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Department of the Environment
Reducing Maryland’s Greenhouse Gas
Emissions:
A State’s Perspective
Renee Fizer, Climate Change Division-MDE
Greenhouse Gases (GHG)
• The debate related to the
science of global warming
is now over
• Major concerns in MD:
– Rise in coastal waters
– Loss of aquatic life (impacts
to oysters, rockfish and the
bay ecosystem)
– Potential for extreme
weather conditions
– More …
MD Projected Emissions - 1990-2020
DRAFT – PRELIMINARY DATA – FOR DISCUSSION ONLY
Electricity (Consumption Based)
Fossil Fuel Industry
RCI Fuel Use
Onroad Gasoline Use
Onroad Diesel Use
Jet Fuel/Other Transportation
Agriculture
Waste Management
ODS Substitutes
Other Ind. Process
120
MMtCO2e
100
80
60
40
20
0 July 20, 2007
1990
1995
www.mdclimatechange.us
2000
2005
2010
2015
3 2020
Examples of Maryland’s GHG Emission
Reduction Programs
• Regional Greenhouse
Gas Initiative (RGGI)
• Maryland Clean Cars
Act
• EmPOWER Maryland
• Governor’s Executive
Order – Maryland
Commission on
Climate Change
RGGI
• RGGI is a cooperative
effort of New England
and Mid-Atlantic states
• Establishes a cap-andtrade program focused
on power plant
emissions of
greenhouse gases
(CO2)
• First CO2 cap-andtrade program of its
kind
Reductions from RGGI
• Program starts January 1,
2009
• Applies to fossil fuel-fired
electric generating units 25
megawatts and larger
• Involves a two-phase cap. Will
stabilize MD emissions 20092014 at 37.5 tons, then reduce
emissions 10% by 2018
• RGGI signatory states will
conduct a comprehensive
program review in 2012
Clean Cars (CAL LEV II)
• The Maryland Clean Cars Program
will provide small but meaningful
reductions of:
– Nitrogen Oxides (NOx)
– Volatile Organic Compounds
(VOCs)
– Air Toxics
– These reductions will help Maryland
meet federal ozone and fine particle
standards
• The major new pollutant reduced is
greenhouse gases
– Approximate 30% additional
reduction by 2016
• Reduced operating costs will
produce savings for MD consumers
that are expected to offset slightly
higher purchase cost.
Existing Energy Programs that Reduce
GHG Emissions
• Maryland Strategic
Electricity Plan
• EmPOWER MD
• High Performance
Buildings
• Renewable Portfolio
Standards
• Incentives for use of
Renewable Energy
Choices
Maryland Commission on Climate Change
• Establishes a climate change
commission charged with
addressing Maryland’s climate
challenge on all fronts
• Three specific areas of concern:
– Mitigation (MDE & MEA)
– Adaptation (DNR & Planning)
– Science and effects in Maryland
(U of M & MDE)
• Interim Report at midpoint (Jan 08)
• Action Plan by Spring 2008
Science & Technical Working Group
A Sub-tropical Bay?
Adaptation & Response Working Group
• Climate Change
Adaptation &
Response
Planning
• Maryland’s
Vulnerability to
Sea Level Rise &
Coastal Storms
Greenhouse Gas & Carbon Mitigation
Working Group
Gross GHG Emissions By Sector
US
Maryland
Transportation
32%
Res/Com
Fuel Use
13%
Industrial
Fuel Use
8%
Fossil Fuel
Ind. (CH4)
0.5%
Industrial
Process
3%
Waste
3%
Agriculture
3%
Transport
26%
Res/Com
Fuel Use
9%
Industrial
Process
5%
Waste
4%
Agric.
7%
Industrial
Fuel Use
14%
Electricity
Consump.
38%
Year 2000 Data
Fossil
Fuel Ind.
(CH4) 3%
Electricity
32%
12
Goals Set by Commission
• 2012 - 10% below 2006 levels (using a consumption based approach)
– Used to drive early reductions and as a reduction target for the State Action Plan
• 2015 - 15% below 2006 levels
– Used as a early reduction target for the State Action Plan
• 2020 - 25% to 50% below 2006 levels by 2020
– 25% used as the “minimum” enforceable driver for proposed Global Warming
Solutions legislation
• Programs to implement GWS will reward over-control
– 50% used as a science-based non-regulatory target for the 2020 time-frame
• Very aggressive target, but consistent with recommendations from the IPCC
• To be linked to implementation of broader regional effort or national program
• 2050 - 90% below 2006 levels
– Used as a science based regulatory goal in GWS
– Also a driver for research and development of climate neutral technology/
programs/ innovations
• Mid-Course Review every 4 years
Reminder: How to do we get to our 2020
Goals? – Hypothetical Example
160
MMTCO2e
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
Reduction Goal: >25% by 2020 = very close to 1990 emissions by 2020
Energy Supply Programs (ex: RGGI)
Transportation and Land Use Programs (ex: Calev)
Residential Commercial Industrial Programs (ex: Light Bulbs)
Agriculture Forestry and Waste Programs (ex: Tree Programs)
0
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
For Demonstration Purposes Only
2020
Interim Report - Jan ‘08
Early Action Items:
• Global Warming Solutions Act of 2008
- California AB-32 like program
focusing on economy wide GHG
reductions
• Energy Efficiency (performance
standards, energy investment fund,
building codes, lighting efficiency, etc.)
• Renewable Portfolio Standard
amendments– require higher % of
renewable energy in Maryland
• Located at www.mde.state.md.us or
www.mdclimatechange.us
Commission Spring Report
Development & Analyses of over 70 policy options
• Data is very preliminary
• Some estimates are still being revised
• Tons needed to achieve a 25% to 50%
reduction from 2006 levels by 2020
- 50 to 77 tons per year reduction
• Very rough estimate of cumulative total reductions from 70 policy
options by 2020
- 60 to 75 tons per year reduction
Final Climate Action Plan due
in Spring of 2008
Questions?
Renee Fizer, CCD-MDE
[email protected]
410-537-4219