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Transcript
Sketching profiles of Development Banks
Seminar Global Economic Governance
Madrid, March 11th, 2013
João Carlos Ferraz
Vice President
Ana Cláudia Além
Head of Applied Research
Rodrigo Madeira
Economist
One assertive, three propositions
// 2
Assertive
A development bank is an essential instrument to support
development strategies and policies.
Propositions
Each Development Bank is a singular institution. No role model
exists.
As market based finance can be relied only partially for development
financing, a stronger configuration for a national financial industry
is where private and public institutions co-live .
But… attention!!! Time and place do matter in defining: (i) a DB
place in development and, (ii) the public/private modes of relation.
The starting point: each country, a specific
model for the financing of economic activities
// 3
Credit/GDP
Credit and corporate bonds as % of GDP - 2010
Corporate Bonds/GDP
Source: Financial Structure Database and BIS - 2010
Development Institutions: common, relevant
institutions
// 4
A very common institution: in countries under different
regimes, at different stages of development.
OECD: institutions providing long term loans that are beyond the
capacity or the willingness of others to do so.
BDC (2009): 235 DIs in 92 countries.
International Benchmark Study on Development Institutions. Business Development Canada, 2009
WB (2012): 90 DIs in 61 countries. 2009: total assets: US$ 2.01
trillion; loan portfolio: US $1.59 trillion.
Global Survey of Development Banks. Policy Research Working Paper, n. 5969. Washington: World Bank, 2012.
Different types of Development Institutions: Development
Banks, Specialized Agencies (Credit, Guarantee or Equity),
Development Financing Institutions (usually multilateral)
Development Banks: not one alike
// 5
Not a homogeneous group, differing in:
Ownership structure (fully vs. partially owned by government)
Target sectors and clients (narrow vs. wide focus)
Lending models (first-tier vs. second-tier)
Credit conditions (subsidized vs. market interest rates)
Regulation and supervision (special regime vs regime applicable to
all banks)
Corporate governance (independent vs. government controlled
boards)
Size (absolute and relative), loan portfolio, performance
indicators…
Role of each development bank: direct relation
to “national financing structure”
// 6
Comparative role in the economy – 2011 data21,1
Loans Outstanding/GDP (%)
15,8
Loans Outstanding/Total credit stock (%)
12,8
11,7
10,4
8,0
7,3
4,5
2,9
0,8 0,5
BDC - Canada
Source: Annual reports.
1,2
DBJ - Japan
KDB - Korea BNDES - Brazil CDB - China KfW - Germany
Potential contributions and criticisms
// 7
Finance expansion of capacity, fill gaps, fix failures, induce
externalities…
Foster an innovative, sustainable long term financing industry
Contribute to systemic stability (anti-cyclical role)
Appropriate and distribute (to society, via the State) returns of
(financial) investment decisions
But not at all without controversy!
controversy Common criticisms
Crowding out private industry
Discretionary power (“pick winners”)
Cronyism
The awakening of the Sleeping Beauty? DBs
are back to the game
// 8
Current crisis show: a strategic role for
development banks
// 9
Growth (%) of credit portfolio of selected development banks -2011
BNDES - Brazil
CDB - China
35
30
30
25
25
20
20
15
15
10
10
5
5
0
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
2011
DBJ - Japan
BDC - Canada
25
15
20
10
15
5
10
0
5
-5
0
-10
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Source: Annual reports.
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
A comparative perspective: significant and
adequate economic and financial performance
// 10
Comparative performance – 2011 dataLoans Outstanding/Total Credit Stock (%)
Return on Asset (%)
Non-performing loan ratio (%)
BNDES at a glance: scale and scope matters
// 11
Main provider of long-term
financing in Brazil
Total disbursements 2012:
US 75 billion; + 12% vs 2011
100% state-owned company
under private law
Stable funding
2,780 employees
Instruments
Direct operations
Indirect operations
MSME (financing &
guarantee)
Exim
Project finance
Equity investments
Grants
Source BNDES
BNDES efforts towards inclusion and
sustainability
//12
Loans for MSME
Disbursements
Disbursements 2012:
US 75 billion; + 12% vs 2011
Sustainability and green economy
in R$ milllions
Number of firms
Source BNDES
Support for “economic infrastructure”
// 13
R$ milllions
Ger. Hidrica
Energia Alternativa
Distribuição
Transmissão
24.525
18.741
Ferrovias
Rodovias
Portos, Terminais, e
Armazéns
Aeroporto e Transp. Aéreo
16.017
15.279
8.636
7.116
3.747
Logística
3.365
Eletricidade
2005
Source: BNDES
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Support for industrial investment and
competitiveness
//14
Sectoral disbursements according to Plano Brasil Maior directives
in R$ billlion
125
100
75
50
25
0
2006
2007
Sistemas da Mecânica, Eletroeletrônica e Saúde
Sistemas do Agronegócio
Source: BNDES
2008
2009
Sistemas Intensivos em Escala
Comércio, Logística e Serviços
2010
2011
Sistemas Intensivos em Trabalho
2012
Development Banks: essential assets and
capabilities
// 15
Mandates must be given and enforced at the highest political
level
Servant of public interest; pursuer of effectiveness and efficiency
Stable funding as a basic asset for financial sustainability
Flexible competences to mobilize resources and instruments
adequate to mandates and to different stages and needs of a
country`s development.
Development Banks must not be the vanguard nor the rearguard
but the co-guard of development
Sketching profiles of Development Banks
Seminar Global Economic Governance
Madrid, March 11th, 2013
João Carlos Ferraz
Vice President
Ana Cláudia Além
Head of Applied Research
Rodrigo Madeira
Economist