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Tuesday, June 23, 2015 Development of the Canadian Cancer Statistics • In partnership with the Statistics Canada (SC), Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC), and the provincial/territorial cancer registries • Interpretation of data and text by volunteer committee of experts (in epidemiology, surveillance, subject matter experts) • CCS coordinates the committee • Our partners allow us to issue the public release and host the publication on cancer.ca PEI Statistics at a glance 910 estimated new cases in 2015 380 estimated cancer deaths in 2015 2 in 5 Canadians expected to develop cancer in their lifetime 1 in 4 Canadians expected to die of cancer 63% five-year relative survival (for people diagnosed in 2006-2008) Estimated new cases in PEI in 2015 Females Males All cancers 510 All cancers 400 Prostate Lung Colorectal Bladder Melanoma Kidney Leukemia Oral Pancreas Esophagus 140 75 65 30 25 20 15 15 10 10 Breast Lung Colorectal Body of uterus Non-Hodgkin L. Thyroid Melanoma Ovary Leukemia Pancreas 110 60 55 25 15 10 15 10 10 10 Estimated 380 deaths (190 males, 190 females) PEI Fast Facts • Most common cancers in men: prostate, lung and colorectal • PEI has one of the highest incidence rates of cancer among men -12% higher than average – – – – Prostate - 3rd highest, 27% higher national average Lung -3rd highest, 22% higher than national average Pancreatic highest in the country, 20% higher Melanoma skin cancers - highest in the country, 50% higher than national average PEI Fast Facts • Most common cancers in women: breast, lung and colorectal • PEI’s mortality rate for women 9% higher than national average (In 2014 PEI was 12% higher than average) • PEI has third lowest incidence rates of cancer amongst women in the country 10% lower than national average Key findings • Population of PEI is estimated to grow 14% or about 19,000 residents by 2030 • Islanders aged 65+ will represent slightly more than 1 in 4 (up from 1/8) • More than doubling new cancer cases expected in aged 65 and over. • Increase in new cases mainly due to aging and population growth and to a lesser extent, changes in the risk of developing cancer • Estimated number of new cases on PEI by 2030 = 1,340 Survival (2006-2008) Which cancers have the highest and lowest 5-yr relative survival? 5-yr relative survival rates High Medium Low Thyroid (98%) Bladder (74%) Ovary (45%) Testis (97%) Cervix (74%) Multiple myeloma (43%) Prostate (96%) Kidney (68%) Stomach (25%) Melanoma (89%) Colorectal (65%) Brain (25%) Breast (88%) Larynx (63%) Liver (20%) Hodgkin lymphoma (85%) Oral (63%) Lung (17%) Uterus (85%) Leukemia (59%) Esophagus (14%) Pancreas (8%) What Do These Statistics Mean? The burden of cancer will increase primarily due to aging and population increases • PEI does not have to accept this prediction • Increase focus on life-time cancer prevention Community Cancer Outreach Centers 2015 • Alberton • Souris 2016 + • Montague • Summerside • Hunter River/North Rustico The future is not some place we are going, but one we are creating. The paths to it are not found, but made, and the activity of making them changes both the maker and the destination.” “ - John Shar, Sociologist