Followup every 6 mos – Primary endpoints – Prostate Ca incidence • Factorial design with 5 comparisons • Each agent vs placebo, the combination vs placebo, combination vs each agent Lippman et al. JNCI 2005 SELECT • Preliminary Results • Neither Selenium or Vitamin E alone or together prevented prostate cancer • Uncertain findings –an increase in prostate cancers in men taking Vit E alone; and small increase in the number of cases of adult onset diabetes in men taking selenium Chemoprevention Agents/Issues with Micronutrients CARET, ATBC, and NPC Results Concerning negative results Micronutrients assumed not to be harmful Replacement doses vs supraphysiologic (prooxidant effects?) Regular dietary consumption vs supplementation Smokers and gender differences in metabolism Nutrients and Cancer Dietary Nutrients Polyphenols (primarily green tea) Strong epidemiologic data Important constituents are catechins (specifically epigallocatechin gallate/EGCG) Cup of green tea contains 3-400 mg of polyphenols (10-30 mg EGCG) Encouraging clinical research at 400-800 mg of EGCG/day Isoflavones/Soy Phytoestrogen Genistein – UW bladder prevention study Chemoprevention Agents - Genistein Genistein inhibits growth of carcinoma cells of multiple tumor types in vitro. It is a potent inhibitor of tyrosine kinase, a key enzyme in signal transduction. Glycoside conjugates account for more than 2/3 of the total isoflavone content of soybeans. Nutrients and Cancer Dietary Nutrients (cont.) Carotenoids carotene Lycopene – Polyphenolic constituent of tomatoes and some fruits – How tomatoes are cooked/processed influences amount of lycopene – Epidemiologic studies – Positive in vitro/in vivo effects – Ongoing chemoprevention studies Lutein Organosulfurs/seleniums Anethole dithiolethione (ADT) Flavanoids Quercetin Nutrients and Cancer Dietary Nutrients (cont.) Curcumin Perillyl alcohol Resveratrol Isothiocyanates/indoles Indole-3-carbinol/Diindolymethane (DIM) UW prostate study Phenylethyl isothiocyanate (PEITC) Meta-analysis of Antioxidants for GI Cancer Prevention Bjelakovic et al. Lancet 364:1219, 2004 Chemoprevention Development: Directions? Better risk stratification Genomics, unbiased pursuit e.g. quantitative trait loci Proteomics, a less invasive way to assess intervention Non-invasive imaging of preneoplasia/intraepithelial neoplasia Cross-disciplinary studies of health maintenance, e.g. WHI WREN Wisconsin Network for Health Research (WiNHR) Cancer Chemoprevention • Possible study idea • Green tea polyphenols in patients with or at risk of metabolic syndrome – Compelling data for beneficial effects of green tea polyphenols in Cancer, CardioVascular and Neurodegenerative disease and Insulin resistance. Chemoprevention of Cancer Clinical trials pose both new and old issues for cancer-related drug development We should look to other disciplines for advice, e.g. renal or vascular preventive health We need to “understand our audience better” Thank you. Chemoprevention Agents Selenium Clinical studies NPC Trial 1300 subj (Eastern U.S.) with skin CA hx randomized to 200 g/d of selenized brewer’s yeast or placebo (Duffield-Lillico et al. JNCI, 2003) Effects on skin cancer contradictory Significant decrease in prostate CA (Clark et al. Br J Urol 89:730, 1998), but other cancer incidence was examined also. NPC Trial: Incidence and Relative Risk of non-melanoma skin cancer Baseline Se level <105 ng/ml 105-122 >122 RR 0.87 1.49 1.59 P value .42 .03 .01 Duffield-Lillico, JNCI, 2003 Chemoprevention / Development Clinical Testing Phase I testing normal volunteers vs increased risk population dose de-escalation or escalation randomization to one of multiple dose levels (for deescalation studies) or placebo Examples Phase I de-escalation study of DFMO, Love et al. JNCI 85:732, 1993 Phase I escalation study of UAB30, J. Kolesar et al. Phase Ib study of diindolymethane in subjects undergoing prostatectomy, J Gee et al. Chemoprevention / Development Clinical Testing Phase 2 testing 2a – shorter duration (days to weeks) biomarker studies 2b – randomized, double-blinded, placebocontrolled longer duration (>3 mos) biomarker studies Provide rationale for the design of a phase 3 study Examples Phase 2a study of genistein in subjects with superficial bladder cancer, E Messing, & J. Gee Phase 2b study of DFMO in Organ Transplant Recipients at risk of skin cancer, Chemoprevention/Development Clinical Testing (cont.) Phase 3 – randomized, double-blinded, placebo controlled studies Demonstrate a significant decrease in cancer incidence or mortality or an accepted surrogate Validate surrogate markers Hopefully lead to improved population health Examples Phase 3 Study of DFMO in subjects with a history of skin cancer Phase 3 Study of Tamoxifen in women at risk of breast cancer Phase III Trials PreSAP Trial (n=1,561) • 107 participating sites • Celecoxib 400 mg qd vs. placebo • Rec. adenomas at 3 years RR=0.64 (0.56-0.75); any RR=0.49 (0.33-0.73); adv. APPROVe Trial (n=2,587) • 108 participating sites • Rofecoxib 25 mg qd vs. placebo • Rec. adenomas at 3 years RR=0.76 (0.69-0.83); any RR=0.70 (0.57-0.73); N Engl J Med 2006;355:885-95 and Gastroenterol 2006; epub adv. Cardiovascular Toxicity Celecoxib • APC Trial • N=2,035 subjects • Follow-up = 2.8-3.1 years • CV deaths (%): Rofecoxib • APPROVe Trial • N=2,586 subjects • Follow-up = 3,327 pt-years • CV Adverse events (%): –Placebo (1%); RR=1.0 –200 mg BID (2.3%); RR=2.3 –400 mg BID (3.4%); RR=3.4 www.theoaklandpress.com; www.washingtonpost.com; 4/7/05 12/18/04 N Engl J Med. 2005;352:1071-80 and 1092-102 –Placebo (2%); RR=1.0 –25 mg QD (3.6%); RR=1.9 Celecoxib and Colon Cancer Prevention • Psaty and Potter (NEJM 355:950, 2006) – Reviewed APC and PreSAP trials and concluded the following – Celecoxib decreases adenoma formation – Celecoxib increases the risk of cardiovascular adverse events – The potential increase in CV event/mortality outweighs the projected decrease in colon cancer incidence • Could Celecoxib be an option in people with low cardiac risk? Gleason Score: Percent of Men Evaluated Percent of Men Evaluated 100% Finasteride N = 4368 Placebo N = 4692 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 1.25 RR 40% 30% 16.5% 20% 10% 10.5% 0.5% 1.2% 6.4% 5.1% 0% 2-4 5-6 Gleason Score Not graded: Finasteride N = 46, Placebo N = 79 7 - 10 PCPT: Increased rate of High Grade Cancers, Detection-bias? • • • • The increase in HG was based on biopsies RP is the gold-standard for determining GS HG was not significantly increased at RP Detection bias – Increased PSA sensitivity – Increased biopsy sensitivity Lucia, et al JNCI September 2007 SIMULATED BIOPSY: Sampling Bias Median Prostate Volume: 38.8 cc Placebo vs Finasteride 24.4 cc (p = 0.001) Lucia, et al, JNCI, 2007; 1375-83 Detection-bias: The Evidence Bx findings in GS 8-10 tumors Finasteride Placebo (n=98) mean sd med (n=61) mean sd med 38 20 33 43 25 40 Greatest lin extent (mm) 4.9 2.9 4.4 5.4 3.7 4.4 Aggregate lin ext (mm) 10.6 6.2 12.9 16.0 7.0 % cores pos Bilateral disease Perineural invasion 9.3 26.5% 9.2% 44.3% (p=0.02) 16.4% Lucia, et al JNCI September 2007 Number of Cancers Does Finasteride Make the Grade? 1200 1100 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1147 Finasteride = 4368 Placebo - 4692 803 776 457 190 184 90 53 20 55 Total Cancers 2-4 5-6 Gleason Score 7 8 - 10 SELECT • Selenium – Essential cofactor for enzymatic processes, e.g. redox – Derived from diet, dietary levels related to soil content – Epidemiologic studies correlating low selenium levels to increased prostate cancer incidence – Typical US diet contains 80-160 ug/d, Recommended daily amount 55 ug/d – Issues with form and optimum dose DN Syed et al. Ca Epid Biom Prev 2007 Chemoprevention Agents Selenium Clinical studies NPC Trial 1300 subj (Eastern U.S.) with skin CA hx randomized to 200 g/d of selenized brewer’s yeast or placebo (Duffield-Lillico et al. JNCI, 2003) Effects on skin cancer contradictory Significant decrease in prostate CA (Clark et al. Br J Urol 89:730, 1998), other cancer incidence also reduced. NPC Trial: Incidence and Relative Risk of non-melanoma skin cancer Baseline Se level <105 ng/ml 105-122 >122 RR 0.87 1.49 1.59 P value .42 .03 .01 Duffield-Lillico, JNCI, 2003 SELECT • Vitamin E – Naturally occuring compounds (tocopherols, tocotrienes) – Co-factor to many cellular functions, antioxidant effects – Epidemiologic studies – Typical US intake 10 mg/d, recommended is 15 mg/d – Issues with form / dose SELECT • ATBC study – Finnish study of 30,000 smokers randomized to α tocopherol (50 mg), β carotene (20 mg) – 30-40% decrease in prostate Ca, but 19% increase in Lung Ca (more from β carotene) • Prospective study from China of Vit E, Sel, β carotene decreased prostate Ca • Recent meta-analysis raised concerns for increased CV events with vit E doses > 4001,000 IU/day Chemoprevention Agents under study at UW • DFMO • Vitamin D – Because of use/indications outside of cancer prevention, more extensively studied • Others – Genistein, Diindolymethane, Polyphenon E, Vitamin E metabolites, Examples by Target Organ Kelloff, et al. - Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers & Prev 2000;9:127-37 Chemoprevention Agents O Olaigbe et al. 152 respondents out of approx 500 mailed 85% Physicians / 15% NP or PA 51% Fam Med, 26% Int Med, 14% Gyn Knowledge of Tam and Breast Ca Prev 7% very much, 75% basic, 18% very little Ever recommended Tam as preventive Yes 20%, No 80% Reasons for not recommending Hi risk/benefit ratio 23%, questionable effectiveness 20%, unpleasant side effects 10%, other 40% Cancer Chemoprevention Future Directions • Better assessment of an individual’s risk (via genomics or proteomics) will likely lead to greater interest/willingness to employ chemoprevention • Consideration of more global health issues; use of low risk/small gain agents which modify risk of numerous serious illnesses