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Warm-Up: Determine whether a linear model is appropriate. Find the line of best fit. Water use (thousand of litres) Power use (kWh) 21 38 22 42 24 64 26 72 31 87 35 101 25 54 24 55 23 49 25 52 y=4.5x-53.92 Normal Distribution Normal Distributions • Approximately normal distribution Data sets that can be described as having bar graphs that roughly fit a bell-shaped pattern. • Normal distribution A distribution of data that has a perfect bell shape. • Normal curves Perfect bell-shaped curves. 3 Normal Distributions Data which is normally distributed has the majority of the data centered at the mean. • Symmetry Every normal curve has a vertical axis of symmetry, splitting the bell-shaped region outlined by the curve into two identical halves. We can refer to it as the line of symmetry. 4 Normal Distributions • Median/mean. We call the point of intersection of the horizontal axis and the line of symmetry of the curve the center of the distribution. The center is both the median and the mean (average) of the data. We use the Greek letter µ (mu) to denote this value. 5 Normal Distributions The standard deviation of a normal distribution is the horizontal distance between the line of symmetry of the curve and one of the two points of inflection (P or P' ) 6 Special Characteristics ·68% of the data is within 1 standard deviation (1σ) of the mean (µ). ·95% is within 2σ of µ ·99.7% (or practically 100%) is within 3σ of µ Example The distribution of head circumference among males is normally distributed with µ=22.8 in and σ=1.1 in. ·What percent have a head circumference greater than 23.9 in? .16 or 16% ·What percent have a head circumference between 21.7 and 25 in? .815 or 81.5% ·What percent have a head circumference less than 20.6 in? .025 or 2.5% What if the values we want to know about are not σ, 2σ, or 3σ away? • Standardizing To standardize a data value x, we measure how far x has strayed from the mean using the standard deviation as the unit of measurement. • Z-value A standardized data value. ·We have to find the standardized value and use the zchart Example: µ=22.8 in and σ=1.1 in. We want to know the percent of men with head circumference less than 24.3 inches? Reading your Z-Chart Example: µ=22.8 in and σ=1.1 in. We want to know the percent of men with head circumference less than 24.3 inches? 0.9131 or 91.31% Example: µ=22.8 in and σ=1.1 in. We want to know the percent of men with head circumference greater than 24.3 inches? We know that 91.31% is greater than 24.3 Subtract from 100% to find the percentage that’s less. .0869 or 8.69% Example: µ=22.8 in and σ=1.1 in. We want to know the percent of men with head circumference between 20.9 and 24.3 inches? Find percent less than 24.3 (We already did that) 91.31% Find percent less than 20.9 z=-1.72 .0427 or 4.27% Subtract percent less than 20.9 from percent less than 24.3 91.31– 4.27 = 87.04% You try it! The distribution of weights for 6-month-old boys is approximately normal with mean µ=17.25 lbs and σ=2 lbs. What is the probability a child will weigh greater than 20.5 lb? .9484 What is the probability a child will weigh between 16.5 and 19.2 lbs? .4845