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Static games - cont I. Cournot model of duopoly Let q1 and q2 denote quantities of a homogeneous product produced by firms 1 and 2 respectively. Let P (Q) = a − Q be the inverse linear-demand function, where Q = q1 + q2. Total cost to firm i for producing qi is Ci(qi) = cqi; there are no fixed costs. We assume c < a. Suppose both firms choose their quantities simultaneously. 1 We have a normal-form game with I = {1, 2}, Si = [0, ∞) (Since P (Q) = 0 for Q ≥ a, neither firm will produce more than a). Assume each firm’s payoff is simply its profit: πi(qi, qj ) = qi[P (qi + qj ) − c] = qi[a − (qi + qj ) − c] In a 2-player normal-form game, the strategy pair (s∗1, s∗2) is a Nash equilibrium if for every player i, ui(s∗i , s∗j ) ≥ ui(si, s∗j ) for every feasible strategy siSi. 2 In the Cournot duopoly model, the equivalent problem becomes: max πi(qi, qj∗) = max0≤qi<∞ qi[a − (qi + qj∗) − c] Assuming qj∗ < a − c, the FOC for firm i0s optimisation problem is: ∗ qi = 1 2 [a − qj − c] 3 If (q1∗ , q2∗ ) is to be a Nash equilibrium, then firms’ quantity choices must satisfy: 1 [a − q ∗ − c]; q1∗ = BR1(q2) = 2 2 ∗ q2∗ = BR2(q1) = 1 2 [a − q1 − c] Solving these equations, we get q1∗ = q2∗ = (a−c) 3 Question: why is each firm producing half the monopoly quantity, Q2m , where Qm = (a−c) 2 , not an equilibrium of this game? 4 II. Bertrand model of duopoly Consider a duopoly market structure for a homogeneous good, where firms choose what price to charge. Let the demand function facing firm i be: a − pi , p i < p j 0, pi > pj qi = (a−pi) , p = p i j 2 Assume no fixed costs and constant marginal costs c, with c < a. 5 We have a normal-form game with I = {1, 2}, Si = [0, ∞), with a typical strategy si being a price choice pi ≥ 0. As for the Cournot model, assume each firm’s payoff is simply its profit: πi(p i, pj ) = qi(pi, pj )[pi − c] = (a − pi)[pi − c], pi < pj 0, pi > pj (a−pi) [p − c], p = p i i j 2 6 There are four possible equilibrium configurations: 1. p1 > p2 > c. This is not an equilibrium. Firm 1’s sales and profits are both zero. Firm 1 could profitably deviate by setting p1 = p2 − τ , where τ is very small. Then, π1 = D(p2 − τ )(p2 − τ − c) > 0 for small τ . 2. p1 > p2 = c. This is not an equilibrium. Firm 2 captures the entire market, but its profits are zero. Firm 2 could profitably deviate by setting p2 = p1 − τ , where τ is very small. Then, π2 = D(p1 − τ )(p1 − τ − c) > 0. 7 3. p1 = p2 > c. This is not an equilib- rium since either firm (say, firm 1) could profitably deviate by setting p1 = p2 − τ . Then, firm 1would capture the entire market, with sales of D(p1 − τ ) and profits of π1 = D(p1 − τ )(p1 − τ − c). For small τ this almost doubles firm 1’s sales and profits. 8 4. p1 = p2 = c. These are the (unique) Nash equilibrium strategies. Neither firm can profitably deviate and earn greater profits even though in equilibrium, profits are zero. If a firm raises its price, its sales fall to zero and its profits remain at zero. Charging a lower price increases sales and ensures a market share of 100%, but it also reduces profits since price falls below unit cost. Discontinuities in the profit function make price competition very sharp. 9 The Nash equilibrium to this simple Bertrand game has two significant features: 1. Two firms are enough to eliminate market power. 2. Competition between two firms results in complete dissipation of profits. 10 These features are the foundation of the Bertrand paradox: two firms are sufficient for the competitive outcome. However, marginal cost pricing as a Nash equilibrium is not robust to variations in the Bertrand game. Two major variants are product differentiation and capacity limitations. 11 II. Bertrand model - differentiated products Here, firms 1 and 2 choose prices p1 and p2 simultaneously, and firm i0s demand is given by: qi(pi, pj ) = a − pi + bpj , where b > 0 reflects the extent to which firm i0s product is a substitute for firm j 0s product. Assume no fixed costs and constant marginal costs c, with c < a. 12 We have a normal-form game with I = {1, 2}, Si = [0, ∞), with a typical strategy si being a price choice pi ≥ 0. Again, each firm’s payoff is simply its profit: πi(pi, pj ) = qi(pi, pj )[pi − c] = [a − pi + bpj ][pi − c] Solution to the firm’s maximisation problem is: ∗ + c) p∗i = 1 (a + bp j 2 13 Using symmetry, we get the Nash equilibrium p∗1, p∗2 as: p∗1 = p∗2 = a+c 2−b Location/Address models Address models of product differentiation assume that consumers have preferences defined over the characteristics or attributes of products that are measurable. Each attribute defines a dimension and the measure of all relevant attributes defines a product. 14 The set of all possible products is called the product space and the total number of attributes defines the dimension of the product space. In general, let θi be the address of brand i. If the number of attributes or characteristics is either one (a line) or two (a plane), then an address model of product differentiation is identical to a model of firm location in physical or geographic space. 