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Department of the Environment Reducing Maryland’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions: A State’s Perspective Renee Fizer, Climate Change Division-MDE Greenhouse Gases (GHG) • The debate related to the science of global warming is now over • Major concerns in MD: – Rise in coastal waters – Loss of aquatic life (impacts to oysters, rockfish and the bay ecosystem) – Potential for extreme weather conditions – More … MD Projected Emissions - 1990-2020 DRAFT – PRELIMINARY DATA – FOR DISCUSSION ONLY Electricity (Consumption Based) Fossil Fuel Industry RCI Fuel Use Onroad Gasoline Use Onroad Diesel Use Jet Fuel/Other Transportation Agriculture Waste Management ODS Substitutes Other Ind. Process 120 MMtCO2e 100 80 60 40 20 0 July 20, 2007 1990 1995 www.mdclimatechange.us 2000 2005 2010 2015 3 2020 Examples of Maryland’s GHG Emission Reduction Programs • Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) • Maryland Clean Cars Act • EmPOWER Maryland • Governor’s Executive Order – Maryland Commission on Climate Change RGGI • RGGI is a cooperative effort of New England and Mid-Atlantic states • Establishes a cap-andtrade program focused on power plant emissions of greenhouse gases (CO2) • First CO2 cap-andtrade program of its kind Reductions from RGGI • Program starts January 1, 2009 • Applies to fossil fuel-fired electric generating units 25 megawatts and larger • Involves a two-phase cap. Will stabilize MD emissions 20092014 at 37.5 tons, then reduce emissions 10% by 2018 • RGGI signatory states will conduct a comprehensive program review in 2012 Clean Cars (CAL LEV II) • The Maryland Clean Cars Program will provide small but meaningful reductions of: – Nitrogen Oxides (NOx) – Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs) – Air Toxics – These reductions will help Maryland meet federal ozone and fine particle standards • The major new pollutant reduced is greenhouse gases – Approximate 30% additional reduction by 2016 • Reduced operating costs will produce savings for MD consumers that are expected to offset slightly higher purchase cost. Existing Energy Programs that Reduce GHG Emissions • Maryland Strategic Electricity Plan • EmPOWER MD • High Performance Buildings • Renewable Portfolio Standards • Incentives for use of Renewable Energy Choices Maryland Commission on Climate Change • Establishes a climate change commission charged with addressing Maryland’s climate challenge on all fronts • Three specific areas of concern: – Mitigation (MDE & MEA) – Adaptation (DNR & Planning) – Science and effects in Maryland (U of M & MDE) • Interim Report at midpoint (Jan 08) • Action Plan by Spring 2008 Science & Technical Working Group A Sub-tropical Bay? Adaptation & Response Working Group • Climate Change Adaptation & Response Planning • Maryland’s Vulnerability to Sea Level Rise & Coastal Storms Greenhouse Gas & Carbon Mitigation Working Group Gross GHG Emissions By Sector US Maryland Transportation 32% Res/Com Fuel Use 13% Industrial Fuel Use 8% Fossil Fuel Ind. (CH4) 0.5% Industrial Process 3% Waste 3% Agriculture 3% Transport 26% Res/Com Fuel Use 9% Industrial Process 5% Waste 4% Agric. 7% Industrial Fuel Use 14% Electricity Consump. 38% Year 2000 Data Fossil Fuel Ind. (CH4) 3% Electricity 32% 12 Goals Set by Commission • 2012 - 10% below 2006 levels (using a consumption based approach) – Used to drive early reductions and as a reduction target for the State Action Plan • 2015 - 15% below 2006 levels – Used as a early reduction target for the State Action Plan • 2020 - 25% to 50% below 2006 levels by 2020 – 25% used as the “minimum” enforceable driver for proposed Global Warming Solutions legislation • Programs to implement GWS will reward over-control – 50% used as a science-based non-regulatory target for the 2020 time-frame • Very aggressive target, but consistent with recommendations from the IPCC • To be linked to implementation of broader regional effort or national program • 2050 - 90% below 2006 levels – Used as a science based regulatory goal in GWS – Also a driver for research and development of climate neutral technology/ programs/ innovations • Mid-Course Review every 4 years Reminder: How to do we get to our 2020 Goals? – Hypothetical Example 160 MMTCO2e 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 Reduction Goal: >25% by 2020 = very close to 1990 emissions by 2020 Energy Supply Programs (ex: RGGI) Transportation and Land Use Programs (ex: Calev) Residential Commercial Industrial Programs (ex: Light Bulbs) Agriculture Forestry and Waste Programs (ex: Tree Programs) 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 For Demonstration Purposes Only 2020 Interim Report - Jan ‘08 Early Action Items: • Global Warming Solutions Act of 2008 - California AB-32 like program focusing on economy wide GHG reductions • Energy Efficiency (performance standards, energy investment fund, building codes, lighting efficiency, etc.) • Renewable Portfolio Standard amendments– require higher % of renewable energy in Maryland • Located at www.mde.state.md.us or www.mdclimatechange.us Commission Spring Report Development & Analyses of over 70 policy options • Data is very preliminary • Some estimates are still being revised • Tons needed to achieve a 25% to 50% reduction from 2006 levels by 2020 - 50 to 77 tons per year reduction • Very rough estimate of cumulative total reductions from 70 policy options by 2020 - 60 to 75 tons per year reduction Final Climate Action Plan due in Spring of 2008 Questions? Renee Fizer, CCD-MDE [email protected] 410-537-4219