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Tonga Institute of Higher Education IT 245 Management Information Systems Lecture 10 E-Business Decision Support E-Business Decision Support Trends 1 of 2 • New dimensions of competitions added by E-Business and E-commerce: – Price, Quality and Features comparison by customers – New standards in the speed and quality of delivery, service and after sales service • Time available with managers to take business decisions is shortening. E-Business Decision Support Trends 2 of 2 • Downsizing or Flattening of Organizations: Even an employee at lower level is required to take important decisions which were taken at higher levels in the old economy. • These factors require an efficient information support to take business decisions at all levels. Levels of Decisions and Information Characteristics 1 of 3 • Strategic decisions: By Board of Directors, CEO and top Executives. About Overall organizational goals, strategies, policies, objectives of the company. Strategic Planning & control. • Characteristics: Unstructured Decisions. Information required is ad hoc, summarized, Forward looking, external. Levels of Decisions and Information Characteristics 2 of 3 • Tactical Management Decisions: Middlelevel management. Short-and mid-term plans, budgets. Specifying policies, procedures. Involves allocation of resources and fixing of responsibilities for execution of plans. • Characteristics:Scheduled, detailed, historical, internal, narrow focus. Levels of Decisions and Information Characteristics 3 of 3 • Operational Management Decisions: Developing short range plans like production and delivery schedules, Day-today operations and solving problems and bottlenecks in daily activities. • Characteristics: Routine feedback, detailed, historical, internal with narrow focus. Types of Information Systems • • • • Management Information Systems (MIS) On Line Analytical Processing (OLAP) Decision Support Systems (DSS) Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and Data Visualization Systems (DVS) MIS • Predefined Info Products for day-to-day decisionmaking. • For Operational & Tactical Managers. • Structured Decisions • Reports : Periodic, Exception,Demand, Push Vs. DSS • Interactive Info support • Initiated, controlled by decision maker • tailored to suit personal decision style • Rely on Model bases + databases, LP , Multiple regression forecasting, PV Models Tools and Techniques in DSS 1 of 2 • What if analysis: Changing variables and observing change on other values:Mortgage Loans: Amt, Int rate, period etc. • Sensitivity Analysis: Value of one variable is changes repeatedly and change on other variables is observed. • Goal-Seeking Analysis : Change in different variables until a goal is achieved. Tools and Techniques in DSS 2 of 2 • Optimization Analysis : More complex extension of goal-seeking analysis.Finding optimum values for one or more variables within some given constraints. • Data Mining : Discovering knowledge from an ocean of information. Discovering patterns, trends and correlations hidden in the data to get strategic business advantage. On Line Analytical Processing (OLAP) • Provide fast answers to complex business queries. • Managers can interactively manipulate large amounts of detailed data from many perspectives. • Involves analyzing complex relationships among vast data to discover patterns, trends • Analytical Operations: Consolidation, Drill Down, Slicing & Dicing Executive Information Systems (EIS) • Combines features of MIS and DSS • Focus: Meet strategic info needs of top management • Info about firm’s critical success factors. • Report formats are tailored to suit executives’ preferences. • Extensive use of graphical user interface and graphic displays. • Exception reporting, Drilled down info. Enterprise Info or Knowledge Portals • Portals for every one in the company. • Knowledge sharing • Critical info support to staff all over the world ( Refer to Real World Case 1) • Knowledge Management (KM): Creating, Sharing and disseminating knowledge in support of Business Decision Making. Artificial Intelligence Technologies in Business Section II Artificial Intelligence (AI) • A field of science and Technology based on disciplines such as computer science, biology, psychology, linguistics, mathematics and engineering. • Tries to develop computer functions normally associated with human intelligence such as reasoning, learning and problem solving. Major Application Areas of AI 1 of 3 • Cognitive Science Applications : – Expert systems – Learning Systems – Fuzzy Logic – Genetic Algorithms – Neural networks – Intelligent Agents Major Application Areas of AI 2 of 3 • Robotics Applications – Visual perceptions – Tactility – Dexterity – Locomotion – Navigation Major Application Areas of AI 3 of 3 • Natural Interface Application – Natural languages Interface – Speech recognition – Multisensory Interfaces – Virtual Reality Components of Expert Systems • Knowledge base • Software Resources: Inference Engine and User Interface Programs • Refer to Fig 6.29 on page 232 Expert Systems Applications • Loan Portfolio Analysis • Investment Decisions • Insurance Underwriting (Risk Analysis) • Medical Diagnosis • Machine Control • Inventory Control • Chemical Testing etc etc. Benefits of Expert Systems • Captures and combines expertise of human expert/s in a computer-based information system. • Faster and more consistent • Does not suffer from physical fatigue or stress. • Helps preserve/reproduce knowledge of experts before they leave or retire or die. • Improve business efficiency. Competitive advantage. Limitations of Expert Systems • • • • Limited focus Inability to learn Prohibitive development/maintenance Costs Can solve specific problems in a limited domain of knowledge. • Fail miserably in solving problems requiring broad knowledge base and subjective problem solving (e.g. Assessment of Political Situation) Summary • Decision Support in E-Business • • • • • E-Business Decision Support MIS, OAP, DSS, Using Decision Support System Executive Information System Enterprise Portals & Decision Support • Artificial Intelligence Technologies in Business