15 Consumer preferences are distributed in the same product space. The address of a consumer represents their most preferred product. Tastes are heterogeneous since different consumers have different addresses. Consumers have completely inelastic demands in that they will purchase a single unit of only one brand. 16 The utility of a consumer located at address θ∗ who purchases brand i is U (θ∗, θi) = V − T (D) − pi, where D = |θ∗ − θi| is the distance between the address of the consumer and the address of brand i, pi is the price of brand i, and V is the consumption benefit of the consumer’s ideal product. 17 If the consumer’s ideal product is available and chosen, then D = 0. If not the consumer must incur either transportation costs (if the model is one of firm location) or so-called mismatch costs - their consumption benefits are reduced by the extent to which the product actually consumed differs from their most preferred product. The (dis)utility cost or transportation cost is given by the function T (D). 18 Mismatch and transportation costs are assumed to be strictly increasing in distance. Common specifications: (a) linear in distance, T (D) = kD where k is the transport cost per unit of distance; or (b) quadratic in distance, T (D) = kD2. Brands that are closer to the consumer’s ideal are preferred. However, a more distant less preferredbrand might be purchased if it has a lower price. 19 IV. Hotelling competition Suppose initially there is a fixed number of firms, equal to N. Assume that marginal production costs are c for all products and less than the price, p. Since we have fixed prices, competition between firms will be over locations or product specification. Our objective is to identify the equilibrium set of locations or products. 20 A game-theoretic interpretation is that firms simultaneously select their location and our task is to find the Nash equilibrium in locations. Alternatively, we could assume that firms enter sequentially and they can costlessly relocate. We then look for the set of locations such that firms do not have an incentive to relocate given the locations of their rivals. 21 Sets of locations that meet this criterion will be the same as the Nash equilibria to the simultaneous location game. The profits of firm i are simply πi = (p − c)M li, where li is the market length, or interval, served by firm i. The market interval of i is the length of the line segment defined by consumers who purchase from firm i. 22 Since M is the density of consumers, M li is total sales of firm i. Given that prices are fixed and greater than the marginal cost of production, firms maximise their profits by maximising sales. Maximising sales requires that firms maximize their market lengths. 23 Suppose that firm i is located at θi. Its two nearest competitors are located at θi−1 and θi+1. Firm i is an interior firm since its market on either side is limited by the presence of competitors. Let x be the location of the consumer between firm i and i − 1 who is just indifferent between the two firms. 24 25 All consumers in the interval between x and θi i to that of i − 1. The address of the marginal consumer x is defined by: x − θi−1 = θi − x, or x = θi +θi−1 2 x is half of the distance between firm i and i − 1. 26 Similarly, if y defines the location of the consumer between firm i and i + 1 who is just indifferent between the products of i and i + 1, then li = x + y, or li = θi+1 +θi−1 2 Firm i0s interval = (1/2) the distance between nearest competitors on either side. # consumers gained to the right from moving toward θi+1 = # lost to the firm at θi−1 on the left. 27 What about peripheral firms? The boundary of their market segment to one side is determined not by competition with another firm, but by the end of the market. The market length of firm i − 1 to its left equals θi−1, while its interval on the right is of length (θi − θi−1)/2 - halfway between it and its right-hand-side competitor i. 28 The entire market length of firm i − 1 is the sum of its LHS and RHS intervals, li−1 = θi−1 + θi +θi−1 θi −θi−1 = 2 2 which is increasing in θi−1. The market share of a peripheral firm increases as it moves closer to its interior competitor. It gains sales in the interior, without losing sales on the periphery. 29 Define a firm’s half-market length by its market length on one side. Then if locations are chosen simultaneously, two conditions must be satisfied for a Nash equilibrium in location: 1. No firm’s market length is less than any other firms half-market length. 2. The two peripheral firms must be paired. The peripheral firms must be adjacent to an interior firm. 30 31 The result that two firms in either product or geographic space will locate in the middle is often referred to as the ‘principle of minimum differentiation’ (Boulding). The principle does not strictly hold when there are more than two firms. However, even when there are more than two firms, the equilibrium market configuration is characterized by “bunching”. 32